climate change vs disaster risk reduction

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Zabranjeno je daljnje kopiranje i prikazivanje bez znanja Državne uprave za zaštitu i spašavanje . Climate Change & Disaster Risk Reduction Damir Čemerin, National Protection and Rescue Directorate

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Page 1: Climate Change vs Disaster Risk Reduction

Zabranjeno je daljnje kopiranje i prikazivanje bez znanja Državne uprave za zaštitu i spašavanje .

Climate Change & Disaster

Risk Reduction

Damir Čemerin, National Protection

and Rescue Directorate

Page 2: Climate Change vs Disaster Risk Reduction

Zabranjeno je daljnje kopiranje i prikazivanje bez znanja Državne uprave za zaštitu i spašavanje .

CCiC

Extreme weather conditions:

Floods & mass movements

Droughts

Heath waves (long-term)

Thunderstorms & Flashfloods

Climate change in Croatia during 20th century and at the beginning of 21st century

Page 3: Climate Change vs Disaster Risk Reduction

Zabranjeno je daljnje kopiranje i prikazivanje bez znanja Državne uprave za zaštitu i spašavanje .

Drought 2003 – aftermath - US$ 330 M economic damage

30-50 % decrease crop output

Unspecified damage to freshwater fish industry

Widening of the forest fires area from the coast to the

inland (central Istria, Lika region, inland part of Dalmatia)

Extension of the wildfires season (in 1990-es from the

end of May to the end of August, now from February to

the end of September)

CCiC Climate change in Croatia during 20th

century and at the beginning of 21st

century

Page 4: Climate Change vs Disaster Risk Reduction

Zabranjeno je daljnje kopiranje i prikazivanje bez znanja Državne uprave za zaštitu i spašavanje .

CCiC

The same year, electricity production from hydro power plant's in Croatia dropped 20 % – cost was 96 mil EUR to compensate losses

Extreme weather events in period 2000 – 2007 resulted in an average annual costs of 176 mil EUR for agriculture – amount higher that amount paid for incentives in agriculture within that period

UNDP’s National Human Development Report 2008

Climate change in Croatia during 20th

century and at the beginning of 21st

century

Page 5: Climate Change vs Disaster Risk Reduction

Zabranjeno je daljnje kopiranje i prikazivanje bez znanja Državne uprave za zaštitu i spašavanje .

Floods 2010 - economic loss and expenses (damages)

EUR 153.039.302,69 (66% of the original income of the affected counties)

Agriculture, animal husbandry, fruit growing, single construction buildings EUR 141.368.441,69

Temporary accommodation EUR 2.851,39

Rescue teams EUR 136.335,78

Cleaning potable water wells, cellars, yards etc. EUR 209.472,54

Energy, water and waste water infrastructure, transport and preventive infrastructures EUR 11.322.201,29

CCiC Climate change in Croatia during 20th

century and at the beginning of 21st

century

Page 6: Climate Change vs Disaster Risk Reduction

Zabranjeno je daljnje kopiranje i prikazivanje bez znanja Državne uprave za zaštitu i spašavanje .

Pula – 2009.

Precipitation – 50 mm/2h

Spatial planning – concrete, asphalt but no

green areas

Development– 400 l/s, collection and

purification system Valkane could not

manage that kind of amount of water, old

sewerage system

Adriatic coast

CCiC Climate change in Croatia during 20th

century and at the beginning of 21st

century

Page 7: Climate Change vs Disaster Risk Reduction

Zabranjeno je daljnje kopiranje i prikazivanje bez znanja Državne uprave za zaštitu i spašavanje .

Foto: Željko Tutunjević

Dubrovnik

Page 8: Climate Change vs Disaster Risk Reduction

Zabranjeno je daljnje kopiranje i prikazivanje bez znanja Državne uprave za zaštitu i spašavanje .

NATIONAL PLATFORM FOR

DISASTER RISK REDUCTION

Climate change in Croatia during 20th

century and at the beginning of 21st

century

Page 9: Climate Change vs Disaster Risk Reduction

Zabranjeno je daljnje kopiranje i prikazivanje bez znanja Državne uprave za zaštitu i spašavanje .

Government of the RC

NPRD

Ministry of:

Environmental and Nature Protection

Construction and Physical Planning

Defence

Foreign and European Affairs

Economy

Agriculture

Regional Developement and EU Funds

Maritime Affairs, Transport and Infrastructure

Health

Interior

Science, Education and Sport

Tourism

Social Policy and Youth

Meteorological & Hydrological

Service

Croatian Red Cross

Croatian Mountain Rescue Service

Croatian Firefighting Assotiation

Croatian Academy of Sciences and

Arts

Croatian Bichops Conference

Seismological Survey of the

Republic of Croatia

Croatian water Co.

Page 10: Climate Change vs Disaster Risk Reduction

Zabranjeno je daljnje kopiranje i prikazivanje bez znanja Državne uprave za zaštitu i spašavanje .

1st conference, November 9th 2009

2nd conference, October 14th and 15th 2010

3rd conference, November 04th 2011

Under the chairmanship of the Government of the Republic of Croatia

About 150 participants every yr

• All the central governmental bodies

• Science representatives

• Economy

• Civil associations

Conference proceedings

4th conference, December 2012 – ongoing preparations

AGENDA:

CCA & DRR, post Hyogo documents

Page 11: Climate Change vs Disaster Risk Reduction

Zabranjeno je daljnje kopiranje i prikazivanje bez znanja Državne uprave za zaštitu i spašavanje .

CCA – National Protection and Rescue Directorate

National Platform for Disaster Risk Reduction supporting CCA

2009.

Early Warning System and the Role of Meteorological and Hydrological Service, dr.sc. Branka Ivančan-Picek - Meteorological and hydrological service of Croatia

Possibilities and Restrictions of the Severe Weather Forecast, Dr sc Vlasta Tutiš - Meteorological and hydrological service of Croatia

Water as Natural Disaster Generator, dr.sc. Dušan Trninić - Meteorological and hydrological service of Croatia

Project of Risk Identification and Land-Use Planning for Disaster Mitigation of Landslides and Floods in Croatia, Prof.dr.sc. Ognjen Bonacci, Prof.dr.sc. Ivica Kisić, Prof.dr.sc. Nevenka Ožanić, Faculty of Civil Engineering, Faculty of Agriculture

Functions of Ecological management in Risk Control, Dr. sc. Sanja Kalambura, Alen Stranjik, dipl.ing., University of Applied Sciences Velika Gorica

Flooding forecast for the Croatian Coast – Task of the Operational Oceanology, Nenad Leder, Nenad Domijan, Zvonko Gržetić, Hydrographic Institute of the Republic of Croatia

Page 12: Climate Change vs Disaster Risk Reduction

Zabranjeno je daljnje kopiranje i prikazivanje bez znanja Državne uprave za zaštitu i spašavanje .

CCA - NPRD

2010.

Gale-Force Wind in Croatia, Alica Bajić, Meteorological and hydrological service of Croatia

Forecasting and following thunderstorms by means of satellite and other remote sensing data, Nataša Strelec Mahović - Meteorological and hydrological service of Croatia

The Influence of meteorological parameters on the acute neurovegetative disability, Ksenija Zaninović, Meteorological and Hydrological Service

Precipitations risk assessment in Croatia, Marjana Gajić-Čapka (Ksenija Cindrić), Meteorological and Hydrological Service

Holistic Model for Forest Fire Protection in the Adriatic Area, Darko Stipaničev (Ranko Vujčić, Branimir Hrasnik, Tomislav Vuko), University of Split Faculty of Electrical Engineering, Mechanical Engineering and Naval Architecture; Department for Economy, Development and Reconstruction of Splitsko-dalmatinska County; UZOR – Sustainable Development Association; National Protection and Rescue Directorate

Changes in Extreme Climate Parameters of Future Climate Resulting from Climate Simulations Using Regional Climate Model, Mirta Patarčić (Č. Branković, L. Srnec, I. Güttler), Meteorological and Hydrological Service

Page 13: Climate Change vs Disaster Risk Reduction

Zabranjeno je daljnje kopiranje i prikazivanje bez znanja Državne uprave za zaštitu i spašavanje .

CCA - NPRD

2011.

Heat health warning system, Ksenija Zaninovic, Meteorological and Hydrological

Service of Croatia

Construction of Multipurpose Systems in Water Management in Order to Mitigate

Impact of Climate Changes and to Reduce Flood Risk, Zoran Đuroković, Hrvatske

vode

Climate change and potentional wildfire risk in Croatia, Višnja Vučetić,

Meteorological and Hydrological Service of Croatia

Drought Forecasting in Croatia Using Standardized Precipitation Index (SPI),

Ksenija Cindrić, Lovro Kalin, Meteorological and Hydrological Service of Croatia

Page 14: Climate Change vs Disaster Risk Reduction

Zabranjeno je daljnje kopiranje i prikazivanje bez znanja Državne uprave za zaštitu i spašavanje .

CCA - NPRD

NP 3rd Conference Conclusions:

In order to adapt to climate change, which the Republic of Croatia and

the region is exposed to, it is necessary to increase investment in

climate modeling, forecasting and analysis to support the sectoral

planning in the sectors facing this risk.

Extreme weather conditions and associated major accidents and

disasters are becoming reality in the Republic of Croatia. In order to

adapt to climate change, which the Republic of Croatia and the region

is exposed to, it is necessary to increase investment in climate

modeling, forecasting and analysis, to support sectorial planning in

sectors faced with risk. It is necessary to include elements of disaster

risk reduction while developing the climate change adaptation strategy.

Page 15: Climate Change vs Disaster Risk Reduction

Zabranjeno je daljnje kopiranje i prikazivanje bez znanja Državne uprave za zaštitu i spašavanje .

Post Hyogo – for the 4th conference: How to develop new programme - CCA & DRR issues:

- Science & DRR

- Education for DRR & CCA

- DRR in national CCA strategy

- DRR in local communities

- Spatial planning, CCA & DRR

- Role of the NGO in DRR

- DRR &CCA and media

- Individual participation in DRR

Page 16: Climate Change vs Disaster Risk Reduction

Zabranjeno je daljnje kopiranje i prikazivanje bez znanja Državne uprave za zaštitu i spašavanje .

CCA - NPRD

A way to go?

National Risk Assessment with CCA

National DRR Strategy (Accepted by the Government,

and with obligatory assignments)

National CCA Strategy (Accepted by the Government,

and with obligatory assignments)

Page 17: Climate Change vs Disaster Risk Reduction

Zabranjeno je daljnje kopiranje i prikazivanje bez znanja Državne uprave za zaštitu i spašavanje .

EUROPEAN FORUM FOR

DISASTER RISK REDUCTION

2011 - 2012

Page 18: Climate Change vs Disaster Risk Reduction

Zabranjeno je daljnje kopiranje i prikazivanje bez znanja Državne uprave za zaštitu i spašavanje .

3rd Annual Meeting of the European Forum for

Disaster Risk Reduction, Dubrovnik, 1 - 3 Oct 2012 Summary

27 countries

(25 countries in 2011)

60 participants

(50 participants in 2011)

21 National Platforms; 35

countries with HFA Focal

point

Page 19: Climate Change vs Disaster Risk Reduction

Zabranjeno je daljnje kopiranje i prikazivanje bez znanja Državne uprave za zaštitu i spašavanje .

Agreed on publishing the survey outcome on reviewing national adaptation plans/strategy issues related to disaster risk reduction.

Working Group tasked by EFDRR to:

Accompany the work on CCA and DRR up to 2015;

Continue to update the EFDRR on development in European Countries on CCA and framework

Share the report with the national CCA community

Climate Change Adaptation and Disaster Risk

Reduction (Working Group 1)

Page 20: Climate Change vs Disaster Risk Reduction

Zabranjeno je daljnje kopiranje i prikazivanje bez znanja Državne uprave za zaštitu i spašavanje .

Recommendation:

National Platforms to hold national discussions on Post-2015, Rio+20 outcomes and ensure that national stakeholders dealing with the different processes participate

Experience shared from:

Knowledge Sharing and Outcomes of Rio+20, IPCC SREX

WG1 undertook a survey to all European HFA focal points and NPs coordinators to find out if nations include in their adaptation plans/strategy issues related to disaster risk reduction

Climate Change Adaptation and Disaster Risk

Reduction (Working Group 1)

Page 21: Climate Change vs Disaster Risk Reduction

Zabranjeno je daljnje kopiranje i prikazivanje bez znanja Državne uprave za zaštitu i spašavanje .

Page 22: Climate Change vs Disaster Risk Reduction

Zabranjeno je daljnje kopiranje i prikazivanje bez znanja Državne uprave za zaštitu i spašavanje .

The Future We Want

188. We stress the importance of stronger interlinkages among

disaster risk reduction, recovery and long-term development

planning, and call for more coordinated and comprehensive

strategies that integrate disaster risk reduction and climate

change adaptation considerations into public and private

investment, decision-making and the planning of humanitarian

and development actions, in order to reduce risk, increase

resilience and provide a smoother transition between relief,

recovery and development. In this regard, we recognize the

need to integrate a gender perspective into the design and

implementation of all phases of disaster risk management.