climate action implementation of methodological tools and techniques to develop the climatology of...
DESCRIPTION
Presentació per part de Jordi Cunillera (Cap de la Unitat de Canvi Climàtic del Servei Meteorològic de Catalunya) en el marc de l’acte de clausura del projecte europeu CIRCLE 2 MOUNTain co-organitzat per l'Oficina Catalana del Canvi Climàtic durant els dies 26 i 27 de setembre de 2013.TRANSCRIPT
CLIMATE Action Implementation of methodological tools and techniques
to develop the climatology of the Pyrenees
POCTEFA - EFA 235/11
Pyrenees Climate Change Observatory
(OPCC)
CLIMATE Action - OPCC
MAIN PARTNERS:
Universidad de Zaragoza (UNIZAR, Aragon)
Servei Meteorològic de Catalunya (SMC-Meteocat, Catalonia)
ASSOCIATED PARTNERS:
MétéoFrance (France)
Centre d’Estudis de la Neu i la Muntanya d’Andorra (CENMA, Andorra)
Agencia Estatal de Meteorología (AEMET, Spain)
CLIMATE ACTION - OBJECTIVES
1. Share available meteorological (raw) data in the area (Pyrenees).
2. Use the same methodology for data processing (Action COST ES0601).
(HOME - Advances in homogenization methods of climate series: an integrated approach)
3. Develop an unique database of high quality climate series at the Pyrenees.
4. Obtain a basic climatology (based on T/PPT) of the Pyrenees (1950-2010).
TEMPERATURE STATIONS LOCATION
HOMOGENIZATION PROCESS
1. Detecting “aberrant” data (Quality Control)
2. Finding optimal neighbours
HOMOGENIZATION PROCESS
3. Detecting break-points and filling gaps with correlated homogeneous data 1954 6.3 7.8 14.4 15.2 19.6 24.6 25.0 26.8 26.9 21.4 16.0 9.9
1955 11.5 9.9 14.1 20.8 23.3 25.6 29.2 30.4 24.3 18.8 13.1 12.5
1956 10.0 2.9 14.6 15.5 21.5 22.0 28.2 27.5 27.0 19.1 10.8 8.5
1957 7.2 14.5 20.2 16.2 18.6 24.7 27.0 27.7 24.4 19.5 11.8 9.1
1958 8.7 12.2 11.3 13.2 23.5 24.6 28.2 28.6 30.5 19.2 12.1 11.5
1959 10.0 12.7 15.1 17.4 19.9 25.9 30.2 28.2 24.5 19.1 12.4 9.9
1960 9.4 11.4 15.7 15.6 24.0 26.9 26.3 28.0 23.7 15.5 13.5 7.1
1961 7.9 15.8 18.9 22.6 27.6 27.2 27.8 19.5 12.8 12.2
1962 10.8 9.5 11.6 16.5 20.3 25.9 28.0 31.3 27.3 20.9 10.5 7.6
1963 7.6 7.2 15.9 19.1 24.4 27.6 23.5 21.3 20.3 13.6 6.9
1964 6.5 10.6 12.3 15.8 24.2 24.0 26.8 28.2 15.8 12.3 7.0
1965 7.5 6.3 13.2 13.4 21.5 25.1 26.0 26.3 19.8 11.2 8.9
1966 9.3 13.4 11.8 24.2 23.4 26.7 26.8 16.1 8.7 9.5
1967 8.5 11.1 14.2 14.6 19.3 22.1 28.7 26.6
1968 10.3 23.2 23.9
1969 9.3 11.3 13.6 19.1 24.9 19.6 11.9 6.8
1970 9.7 8.7 24.1 26.6 26.1 17.8 15.0
1971 7.8 10.7 8.4 16.6 17.3 21.2 27.8 27.6 20.7 9.0 8.4
1972 6.7 9.9 13.3 12.8 17.0 20.3 25.9 23.9 19.3 17.9 12.8 8.6
1973 7.9 8.3 12.1 13.9 20.9 21.8 25.3 28.8 23.9 17.8 12.4 8.4
1974 11.3 8.9 12.2 14.4 19.6 23.5 24.8 26.2 21.3 11.9 12.3 10.4
1975 11.3 12.1 9.7 15.1 17.6 22.6 29.2 27.1 22.9 18.2 11.9 6.8
1976 9.8 10.7 14.3 13.7 20.5 26.4 26.5 26.2 21.3 15.8 10.7 9.2
1977 8.4 12.0 15.8 14.8 16.2 21.0 23.2 23.4 23.6 18.9 11.7 11.1
1978 6.4 10.9 13.1 12.7 16.7 20.3 25.9 27.0 24.6 17.7 12.6 11.3
1979 9.4 9.6 11.5 12.1 18.7 22.1 25.9 24.0 23.0 18.0 11.1 9.9
1980 8.2 12.5 12.4 13.0 15.9 19.9 24.4 27.7 26.6 18.0 11.2 7.2
1981 9.4 9.6 15.6 15.9 18.7 24.1 24.8 26.5 24.7 18.9 16.0 9.9
1982 11.4 10.3 12.3 16.6 20.2 26.0 28.5 24.5 24.0 16.8 12.1 8.9
1983 9.1 7.8 13.8 15.3 17.5 24.4 29.7 24.6 25.9 20.6 14.8 11.1
1984 8.4 8.2 10.2 17.7 13.4 22.5 28.8 24.6 21.2 17.9 13.4 8.6
1985 5.0 13.5 10.2 17.2 16.9 23.7 28.8 27.3 27.2 21.2 10.2 11.1
1986 8.0 8.2 12.9 10.6 21.9 23.4 26.4 27.1 24.4 20.3 13.4 9.0
1987 5.7 9.5 12.9 17.9 17.5 22.8 24.4 29.2 27.9 18.0 12.6 11.1
1988 10.8 10.3 12.9 15.3 18.9 20.9 25.6 27.3 23.8 20.4 14.2 7.9
HOMOGENIZATION PROCESS
Original data
Homogenized data
GAPS GAPS
“SUSPICIOUS”
DATA
“SUSPICIOUS”
DATA
RESULTS PREVIEW: ANNUAL MEAN TEMPERATURE 1950-2010
RESULTS PREVIEW: Tmax / Tmin TRENDS
Incremento (°C)
RESULTS PREVIEW: DATA TRENDS
Annual mean temperature increase - 1950 / 2010
Annual mean anomaly trend
RESULTS PREVIEW: ANNUAL MEAN TEMPERATURE ANOMALY MAPS
144 pluviometric stations to homogenize
CURRENTLY WORKING: PRECIPITATION
FUTURE WORK
Finish currently work on T and PPT (trend analysis, indicators to monitor
climate evolution, …).
Strengthen the network in climate studies at the Pyrenees (universities,
research centers and meteorological services).
Increase the climate evolution studies with other variables (esp. snow
cover or snow depth).
Develop or improve knowledge about future climate scenarios at the
Pyrenees.
Thank you for your attention
Contact people:
Dr. José M. Cuadrat ([email protected])
Dr. Jordi Cunillera ([email protected])
www.opcc-ctp.org
CLIMATE Action Team
Roberto Serrano, Miguel A. Saz, Ernesto Tejedor, Marc Prohom, Anna Rius,
Jean-Michel Soubeyroux, Nathalie Deaux, Pere Esteban, Carles Miquel