closing disparities and opening markets in orthopedics

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    November 28, 2011; Malcolm Vivian, Cogency Group

    2415 E. Camelback Road, Suite 700Phoenix, Arizona 85016

    602.553.1126www.cogencygroup.com

    Closing Disparities and Opening Markets in Orthopedics

    By Malcolm Vivian, Consultant

    A Cogency Group White Paper

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    November 28, 2011; Malcolm Vivian, Cogency Group

    Table of Contents

    Introduction ..................................................................................................... 2

    Blacks and Total Knee Replacement Disparities.............................................. 3Projecting Medicare TKR Opportunity Among Blacks ...................................... 4

    Estimating Total Hip Replacement Disparities.................................................5

    Extrapolating Disparities Estimates Among Latinos ........................................ 8

    Conclusion...................................................................................................... 12

    About Cogency Group.....................................................................................13

    References...................................................................................................... 14

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    Introduction

    The opportunity loss of healthcare disparities can be measured in billions of dollars, and that is just in hipand knee implants. According to a 2002 Institute of Medicine report, blacks comprise one of thirteen

    groups of Americans who suffer disparate healthcare despite controlling for insurance status, income,

    age, education, and severity of condition.1

    In May 2009 Cogency Group produced an internal report estimating the market potential of artificial

    knees and hips if racial and ethnic disparities for total knee replacement and total hip replacementprocedures were closed.

    We are releasing this report under all of the assumptions made in 2009 but with projection changespertinent to 2011.

    The issue of healthcare disparities is as relevant today as it was two years ago, if not more. Although thisstudy is not scientific, these projections provide a compelling business case for the closure of disparities

    not only in orthopedics, but in healthcare overall.

    Forward thinking healthcare suppliers recognize that efforts to close disparities gaps present

    opportunities to identify and penetrate new markets. The Congressional Budget Office and JointCommittee on Taxation assert that the Patient Protection and Affordable Care Act (PPACA) together with

    the Health Care Education and Reconciliation Act of 2010 will reduce the number uninsured by

    approximately 32 million people.2 In light of increased access to healthcare services through healthcarereform, the need for supplier participation in the dialogue on disparities closure has gained a new level of

    urgency.

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    Blacks and Total Knee Replacement Disparities

    According to a study published by the Centers for Disease Control (CDC) in February 2009, 45% of U.S.

    adults might be at risk for developing symptomatic knee osteoarthritis during their lifetimes. While all

    Americans are equally at risk for this disabling condition, the percentage of black Medicare enrolleesreceiving hospitalization for total knee replacement (TKR) is significantly lower than the percentage of

    blacks enrolled in Medicare (see tables 1 and 2).

    The combined population of Medicare enrollees, between whites and blacks, is slightly over 36.6 million.

    Whites make up 88.5% of this total. Blacks make up 11.5% (see table 1).

    Table 1. Percentage/totals Medicare enrollees between whites/blacks

    Race Medicare enrollees

    by race white/black only3

    Percentage of Medicare enrollees

    by race white/black only

    White 32,435,218 88.51*

    Black 4,211,844 11.49Total 36,647,062 100

    Like many other healthcare services, reports indicate that racial disparities in TKR procedures persist even

    after adjusting for access to clinical care.4

    Table 2 Percentage/totals Medicare TKRs between whites/blacks

    Race Medicare TKR

    recipients by race in

    2006 white/blackonly5

    Percentage of Medicare TKR

    recipients by race in 2006

    white/black only

    White 226,829 94.72Black 12,656 5.28**

    Total 239,485 100

    In an ideal world where racial disparities do not exist in healthcare, specifically in orthopedics, the

    percentage of Medicare TKRs between whites and blacks would equal Medicare enrollment percentages.Racial disparities in TKRs have revealed a significant opportunity loss nearly 17,000 new patients for

    2006 equivalent to an opportunity loss of over $87 million (see table 3).

    *0.885070077 0.114929923 In 2004, 17% of Medicare enrollees were members of managed care organizations they were not included in the CDCs TKR

    analysis. Only Medicare enrollees aged 65 are included. Partial knee replacements were not included in the analysis theyrepresent 8% of all knee replacement procedures. 0.947153266** 0.052846734

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    Table 3. White/black Medicare TKRs equivalent to Medicare enrollment and associated black

    opportunity loss, 2006

    Race Ideal percentage of

    Medicare TKRs -equal to white/black

    Medicare enrollment

    - 2006

    Ideal Medicare TKR

    recipients by race equal to white/black

    Medicare enrollment

    - 2006

    Opportunity

    loss inpatients

    Opportunity loss in

    dollars

    White 88.51 226,829 n/a n/a

    Black 11.49 29,455 16,799 $87,354,800

    Total 100 256,284 16,799 $87,354,800

    Projecting Medicare TKR Opportunity Among Blacks

    Studies estimate that TKRs will increase 673% by 2030.6 Between whites and blacks, this percentageincrease with disparities unchanged would result in over 1.8 million TKR patients (see table 4).

    Table 4. White/black Medicare TKRs projections, 2030

    Race Percentage of Medicare

    TKRs by race

    white/black only - 2006

    Medicare TKRs by

    race white/black

    only - 2006

    Projected Medicare

    TKRs by race

    white/black only - 2030

    White 94.72 226,829 1,753,388

    Black 5.28 12,656 97,831

    Total 100 239,485 1,851,219

    With this projected increase in TKR procedures, closed disparities in the year 2030 alone would reveal a

    market potential of nearly 130,000 new patients and over $675 million (see table 5).

    Table 5. White/black Medicare TKR projections equivalent to Medicare enrollment and

    associated black opportunity loss, 2030

    Race Percentage of

    Medicare TKRs -

    equal to white/black

    Medicare enrollment

    Ideal Projected

    Medicare TKRs -

    equal to

    white/black

    Medicareenrollment - 2030

    Market

    potential

    in

    patients

    Market

    potential in

    dollars

    White 88.51 1,753,388 n/a n/a

    Black 11.49 227,685 129,854 $675,240,800

    Total 100 1,981,073 129,854 $675,240,800

    Average price of knee at $5200 TKR projections are being applied to CDC Medicare TKR figures

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    Racial disparities that have persisted since 2006 to the present are estimated to have resulted in anopportunity loss of over 150,000 patients and $804 million (see table 6).

    Table 6. - White/black Medicare TKR estimates equivalent to Medicare enrollment andassociated black opportunity loss, 2007 - 2011

    TKR Opportunity Loss Since 2006 - Blacks Year Ideal patient estimate

    equal to Medicare

    enrollment

    Actual no.

    patients

    Opportunity loss

    in patients

    Opportunity loss

    in dollars

    2007 37,714 16,205 21,509 $111,846,800

    2008 45,974 19,754 26,220 $136,344,000

    2009 54,233 23,303 30,930 $160,836,000

    2010 62,493 26,852 35,641 $185,333,200

    2011 70,753 30,401 40,352 $209,830,400

    Total Opportunity Loss 154,652 $804,190,400

    If the disparities gap were closed today, a market of nearly 275,000 patients and $1.5 billion could berealized between now and 2016 (see table 7).

    Table 7. - White/black Medicare TKR projections equivalent to Medicare enrollment andassociated black market potential, 2012 - 2016

    Projected TKR Market Potential Through 2016 - Blacks

    Year Ideal patient projection

    equal to Medicare

    enrollment

    Actual

    patient

    projection

    Market potential in

    patients

    Market potential in

    dollars

    2012 79,012 33,950 45,062 $234,322,400

    2013 87,272 37,499 49,773 $258,819,600

    2014 95,531 41,048 54,483 $283,311,600

    2015 103,791 44,597 59,194 $307,808,800

    2016 112,050 48,146 63,904 $332,300,800

    Total Projected Opportunity 272,416 $1,416,563,200

    Estimating Total Hip Replacement Disparities

    An article published inArthritis and Rheumatismreported that after initial treatment for hip and/or knee

    pain, only 3% of blacks ultimately consulted an orthopedic surgeon while 15% of whites did.7 This studyasserts that despite equal access to healthcare services through Medicare, blacks were less likely to have

    total hip replacement procedure (THR) due to not knowing others from their social network that have hada THR, resulting in a lower perception of benefit.8

    Study participants were asked whether they knew of someone who had surgery for hip or knee pain and,

    if they did, whether they thought the surgery had helped this person. 25% of blacks reported knowing

    someone who had surgery for hip pain, compared with 57% of whites.9

    The CDC has not carried out a study on racial disparities among Medicare THR patients. Nevertheless, an

    analysis of Medicare beneficiaries showed that whites were more likely than blacks to have this

    procedure.10According to findings published by the Center for Health Equity Research and Promotion,black veterans were more likely than white veterans to respond no when asked whether they would be

    willing to consider hip replacement surgery if their pain were to worsen and their doctor recommended

    it.11

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    In developing an estimate for Medicare THR disparities absent a formal study, it was necessary to first

    estimate the number of Medicare THRs based on the percentage difference between all TKRs and THRs

    performed. In 2006, there were approximately 57% less THRs than TKRs. Applying this percentagedifference to Medicare TKRs specifically, we can arrive at an estimate of Medicare THRs (see table 8).

    From there, Medicare TKR disparity rates were applied to the Medicare THR estimate and associated

    opportunity loss and market potential were calculated (see tables 8 to 13).

    Table 8. - Percentage/totals Medicare THR estimates between whites/blacks

    Race Estimated Medicare THR

    recipients by race

    white/black only - 2006

    Percentage of Medicare TKR

    recipients by race

    white/black only - 2006

    White 96,674 94.72

    Black 5,394 5.28

    Total 102,068 100

    As with Medicare TKRs, in an ideal world where racial disparities do not exist in healthcare, the

    percentage of Medicare THRs between whites and blacks would equal Medicare enrollment percentages.Erasing disparities in THRs reveals significant market potential over 7,000 new patients for 2006

    equivalent to an opportunity loss of nearly $40 million (see table 9).

    Table 9. - White/black Medicare THR estimates equivalent to Medicare enrollment and associated

    black opportunity loss, 2006

    Race Ideal percentage

    Medicare THRs -

    equal to white/black

    Medicare enrollment -2006

    Ideal Medicare THRs

    - equal to

    white/black

    Medicare enrollment- 2006

    Opportunity

    loss in

    patients

    Opportunity

    loss in

    dollars

    White 88.51 96,674 n/a n/a

    Black 11.49 12,554 7,160 $39,380,000

    Total 100 109,228 7,160 $39,380,000

    Studies estimate that THRs will increase by 174% by 2030 resulting in nearly 280,000 patients betweenwhites and blacks12 (see table 10). This data allows us to project future market potential and estimate

    current opportunity loss.***

    Table 10. - White/black Medicare THR estimate projections, 2030

    Race Percentage of TKRs

    for Medicare enrolleesby race - white/black

    only - 2006

    Projected THRs for

    Medicare by race white/black only -

    2030

    White 94.72 264,888Black 5.28 14,779

    Total 100 279,667

    Average price of hip at $5500*** THR projections are being applied to THR estimates listed.

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    Closed THR disparities would reveal a market potential of over 19,000 patients and nearly $108 million in2030 (see table 11).

    Table 11. - White/black Medicare THR estimate projections equivalent to Medicare enrollment andassociated black opportunity loss, 2030

    Race Ideal percentage ofTKRs equal towhite/black

    Medicare enrollment

    Projected idealMedicare THRs white/black only -

    2030

    Marketpotential inpatients

    Market potential indollars

    White 88.51 264,888 n/a n/a

    Black 11.49 34,397 19,618 $107,899,000

    Total 100 299,285 19,618 $107,899,000

    Racial disparities in Medicare THRs that have persisted since 2006 are estimated to have resulted in a

    total opportunity loss of over 43,000 patients and $239 million (see table 12).

    Table 12. - White/black Medicare THR estimates equivalent to Medicare

    enrollment and associated black opportunity loss, 2007 - 2011

    THR Opportunity Loss Since 2006 - Blacks

    Year Ideal no.patients

    Actual no.patients

    Opportunityloss in patients

    Opportunity loss indollars

    2007 13,464 5,785 7,679 $42,234,500

    2008 14,374 6,176 8,198 $45,089,000

    2009 15,284 6,567 8,717 $47,943,500

    2010 16,194 6,958 9,236 $50,798,000

    2011 17,104 7,349 9,755 $53,652,500

    Total Opportunity Loss 43,585 $239,717,500

    If the THR disparities gap were closed for blacks today, a market of over $311 million and 56,000

    patients could be realized between now and 2016 (see table 13).

    Table 13. - White/black Medicare THR estimate projections equivalent to Medicareenrollment and associated black market potential, 2012 - 2016

    Projected THR Market Potential Through 2016 - Blacks

    Year Ideal no.

    patients

    Actual no.

    patients

    Market potential

    in patients

    Market potential in

    dollars

    2012 18,014 7,740 10,274 $56,507,000

    2013 18,924 8,131 10,793 $59,361,500

    2014 19,835 8,522 11,313 $62,221,500

    2015 20,745 8,914 11,831 $65,070,500

    2016 21,655 9,305 12,350 $67,925,000

    Total Projected Opportunity 56,561 $311,085,500

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    Extrapolating Disparities Estimates Among Latinos

    The CDC report on Medicare TKR disparities did not provide data on Latinos because of concerns of

    potential underreporting. Nevertheless, the report did provide an overall total of Medicare TKR

    procedures, which assists in extrapolating estimate data on Latinos.

    The difference between the overall Medicare TKR total and white/black Medicare TKR total was compared

    with the difference between the overall Medicare population, where percentages of Latino and otherenrollees are specified, as well as the white/black Medicare total. The percentage of Latino Medicare

    enrollees from the total of Latino/other Medicare enrollees was calculated; approximately 61%. This

    percentage was then applied to the difference between overall Medicare TKRs and the white/black totalof Medicare TKRs. The resulting calculation provided an estimate of Latino Medicare TKRs - approx. 5,300

    in 2006. This estimate unfortunately points to further disparities. With the need for TKRs being equal

    across ethnic and racial groups, based on this estimate, Latino Medicare TKRs represent only 2.1% of thetotal while Latinos make up 7.3% of the Medicare population (see tables 14 and 15).

    Table 14. - Percentage/totals Medicare enrollees between whites/blacks/Latinos

    Ethnicgroup/race

    Medicare enrollees byrace

    white/black/Latino only13

    Percentage of Medicareenrollees by race

    white/black/Latino only

    Latino(estimate)

    2,887,003 7.30

    White, black 36,647,062 92.70

    Total 39,534,065 100

    Table 15. - Percentage/totals Medicare TKR estimates between whites/blacks/Latinos

    Ethnic

    group/race

    Medicare TKR recipients

    by race

    white/black/Latino only

    Percentage of Medicare TKR

    recipients

    Latino 5,364 2.19

    White, black 239,485 97.81****

    Total 244,849 100

    0.0730257060.9269742940.021906891****0.978093109

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    Based on the estimated disparity, there was an opportunity loss of over 13,000 patients and $70 millionin 2006 (see table 16).

    Table 16. - White/black/Latino Medicare TKR estimates equivalent to Medicare enrollment andassociated Latino opportunity loss, 2006

    Ethnicgroup/race Ideal Medicare TKRs equal towhite/black/Latino

    Medicare enrollment

    Ideal number ofMedicare TKRs byrace

    white/black/Latino

    - 2006

    Opportunityloss inpatients

    Opportunityloss indollars

    Latino 7.30 18,866 13,502 $70,210,400

    White, black 92.70 239,485 n/a n/a

    Total 100 258,351 13,502 $70,210,400

    Based on the projected increase of TKR procedures of 673% by 2030, the need for these procedures forLatinos would result in a market potential of 104,373 patients and nearly $543 million in 2030 alone (see

    table 17).

    Table 17. - White/black/Latino Medicare TKR estimate projections equivalent to Medicare enrollment and associated

    Latino opportunity loss, 2030

    Ethnicgroup/race

    Ideal percentage ofTKRs - equal to

    white/black/Latino

    Medicare

    enrollment

    Projected idealMedicare TKRs

    white/black/Latino

    only - 2030

    Projected MedicareTKRs

    white/black/Latino

    only - 2030

    Opportunityloss in

    patients

    Opportunityloss in dollars

    Latino 7.30 145,836 41,463 104,373 $542,739,600

    White, black 92.70 1,851,219 1,851,219 n/a n/a

    Total 100 1,997,055 1,892,682 104,373 $542,739,600

    Disparities left unaddressed among Latinos between 2006 and 2011 are estimated to have resulted in anopportunity loss of over 124,000 patients and nearly $647 million (see table 18).

    Table 18. - White/black/Latino Medicare TKR estimates equivalent to

    Medicare enrollment and associated Latino opportunity loss, 2007 - 2011

    TKR Opportunity Loss Since 2006 - Latinos

    Year Ideal no.patients

    Actual nopatients

    Opportunityloss in patients

    Opportunityloss in dollars

    2007 24,157 6,868 17,289 89,902,800

    2008 29,447 8,372 21,075 109,590,000

    2009 34,738 9,876 24,862 129,282,400

    2010 40,028 11,380 28,648 148,969,600

    2011 45,318 12,884 32,434 168,656,800Total Opportunity Loss 124,308 $646,401,600

    If the TKR disparities gap for Latinos were closed today, the resulting market potential between 2012 and

    2016 is estimated to be over $1.1 billion (see table 19).

    Does not include previously calculated ideal number of black Medicare TKRs

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    Table 19. - White/black/Latino Medicare TKR projections equivalent to

    Medicare enrollment and associated Latino market potential, 2012 - 2016

    Projected TKR Market Potential Through 2016 - Latinos

    Year Ideal no.

    patients

    Actual no.

    patients

    Market potential

    in patients

    Market potential

    in dollars

    2012 50,609 14,389 36,220 $188,344,000

    2013 55,899 15,893 40,006 $208,031,200

    2014 61,190 17,397 43,793 $227,723,600

    2015 66,480 18,901 47,579 $247,410,800

    2016 71,770 20,405 51,365 $267,098,000

    Total Projected Opportunity 218,963 $1,138,607,600

    A study in the journal Medical Careconcluded that Latinos with Medicare receive THRs at lower rates

    than do non-Latinos. Because of the availability of Medicare coverage, the studys authors suggest thatunder utilization of THR by Latinos cannot be attributed to lack of health insurance alone.14

    Below are estimates of THR disparities among Latinos along with future projections, associatedopportunity loss, and market potential (see tables 20-24).

    Table 20. - Percentage/totals Medicare THR estimates between whites/blacks/Latinos 2006

    Ethnicgroup/race

    Estimated Medicare THRrecipients

    white/black/Latino only- 2006

    Estimated percentage of MedicareTKR recipients

    white/black/Latino only - 2006

    Latino (estimate) 2,286 2.19

    White, black 102,068 97.81

    Total 104,354 100

    The THR disparities gap for Latinos in 2006 reveals an opportunity loss of nearly 6,000 patients and over

    $31.5 million (see table 21).

    Table 21. - White/black/Latino Medicare THR estimates equivalent to Medicare enrollment andassociated Latino opportunity loss, 2006

    Ethnic

    group/race

    Estimated adjusted

    percentage ofMedicare THR

    recipients equal

    to white/black/

    Latino Medicareenrollment

    Estimated

    adjustednumber of

    Medicare

    THRs

    white/black/Latino only -

    2006

    Estimated

    opportunity lossin patients

    Estimated

    opportunityloss in dollars

    Latino 7.30 8,041 5,755 $31,652,500

    White, black 92.70 102,068 n/a n/a

    Total 100 110,109 5,755 $31,652,500

    Based on projections of THR procedures increasing by 174% by 2030, the disparities gap for Latinos

    reveals a market potential of over 15,000 patients and nearly $87 million in 2030 (see table 22).

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    Table 22. - White/black/Latino Medicare THR projections equivalent to Medicare enrollment and

    associated Latino opportunity loss, 2030

    Ethnic

    group/race

    Adjusted

    percentage of THRs- equal to

    white/black/Latino

    Medicareenrollment

    Projected Ideal

    Medicare THRs white/black/Latino

    - 2030

    Projected Medicare

    THR recipients byethnic group/race

    2030

    Opportunity

    loss inpatients

    Opportunity

    loss indollars

    Latino 7.30 22,032 6,264 15,768 $86,724,000

    White, black 92.70 279,667 279,667 n/a n/a

    Total 100 301,699 285,931 15,768 $86,724,000

    Based on these estimates, prevailing disparities since 2006 for THR procedures for Latinos have resulted

    in an opportunity loss of over 35,000 patients and nearly $193 million (see table 23).

    Table 23. - White/black/Latino Medicare THR estimates equivalent to

    Medicare enrollment and associated Latino opportunity loss, 2007 - 2011

    THR Opportunity Loss Since 2006 - Latinos Year Ideal no.

    patients

    Actual no.

    patients

    Opportunity

    loss in patients

    Opportunity loss

    in dollars

    2007 8,624 2,452 6,172 $33,946,000

    2008 9,207 2,618 6,589 $36,239,500

    2009 9,790 2,783 7,007 $38,538,500

    2010 10,373 2,949 7,424 $40,832,000

    2011 10,956 3,115 7,841 $43,125,500

    Total Opportunity Loss 35,033 $192,681,500

    The market potential for Latino THR procedures are estimated to exceed 45,000 patients and $250million through 2016 if the disparities gap were closed (see table 24).

    Table 24. - White/black/Latino Medicare THR projections equivalent toMedicare enrollment and associated Latino market potential, 2012 - 2016

    Projected THR Market Potential Through 2016 - Latinos

    Year Ideal no.

    patients

    Actual no.

    patients

    Market potential

    in patients

    Market potential

    in dollars

    2012 11,539 3,281 8,258 $45,419,000

    2013 12,122 3,446 8,676 $47,718,000

    2014 12,704 3,612 9,092 $50,006,000

    2015 13,287 3,778 9,509 $52,299,500

    2016 13,870 3,943 9,927 $54,598,500

    Total Projected Opportunity 45,462 $250,041,000

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    Conclusion

    Racial and ethnic minorities accounted for 90% of the growth in the U.S. population over the past

    decade.15 Minorities are expected to become the majority in 2042, with the nation projected to be 54%minority in 2050. By 2023, minorities will comprise more than half of all children.16

    The total market potential for TKR and THR procedures for blacks and Latinos with disparities gaps closedbetween 2012 and 2016 exceeds $3 billion (see table 25). This market potential, coupled with the reality

    of minority population trends, calls for healthcare suppliers to develop strategies to confront the

    healthcare disparities issue head on.

    Table 25. Market potential summary for black and Latino TKR/THR procedures

    Disparities in Orthopedics Market Potential Summary, 2012-2016

    TKR Blacks $1,416,563,200

    THR Blacks $311,085,500

    TKR Latinos $1,138,607,600

    THR Latinos $250,041,000

    Total $3,116,297,300

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    About Cogency Group

    Cogency Group, Inc. is a professional development company specializing in an integrative approach to

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    We will be with you through every phase of the engagement as a confidant and guide. Our goal is for yourorganization to emerge stronger and more effective. Our role is supportive and includes the appropriate level

    of hands-on involvement balanced with behind the scenes support. You are in charge while we turn limits intoleverage.

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    References

    1 Dykes, Daryll C. MD, PhD, et al. Communication for All of Your Patients, ICL #307 Handout. American Academy of OrthopaedicSurgeons, 2009. 19 Mar. 2009.2

    Health Care Estimates for March 2010 Health Care Legislation. Congressional Budget Office Health Care. 15 Sep. 2011.3 Distribution of Medicare Enrollees by Race/Ethnicity, states (2006-2007), U.S. (2007). State Health Facts.org Kaiser FamilyFoundation. 18 Mar. 2009 .4 Cisternas, M.G. MA, et al. Racial Disparities in Total Knee Replacement Among Medicare Enrollees--United States, 2000-2006.

    Morbidity and Mortality Weekly Report - Centers for Disease Control and Prevention. 58(06); 133-138. 20 Feb. 2009 18 Mar. 20095 Ibid.6 Kurtz, Steven PhD, et al. Projections of Primary Revision Hip and Knee Arthroplasty in the United States from 2005 to 2030. TheJournal of Bone and Joint Surgery. 89; 780-785 1 Apr. 2007 22 Apr. 2009.7 Blake, Valerie, et al. Racial Differences in Social Network Experience and Perceptions of Benefit of Arthritis Treatments AmongNew York City Medicare Beneficiaries With Self Reported Hip and Knee Pain. Arthritis and Rheumatism (Arthritis Care andResearch) - American College of Rheumatology. 47.4; 366-371. 15 Aug. 2002 21 Mar. 2009.8 Ibid.9Ibid.

    10 Baron, John A., et al. Total Hip Arthroplasty: Use and Select Complications in the U.S. Medicare Population. American Journal ofPublic Health. 86.1; 70-72. Jan. 1996 22 Mar. 2009.

    11 Ibrahim, Said A. MD, MPH and Kwoh, C. Kent MD. Opportunities for Understanding Disparities in Joint Replacement Surgery.Center for Health Equity Research and Promotion Policy Brief - VA HSR&D Center of Excellence. 1.2 Dec. 2003 22 Mar. 2009.12Kurtz, Steven PhD, et al. Projections of Primary Revision Hip and Knee Arthroplasty in the United States from 2005 to 2030. The

    Journal of Bone and Joint Surgery. 89; 780-785 1 Apr. 2007 22 Apr. 2009.13 Distribution of Medicare Enrollees by Race/Ethnicity, states (2006-2007), U.S. (2007). 2007. State Health Facts.org Kaiser

    Family Foundation. 18 Mar. 2009 .14 Escalante, Agustin MD, et al. Disparity in Total Hip Replacement Affecting Hispanic Medicare Beneficiaries. Medical Care. 40.6;451-460. Jun. 2002 23 Mar. 2009.15 Census Data Show Hispanic Boom; Blacks Leave Cities for South, Suburbs. PBS Newshour (transcript). 24 Mar. 2011 15 Sep.

    2011 .16 Bernstein, Robert, et. al. An Older and More Diverse Nation by Midcentury. U.S. Census Bureau News. 14 Aug. 2008 15 Sep.2011 .