cmd russia 2009
DESCRIPTION
Presentation Market Area Russia from Tele2s Capital Markets Day 2009TRANSCRIPT
2009-09-161 Name Namesson
RUSSIA
MARKET AREA RUSSIA
Dmitry Strashnov
Market Area Director
2009-09-163 Name Namesson
RUSSIA AT LARGE
17,075,400 square kilometres
142 million people
11 time zones
Flight length from Kaliningrad to Vladivostok ~12 hours
83 regions
17,075,400 square kilometres
142 million people
11 time zones
Flight length from Kaliningrad to Vladivostok ~12 hours
83 regions
2009-09-164 Name Namesson
RUSSIAN TELECOM MARKET
Player License Cover#Regions
Sub. BaseQ2 2009
Market share growth rate* July 2009 vs. July 2008
MTS 82 regions 67 420 000 8,99%
Beeline 80 regions 49 500 000 14,02%
Megafon 83 regions 45 400 000 14,29%
TELE2 37 regions 12 381 000 27,77%
*Source: ACM
2009-09-165 Name Namesson
MOBILE SUBSCRIBER
PENETRATION
Penetration levels in Tele2 licensed areas
� Market penetration: 129%*
� Active SIM penetration: 95%**
� Estimated human penetration: 82%**
* & ** Source: ACM* and internal TELE2 research**
2009-09-166 Name Namesson
TELE2 RUSSIA CURRENT
FOOTPRINT
Licenses - 37 regions
with a population of 61
million
Licenses - 37 regions
with a population of 61
million
2009-09-167 Name Namesson
CLEAR BUSINESS GOALS
THROUGH EVOLUTION
Subscribers acquisition
Retention
ARPU protection
Subscribers acquisitionARPU protection
Retention
1,5 – 2 years 2,5 – 3 years >3 years
Pe
rce
ive
d p
rice
leade
rsh
ip/
Su
bscribe
r ba
se
ChallengerChallenger
DefenderDefender
NewcomerNewcomer
17 REGIONS
20 REGIONS
2009-09-168 Name Namesson
TELE2 RUSSIA – OLD REGIONS
2009-09-169 Name Namesson
CONTINUOUS CUSTOMER GROWTH
227 216
231 229 229
217 217 208 205
190
0
2 000 000
4 000 000
6 000 000
8 000 000
10 000 000
12 000 000
14 000 000
Q1-07 Q2-07 Q3-07 Q4-07 Q1-08 Q2-08 Q3-08 Q4-08 Q1-09 Q2-09
0
50
100
150
200
250
300
Total SUBS end of period ARPU total
2009-09-1610 Name Namesson
SOLID PROFITABILITY PROFILE
40%
36%36%
37%37%
36%
31%
33%33%
28%
0
1 000 000
2 000 000
3 000 000
4 000 000
5 000 000
6 000 000
7 000 000
8 000 000
Q1-07 Q2-07 Q3-07 Q4-07 Q1-08 Q2-08 Q3-08 Q4-08 Q1-09 Q2-09
20%
25%
30%
35%
40%
45%
50%
Op Revenue EBITDA EBITDA %
2009-09-1611 Name Namesson
TELE2 IS NUMBER ONE
IN 10 OF 17 REGIONS
21%
37%
22%
17%
3%
0%
5%
10%
15%
20%
25%
30%
35%
40%
As of July 31, 2009
Mark
et
sh
are
in
exis
tin
g r
eg
ion
s,
%.
Tele2 share Beeline Share MTS Share Megafon Share Other Share
Source: Internal Tele2 research
2009-09-1612 Name Namesson
TELE2 RUSSIA NEW REGIONS
2009-09-1613 Name Namesson
NEW REGIONS: A 3-STEP LAUNCH
Prelaunch
awareness
building
Press-
conference &
add campaign
Event & sales on
the main square
2009-09-1614 Name Namesson
106,8148,0
189,3 194,8220,0
247,8
368,4
490,4
771,7
0
100
200
300
400
500
600
700
800
900
dec-08 Jan-09 Feb-09 Mar-09 Apr-09 May-09 Jun-09 Jul-09 Aug-09
Su
bscri
be
rs n
ew
re
gio
ns, k s
ub
s.
NEW REGIONS: CUSTOMER
BASE DEVELOPMENT
NovosibirskNovosibirsk
BryanskBryansk
TomskTomsk
KarsnodarKarsnodar
2009-09-1615 Name Namesson
OUTLOOK
� Subscriber base should be able to reach 18-19 million by YE 2011
� Maintain ARPU growth at 5% by 2011
� EBITDA margin 2010-2011
� Old regions’ EBITDA margin should evolve in the range of 40-45 percent
� New regions’ EBITDA margin should break even 2 years from launch
� Russia’s total EBITDA margin should develop in the range of 25-30 percent
� Capex 2010-2011
� Accumulated Capex in Russia should be in the range of SEK 4.5-5.0 billion
� Selected acquisitions – when available and under right conditions
2009-09-1616 Name Namesson
Q&A
2009-09-1617 Name Namesson
� Commercial launch of new regions on track
� New demanding but achievable operational
targets set for Russia
� Tele2 Russia will continue to be the growth
engine of the group
SUMMARY