colorado's anti-transportation policy

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    Colorado's Anti-Transportation Policy

    December 31, 2002

    Issue Backgrounder

    By Dennis Polhill, Matthew Edgar

    The Denver Regional Council of Governments (DRCOG) recently

    updated its Metro Vision 2020 Regional Transportation Plan.

    Although their transportation agenda is not directly stated, hints

    are revealed in their rhetoric. One stated mission is to offer a'variety of travel opportunities.' As with all rhetoric this is a nice

    and non-agitating statement that no one would readily disagree

    with. But what does it really mean? A close look at their report

    reveals facts seen by few and understood by fewer.

    Travel Demand

    (Person Trips)

    DRCOG predicts a 48% increase in travel demand by 2020 in theDenver Metro area:

    Source: DRCOG Metro Vision 2020, Regional Transportation Plan,

    page 107

    Transportation Investment

    (Billions of Dollars)

    DRCOG inventoried all sources and applications of transportation

    funding through 2020 and discovered that $9.63 billion of $16.93

    billion (58.9%) will go to mass transit (buses and light rail). The

    rest of DRCOG's money will go to all other forms of

    transportation, including, among other things, roads, bike paths,

    and sidewalks.

    Source: DRCOG Metro Vision 2020, Regional Transportation Plan,

    page 107

    Market Share

    (Percent)

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    DRCOG predicts that mass transit's share of all trips will grow

    from 1.53% to 2.23% in 2020, meaning that transit will

    accommodate just 4.04% of the new trips. Thus, if DRCOG's

    numbers are accurate the benefit of applying 59% of

    transportation funding to mass transit will be a 0.7% increase in

    mass transit's market share.

    Source: DRCOG Metro Vision 2020, Regional Transportation Plan,

    page 101.

    Summary and Conclusion

    DRCOG's 'transit plan' will nearly double severe freeway

    congestion by 2020. How can such a plan be acceptable? Is it

    because DRCOG dictates a single view, as NO information is

    provided in their plan about costs, benefits, or critical analysis of

    potential competing alternatives that might offer more mobility at

    less expense? DRCOG's approach is like saying, 'I like blue.' The

    statement reveals nothing about green, yellow, or red.

    DRCOG's failure to offer analysis of other alternatives, which can

    compete with each other on the basis of costs and benefits, raisesserious doubts about DRCOG's objectivity, allowing pro-transit

    ideologues and pro-transit lobbyists to use the power of

    government to force their preconceived (and ill-conceived) agenda

    upon others and upon the political process.[1]

    Copyright 2002, Independence Institute

    INDEPENDENCE INSTITUTE is a non-profit, non-partisan Colorado

    think tank. It is governed by a statewide board of trustees andholds a 501(c)(3) tax exemption from the IRS. Its public policy

    research focuses on economic growth, education reform, local

    government effectiveness, and Constitutional rights.

    JON CALDARA is President of the Institute.

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    DENNIS POLHILL is a Senior Fellow with the Independence Institute.

    MATTHEW EDGAR is a Research Associate with the Independence

    Institute.

    ADDITIONAL RESOURCES on this subject can be found at:http://independenceinstitute.org/Centers/Transportation/

    index.htm< /FONT>

    NOTHING WRITTEN here is to be construed as necessarily

    representing the views of the Independence Institute or as an

    attempt to influence any election or legislative action.

    PERMISSION TO REPRINT this paper in whole or in part is herebygranted provided full credit is given to the Independence Institute.

    [1] Additional detail is available in Independence Institute Opinion

    Editorial, 'Colorado's Anti-Transportation Policy', by Dennis Polhill,

    September 20, 2000, http://www.i2i.org/publications/op-eds/

    transportation/antitransportation.htm

    Copies of DRCOG's MetroVision 2020 report are available from

    DRCOG, 2480 W. 26th Ave., Suite 200B, Denver, CO 80211.