climate variability and predictability over south eastern european regions

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Climate variability and predictability over South Eastern European regions

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Climate variability and predictability over South Eastern European regions. Overview. Main types of regional climate variability Regional predictability Indicators for the winter 2013-2014. Sources of climate variability and predictability in winter 1 st and 2 nd EOFs of winter temperature. - PowerPoint PPT Presentation

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Page 1: Climate variability and predictability over South Eastern European regions

Climate variability and predictabilityover South Eastern European regions

Page 2: Climate variability and predictability over South Eastern European regions

Overview

• Main types of regional climate variability

• Regional predictability• Indicators for the winter 2013-

2014

Page 3: Climate variability and predictability over South Eastern European regions

Sources of climate variability and predictability in winter1st and 2nd EOFs of winter temperature

From draft paper on predictability over Southern Eastern Europe

Page 4: Climate variability and predictability over South Eastern European regions

Sources of climate variability and predictability in winter1st EOF of winter precipitation

From draft paper on predictability over Southern Eastern Europe

Page 5: Climate variability and predictability over South Eastern European regions

Coupled modes of variabilitytemperature and precipitation anomalies coupled with

SLP anomalies1st CCA modes for temperature and precipitation

From draft paper on predictability over Southern Eastern Europe

Page 6: Climate variability and predictability over South Eastern European regions

ROC maps for above normal tercile of temperatute

From draft paper on predictability over Southern Eastern Europe

Page 7: Climate variability and predictability over South Eastern European regions

ROC maps for above normal below of temperatute

From draft paper on predictability over Southern Eastern Europe

Page 8: Climate variability and predictability over South Eastern European regions

ROC maps for above normal tercile of precipitation

From draft paper on predictability over Southern Eastern Europe

Page 9: Climate variability and predictability over South Eastern European regions

ROC maps for below normal tercile of precipitation

From draft paper on predictability over Southern Eastern Europe

Page 10: Climate variability and predictability over South Eastern European regions

ROC maps for above normal tercile of precipitation

From draft paper on predictability over Southern Eastern Europe

Page 11: Climate variability and predictability over South Eastern European regions

What about next winter?

No clear NAO signal…