FLORIDA SOLAR ENERGY

CENTERCreating Energy Independence Since 1975

A Research Institute of the University of Central Florida

CLEANTECH SYMPOSIUM SERIESBuilding a Sustainable Future for Central

Florida

UCF Executive Development Center Orlando, FloridaFebruary 18, 2010

James M. Fenton

Renewable Energy,Green Jobs and

SunSmart Schools Plus

Renewable Portfolio Standards*NV: 25% by 2025

HI: 40% by 2030

TX: 5,880 MW by 2015

CA: 33% by 2020

NM: 20% by 2020 (IOUs)

10% by 2020 (co-ops)

AZ: 15% by 2025

IA: 105 MW

MN: 25% by 2025 (Xcel: 30% by 2020)

WI: 10% by 2015

NY: 24% by 2013

ME: 30% by 2000 10% by 2017 – new RE

CT: 23% by 2020

RI: 16%by 2020

PA: 18%** by 2020

NJ: 22.5% by 2021

MD: 20% by 2022

35 States + D.C.taken from DSIRE: www.dsireusa.org

Minimum solar or customer-sited RE requirement.*Increased credit for solar or customer-sited RE**Includes separate tier of non-renewable “alternative” energy resources

DC: 20% by 2020

MT: 15% by 2015

*DE: 20% by 2019IL: 25%by 2025

RES

RE Goal

November 2009

*WA: 15% by 2020

OR: 25% by 2025 (large utilities) 5-10% by 2025 (smaller utilities)

CO: 20% by 2020 (IOUs)

*10% by 2020 (co-ops & large munis)

Solar water heating eligible

ND: 10% by 2015

SD: 10% by 2015

*UT: 20% by 2025

OH: 25%** by 2025

MO: 15% by 2021

*VA: 15% by 2025

MA: 15% by 2020 +

1% annual increase (Class I Renewals)

NH: 23.8% by 2025

NC: 12.5% by 2021 (IOUs) 10% by 2018 (co-ops & munis)

VT: 20% by 2017

KS: 20% by 2020

*WV: 25%** by 2025

*MI: 10%+1,100 MW by 2015

Average Residential Retail Price of Electricitycents per kilowatthour

NV: 12.8

HI: 23.8

TX: 12.7

CA: 15.1

NM: 10.2

AZ: 10.9

IA: 10.2

MN: 10.1

WI: 12.1

NY: 18.5

ME: 15.4

CT: 20.3

RI: 15.5

PA: 11.7

NJ: 16.6

MD: 15.2

MT: 8.9

DE: 14.1

IL: 11.4

RES

RE Goal

Year to date Oct. 2009

WA: 7.8

OR: 8.8

CO: 10.0

ND: 7.6

SD: 8.5

UT: 8.6

OH: 10.7

MO: 8.6

VA: 10.8

MA: 17.3

NH: 16.4

NC: 10.2

VT: 15.0

ID: 7.7

WY: 8.5

NE: 8.6

KS: 9.8

AR: 9.6OK: 8.9

WV: 7.8KY: 8.4

TN: 9.3

GA: 10.3SC: 10.3

FL: 12.3

AL: 10.6

IN: 9.4

MI: 11.9

MS: 10.1

LA: 8.4

AL: 17.2

Although 90 percent of the country's coal reserves are concentrated in 10 states, coal in mined in 27 states and can be found in even more. Montana has the most coal, 25 percent of demonstrated reserves. Wyoming, third among states with the most coal, is first in coal output, accounting for 18 percent of annual production.

State(2009 res electricity cost

kWhr)

Tons (billions)

%of

U.S.

Montana (8.9¢) 120 25.4

Illinois (11.4¢) 78 16.5

Wyoming (8.5¢) 68 14.4

West Virginia (7.8¢) 37 8.0

Kentucky (8.4¢) 30 6.3

Pennsylvania (11.7¢) 29 6.1

Ohio (10.7¢) 19 4.0

Colorado (10.0¢) 17 3.6

Texas (12.7¢) 13 2.7

Indiana (9.4¢) 10 2.1

Other States 51 10.9

TOTAL (11.7¢) 472 100.0

Coal Mining StatesReserves as of December 2005

Biomass Transportation fuelBiomass Baby Coal e-

8

Solar Energy – The AlternativeMost Abundant US Energy Resource

Florida Sunshine Resource 2X Today’s Largest Market - Germany

9

DeSoto Next GenerationSolar Energy Center

25 MW solar photovoltaic facility Enough power to serve nearly 7,000 people

Will be the largest solar photovoltaic plant in the world

Space Coast Next Generation Solar Energy Center

10 MW solar photovoltaic facility Enough power to serve nearly 2,600 people

Innovative partnership with NASA that will leverage engineering, design and operating expertise

Martin Next GenerationSolar Energy Center

75 MW solar thermal facility Enough power to serve nearly 26,000 people Largest solar thermal plant outside

of California The first hybrid solar facility in the world to connect to an existing combined-cycle

power plant

FPL’s 110 MW Solar

Number of Jobs for Solar

11

Jobs for4% Solar on Roof

TopsSolar PV Average 13 direct job-years/MW

(VS study of 5 models) Industry estimates that:

Residential: 10 job-yrs/MW Small Commercial: 9 job-

yrs/MW Large Commercial: 7 job-

yrs/MW

Benefit of 2% Goal: 31,600 job-years (low) 50,000 job-years (high)

Solar Thermal One job-year created for

every 50 systems installedBenefit of 2% Goal: 32,800 job-years

Orange County Convention Center 1 MW Solar PV

12

California went Efficiency First

Efficiency Savings then Paid for Solar

$600

per

cap

ita

at $

0.12

/kW

h

Cost of Electricity

Electricity price

Home electricity

usage

Actual cost of

electricity

Public Benfit fund

¢/kWh kWh/mon $/month $/month

CA 14.1 689 97 2.07TX 12.3 1,424 175 0NY 19.2 761 146 0.46FL 12.3 1,542 190 0USA 11.8 1,079 127 -

Public Benefits Funds for Renewables

16 states + DC have public

benefits funds($7.3 billion by 2017)

ME has a voluntary public

benefits fundtaken from DSIRE: www.dsireusa.org

* Fund does not have a specified expiration date** The Oregon Energy Trust is scheduled to expire in

2025

State PBF

State PBF supported by voluntary contributions

May 2009

CA: $363.7M in 2009 $4,566M from 1998-

2016

OR: $13.8M in 2009 $191M from 2001-2017**

MT: $750,000 in 2009$14M from 1999-2017*

RI: $2.2M in 2009$38M from 1997-2017*

MA: $25M in FY2009$524M from 1998-

2017*

NJ: $78.3M in FY2009$647M from 2001-2012

DE: $3.4M in 2009$48M from 1999-2017*

CT: $28M in FY2009$444M from 2000-

2017*

PA: $950,000 in 2009$63M from 1999-2010

NY: $15.7M in FY2009$114M from 1999-2011

VT: $5.2M in FY2009$33M from 2004-2011

ME: 2009 funding TBD$580,300 from 2002-2009

MI: $6.7M in FY2009$27M from 2001-

2017*

OH: $3.2M in 2009$63M from 2001-2010

DC: $2M in FY2009$8.8M from 2004-

2012

MN: $19.5M in 2009$327M from 1999-2017*

WI: $7.9M in 2009$90M from 2001-2017*

IL: $3.3M in FY2009$97M from 1998-

2015

15

In 2006, residential PV at $7.97/W, an LCOE of ~30¢/kWh over 30-year life.FL Residential Electricity: 2005 10¢/kWh; 2007 12 ¢/kWh; 2009 12.3 ¢/kWh;

2015 more than PV??

PV Electricity on Your RoofCheaper than the wall in 2011?

16

Florida’s Current Solar Water Heater Production

Domestic Solar Water Heater >20 years life

>139,000 Solar Water Heaters from 1978 - today each producing >2000 watts

=152 MW of Solar Energy If 40% (instead of 2.2%) of Florida Homes

by 2020 = 2,700 MW = 5 TWh (2%) of Florida’s Electricity = 32,800 job-years

17

A $2,300 InvestmentProvides 20% Return

www.myfloridagreenbuilding.info

Initial cost $2,300 ($4,000)Cost of Energy 5.6 (10.2) ¢kWhReturn on Invest. 19.8 (12.8) %Payback 7 (12) years

Even without credits and rebates cheaper than electricity out of the wall at 12.5 ¢kWh

Solar For Schools & Emergency Shelters

SunSmart Schools(2003-2009)

VisionProduce energy literate citizens who make wise energy choices leading to an improved quality of life for all.

Objectives:• Enhance education though hands-on use of PV (> 1 kW)• Integrate energy efficiency and renewable energy into the curriculum.• Expand STEM (science, technology, engineering and mathematics) opportunities• Public Outreach

SunSmart Schools(2003-2009)

State provides ~ 50% funds to install: Utilities traditionally provide other ~50%

(FPL, GRU, Gulf Power, JEA, Lakeland Electric, New Smyrna Beach, OUC, Progress, Tallahassee Elec., Talquin Electric Coop, TECO, Winter Park, Johnson Controls)

55+ 1 – 6-kilowatt (kW) demonstration system.

4 10-kW emergency shelter PV demonstration system.

$10M & $1M UCF Match for Program

(Dec. 2009 – 2012)

22

>10kW PV Grid/Battery BackupAt least 90; >1 per 67 counties

• Teach students• EnergyWhiz• Utility Report Card• Smart Meters Real-time

School Electric Consumption Data

• Efficiency Savings (real money)

SunSmart Plus (2010-2013)

SunSmart Plus (2010-2013)

Middleton High

23

Smart Meters Real-time School Electric Consumption

Data The 90 Solar High Schools

Will consume 90 x $492K = $44M per year for electricity

Opportunity for real energy savings Document energy savings in real time Modify behavior through incentives

Return substantial percentage of savings to school

Prizes for the best energy efficiency improvements

Do the Bright Thing!Conserve Energy & Use Solar

EXTRA SLIDES

Efficiency First, then Renewable Energy Made in Florida

If you have any money the best ROI is in retrofitting your house

JOBS! Retrofitting homes, manufacturing and installing solar

Solar works in Florida, but we must have “free real estate.” Distributed Generation not Baseload

What do you plant to get the most Energy from an Acre of Dirt?

Establish the Market 10% Ethanol in Gasoline established ethanol market An RPS does that for renewebles

Energy Efficiency, Renewable Energy and

Green Jobs

Figure 2. Gross Increase in Renewable Electricity Supported Jobs: Cumulative 2009-2025

RES Alliance for Jobs, Job Impacts of a 25% by 2025 RES, Conducted by Navigant Consulting

Figure 3. Change in Renewable Electricity Supported Jobs without a National RES:

2009-2025

Figure 4. Distribution of Direct Jobs in the Renewable Electricity Industry with a 25% by 2025 RES: 2009-2025.

www.res-alliance.org