colorado's anti-transportation policy
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Colorado's Anti-Transportation Policy
December 31, 2002
Issue Backgrounder
By Dennis Polhill, Matthew Edgar
The Denver Regional Council of Governments (DRCOG) recently
updated its Metro Vision 2020 Regional Transportation Plan.
Although their transportation agenda is not directly stated, hints
are revealed in their rhetoric. One stated mission is to offer a'variety of travel opportunities.' As with all rhetoric this is a nice
and non-agitating statement that no one would readily disagree
with. But what does it really mean? A close look at their report
reveals facts seen by few and understood by fewer.
Travel Demand
(Person Trips)
DRCOG predicts a 48% increase in travel demand by 2020 in theDenver Metro area:
Source: DRCOG Metro Vision 2020, Regional Transportation Plan,
page 107
Transportation Investment
(Billions of Dollars)
DRCOG inventoried all sources and applications of transportation
funding through 2020 and discovered that $9.63 billion of $16.93
billion (58.9%) will go to mass transit (buses and light rail). The
rest of DRCOG's money will go to all other forms of
transportation, including, among other things, roads, bike paths,
and sidewalks.
Source: DRCOG Metro Vision 2020, Regional Transportation Plan,
page 107
Market Share
(Percent)
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DRCOG predicts that mass transit's share of all trips will grow
from 1.53% to 2.23% in 2020, meaning that transit will
accommodate just 4.04% of the new trips. Thus, if DRCOG's
numbers are accurate the benefit of applying 59% of
transportation funding to mass transit will be a 0.7% increase in
mass transit's market share.
Source: DRCOG Metro Vision 2020, Regional Transportation Plan,
page 101.
Summary and Conclusion
DRCOG's 'transit plan' will nearly double severe freeway
congestion by 2020. How can such a plan be acceptable? Is it
because DRCOG dictates a single view, as NO information is
provided in their plan about costs, benefits, or critical analysis of
potential competing alternatives that might offer more mobility at
less expense? DRCOG's approach is like saying, 'I like blue.' The
statement reveals nothing about green, yellow, or red.
DRCOG's failure to offer analysis of other alternatives, which can
compete with each other on the basis of costs and benefits, raisesserious doubts about DRCOG's objectivity, allowing pro-transit
ideologues and pro-transit lobbyists to use the power of
government to force their preconceived (and ill-conceived) agenda
upon others and upon the political process.[1]
Copyright 2002, Independence Institute
INDEPENDENCE INSTITUTE is a non-profit, non-partisan Colorado
think tank. It is governed by a statewide board of trustees andholds a 501(c)(3) tax exemption from the IRS. Its public policy
research focuses on economic growth, education reform, local
government effectiveness, and Constitutional rights.
JON CALDARA is President of the Institute.
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DENNIS POLHILL is a Senior Fellow with the Independence Institute.
MATTHEW EDGAR is a Research Associate with the Independence
Institute.
ADDITIONAL RESOURCES on this subject can be found at:http://independenceinstitute.org/Centers/Transportation/
index.htm< /FONT>
NOTHING WRITTEN here is to be construed as necessarily
representing the views of the Independence Institute or as an
attempt to influence any election or legislative action.
PERMISSION TO REPRINT this paper in whole or in part is herebygranted provided full credit is given to the Independence Institute.
[1] Additional detail is available in Independence Institute Opinion
Editorial, 'Colorado's Anti-Transportation Policy', by Dennis Polhill,
September 20, 2000, http://www.i2i.org/publications/op-eds/
transportation/antitransportation.htm
Copies of DRCOG's MetroVision 2020 report are available from
DRCOG, 2480 W. 26th Ave., Suite 200B, Denver, CO 80211.