clayton christensen8
TRANSCRIPT
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3/30/12 Copyright Clayton M. Christensen
7%
12%
18%
SteelQuality
19801975 1985 1990
Rebar
Angleiron;bars&rods
Structura
lSteel
Sheetsteel
2530%
The pursuit of profit drives companies up-market. Moving
towards affordability and accessibility seems less profitable.
1995
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Surgical
suites
High-speed
multi-channel
testers
Imaging: MRI,
CT, PET
Scanners
Specialist physicians
Personal physicians
Nurse practitioners
Pharmacists
Clinics
Offices
Homes
The decentralization that follows centralization
is only beginning in healthcare
1. Bring the problem to the solution. 2. Then bring the solution to the problem.
RetailClinics
Familycare
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Enablers of Disruption
A new value network a new system
of suppliers and distributers
Business model innovation
Lower-cost venues of care
Lower-cost care givers
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Probabilistic
pattern
recognition
Rules-based
Intuitive,
trial-and-error
problem-
solving
Synthetic
fibers:
Nylon
Polyester
Acetate
Kevlar
Infectious
diseases;
Cervical
cancer
Bipolar
disorder;
Seizures
asthma
Scientific progress that commoditizes expertise
plays a critical role in disruption
Empirical
medicine
(Evidence-basedmedicine)
Precision
medicine
(Personalizedmedicine)
Intuitive
medicine
(symptoms < diseases)
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PROCESSES:
Ways of working together toaddress recurrent tasks in a
consistent way: training,
development, manufacturing,
budgeting, planning, etc.
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REVENUE FORMULA:
Assets & fixed cost structure,
and the margins & velocity
required to cover them
THE VALUE PROPOSITION:
A product that helps
customers do more effectively,
conveniently & affordably a
job theyve been trying to do
RESOURCES:
People, technology, products,
facilities, equipment, brands,
and cash that are required to
deliver this value proposition
to the targeted customers
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2007 Innosight LLC8
7%
4%12%
8%
18% 22%
% of tons
SteelQuality
19801975 1985 1990
Rebar
Angleiron;bars&rods
StructuralSteel
Sheetsteel
2530%55%
Evaluating investments on marginal rather than full costs biases incumbent
leaders to leverage what they have, instead of building what they need
$350
285
65
Minimill
$350
15
335
Marginal
$350
340
10
Existing
Price
Cost
Net
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Integrating forward to the decoupling point
Heads &
Disks
Disk
DrivesComputers
Applications
SoftwareService
Heads &
Disks
Disk
DrivesComputers
Applications
SoftwareService
Heads &
Disks
Disk
DrivesComputers
Applications
SoftwareService
Heads &Disks
DiskDrives
Computers ApplicationsSoftware
Service
Heads &
Disks
Disk
Drives
ComputersApplications
SoftwareService
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Government-paid systems are similarly stymied by their silo
structures: Canada, Germany, Netherlands
The structure for 90% of Americans drives caregivers to defend
and strengthen their silos. They cannot drive care towards
lower-cost caregivers and lower-cost venues of care.
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Kaiser Permanente, Intermountain, Geisinger
Employer-provided care
Sweden, Finland
Those with a system perspective find that patient health
and the drive to lower-cost venues of care and lower-
cost caregivers improve profitability.
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Dave Snow, asthmaCEO, Medco
National Jewish Medical Center
Pulmonary & Respiratory Diseases
No model can
do everything
for everybody.
Fee for service
"#$%&'($) *+,%
-./ #+)0$120(#$%
/10)$#%(3 . 1$4&1(56
03(51(6% #7 8#%9140'%
Solution Shops
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We need solution shops for disorders that today
are determined by symptom, not the cause:
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Type II diabetes
Obesity
Depression
Schizophrenia
Bipolar disorder
Epilepsy
Parkinson
s
disease
Crohn
s disease
Arthritis
Chronic back pain Ulcerative colitis
Alzheimer
s
disease
Multiple sclerosis
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1101
General HospitalShouldiceHospital
(hernia repair)
$970$700Cost of supplies & direct labor
$6030$1600Overhead burden
$7,000$2,300Total cost for equivalent
length of stay
Service families offered
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Sources & magnitude of cost differences:
process vs. general hospitals
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Business models for ongoing care
Degree to which behavior change is required
Minimal Extensive
Motivationto
adheretoth
erapy
Strong:
quickly feelconsequences
Weak:
Complications
are deferred
=>96 ? #910 "+#8$
%
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Better science and the pursuit of profit will enable
pharmacies to provide more and better care.
Degree to which behavior change is required
Minimal Extensive
Motivationto
adheretoth
erapy
Strong:
quickly feelconsequences
Weak:
Complications
are deferred
=>96 ? #910 "+#8$
%
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Business models for adherence in chronic care
Degree to which behavior change is required
Minimal Extensive
Motivationto
adheretoth
erapy
Strong:
quickly feelconsequences
Weak:
Complications
are deferred
!"#$ & '()*$+$,
-..(/012,!"#$ && '()*$+$,
-,+34)
5126$,07$
3$)8+ 9)(:;8$
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Integration
Fasting and
prayer for
modularity
A common language and a common
way to frame the problem
Fourwaystotackleregulatoryc
hange
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Well do
anything for
anybody.
Overhead =
85% of total
Overheadincreases 30%
for each
doubling of
complexityVariablequality
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PolishingDep
t.
Annealing
furnace
Turning machines
Tapping
equipment
De-burringCut-offsaws
Shipping Department Office areaStorage
Hobbing department
Boring
machines
Stamping
machines
Assembly
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The Resource
Allocation Process:Decisions about what
gets resources: what
to do & what not to do
Intended Strategy:Analytical project
followed by
implementation
Emergent InitiativesResponses to
unforeseen opportunities
and problems
Stream of new
products, services,
processes and
acquisitions
Actual strategy
that is implemented
Processes of Strategy Formulation and Implementation
Prioritiesembedded incompanys
profit model
Bad money demands that new
businesses become very
big, very past
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Diabetes companies typically have targeted customers who
dont own the job of keeping healthy.
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Familycaregivers
Help him feel
that hes in
trouble!
Patient
Productivity
Absenteeism
Disability
Health RetentionProfitability &
competitiveness
Employers
B i d l i i i k
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Business model innovation is key to
improving quality and reducing costs.
Hospital industry wasestablished when:
Transportation was costly
Doctors were inexpensive
Each community needed ahospital
Though they were called
General Hospitals,they
actually were focused becausemost diseases were acute
The world has changed. Theindustry
s paradigm has
not.
Transportation is cheap and
pervasive.
Doctors are costly
Most diseases are chronic
Most hospitals try to doeverything for everybody
90% of all costs in the hospital are
overhead inherent to the businessmodel
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B siness model liq idation occ rs b helping
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Business model liquidation occurs by helpingcustomers to get their job done: Profits
Mother boards
Computer assembly
Supply chain& logistics
Product design
BrandDell AsusTek
Simple circuit boards
Mother boards
Computer assembly
Supply chain& logistics
Product design
Brand
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Three levels in the architecture of a job
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What
s the job-to-be-done?(Each job has functional, emotional & social dimensions)
What experiences in purchase & use
must we provide to do the job perfectly?
What and how to integrate?
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Integrating correctly to help customers get the job
done is the essence of defensible differentiation
IKEA Federal Express
SAS
Zara
Microsoft Office
TurboTax; QuickBooks
V8
OnStar
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Targeting the job enables precision
in product development
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Product
category
Too manyfeatures;
wrong
features
Customercategory
One-size-
fits-none
product
Job to be done
Proper
integration
of all needed
experiences
Outsourcing often sets in motion disruptive
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Wall Street Analysts
Pharmaceutical Cos.
Petroleum Majors
Auto companies
IT departments
Customer Supplier
Bloomberg
CROs.
Halliburton,Schlumberger
Tier One Suppliers
TCS, Infosys, Wipro
Physicians Pharmacies
Outsourcing often sets in motion disruptivebusiness model liquidation
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