URGENCY VISION SUCCESS VALUE DISTINCTION

Climate Monitoring, Modeling & PredictionEnabling informed decision making

URGENCY

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Climate Monitoring, Modeling & Prediction

• Policy and investment decisions are being made without predictive models with quantifiable uncertainty.

VISION

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Climate Monitoring, Modeling & Prediction

Enable informed decision-making by designing and integrating observational systems with predictive models.

SUCCESS

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Climate Monitoring, Modeling & Prediction

Observational systems that are designed and better integrated with predictive approaches.

Confidence in early indicators by ingesting data into predictive models and bounding the error over time.

VALUE

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Climate Monitoring, Modeling & Prediction

Predictive models that permit risk assessment – where to make infrastructure investments.

Early knowledge for decisions.

0.0

0.5

1.0

1.5

2.0

2.5

3.0

0.0

1.0

2.0

3.0

4.0

5.0

6.0

2000 2025 2050 2075 2100 2125 2150 2175 2200

Mea

n A

eros

ol I

njec

tion

Rat

e (T

g S/

yr)

Mea

n SR

M U

se (W

/m2 )

Year

3.0oC

2.0oC

4.0oC

No ControlsOptimal Controls

Current Aerosol Forcing: 1.2 W m-2

DISTINCTION

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Climate Monitoring, Modeling & Prediction

• Remarkable observational capabilities for climate system/space research

• GRACE mission

• ICES and TICAM for solving complex systems

• Sensing and modeling of information

• Expertise in hydrology cycles

• High end modeling and simulation

URGENCY VISION SUCCESS VALUE DISTINCTION

Climate Monitoring, Modeling & Prediction

Enabling informed decision making.