CLIMATE MATHEMATICS

CO2 CLIMATE ALARMISM DEBUNKED BY MATHEMATICS

Claes Johnson KTH CENSORS OF SCIENCESCIENTIFIC JOURNALSSCIENTIFIC SOCIETIES(INTER) GOVERNMENTAL INST.MEDIAWIKIPEDIACLIMATE SCIENCE: POLITICAL CORRECTNESS

KTH-GATE: MATH BOOK BURNED 2010HELP FROM ROYAL SWEDISH ACAD of SCIENCESHOSTED CLIMATE ALARMIST NOBEL SYMP 2011SCIENCE: EXPERT KNOWLEGDEONLY PHYSICIST CAN UNDERSTAND PHYSICSONLY PRIEST CAN UNDERSTAND RELIGION

PHYSICS MADE IMPOSSIBLE TO UNDERSTAND

MODERN PHYSICS: IRRATIONAL AFTER 1900CLASSICAL PHYSICS: RATIONAL BEFORE 1900

FAUSTIAN DRAMA: SELL SOUL FOR POWERBOOK: DR FAUSTUS OF MODERN PHYSICS ATMOSPHERE: AIR CONDITIONER

AIR CONDITIONER: HEAT PUMP

HEAT PUMPTHERMODYNAMICS + RADIATION

NAVIER-STOKES + RADIATIVE TRANSFER EQ

2ND LAW of THERMODYNAMICSBLACKBODY RADIATIONSTABLE SYSTEMHEATSCOOLS

MAINTAINS TEMPERATURE NO RUN AWAY EFFECTS

SMALL FORCING SMALL EFFECTDOUBLED CO2 SMALL FORCING

BACKGROUND CJComputational Mathematics Finite Element Methods Computational Fluid Dynamics: Turbulence Computational Thermodynamics: 2ND LAW Computational Blackbody Radiationbooks, articles, knols, blog,

Chalmers, KTH, UChicago,ICIHighlyCited, Humboldt Prize

TURBULENT FLOW: DRAG

SECRET OF FLIGHT: LIFT + DRAG

BEGINNING STALL AOA = 14

JOULE EXP 1845: VELOCITY T = 6

JOULE EXP: TEMP T = 12

JOULE EXP: TURBULENT DISSIPATION

DENSITY + TEMPERATURE: GAP LEFT RIGHT

STATISTICAL MECH: NO GAP: WRONGCOMPUT MECH: SPEC. GAP: CORRECTMAIN RESULTSRESOLUTION DALEMBERTS PARADOX 1752NEW THEORY OF FLIGHTDETERMINISTIC 2ND WITHOUT ENTROPY:KINETIC, HEAT ENERGY, WORK + TURB DISSIPATION

FINITE PRECISION COMPUTATION: ANALOG vs DIGITAL

COMPUTATION OF TURBULENT FLOWMEANVALUES COMPUTABLEMONTHLY MEAN VALUE PREDICTABLE OVER YEARSDAILY TEMPERATURE UNPREDICTABLE OVER WEEKSREFORM OF MATH EDUCATION: BODY&SOUL

2ND LAW WITHOUT ENTROPYE = HEAT ENERGYK = KINETICS ENERGYW = WORKD = TURBULENT DISSIPATION > 0

dK = W D, dE = - W + D, dK + dE = 0

W > 0 EXPANSION, W < 0 COMPRESSIOND > 0 IRREVERSIBLE: FROM K TO ETWO TOPICSCLIMATE SENSITIVITY:CHANGE OF TEMP UNDER CHANGE OF HEAT FORCING

BACKRADIATION:UNPHYSICAL FALSE STEFAN-BOLTZMANNNOT IN PHYSICS LITERATURE

CLIMATE SENSITIVITY

GLOBAL CLIMATETOA TEMPERATURE AT 5 KM: -18 CEFFECTIVE OUTGOING RAD. = 235 W/m2= INSOLATION X ALBEDO = 235 W/m2

OBSERVED LAPSE RATE = 6.5 C/KMOBSERVED SURFACE TEMPERATURE = + 15 C

CHANGE: TOA ALTITUDE + LAPSE RATE CLIMATE SENSITIVITY: CO2 ALARMISMNO FEED-BACK STEFAN-BOLTZMANN: 1 C

LINEARIZED SB: dQ = 4 dT

RADIATIVE FORCING FROM DOUBLED CO2 = 4 W/m2

WITH FEED-BACK: 3 - 4 C

ATMOSPHERIC CLIMATE SENSITIVITY ATMOSPHERE EFFECT = 33 C (288 255 K)

DOUBLED C02 = 1% CHANGE OF ATMOSPHERE

1% OF EFFECT = 0.4 C

OBSERVATION: 0.4 CVARIATION OF TEMP VS INSOLATIONDAILY, SEASONAL, REGIONAL,dQ = 10 dT

IDSO, LINDZEN, SPENCER,

IPCC: 4 C: FACTOR 10??

YEARLY VARIATION STOCKHOLM

DIURNAL + YEARLY VARIATIONBASIC MODEL: C dT/dt = F(t) Lambda T

SENSITIVITY: S = 1/Lambda

DETERMINE C + S FROM MEASURED T(t) + F(t)

DIURNAL + YEARLY: S < 0.1 IPCC S = 1: 10 TIMES BIGGER.

PHASE LAGLARGE: 1/4 PERIOD: Lambda SMALLSMALL: 1/8 PERIOD: Lambda LARGE + S SMALL

OBSERVATION: SMALL:DIURNAL: 3 HOURS: SMALLYEARLY : ONE MONTH: SMALL

RADIATIVE FORCING: FACTOR 4

RADIATIVE FORCING = DIP IN THE SPECTRUM = 4% OF TOTAL AREA

DOUBLED C02 = 10% CHANGE OF WIDTH OF DIP = 0.4% OF TOTAL 250 = 1 W/m2

IPCC = 4 W/m2 = 4: FACTOR 4THE IPCC TRICK: + 3 CRADIATIVE FORCING dQ = 4 W/m2 = 6.3 LOG(2) W/m2 = AD HOC FORMULA4 TIMES TOO BIG VS OBSERVATION

NO-FEEDBACK SENSITIVITY dQ = 4 dTdT = 1 CONLY A DEFINITION; NOT ANY REALITY

FEED BACK dT = 3 C = CLIMATE SENSITIVITY

BACKRADIATION

BACKRADIATIONATMOSPHERE to SURFACE 330 W/m2SURFACE INSOLATION = 170 W/m2

GROSS SURFACE INFLUX = 500 W/m2

NET FLUX EXCHANGE = 60 W/m2

FACTOR 10: GROSS FLUX VS NET FLUXCLIMATE SENSITIVTY: REAL vs FICTIONOBSERVATION = 0.4 C

BY DEFINITION SB = 1 C SIMPLISTIC RADIATION MODELSAYS NOTHING ABOUT REALITY

IPCC FEED BACK = 4 C INFLATION FACTOR = 10

HOW TO MAKE SMALL BIGA BIG LIE MORE CREDIBLE THAN SMALL LIEIPCC FACTOR 10CLIMATE SENSITIVITYPERTURBATIONS OF HEAT FLUX

PERTURBATIONS OF NET FLUX

PERTURBATIONS OF GROSS FLUX??FACTOR 10??

1 = 10 - 91% of 1 = 0.01

1% of 10 = 0.1

FACTOR 10MATHEMATICAL ANALYSISBACKRADIATION

2ND LAW THERMODYNAMICS

FACTOR 10?MATH-PHYSICS-REALITYREAL PHYSICS: ANALOG COMPUTATION

SIMULATION: DIGITAL COMPUTATION

FINITE PRECISION COMPUTATION DETERMINISTICUNDERSTANDABLE

STATISTICAL PHYSICSNOT UNDERSTANDABLENON-PHYSICAL 2ND LAW: TURBULENT DISSIPATIONSMOOTHING-DECREASE DIFFERENCE-AVERAGEDIFFUSION: HEAT CONDUCTION DETAILS LOST: FINITE PRECISIONTURBULENCE

NO BACK-CONDUCTIONNO BACK-RADIATIONUNSTABLE UNPHYSICAL:

IRREVERSIBLE: DIRECTION OF TIME

2ND LAW: BURNING BOOKS IS EASY

2ND LAW: CATABOLIC FINE IMAGE TO COARSE IMAGE: POSSIBLEJPEG

COARSE IMAGE TO FINE IMAGE: IMPOSSIBLE

BURNING BOOKS EASY WRITING BOOKS DIFFICULT

DESTRUCTION: QUICK AND EASY: CATABOLISMCONSTRUCTION: SLOW AND DIFFICULT: ANABOLISM

2ND LAW:FINITE PRECISIONHIGH FREQ TO LOW FREQ: POSSIBLE

LOW FREQ TO HIGH FREQ: IMPOSSIBLE

WARM HIGH FREQ TO COLD LOW FREQ: POSSIBLE

HEAT FROM WARM TO COLD: POSSIBLEHEAT FROM COLD TO WARM: IMPOSSIBLEBACK-RADIATION UNPHYSICAL, UNSTABLE

FINITE PREC COMPUTATION 2ND LAWDETERMINISTIC 2ND LAWNO STATISTICSUNDERSTANDABLENO BACKRADIATION

BOLTZMANN 2ND LAWSTATISTICSAD HOC NOT UNDERSTANDABLEBLACKBODY OSCILLATOR: LATTICE OF ATOMS (MATTER)RADIATION: ACC. CHARGE gener. EM-LIGHT FORCING: EM-LIGHT

INTERACTION MATTER-LIGHT: FORCE BALANCE

OSC FORCE + RADIATION PRESSURE = FORCINGd OSC ENERGY/dt + RADIANCE = INPUT ENERGYd INTERNAL/dt + OUTPUT = INPUT STATIONARY: OUTPUT = FORCING ENERGY

STUDENT-TEACHERSTUDENT: BLACKBODYTEACHER: FORCING SPECTRUM: LOW TO HIGHSTUDENT ABSORBS ALL BELOW CUT-OFFRE-EMITS ALL BELOW CUT-OFFHEATS UP BY FORCING ABOVE CUT-OFFCUT-OFF INCREASE WITH TEMPERATURECUT-OFF FREQUENCYABSORPTION + RE-EMISSION BELOW CUT-OFFABSORPTION + HEATING ABOVE CUT-OFFWARM HEATS COLDCUT-OFF INCREASE WITH TEMPERATURETRANSFORMATION FROM HIGH TO LOW FREQ

STABLE - PHYSICAL

BACKRADIATION UNPHYSICALBACKRADIATION: LOW FREQ TO HIGH FREQCOLD HEATS WARM UNSTABLE UNPHYSICALVIOLATION OF 2ND LAW

SWING AS BLACKBODYSMALL RADIATION COEFF.FORCING OUT-OF-PHASE WITH OSC VELOCITYFORCING IN-PHASE WITH OSC

SWING + DAMPING = FORCING

PIANO AS BLACKBODYFORCING BALANCED BY OSCPIANO AS ACOUSTIC BLACKBODYFINITE NUMBER OF KEYSSTRING-SOUNDBORD-OUTPUT

STEFAN-BOLTZMANN LAWRADIANCE = R = c T4, T TEMPERATURE

R-NET = c (T4 TB4), TB = BACKGROUND TEMP

PHYSICAL: WARM HEATS COLDONE-WAY NET HEAT TRANSFER

UNPHYSICAL FALSE SBR-NET = c T4 c TB4 = R-OUT R-INR-OUT = c T4R-IN = c TB4 BACKRADIATION

TWO-WAY GROSS HEAT TRANSFER

c T4 c TB4 = c (T4 TB4) ALGBRAICALLY BUT NOT PHYSICALLY

R-IN = R-OUT R-NET: BACKRADIATIONUNPHYSICAL UNSTABLE: COLD HEATS WARM

PYRGEOMETER FICTIONMEASURES R-NET FROM TB AND TDEFINES R-IN = R-OUT R-NET

EXISTENCE BY DEFINITION NOT OBSERVATIONINVENTED TWO-WAY GROSS HEAT TRANSERMEASURING WHAT DOES NOT EXIST

PHOTON - WAVESBACKRADITION: UN-PHYSICALTWO-WAY STREAM OF PHOTONSPRIMITIVE TRIVIAL MODEL

NO BACKRADIATION: PHYSICALONE-WAY NET HEAT TRANSFERTWO-WAY LIGHT WAVESEDUCATED NON-TRIVIAL MODELECONOMY VS NATUREMASSIVE BACKRADITION =MASSIVE TRANSFERS

UNSTABLE TWO-WAY FLOW OF MONEYROTATION OF MONEY UNSTABLE TAX SYSTEM

NATURE HAS NO TAX SYSTEMNATURE ABHORS INSTABILITYNO BACKRADIATIONUNSTABLE TWO-WAY HEAT TRANSFER

HOW TO MAKE SMALL BIG1 = 11 101 SMALL10 BIG

ONE-WAY NET FLOW = 60 W/m2TWO-WAY GROSS FLOW = 500 W/m260 = 500 440INFLATION FACTOR 10: FROM 0.4 C TO 4 C

GLOBAL CIRCULATION MODELSNAVIER-STOKES + RADIATIONTURBULENT (CHAOTIC) SOLUTIONS MEAN-VALUES COMPUTABLE

POSSIBLE PRECISION: 5% ??LONG TIME SHORT TIMEDATA (SUN) MODELING (CLOUDS)THE ONLY THING WE HAVE

CONCLUSIONCO2 ALARMISM based onINFLATED CLIMATE SENSITIVITY based onUNPHYSICAL BACKRADIATION based onUNPHYSICAL FALSE STEFAN-BOLTZMANN LAW

BIGGEST SCIENTIFIC FRAUD EVER?IN FREE FALL: TRAGEDY OF SCIENCESCIENTIFIC FRAUD OF CO2 ALARMISMMANIPULATION OF THEORY:

DEFINITION AS PHYS. FACT: NO-FEEDBACK CLIMATE SENSITIVITY = 1 CFALSE SB LAW WITH BACKRADITION

MANIPULATION OF DATA:HOCKEY-STICK WHY PHYSICISTS SAY NOTHINGDEFINITION AS PHYS FACT COMMON IN PHYSICS: CONSTANCY OF SPEED OF LIGHT BOTH DEFINITION AND PHYSICAL FACT

FALSE STEFAN-BOLTZMANN:PLANCKS LAW NOT UNDERSTOOD BECAUSEPLANCKS PROOF NOT UNDERSTOOD

ABOUT FUNDING:LHC MORE IMPORTANT THAN CO2 ALARMISMBLOGOSPHEREWINDOW OF SKEPTICSIMARENA OF SKEPTICISMCANNOT BE CENSORED

STOPPING CO2 ALARMISMCHANGING SCIENCE