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1 COMBO Project – Annual Report 2016 ADB Sustainable Infrastructure Forum 17-18 May 2017 Hugo Rainey, [email protected] and the COMBO Project team De - risking infrastructure projects: prioritising cross - sectoral coordination and early mitigation planning

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Page 1: COMBO Project – Annual Report 2016combo-africa.org/wp-content/uploads/2017/09/Hugo-Rainey...1 COMBO Project –Annual Report 2016 ADB Sustainable Infrastructure Forum 17-18 May 2017

1

COMBO Project – Annual Report 2016

ADB Sustainable Infrastructure Forum

17-18 May 2017Hugo Rainey, [email protected] the COMBO Project team

De-risking infrastructure projects: prioritising cross-sectoral coordination and early mitigation planning

Page 2: COMBO Project – Annual Report 2016combo-africa.org/wp-content/uploads/2017/09/Hugo-Rainey...1 COMBO Project –Annual Report 2016 ADB Sustainable Infrastructure Forum 17-18 May 2017

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Cumulative

Direct

Indirect

Mit

igat

ion

to

ols

(exa

mp

les)

Pollution=> Run off mgmt.

Footprint=> Planning

Employee hunting=> Staff controls

Inmigration SEA

Road controls

Uncoordinated infrastructure SEA

Overlappingprojects SEA

Influence

Incr

eas

ing

com

ple

xity

Impacts(examples)

Disease Road controls Governance

Illegal logging Road controls Permitting

Private sector Government

Communities & civil society

Induced access Road controls

Community support

Hunting Road controls Governance

Complex impacts reach far beyond spatial limits and influence of project

Page 3: COMBO Project – Annual Report 2016combo-africa.org/wp-content/uploads/2017/09/Hugo-Rainey...1 COMBO Project –Annual Report 2016 ADB Sustainable Infrastructure Forum 17-18 May 2017

3

Cumulative

Direct

Indirect

Influence

Incr

eas

ing

com

ple

xity

Project control, footprint & expertise

Impacts

Mit

igat

ion

imp

lem

en

tati

on

Project region,community stewardship

& partner expertise

Govt control, project support,

community influence & partner expertise

No single actor can manage all biodiversity and social impacts

Private sector Government

Communities & civil society

Page 4: COMBO Project – Annual Report 2016combo-africa.org/wp-content/uploads/2017/09/Hugo-Rainey...1 COMBO Project –Annual Report 2016 ADB Sustainable Infrastructure Forum 17-18 May 2017

4

Cumulative

Direct

Indirect

Influence

Incr

eas

ing

com

ple

xity

Impacts

Mit

igat

ion

imp

lem

en

tati

on

More use of SEA

Better FPIC with communities

Pre-EIA impact scoping

Better cross-sectoral govt agency coordination

Early spatial planning

Recommendations for improved mitigation

Private sector Government

Communities & civil society

Strategic road planning

Early expert consultation

Page 5: COMBO Project – Annual Report 2016combo-africa.org/wp-content/uploads/2017/09/Hugo-Rainey...1 COMBO Project –Annual Report 2016 ADB Sustainable Infrastructure Forum 17-18 May 2017

5

Responsibility of lenders & managers to plan to reduce risks, costs & impacts

Biodiversity risk case study: SOCO International in VirungaAnnual Report 2013:‘…we expect to commence acquiring seismic data on Lake Edward and be completed in Q2 2014.’

Annual Report 2014:‘…all costs incurred on Block V to date and any further costs anticipated in 2015 have been written off as exploration expense in 2014.’

Planning would have identified high risks:Virunga NP• World Heritage site• Oldest NP in Africa• Most biodiverse

region in Africa

2013 costs incurred: $92m2014 written off: $73.6mSomeone didn’t assess risks properly

Page 6: COMBO Project – Annual Report 2016combo-africa.org/wp-content/uploads/2017/09/Hugo-Rainey...1 COMBO Project –Annual Report 2016 ADB Sustainable Infrastructure Forum 17-18 May 2017

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Strategic planning reduces costs and impacts

(a) Independent planningCost $36.5bn, $145m agriculture impact, 4.8 biodiversity impact index

(c) Shared planningCost $13bn, $33m agriculture impact, 1.1 biodiversity impact index

(b) Restricted sharing planningCost $33.7bn, $140m agriculture impact, 4.2 biodiversity impact index

Runge et al. 2017 in press

Strategic planning case study:Roads and biodiversity in South Australia

Page 7: COMBO Project – Annual Report 2016combo-africa.org/wp-content/uploads/2017/09/Hugo-Rainey...1 COMBO Project –Annual Report 2016 ADB Sustainable Infrastructure Forum 17-18 May 2017

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Strategic partners and lenders can build cross-sectoral planning partnerships

Planning case study:Cross sector partners and roads in UgandaUganda National Roads Authority (UNRA)- Cross-sector teams involved in planning- Social and biodiversity risks inform

planning before design phase

Norwegian Oil for Development program- Strategic Environmental Assessment to

improve value and reduce impacts

Wildlife Conservation Society- Key Biodiversity Area mapping to inform

planning with partners

Page 8: COMBO Project – Annual Report 2016combo-africa.org/wp-content/uploads/2017/09/Hugo-Rainey...1 COMBO Project –Annual Report 2016 ADB Sustainable Infrastructure Forum 17-18 May 2017

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Pragmatic priorities for de-risking projects

For government, industry, development partners:1. Scope risks early to reduce risk that

project design must be changed.2. Develop spatial planning early to

identify priorities3. Different types of actors should be

involved in planning4. Consult a cross-sector panel as no

single actor has expert understanding5. Use ESIA screening criteria to raise bar

on quality

Page 9: COMBO Project – Annual Report 2016combo-africa.org/wp-content/uploads/2017/09/Hugo-Rainey...1 COMBO Project –Annual Report 2016 ADB Sustainable Infrastructure Forum 17-18 May 2017

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Use of ESIA screening tool identifies risk during project design

Example screening criteria

Component

Input (technical expertise)

Output (biodiversity)

Category

Consultant quality, field effort

IUCN Red List Species

Indicators

Number of peer reviewed papers, time in field

Number, % of population, habitat map

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Establish norms in policy to reduce risk and improve outcomes

Policy priorities

1. Prioritise SEA, including No Net Loss objectives for biodiversity and mitigation hierarchy for public and private sector projects to create level playing field and reduce uncertainty

2. Establish national regulations aligned with existing best practice (e.g. IFC PS6, World Bank ESS etc.) to facilitate investment

3. Build capacity needed in government agencies, ESIA consultancies, and among stakeholders to improve compliance (e.g. increased role of development banks)

4. Establish rules for compensation and offsets (protection, restoration –opportunity to make conservation economically viable)

5. Build best practice into regional agreements to help address transboundary project impacts