closing disparities and opening markets in orthopedics
TRANSCRIPT
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November 28, 2011; Malcolm Vivian, Cogency Group
2415 E. Camelback Road, Suite 700Phoenix, Arizona 85016
602.553.1126www.cogencygroup.com
Closing Disparities and Opening Markets in Orthopedics
By Malcolm Vivian, Consultant
A Cogency Group White Paper
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Table of Contents
Introduction ..................................................................................................... 2
Blacks and Total Knee Replacement Disparities.............................................. 3Projecting Medicare TKR Opportunity Among Blacks ...................................... 4
Estimating Total Hip Replacement Disparities.................................................5
Extrapolating Disparities Estimates Among Latinos ........................................ 8
Conclusion...................................................................................................... 12
About Cogency Group.....................................................................................13
References...................................................................................................... 14
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Introduction
The opportunity loss of healthcare disparities can be measured in billions of dollars, and that is just in hipand knee implants. According to a 2002 Institute of Medicine report, blacks comprise one of thirteen
groups of Americans who suffer disparate healthcare despite controlling for insurance status, income,
age, education, and severity of condition.1
In May 2009 Cogency Group produced an internal report estimating the market potential of artificial
knees and hips if racial and ethnic disparities for total knee replacement and total hip replacementprocedures were closed.
We are releasing this report under all of the assumptions made in 2009 but with projection changespertinent to 2011.
The issue of healthcare disparities is as relevant today as it was two years ago, if not more. Although thisstudy is not scientific, these projections provide a compelling business case for the closure of disparities
not only in orthopedics, but in healthcare overall.
Forward thinking healthcare suppliers recognize that efforts to close disparities gaps present
opportunities to identify and penetrate new markets. The Congressional Budget Office and JointCommittee on Taxation assert that the Patient Protection and Affordable Care Act (PPACA) together with
the Health Care Education and Reconciliation Act of 2010 will reduce the number uninsured by
approximately 32 million people.2 In light of increased access to healthcare services through healthcarereform, the need for supplier participation in the dialogue on disparities closure has gained a new level of
urgency.
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Blacks and Total Knee Replacement Disparities
According to a study published by the Centers for Disease Control (CDC) in February 2009, 45% of U.S.
adults might be at risk for developing symptomatic knee osteoarthritis during their lifetimes. While all
Americans are equally at risk for this disabling condition, the percentage of black Medicare enrolleesreceiving hospitalization for total knee replacement (TKR) is significantly lower than the percentage of
blacks enrolled in Medicare (see tables 1 and 2).
The combined population of Medicare enrollees, between whites and blacks, is slightly over 36.6 million.
Whites make up 88.5% of this total. Blacks make up 11.5% (see table 1).
Table 1. Percentage/totals Medicare enrollees between whites/blacks
Race Medicare enrollees
by race white/black only3
Percentage of Medicare enrollees
by race white/black only
White 32,435,218 88.51*
Black 4,211,844 11.49Total 36,647,062 100
Like many other healthcare services, reports indicate that racial disparities in TKR procedures persist even
after adjusting for access to clinical care.4
Table 2 Percentage/totals Medicare TKRs between whites/blacks
Race Medicare TKR
recipients by race in
2006 white/blackonly5
Percentage of Medicare TKR
recipients by race in 2006
white/black only
White 226,829 94.72Black 12,656 5.28**
Total 239,485 100
In an ideal world where racial disparities do not exist in healthcare, specifically in orthopedics, the
percentage of Medicare TKRs between whites and blacks would equal Medicare enrollment percentages.Racial disparities in TKRs have revealed a significant opportunity loss nearly 17,000 new patients for
2006 equivalent to an opportunity loss of over $87 million (see table 3).
*0.885070077 0.114929923 In 2004, 17% of Medicare enrollees were members of managed care organizations they were not included in the CDCs TKR
analysis. Only Medicare enrollees aged 65 are included. Partial knee replacements were not included in the analysis theyrepresent 8% of all knee replacement procedures. 0.947153266** 0.052846734
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Table 3. White/black Medicare TKRs equivalent to Medicare enrollment and associated black
opportunity loss, 2006
Race Ideal percentage of
Medicare TKRs -equal to white/black
Medicare enrollment
- 2006
Ideal Medicare TKR
recipients by race equal to white/black
Medicare enrollment
- 2006
Opportunity
loss inpatients
Opportunity loss in
dollars
White 88.51 226,829 n/a n/a
Black 11.49 29,455 16,799 $87,354,800
Total 100 256,284 16,799 $87,354,800
Projecting Medicare TKR Opportunity Among Blacks
Studies estimate that TKRs will increase 673% by 2030.6 Between whites and blacks, this percentageincrease with disparities unchanged would result in over 1.8 million TKR patients (see table 4).
Table 4. White/black Medicare TKRs projections, 2030
Race Percentage of Medicare
TKRs by race
white/black only - 2006
Medicare TKRs by
race white/black
only - 2006
Projected Medicare
TKRs by race
white/black only - 2030
White 94.72 226,829 1,753,388
Black 5.28 12,656 97,831
Total 100 239,485 1,851,219
With this projected increase in TKR procedures, closed disparities in the year 2030 alone would reveal a
market potential of nearly 130,000 new patients and over $675 million (see table 5).
Table 5. White/black Medicare TKR projections equivalent to Medicare enrollment and
associated black opportunity loss, 2030
Race Percentage of
Medicare TKRs -
equal to white/black
Medicare enrollment
Ideal Projected
Medicare TKRs -
equal to
white/black
Medicareenrollment - 2030
Market
potential
in
patients
Market
potential in
dollars
White 88.51 1,753,388 n/a n/a
Black 11.49 227,685 129,854 $675,240,800
Total 100 1,981,073 129,854 $675,240,800
Average price of knee at $5200 TKR projections are being applied to CDC Medicare TKR figures
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Racial disparities that have persisted since 2006 to the present are estimated to have resulted in anopportunity loss of over 150,000 patients and $804 million (see table 6).
Table 6. - White/black Medicare TKR estimates equivalent to Medicare enrollment andassociated black opportunity loss, 2007 - 2011
TKR Opportunity Loss Since 2006 - Blacks Year Ideal patient estimate
equal to Medicare
enrollment
Actual no.
patients
Opportunity loss
in patients
Opportunity loss
in dollars
2007 37,714 16,205 21,509 $111,846,800
2008 45,974 19,754 26,220 $136,344,000
2009 54,233 23,303 30,930 $160,836,000
2010 62,493 26,852 35,641 $185,333,200
2011 70,753 30,401 40,352 $209,830,400
Total Opportunity Loss 154,652 $804,190,400
If the disparities gap were closed today, a market of nearly 275,000 patients and $1.5 billion could berealized between now and 2016 (see table 7).
Table 7. - White/black Medicare TKR projections equivalent to Medicare enrollment andassociated black market potential, 2012 - 2016
Projected TKR Market Potential Through 2016 - Blacks
Year Ideal patient projection
equal to Medicare
enrollment
Actual
patient
projection
Market potential in
patients
Market potential in
dollars
2012 79,012 33,950 45,062 $234,322,400
2013 87,272 37,499 49,773 $258,819,600
2014 95,531 41,048 54,483 $283,311,600
2015 103,791 44,597 59,194 $307,808,800
2016 112,050 48,146 63,904 $332,300,800
Total Projected Opportunity 272,416 $1,416,563,200
Estimating Total Hip Replacement Disparities
An article published inArthritis and Rheumatismreported that after initial treatment for hip and/or knee
pain, only 3% of blacks ultimately consulted an orthopedic surgeon while 15% of whites did.7 This studyasserts that despite equal access to healthcare services through Medicare, blacks were less likely to have
total hip replacement procedure (THR) due to not knowing others from their social network that have hada THR, resulting in a lower perception of benefit.8
Study participants were asked whether they knew of someone who had surgery for hip or knee pain and,
if they did, whether they thought the surgery had helped this person. 25% of blacks reported knowing
someone who had surgery for hip pain, compared with 57% of whites.9
The CDC has not carried out a study on racial disparities among Medicare THR patients. Nevertheless, an
analysis of Medicare beneficiaries showed that whites were more likely than blacks to have this
procedure.10According to findings published by the Center for Health Equity Research and Promotion,black veterans were more likely than white veterans to respond no when asked whether they would be
willing to consider hip replacement surgery if their pain were to worsen and their doctor recommended
it.11
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In developing an estimate for Medicare THR disparities absent a formal study, it was necessary to first
estimate the number of Medicare THRs based on the percentage difference between all TKRs and THRs
performed. In 2006, there were approximately 57% less THRs than TKRs. Applying this percentagedifference to Medicare TKRs specifically, we can arrive at an estimate of Medicare THRs (see table 8).
From there, Medicare TKR disparity rates were applied to the Medicare THR estimate and associated
opportunity loss and market potential were calculated (see tables 8 to 13).
Table 8. - Percentage/totals Medicare THR estimates between whites/blacks
Race Estimated Medicare THR
recipients by race
white/black only - 2006
Percentage of Medicare TKR
recipients by race
white/black only - 2006
White 96,674 94.72
Black 5,394 5.28
Total 102,068 100
As with Medicare TKRs, in an ideal world where racial disparities do not exist in healthcare, the
percentage of Medicare THRs between whites and blacks would equal Medicare enrollment percentages.Erasing disparities in THRs reveals significant market potential over 7,000 new patients for 2006
equivalent to an opportunity loss of nearly $40 million (see table 9).
Table 9. - White/black Medicare THR estimates equivalent to Medicare enrollment and associated
black opportunity loss, 2006
Race Ideal percentage
Medicare THRs -
equal to white/black
Medicare enrollment -2006
Ideal Medicare THRs
- equal to
white/black
Medicare enrollment- 2006
Opportunity
loss in
patients
Opportunity
loss in
dollars
White 88.51 96,674 n/a n/a
Black 11.49 12,554 7,160 $39,380,000
Total 100 109,228 7,160 $39,380,000
Studies estimate that THRs will increase by 174% by 2030 resulting in nearly 280,000 patients betweenwhites and blacks12 (see table 10). This data allows us to project future market potential and estimate
current opportunity loss.***
Table 10. - White/black Medicare THR estimate projections, 2030
Race Percentage of TKRs
for Medicare enrolleesby race - white/black
only - 2006
Projected THRs for
Medicare by race white/black only -
2030
White 94.72 264,888Black 5.28 14,779
Total 100 279,667
Average price of hip at $5500*** THR projections are being applied to THR estimates listed.
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Closed THR disparities would reveal a market potential of over 19,000 patients and nearly $108 million in2030 (see table 11).
Table 11. - White/black Medicare THR estimate projections equivalent to Medicare enrollment andassociated black opportunity loss, 2030
Race Ideal percentage ofTKRs equal towhite/black
Medicare enrollment
Projected idealMedicare THRs white/black only -
2030
Marketpotential inpatients
Market potential indollars
White 88.51 264,888 n/a n/a
Black 11.49 34,397 19,618 $107,899,000
Total 100 299,285 19,618 $107,899,000
Racial disparities in Medicare THRs that have persisted since 2006 are estimated to have resulted in a
total opportunity loss of over 43,000 patients and $239 million (see table 12).
Table 12. - White/black Medicare THR estimates equivalent to Medicare
enrollment and associated black opportunity loss, 2007 - 2011
THR Opportunity Loss Since 2006 - Blacks
Year Ideal no.patients
Actual no.patients
Opportunityloss in patients
Opportunity loss indollars
2007 13,464 5,785 7,679 $42,234,500
2008 14,374 6,176 8,198 $45,089,000
2009 15,284 6,567 8,717 $47,943,500
2010 16,194 6,958 9,236 $50,798,000
2011 17,104 7,349 9,755 $53,652,500
Total Opportunity Loss 43,585 $239,717,500
If the THR disparities gap were closed for blacks today, a market of over $311 million and 56,000
patients could be realized between now and 2016 (see table 13).
Table 13. - White/black Medicare THR estimate projections equivalent to Medicareenrollment and associated black market potential, 2012 - 2016
Projected THR Market Potential Through 2016 - Blacks
Year Ideal no.
patients
Actual no.
patients
Market potential
in patients
Market potential in
dollars
2012 18,014 7,740 10,274 $56,507,000
2013 18,924 8,131 10,793 $59,361,500
2014 19,835 8,522 11,313 $62,221,500
2015 20,745 8,914 11,831 $65,070,500
2016 21,655 9,305 12,350 $67,925,000
Total Projected Opportunity 56,561 $311,085,500
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Extrapolating Disparities Estimates Among Latinos
The CDC report on Medicare TKR disparities did not provide data on Latinos because of concerns of
potential underreporting. Nevertheless, the report did provide an overall total of Medicare TKR
procedures, which assists in extrapolating estimate data on Latinos.
The difference between the overall Medicare TKR total and white/black Medicare TKR total was compared
with the difference between the overall Medicare population, where percentages of Latino and otherenrollees are specified, as well as the white/black Medicare total. The percentage of Latino Medicare
enrollees from the total of Latino/other Medicare enrollees was calculated; approximately 61%. This
percentage was then applied to the difference between overall Medicare TKRs and the white/black totalof Medicare TKRs. The resulting calculation provided an estimate of Latino Medicare TKRs - approx. 5,300
in 2006. This estimate unfortunately points to further disparities. With the need for TKRs being equal
across ethnic and racial groups, based on this estimate, Latino Medicare TKRs represent only 2.1% of thetotal while Latinos make up 7.3% of the Medicare population (see tables 14 and 15).
Table 14. - Percentage/totals Medicare enrollees between whites/blacks/Latinos
Ethnicgroup/race
Medicare enrollees byrace
white/black/Latino only13
Percentage of Medicareenrollees by race
white/black/Latino only
Latino(estimate)
2,887,003 7.30
White, black 36,647,062 92.70
Total 39,534,065 100
Table 15. - Percentage/totals Medicare TKR estimates between whites/blacks/Latinos
Ethnic
group/race
Medicare TKR recipients
by race
white/black/Latino only
Percentage of Medicare TKR
recipients
Latino 5,364 2.19
White, black 239,485 97.81****
Total 244,849 100
0.0730257060.9269742940.021906891****0.978093109
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Based on the estimated disparity, there was an opportunity loss of over 13,000 patients and $70 millionin 2006 (see table 16).
Table 16. - White/black/Latino Medicare TKR estimates equivalent to Medicare enrollment andassociated Latino opportunity loss, 2006
Ethnicgroup/race Ideal Medicare TKRs equal towhite/black/Latino
Medicare enrollment
Ideal number ofMedicare TKRs byrace
white/black/Latino
- 2006
Opportunityloss inpatients
Opportunityloss indollars
Latino 7.30 18,866 13,502 $70,210,400
White, black 92.70 239,485 n/a n/a
Total 100 258,351 13,502 $70,210,400
Based on the projected increase of TKR procedures of 673% by 2030, the need for these procedures forLatinos would result in a market potential of 104,373 patients and nearly $543 million in 2030 alone (see
table 17).
Table 17. - White/black/Latino Medicare TKR estimate projections equivalent to Medicare enrollment and associated
Latino opportunity loss, 2030
Ethnicgroup/race
Ideal percentage ofTKRs - equal to
white/black/Latino
Medicare
enrollment
Projected idealMedicare TKRs
white/black/Latino
only - 2030
Projected MedicareTKRs
white/black/Latino
only - 2030
Opportunityloss in
patients
Opportunityloss in dollars
Latino 7.30 145,836 41,463 104,373 $542,739,600
White, black 92.70 1,851,219 1,851,219 n/a n/a
Total 100 1,997,055 1,892,682 104,373 $542,739,600
Disparities left unaddressed among Latinos between 2006 and 2011 are estimated to have resulted in anopportunity loss of over 124,000 patients and nearly $647 million (see table 18).
Table 18. - White/black/Latino Medicare TKR estimates equivalent to
Medicare enrollment and associated Latino opportunity loss, 2007 - 2011
TKR Opportunity Loss Since 2006 - Latinos
Year Ideal no.patients
Actual nopatients
Opportunityloss in patients
Opportunityloss in dollars
2007 24,157 6,868 17,289 89,902,800
2008 29,447 8,372 21,075 109,590,000
2009 34,738 9,876 24,862 129,282,400
2010 40,028 11,380 28,648 148,969,600
2011 45,318 12,884 32,434 168,656,800Total Opportunity Loss 124,308 $646,401,600
If the TKR disparities gap for Latinos were closed today, the resulting market potential between 2012 and
2016 is estimated to be over $1.1 billion (see table 19).
Does not include previously calculated ideal number of black Medicare TKRs
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Table 19. - White/black/Latino Medicare TKR projections equivalent to
Medicare enrollment and associated Latino market potential, 2012 - 2016
Projected TKR Market Potential Through 2016 - Latinos
Year Ideal no.
patients
Actual no.
patients
Market potential
in patients
Market potential
in dollars
2012 50,609 14,389 36,220 $188,344,000
2013 55,899 15,893 40,006 $208,031,200
2014 61,190 17,397 43,793 $227,723,600
2015 66,480 18,901 47,579 $247,410,800
2016 71,770 20,405 51,365 $267,098,000
Total Projected Opportunity 218,963 $1,138,607,600
A study in the journal Medical Careconcluded that Latinos with Medicare receive THRs at lower rates
than do non-Latinos. Because of the availability of Medicare coverage, the studys authors suggest thatunder utilization of THR by Latinos cannot be attributed to lack of health insurance alone.14
Below are estimates of THR disparities among Latinos along with future projections, associatedopportunity loss, and market potential (see tables 20-24).
Table 20. - Percentage/totals Medicare THR estimates between whites/blacks/Latinos 2006
Ethnicgroup/race
Estimated Medicare THRrecipients
white/black/Latino only- 2006
Estimated percentage of MedicareTKR recipients
white/black/Latino only - 2006
Latino (estimate) 2,286 2.19
White, black 102,068 97.81
Total 104,354 100
The THR disparities gap for Latinos in 2006 reveals an opportunity loss of nearly 6,000 patients and over
$31.5 million (see table 21).
Table 21. - White/black/Latino Medicare THR estimates equivalent to Medicare enrollment andassociated Latino opportunity loss, 2006
Ethnic
group/race
Estimated adjusted
percentage ofMedicare THR
recipients equal
to white/black/
Latino Medicareenrollment
Estimated
adjustednumber of
Medicare
THRs
white/black/Latino only -
2006
Estimated
opportunity lossin patients
Estimated
opportunityloss in dollars
Latino 7.30 8,041 5,755 $31,652,500
White, black 92.70 102,068 n/a n/a
Total 100 110,109 5,755 $31,652,500
Based on projections of THR procedures increasing by 174% by 2030, the disparities gap for Latinos
reveals a market potential of over 15,000 patients and nearly $87 million in 2030 (see table 22).
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Table 22. - White/black/Latino Medicare THR projections equivalent to Medicare enrollment and
associated Latino opportunity loss, 2030
Ethnic
group/race
Adjusted
percentage of THRs- equal to
white/black/Latino
Medicareenrollment
Projected Ideal
Medicare THRs white/black/Latino
- 2030
Projected Medicare
THR recipients byethnic group/race
2030
Opportunity
loss inpatients
Opportunity
loss indollars
Latino 7.30 22,032 6,264 15,768 $86,724,000
White, black 92.70 279,667 279,667 n/a n/a
Total 100 301,699 285,931 15,768 $86,724,000
Based on these estimates, prevailing disparities since 2006 for THR procedures for Latinos have resulted
in an opportunity loss of over 35,000 patients and nearly $193 million (see table 23).
Table 23. - White/black/Latino Medicare THR estimates equivalent to
Medicare enrollment and associated Latino opportunity loss, 2007 - 2011
THR Opportunity Loss Since 2006 - Latinos Year Ideal no.
patients
Actual no.
patients
Opportunity
loss in patients
Opportunity loss
in dollars
2007 8,624 2,452 6,172 $33,946,000
2008 9,207 2,618 6,589 $36,239,500
2009 9,790 2,783 7,007 $38,538,500
2010 10,373 2,949 7,424 $40,832,000
2011 10,956 3,115 7,841 $43,125,500
Total Opportunity Loss 35,033 $192,681,500
The market potential for Latino THR procedures are estimated to exceed 45,000 patients and $250million through 2016 if the disparities gap were closed (see table 24).
Table 24. - White/black/Latino Medicare THR projections equivalent toMedicare enrollment and associated Latino market potential, 2012 - 2016
Projected THR Market Potential Through 2016 - Latinos
Year Ideal no.
patients
Actual no.
patients
Market potential
in patients
Market potential
in dollars
2012 11,539 3,281 8,258 $45,419,000
2013 12,122 3,446 8,676 $47,718,000
2014 12,704 3,612 9,092 $50,006,000
2015 13,287 3,778 9,509 $52,299,500
2016 13,870 3,943 9,927 $54,598,500
Total Projected Opportunity 45,462 $250,041,000
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Conclusion
Racial and ethnic minorities accounted for 90% of the growth in the U.S. population over the past
decade.15 Minorities are expected to become the majority in 2042, with the nation projected to be 54%minority in 2050. By 2023, minorities will comprise more than half of all children.16
The total market potential for TKR and THR procedures for blacks and Latinos with disparities gaps closedbetween 2012 and 2016 exceeds $3 billion (see table 25). This market potential, coupled with the reality
of minority population trends, calls for healthcare suppliers to develop strategies to confront the
healthcare disparities issue head on.
Table 25. Market potential summary for black and Latino TKR/THR procedures
Disparities in Orthopedics Market Potential Summary, 2012-2016
TKR Blacks $1,416,563,200
THR Blacks $311,085,500
TKR Latinos $1,138,607,600
THR Latinos $250,041,000
Total $3,116,297,300
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About Cogency Group
Cogency Group, Inc. is a professional development company specializing in an integrative approach to
leadership development, strategic capabilities, and sales training, driving breakthrough performance forcorporations and individuals through education, coaching, and consulting.
In the area ofsalesforce training and development, we enable companies to build sales capabilitiesthrough leadership development, executive coaching, and sales force training and development. We work with
clients to identify critical sales issues, recommend and develop solutions, and execute solutions. Utilizing an
intense process, role plays and practice sessions, we enable participants to improve skills and change their
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The extensive background and experience of our Principals equips Cogency Group to successfully deliver
outstanding results to our clients. Our CEO leads the firm as a Principal Consultant and is responsible for all
sales-related projects. He has over 30 years experience in sales and has been a Vice President of Sales with a
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situations.
Our COO has responsibility for operational matters and is a Principal Consultant on strategy and strategic
thinking projects and issues. She has a Masters degree from Stanford and over 20 years business experience,
much of that in consulting and organizational effectiveness with major companies including The Coca-Cola Co.,McDonalds Corp. and McKinsey & Company. She has consulted internally and externally with CEOs, Vice
Presidents, and Business Unit Leaders to develop strategic solutions and build skills in dynamic and competitive
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Cogency Group belongs to a network of independent sales consulting organizations and experts which enables
us to scale appropriately for each job. We have the experience, expertise and expandability to meet theindividual needs of our clients.
The Cogency Group ApproachWe strive to understand our clients from the inside out. We have a passion for what we do and how we do it.
Cogency Group takes an individualized and tailored approach to addressing the needs of our clients. There are
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References
1 Dykes, Daryll C. MD, PhD, et al. Communication for All of Your Patients, ICL #307 Handout. American Academy of OrthopaedicSurgeons, 2009. 19 Mar. 2009.2
Health Care Estimates for March 2010 Health Care Legislation. Congressional Budget Office Health Care. 15 Sep. 2011.3 Distribution of Medicare Enrollees by Race/Ethnicity, states (2006-2007), U.S. (2007). State Health Facts.org Kaiser FamilyFoundation. 18 Mar. 2009 .4 Cisternas, M.G. MA, et al. Racial Disparities in Total Knee Replacement Among Medicare Enrollees--United States, 2000-2006.
Morbidity and Mortality Weekly Report - Centers for Disease Control and Prevention. 58(06); 133-138. 20 Feb. 2009 18 Mar. 20095 Ibid.6 Kurtz, Steven PhD, et al. Projections of Primary Revision Hip and Knee Arthroplasty in the United States from 2005 to 2030. TheJournal of Bone and Joint Surgery. 89; 780-785 1 Apr. 2007 22 Apr. 2009.7 Blake, Valerie, et al. Racial Differences in Social Network Experience and Perceptions of Benefit of Arthritis Treatments AmongNew York City Medicare Beneficiaries With Self Reported Hip and Knee Pain. Arthritis and Rheumatism (Arthritis Care andResearch) - American College of Rheumatology. 47.4; 366-371. 15 Aug. 2002 21 Mar. 2009.8 Ibid.9Ibid.
10 Baron, John A., et al. Total Hip Arthroplasty: Use and Select Complications in the U.S. Medicare Population. American Journal ofPublic Health. 86.1; 70-72. Jan. 1996 22 Mar. 2009.
11 Ibrahim, Said A. MD, MPH and Kwoh, C. Kent MD. Opportunities for Understanding Disparities in Joint Replacement Surgery.Center for Health Equity Research and Promotion Policy Brief - VA HSR&D Center of Excellence. 1.2 Dec. 2003 22 Mar. 2009.12Kurtz, Steven PhD, et al. Projections of Primary Revision Hip and Knee Arthroplasty in the United States from 2005 to 2030. The
Journal of Bone and Joint Surgery. 89; 780-785 1 Apr. 2007 22 Apr. 2009.13 Distribution of Medicare Enrollees by Race/Ethnicity, states (2006-2007), U.S. (2007). 2007. State Health Facts.org Kaiser
Family Foundation. 18 Mar. 2009 .14 Escalante, Agustin MD, et al. Disparity in Total Hip Replacement Affecting Hispanic Medicare Beneficiaries. Medical Care. 40.6;451-460. Jun. 2002 23 Mar. 2009.15 Census Data Show Hispanic Boom; Blacks Leave Cities for South, Suburbs. PBS Newshour (transcript). 24 Mar. 2011 15 Sep.
2011 .16 Bernstein, Robert, et. al. An Older and More Diverse Nation by Midcentury. U.S. Census Bureau News. 14 Aug. 2008 15 Sep.2011 .