climate change, global warming,and its effects on cambodia as a nation

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  • 8/3/2019 Climate change, global warming,and its effects on Cambodia as a nation

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    Individual reflection paper (IRP)

    Student: SAY Vortana

    [email protected]

    Topic

    Climate change, global warming,and its effects on Cambodia as a nation

    mailto:[email protected]:[email protected]
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    Contents

    - Introductiono Definition of global warming and climate changeo Strands of climate changes

    - The causes of climate change and global warmingo General aspectso Case study ( Cambodia )

    -

    The effects of climate change and global warming

    o General aspectso Case study ( Cambodia )

    - Responses and challengeso General aspectso Case study ( Cambodia )

    - Conclusion

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    Introduction

    Global warming is a term used to describe a persistent increase in the earths means

    surface temperature relative to long-term average conditions (those that prevail over

    centuries)

    1

    . It is difficult to distinguish the global warming and climate change sinceglobal warming results in climate change and the two terms are sometimes used

    interchangeably, though climate change has a broader meaning and refers to changes in

    average climatic conditions (temperature, wind, rainfall, and other climatic variables)

    relative to their long-term average. Both natural and anthropogenic (human-caused)

    factors can causes global warming.

    Global warming and Climate change have been the environmental issues facing

    humankind for such a long times, and these issues has attracted the international attention

    during the 1970s. Over the past decades, leaders from states have negotiated to seek a

    comparative solution for all parties; the institutional framework provided by the

    UNFCC, the United Nation Framework Convention on Climate Change, in 1992 and plus

    the 1997 Kyoto Protocol , yet these fragile frameworks do not contribute much to alleviate

    the problems due to weak implementation, the conflict between the developed countries and

    developing countries, lacking in private morality and uncertainty of states.

    As agriculture based country, Cambodia has been affected by the global warming and

    climate change. Despite its small territory and population, Cambodia rich in tropical forest

    which play a vital role to promote environment, absorb Carbon dioxide, provide habitat for

    animal and promote eco-system. Unfortunately, this poor country has suffered from disaster

    such as drought and flood when most of trees have been cut down through legal and illegal

    business. This irregular weather and period have posed severe problems to Cambodian as a

    nation through economy, health and so on. What are the responses that have been undertaken

    so far? Is it effective? Are global warming and climate change pose threats or potential

    opportunities for Cambodian as a nation? All these questions will be sorted out in the

    following chapters.

    Thus, the global warming and climate change are complex issues and interrelated.

    This issue poses a great challenge to the global governance since it needs more than one

    actor to engage in measurements. In the next chapter, we will take a deep look to the

    causes of global warming and climate change.

    PreparedbySAYVORTANA 1 email:[email protected]

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    What are the causes of global warming and climate change?

    We can divide causes into two categories increasing amount of Green house gases

    (GHGs) and urbanization.

    According to Time For Change organization report, almost 100% of thetemperature has been increased over the last decade years has been due to the increase in the

    atmosphere of GHGs concentrations especially carbon dioxide (CO2); GHGs act like a mirror

    and reflect back to the Earth a part of the heat radiation that is lost to space.

    Fig. 1: the relative of the major human-produced greenhouse gases to current warming

    [Source: www.koshland-science-museum.org/exhibitgcc/cause01.jsp ]

    The higher the concentration of GHGs, the more heat energy is being reflected back

    to the Earth. Thus, what are the causes of increasing those gases? So far, the causes of

    variation of atmospheric greenhouse gases especially carbon dioxide are human-made

    activities and natural disasters. There are various kinds of human activities that increase the

    amount of CO2 such as burning fossil fuels, emission of smoke by factories, overpopulation,

    clearing forests for development (agriculture, industrialization or urbanization) and logging in

    the jungle.

    PreparedbySAYVORTANA 2 email:[email protected]

    http://www.koshland-science-museum.org/exhibitgcc/cause01.jsphttp://www.koshland-science-museum.org/exhibitgcc/cause01.jsp
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    Fig. 2:Carbon dioxide emissions in million tons per year over the last 200 years

    [Source: http://www.globalwarmingart.com/wiki/Image:Global_Carbon_Emission_by_Type_png]

    Another cause is urbanization. In order to transform lands from forest or natural to

    urbanization, industrialization or agriculture, policy makers often face trade-off between

    development and environment. For example, in industrialized nations, they need fuel in fossil

    fuels such as coal, oil and natural gases in order to run their factories. Even though, the

    leaders do know that it will damage the environment, they have no choice rather than extract

    natural resources within their countries or other states. The other interesting cause is

    overpopulation. When there are more people, there will be more demands, and it will lead to

    more supplies. Thus, in order that factories can increase their productivities, they need more

    energy and natural resources.

    Case study

    There are three main causes which are deforestation, urbanization and

    industrialization. First, Deforestation is a hidden causes and controversial in the international

    stage as well. Between 25 and 30 percent of the greenhouse gases released into the

    atmosphere each year comes from deforestation. For instance, Cambodia becomes one of the

    highest rates of deforestation in the world, third to only Nigeria and Vietnam, according to a

    2005 report conducted by the Food and Agriculture Organization of the United Nations

    (FAO). There are some reasons behind this disaster such as war, fragile governance,

    development, lands incentive for investments, agricultures, and so on. Second, the Cambodia

    PreparedbySAYVORTANA 3 email:[email protected]

    http://www.globalwarmingart.com/wiki/Image:Global_Carbon_Emission_by_Type_pnghttp://www.globalwarmingart.com/wiki/Image:Global_Carbon_Emission_by_Type_png
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    PreparedbySAYVORTANA 4 email:[email protected]

    government has initialed to urbanize the city due to overpopulation and reform. Even though,

    this development does alleviate and give benefit to this country, it also affects the

    environment. For instance, when land is converted from forests or nature to urban

    environments, the regional climate system is altered because urban environments are alsoislands of heat produced by industry, homes, automobiles, and asphalts absorption of solar

    energy. Last but not least, in Cambodia, the number of factories, located in the cities and

    countryside, also affect to the environment. The disposal of waste on land, in water and air

    damage the ecosystems and leak abundance of green house gases especially CO2.

    In conclusion for this chapter, green house gases, that created by human-made

    activities and natural disasters, are the main causes of global warming and climate changes.

    In the next chapter, we will discuss detail about the effects of the global warming and climate

    changes.

    What are the effects of global warming and climate change?

    Even thought global warming and climate change have many effects, these

    phenomena are interrelated, so to make ease for analyze the effects, I will categorized in six

    main impacts (1) increasing the temperature on the earth; (2) rising of sea levels; (3)

    changing landscapes; (4) increasing risk of drought, fire, foods and species extinction; (5)

    increasing heat-related illness and disease; and (6) economic looses.

    Increasing the temperature on the earth simply means the earth becomes warmer and

    warmer, and this is not a new phenomenon, but due to global warming the temperature in the

    world has increased rapidly and upward. Because the amount of GHGs mainly CO 2 increase

    dramatically in recent decades, Time For Change Organization makes a projection that the

    temperature of the earth will be increased by 3o to 50 by the year 2050.

    As the world become warmer, sea levels rise because thermal expansion which

    lukewarm water takes up more room than colder water1. Furthermore, the glaciers in the polar

    melt leads to raising levels of sea which threaten to floods low-lying areas and islands,

    threaten the coastal populations, damage property and ruin ecosystems.

    Another effect is changing landscapes. We can divide it into two different issues land

    degradation and desertification. Land degradation simply means soil quality is worsening.

    This phenomenon is a result of over-farming and poor land-use practice. On the other hand,

    desertification means the growths of deserts and sand areas.

    Another major effect is increasing risk of drought, fire, foods and species extinction.

    Drought and floods occurs more frequent, serious and widespread. In 2010, according to

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    PreparedbySAYVORTANA 5 email:[email protected]

    Pakistani government data the floods directly affected about 20 million people, mostly by

    destruction of property, livelihood and infrastructure, with a death toll of close to 2,000. 2

    Due to the overpopulation, people need to increase the food productivities to meet the

    demand. Unfortunately, because of land degradation and desertification, most of the soils inthe world become poorer and it leads to food insecurity in the world. Moreover, According to

    The Nature Conservancy group, make projection that one-fourth of species will be headed for

    extinction by 2050 global warming still occurs.

    Another effect is increasing heat-related illness and disease. When the ozone layer

    becomes thinner, more amount of sun light will come to the earth.

    Last but not least, global warming prevail the economy loose. Globally, serious

    change in weather (more serious hurricane, storm etc.) could cause billions of dollars in

    damage to property and infrastructure. Plus, declining crop productions due to prolonged

    drought and high temperatures, especially in Africa, could put hundreds of thousands of

    people at risk.

    Case study

    Floods and drought are recognized as one of the main contributors to poverty. In these

    pictures above, Cambodia is vulnerable to floods and droughts. High dependency on rain-fed

    farming makes agriculture sector particularly vulnerable.

    In Cambodia, the impact of climate change has become apparent, yet the public does

    not feel alert due to limited knowledge and other. There are six implication suggestions on

    Cambodia.

    First, recall memory of economy loose. Floods caused 70% of production losses of

    rice, while drought 20% between 1998 and 2002, and the floods caused USD 205 million

    damage between 2000 and 20024.

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    Map of flood-prone communes

    PreparedbySAYVORTANA 6 email:[email protected]

    Map of drought-prone communes

    Source: WFP(2005)

    Second, According to Allison, he claims that Cambodias economy is rated as one of

    the most vulnerable to impacts of climate change onfisheries. Third, if the sea level rises, it

    will affect areas near the sea. The research of ministry of whether shows that 1m rise can

    submerge 56% of Koh Kong City. Fourth, as an agriculture country, when the food

    productivities decline, it leads to food insecurity in the country since Cambodian highly

    depends on single crop and low processing capacity within the country. Fifth, another effect

    is water quality degradation and sanitation. Finally, increase in water-related / tropical

    diseases such as malaria and dengue. The Ministry of the Environment estimates that under

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    PreparedbySAYVORTANA 7 email:[email protected]

    changing climatic conditions Cambodia may experience increasing incidences of malaria, up

    16 percent from its current rate.

    In conclusion, the government and all others relevant must come up with strong

    policies and fast action to combat climate change. In the next chapter, we shall examine theactions undertaken by international actors and Cambodia itself.

    Responses and challenges of global warming and climate change

    After severe suffer from these environmental issues, states have recognized that they

    are in troubles. Consequently, two key environmental conferences were held during the

    1990s, namely Rio Earth Summit in 1992 and Kyoto Environmental Summit in 1997.

    Held under UN auspices, the Rio Earth Summit brought together thousands of

    delegates and representatives from state actors and non state actors. According to Time

    reporter, Philip Elmer-Dewitt, published in Rich Vs Poor in 1992, the Earth Summit was

    the largest and most complex conference ever held- bigger than the momentous meetings at

    Versailles, Yalta, and Potsdam5. In this summit, 178 states signed two treaties, the UN

    Framework Convention on Climate Changes (UNFCC), addressed global warming issues and

    the Convention on Biological Diversity (CBD), addressed to protect endangered species and

    biodiversity. The UNFCC sets the basic objective to achieve stabilization of greenhouse gas

    concentrations in the atmosphere at a level that would prevent dangerous anthropogenic

    interference with the climate system. Regarding this summit, the great success is that it

    gathered many people from different part of the international community that had never

    assembled to discuss a particular issue. Moreover, Earth summit also raised global

    consciousness about environmental issue; however, throughout the Rio meeting, a conflict

    between environmental protection and economic development was reveal because the

    insistence of many Developing World states that feared that stronger wording might

    adversely affect their economies.

    Following the Rio Earth Summit, the Kyoto Environmental Summit in 1997, Japan,

    intended to address the global warming issue. Despite reduction in the emission of green

    house gases (GHGs) mandated by the Montreal Protocol and Rio summit agreements, states

    in the world still released too many of GHGs into the atmosphere, so the atmosphere

    remained at risk. This Kyoto protocol provided economic incentive for developing states to

    meet their targets through trade and clean development mechanism, and urged for

    cooperation between developed and developing states over environmentally clean projects.

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    PreparedbySAYVORTANA 8 email:[email protected]

    Nevertheless, only seven out of 84 countries who signed the protocol ratified it in 1999 all of

    which were small islands or low lying states particularly concerned by global warming and

    submerging them; however, the conflict between developing and developed states has

    remained and it needs to be sort out through trust cooperation and mutual interests.From these two summits, there are three suggested solutions carbon management,

    creating market incentive and alternative energies.

    Among GHGs, carbon dioxide is the dangerous chemical substance that is the major

    cause of global warming and climate change. Since the industrialization era, the demand of

    fossil fuel has increased dramatically, so oil production become inelastic. In order to cope

    with the carbon budgets, we do need to face head-on six importance activities, (1) slow or

    stop deforestation, (2) reduce emissions from electricity production, (3) reduce emissions

    from automobiles, (4) clean up industrial processes in a few major sectors, (5) economize on

    electricity use through more efficient motors, appliances, lighting, insulation and other

    electrical demands; (6) convert point-source based systems powered by low-emission

    electricity. Considering the challenges of reducing emissions from the electricity generation

    are complicated, there are three major avenues to reduced emissions from the power sectors:

    greater efficiency in the use of electricity, a greater proportion of electricity generation with

    non-fossil fuel sources of energy and special engineering processes to capture the carbon

    dioxide from fossil fuel electricity plants and to store it by using a technology called carbon

    capture and sequestration (CCS) 6.

    The Kyoto protocol has accomplished one major advance: the start of a market price

    on carbon emissions, in the form of tradable carbon permits, albeit only in Europe. This

    strategy more or less provides incentive to the emitters to limit carbon emission from their

    factories. Furthermore, there is an urgent need to increase funding for climate science in the

    poorest countries to help those countries understand how adapt to the climate change, and

    science also needed to enable those countries to participate effectively in global mitigation

    efforts by reducing the rate of deforestation and by adoption low-carbon energy strategies in

    the course of economic development.

    Last but not least, while fossil fuels will predominate for some decades more, in the

    longer term non-fossil alternatives are likely to come to preeminence. Wind, hydroelectricity,

    ocean waves, bio-fuel, geothermal and nuclear energy will be more favored although each of

    these is limited by local condition and not applicable as global solutions. Due to popularity

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    PreparedbySAYVORTANA 9 email:[email protected]

    and profits, states attempt to gain the nuclear energy, but it can pose threat to the localized

    and internationalized because of nuclear radiation and nuclear weapon.

    From my perspective, there are two main challenges, implementation and the inequity

    between developed and developing states.The problem is not the framework or purpose but implementations. The Kyoto

    protocol shows the cooperation of the world on a carbon management trajectory. Even so this

    treaty is considered as failure when the U.S did not ratify this protocol in fear of economic

    development impacts. The US, far and away the biggest contributor to GHGs, indignantly

    telling poor countries bearing the consequences in famines, droughts, increased malaria

    transmission and more that the United States will not even start on emissions control, so how

    can other states obey and ratify this treaty?

    Another important but controversial challenges is the inequity between developed and

    developing states. Development and environmental protection are dilemma for decision

    makers of individual states; developing countries who try to develop their countries are

    inevitable to exploit their natural resources, so when developed states who enjoyed their

    economic growth in the past decades tell developing states to stop exploit their natural

    resources, it is injustice. For example, when the US and Europe tell Brazil to stop

    deforestation business investment, and similarly China was criticized for air pollution.

    In conclusion, as long as there is no strong support from super power P5 (security

    council); the south and north cannot reach mutual interests (efficiency and equity) plus trust

    each other, the global warming and climate change still remain unsure when will it can be

    sort out.

    Case study

    What are the possible solution for Cambodia to overcome global warming and climate

    change? There are three potential solutions low carbon economy/enhance economy

    efficiency, carbon finance and promote environment awareness.

    Cambodias government can improve and examine seven factors:

    Energy supply improved supply and distribution efficiency, Renewable sources,security and access

    Transport Hybrid vehicles, emission standards, bio fuels, Public transport, non-motorized transport

    Buildings passive and active solar integrated buildings, improved insulation Industry Upgrading of factories, processing lines / schemes etc.

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    Agriculture improved agricultural practices Waste management landfill methane recovery; waste to energy; composting;

    recycling and waste minimization

    Forestry Reforestation; forest management; reduced deforestationFor carbon finance Cambodia can enjoy with the extra paid by using clean

    development mechanism (CDM). According to UNDP based in Cambodia, a local power

    generator, Samrong Thom Methane-fired Power Generation reduce total GHG emission for 7

    years 47,544 tCO2e; this generator can get total income at $15/tCO2e: US$ 713,160 from

    carbon finance7, so government should encourage this kind of investment in Cambodia.

    Invest in Biogas Digester (source: UNDP)

    Another solution is to promote environment awareness for Cambodian. The bottom-

    up strategy also provides a better option to overcome this issue. The government can work

    effectively with other Non-government organizations (NGOs) by providing environment

    education in the public school and local communities.

    In short, besides protecting environment, Cambodia can enjoy low carbon economy

    through carbon finance; furthermore, the bottom-up strategy can promote environment issue

    awareness in Cambodia. In the last chapter of this paper, we will wrap up and provide brief

    conclusion.

    PreparedbySAYVORTANA 10 email:[email protected]

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    Conclusion

    Global warming and climate change are transnational issues that pose great challenges

    to the global governance. Nations has suffered severe disaster such as flood, hurricane,

    serious earthquake, drought and so on recently, and it would be great danger in the future ifglobal warming and climate change are not sorted out effectively. Despite of cooperation

    between states through earth summit and Kyoto protocol, the issues remain widespread from

    day to day. Who will be responsible? Developed states or developing states? The

    controversial stances between developed countries and developing countries remain exists

    and pose a big challenge for Kyoto protocol. Furthermore, the decision maker, leader, head of

    states are inevitable face dilemma between development and environmental protection.

    For Cambodia, Cambodia contributes little to climate change but almost all the

    provinces in Cambodia are vulnerable to climate change due to their low adaptive capacity

    and dependence on climate-sensitive livelihoods. Responding to climate change should start

    by linking efforts to reduce vulnerability to present climate-related disasters with those aimed

    at building longer-term resilience to climate change. Low carbon economy/enhance economy

    efficiency, carbon finance and promote environment awareness are the factors that will be

    alleviate and assist Cambodian through bright future in the next generation.

    For both international and national level, implementation and commitment from the

    government or head of state is compulsory to ensure the sustainable growth with the green

    economy policy.

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    PreparedbySAYVORTANA 12 email:[email protected]

    Reference

    1Spannagle, B. D. a. M. (2009). The complete guide to climate change, Routledge.

    2 thermal expansion theory, http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Thermal_expansion

    3http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/2010_Pakistan_floods

    4 (Source: First V&A Assessment: with two Global Circulation Models (GCM) : CCSR &

    CSIRO, and two emission scenarios: SRESA2 & SRESB1)

    5 Lay Khim, E&E Team Leader, UNDP Cambodia Asia Economic Forum 7 April 2009

    6 SACHS, J., Ed. COMMON WEALTH, Penguin group

    7 Lay Khim, E&E Team Leader, UNDP Cambodia Asia Economic Forum 7 April 2009

    http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Thermal_expansionhttp://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Thermal_expansionhttp://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/2010_Pakistan_floodshttp://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/2010_Pakistan_floodshttp://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/2010_Pakistan_floodshttp://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Thermal_expansion