cmp target price q2 update: robust recovery across rs

10
Emkay Research is also available on www.emkayglobal.com and Bloomberg EMKAY<GO>. Please refer to the last page of the report on Restrictions on Distribution. In Singapore, this research report or research analyses may only be distributed to Institutional Investors, Expert Investors or Accredited Investors as defined in the Securities and Futures Act, Chapter 289 of Singapore. © Your success is our success Emkay India Equity Research | Retail October 7, 2021 Company Update Titan Company Refer to important disclosures at the end of this report Q2 update: Robust recovery across divisions Titan’s Q2 business update highlights a robust recovery and a strong performance across divisions, with the jewelry division reporting a 2-year CAGR of 32%. Network expansion has also been accelerated during the quarter. Full unlocking and the upcoming festive/wedding season are likely to further boost revenues in the coming quarters and may offer more upsides, in our view. Factoring in the strong growth momentum, we increase our FY23/FY24 EPS estimates by 8-12%. Given the solid growth and earnings outlook, we raise our Sep’22 TP to Rs2,530 (from Rs2,000), valuing the stock at 65x Sep’23E EPS (from 55x Sep’23E EPS earlier). Retain Buy. Jewelry grows 78% with 2-year CAGR of 32%: Excluding bullion sales of Rs3.9bn in the base quarter, the Jewelry segment grew 78% in Q2FY22 with a strong 2-year CAGR of 32%, aided by pent-up demand and a 10% store addition CAGR (414 jewelry stores vs. 345 in Q2FY20). Management said pent-up demand after the second wave was seen in gift purchases, occasions, milestone buying, weddings and investments in gold. While studded sales saw strong double-digit growth, studded mix was indicated to be lower than pre-Covid levels due to higher growth in plain gold sales. Since Titan’s entire network of jewelry stores across formats has been hallmarking compliant, we expect faster share gains from unorganized players. Enrollments in the Golden Harvest Scheme (GHS) surpassed the pre-pandemic levels. Titan also introduced digital gold for digitally-savvy young consumers. Mandatory hallmarking is effective in 256 districts in India. Tanishq and other jewelry brands are now 100% compliant in all aspects. Recovery in Watches/Eyewear also ahead of expectations: Watches and Eyewear segments also posted a strong recovery and returned to pre-Covid levels with a 2-year revenue CAGR of -2% and 3%, respectively. A faster recovery was aided by a 2%/6% store addition CAGR in Watches/Eyewear, improvement in mall walk-ins and consistent growth in the e-commerce channel. Titan added 8 stores for watches and 24 for eyewear in Q2FY22. Caratlane’s business remained on its strong growth trajectory with 95% growth, driven by the launch of new merchandise and marketing initiatives. Other businesses (Taneira, Fragrances and Accessories) grew 121%, aided by higher operational stores and healthy recovery in retail, department stores and E-commerce. TEAL recorded a 43% decline. Q2 expectations: Based on the update, we expect TTAN to report a solid 64% revenue growth to Rs71bn (80% excl Rs3.9bn bullion sale in Q2FY21). Despite high plain gold mix, operating margins should reach normalized levels of 11.5%, thanks to strong cost savings seen in Q1 and some operating leverage. We estimate a PAT of Rs5.5bn vs. Rs2bn in Q2FY21. Please see our sector model portfolio (Emkay Alpha Portfolio): Consumer Goods & Retail (Page 7) Relative price chart Source: Bloomberg This report is solely produced by Emkay Global. The following person(s) are responsible for the production of the recommendation: Ashit Desai [email protected] +91 22 6612 1340 Devanshu Bansal [email protected] +91 22 6612 1385 -20 -12 -4 4 12 20 1150 1360 1570 1780 1990 2200 Oct-20Dec-20Feb-21 Apr-21 Jun-21Aug-21Oct-21 % Rs Titan Company (LHS) Rel to Nifty (RHS) CMP Target Price Rs 2,148 Rs 2,530 (▲) as of (October 6, 2021) 12 months Rating Upside BUY (■) 17.8 % Change in Estimates EPS Chg FY22E/FY23E (%) 3/8 Target Price change (%) 26.5 Target Period (Months) 12 Previous Reco BUY Emkay vs Consensus EPS Estimates FY22E FY23E Emkay 24.9 35.0 Consensus 21.1 28.6 Mean Consensus TP (12M) Rs 1,890 Stock Details Bloomberg Code TTAN IN Face Value (Rs) 1 Shares outstanding (mn) 888 52 Week H/L 2,207 / 1,154 M Cap (Rs bn/USD bn) 1,907 / 25.43 Daily Avg Volume (nos.) 12,49,860 Daily Avg Turnover (US$ mn) 31.3 Shareholding Pattern Jun '21 Promoters 52.9% FIIs 18.4% DIIs 9.9% Public and Others 18.8% Price Performance (%) 1M 3M 6M 12M Absolute 6 22 41 79 Rel. to Nifty 5 9 17 18 Financial Snapshot (Consolidated) (Rs mn) FY20 FY21 FY22E FY23E FY24E Revenue 2,10,515 2,16,440 2,88,092 3,66,974 4,26,813 EBITDA 24,666 17,240 34,438 47,368 58,022 EBITDA Margin (%) 11.7 8.0 12.0 12.9 13.6 APAT 14,927 9,740 22,090 31,088 38,653 EPS (Rs) 16.8 11.0 24.9 35.0 43.5 EPS (% chg) 1.3 (34.7) 126.8 40.7 24.3 ROE (%) 23.4 13.8 26.4 29.6 29.0 P/E (x) 127.7 195.8 86.3 61.3 49.3 EV/EBITDA (x) 77.1 108.6 54.6 39.5 31.8 P/BV (x) 28.6 25.4 20.6 16.2 12.8 Source: Company, Emkay Research

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Emkay Research is also available on www.emkayglobal.com and Bloomberg EMKAY<GO>. Please refer to the last page of the report on Restrictions on Distribution. In Singapore, this research report or research analyses may only be distributed to Institutional Investors, Expert Investors or Accredited Investors as defined in the Securities and Futures Act, Chapter 289 of Singapore.

©

Your success is our success

Emkay

India Equity Research | Retail

October 7, 2021

Company Update

Titan Company Refer to important disclosures at the end of this report

Q2 update: Robust recovery across divisions

Titan’s Q2 business update highlights a robust recovery and a strong performance

across divisions, with the jewelry division reporting a 2-year CAGR of 32%. Network

expansion has also been accelerated during the quarter. Full unlocking and the

upcoming festive/wedding season are likely to further boost revenues in the coming

quarters and may offer more upsides, in our view. Factoring in the strong growth

momentum, we increase our FY23/FY24 EPS estimates by 8-12%. Given the solid

growth and earnings outlook, we raise our Sep’22 TP to Rs2,530 (from Rs2,000),

valuing the stock at 65x Sep’23E EPS (from 55x Sep’23E EPS earlier). Retain Buy.

Jewelry grows 78% with 2-year CAGR of 32%: Excluding bullion sales of Rs3.9bn in the

base quarter, the Jewelry segment grew 78% in Q2FY22 with a strong 2-year CAGR of

32%, aided by pent-up demand and a 10% store addition CAGR (414 jewelry stores vs.

345 in Q2FY20). Management said pent-up demand after the second wave was seen in

gift purchases, occasions, milestone buying, weddings and investments in gold. While

studded sales saw strong double-digit growth, studded mix was indicated to be lower than

pre-Covid levels due to higher growth in plain gold sales. Since Titan’s entire network of

jewelry stores across formats has been hallmarking compliant, we expect faster share

gains from unorganized players. Enrollments in the Golden Harvest Scheme (GHS)

surpassed the pre-pandemic levels. Titan also introduced digital gold for digitally-savvy

young consumers. Mandatory hallmarking is effective in 256 districts in India. Tanishq and

other jewelry brands are now 100% compliant in all aspects.

Recovery in Watches/Eyewear also ahead of expectations: Watches and Eyewear

segments also posted a strong recovery and returned to pre-Covid levels with a 2-year

revenue CAGR of -2% and 3%, respectively. A faster recovery was aided by a 2%/6%

store addition CAGR in Watches/Eyewear, improvement in mall walk-ins and consistent

growth in the e-commerce channel. Titan added 8 stores for watches and 24 for eyewear

in Q2FY22.

Caratlane’s business remained on its strong growth trajectory with 95% growth, driven by

the launch of new merchandise and marketing initiatives. Other businesses (Taneira,

Fragrances and Accessories) grew 121%, aided by higher operational stores and healthy

recovery in retail, department stores and E-commerce. TEAL recorded a 43% decline.

Q2 expectations: Based on the update, we expect TTAN to report a solid 64% revenue

growth to Rs71bn (80% excl Rs3.9bn bullion sale in Q2FY21). Despite high plain gold mix,

operating margins should reach normalized levels of 11.5%, thanks to strong cost savings

seen in Q1 and some operating leverage. We estimate a PAT of Rs5.5bn vs. Rs2bn in

Q2FY21.

Please see our sector model portfolio (Emkay Alpha Portfolio): Consumer Goods & Retail (Page 7)

Relative price chart

Source: Bloomberg This report is solely produced by Emkay Global. The following person(s) are responsible for the production of the recommendation:

Ashit Desai

[email protected]

+91 22 6612 1340

Devanshu Bansal

[email protected]

+91 22 6612 1385

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Oct-20Dec-20Feb-21Apr-21 Jun-21Aug-21Oct-21

%Rs

Titan Company (LHS) Rel to Nifty (RHS)

CMP Target Price

Rs 2,148 Rs 2,530 (▲) as of (October 6, 2021) 12 months

Rating Upside

BUY (■) 17.8 %

Change in Estimates

EPS Chg FY22E/FY23E (%) 3/8

Target Price change (%) 26.5

Target Period (Months) 12

Previous Reco BUY

Emkay vs Consensus

EPS Estimates

FY22E FY23E

Emkay 24.9 35.0

Consensus 21.1 28.6

Mean Consensus TP (12M) Rs 1,890

Stock Details

Bloomberg Code TTAN IN

Face Value (Rs) 1

Shares outstanding (mn) 888

52 Week H/L 2,207 / 1,154

M Cap (Rs bn/USD bn) 1,907 / 25.43

Daily Avg Volume (nos.) 12,49,860

Daily Avg Turnover (US$ mn) 31.3

Shareholding Pattern Jun '21

Promoters 52.9%

FIIs 18.4%

DIIs 9.9%

Public and Others 18.8%

Price Performance

(%) 1M 3M 6M 12M

Absolute 6 22 41 79

Rel. to Nifty 5 9 17 18

Financial Snapshot (Consolidated)

(Rs mn) FY20 FY21 FY22E FY23E FY24E

Revenue 2,10,515 2,16,440 2,88,092 3,66,974 4,26,813

EBITDA 24,666 17,240 34,438 47,368 58,022

EBITDA Margin (%) 11.7 8.0 12.0 12.9 13.6

APAT 14,927 9,740 22,090 31,088 38,653

EPS (Rs) 16.8 11.0 24.9 35.0 43.5

EPS (% chg) 1.3 (34.7) 126.8 40.7 24.3

ROE (%) 23.4 13.8 26.4 29.6 29.0

P/E (x) 127.7 195.8 86.3 61.3 49.3

EV/EBITDA (x) 77.1 108.6 54.6 39.5 31.8

P/BV (x) 28.6 25.4 20.6 16.2 12.8

Source: Company, Emkay Research

Titan Company (TTAN IN) India Equity Research | Company Update

Emkay Research is also available on www.emkayglobal.com and Bloomberg EMKAY<GO>. Please refer to the last page of the report on Restrictions on Distribution. In Singapore, this research report or research analyses may only be distributed to Institutional Investors, Expert Investors or Accredited Investors as defined in the Securities and Futures Act, Chapter 289 of Singapore.

October 7, 2021 | 2

Exhibit 1: Quarterly Preview: We expect robust recovery on all fronts in Q2FY22E

Y/E, Mar (Rs. mn) 2QFY21 1QFY22 2QFY22E YoY (%) QoQ (%)

Revenue 43,180 32,490 70,703 63.7 117.6

EBITDA 2,940 1,440 8,163 177.7 466.9

EBITDA Margin, % 6.8% 4.4% 11.5% 470 710

Adjusted PAT 1,990 610 5,523 177.5 805.3

Adjusted EPS 2.2 0.7 6.2 177.5 805.3

Source: Company, Emkay Research

Exhibit 2: Key Growth assumptions (%)

Particulars FY20 FY21 FY22E FY23E FY24E

Jewellery 4.4 11.3 30.2 25.7 16.1

Watches 7.2 -39.6 57.5 36.5 13.3

Eyewear 6.4 -31.1 51.5 31.8 17.1

Caratlane 49.3 13.8 40.5 50.0 30.0

TEAL 34.2 -23.7 21.8 10.0 10.0

Source: Company, Emkay Research

Exhibit 3: Changes in estimates

Y/E, Mar (Rs. mn) FY22E FY23E FY24E

Earlier Revised % Change Earlier Revised % Change Earlier Revised % Change

Revenues 2,72,108 2,88,092 5.9 3,22,715 3,66,974 13.7 3,72,786 4,26,813 14.5

EBITDA 33,166 34,438 3.8 42,914 47,368 10.4 51,126 58,022 13.5

EBITDA Margin (%) 12.2 12.0 -20 bps 13.3 12.9 -40 bps 13.7 13.6 -10 bps

APAT 21,487 22,090 2.8 28,691 31,088 8.4 34,629 38,653 11.6

EPS (Rs) 24.2 24.9 2.8 32.3 35.0 8.4 39.0 43.5 11.6

Source: Company, Emkay Research

Exhibit 4: Titan: Growth construct of the business from demand side

CAGR (%) CAGR (%) CAGR

FY12 FY19 FY12-19 FY35E FY19-35E >FY35E

Gold Jewelry sales volume (tons) 568 604 0.9 600 (0.0) 0.0

Gold Price (Rs/10g) 25,070 28,339 1.8 86,351 7.2 5.0

Premiumisation benefit (%) 0.7 2.5 1.0

Share of organised segment (%) 26.0 32.0 3.0 48.0 2.6 1.0

Share of Titan in organized segment (%) 11.6 17.0 5.6 29.0 3.4 1.50

Titan Jewelry revenues 70,642 1,60,296 12.4 18,40,265 16.5 8.72

Jewelry segment EBIT margin (%) 9.9 12.2 3.0 13.0 0.4

Titan Jewelry EBIT 6,976 19,480 15.8 2,39,234 17.0

Titan consol revenues 89,227 1,97,785 12.0 21,19,625 16.0 8.2

Consol. EBIT margin (%) 8.8 9.2 0.7 13.0 2.2

Titan consol. EBIT 7,880 18,287 12.8 2,75,551 18.5 8.2

Source: WGC, Company, Emkay Research

Titan Company (TTAN IN) India Equity Research | Company Update

Emkay Research is also available on www.emkayglobal.com and Bloomberg EMKAY<GO>. Please refer to the last page of the report on Restrictions on Distribution. In Singapore, this research report or research analyses may only be distributed to Institutional Investors, Expert Investors or Accredited Investors as defined in the Securities and Futures Act, Chapter 289 of Singapore.

October 7, 2021 | 3

Exhibit 5: Titan: Target P/E multiple derived from a two-stage dividend growth model

Revenue CAGR [FY22E-25E] (%) 19.8

EPS CAGR [FY22E-25E] (%) 27.2

Stage-1: FY25E-35E

EPS in Yr-0 [FY25E] (Rs) 51.2

EPS in Yr-1 (Rs) 59.7

EPS CAGR (%) 16.5

Years of growth [n] 10.0

RoE (%) 35.0

CoE (%) 11.10

Implied DPR (%) 53

Terminal stage: >FY35E

EPS growth (%) 8.5

RoE (%) 35.0

Implied DPR (%) 76

Fair value P/E in Mar'25E (x) 49.5

Fair value in Mar'25E (x) 2,956

Fair value in Sep'22E (x) 2,272

NPV of dividends in FY22E-25E (Rs/share) 26

Overall fair value in Sep'22E (Rs/share) 2,298

Sep'23E EPS (Rs) 39.3

Implied fair value P/E in Sep'22E (x) 58.5

Premium applied to FV (%) [a] 10.0

Implied target P/E in Sep'22E (x) 64.4

Implied TP in Sep'22E (x) 2,528

CMP (Rs/share) 2,150

Upside (%) 18

Source: Emkay Research, [a] EBIT margin expansion will likely be front-loaded than assumed

Exhibit 6: TTAN’s 1-Yr fwd PE valuation chart

Source: Company, Emkay Research

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Titan Company (TTAN IN) India Equity Research | Company Update

Emkay Research is also available on www.emkayglobal.com and Bloomberg EMKAY<GO>. Please refer to the last page of the report on Restrictions on Distribution. In Singapore, this research report or research analyses may only be distributed to Institutional Investors, Expert Investors or Accredited Investors as defined in the Securities and Futures Act, Chapter 289 of Singapore.

October 7, 2021 | 4

Key Financials (Consolidated)

Income Statement

Y/E Mar (Rs mn) FY20 FY21 FY22E FY23E FY24E

Revenue 2,10,515 2,16,440 2,88,092 3,66,974 4,26,813

Expenditure 1,85,850 1,99,200 2,53,654 3,19,606 3,68,791

EBITDA 24,666 17,240 34,438 47,368 58,022

Depreciation 3,480 3,750 4,241 5,117 5,787

EBIT 21,186 13,490 30,197 42,250 52,235

Other Income 1,532 1,860 1,860 2,222 2,656

Interest expenses 1,662 2,030 2,446 2,811 3,115

PBT 21,057 13,320 29,612 41,661 51,776

Tax 6,090 3,530 7,442 10,473 13,022

Extraordinary Items 0 0 0 0 0

Minority Int./Income from Assoc. (40) (50) (80) (100) (100)

Reported Net Income 14,927 9,740 22,090 31,088 38,653

Adjusted PAT 14,927 9,740 22,090 31,088 38,653

Balance Sheet

Y/E Mar (Rs mn) FY20 FY21 FY22E FY23E FY24E

Equity share capital 888 888 888 888 888

Reserves & surplus 65,800 74,088 91,739 1,16,612 1,48,163

Net worth 66,688 74,976 92,627 1,17,500 1,49,051

Minority Interest 44 44 44 44 44

Loan Funds 19,658 14,210 13,407 14,118 14,628

Net deferred tax liability (1,259) (590) (356) (105) 181

Total Liabilities 85,131 88,640 1,05,722 1,31,558 1,63,905

Net block 24,864 23,730 24,189 24,272 23,685

Investment 6,127 33,030 33,041 33,041 33,041

Current Assets 1,00,067 1,03,920 1,26,137 1,68,076 2,16,184

Cash & bank balance 3,811 5,600 14 10,064 33,114

Other Current Assets 6,959 7,520 7,520 7,520 8,272

Current liabilities & Provision 47,340 73,590 79,195 95,382 1,10,555

Net current assets 52,728 30,330 46,941 72,694 1,05,629

Misc. exp 0 0 0 0 0

Total Assets 85,131 88,640 1,05,722 1,31,558 1,63,905

Cash Flow

Y/E Mar (Rs mn) FY20 FY21 FY22E FY23E FY24E

PBT (Ex-Other income) (NI+Dep) 21,017 13,270 29,532 41,561 51,676

Other Non-Cash items 0 0 0 0 0

Chg in working cap (18,456) 24,085 (21,963) (15,452) (9,599)

Operating Cashflow 540 40,390 6,813 23,565 37,957

Capital expenditure (3,027) (1,196) (2,500) (3,000) (3,000)

Free Cash Flow (2,487) 39,194 4,313 20,565 34,957

Investments (444) (26,914) 0 0 0

Other Investing Cash Flow 0 0 0 0 0

Investing Cashflow (4,885) (28,099) (2,511) (3,000) (3,000)

Equity Capital Raised 2 0 0 0 0

Loans Taken / (Repaid) 6,747 (5,594) (1,560) 0 0

Dividend paid (incl tax) (5,351) (3,551) (4,439) (6,215) (7,102)

Other Financing Cash Flow (2,244) 673 (1,443) (1,488) (1,690)

Financing Cashflow (2,508) (10,502) (9,888) (10,514) (11,908)

Net chg in cash (6,854) 1,789 (5,586) 10,050 23,050

Opening cash position 10,665 3,811 5,600 14 10,064

Closing cash position 3,811 5,600 14 10,064 33,114

Source: Company, Emkay Research

Titan Company (TTAN IN) India Equity Research | Company Update

Emkay Research is also available on www.emkayglobal.com and Bloomberg EMKAY<GO>. Please refer to the last page of the report on Restrictions on Distribution. In Singapore, this research report or research analyses may only be distributed to Institutional Investors, Expert Investors or Accredited Investors as defined in the Securities and Futures Act, Chapter 289 of Singapore.

October 7, 2021 | 5

Key Ratios

Profitability (%) FY20 FY21 FY22E FY23E FY24E

EBITDA Margin 11.7 8.0 12.0 12.9 13.6

EBIT Margin 10.1 6.2 10.5 11.5 12.2

Effective Tax Rate 28.9 26.5 25.1 25.1 25.2

Net Margin 7.1 4.5 7.7 8.5 9.1

ROCE 36.0 21.9 38.4 42.4 41.1

ROE 23.4 13.8 26.4 29.6 29.0

RoIC 35.9 22.1 50.5 53.5 57.1

Per Share Data (Rs) FY20 FY21 FY22E FY23E FY24E

EPS 16.8 11.0 24.9 35.0 43.5

CEPS 20.7 15.2 29.7 40.8 50.1

BVPS 75.1 84.5 104.3 132.3 167.9

DPS 5.0 4.0 5.0 7.0 8.0

Valuations (x) FY20 FY21 FY22E FY23E FY24E

PER 127.7 195.8 86.3 61.3 49.3

P/CEPS 103.6 141.3 72.4 52.7 42.9

P/BV 28.6 25.4 20.6 16.2 12.8

EV / Sales 9.0 8.7 6.5 5.1 4.3

EV / EBITDA 77.1 108.6 54.6 39.5 31.8

Dividend Yield (%) 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.3 0.4

Gearing Ratio (x) FY20 FY21 FY22E FY23E FY24E

Net Debt/ Equity (0.1) (0.4) (0.3) (0.3) (0.4)

Net Debt/EBIDTA (0.2) (1.9) (0.8) (0.8) (1.1)

Working Cap Cycle (days) 84.8 41.7 59.5 62.3 62.0

Growth (%) FY20 FY21 FY22E FY23E FY24E

Revenue 6.4 2.8 33.1 27.4 16.3

EBITDA 23.9 (30.1) 99.8 37.5 22.5

EBIT 15.9 (36.3) 123.9 39.9 23.6

PAT 7.5 (34.7) 126.8 40.7 24.3

Quarterly (Rs mn) Q2FY21 Q3FY21 Q4FY21 Q1FY22 Q2FY22E

Revenue 43,180 72,870 71,350 32,490 70,703

EBITDA 2,940 8,580 7,950 1,440 8,163

EBITDA Margin (%) 6.8 11.8 11.1 4.4 11.5

PAT 1,990 4,190 5,290 610 5,523

EPS (Rs) 2.2 4.7 6.0 0.7 6.2

Source: Company, Emkay Research

Shareholding Pattern (%) Jun-20 Sep-20 Dec-20 Mar-21 Jun-21

Promoters 52.9 52.9 52.9 52.9 52.9

FIIs 17.6 18.1 18.6 18.1 18.4

DIIs 10.8 11.0 10.9 11.1 9.9

Public and Others 18.7 18.1 17.6 17.9 18.8

Source: Capitaline

Titan Company (TTAN IN) India Equity Research | Company Update

Emkay Research is also available on www.emkayglobal.com and Bloomberg EMKAY<GO>. Please refer to the last page of the report on Restrictions on Distribution. In Singapore, this research report or research analyses may only be distributed to Institutional Investors, Expert Investors or Accredited Investors as defined in the Securities and Futures Act, Chapter 289 of Singapore.

October 7, 2021 | 6

RECOMMENDATION HISTORY TABLE

Date Closing

Price TP

Period (months)

Rating Analyst

04-Aug-21 1,800 2,000 12m Buy Ashit Desai

07-Jul-21 1,727 1,810 12m Buy Ashit Desai

30-Apr-21 1,492 1,725 12m Buy Ashit Desai

07-Apr-21 1,514 1,650 12m Buy Ashit Desai

11-Feb-21 1,525 1,650 12m Buy Ashit Desai

07-Dec-20 1,425 1,450 12m Buy Ashit Desai

26-Nov-20 1,327 1,450 12m Buy Ashit Desai

29-Oct-20 1,178 1,300 12m Buy Ashit Desai

07-Oct-20 1,254 1,215 12m Buy Ashit Desai

11-Aug-20 1,066 1,215 12m Buy Ashit Desai

10-Jun-20 977 1,100 12m Buy Ashit Desai

14-Apr-20 967 1,100 12m Buy Ashit Desai

08-Apr-20 913 1,100 12m Buy Ashit Desai

05-Feb-20 1,280 1,240 12m Hold Ashit Desai

25-Dec-19 1,204 1,230 12m Hold Ashit Desai

06-Nov-19 1,156 1,230 12m Hold Ashit Desai

20-Sep-19 1,264 1,385 12m Buy Ashit Desai

06-Aug-19 1,047 1,150 12m Buy Ashit Desai

08-May-19 1,089 1,200 12m Buy Ashit Desai

09-Apr-19 1,099 1,080 12m Buy Ashit Desai

02-Feb-19 992 1,080 12m Buy Ashit Desai

09-Nov-18 848 1,000 12m Buy Ashit Desai

Source: Company, Emkay Research

RECOMMENDATION HISTORY CHART

Source: Bloomberg, Company, Emkay Research

740

1027

1314

1601

1888

2175

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BUY Hold SellAccumulate Reduce PriceTarget Price

Titan Company (TTAN IN) India Equity Research | Company Update

Emkay Research is also available on www.emkayglobal.com and Bloomberg EMKAY<GO>. Please refer to the last page of the report on Restrictions on Distribution. In Singapore, this research report or research analyses may only be distributed to Institutional Investors, Expert Investors or Accredited Investors as defined in the Securities and Futures Act, Chapter 289 of Singapore.

October 7, 2021 | 7

Emkay Alpha Portfolio – Consumer Goods & Retail

EAP sector portfolio

Company Name BSE200 Weight

EAP Weight

OW/UW (%)

OW/UW (bps)

EAP Weight (Normalised)

Consumer Goods & Retail 10.46 10.46 0% 0 100.00

Asian Paints 1.41 0.50 -64% -91 4.78

Berger Paints 0.19 0.00 -100% -19 0.00

Britannia Industries 0.45 0.55 23% 10 5.25

Colgate-Palmolive 0.22 0.24 9% 2 2.29

Dabur India 0.35 0.39 9% 3 3.68

Emami 0.11 0.12 2% 0 1.10

Godrej Consumer Products 0.38 0.37 -1% -1 3.58

Hindustan Unilever 2.34 1.78 -24% -55 17.06

ITC 2.02 2.09 4% 8 20.00

Marico 0.28 0.32 13% 4 3.03

Nestle India 0.68 0.42 -38% -26 4.00

Pidilite Industries 0.36 0.00 -100% -36 0.00

Radico Khaitan 0.00 0.31 NA 31 3.00

United Breweries 0.11 0.52 387% 42 5.00

United Spirits 0.00 0.31 NA 31 3.00

Varun Beverages 0.13 0.21 59% 8 2.00

ABFRL 0.07 0.10 46% 3 0.97

Jubilant FoodWorks 0.31 0.29 -7% -2 2.76

Page Industries 0.18 0.42 128% 24 4.00

Titan Company 0.88 1.05 19% 17 10.00

TCNS Clothing 0.00 0.21 NA 21 2.05

Westlife Development 0.00 0.26 NA 26 2.45

Cash 0.00 0.00 NA 0 0.00

Source: Emkay Research

* Not under coverage: Equal Weight

High Conviction/Strong Over Weight High Conviction/Strong Under Weight

Sector portfolio NAV

Base Latest

1-Apr-19 6-Oct-20 6-Apr-21 6-Jul-21 3-Sep-21 5-Oct-21

EAP - Consumer Goods & Retail 100.0 103.8 121.5 131.2 145.7 149.0

BSE200 Neutral Weighted Portfolio (ETF) 100.0 99.9 117.5 125.2 138.5 139.9

*Performance measurement base date 1st April 2019

Source: Emkay Research

Price Performance (%)

1m 3m 6m 12m

EAP - Consumer Goods & Retail 2.3% 13.5% 22.7% 43.6%

BSE200 Neutral Weighted Portfolio (ETF) 1.0% 11.7% 19.0% 40.0%

Source: Emkay Research

NAV chart

Source: Emkay Research

Please see our model portfolio (Emkay Alpha Portfolio): Nifty

Please see our model portfolio (Emkay Alpha Portfolio): SMID “Emkay Alpha Portfolio – SMID and Nifty are a supporting document to the Emkay Alpha

Portfolios Report and is updated on regular intervals”

75

91

107

123

139

155

Apr-19 Jul-19 Nov-19 Mar-20 Jul-20 Oct-20 Feb-21 Jun-21 Sep-21

NAV

EAP - Consumer Goods & Retail BSE200 Neutral Weighted Portfolio (ETF)

Analyst: Ashit Desai

Contact Details

[email protected]

+91 22 6612 1340

Sector

Consumer Goods & Retail

Analyst bio

Ashit Desai holds a PGDM and FRM (US

GARP) with 13 years of research

experience on the sell side. His team

currently covers 24 stocks in the Indian

Consumer and Retail space.

Titan Company (TTAN IN) India Equity Research | Company Update

Emkay Research is also available on www.emkayglobal.com and Bloomberg EMKAY<GO>. Please refer to the last page of the report on Restrictions on Distribution. In Singapore, this research report or research analyses may only be distributed to Institutional Investors, Expert Investors or Accredited Investors as defined in the Securities and Futures Act, Chapter 289 of Singapore.

October 7, 2021 | 8

Emkay Rating Distribution

Ratings Expected Return within the next 12-18 months.

BUY Over 15%

HOLD Between -5% to 15%

SELL Below -5%

Completed Date: 07 Oct 2021 05:00:01 (SGT) Dissemination Date: 07 Oct 2021 05:01:01 (SGT)

Sources for all charts and tables are Emkay Research unless otherwise specified.

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October 7, 2021 | 9

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Titan Company (TTAN IN) India Equity Research | Company Update

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October 7, 2021| 10

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