climate science in the public interest market adaptation to climate change: water/power trade- offs...
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Climate Science in the
Public Interest
Market Adaptation to Climate Change: Water/Power Trade-
offs in Idaho
Don ReadingClimate Impacts Group
University of Washington
http://www.cses.washington.edu/cig/
Idaho Climate & Forecast for 2010October 22, 2009
Climate Science in the
Public Interest
“Disorder is inherent in stability. Civilized man doesn’t understand stability. He’s confused it with rigidity. Our political and economic and social leaderdrool about stability constantly. . . . . And the blind pity is, rigidity isn’t thesame as stability at all. True stability results when presumed order andpresumed disorder are balanced. A truly stable system expects theunexpected, is prepared to be disrupted, waits to be transformed.” ‘EvenCowgirls Get The Blues’, Bantam Dell, 1976, p. 208
Climate Science in the
Public Interest
Market Adaptation
Focus on ‘Stability’ NOT ‘Rigidly’
Lower Transaction Costs [Economic, Legal, Political, etc.]
with in the side boards of
Societal Constraints
Climate Science in the
Public Interest
An Example - Idaho
Small Independent Hydro Power (PURPA)
Idaho Commission Approved 1st Contract in 1981Rate: 6.5 cents per kWh, 10 MW or less, 35 years
Average QF Activity For The Four Periods
10,810
7,892
10,850
5500.5
1.7
5.9
2.0
-
2,000
4,000
6,000
8,000
10,000
12,000
1980 to 1987:
10 MW & 35 years
1988 to 1996:
10 MW & 20 years
1997 to 2002:
1 MW & 5 years
2003 to 2004:
10 MW & 35 years
Kw
0.0
1.0
2.0
3.0
4.0
5.0
6.0
7.0
Number
Kw number in year
Climate Science in the
Public Interest
PURPA rates are set by the IPUC at utilities ‘Avoided Cost’
Current PURPA rate is 7.8 cent per kWh, 10 MW, 20 years[@ gas @ $7.80; current gas $3.95]
Therefore the cost of power production has not increasedsignificantly in the last 30 years
An Example - Idaho
Climate Science in the
Public Interest
http://www.agecon.msstate.edu/Aquaculture/workshop_1/State_of_US_Aquaculture.PDF
Fish Farming
An Example - Idaho
Price and production fairly constant over past 30 years
Climate Science in the
Public Interest
Water Values [annual rates]
1980 $2.00 acre ft. [water bank]1980 $20.00 acre ft. [‘typical’ PURPA equivalent]1980 $15.00 acre ft. [‘typical’ fish farm – fish value only]
2009 $60.00 acre ft. [fish flush, recharge, mitigation]2009 $25.00 acre ft. [‘typical’ PURPA equivalent, high gas]2009 $15.00 acre ft. [‘typical’ fish farm – fish value only]
Climate Science in the
Public Interest
Example of Result of Shifting Water v. Power Values
Idaho Water Resource Board authorizes $26 million for;
Fish FarmCattle ranching facilityTwo small hydro projects90 cfs fresh water4.5 cfs geothermal215 cfs reuse right from creek
Used for;City of Twin Falls water supplyGround water users mitigation
Costs;Shared with City of Twin FallsRevenue from hydro project used to pay for
purchase in the short run
Climate Science in the
Public Interest
CAMP Phase I Actions
–Groundwater to Surface Water Conversions
–Managed Aquifer Recharge
–Demand Reduction
•Buyouts, buy-downs and/or subordination agreements
•Rotating fallowing, dry-year lease agreement, CREP
•Crop mix modification
•Surface water conservation
–Pilot Weather Modification Program
Association of Idaho Cities ESPA CAMP by Hal Anderson - June 11, 2009
Climate Science in the
Public Interest
Subject: Re: Veterans for American Power Bus Tour coming to your state
As a veteran,
I believe that any veteran lending their name, to promote the leftist propaganda of global warming and climate change, in an effort to he or control more of the wealth created in our economy, through cap and tax type policies, all in the name of national security, is a traitor to the oath she took defend the Constitution of our great nation!
Remember Benedict Arnold before giving credibility to a veteran who uses their service as a means to promote a leftist agenda.
Drill Baby Drill!!!
For Liberty, Daryl Metcalfe
State Representative (PA) Veteran U.S. Army“
http://thegreenagenda.blogspot.com/2009/10/pa-state-rep-daryl-metcalfe-veterans.html
Climate Science in the
Public Interest
Don Reading, Ph.D.6070 Hill RoadBoise, ID 83703
Ph: 208.342.1700Fax: 208.384.1511
Climate Impacts Group
University of WashingtonKing Building4909 25th Avenue NESeattle, WA 98195
Ph: 206.616.5350Fax: 206.616.5775