climatology of alpine precipitation by schwarb, daly, frei and schär

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Terrain and Precipitation Patterns on Southern Side of the Alps in Meso-Beta Scale Jože Rakovec , Tomaž Vrhovec , Saša Gaberšek and Gregor Gregorič †‡ University of Ljubljana, Ljubljana, Slovenia Present affiliation: Meteorological Office, EARS, Ljubljana, Slovenia

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Terrain and Precipitation Patterns on Southern Side of the Alps in Meso-Beta Scale Jo ž e Rakovec † , Toma ž Vrhovec † , Saša Gaberšek † and G regor Gregori č †‡ † University of Ljubljana, Ljubljana, Slovenia ‡ Present affiliation: Meteorological Office, EARS, Ljubljana, Slovenia. - PowerPoint PPT Presentation

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Page 1: climatology of Alpine precipitation  by Schwarb, Daly, Frei and Schär

Terrain and Precipitation Patterns on Southern Side of the Alps

in Meso-Beta Scale

Jože Rakovec†, Tomaž Vrhovec†, Saša Gaberšek† and Gregor Gregori膇

 

† University of Ljubljana, Ljubljana, Slovenia‡ Present affiliation: Meteorological Office,

EARS, Ljubljana, Slovenia

Page 2: climatology of Alpine precipitation  by Schwarb, Daly, Frei and Schär

climatology of Alpine precipitation by Schwarb, Daly, Frei and Schär

Page 3: climatology of Alpine precipitation  by Schwarb, Daly, Frei and Schär

flow deflection due to rotational effectsexplains the

secondary Alpine precipitation maximum in Ticino

Page 4: climatology of Alpine precipitation  by Schwarb, Daly, Frei and Schär

full lines: displacements thin lines: displacements

Buzzi and Tibaldi 1977Ro=0.7

Page 5: climatology of Alpine precipitation  by Schwarb, Daly, Frei and Schär

Schär and Schneidereit 2000

Ro 0.75

Page 6: climatology of Alpine precipitation  by Schwarb, Daly, Frei and Schär

Rotunno and Ferretti 2001(the 1994 case) deflection & gradient of potential stability

Page 7: climatology of Alpine precipitation  by Schwarb, Daly, Frei and Schär

Rotunno and Ferretti 2001(the 1994 case) deflection & gradient of potential stability

Page 8: climatology of Alpine precipitation  by Schwarb, Daly, Frei and Schär

what causes the small scale patches – e.g. the belt of small spots

from Monti Lessini to Karnic Alps?

which is the reasonfor the primary Alpine maximum

in Karnic & Julian Alps?

what causesthe dry area

in Trentino & Tyrol?

Page 9: climatology of Alpine precipitation  by Schwarb, Daly, Frei and Schär

what can we learnfrom the simpliest

kinematic simulation?this si not precipitation field!

it is terrain induced vertical velocity in the

mass-consistent model

Page 10: climatology of Alpine precipitation  by Schwarb, Daly, Frei and Schär

terrain characteristics in 10-km resolution

• simple kinematics with “synthetic” reliefsand with a “real” relief

• some wet MAP cases simulations

the methodology

Page 11: climatology of Alpine precipitation  by Schwarb, Daly, Frei and Schär
Page 12: climatology of Alpine precipitation  by Schwarb, Daly, Frei and Schär

the W-E averaged slope towards North

Page 13: climatology of Alpine precipitation  by Schwarb, Daly, Frei and Schär

the S-N averaged height - concavity

Page 14: climatology of Alpine precipitation  by Schwarb, Daly, Frei and Schär

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synthetic reliefs

(similar to the ones of Schär and Schneidereitand of Rotunno and Ferretti)

Page 15: climatology of Alpine precipitation  by Schwarb, Daly, Frei and Schär

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kinematic vertical velocitiesby uniformSW wind

Page 16: climatology of Alpine precipitation  by Schwarb, Daly, Frei and Schär

SouthWest

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South

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kinematic vertical velocities by uniform S and SW wind

Page 17: climatology of Alpine precipitation  by Schwarb, Daly, Frei and Schär

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if Trentino Mts. are removed

Page 18: climatology of Alpine precipitation  by Schwarb, Daly, Frei and Schär

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if Trentino Mts are removed

Page 19: climatology of Alpine precipitation  by Schwarb, Daly, Frei and Schär

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if Julian Alpsand Dinarides are removed

Page 20: climatology of Alpine precipitation  by Schwarb, Daly, Frei and Schär

2 4 6 8 10

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if Julian Alpsand Dinarides are removed

Page 21: climatology of Alpine precipitation  by Schwarb, Daly, Frei and Schär

24-h MM5 simulation dry uniform S flow

Page 22: climatology of Alpine precipitation  by Schwarb, Daly, Frei and Schär

MM5, dry uniform S flow Trentino Mts. removed

Page 23: climatology of Alpine precipitation  by Schwarb, Daly, Frei and Schär

MM5, dry uniform S flow Dinarides removed

Page 24: climatology of Alpine precipitation  by Schwarb, Daly, Frei and Schär

MM5 wet simulation MAP IOP5 potentially unstable - only Trentino subregion will be presented hereleft: original relief; right: Trentino Mts. removed.

top: vertical velocity; bottom: precipitation

Page 25: climatology of Alpine precipitation  by Schwarb, Daly, Frei and Schär

IOP 5: vertical velocity at 700 hPa 4 Oct 99 06UTC

original relief

Trentino Mts. removed

Page 26: climatology of Alpine precipitation  by Schwarb, Daly, Frei and Schär

IOP 5: 30hr precipitation accumulat. 4 Oct 99 06UTC

original relief

Trentino Mts. removed

Page 27: climatology of Alpine precipitation  by Schwarb, Daly, Frei and Schär

IOP 9-10: vert. velocity at 700 hPa 24 Oct 99 00UTC

original relief

Trentino Mts. removed

Page 28: climatology of Alpine precipitation  by Schwarb, Daly, Frei and Schär

IOP 9-10: 48hr precipitation accumulation 24 Oct 99 00UTC

original relief

Trentino Mts. removed

Page 29: climatology of Alpine precipitation  by Schwarb, Daly, Frei and Schär

conclusions

• convexity/concavity seems to be important

• even the simpliest kinematics explains a lot of the climatological precipitation pattern

Page 30: climatology of Alpine precipitation  by Schwarb, Daly, Frei and Schär

conclusions•in potentialy unstable MAP IOP 5 case the main role

of orograpical lifting was triggering; in Ticino and Trentino it was coupled with frontal

processes and “very intense convective cells”*) developed

• in stable MAP IOP 9-10 “a broad southwest current against the windward slopes was dominant feature of the dynamics” *) *) Robert Houze and Richard Rotunno: POC Science Director Notes

• especially in such cases the details of relief are essential