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  • 7/27/2019 Clinical Trials to Estimate the Efficacy of Preventive

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    This Provisional PDF corresponds to the article as it appeared upon acceptance. Fully formattedPDF and full text (HTML) versions will be made available soon.

    Clinical trials to estimate the efficacy of preventive interventions against malariain paediatric populations: a methodological review

    Malaria Journal 2009, 8:23 doi:10.1186/1475-2875-8-23

    Vasee S Moorthy ([email protected])Zarifah Reed ([email protected])

    Peter G Smith ([email protected])

    ISSN 1475-2875

    Article type Review

    Submission date 13 October 2008

    Acceptance date 10 February 2009

    Publication date 10 February 2009

    Article URL http://www.malariajournal.com/content/8/1/23

    This peer-reviewed article was published immediately upon acceptance. It can be downloaded,printed and distributed freely for any purposes (see copyright notice below).

    Articles in Malaria Journal are listed in PubMed and archived at PubMed Central.

    For information about publishing your research in Malaria Journal or any BioMed Central journal, goto

    http://www.malariajournal.com/info/instructions/

    For information about other BioMed Central publications go to

    http://www.biomedcentral.com/

    Malaria Journal

    2009 Moorthy et al. , licensee BioMed Central Ltd.This is an open access article distributed under the terms of the Creative Commons Attribution License (http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/2.0),

    which permits unrestricted use, distribution, and reproduction in any medium, provided the original work is properly cited.

    mailto:[email protected]:[email protected]:[email protected]://www.malariajournal.com/content/8/1/23http://www.malariajournal.com/info/instructions/http://www.biomedcentral.com/http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/2.0http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/2.0http://www.biomedcentral.com/http://www.malariajournal.com/info/instructions/http://www.malariajournal.com/content/8/1/23mailto:[email protected]:[email protected]:[email protected]
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    Clinicaltrialstoestimatetheefficacyofpreventiveinterventionsagainstmalariainpaediatric

    populations:amethodologicalreview

    VaseeSMoorthy*1,2

    ,ZarifahReed2

    ,PeterGSmith3

    1NuffieldDepartmentofClinicalMedicine,JohnRadcliffeHospital,Oxford,OX39DU,UK

    2InitiativeforVaccineResearch,WorldHealthOrganization,20AvenueAppia,1211Geneva27,

    Switzerland.

    3LondonSchoolofHygieneandTropicalMedicine,London,WC1E7HT,UK.

    *Correspondingauthor

    Emailaddresses:

    VaseeMoorthy:[email protected]

    ZarifahReed:[email protected]

    PeterSmith:[email protected]

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    Abstract

    Background

    Recentyearshaveseenpublicationofaconsiderablenumberofclinicaltrialsofpreventiveinterventions

    againstclinicalmalariainchildren.Therehasbeenvariabilityinthespecificationofend-points,case

    definitions,analysismethodsandreportingandtherelativelackofstandardizationcomplicatestheability

    tomakecomparativeevaluationsbetweentrials.

    Methods

    ToprepareforaWHOconsultationondesignissuesinmalariavaccinetrials,controlledtrialsof

    preventiveinterventionsagainstmalariainchildreninendemiccountrieswereidentifiedinwhichclinical

    malaria,ordeath,hadbeenoneofthemainend-points.Trialswereincludedthatevaluatedtheimpactof

    vaccines,insecticide-treatedbednets(ITN),intermittentpresumptiveorpreventivetherapyininfants

    (IPTi)or,inoneinstance,vitaminAsupplementation.Methodsthathadbeenusedinthesetrialswere

    summarizedandcomparedinordertoidentifyissuesthatweredirectlyrelevanttothedesignofmalaria

    vaccinetrials.

    Results

    29controlledtrialsofpreventivemalariainterventionswereidentified,ofwhicheightwerevaccinetrials.

    Vaccinetrialsthatweredesignedtodetectaneffectonclinicalmalariaallreportedtheincidencerateof

    firstepisodesofclinicalmalariaastheirprimaryendpoint.Onlyonetrialofapreventiveintervention(of

    ITN)wasidentifiedthatwasdesignedtodetectaneffectonseveremalaria.Agroupoflargertrialswere

    designedtodetectaneffectofimpregnatedbednetsorcurtainsonall-causemortalityastheprimaryend-

    point.Keymethodologicalandreportingdifferencesbetweentrialsarenotedinthetext.Twoissueshave

    beenidentifiedthatareofsomeconcern.Firstly,thechoiceofprimaryendpointisnotstatedinthe

    reportsofanumberofthetrialsand,secondly,therelationshipbetweenpre-specifiedanalysisplansand

    trialreportsisrarelymadeclear.

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    Conclusions

    Thisarticlereportsaninvestigationintothewaysinwhichtrialdesignandreportingcouldbeimproved

    andstandardizedtoenablecomparativeevaluationoftherelativemeritsofmalariacontrolmeasures,and

    specificallywithrespecttothedesignofmalariavaccinetrials.Theneedforstandardizationofclinical

    trialdesign,conduct,analysisandreportinghasbeenalsoaffirmedasapriorityareabytheMalaria

    VaccineTechnologyRoadmap.

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    Background

    Thedevelopmentanddeploymentofnewandimprovedinterventionmethodsformalariacontrolshows

    promisingsignsofreducingsignificantlytheglobalburdenofmalaria.However,thesearchformore

    effectivecontrolmethodsstillhasveryhighpriority.Controlledtrialsremainessentialfortherigorous

    assessmentofthepotentialimpactofnewtoolsandstrategiestoreducemorbidityandmortalitycaused

    bymalaria.Inrecentyears,therehavebeenaconsiderablenumberofrandomizedcontrolledtrialsof

    newmalariainterventionsdirectedatchildren,includingtrialsevaluatingcandidatemalariavaccines,

    insecticide-treatedbednets(ITN)andintermittentpresumptiveorpreventivetherapyininfants(IPTi).

    Theappropriatechoicesoftheprimaryend-pointsinsuchtrialsandthemeasurementmethodsare

    prerequisitesfortheproperevaluationoftheinterventions.Theend-pointsandmeasurementmethods

    mustallowcomparabilityoftheperformanceofthesameinterventionindifferentlocationsandage

    groupsandovertimeatthesamelocation.Inaddition,thecomparabilityofperformanceofalternate

    controlmeasures,orcombinationsofmeasures,reliesonstandardizedmethodsofassessment.

    ToprepareforaWorldHealthOrganization(WHO)consultationondesignissuesinmalariavaccine

    trials,themethodsthathavebeenusedinreportedmalariapreventiveinterventiontrialstoestimate

    efficacyagainstclinicalmalariaandrelatedend-pointswerereviewedandthestrengthsandweaknesses

    ofthedifferentapproachesweresummarized.Theaimistoprovidearesourceforthoseplanningclinical

    trialsofpreventivemalariainterventions.Thetargetaudienceisclinicaltrialists,statisticiansandother

    technicalpersonnel.Acompanionpaper,resultingfromaWHOconsultationontheissues,wasdirected

    atpolicymakers,fundersandregulators[1].

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    Methods

    Identificationofstudies

    Reportsoftrialspublishedbetween1990and2007evaluatingtheimpactofpreventivemalaria

    interventionswereidentified(specificallyvaccines,impregnatedbednetsandIPTi).Trialreportswere

    foundprimarilythroughPubMeddatabasesearches.Papersweresoughtusingthefollowingsearchterms:

    malariavaccin*,malariavaccines[MeSH],(malariaorinsecticide-treatedorimpregnatedorpyreth*or

    deltamethr*)and(bednetorbednetormosquitonetorcurtain),malariaipti,malariaintermittenttherapy

    infants,malariapresumptivetherapyinfants,malariapreventivetherapyinfants,malariapreventive

    clinicaltrial.Furthertrialswereidentifiedthroughthereferencesofretrievedarticles.Inaddition,

    investigatorsresponsibleforthedesignandanalysisofclinicaltrialsofpreventiveinterventionsagainst

    malariawereinterviewedaspartofaWHOconsultationprocessondesignofphase3trialsofmalaria

    vaccines.Eachintervieweewasaskedtoidentifyfurthereligiblestudies.Dataontrialmethodsand

    reportingforeachstudywereextractedintotablesandaresummarized[seeadditionalfile1].

    Eligibilitycriteria

    Paperswereincludediftheyreportedrandomizedcontrolledtrialsofpreventivemalariainterventions

    withaprimaryorsecondaryobjectivestatedastheestimationofefficacyagainstclinicalmalaria,severe

    malariaorall-causemortality.Trialswereexcluded,tocoincidewiththeintendedscopeofthereview,if

    theywereconductedinadultpopulationsorinareasofunstablemalariatransmission(i.e.annual

    entomologicalinoculationrate

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    causemortality.Sixtrials,allofinsecticide-treatedbednetsorcurtains,wereclusterrandomized.The

    other23wereindividuallyrandomized.

    Choiceoftheprimaryend-point

    Thetrialscouldbeclassifiedbroadlyintotwogroups.Thelargestgroupconsistedoftrialsdesigned

    primarilytodetectaneffectonclinicalmalaria.Insomeofthesebothclinicalmalariaandanaemiaare

    describedasefficacymeasuresinthesametrial.Inseveraltrials,itwasnotpossibletoidentifywhethera

    singleprimaryend-pointhadbeenspecifiedamongstseveralend-pointsthatwereostensiblyreportedas

    co-primaries.

    Theothergroupoftrials,allofITNs,werethosedesignedtodetectaneffectonall-causemortality.

    Severemalariawasaprimaryoutcomemeasureinonlyonetrial[2].

    Clinicalmalariaasaprimaryend-point

    Allmalariavaccinetrials[3-8]andseveraltrialsofIPTi[9-15],whosestatedmainobjectivewasthe

    estimationofefficacyagainstclinicalmalaria,hadastheirprimaryend-pointtheincidencerateofthe

    firstepisodeofmalaria(timetofirstoronlyepisodeofmalaria).Forthisend-point,followingentryinto

    thetrial,onlythefirstepisodeofclinicalmalariaforeachchildcontributestowardsthecalculationofthe

    malariaincidencerate.Episodesofthediseaseafterthefirstareignored.Eachchildcontributesavariable

    amountoftimeatrisktothedenominatorfortheratecalculation,fromthebeginningoftheefficacy

    follow-upperiod(i.e.fromfirstvaccinationforintentiontotreatanalysesandgenerally14daysfrom

    finalvaccinationforaccordingtoprotocolanalyses)untiltheonsetofthefirstepisodeofmalariaorthe

    endofthefollow-upperiod(whicheveristheshorter).Thepointestimateofefficacyiscalculatedas1-

    (incidencerateratio)orbyusingCoxproportionalhazardsregressionmodelsorPoissonregression

    models,ifadjustmentforotherfactorsisnecessary.Theuseofsuchtime-to-first-eventanalyseshas

    beencommoninevaluatingpreventiveinterventionsagainstmalaria,unlikeinsomestudiesofother

    infectiousdiseases[16-19].Methodssuchasthesethatallowvariablefollow-uptimebetweenindividuals

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    tobetakenintoaccountaregenerallyacceptedtobepreferableforfieldefficacytrials.Asimple

    comparisonoftheratioofproportionsinfectedremainsthemethodofchoiceforartificialchallengetrials;

    hereequalfollow-uptimeforeachindividualisareasonableassumption.However,theutilityoftime-

    to-first-eventanalysesforpublichealthpolicymakershasbeenquestionedasitisarguedthatitdoesnot

    measuretheoverallburdenofmalaria,whichincludessecondandsubsequentepisodesinthesame

    individual.

    Analternativeend-pointfortrialsdesignedtoexaminetheoverallimpactagainstclinicalmalariaisthe

    rateofallepisodesofmalaria.Onlyonetrialwasidentifiedreportingmultipleepisodesofmalariaasits

    primaryend-point[20].Forthisend-point,thetotalnumberofmalariaepisodesarecounted,including

    multipleepisodesinthesamechild,usingarulefortheminimumnumberofdaysbetweenepisodesto

    distinguishanewepisodefromacontinuationofthepreviousone(usually28daysbutdependenton

    thechemotherapyused).Insometrialsmolecularmarkershavealsobeenusedtodistinguishrecurrences

    fromnewinfections.Thisend-pointmaybeofmorerelevancetopublichealththanonebaseduponthe

    firstoronlyepisodeofclinicalmalaria.However,theanalysisofdataincludingmultipleepisodesinthe

    samechildisnotstraightforwardasmultipleepisodesarenotindependentevents.Thatis,onceachild

    hashadoneepisode,thechildismorelikelytohaveanotherepisode,foravarietyofreasons,thanachild

    whohasneverhadanepisode.Thus,attacksofmalariatendtoclusterwithinindividuals.Complex

    modelsareneededtoanalysethesesortsofdata,onwhichthereisstillnotaconsensusandonwhich

    furthermethodologicalresearchisrequired.Todate,uneaseaboutthisissueseemstohaveinhibitedthe

    useofthisasaprimaryend-pointinmosttrials.ArecentWHOconsultationhighlightedtheneedforan

    explanatorydocument,outliningthemeritsanddisadvantagesofthedifferentapproachestomeasurement

    ofefficacyagainstclinicalmalariainpreventiveinterventiontrials[21].Draftingofsuchadocumentis

    underway.

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    Whatisclinicalmalaria?Definingwhatconstitutesanepisodeofclinicalmalariaisnot

    straightforwardinareasinwhichthediseaseishighlyendemic.Insuchareas,atanyonetime,a

    significantproportionofchildreninacommunitymayhavemalariaparasitesintheirblood.Manywill

    beasymptomaticandotherswillhavesymptomsconsistentwithmalaria.Insomeofthislattergroupthe

    symptomsmaybedirectlyattributabletomalariabut,becausemalariasymptomsarenotspecifictothe

    illness,inothersthesymptomsmaybeduetoanotherconditionandthemalariaparasitesintheirblood

    aremerelycoincidental.Ingeneral,thehigherthebloodparasiteload,themorelikelyitisthatthe

    symptomsareduetomalaria.Thus,inpreventivetrials,itiscommonpracticetodefineclinicalmalariaas

    beingpresentinthosewhohavesymptomsandsignsconsistentwithmalariaandwhoalsohaveadensity

    ofparasitesintheirbloodgreaterthansomespecifiedlevel.Choiceoftheappropriateminimalparasite

    densitylevel(cut-off)fordefiningmalariawilldependupontheendemicityofmalariainthestudyarea.

    Forexample,inareaswheremalariaisrelativelyuncommon,thefindingofanymalariaparasitesinthe

    bloodofsomeonepresentingtoahealthfacilitywithfeverprovidesasensitiveandspecificdiagnosisof

    thedisease.Formalariaendemicareas,Smithetal[22]devisedamethodforcalculatingthesensitivities,

    specificitiesandmalariaattributablefractionofdifferentparasitedensitycut-offs,usingbaselinedataon

    theprevalenceofdifferentlevelsofparasitedensitymeasuredinchildreninthecommunitynot

    presentingwithmalariasymptoms.Tochoosetheappropriatecut-offlevelinaspecificinterventiontrial,

    itisimportantthatthedatausedforderivingthislevelarefromthesameepidemiologicalsettingasthe

    interventiontrial(includingage,transmissionintensity,healthcarefacilitiesandinteractionwithstudy

    staff).Thisisoftennotspecifiedinthereportsoftrials.

    Inrecentmalariavaccinetrialsinchildren,efficacyestimatesusingdifferentparasitedensitycut-offs,in

    thesametrial,havebeenpresented.Casedefinitionswithlowerspecificity(lowerparasitecut-offlevels)

    shouldtheoreticallyyieldlowerpointestimatesofefficacy.Curiously,thisexpectedeffecthasnotbeen

    seengenerallyinthetrialsreviewed.Furtherresearchintothisissueiswarranted.Also,itwouldaid

    interpretationifthesensitivitiesandspecificitiesofthevariouscasedefinitionsandparasitedensitycut-

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    offsused,asderivedbytheSmithetalmethod,werepresentedinpublicationsofinterventiontrials.This

    hasgenerallynotbeendone.

    AdifferentapproachtodefiningclinicalmalariawasusedinanITNtrialperformedinCtedIvoire[23].

    Inthistrial,eachparticipantwasregularlytestedforthelevelofmalariaparasitesintheirblood.Each

    childwasthenassignedaprobabilityofhavingsufferedanepisodeofclinicalmalariainagivenperiod,

    accordingtothehighestparasitedensityrecordedduringthatperiod,theprobabilitybeingdetermined

    usingalogisticregressionapproach.Thesumoftheprobabilitiesacrossindividualswastakenasthetotal

    episodesofmalariainthegroup.Foranalysispurposes,onlyoneepisodewasincludedwithinanysix-

    weekperiod.Whilethisapproachdoesnotgoasfarasavoidinganyestimationofincidenceofmalariaat

    theindividuallevel(ashasbeenproposedasapossibility[24,25]),thisstudydoesmoveawayfrom

    classifyingoutcomesinanindividualchildinasimplebinaryway.

    Anothermeasureofclinicalmalariawasusedinatrialofintermittentpreventivetherapywith

    sulphadoxine/pyrimethamine(SP)andironsupplementationperformedinKenya[26].Theanalysiswas

    basedontheriskratherthantherateofmalaria.Thus,thenumberofcasesofmalariawasdividedbythe

    numberofchildrenatriskratherthanbytheperson-timeatrisk.

    Useofpre-treatment.Intrialsofmalariavaccines,anassessmenthascommonlybeenmadeofthe

    effectofthevaccineontheincidenceofparasitaemiaaswellasonclinicalmalaria.Theformerhasbeen

    measuredbytakingrepeatedbloodsmearsfromsomechildrenfollowingvaccination.Inordertobeable

    tomeasurenewinfections,inmosttrials,anti-malarialtreatmenthasbeengivenpriortovaccinationto

    clearasexualparasitaemia.Thus,infiveoutofeightmalariavaccineefficacytrialsinchildren,

    participantsweretreatedformalariaatthestartofthetrial.Asixthtrialusedamodiaquine/SPpre-

    treatmentinaseparatecohort,whereonlyanti-infectionefficacydatawasgenerated[7].Inonetrial,

    therewasadoublerandomization(byvaccinevscontrolandpre-treatmentvsnopre-treatment)to

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    examinetheimpactofpre-treatmentonvaccineefficacy[27].Althoughthenumbersweresmallinthis

    study,andtheprimaryend-pointwasparasitedensity,therewasamarkedsterilizingeffectofSPpre-

    treatmentforseveralweeksintothefollow-upperiod,suchthatefficacycouldnotbedeterminedinthe

    pre-treatmentgroup.EpidemiologicalstudiesinKisumu(unpublished)andMali[28]havebeenconducted

    inchildrentoestimatethedurationofeffectofartemether/lumefantrineandSP,respectively,ontimeto

    clinicalmalaria.Inthelatterstudy,SPpre-treatmentdelayedthemediantimetofirstclinicalepisode

    from38daysto68days.Thedatanowavailablesuggestthatpre-treatmentofvaccinetrialparticipants

    mayhavecomplexeffectsofunpredictabledurationonobservedvaccineefficacy.Thus,itmaybe

    appropriatetorestrictpre-treatmenttotrialswheretimetoinfectionistheprimaryend-point.Wherepre-

    treatmentisused,itmaybeamajorcomplicatingfactorforinterpretationofmorbidityend-points.

    Surveillancemethods.Allmalariavaccinetrialsinchildrenpublishedtodatehaveincludedsomeform

    ofactivecasedetection(ACD)foratleastsometrialparticipants.Twotrials[3,7]usedactive

    surveillanceinonegroupandpassivecasedetection(PCD)onlyinothergroup(s)inthesamestudy.In

    oneofthestudycohortsinthestudyofAlonsoetal[7]thescheduledinteractionbetweenstudystaffand

    participantsduringtheefficacyfollow-upperiodwaslessthanforanyothercohortinthevaccinestudies

    identified.Participantswerevisitedathomeonceamonthtoestablishpresenceinthestudyareaandto

    recordanyunreportedseriousadverseeventsbutthevisitsdidnotinvolvemalariamorbiditysurveillance.

    Clinicalmalariaepisodes,identifiedonlybychildrenpresentingataclinic,arethereforelikelytohave

    beenmoresevere,onaverage,thanthoseexperiencedinothervaccinetrialsinwhichactivecase

    detectionwasemployed.Theclinicalmalariacasesidentifiedinthisstudyarelikelytoaccordmore

    closelytothoseencounteredinnormalhealthpracticeinthestudyareaand,therefore,itmightbeargued

    thatthetrialresultswillbemorerelevanttopublichealth.

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    Thecriteriausedtotriggerthetakingofabloodsmeartoassessforapossibleclinicalmalariaepisode

    variedfromtrialtotrial.Thisalsoaffectsinterpretationofefficacyresults.Thus,theresultsoftrialsmust

    beinterpretedinthelightofthecasedetectionsystemsused.

    Insometrials,bothACDandPCDwereusedtodetectclinicalmalariacasesandefficacyresultswere

    reportedforcasesdetectedbyeachofthesemethods[3].Withsuchdualsurveillancetheseverityofthe

    clinicalmalariadetectedbyPCDislikelytobelesssevere,onaverage,thaniftherehadbeennoACD.

    Intrialswherethechoiceoftheend-pointisdesignedtoapproximatewhatmighthappenintheusual

    healthcaresystemtheuseofACDshouldbeavoided.Monthlyvisitstotrialparticipantsforpurelysafety

    informationwouldappeartobeanappropriatelevelofinteractionforstudiesplanningPCDonly

    surveillance.

    Bloodsmearmethods.Therearethreemethodsforcalculatingparasitedensitythathavebeen

    employedinpublishedinterventiontrials.Firstly,reading100or200highpowerfields,withthe

    assumptionthatthevolumeofeachhighpowerfieldis1/500l.Secondly,anassumptionthatthetotal

    whitecellcountis8,000/landreadingto200whitebloodcells.Thirdly,acalculationofwhitecellcount

    individuallyandthenreadingto200WBC,withadjustmentusingthecalculatedcount.Itisdifficultto

    comparetheresultsofstudiesinwhichdifferentcountingmethodshavebeenused.Standardizationon

    onemethodisdesirableforaccuracy,precisionandtoaidcomparisonsoftheresultsindifferenttrialsand

    isessentialforamulti-sitelicensuretrial.Doublereadingofallbloodsmearsforefficacyend-pointsis

    alsoundertaken,andishighlydesirable,inmostinterventiontrials.Theelementsofslidetakingand

    readingthatrequirestandardizationinclude:stainingofbloodsmearsincludingwhereFieldsstainand

    Giemsastainareused;procedurefordoubleandthirdreadingofsmears;internalqualitycontrol(QC)

    procedures;externalQCofaproportionofbloodsmearsandtheprocessforresolutionofdiscrepancies

    foundthroughexternalQC.

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    Otherend-points

    Whileclinicalmalariahasbeentheprimaryend-pointinmoststudiesofpreventiveinterventionsstudies,

    somestudieshavemeasuredtheimpactonmoreseverediseaseordeathandothershaveevaluatedthe

    impactonhospitalutilizationforanycause.

    Severemalaria,malaria-relatedmortalityandall-causemortality.Whilstthepresentingfeaturesand,tosomeextent,predictorsofmortalityinhospitalizedcasesofmalariahavebeenadequately

    describedinahandfulofsettingsinsub-SaharanAfrica[29-40],onlyasinglepublishedpreventive

    interventiontrialincludedseveremalariaastheprimaryend-point[2],thoughothertrialshavehadthisas

    asecondaryend-point.Identifyingdeathsduetomalariaisproblematicinsituationswherepost-mortem

    isuncommonandmanychildrenmaydieoutofahospitalsetting.Thereisawellestablishedprecedent

    fortheuseofverbalautopsiestoassigncausesofdeathinbothsub-SaharanAfrica[41]andAsia[42],but

    thereislimitedexperienceofusingthesemethodstoassesstheimpactofapreventativeinterventionon

    malaria-relatedmortality[43]andthesensitivityandspecificityoftheassignmentofamalariadeathis

    poor.However,withagoodsurveillancesystemalldeathsfromanycausecanbeidentifiedwith

    considerablereliability.Thus,insometrials,specificallysomeoftheITNtrials[2,43-46],deathfrom

    anycausehasbeentheprimaryend-point.Whilstnotappropriateforalicensuretrial,theimpactofa

    vaccineonthisend-pointmaybeimportantforassessingthepublichealthimpactofamalariavaccine

    post-licensure,andmightbeafocusforPhase4studies.Insomesettings,aneffectonseveremalariamay

    alsobeascertainableinastudyinwhichall-causemortalityistheprimaryend-point[2].

    Hospitaladmissions.Insometrialsanattempthasbeenmadetoestimatetheextenttowhicha

    preventivemalariainterventionhasreducedtheoverallburdenofillnessonthehealthservice,suchasthe

    impactonall-causeclinicorhospitalattendance.Forexample,thismeasurewasincludedinthe

    evaluationoftheAsembo/GemKenyanITNtrial[47].Over20,000clinicattendanceswereincludedin

    theprimaryanalysisandastatisticallysignificantefficacyof27%againstall-causeclinicattendancewas

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    reported.Nosamplesizecalculationwasprovided,butitappearslikelythatsuchlargenumbersare

    necessarytoprovideadequatepowertodetectsuchaneffect.Thisend-point,thoughpotentiallydifficult

    tomeasureinsomecircumstances,wouldbehighlyinformativeforthosemakingimplementation

    decisionsinmalariacontrol,asitprovidesageneralmeasureofthepotentialsavingtothehealthservice.

    Useofmultipleefficacyendpoints.Arelativelylargenumberofpossibleefficacyend-pointsare

    potentiallyavailabletomalariainvestigatorsandmalariapreventiveinterventiontrialsmaybe

    particularlyvulnerabletothemultiplecomparisonsproblemsintrialdesign.Manyofthetrialsreviewed

    reportedalargenumberofdifferentefficacyend-points(morethan20insometrials).Furthermore,itis

    notgenerallymadeclearinpapershowmanyefficacyend-pointswereanalysedbutwerenotreported.A

    rankingofend-pointspre-unblinding,intheanalyticplan,withpublicationinthepre-specifiedrankorder

    wouldbeonewaytoaddressconcernsaboutmultiplecomparisons.Conservativemethodssuchas

    adjustingsignificancelevelsforthenumberofend-pointsexaminedhavenotbeenusedintrialsreported

    todate.Inpractice,inadditiontotheprimaryend-point(ifoneisspecified!)thesumoftheevidencefrom

    alloftheend-pointsmeasuredisusuallytakenintoaccount,togetherwiththeirbiologicalplausibilityand

    theirconsistency,intheoverallassessmentofthepotentialimpactofanintervention.Assessmentwould

    beaidedif,foralltrials,thereportingandanalysisplansweremadeavailableforreviewtogetherwiththe

    trialprotocol.

    Conclusions

    Thereisawealthofdataavailablefromrandomizedcontrolledtrialsofmalariapreventiveinterventions

    directedatchildren,muchpublishedinrecentyears.Furtherinformationwillbecomeavailablethrough

    ongoingiPTitrialsandtheplannedlargemulti-sitephase3trialoftheGlaxoSmithKline/MalariaVaccine

    InitiativevaccinecandidateRTS,S.Attentiontothedesignissuesidentifiedabovewillaidthegeneration

    ofdatathatcaninformpublichealthdecisions.

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    Itisnotablethatmanyofthetrialsidentifiedinthisreviewreporttheincidencerateoffirstepisodesof

    clinicalmalariaastheprimaryendpoint.Giventhepublichealthinterestinapotentialnewinterventions

    impactonthecommunityburdenofclinicalmalaria,furtherattentiontoanalysismethodsforthe

    incidencerateofallepisodesofmalariaappearstobeonepriorityforthoseundertakingclinicaltrialsin

    thisfield.Thismayhelpbridgethegapbetweenproof-of-conceptandevaluationofpublichealthbenefit

    forpreventiveinterventionsagainstclinicalmalaria.

    Anambitious,buthighlylaudablegoal,statedasapriorityareainthestrategicframeworkoftheMalaria

    VaccineTechnologyRoadmap[48],isclinicaltrialstandardization.Thehopeisthatthoseengagedin

    preventiveinterventiontrialsagainstmalaria,andespeciallythoseengagedinvaccinetrials,willdiscuss

    andcometoagreementonoptimaltrialdesign,analysismethodandreportingrequirements.Having

    agreedtheseaspectstheplanistoproducestandardizedclinicaltrialmethods,protocolsandreporting

    templates.Thisreportformsonepartofthebackgroundtosuchharmonizationandstandardization

    efforts.TheInitiativeforVaccineResearch,WorldHealthOrganizationisengagedinongoingactivities

    tofacilitatenorms,standardsandbestpracticeinthisarea[21].

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    Competinginterests

    Theauthorsdeclarethattheyhavenocompetinginterests.

    Authorscontributions

    VSMperformedtheliteraturesearch,extractedthedataonmethodsandreportingandwrotethefirstdraft

    ofthemanuscript.ZRconceivedthescopeforthereviewandprovidedinputintothefinalmanuscript.PS

    providedinputandreviewintothefinalmanuscript.

    Acknowledgements

    ThisworkwasperformedaspreparationforaWHOconsultation.Weacknowledgediscussionsheldwith

    thefollowingexpertsaspartoftheconsultation:TSmith,SwissTropicalInstitute;JAponte,University

    ofBarcelona;WRogers,NavalMedicalResearchCenter;BGreenwoodandDSchellenberg,London

    SchoolofHygieneandTropicalMedicine;ALeach,GlaxoSmithKlineBiologicals;CRogier,Institutde

    MdecineTropicaleduServicedeSantdesArmes,France.Theauthorsaloneareresponsibleforthe

    viewsexpressedinthispublicationandtheydonotnecessarilyrepresentthedecisionsorthestatedpolicy

    oftheWorldHealthOrganization.FinancialsupportfromtheMontedeiPascidiSienaandfromPATH

    MalariaVaccineInitiativeareacknowledged.

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    Additionalfiles

    Additionalfile1Fileformat:DOC

    Title:Tables1-4

    Description:Tablessummarisingmethodsandreportingforidentifiedrandomizedcontrolledtrialsof

    preventivemalariainterventions

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    Additional files provided with this submission:

    Additional file 1: tables 1-4.doc, 149Khttp://www.malariajournal.com/imedia/1204422785253623/supp1.doc

    http://www.malariajournal.com/imedia/1204422785253623/supp1.dochttp://www.malariajournal.com/imedia/1204422785253623/supp1.doc