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Cloud Computing in Life Sciences R&

D

Cloud Computing in Life Sciences R&D

Ken Rubenstein, PhD

April 2010

InsightPharmaReports.com

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Cloud Computing in Life Sciences R&D

by Ken Rubenstein, PhD

Published in April 2010 by Cambridge Healthtech Institute

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Insight Pharma Reports is a division of Cambridge Healthtech Institute, a world leader in life science informa-tion and analysis through conferences, research reports, and targeted publications. Insight Pharma Reports focus on pharmaceutical R&D—the technologies, the companies, the markets, and the strategic business impacts. They regularly feature interviews with key opinion leaders; surveys of the activities, views, and plans of individuals in industry and nonprofit research; and substantive assessments of technologies and markets. Managers at the top 50 pharma companies, the top 100 biopharma companies, and the top 50 vendors of tools and services rely on Insight Pharma Reports as a trusted source of balanced and timely information.

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Cloud Computing in Life Sciences R&D

by Ken Rubenstein, PhD

A Cambridge Healthtech Institute publication © 2010 by Cambridge Healthtech Institute (CHI). This report cannot be duplicated without prior written permission from CHI.

Every effort is made to ensure the accuracy of the information presented in Insight Pharma Reports. Much of this information comes from public sources or directly from company representatives. We do not assume any liability for the accuracy or completeness of this information or for the opinions presented.

Cambridge Healthtech Institute, 250 First Ave., Suite 300, Needham, MA 02494 Phone: 781-972-5444 • Fax: 781-972-5425 • www.InsightPharmaReports.com

About the Author

Ken Rubenstein, PhD, a biochemist and molecular biologist, received his PhD at the University of Wisconsin and postdoctoral training at the University of Pennsylvania School of Medicine. He was a key innovator and research manager for Syva Company, the diagnostics branch of Syntex Corporation. During his 13 years with Syva, Dr. Ruben-stein became vice president, scientific affairs, a function that included strategic planning. Since 1983, he has served as a technology and marketing consultant to biomedical companies and an industry analyst, with more than 40 published studies to his credit.

For more information about published Insight Pharma Reports, visit www.InsightPharmaReports.com or call Rose LaRaia at 781-972-5444.

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Executive Summary

Although Web-hosted applications are not particularly new, during the past few years they have morphed into what is now called cloud computing, which can arguably be considered a major paradigm shift for informatics. Early “big iron” computation was highly centralized with units in relatively few locations. As these early behemoths evolved into minicomputers and, later, personal computers, informatics became increasingly decentralized. The rise of cloud computing has migrated computation back toward infra-structure centralization, with large clusters of commodity hardware in relatively few physical locations. Early cloud-like applications centered on email, relatively simple productivity software, merchandizing, and social networking. In the past few years, several companies, led by Amazon Web Services, have made it possible to run more complex applications in the cloud, including some of great interest to life sciences R&D.

This report was motivated by the rapidly growing importance of cloud computing in dealing with the deluge of data raining down on life science R&D organizations from several sources, notably next-gener-ation DNA sequencing systems and -omics tools. At the same time, demand for computationally com-plex modeling and simulation studies continues to rise dramatically. Limited funding and budgets make it difficult for many organizations to build the infrastructure necessary to keep pace with these demands, and cloud computing offers what appears to many as an attractive alternative to in-house expansion.

Following a brief introduction, Chapter 2 of this report covers the evolution of cloud computing and explores the underlying concepts that provide context for deeper understanding of the subject. Chapter 3 focuses on technological aspects of cloud computing as it exists today, and describes the activities of companies active in providing cloud services and related software. The fourth chapter turns to explora-tion of current and emerging applications of cloud computing. Chapter 5 focuses on market aspects of cloud computing, and includes results from an extensive survey of bioinformatics people concerning their practices and views on the subject. The sixth chapter contains transcripts of interviews with six individuals who have extensive knowledge in the field. Extracts from these interviews have been inserted into the body of the report in their proper context. The final chapter provides general observations and conclusions.

Executive Summary

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Technology

Cloud computing is, arguably, less a technological advance than it is a new business model. The evolu-tion of the subject can be traced back to the early days of computing when time-sharing permitted a number of users to simultaneously tap into centralized hardware. Computer clustering, which came into vogue starting in the 1960s, involves groups of computers linked in networks to emulate a single comput-er. The clustering concept eventually evolved into the Internet and also morphed into grid computing, which links computers at multiple sites, enabling them to perform a common task. Yet another important underlying concept, virtual computing, enables creation of a simulated computer environment within a given computer or network (e.g., emulating a PC environment on an Apple computer). An important cloud-related development in the software realm came from Google, which developed MapReduce, a program that permits large datasets to be broken into small segments. These can be spread among large numbers of computers without interfering with users’ ability to query and receive cohesive answers. An open-source adaptation, Hadoop, is currently a key element in bringing cloud computing to the life sci-ence sector.

Cloud computing actually has diverse definitions, depending on who is doing the defining. For our purposes, it is sufficient to define the concept in terms of features that are commonly associated with the subject by users and observers.1 These features are resource outsourcing, utility computing, large collec-tions of inexpensive machines, automated resource management, virtualization, and parallel computing.

Public clouds offer utility computing in much the same sense that energy companies provide electricity: You pay for what you use. Anyone with Web access and a credit card can order the hardware and soft-ware needed to process or store their data, and release them back to the cloud when no longer needed. Given lingering concerns over data security, large companies may choose to implement a private cloud, one that provides many of the advantages of the cloud model via infrastructure contained within their firewall. A third model, the hybrid cloud, allows companies to keep key data within their firewall while extending selective activities out to public clouds.

Cloud services divide into four main categories. IaaS (infrastructure-as-a-service), which embodies the essence of cloud computing, allows customers to fully outsource provision of servers, software, data center space, and/or network equipment. PaaS (platform-as-a-service), also known as cloudware, offers a hosted computing platform that allows customers to deploy applications without having to buy and manage the required hardware and underlying software layers. Typically, PaaS provides customers with everything needed to build and deliver cloud-based applications and services. SaaS (software-as-a-service), which originated around the turn of the century, refers to software licensed by a provider to customers on either a contractual or utility basis. The software may reside on the provider’s network and get accessed via the Web, or be downloaded to the customer’s system and disabled when the contracted use period expires. The fourth main service, cloud storage, employs commodity hardware linked by software to appear as a single storage device.

Cloud Computing in Life Sciences R&D

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All major companies that provide computer hardware, software, or both are involved to some degree in cloud computing. Yet the pioneer and overwhelming market leader in the field is Amazon Web Services. The breadth of their service offerings and attractiveness of their pricing structure have made them a prime cloud destination for life science organizations today. Amazon EC2 (Elastic Cloud Compute) al-lows customers to rent servers on which they can create virtual machines that run their own applications. They offer persistent storage via the Simple Storage Service (S3) and the more elaborate Relational Database Service (RDS). A number of additional services extend the capabilities of these basic ones. An interesting entry, the Amazon Virtual Private Cloud (VPC), provides a bridge between an organization’s existing IT infrastructure and the Amazon cloud. VPC allows enterprises to connect their infrastructure to a set of isolated Amazon computational resources via a Virtual Private Network (VPN) connection. Pfizer has opted to go this route.

Other large organizations currently compete with Amazon or have positioned themselves for future attempts to capture cloud market share. Google participates in cloud computing via its App Engine platform, which became available to customers in April 2007. App Engine provides an environment that permits developers to build new Web applications, generate code, access compute resources, and store data on virtual machines. In October 2008, Microsoft announced its cloud-based operating system, Windows Azure, along with Azure Services, which will permit developers to build and run applications hosted on Microsoft’s rapidly growing server collections. In December 2009, Microsoft announced forma-tion of a new internal organization, the Server and Cloud Division, which combines the former Windows Server and Solutions group with the Windows Azure unit.

Hewlett-Packard (HP) sells hardware to cloud services providers and offers varied cloud consulting services to customers, with heavy emphasis on security and risk management. HP Cloud Assure consists of HP services and software, including HP Application Security Center, HP Performance Center, and HP Business Availability Center. The services are delivered to customers via the HP Software-as-a-Service facility. IBM is focused mainly on providing the enterprise market with public cloud services specific to a company’s workload, hardware for use at the customer site, and consulting/systems integration services to aid customers in building private and hybrid clouds. IBM also has 13 cloud computing centers to enable enterprises, government agencies, and researchers to design, develop, and test applications for use in cloud environments. A number of other large companies, such as AT&T, Yahoo, Sun, and Verizon, are involved in developing and/or providing cloud computing services.

A number of smaller companies provide “middleware” and cloud services to augment and extend large company offerings. Cloud computing has generated a great deal of buzz in the venture capital community as having great upside potential. A number of new companies have formed recently, and the list looks like it will keep growing for the next few years. Following is a brief look at some of the smaller compa-nies, especially those of interest to life science R&D.

Executive Summary

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BioTeam and Cloudera provide extensive consulting services to assist organizations in entering cloud computing. Cycle Computing features CycleCloud, a scheduling service for cloud computing. Darkstrand addresses the high-speed networking needs of high-performance computing–based cloud computing. GenoLogics focuses its collaborative data-management software platform on biomedical and drug discov-ery/development applications in the cloud, with emphasis on translational medicine and systems biology in pharma, biotechnology companies, and academic organizations.

GenomeQuest provides a cloud computing environment that allows researchers to perform sequence alignment and data mining on next-generation sequencing data. Geospiza develops and sells enterprise-class software systems for workflow management of genetic analysis. Their GeneSifter Analysis Edition provides end-to-end capability for data-intensive genetic analysis applications including microarrays and next-generation sequencing–based transcription. In collaboration with Applied Biosystems, Geospiza now offers GeneSifter for next-generation sequencing in the cloud through Amazon Web Services.

Nirvanix is a cloud storage company. Their Storage Delivery Network is a fully managed, highly se-cure service powered by patent-pending, proprietary technology and infrastructure. ParaScale provides enterprise-level cloud storage resources under the names Hyper-Scale Storage Cloud and Hi-Performance Storage Cloud. The company provides software that can be downloaded and installed on commodity hardware running standard Linux to create a storage cloud. Penguin Computing offers POD (Penguin on Demand), a cloud computing service dedicated specifically to high-performance computing (HPC). Platform Computing specializes in private cloud systems for high-performance computing. RightScale offers a fully automated management software platform that enables cloud computing while maintain-ing IT control and transparency. Univa UD is a privately held company, founded in 2004, that provides cloud computing management software to a broad array of customers, including data centers and HPC organizations.

Cloud computing is still in its early days, and most life science organizations are still proceeding with caution to test feasibility and determine what kinds of applications run best in that mode. Yet, driven by continual acceleration in the rates of data generation and the desire for processor-intensive applications, these organizations continue to increase their cloud utilization and the diversity of applications they run there.

Applications

Several applications areas appear particularly suitable for cloud computing. Among these are next-gen-eration DNA sequencing, protein docking, modeling and simulation, and data mining. Areas impacted by these applications include drug discovery, personalized medicine, translational medicine, and personal genomics. Given bullish signals for the future of cloud computing in life sciences, we can expect the number and diversity of applications to increase markedly over the next five years.

Cloud Computing in Life Sciences R&D

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Much of the interest and early activity in cloud computing for life sciences centers on next-generation sequencing. The quantities of data next-generation sequencers generate are staggering, demands for data processing suffer large peaks and valleys, and rapid growth in utilization requires new investment in infrastructure, especially for smaller labs just entering the field. The rapidly decreasing cost of obtaining sequence data has led to continuing increases in the number of instruments in use and the number of labs using them. Each of these factors aligns with the benefits of cloud computing. A recent paper points out that a single Illumina instrument can generate 15–20 billion bases of sequence data per run, and by the end of 2009 the figure was expected to increase to 90–95 billion bases.

It is important to note that next-generation sequencing already has bioinformaticians stretched near their limits in keeping up with sequence data itself and with the needs of biologists to convert that data to useful information, which itself creates further computing needs. By the end of 2010, the first third-generation sequencing systems will enter the market. They promise to provide a step up in the rate of data generation, but also may in some instances generate qualitatively different kinds of data, which will present still new informatics challenges.

Data storage requirements for next-generation sequencers have been alleviated to some extent by manu-facturers who are increasingly processing mounds of raw image data in real time in their machines, and providing users with smaller quantities of processed sequence data to feed their analysis pipelines. Although storage remains a critical issue for sequencers, deriving useful scientific information from sequence is the major challenge at present. Offerings from sequencing systems providers are limited, and users either develop their own software for this purpose, turn to open-source solutions such as the Uni-versity of Maryland’s CloudBurst system for SNP-finding, or access commercial solutions such as those from GenomeQuest and Geospiza. Security is less of an issue in next-generation sequencing than is data transfer, which many organizations still do by physically delivering disks to service providers.

Docking studies done in silico have come to play an increasingly important role in both basic research and rational drug design. Several big pharmas are currently doing docking in the cloud. For example, Pfizer’s Biotherapeutics and Bioinnovation Center has successfully experimented with protein-protein dock-ing using Amazon Web Services. Other key areas with cloud potential include -omics data analysis and general modeling and simulations. Personalized medicine and clinical studies may well benefit from cloud computing in coming years. Naturally, security issues take greater significance in these areas, especially clinical development, where regulatory concerns must be addressed.

Markets

For this report, we divide the cloud services user market into three main segments: large pharmaceutical and biotechnology companies; small to medium-sized pharmaceutical and biotechnology companies; and academic and institutional non-profit organizations. Certainly, organizations in all three categories face budgetary challenges in these troubled and uncertain times. Consequently, the cloud computing busi-ness model has great appeal across the board. Large pharmaceutical and biotechnology companies are currently experimenting with running a variety of research applications in the cloud. Many are trying to

Executive Summary

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identify possible downsides and determine actual cost-effectiveness compared to alternative approaches. Although large companies already have large-scale bioinformatics infrastructure already in place, they have also been shedding R&D staff at a high rate in recent years and relying increasingly on outsourced services.

Small to medium-sized pharmaceutical and biotechnology companies, especially those that rely heavily on data-rich next-generation sequencing and -omics technologies for drug discovery and personalized medicine, are key candidates for cloud computing services. Given the relative scarcity of funding in the current economic climate, which forces the need to minimize burn rates, cloud computing becomes espe-cially attractive. Although computing requirements are considerably less than those of larger companies, it appears that growth in cloud utilization is considerably faster in the smaller organizations.

The non-profit academic and institutional sector falls into two sub-segments. Large genomic centers and core laboratories, on the one hand, have considerable bioinformatics infrastructure already in place and, like big pharma, are less inclined to become major early users of cloud services. Smaller labs or depart-ments with only a few instruments and little centralized infrastructure are more likely to become early adopters.

Amazon Web Services (AWS) is overwhelmingly the market leader for cloud computing in general, as well as for the life science R&D sector. A report in July 2009 estimated AWS’ annual sales at $250 mil-lion to $500 million, and the company itself indicates that its customer base has been growing at 10% per quarter. A number of other large players have the potential to capture at least modest market share from Amazon in coming years. IBM, Google, and Microsoft stand out as candidates. A host of smaller “middleware” companies stand to fill in the holes in larger company offerings, and these organizations will no doubt continue to expand their cloud-related efforts as the field grows.

Conclusions

Based on information presented in this report, we offer the following observations and conclusions:

Cloud computing for life sciences R&D is growing rapidly but is still in its infancy, with •most organizations still in testing-the-water mode.

Next-generation DNA sequencing, by virtue of its Moore’s law-style growth in data vol-•umes, is the single most important applications area for operation in the cloud. Soon-to-be-released third-generation systems up the data deluge ante even more.

As raw DNA sequence becomes ever less expensive, requirements to derive useful •information from the data continue to grow along with the associated costs. The utility nature and scalability of the cloud favor its adoption for this purpose.

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Amazon Web Services has put together a highly impressive package of cloud service of-•ferings for life science R&D with a very attractive pricing structure. Competitors will be hard-pressed to capture significant market share, at least in the short term.

Amazon’s successes in cloud computing have enabled significant market opportunities for •smaller “middleware” companies to serve special needs of particular user segments.

Academic life science researchers are particularly interested in conducting computation-•ally intensive modeling and simulation studies in the cloud. We can expect major growth in this sector in the next several years.

Although many bioinformatics people believe that data security is no more at risk, and •possibly less so, in the cloud than in-house, large commercial organizations are moving cautiously to protect mission-critical data and intellectual property. Pfizer’s adoption of the Amazon Virtual Private Cloud, which permits a company to extend its firewall and other security measures to the cloud, albeit at some cost in operating efficiency, exempli-fies the issue.

Smaller organizations lacking adequate computational infrastructure to meet current and •future needs are the best early candidates for extensive participation in the cloud. How-ever, recent shifts in the basic nature of big pharma R&D favor forthcoming extension to large-scale participation.

Based on our survey results, a minority of potential customers either use cloud services •routinely or are currently testing the feasibility of doing so. More either plan to enter the cloud or are considering such a plan. Virtually none of our respondents thought their organizations would most likely not get involved with cloud services.

Both commercial and academic respondents to the survey offered scalability and col-•laboration as primary motivations for cloud computing, but the academic sector is most interested in avoiding the purchase of new hardware.

Given a choice of five classes of cloud services, commercial users were most interested in •workflow management and least interested in software-as-a-service, whereas academic users were least interested in the former and most in the latter. Storage was not among the top selections for either sector.

Given a choice among preference for public, private, and hybrid clouds, both sectors •expressed significant interest in all three, although commercial users gave most support to hybrid clouds while academics gave top preference to public clouds.

Given a selection of areas of possible concern over cloud services, both sectors are most •concerned over data security (commercial users more so), and are next-most worried about reliability of cloud systems.

Regarding applications for cloud computing, commercial users gave a strong nod to next-•generation sequencing, which was also a strong preference among academics, although their top choice was modeling and simulation.

Executive Summary

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Both commercial and academic respondents anticipate major growth in data processing •and storage requirements during the next year, and even more so during the next three years; 3–5-fold increase predictions were not uncommon.

The proportion of bioinformatics budgets devoted to cloud computing in both sectors •will grow continually and strongly during the next three years.

Both commercial and academic users consider cloud computing to be a major paradigm •shift for bioinformatics, but also an evolutionary step consistent with trends to increased outsourcing.

When asked their belief about Amazon’s continuing leadership in cloud computing, most •respondents in both sectors chose “perhaps” over “agree” or “disagree.”

Survey respondents gave Google and Microsoft a better chance than HP or IBM in giv-•ing Amazon a run for its money.

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Table of Contents

ChApter 1

INTRODUCTION ............................................................................................................................ 1

1.1. Factors Driving Use of Cloud Computing in Life Sciences R&D ........................................ 1

1.2. Goals and Organization of the Report ..................................................................................... 2

ChApter 2

EVOLUTION OF CLOUD COMPUTING AND TECHNICAL BACKGROUND .................... 3

2.1. Definition of Cloud Computing ................................................................................................ 3

2.2. Evolution of Cloud Computing ................................................................................................ 4Computer Clusters ..................................................................................................................... 5

2.3. Key Concepts ............................................................................................................................. 6High-Performance Computing (HPC) ..................................................................................... 6Virtual Computing .................................................................................................................... 6Grid Computing ........................................................................................................................ 7Utility Computing ..................................................................................................................... 8MapReduce and Hadoop ........................................................................................................... 8

ChApter 3

TECHNOLOGY .............................................................................................................................. 11

3.1. Cloud Models ........................................................................................................................... 11

3.2. Services .................................................................................................................................... 12Software-as-a-Service .............................................................................................................. 12Platform-as-a-Service .............................................................................................................. 13Infrastructure-as-a-Service ...................................................................................................... 13Cloud Storage .......................................................................................................................... 13

3.3. Security .................................................................................................................................... 13

3.4. The Cloud Definition Revisited ............................................................................................. 15

3.5. Approaches of Cloud Computing Providers .......................................................................... 15Approaches of Major Players ................................................................................................... 16

Amazon Web Services...................................................................................................... 16Google .............................................................................................................................. 18

Table of Contents

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Microsoft .......................................................................................................................... 18Hewlett-Packard (HP) ..................................................................................................... 19IBM ................................................................................................................................... 20Others ............................................................................................................................... 21

Approaches of Small Companies and Specialty Players ......................................................... 21Cloudera ........................................................................................................................... 21Cycle Computing ............................................................................................................. 21Darkstrand ........................................................................................................................ 22EMC ................................................................................................................................. 22GenoLogics ....................................................................................................................... 23GenomeQuest .................................................................................................................. 23Geospiza............................................................................................................................ 24Gridcore ........................................................................................................................... 24Nirvanix ........................................................................................................................... 24Ocarina Networks ............................................................................................................ 25NVIDIA ........................................................................................................................... 25ParaScale .......................................................................................................................... 26Penguin Computing ......................................................................................................... 26Platform Computing ........................................................................................................ 26RightScale ........................................................................................................................ 27Univa UD ......................................................................................................................... 27

ChApter 4

APPLICATIONS ............................................................................................................................. 29

4.1. Next-Generation Sequencing ................................................................................................. 29

4.2. Docking Studies ....................................................................................................................... 38

4.3. -Omics Data Analysis .............................................................................................................. 41

4.4. Personalized Medicine ............................................................................................................. 41

4.5. Clinical Studies ........................................................................................................................ 42

ChApter 5

MARKET DYNAMICS ................................................................................................................... 43

5.1. Market Segmentation .............................................................................................................. 44

5.2. Service Providers ..................................................................................................................... 49

5.3. User Survey ............................................................................................................................. 51Respondents and Their Organizations .................................................................................... 51Nature of Respondents’ Work Activities ................................................................................ 52Involvement in Cloud Computing ........................................................................................ 52Reasons for Interest in Cloud Computing .............................................................................. 53Cloud Services of Greatest Interest ........................................................................................ 54Cloud-Type Preferences ........................................................................................................... 55Reasons for Concern over Public and Hybrid Clouds ............................................................ 56Applications Which Respondents Use or Supervise .............................................................. 57Likelihood That Selected Applications Will Be Run in the Cloud ....................................... 58Anticipated Increases in Data Processing and Storage Requirements ................................... 59Current and Projected Budgets for Life Sciences R&D Cloud Computing ........................... 61

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User Perceptions about Cloud Computing ............................................................................. 63User Perceptions about Companies Involved in Cloud Computing ...................................... 64

ChApter 6

INTERVIEW TRANSCRIPTS ....................................................................................................... 67

6.1. Steven Muskal, PhD, Chief Executive Officer, Eidogen-Sertanty ...................................... 67

6.2. David Dooling, PhD, Assistant Director, Informatics, The Genome Center at Washington University in St. Louis ................................................................................. 73

6.3. Giles Day, Senior Director, Biotherapeutics Informatics, Pfizer ......................................... 80

6.4. Todd Smith, PhD, Chief Science Officer, Geospiza .............................................................. 84

6.5. Ronald Ranauro, President and Chief Executive Officer, Director and Tony Flynn, Chief Marketing Officer, GenomeQuest .............................................................................. 91

6.6. Michael Schatz, Research Assistant, University of Maryland, Center for Bioinformatics and Computational Biology ................................................................................................... 96

ChApter 7

GENERAL OBSERVATIONS AND CONCLUSIONS .............................................................. 103

7.1. Issues ...................................................................................................................................... 103Cost ........................................................................................................................................ 104Moving Data Into and Out of the Cloud .............................................................................. 107Security .................................................................................................................................. 108

7.2. The Future ............................................................................................................................. 110Third-Generation Technologies ........................................................................................... 111Other Perspectives on the Future .......................................................................................... 113

7.3. Observations and Conclusions ............................................................................................. 116

referenCes

CompAny Index wIth web Addresses

survey exhIbIts

Exhibit 5.1. Cloud Computing Involvement of Commercial Respondents ......................................... 52

Exhibit 5.3. Reasons for Interest in Cloud Computing, Commercial Sector ....................................... 53

Exhibit 5.4. Reasons for Interest in Cloud Computing, Academic Sector ........................................... 54

Exhibit 5.5. Main Type of Cloud-Related Service Interest, Commercial Sector ................................. 54

Exhibit 5.6. Main Type of Cloud-Related Service Interest, Academic Sector ..................................... 55

Exhibit 5.7. Cloud-Type Interests, Commercial Sector ........................................................................ 55

Exhibit 5.8. Cloud-Type Interests, Academic Sector ............................................................................ 56

Exhibit 5.9. Reasons for Concern Over Public and Hybrid Clouds, Commercial Sector .................... 56

Exhibit 5.10. Reasons for Concern Over Public and Hybrid Clouds, Academic Sector ...................... 57

Exhibit 5.11. Applications Which Respondents Use or Supervise, Commercial Sector ..................... 57

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Exhibit 5.12. Applications Which Respondents Use or Supervise, Academic Sector ......................... 58

Exhibit 5.13. Likelihood That Applications Will Be Run in the Cloud in Next Three Years, Commercial Sector ................................................................................................................................ 58

Exhibit 5.14. Likelihood That Applications Will Be Run in the Cloud in Next Three Years, Academic Sector ..................................................................................................................................................... 59

Exhibit 5.15. Anticipated Increases in Data Processing and Storage Requirements During the Next Year, Commercial Sector ....................................................................................................................... 59

Exhibit 5.16. Anticipated Increases in Data Processing and Storage Requirements During the Next Year, Academic Sector ........................................................................................................................... 60

Exhibit 5.17. Anticipated Increases in Data Processing and Storage Requirements During the Next Three Years, Commercial Sector ........................................................................................................... 60

Exhibit 5.18. Anticipated Increases in Data Processing and Storage Requirements During the Next Three Years, Academic Sector............................................................................................................... 61

Exhibit 5.19. Proportion of Life Sciences R&D Informatics Budget Devoted to Cloud Computing, Currently and in the Coming Year; Commercial Sector....................................................................... 62

Exhibit 5.20. Proportion of Life Sciences R&D Informatics Budget Devoted to Cloud Computing in Three Years, Commercial Sector ........................................................................................................... 62

Exhibit 5.21. Proportion of Life Sciences R&D Informatics Budget Devoted to Cloud Computing, Currently and in the Coming Year; Academic Sector .......................................................................... 63

Exhibit 5.22. Proportion of Life Sciences R&D Informatics Budget Devoted to Cloud Computing in Three Years, Academic Sector............................................................................................................... 63

Exhibit 5.23. User Perceptions about Cloud Computing, Commercial Sector .................................... 64

Exhibit 5.24. User Perceptions about Cloud Computing, Academic Sector ........................................ 64

Exhibit 5.25. User Views on “I believe that Amazon Web Services will remain the market leader in life sciences R&D-based cloud computing for the foreseeable future,” Commercial Sector ................ 65

Exhibit 5.26. User Views on “I believe that Amazon Web Services will remain the market leader in life sciences R&D-based cloud computing for the foreseeable future,” Academic Sector ................... 65

Exhibit 5.27. Competitor Ratings, Commercial Sector ........................................................................ 66

Exhibit 5.28. Competitor Ratings, Academic Sector ............................................................................ 66

fIGures

Figure 4.1. Nature of the GenomeQuest Cloud-Based System for Next-Generation Sequencing ...... 35

Figure 4.2. Geospiza’s Centralized, Internet-Based Data Center Provides IT Infrastructure and System Access to Both Labs and Users .............................................................................................................. 36

Introduction

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These new modalities were already straining informatics capacity for universities and business organiza-tions when next-generation DNA sequencing came on the scene several years ago with the introduction of systems from Roche, Illumina, and Applied Biosystems. These short-segment sequencing systems rep-resented a quantum leap in the amounts of data generated and the levels of infrastructure needed to keep pace with the expectations of researchers for whom new vistas had suddenly opened.

Given the new requirements at a time when funds have grown ever more scarce, it is not surprising that many organizations find cloud computing’s attributes highly attractive. As for electricity, water, and other utilities, the cloud can be switched on or off at will, and users can go from using single servers to large clusters and back again with ease.

Driven by Amazon’s early success in providing cloud computing services to life science researchers and organizations, other companies, both large and small, have amped up their efforts to capture a piece of what may well become a very large market. As cloud computing was bursting onto the scene, pharmaceu-tical companies have come to rely increasingly on outsourcing in line with their own versions of flexible scalability. The intersection of the outsourcing trend and economic restrictions with the increasing at-tractiveness of cloud computing offerings has created a highly dynamic, yet nascent, market.

1.2. Goals and organization of the report

This report was written in an effort to provide a snapshot of the life sciences R&D cloud computing environment and market, and offer some suggestions as to where they might be heading. Following this brief introduction, the second chapter covers the evolution of cloud computing via examination of its forebear technologies, and also defines many of the terms that are important for people who are work-ing outside the informatics field to understand. Chapter 3 deals with the technological aspects of cloud computing and introduces the companies, both large and small, that are active in the field.

Chapter 4 turns to applications of cloud computing with special emphasis on next-generation DNA sequencing and its ever-increasing burden of data needing to be processed and interpreted. The fifth chapter presents a view of cloud computing from the market perspective, including competition among providers and requirements of users. The chapter concludes with results and analysis from an extensive online survey of practices and views of people active in both commercial and academic aspects of bioin-formatics.

Following Chapter 6, which contains full transcripts of interviews we conducted for this report with six individuals knowledgeable about various aspects of cloud computing, the report concludes with a chapter on general observations, conclusions, and possible future trends.

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Chapter 2 EvoluTIon of Cloud CompuTIng and TEChnICal BaCkground

We start by defining cloud computing and exploring why it has been generating so much excitement in the information technology world in general, and the life sciences in particular. Since readers of this report may not be intimately familiar with the terminology of information technology, further definitions of terms and concepts falling within the scope of cloud computing are provided. This chapter also aims to provide perspective on the evolution of cloud computing.

2.1. definition of Cloud Computing

One survey paper lists 22 definitions of cloud computing,2 albeit many with considerable overlap. In any event, it seems quite clear that the meaning of cloud computing varies in emphasis, according to who is doing the defining. A May 2009 article in Network World covers the bases quite nicely for our purposes.3 They first refer to a definition from the Gartner Group, a world-class IT consulting organization, which considers it “a style of computing in which massively scalable IT-related capabilities are provided ‘as a service’ using Internet technologies to multiple external customers.” They add: “Clouds are marked by self-service interfaces that let customers acquire resources at any time and get rid of them the instant they are no longer needed.”

Put very simply, scientific or business users who want to run sophisticated applications or store very large datasets no longer have to rely on in-house computing infrastructure. They can simply use a credit card to order hardware and software capability from a cloud services vendor (at present most likely Amazon Web Services), do their work, get their results, and release the compute resources back to the cloud. Furthermore, they can do this in many instances at an extremely attractive price.

It is worth pointing out that cloud computing is not a technology per se, but an approach to providing IT services that takes advantage of the growing power of servers together with “virtualization technolo-gies that combine many servers into large computing pools and divide single servers into multiple virtual machines that can be spun up and powered down at will.”

Cloud Computing in Life Sciences R&D

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Platform-as-a-Service

PaaS, also known as cloudware, offers a hosted computing platform that allows customers to deploy applications without having to buy and manage the required hardware and underlying software layers. Typically, PaaS provides customers with everything needed to build and deliver cloud-based applications and services. Offerings, provided as an integrated solution via the Web, include facilities for application design, development, and testing; Web service integration; database integration; security; scalability; and storage. A disadvantage of PaaS comes when offerings include proprietary service interfaces or develop-ment languages, which can interfere when users wish to switch providers.13a

Infrastructure-as-a-Service

IaaS, a term that first became popular in 2006, can be thought of as the “Swiss Army Knife” that enables utility computing. It allows customers to fully outsource provision of servers, software, data center space, and/or network equipment. Layered components typically include utility billing or service level agree-ments, an environment for running virtual machines specified by customers, computer hardware, com-puter networking (including firewalls and load balancing), and Internet connectivity.14 IaaS embodies the essence of cloud computing.

Cloud Storage

Cloud storage typically employs commodity hardware linked by software to appear as a single storage device. With the introduction of Amazon S3 (see AWS discussion below) in 2006, the cloud concept expanded to include storage. Since then, a number of companies, some already storage specialists, have introduced products and/or services in this category. Some of these offerings, especially those relevant to life sciences, are discussed in the context of specific providers later in this chapter. Cloud storage may oc-cur either in public or private clouds, but the essence remains the same, which is scaling storage capacity and performance, and providing shared access via a standard network. Cloud storage is arguably not yet suitable for business-critical data stores, such as transactional databases that drive enterprise revenues.15

3.3. security

Data security is a highly complex issue and one that was difficult for organizations to manage long before the rise of cloud computing. It is well beyond the scope of this report to examine the highly complex and esoteric technological aspects of security, both in and out of the cloud, in any detail. Rather, we will ex-amine some of the key issues that arise, together with views of some who are knowledgeable in the field.

It is fair to say that digital data is never completely secure, whether kept within a company’s computer infrastructure or dispersed on the cloud, whether stored or in play for an application. The many breaches of security in which large enterprises have lost customers’ personal information to hackers and pirates in recent years from their own “secure” infrastructure illustrate the point. Still, one might expect intuitively that data retained internally would be more secure than data residing on a public cloud, simply because in one case you retain complete control and in the other you relinquish some to the cloud vendor.

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Chapter 4 applICaTIonS

Cloud computing is still in its early days, and most life science organizations are still proceeding with caution to test feasibility and determine what kinds of applications run best in that mode. Yet, driven by continual acceleration in the rates of data generation and the desire for processor-intensive applications, these organizations continue to increase their cloud utilization and the diversity of applications they run there.

Several applications areas appear particularly suitable for cloud computing. Among these are next-gen-eration DNA sequencing, protein docking, modeling and simulation, and data mining. Areas impacted by these applications include drug discovery, personalized medicine, translational medicine, and personal genomics. Given bullish signals for the future of cloud computing in life sciences, we can expect the number and diversity of applications to increase markedly over the next five years.

4.1. next-Generation sequencing

Much of the interest and early activity in cloud computing for life sciences centers on next-generation sequencing. The quantities of data next-generation sequencers generate are staggering, demands for data processing suffer large peaks and valleys, and rapid growth in utilization requires new investment in infrastructure (especially for smaller labs just entering the field). The rapidly decreasing cost of obtaining sequence data has led to continuing increases in the number of instruments in use and the number of labs using them. Each of these factors aligns with the benefits of cloud computing. A recent paper points out that a single Illumina instrument can generate 15–20 billion bases of sequence data per run, and by the end of 2009 the figure was expected to increase to 90–95 billion bases.36 In January 2010, Illumina once again set the pace with the announcement that their forthcoming HiSeq instrument represents a 5-fold increase in data throughput. The company claims that the instrument will be able to sequence an entire human genome in about a week for approximately $10,000.

In response to growing storage needs driven by next-generation sequencing, the NIH’s National Heart, Lung, and Blood Institute (NHLBI) recently added 500 terabytes of new storage capacity, a 10-fold increase from prior levels. The Institute, which employs about 1,400 people, operates two Illumina Genome Analyzer II sequencers and plans to add a new one in each of the next two or three years.

Cloud Computing in Life Sciences R&D

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5.2. service providers

Amazon Web Services (AWS) is overwhelmingly the leader in cloud computing for life science R&D. No precise information is available regarding their revenues from cloud computing, however reports of statements made during presentations provide some insight. In March 2009, Adam Selipsky, an AWS Vice President, said in a speech given as part of the Washington [state] Technology Industry Associa-tion’s cloud computing series that in 2008 his division accounted for less than 3% of Amazon’s total revenues. He also revealed that AWS had tripled its customer base from 160,000 in 2006 to 490,000 by the end of 2008. Their largest customers, according to Selipsky, included Eli Lilly, The New York Times, ESPN, and WordPress.54

More of Selipsky’s revelations appeared around the same time in a feature article in The Guardian. He indicated that the customer base was growing at 10% per quarter, and that AWS’ S3 storage grew from around 12 billion objects (usually a single file, up to 5 GB in size) in early 2007 to around 40 billion objects “and climbing rapidly” in March 2008. That figure had grown to 52 billion by July 2009. Selipsky also indicated that smaller, newer companies tended to be early adopters since they “are more risk-toler-ant and have fewer legacy infrastructure issues.” He also indicated surprising growth among larger com-panies for mission-critical applications, and mentioned Eli Lilly for conducting basic research.54 Another report in July 2009 estimated AWS’ annual sales at $250 million–$500 million.55

A number of other large players have the potential to capture at least some market share from Amazon in coming years. IBM, Google, and Microsoft stand out as candidates, and their approaches are reviewed in Chapter 3. A host of smaller “middleware” companies, some of which were also described in Chapter 3, stand to fill the holes in larger company offerings, and these companies will no doubt continue to expand their cloud-related efforts as the field grows.

Regarding Amazon’s market leadership, the BioTeam consultancy’s Chris Dagdigian was recently quoted as saying, “Amazon Web Services is the cloud. Anybody who tries to claim otherwise is fooling them-selves or believes their own marketing. Amazon has a multiple-year head start on everybody else. Google is probably not going to catch up. Microsoft is probably not going to catch up. They probably have six months to catch up, and if they don’t do it in six months, [AWS] will rule the world.” Although others may make gains, “Amazon has been doing this long enough and they’re improving their product rapidly enough, we’re talking a multiyear head start.”16

Geospiza’s Todd Smith, PhD, made the following comments regarding competition among service pro-viders:

Insight Pharma Reports (IPR): Amazon is putting together quite a bioinformatics program. Do you think they are running away with the life sciences cloud computing market?

Market Dynamics

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exhibit 5.19. proportion of Life sciences r&d Informatics budget devoted to Cloud Com-puting, Currently and in the Coming year; Commercial sectorExhibit 5.19. Proportion of Life Sciences R&D Informatics Budget Devoted to Cloud Computing, Currently and in the Coming Year; Commercial Sector

Source: Insight Pharma Reports

0%

1-2%

3-5%

6-10%

11-20%

>20%

Current, Response %

25.0%

16.7%

25.0%

8.3%

16.7%

8.3%

0%

1-2%

3-5%

6-10%

11-20%

>20%

Coming year, Response %

0%

9.1%

36.4%

9.1%

36.4%

9.1%

Source: Insight Pharma Reports

In the one-year timeframe, commercial user responses moved upward. There were no 0% responses, but a still strong 45.5% foresee spending of 5% or less. Here, the majority (54.6%) predict spending of 6% or greater, with an impressive 36.4% indicating 11–20%. In the three-year timeframe, the proportion of spending devoted to cloud computing increases even more. More than one-quarter of respondents foresee 6–25%, and 45.5% predict more than 20% of spending will go to the cloud.

exhibit 5.20. proportion of Life sciences r&d Informatics budget devoted to Cloud Com-puting in three years, Commercial sector

0%

1-5%

6-10%

11-25%

26-50%

>50%

Response %

0.0%

27.3%

18.2%

9.1%

36.4%

9.1%Source: Insight Pharma Reports

Exhibit 5.20. Proportion of Life Sciences R&D Informatics Budget Devotedto Cloud Computing in Three Years, Commercial Sector

Source: Insight Pharma Reports

Current percent of expenditures for cloud computing in the academic sector are somewhat lower than for the commercial sector. A strong majority (62.9%) see less than 2% of their budget going to the cloud, and, of those, more than half see no cloud spending at all. Still, about one-third claim 3–10%. In one year, academic respondents foresee greater spending. Responses of 0–2% now account for only 31.4% of users, and more than half (54.3%) foresee 3–10%. Some (14.3%) foresee even more than 10% of the total going to the cloud.

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Chapter 7 gEnEral oBSErvaTIonS and ConCluSIonS

7.1. Issues

The extent to which cloud computing will eventually replace the in-house variety in life science R&D depends on the degree to which providers achieve user satisfaction in several areas. The three most im-portant areas of concern appear to be cost, data security, and transfer of data.

We asked Steven Muskal, PhD, CEO of Eidogen-Sertanty, what he considered to be the major drivers behind all the excitement that cloud computing is generating these days. He answered:

“Obviously people costs are a big issue today, as companies are contracting and trying to cut their operational costs to show higher profit. They need to have the people who remain in the company focus on things that are core competence to the company. So if you look at pharma and biopharma, let’s face it, they make money by selling their chemical substances or biologics. They’re not making money by having people code or develop software in-house, or even support the software technologies that are required in early research. So the people in IT have constantly been under the magnifying glass to see how they contribute to the organization. Indeed, they represent significant cost centers.

Many people have shown that when you start outsourcing the support and the actual cost of hardware and software, you have significant savings, certainly in the short term. As a good example, if you buy a server from someone like Dell or HP with enough horsepower, it’s going to cost $5,000–$10,000 for a fairly beefy unit. Through Web service providers, for $30 per month (depending on the horsepower and bandwidth needed), you can access a server that you would have to buy for $10,000 upfront. So you’re talking about significant savings there. Plus, it’s main-tained at someone else’s site, so you don’t have to pay for the power, Internet connection, etc. Of-ten you can get backups for an additional cost, so you don’t have to deal with that on your end. And the maintenance of the system is done by the other company, so you don’t need to have IT support staff.

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