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Ravensworth Underground Mine
December 2011
XCN 13-027
Subsidence Management Plan Application
Risk Assessment for Longwalls 1 to 7 of the Upper Liddell Seam
Ravensworth Underground Mine
FINAL
Subsidence Management Plan Risk Assessment
Xstrata Coal NSW - Ravensworth Underground Mine Table of Contents
GSS Environmental December 2011 i
TABLE OF CONTENTS 1.0 INTRODUCTION .............................................................................................................................. 1
1.1 BACKGROUND AND SCOPE ....................................................................................................................................... 1
2.0 AIMS AND OBJECTIVES ................................................................................................................ 4
3.0 METHODOLOGY ............................................................................................................................. 5
3.1 OUTLINE OF GENERAL APPROACH ............................................................................................................................ 5
3.1.1 Xstrata Coal Risk and Change Management Standard, XC RI STD 0001 ............................................... 5
3.1.2 AS/NZS ISO 31000:2009 – Risk management – Principles and guidelines ............................................. 5
3.1.3 DTIRIS NSW Guideline for Applications for Subsidence Management Approvals ................................... 6
3.2 THE WORKING GROUP ............................................................................................................................................. 6
3.3 WORKSHOP SESSION ............................................................................................................................................... 6
3.4 DETERMINATION AND ASSIGNING THE RISK RATING ................................................................................................... 7
3.4.1 Consequence ............................................................................................................................................ 7
3.4.2 Likelihood or probability of an incident occurring ...................................................................................... 7
3.4.3 Risk Rating ................................................................................................................................................ 7
3.4.4 Assumptions ............................................................................................................................................. 7
4.0 RISK REGISTER .............................................................................................................................. 8
5.0 REFERENCE MATERIAL ................................................................................................................ 8
TABLES
Table 1: Key stakeholders involved in the SMP Risk Assessment workshop ....................................... 7
Table 2: Reference Material used for the Risk Assessment ...................................................................... 8
FIGURES
Figure 1: SMP Risk Assessment Study Area .............................................................................................. 2
Figure 2: Proposed Disturbance Within SMP Area .................................................................................... 3
APPENDICES
Appendix 1: Ravensworth Underground Mine SMP Risk Register
Appendix 2: Xstrata Coal Risk and Change Management Standard
Subsidence Management Plan Risk Assessment
Xstrata Coal NSW - Ravensworth Underground Mine Introduction
GSS Environmental December 2011 1
1.0 INTRODUCTION
GSS Environmental (GSSE) was engaged by Ravensworth Underground Mine (RUM) to facilitate a Risk
Assessment to be included as part of a Subsidence Management Plan (SMP) Application to allow the
commencement of underground mining of the Upper Liddell Seam, utilising longwall mining methods.
A qualitative risk assessment methodology was developed by GSSE specifically for undertaking Risk
Assessments associated with mining operations. It has been developed in accordance with the
requirements of the Australian Standard AS/NZS ISO 3100:2009 – Risk Management – Principles and
guidelines to provide a consistent approach. In addition, the NSW Department of Trade and Investment,
Regional Infrastructure and Services (DTIRIS) (formerly NSW I&I) Guideline for Applications for
Subsidence Management Approvals (2003) were also utilised to guide the Risk Assessment, in particular
section 6.10.2, which relates specifically to Risk Assessments associated with Subsidence impacts.
The Risk Assessment was undertaken by assembling key stakeholders and conducting a workshop to
identify the activities, aspects and possible impacts associated with the mine induced subsidence.
This report summarises the scope, aims and objectives of this SMP risk assessment, describes the
methodology used, and details the outcomes of this process.
1.1 Background and Scope
RUM is situated in the Hunter Valley Coalfields of New South Wales, approximately 25 kilometres
northwest of Singleton. The Ravensworth Coal Handling Preparation Plant (RCHPP) and the Ravensworth
Coal Terminal (RCT) operate at the site, and are utilised by RUM for coal preparation and loading
purposes. Coal is extracted using longwall mining methods which commenced in 2007.
Since longwall mining commenced, RUM has collected data regarding the performance of its mining
activities through the careful design and subsequent collection of data from its underground, subsidence
and environmental monitoring programs. Monitoring requirements of the current Subsidence Management
Plan for Pikes Gully longwalls one to nine include regular subsidence surveys being undertaken along with
weekly visual inspections and reports.
RUM plans to prepare a SMP application to allow extraction of longwalls 1 to 7 of the Upper Liddell Seam.
The SMP area lies within Mining Leases (ML) 1495 and 1477, Sub-surface ML 1349, and Surface lease ML
1485. Longwalls 1 to 7 lie to the north of the current approved Project Area, as shown in Figure 1. A large
section of the SMP Area will be disturbed during the next five years (2012 – 2016) by Ravensworth Surface
Operations (see Figure 2) through active mining and the emplacement of overburden.
Submission of the SMP is scheduled for April 2012, with approval required by September 2012 to ensure
continuity of mining.
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LEGEND
Version Date: Author: Checked: Approved:
FIGURE 1
Longwalls 1 - 7
Liddell Seam
Project:
Client:
File:
Projection:
Liddell Seam Longwall Layout
Ravensworth Underground Mine
Fg1_2_XCN13-027_LiddellSeamLW1-7_111116
MGA94 Zone 56
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Scale 1:30000
Approved Workings
Project Area
Longwalls 1 - 7
UL - Upper Liddell Seam2 04/11/11 LH CJ CJ
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LEGEND
Version Date: Author: Checked: Approved:
FIGURE 2
Upper Lidell Seam SMP
Emplacement / Active Mining Area
Project:
Client:
File:
Projection:
Liddell Seam Longwall Layout
Ravensworth Underground Mine
Fg5_XCN13-027_UpperLiddellSeamSMPEmplacementActiveMiningArea_111116
MGA94 Zone 56
1 14/11/11 KC CJ CJ
Base Plan Data Source:
0 500m250
V:\XCN13-027\Figures\Final\CAD\Fg5_XCN13-027_UpperLiddellSeamSMPEmplacementActiveMiningArea_111116.dwg
To be printed A3
Scale 1:30000
Approved Workings
Project Area
Longwalls 1 - 7
UL - Upper Liddell Seam
Emplacement / Active Mining Area(Ravensworth Surface Operations 2012 - 2016)
Subsidence Management Plan Risk Assessment
Xstrata Coal NSW - Ravensworth Underground Mine Aims and Objectives
GSS Environmental December 2011 4
2.0 AIMS AND OBJECTIVES
The aim of the SMP Risk Assessment was to assess the risks/hazards from subsidence caused by RUM’s
proposed mining operations. It also provides a forum for identifying issues requiring consideration as part
of the SMP application. The proposed underground mining system at RUM involves longwall mining
methods.
The following specific aims were established for the risk assessment:
To assemble key project stakeholders with appropriately varied and relevant experience to identify
the activities, aspects and possible subsidence related impacts of the mining operation;
Determine a risk rating for the above using a recognised qualitative risk assessment procedure and
assigning a priority for consideration by the project team and inclusion in the SMP; and
To provide the basis for applying management controls to minimise the impacts associated with mine
induced subsidence.
The key objectives of the risk assessment for the Liddell Seam Longwalls 1 to 7 SMP are:
To establish an appropriate risk assessment team of suitably qualified and experienced RUM staff,
Ravensworth Surface Operations staff and specialist consultants;
Discuss and review existing information known for the Liddell Seam Longwalls 1 to 7 SMP and
experience in previous mining areas;
Identify, assess & evaluate potential subsidence impacts to the surface and subsurface features
(natural & man-made) for the aspects typically required by government regulators for subsidence
impact assessment and management (i.e. the DTIRIS Guideline for Subsidence Management
Applications (2003)), and in accordance with the Xstrata Coal Risk and Change Management
Standard (XC RI STD 0001) using the Xstrata Coal Risk Matrix (probability matrix of consequence
and likelihood);
To focus on identifying and addressing potentially high risks or potentially severe consequences
(including where a lack of current information which may present potential risk);
To establish a Draft Risk Register and Risk Report for the Liddell Seam Longwalls 1 to 7 SMP for
review and comment by the risk team;
The identification of additional controls required (including with respect to updating RUM
Management Plans); and
To produce a Final Risk Assessment Report (including the Risk Register) for the Liddell Seam
Longwalls 1 to 7 SMP suitable to accompany the SMP Application addressing requirements
stipulated in the Guideline for Applications for Subsidence Management Approvals (2003).
Subsidence Management Plan Risk Assessment
Xstrata Coal NSW - Ravensworth Underground Mine Methodology
GSS Environmental December 2011 5
3.0 METHODOLOGY
3.1 Outline of General Approach
Risk is the chance of something happening that will have either a positive or negative impact. It involves
consideration of the sources of the risk assessing the consequences and considering the likelihood that
those consequences might occur. The impact may vary in consequence from Catastrophic -a major event
which could cause severe impact through to Insignificant -no detrimental impact is measured or envisaged.
The Risk Rating assigned to the activity during this process is measured in terms of both consequence
(severity) and likelihood (probability) of the event occurring.
Risk assessment is the formalised means by which the subsidence related impacts are systematically
identified, assessed, ranked according to perceived risk and addressed by means of appropriate and
effective controls or management outcomes.
The qualitative risk assessment methodology applied by GSSE for this risk assessment has been
developed in accordance with the following requirements:
Xstrata Coal Risk and Change Management Standard, XC RI STD 0001;
The Australian and New Zealand Standard AS/NZS ISO 31000:2009 – Risk management –
Principles and guidelines; and
DTIRIS Guideline for Applications for Subsidence Management Approvals (2003).
3.1.1 Xstrata Coal Risk and Change Management Standard, XC RI STD 0001
Xstrata Coal has developed a risk and change management standard relating to the application of risk
management at all Xstrata Coal operations and projects. The intent of this standard is to ensure that risks
associated with Xstrata Coal’s business, including risks arising from planned and unplanned changes, will
be identified, analysed and evaluated, treated as appropriate, and then monitored and reviewed.
This standard describes the risk management process, including consequence and likelihood descriptions,
and a risk matrix which was used for this risk assessment. This standard also appends the Xstrata Coal
Guideline for Application of Mandatory Risk Assessments – Broad Brush/Baseline, Life of Mine Planning
and Business Planning Processes. The Xstrata Coal Risk and Change Management Standard XC RI STD
0001 is provided as Appendix 2.
3.1.2 AS/NZS ISO 31000:2009 – Risk management – Principles and guidelines
A qualitative risk assessment methodology was developed by GSSE in accordance with the requirements
of the Australian Standard AS/NZS ISO 3100:2009 – Risk management – Principles and guidelines.
The following five basic steps were used during the Risk Assessment process:
(a) Establishing the internal and external context for the risk assessment process, including developing
consequence criteria and defining the structure of the risk assessment process;
(b) Identifying the related risks, including what could happen, when and where;
(c) Analysing the risks using a qualitative risk approach (i.e. identifying existing controls, determining
specific consequences / likelihoods table and then determining the level of risk);
(d) Evaluating the risks to determine the significant issues. The purpose of risk evaluation is to make
decisions, based on the outcomes of the risk assessment, defining which risks need controls or
mitigation strategies and to assign priorities; and
(e) Identifying management controls to be incorporated into the SMP and other site management
plans.
Subsidence Management Plan Risk Assessment
Xstrata Coal NSW - Ravensworth Underground Mine Methodology
GSS Environmental December 2011 6
3.1.3 DTIRIS NSW Guideline for Applications for Subsidence Management Approvals
The Risks were assessed for the following 15 key areas as defined by the section 6.10.2 of the Guideline
for Applications for Subsidence Management Approvals (2003). These include:
1) Public Safety;
2) Areas of high environmental, heritage or archaeological significance;
3) Wetlands, swamps and water related ecosystems;
4) Catchment areas causing exacerbating erosion and drainage pattern changes;
5) Significant water courses including surface flows, water quantity and quality and ecological
integrity;
6) Significant groundwater resources including groundwater levels and quality;
7) Threatened and protected species under the Threatened Species Conservation Act (1995);
8) The stability of escarpments and significant cliff lines, pagodas or steep slopes;
9) The serviceability of major public utilities and/or amenities;
10) Surface improvements causing damage beyond, serviceability and repairability;
11) Agricultural suitability or productivity;
12) Industrial, commercial and business establishments;
13) Foreshores and land prone to flooding or inundation;
14) Prescribed dams (including stored waters and reservoirs) and/or structures referred to by the Dams
Safety Act 1978; and
15) Any other areas or features within the Application area causing significant concern to the
community, local and state government agencies.
3.2 The Working Group
A working group was assembled and a risk assessment workshop was held to define the risk assessment
context, identify the risks/hazards associated with the planned activities, and assess the possible impacts
of these risks/hazards. The risks/hazards identified were recorded in a risk register which was reviewed by
key technical people within the RUM SMP team.
3.3 Workshop Session
RUM staff, Ravensworth Surface Operations staff, and select consultants were invited to form a working
group to assist in the preparation of this SMP Risk Assessment. This was to enable the risks to be
assessed by individuals who have experience within relevant areas associated with mine operations, with a
particular emphasis on experience with subsidence related issues.
A risk assessment workshop was held at the Singleton RSC, on Thursday 10 November, 2011. The
workshop was facilitated by Andrew Hutton, Principal Environmental Consultant from GSSE. A list of
stakeholders who attended the risk assessment workshop is provided in Table 1.
Subsidence Management Plan Risk Assessment
Xstrata Coal NSW - Ravensworth Underground Mine Risk Register/Reference Material
GSS Environmental December 2011 7
Table 1: Key stakeholders involved in the SMP Risk Assessment workshop
3.4 Determination and Assigning the Risk Rating
The following section outlines the approach used to assign a specific risk rating to each aspect of the SMP
risk assessment.
3.4.1 Consequence
Determination of the risk rating was based on the potential consequence descriptions outlined in the
Xstrata Coal Risk and Change Management Standard XC RI STD 0001 (see Appendix 2). These
descriptions have been designed such that the project team could make a subjective assessment of the
likely consequence using a series of assumptions or descriptors. The magnitude of the consequence of an
event was assessed using these descriptors and assigned a rating of one to five.
3.4.2 Likelihood or probability of an incident occurring
The likelihood of an event occurring was considered by the working group. The likelihood (or probability) of
an impact occurring was assessed using the descriptions outlined in the Xstrata Coal Risk and Change
Management Standard XC RI STD 0001 (see Appendix 2). The likelihood of an event occurring was
assigned a rating of A to E.
3.4.3 Risk Rating
The risk rating was assigned by combining the consequence with the likelihood that the consequence
would occur. A numerical risk ranking between one and 25 was allocated for each aspect using the Xstrata
Coal Risk Matrix.
A rating of one to five is considered a low risk, six to 16 a medium risk, and 17 to 25 a high risk. The goal is
to apply management controls or mitigation strategies to reduce the risk to as low as possible.
3.4.4 Assumptions
The key assumptions in assigning the risk ratings were as follows:
That longwall mining techniques will be used; and
That approval is being sought for mining within the SMP risk assessment study area outlined in
Figure 1.
Name Title Company
Scott Hobden Technical Services Manager RUM
Nick Slater Technical Services Manager Ravensworth Surface Operations
Andrew Kelly Approvals Coordinator RUM
James Barben Environment and Community Coordinator RUM
Duncan MacDougal Surveyor RUM
Calvin Sciani Surveyor RUM
Gareth Swarbrick Principal Geotechnical Engineer PSM
Kevin Price Contractor Brunskill
Andrew Hutton Principal GSS Environmental
Chris Jones Senior Environmental Scientist GSS Environmental
Jess Elmes Environmental Scientist GSS Environmental
Subsidence Management Plan Risk Assessment
Xstrata Coal NSW - Ravensworth Underground Mine Risk Register/Reference Material
GSS Environmental December 2011 8
4.0 RISK REGISTER
The Risk Register (see Appendix 1) has been prepared to document the SMP Risk Assessment outcomes
for inclusion in the preparation of the SMP Application for Ravensworth Underground Mine.
The Risk Assessment identified 19 potential risks associated with subsidence caused by mining Longwalls
1 to 7 of the Upper Liddell Seam. 11 of these risks were identified as a low risk, and eight were identified as
medium risk. No risks associated with mining the SMP area were identified as a high risk.
5.0 REFERENCE MATERIAL
The documents outlined in Table 2 below were used as references for completion of the SMP risk
assessment process.
Table 2: Reference Material used for the Risk Assessment
Document Type Title Version Document Date
Presentation
Subsidence Management Plan- Pikes Gully
Seam – LW 8-9 and Upper Liddell Seam LW’s1-
7.
1 10 November
2011
Subsidence Management
Plan Application Longwalls 1-9 SMP Application 1 August 2005
Xstrata Coal Standard Risk and Change Management Standard XC RI
STD 0001 1.0 30 August 2010
Environmental Risk Assessment: Ravensworth UG - LW 1-7 SMPStep 5:
Determine RCEStep 10: PMC
Key Element
(CURA Context/Category)
Sub
Key
Elemen
Risk Description - Something
happens……
Consequence -
resulting in:Causes - Caused by Risk Owner Existing Control Description
Nature of
Control
(Optional)
Control Owner
(Contact)
Fatal Hazard Protocol
(as applicable)
Risk Control
Effectiveness
Consequence
Category
Expected Risk
Consequence
Risk
Likelihood
Current
Risk
Rating
Authority for
Continued Toleration
Timing
Authority for Continued
Toleration Authority
Potential
Maximum
Consequence
Treatment plans/tasks (Description) Task Owner Due Date
Stage of
Completion
Percentage%
Comments
01. Public Safety1
No XCN personnel accessing
the site above the LWsInjury / accident
Interactions with
surface crackingMarc Kirsten As previous Preventative
Dave
HuthnanceSatisfactory Health & Safety 1 A 1 Mgt System Not Applicable 1 Nil
Dennis
Mitchell
Brunker Lane will become Lemington
Road and care will be need to ensure
adequate security
Other stakeholders
(construction activities)1a
Construction activities
occurring above the LW
(Ravensworth North, Ashton,
Macquarie Generation and
RUM)
Injury / accidentInteractions with
surface crackingMarc Kirsten
Consultation with Macquarie
Generation/Ashton
Weekly inspections
Regular Monitoring
Signage
Fencing and locked gates
security
Access agreements
Road maintenance
Speed limits
Preventative Varied Satisfactory Health & Safety 3 B 9 Within 1 monthSuperintendent/Manager/P
roject Team3
Include reference to subsidence in the
inductions for the relevant stakeholders
Send out a consultation letter and
facilitate meeting where required
Andrew Kelly
Macquarie Generation
Land1b
People accessing site above
the LW panels on Macquarie
Generation owned land
Injury/accidentInteractions with
surface crackingMarc Kirsten
Consultation with Macquarie
Generation
Weekly Inspections
Regular monitoring
Signage (subsidence
warnings)
Access agreement with
Macquarie Generation
PreventativeMacquarie
GenerationSatisfactory Health & Safety 1 B 2 Mgt System Not Applicable 1
Advise Macquarie Generation that there
may be cracking and that they should
include that in any of their inductions
James Barben
New England Highway 1cNew England Highway runs
adjacent to the SMP area
Damage to or
deformation of the
New England
Highway resulting if
the need to spend
substantial dollars on
remediation, etc
Subsidence Scott Hobden
Mine Planning has heading
under/adjacent to the highway
200m separation from the
longwall.
Preventative Scott Hobden Satisfactory Financial 4 A 10 Within 1 monthGM/Ops Mgr/Project
Manager4
GPS control survey will be considered
where required - following consultation
with the DITRIS
Steve Smith
North South Railway Line 1d
The Main North South
Railway is adjacent to the
SMP Area
Damage to or
deformation of the
railway line resulting
in the need to spend
substantial dollars on
remediation or pay for
losses.
Subsidence Scott HobdenRailway line is 600m from the
longwallPreventative --- Satisfactory Financial 4 A 10 Within 1 month
GM/Ops Mgr/Project
Manager4 No further consideration required ---
02. Areas of high
environmental, heritage, or
archaeological
significance.
2 Aboriginal sites Damage to or loss of
Aboriginal sites
Cracking as a result
of mine induced
subsidence
Scott Hobden
Aboriginal Heritage
Management Plan
A number of studies have
been undertaken on the site
Preventative James Barben SatisfactoryLegal &
Compliance3 C 13 Within 1 month
GM/Ops Mgr/Project
Manager3
Review the current Aboriginal studies to
ensure that the areas have been
assessed
Complete the Archaeological due
diligence
Andrew Kelly
03. Wetlands, swamps
and water related
ecosystems3
The working group confirmed
that this was not applicable to
the site
--- --- --- --- --- --- --- --- --- --- --- --- --- --- --- --- ---
04. Catchment areas
causing or exacerbating
erosion and drainage
pattern changes
4
Surface water management
drainage systems (man-made
in mine rehabilitation)
Environmental
incident (water not
being managed as
required)
Subsidence Scott Hobden
Interactions with Ravensworth
Surface Operations and
Macquarie Generation
Inspections
Surface water management
plan for Ravensworth Surface
Operations/Macquarie
Generation
Mitigating James Barben Satisfactory Environment 2 B 5 Mgt System Not Applicable 2
Implement monitoring across the SMP
area
Implement inspection regime to ensure
water management systems are
working as designed
Steve Smith
05. Significant water
courses including surface
flows, water quantity and
quality and ecological
integrity
5
The working group confirmed
that this was not applicable to
the site
--- --- --- --- --- --- --- --- --- --- --- --- --- --- --- --- ---
06. Significant
groundwater resources
including groundwater
levels and quality
6
The working group confirmed
that this was not applicable to
LW 1-7
--- --- --- --- --- --- --- --- --- --- --- --- --- --- --- --- ---
07. Threatened and
protected species under
the Threatened Species
Conservation Act 1995
7
There is some potential that
threatened species could be
present
Impact on the species
(bat and warbler)Subsidence
Assessment
Biodiversity Rehabilitation and
Land Management PlanPreventative Satisfactory Environment 1 A 1 Mgt System Not Applicable 1 Ecology to be assessed for SMP
08. The stability of
escarpments and
significant clifflines,
pagodas or steep slopes.
8
The working group confirmed
that this was not applicable to
LW 1-7
--- --- --- --- --- --- --- --- --- --- --- --- --- --- --- --- ---
Narama active dumps
tipping face (may be
finished)
8aFailure of the active tip face
(Dump 7)Injury / accident Subsidence Nick Slater
Communication with
Ravensworth Surface
Operations
Daily Inspections (OCE -
Ravensworth Surface
Operations)
TARP systems
Geotechnical Assessment
Preventative Nick Slater 1. Strata FailureRequire
ImprovementHealth & Safety 3 B 9 Within 1 month
Superintendent/Manager/P
roject Team3
Independent Geo tech assessment of
the subsidence / tip face - report to
Ravensworth Surface Operations
Consider alternate dumping during the
mining period
Notification / Communication from RUM
(link to mine plan)
Andrew Kelly
Ashton Tailings Dam Wall 8b
Failure of the Ashton Tailings
Dams Wall (eastern wall
prescibed, western wall is
not)
injury / accident Subsidence Scott Hobden
Inspections (Ashton)
Designed to withstand
subsidence
Ashton Eastern Saddle Dam
Management Plan
Monitoring
Dam safety Committee Wall
Preventative Steve Smith Satisfactory Health & Safety 2 B 5 Mgt System Not Applicable 2
Update the Management Plan
Consultation with Ashton
Consultation with the DSC
Andrew Kelly
Ravensworth South
Tailings Dam Wall8c
Failure of the Ravensworth
South Tailings Dam Wallinjury / accident Subsidence
Dave
Huthnance
Will not be utilised when
mining occurs (2017) -
anticipated that it will be
capped
PreventativeDave
HuthnanceSatisfactory Health & Safety 2 B 5 Mgt System Not Applicable 2 ---
Macquarie Generation Ash
Dam Wall8d
Failure of the Macquarie
Generation Ash Dam Wallinjury / accident Subsidence Scott Hobden
Subsidence Monitoring
Communications
Inspections
Preventative Scott HobdenRequire
ImprovementHealth & Safety 2 C 8 Within 1 month
Superintendent/Manager/P
roject Team2
Ensure that the subsidence impact
assessment specifically includes
impacts on the Macquarie Generation
Ash Dam Wall and review the mine
layout in relation to the outcomes
Andrew Kelly
09. The serviceability of
major public utilities
and/or amenities
933KV(?) Powerlines cross
through the SMP area.
Damage to or loss of
the utility Subsidence Dave Morley
Monitoring of powerlines
Inspections
Installation of rollers
Remedial works
PreventativeDave
DrinkwaterSatisfactory Financial 2 B 5 Mgt System Not Applicable 2
Complete a report (powerserve) to
confirm the impacts from subsidence
once the assessment has been
completed (rollers, etc).
Confrim the location, what they service
and the size of the powerline to be
confirmed as part of the assessment
Steve Smith
Information regarding the powerline
type/ alignment/ ownership to be
reviewed as part of SMP
Roads and access tracks 9aNumerous roads and access
tracks cross the SMP areainjury / accident Subsidence Scott Hobden
Inpsections
Maintenance
Speed Limits
Communications
Preventative Steve Smith Satisfactory Health & Safety 2 B 5 Mgt System Not Applicable 3 Repair as required. Steve Smith
Considered preparing mgt plans for
Ashton and Macquarie Generation
infrastructure seperately
Step 11: Treat the RisksStep 2: Assess Type; Key Elements-
These change depending on TYPE of Step 3: Identify the risks, causes and potential consequences Step 4: Identify the existing controls to manage the identified risks
Steps 6, 7 & 8: Determine the Expected Consequence /
Likelihood applicable to the Expected Consequence / Current
Step 9: Determine the Authority for Continued
Toleration of risk
12/12/2011,1:32 PM 1 of 2 C:\Users\JessicaElmes\AppData\Local\Microsoft\Windows\Temporary Internet Files\Content.Outlook\4QO09E43\XCN13-027_1111_Liddell Seam LW 1-7 SMP Risk Assessment - V1 1
Environmental Risk Assessment: Ravensworth UG - LW 1-7 SMPStep 5:
Determine RCEStep 10: PMC
Key Element
(CURA Context/Category)
Sub
Key
Elemen
Risk Description - Something
happens……
Consequence -
resulting in:Causes - Caused by Risk Owner Existing Control Description
Nature of
Control
(Optional)
Control Owner
(Contact)
Fatal Hazard Protocol
(as applicable)
Risk Control
Effectiveness
Consequence
Category
Expected Risk
Consequence
Risk
Likelihood
Current
Risk
Rating
Authority for
Continued Toleration
Timing
Authority for Continued
Toleration Authority
Potential
Maximum
Consequence
Treatment plans/tasks (Description) Task Owner Due Date
Stage of
Completion
Percentage%
Comments
Step 11: Treat the RisksStep 2: Assess Type; Key Elements-
These change depending on TYPE of Step 3: Identify the risks, causes and potential consequences Step 4: Identify the existing controls to manage the identified risks
Steps 6, 7 & 8: Determine the Expected Consequence /
Likelihood applicable to the Expected Consequence / Current
Step 9: Determine the Authority for Continued
Toleration of risk
XCN utilities, services and
infrastructure9b
XCN operates an open cut
mine with related services
and infrastructure:
- Crushing Plant/dumping
station/transfer station
- out of pit dump
- water management
infrastructure
- ROM stockpile
- Rejects conveyor (just
outside SMP area)
Damage to or loss of
the utility /
infrastructre
Subsidence Nick Slater
Planning for subsidence
Communication with
Ravensworth Surface
Operations
PreventativeRequire
ImprovementFinancial 2 C 8 Within 1 month
Superintendent/Manager/P
roject Team3
Specifically assess the impact of
subsidence on the Ravensworth
Surface Operationsinfrastructure and
determine appropriate mitigation
actions
Andrew Kelly
Need to confirm the location of the
proposed rejects conveyor to enusre
it is outside the SMP area
Macquarie Generation
Utilities, services and
amenities (infrastructure)
9c
Macquarie Generation owned
lands within the SMP area
(includes return water
pipelines [proposed] ash dam
extension of pipeline
[proposed], powerlines
Damage to or loss of
the utility /
infrastructre
Subsidence Scott Hobden Same as previous Steve Smith Andrew Kelly
Ashton utilities, services
and amenities
(infrastructure)
9d
Ashton has a tailings dam,
pipeline return water, pump
stations, powerlines, are
contained within the SMP
area
Damage to or loss of
the utility /
infrastructre
Subsidence Scott Hobden Same as previous Steve Smith Andrew Kelly
Leachate Dam 9e
Macquarie Generation has a
leachate dam below the Ash
Dam
Water entering the
undereground
workings
Subsidence Scott HobdenInspections
MonitoringPreventative Steve Smith
5. Inrush and
Outburst
Require
ImprovementFinancial 4 B 14 Within 1 month
GM/Ops Mgr/Project
Manager4
Ensure that the subsidence impact
assessment specifically includes
impacts on the Leachate dam and the
likely connectivity to the Underground
workings.
Review as part of Geotechnical
assessment
Andrew Kelly
Has been mined under it previously
Confer with Ken Mills (SCT) on this
issue
RUM - PED line
(underground
communications)
9f
The RUM PED line
(underground
communications) runs
through the SMP area
Damage to or loss of
the utility /
infrastructre
Subsidence Scott HobdenInspections and testing
Preventative Steve Smith Satisfactory Health & Safety 1 A 1 Mgt System Not Applicable 1 Nil ---
10. Surface improvements
causing damage beyond
safety, serviceability and
repairability
10Impact to powerlines in SMP
area
Damage to or loss of
the utility /
infrastructre
Subsidence
Monitoring of powerlines
Inspections
Installation of rollers
Remedial works
Preventative Satisfactory Financial 2 B 5 Mgt System Not Applicable 2 ---
11. Agricultural suitability
or productivity 11
The working group confirmed
that this was not applicable to
LW 1-7
--- --- --- --- --- --- --- --- --- --- --- --- --- --- --- --- ---
12. Industrial, commercial
and business
establishments
12
The working group confirmed
that this was not applicable to
LW 1-7
--- --- --- --- --- --- --- --- --- --- --- --- --- --- --- --- ---
13. Foreshores and land
prone to flooding or
inundation
13
The working group confirmed
that this was not applicable to
LW 1-7
--- --- --- --- --- --- --- --- --- --- --- --- --- --- --- --- ---
14. Prescribed dams
(including stored waters
and reservoirs) and/or
structures referred to by
the Dams Safety Act 1978
14
Failure of the Ashton Tailings
Dams Wall (only eastern wall
is prescibed)
injury / accident Subsidence Scott Hobden
Inspections (Ashton)
Designed to withstand
subsidence
Ashton Eastern Saddle Dam
Management Plan
Monitoring
Dam safety Committee Wall
Preventative Steve Smith Satisfactory Health & Safety 2 B 5 Mgt System Not Applicable 2
Update the Ashton Eastern Saddle
Management Plan
Consultation with Ashton
Consultation with the DSC
Andrew Kelly
15. Any other areas or
features within the
Application Area causing
significant concern to the
community, local and
state government
agencies.
15
The working group confirmed
that this was not applicable to
LW 1-7
--- --- --- --- --- --- --- --- --- --- --- --- --- --- --- --- ---
12/12/2011,1:32 PM 2 of 2 C:\Users\JessicaElmes\AppData\Local\Microsoft\Windows\Temporary Internet Files\Content.Outlook\4QO09E43\XCN13-027_1111_Liddell Seam LW 1-7 SMP Risk Assessment - V1 1
Xstrata Coal
Risk & Insurance Standard
XC RI STD 0001
XC RI STD 0001
Risk & Change Management Standard
Status:
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Version: 1.0
Effective: 30/08/2010
Review: 30/08/2013
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RISK & CHANGE MANAGEMENT STANDARD
1. PURPOSE
Utilising a common methodology and in accordance with ISO 31000:2009 and the requirements under local health and safety legislation, this Standard ensures that risks
associated with Xstrata Coal‟s business, including risks arising from planned and unplanned changes, will be identified, analysed and evaluated, treated as appropriate, and then monitored and reviewed.
2. SCOPE
This Standard applies to all areas of the Xstrata Coal Business Unit, to all Divisions,
Projects, Operations and new or acquired Divisions and/or sites (“Xstrata Coal”).
Typical applications include:
Whole of Mine Broad Brush / Baseline Risk Assessments;
Operational activities, including planned and unplanned changes;
Application for Expenditure (AFE);
Request for Major Operating Expenditure;
Major Projects;
Major Contracts;
Business Planning Reviews;
Life of Mine Risk Assessments; and
Mine Closure.
3. STANDARD
3.1 Risk Management Process
Management shall systematically assess, monitor and review risks. An appropriate risk
assessment shall be performed for relevant business activities and shall identify controls critical to the achievement of the overall objectives of the relevant activity. This risk assessment shall be monitored and reviewed on a regular basis to ensure it continually reflects the existing situation with respect to the specific business activity, ie the risk profile has been updated if necessary and the existing controls are adequate and effective.
Figure 1 below shows the overall Risk Management Process outlined by ISO 31000:2009 Risk Management – Principles and guidelines.
Xstrata Coal
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Risk & Change Management Standard
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Figure 1: Risk Management Process (Adapted from ISO 31000:2009)
Xstrata Coal has adapted the ISO 31000:2009 process for use throughout the Business Unit, Divisions, Operations and Projects. Following is a description of the way in which the Xstrata Coal methodology will be applied and the criteria against which risks will be assessed. It provides step details of the Risk Management Process which encompasses identification, analysis and evaluation of risks including rating and ranking systems, requirements for risk treatment and levels of authority for continued toleration of an existing risk.
Communication and Consultation
It is vital to communicate and consult with internal and external stakeholders as appropriate at each stage of the risk management process and concerning the process as a whole. It should involve dialogue with stakeholders with efforts focused on consultation, rather than a one-way flow of information from the decision maker to other stakeholders.
Effective internal and external communications are important to ensure that those responsible for implementing risk management, and those with a relevant interest,
understand the basis on which decisions are made and why particular actions are required. It is therefore important to develop a Communications and Consultation Plan early in the process.
A participative approach is useful:
to help ensure risks are identified effectively;
for bringing different areas of expertise together in analysing risks;
for ensuring different views are appropriately considered in evaluating risks;
to gain „ownership‟ of the risk, the controls and any further treatment by certain stakeholders.
Consultation also facilitates the engagement of stakeholders and the „ownership‟ of risk issues by managers. It allows those parties to appreciate the benefits of particular controls and the need to endorse and support a risk treatment plan.
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Stakeholders are likely to make judgments about risk issues based on their perception of the risk. Since the views of stakeholders can have a significant impact on the decisions made, it is important that their perceptions of risk are identified, recorded and integrated into the decision making process.
A suitable template for the Stakeholder Analysis is given in Appendix 1, Template #1.
Xstrata Coal Risk Management Procedure
The Risk Management Procedure for Xstrata Coal is set out in the following steps:
Step 1 - Establishing the Context
Establishing the context defines the parameters within which risks will be managed and sets the scope for the balance of the risk management process. The context includes the financial, operational, health, safety, environmental, community, competitive, political (public perceptions and image), social, client, cultural and legal aspects.
Criteria against which risk will be evaluated should also be established and the structure of the analysis defined. The starting point for establishing the context is to clearly define the
project and its objectives. It should also document the following:
Exclusions – any areas that are not being considered in the risk assessment; and
Assumptions – baseline conditions, existing parameters that are known and not stated within the controls for the risk assessment.
A template for this is given in Appendix 1, Template #2 Risk Assessment Description and Objectives.
There are three elements to establishing the context as described below.
4. Identify the
existing
controls to
manage the
identified risk
2. Select the
Risk
Assessment
type and
structure the
assessment
3. Identify the
risks, causes
and potential
consequences
1. Establish the
Context
5. Determine
the Risk
Control
Effectiveness
(RCE)
6. Determine
the Expected
Consequence
taking into
account
existing
controls and
their
effectiveness
12. Monitor &
Review
11. Treat the
Risks
10. Determine
Potential
Maximum
Consequence
9. Determine
Authority for
Continued
Toleration of
Risk
8. Determine
the current
level of risk
with existing
controls
7. Determine
the Likelihood
applicable to
the Expected
Consequence
taking into
account
existing
controls and
their
effectiveness
Xstrata Coal
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External Context
This defines the environment in which the Xstrata Coal Business Unit, its Divisions and Operations operate. The relevant, external stakeholders should be identified, their objectives considered, and their perceptions, values and potential actions taken into account when developing the risk criteria.
The template in Appendix 1, Template #3 can be used for this purpose.
Internal Context
Before the risk assessment commences it is necessary to understand the internal environment.
Key considerations include:
the Xstrata culture;
relevant plans, goals and objectives;
governance, organisational structure, roles and accountabilities;
capabilities in terms of available or required resources, e.g. people, systems, processes, financial; and
who is involved and affected;
The template in Appendix 1 Template #4 can be used for this purpose.
Context for the Risk Management Process
This defines the goals, objectives, responsibilities, scope, methodology and other parameters of the risk management activity. The methods to be used, the resources required and the manner in which the results will be recorded should also be specified.
Setting the scope and boundaries of a risk assessment involves:
defining the organisational part, project, activity or change and its goals and objectives;
specifying the nature of the decisions that have to be made based on the risk assessment results;
defining the extent of the change or activity or function in terms of time and location;
identifying any scoping studies needed and their scope, objectives and the resources required; and
defining the depth, breadth and rigour of the risk assessment, including specific inclusions and exclusions.
Key Elements
To ensure it is comprehensive and effective, the risk assessment should be structured according to „key elements‟. These are a set of topics to be considered one by one during risk identification. Each topic is somewhat narrower than the project or activity as a whole, allowing those performing the identification to focus their attention and go into more depth than they would if they tried to deal with broader issues. A well-designed set of key elements will stimulate creativity, and ensure that all the important issues are put before those responsible for identifying risks.
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The key element structure depends on the objectives and the key issues of concern to Xstrata plc, Xstrata Coal and its stakeholders. Using an inappropriate structure can lead to significant items being omitted inadvertently, with potentially serious consequences, as well as making the process inefficient.
The following table provides bases for selection and examples of key elements. A Template is supplied in Appendix 1, Template #5:
Table 1: Examples for selection of Key Elements
Area of Risk Assessment Basis for selecting the
elements
Examples of Key Elements
Business planning and strategic
direction
Business activities Communications, Financial & Taxation,
HSEC, IT, Legal & Compliance, Marketing and Selling, Operational, People &
Strategic
Major Operating and Capital
Expenditure approvals
Budget items, cost items Financial & Taxation, Legal &
Compliance, Marketing and Selling, Operational, People, Strategic, HSEC
Major Contracts including Long
Term Supply and Sales Contracts
Budget items, cost items,
business activities, work process, functions of the
supplied product or service, credit worthiness, strategic
direction
Financial & Taxation, Legal &
Compliance, Marketing and Selling, Operational, People, Strategic, HSEC;
Geographical/Location
Operating issues; fitness for
purpose;
Work process, functions of
the supplied product or service,
HSEC, Operational & Maintenance
Processes, Geographical/Location, People, Geology , Geotechnical, Financial
& Taxation
Life of Mine Planning Business activities, strategic
direction
Geology, Geotechnical, Coal Quality,
Mine Planning & Scheduling, Mining Constraints & Known Hazards, Water
Management, Ventilation & Gas Management, Equipment Procurement,
Availability and Productivities, Infrastructure, Supporting Services,
Environmental Conditions, Community Impacts, Regulatory Approvals, Land
Access, Adjoining Leases and Other Projects, Employment Agreements,
Contractor Relations, Mine Closure
General project risks, undertaken early in the planning stage; stop/go
decisions; commercial structuring; overall procurement approach and
strategy
Project phases Geology, Geotechnical, Coal Quality, Mine Planning, Water Management, Gas
Management, Equipment Procurement, Availability, Productivities,
Infrastructure, Supporting Services, Environmental Conditions, Community
Impacts, Regulatory Approvals, Land Access, CPRS impacts
Environmental and community issues; approval processes;
Stakeholders Environmental Conditions, Community Impacts, Regulatory Approvals,
Economic Impacts
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Defining Risk Criteria
Risk criteria define the terms of reference against which the significance of a risk is evaluated, based on the Xstrata Coal Business Unit, its Divisions‟ and Operations‟ objectives and internal and external contexts. These criteria are identified in the various Tables utilised throughout this Standard.
Step 2 - Selecting the Risk Assessment Type
Risk assessment types can be classified as Levels 1 to 5 depending upon such factors as the potential consequence on the business, the level of expenditure, the familiarity with, or complexity of, the operation and reputational issues.
The type of the risk assessment shall be determined in accordance with Table 2 as follows:
Table 2: Guideline for Selecting Risk Assessment Type and Type of Facilitation
Level Application Type of risk assessment
Conducted by
5
Major Projects and Expenditure requiring Xplc Board approval; or as mandated by CE/COO
Formal risk assessment often involving both quantitative and qualitative analysis
XC approved third party facilitator with stakeholder participants including risk specialists: eg. Financial, Mining, Health & Safety, Geology, Legal.
4
Major Projects and Expenditure requiring Coal Board approval; Business Plan (Budget), Life of Mine, Broad Brush/Baseline, Material Impacts (Financial,
Human, Reputation etc) on XC and/or Divisions or as mandated by CE/COO
Formal risk assessment often involving both quantitative and qualitative analysis
XC approved second party facilitator with stakeholder participants including Risk specialist: eg. Financial, Mining, Health & Safety, Geology, Legal.
3
New or change to equipment, process or operation, Material Impacts
(Financial, Human, Reputation etc) on Operations, development of hazard management plans
Formal risk assessment using a systematic method and qualitative
risk analysis
Competent facilitator with stakeholder participants.
2
Unfamiliar environment and/or process, change in
work conditions
Risk assessment using a documented process.
eg: Job Safety Analysis, Safe Work Method Statement, Formal SLAM.
Competent facilitator with internal stakeholder
participants.
1 Prior to any task Simple risk assessment.
eg: Pre-Task Risk Assessment (eg SLAM).
All employees
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The following diagram can also be used as a guide to distinguish between the need to undertake a Levels 3-5 Risk Assessment as distinct from a Level 1 to 2 Risk Assessment:
Step 3 – Risk Identification
The aim of this step is to generate a comprehensive list of events or circumstances that might have an impact on the achievement of the objectives identified in the Risk Management Context. It involves the identification of what, where and when events that might create, enhance, prevent, degrade, accelerate or delay the Xstrata Coal Business Unit, its Divisions or Operations achieving their objectives. Having identified what might happen, it is necessary to consider possible causes and understand the consequences if the
event happens. Identification should also consider knock-on/indirect effects of particular consequences. All significant causes and consequences should be considered.
Suitably competent and experienced people must be utilised to systematically identify all the risks. Techniques for the identification process include Brainstorming, SWIFT, WRAC, HAZOP, FMEA, Fault tree analysis, and the like.
Comprehensive identification using a well-structured systematic process is critical, because
risks not identified at this stage are excluded from further analysis and treatment. Identification should include risks whether or not they are under the control of Xstrata Coal.
Step 4 – Identify the Existing Controls
Having considered the range of potential causes and consequences of a risk event in Step 3, identify the existing controls and their perceived adequacy and effectiveness in modifying consequences and the probability of those events.
Controls should be aligned to causes and/or consequences in order to identify potential gaps in controls. Refer to Step 11 – Hierarchy of Controls for more information.
Step 5 – Determine the Risk Control Effectiveness
Risk Control Effectiveness (“RCE”) is a relative assessment of the actual level of control that is currently present and effective compared with that reasonably achievable for that particular risk. It is a measure of the completeness, relevance and efficiency of those
current risk controls to prevent the risk occurring or mitigate the consequences. RCE is an
Level 2 - Consult
or undertake Job Safety Analysis
Level 3–5 - Carry
out a formal risk assessment
Level 1- Pre-task
risk assessment
Level 2 -Consult
or undertake Job Safety Analysis
Task
Environment
Routine task in
a normal
environment
Non-routine task in a
normal environment
Routine task in
an abnormal
environment
Non-routine task in an
abnormal environment or complex issue
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indicator as to whether the existing controls are doing all that they could or should to manage the risk issue.
Where the RCE is less than “Satisfactory” there shall be a risk treatment plan that addresses the control deficiency.
An assessment shall be made of the relative effectiveness of the controls as per Table 3 below.
Table 3: Risk Control Effectiveness (―RCE‖)
RCE Guide
Satisfactory
- Controls are well designed and appropriate for the risk; - Controls are largely “preventative” and address the root causes; - Management believes that they are effective and reliable at all times; - Nothing more to be done except review and monitor the existing
controls.
Require Improvement
- Most controls are designed correctly and are in place and effective; - Controls may only treat some of the root causes of the risk, and/or are
not currently effective and/or there may be an over-reliance on “reactive” controls;
- Management has doubts about operational effectiveness and reliability; - More work is required to improve operating effectiveness.
Poor or No Existing Controls
- Significant control gaps or no credible control; - Either controls do not treat root causes, are non-existent or, if they
exist, they are ineffective; - Management has no confidence that any degree of control is being
achieved due to poor control design; - Very limited or no operational effectiveness.
It is important that control monitoring by management review and assurance is focussed on those risks which, if the controls are absent or have failed, the Business Unit and/or Division and/or Operation and/or Project would be exposed to high and unacceptable consequences. In those cases assurance activity, such as audit or independent specialist review, provides “assurance” that key controls are both adequate and effective.
Step 6 - Determine the Expected Consequence
Having identified the risks, their causes and potential consequences, the existing controls and their adequacy and effectiveness in controlling the risk, determine the Expected Consequence by referring to Table 4 – Consequence Criteria.
Where the Expected Consequence is a Financial or an Investment Return impact, consideration should be given to the total financial cost, ie: EBIT or NPV lost, legal liability or compensation payments made and any opportunity costs.
The range of Expected Consequences for a particular risk should be considered and, in each case, the Consequence rating for the expected level should be selected. The risk rating should be based on the worst of these Expected Consequences.
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Table 4: Consequence Criteria
Rating Financial impact
US$ EBIT
Property Damage
US$
Investment Return
US$ NPV
Health and Safety Environment Community / Reputation Legal and
Compliance
5
$100m+
loss or gain
$20m+ $600m +
loss or gain
Multiple fatalities
and/or
Significant
irreversible effects to 10‟s of people
Category 5 – an incident
that has caused disastrous
environmental impact with
long term effect requiring major remediation
Prominent negative
International media
coverage over several
days. Significant negative
impact on share price for months.
Major litigation or
prosecution with damages
of $50m+ plus significant
costs. Custodial sentence for
company Executive Prolonged closure of
operations by authorities.
4
$20m -
$99.9m loss or
gain
$2m -
$19.9m
$60m -
$599.9m loss or gain
Single fatality and/or
Severe irreversible disability (Permanent
Disabling Injury) or illness to one or
more persons
Category 4 – an incident
that has caused serious environmental impact with
medium term effect requiring significant
remediation
National media coverage
over several days. Significant negative
impact on share price for weeks
Community / NGO legal actions.
Impact on local economy
Major litigation costing
$10m+ and Investigation by
regulatory body resulting in long term interruption
to operations. Possibility of custodial
sentence.
3
$2m – $19.9m
loss or gain
$200k - $2m
$6m – $59.9m loss
or gain
Serious bodily injury or illness (eg
fractures) and/or Lost Time Injury > 2
weeks
Category 3 – an incident that has caused moderate
reversible environmental impact with short term
effect requiring moderate remediation
Local media coverage over several days
Negative impact on local economy.
Persistent community complaints.
Major breach of legislation with punitive fine.
Significant litigation involving many weeks of
senior management time.
2
$200k – $1.9m loss
or gain
$10k - $199.9k
$600k – $5.9m loss
or gain
Medium term largely reversible injury or
illness to one or more persons
Restricted Work Injury
Lost Time Injury < 2 weeks
Category 2 – an incident that has caused minor
reversible environmental impact requiring minor
remediation
Local media coverage. Complaint to site and/or
regulator.
Breach of legislation with investigation or report to
authority with prosecution and/or moderate fine
possible.
1
<$200k loss or
gain
<$10k <$599.9k loss or gain
First aid treatment or medical treatment
Category 1 – an incident that has caused negligible
reversible environmental impact requiring very minor
No media coverage. No community complaints.
Minor legal issues, non-compliances and breaches
of legislation.
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or no remediation
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Step 7 - Determine the Likelihood
A likelihood category should be determined on the basis of the probability of the occurrence of the Expected Consequence.
Table 5: Likelihood Criteria
Category Criteria
E
99% probability, or
impact is occurring now, or could occur within months
D >50% and <99% probability, or balance of probability will occur, or
could occur annually
C
>20% and <50% probability, or
may occur shortly but a distinct probability it won‟t, or could occur in 2 to 5 years
B >1% and <20% probability, or may occur but not anticipated, or
could occur within 5 to 20 years
A
<1% probability occurrence requires exceptional circumstances
exceptionally unlikely, even in the long term future occurs less than once every 20 years
The risk rating, ie: determining the Expected Consequence and its Likelihood, will normally take place in the workshop used for risk identification. In some circumstances, risks may be rated at another time using specialists and then the original workshop team reconvened to agree and verify the ratings.
The basis on which these ratings were obtained will also be recorded.
Quantitative Analysis
For the most significant and important risks it is normally appropriate to conduct quantitative analysis where each risk is represented as a distribution. Further guidance on quantitative risk analysis is given in the Xstrata Coal Project Management System. Generally this process should be performed utilising external consultants.
Step 8 – Determine the Current Level of Risk
The risk matrix in Table 6 below shall be used to determine the relative magnitude of the risk by taking the combination of Expected Consequence and its likelihood of occurrence.
Table 6: Risk Matrix
Lik
elih
oo
d R
ati
ng
E 11 16 20 23 25 Classification
D 7 12 17 21 24 High Risk
C 4 8 13 18 22 Medium Risk
B 2 5 9 14 19 Low Risk
A 1 3 6 10 15
1 2 3 4 5
Consequence Rating
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Step 9 - Determine the Priority for Risk Treatment and the Authority for Continued Toleration of Risk
For Risk Assessment Levels 1 and 2 only, Table 7 is not required to be applied.
Utilising the results from Step 8 determine where the priority for treatment and authority
for continued toleration of this level of current risk lies. Once this is understood, and where necessary, take action to implement the required Risk Treatment Plans (Step 11) according to the Timing in Table 7.
Table 7: Priority for Risk Treatment and Authority for Continued Toleration of Risks (Applicable for Risk Assessment Level 3 to 5 only)
Current risk level
Action Timing for Authority Authority for continued toleration of
current level of risk
23 to 25
The activity must be stopped
immediately until action to reduce the level of Risk to less than 23 is
under taken or authority to continue is received.
Immediately to within 24
hours.
XC CE
17 to 22
The activity must be stopped
immediately until action to reduce the level of Risk to less than 17 is
under taken or authority to continue is received.
Immediately to within 24
hours
XC COO/ CFO/ CDO/ CMO
10 to 16
Take action to reduce the level of
Risk to less than 10 or authority to continue is received.
Within 1 month General Managers /
Operations Managers / Project Managers
6 to 9 Take action to reduce the level of Risk to less than 6 or authority to
continue is received.
Within 1 month Superintendents/ Managers / Project Team
1 to 5 Tolerable risk unless circumstances change
Ongoing control as part of a management system.
N/A
Step 10 - Potential Maximum Consequence
Having identified a risk, its causes and potential range of consequences in Step 3, an individual risk should be assessed for its Potential Maximum Consequence. Potential Maximum Consequence is the plausible worst case impact to the Xstrata Coal Business Unit, Division, Operation or Project arising from a risk where all active risk controls, including insurance and hedging contracts, are assumed to be ineffective. It does not consider the likelihood of the event occurring. Potential Maximum Consequence may not be the absolute worst case conceivable.
Potential Maximum Consequence will be identified as the consequence level in the risk being considered taken from the Consequence Criteria given in Table 4.
Potential Maximum Consequence will be used as the primary measure on which to focus and plan assurance activities including Internal Audit and independent specialist reviews.
Step 11 – Treat the Risks
The primary consideration here is whether the risk can be further treated in a way that is
reasonable and cost effective. In general this involves considering:
whether the risk is already at a level that is reasonably achievable or practicable;
whether it would be cost-effective to further treat the risk;
Xstrata Coal's willingness to tolerate risks of that type.
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It will usually not be cost-effective or even desirable to implement all possible risk treatments. It is, however, necessary to prioritise and implement the most appropriate combination of risk treatments. A Treatment Plan is, or more usually a combination of Treatment Plans are, selected by considering factors such as costs and benefits, timeframes for implementation, effectiveness, available technology and other criteria of relevance to Xstrata Coal. Factors such as legal, social, political and economic considerations may need to be taken into account.
Development of effective risk treatment requires consideration of three pieces of information that came from the risk identification and analysis steps:
the causes – particularly the „root causes‟;
the existing controls and the assessment of their effectiveness; and
the relative importance of consequences or likelihood to the risk rating.
Risk treatment options shall be resolved into a number of tasks and these will be allocated to named individuals (task owners) who shall be accountable for their completion. These tasks shall be recorded in Risk Treatment Plans which will contain:
The tasks to be completed and the risks they address;
Who has responsibility for implementation of certain tasks;
The timetable for implementation; and
Details of the mechanism for and frequency of review of the status of the treatment plan.
Appendix 1, Template #8 can be utilised for developing a Risk Treatment Plan.
Treatment Plan Options
The starting point for identifying options is often a review of existing guides for treating that particular type of risk. For example, for many safety, environmental and community risks there are requirements prescribed in relevant legislation, standards, codes and other external requirements.
For many risks, such guides don‟t exist and treatment options will need to be developed from first principles in order to be effective.
One treatment option available is to avoid the risk entirely i.e. to eliminate it by deciding not to proceed with an activity. This will remove possibilities of harm but will also often eliminate the opportunity. More usually risk treatment involves changing either the likelihood or the consequences of the risk, or both.
Selecting the most appropriate treatment option will involve comparing the cost of implementing each option against the benefits derived from it. Generally the cost of
managing risk needs to be commensurate with the benefits obtained. Appendix 1, Template 9 can be used to assist with Risk Treatment Option Analysis.
Decisions shall take into account the need to consider carefully rare but severe risks that may warrant risk treatment actions that are not justifiable on strictly economic grounds. Legal, reputation and community requirements may override simple financial cost benefit analysis and in these cases a qualitative Cost Benefit Analysis should be used.
Hierarchy of Treatments
Risk treatment options are not necessarily mutually exclusive or appropriate in all circumstances. The options can include the following:
1. Avoid the risk by deciding not to start or continue with the activity that gives rise to the risk;
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2. Taking or increasing the risk in order to pursue an opportunity;
3. Removing the risk source;
4. Changing the likelihood;
5. Changing the consequences;
4. Sharing the risk with another party or parties; and
5. Retaining the risk by informed decision.
Treatment Plans should aim to create controls that prevent or eliminate the cause and/or mitigate the consequences. Controls that eliminate the risk are the most effective. When performing this part of the analysis, certain controls should be identified utilizing
the hierarchy of controls listed in Table 8 – Hierarchy of Controls. For recording purposes a control may be identified as per this Hierarchy and its criticality to assist with determining effectiveness of controls.
Table 8: Hierarchy of Controls
The Control Design Effectiveness Method (“CDEM”) in Appendix 2 should be considered or may be mandated by individual Divisions to further analyse risk treatment plans and resulting controls for certain control types.
Step 12 – Monitor and Review
Assurance and Monitoring
To ensure an effective risk management process, it is essential that ongoing monitoring and review of the risk management plan occurs. Changing global and market conditions and significant changes to processes can affect the likelihood and consequence of risks resulting in regular reviews of existing controls and updates to risks. In addition lessons
learnt from the risk management process need to be incorporated into existing risk management plans.
For Xstrata Coal this happens in a variety of ways:
Monitoring & reviewing risks;
Personal
ProtectiveEquipment
Administration
Engineering
Isolation
Substitution
EliminationMost effective at eliminating / controlling
risks
Least effective at eliminating /
controlling risks
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Assuring controls; and
Learning lessons and communicating relevant information.
Comprehensive annual risk reviews are part of the Budget and Planning process, Life of Mine Planning and individual Project phases. They are required in response to any
significant planned or unplanned change. As a result, risk management becomes dynamic and changes as the organisation changes. Systems to monitor and review risks require careful selection, targeting and planning. They should target high risks and credible failure of treatment strategies that would result in high or frequent consequences
Monitoring and review practices will be of three types:
Continuous monitoring through routinely measuring or checking particular parameters to provide ongoing assurance that risk treatments are effective;
Control self assessment involving regular review of risks and their treatments to ensure that new risks have not arisen and treatment strategies are effective and appropriate;
Auditing utilising both internal and external audit staff. Audits should, as much as practical, test systems rather than conditions, be selective in scope and lower in frequency than the first two measures. Generally the audit process will provide assurance that the systems and processes are working however findings of audits may indicate systemic weakness and therefore the response should focus on remedying the systemic issues, not just the symptoms.
Performance Indicators
Performance indicators are a measure of the level of performance of a given item or
activity. They need to be measurable and appropriate to Xstrata Coal and hold individuals accountable while forming the basis for continuous improvement. They should reflect a range of key objectives defined when the context is established at the start of the risk management process and apply greatest effort and focus to:
The highest risks;
The most critical treatments or other processes; and
Those treatments or processes with the greatest potential for improvements in efficiency.
Some examples of useful risk management performance indicators are:
Progress towards a specific objective;
The extent to which recommendations for risk treatment are implemented.
Post-event Analysis
Reviews of causes of successes, failures and near misses are important for every area of the Business Unit to gain insight into the risk management process and how it can be improved. The lessons learnt from these reviews should be recorded and actions taken to ensure that the causes are treated such that subsequent failures are prevented and successes are repeated.
When analysing successes and failures the following questions need answers:
Was the risk involved previously identified and analysed?
Were the actual causes identified in risk identification process?
Were the risks and controls rated and assessed correctly?
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Did the controls operate as intended?
Were the treatment plans effective? If not, where could improvements be made?
Were the monitoring and review processes effective?
How could the risk management process in general be improved?
Who needs to know about these learnings and should they be disseminated to ensure learnings are most effective?
What should be done to ensure that failure events are not repeated but that successes are?
Recording and Reporting
The outputs of the Risk Management Process should be recorded to:
preserve the results of the discussions, agreements analyses and conclusions;
provide the basis for the allocation and tracking of further risk treatment;
provide the basis for control assurance; and
satisfy corporate governance requirements.
The following information for each risk identified will be kept in a risk register:
a description of the risk;
the name of the risk owner;
the causes;
the nature and extent of the potential consequences associated with the risk,
normally in terms of the objectives affected;
the existing controls;
the name(s) of the control owner(s);
the Risk Control Effectiveness;
the current risk rating taking account of existing controls
the Potential Maximum Consequence;
additional treatment actions required to further control risk to an acceptable level task owner and due date;
To capture the results of the risk assessment workshop facilitators can use either Cura, the Appendix 1 Template #6 and #7, an appropriate MS Excel spreadsheet risk register or MS Word table.
Ultimately, all risk information for Risk Assessment Levels 4 and 5 will be stored in the Xstrata Coal Cura Risk Management Information System. An exception for Broad Brush / Baseline Risk Assessments may be allowed.
Governance reporting of all significant risks to the Xstrata Coal Audit Committee occurs three times a year and comprises reports for Xstrata Coal that contain, but are not limited to, information about the following:
Risk Management Plan and Progress;
Outstanding Risk Treatment Plans;
Performance against specified performance measures;
Risk Assurance Profile; and
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Significant changes to risks and details of tasks completed and outstanding since the last report.
Each quarter, Divisions shall ensure that Risk Registers, Risk Treatment Plans and Risk Management Plans maintained in Cura are up to date so as to permit accurate reporting
to the Xstrata Coal Audit and Sustainable Development Committees.
Xstrata Coal will specify performance measures and targets to be achieved across the Business Unit for risk management and for achieving compliance with the Xstrata Coal Risk & Change Management Policy and Risk & Change Management Standard. Divisions will be required to measure and report progress against these performance measures.
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3.2 Risk Management Plans
Each Division, Operation and Project within Xstrata Coal shall develop, implement and maintain a suitable Risk Management Plan.
A Risk Management Plan shall contain:
Specific actions, tasks and measures to be adopted that will further risk management within the business, operation or project concerned and to comply with the Xstrata Coal Risk & Change Management Policy and Standard.
A timetable for implementation; and
Details of the mechanism for and frequency of review of the status of the Risk Management Plan.
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3.3 Management of Change
The change management process is intended to consider the implication of any significant change in the Xstrata Coal Business Unit including internal and external contexts. A decision, change or event is significant if it could potentially have a material
impact on the achievement of objectives. These can include, but are not limited to:
Reform to relevant legislation, standards, codes and additional external requirements;
Financial and market impacts;
Changes in community expectations;
Changes to the mine plan due to a change in mining conditions;
Introduction of new technology and knowledge about processes;
Restructuring and organisational changes;
Procedure or working method changes;
Shutdowns;
Life cycle changes;
Public opinion;
Culture; and
Results from consultation with stakeholders.
Where change is anticipated, accountabilities will be clearly defined and built into the work process approval levels to manage the change. For unplanned changes which fall outside of an individual‟s accountabilities, the affected area will implement a change management process as detailed in this section:
Divisions shall develop procedures and tools to apply the above process and the Risk Management Process shall follow that designated elsewhere in this Standard.
The person who intends to make a significant decision or detects or initiates the
significant change is responsible for initiating the risk assessment.
3.31 Temporary or emergency changes
In certain circumstances due to unplanned events, changes may be necessary without following the formal Change Management Process in order to protect the business, personnel, the environment and/or the community or facility integrity. In such circumstances a basic risk assessment is still required together with documentation of
changes made during the emergency event. As soon as practicable after the change a full risk assessment following the process outlined in this Standard shall be conducted.
3.32 Monitoring and reviewing the change
The operation will monitor the outcomes of the change and the necessary risk treatment during implementation and after the change is complete. After the change has been put
1
Identify the change
3
Approve the change subject to
risk treatment
2
Assess the risks associated
with the change and develop a
risk treatment plan
4 Communicate
and implement the change
and the risk treatment actions
5 Monitor and
evaluate the change and risk
treatment plan
6 Document
the change
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in place, the operation shall evaluate if original intentions were met and if the change is a safe and effective solution.
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4. DEFINITIONS
TERM/ABBREVIATION DEFINITION
ALARA As Low As Reasonably Achievable. This implies technical achievability within the bounds of reasonableness.
ALARP As Low As Reasonably Practicable. A tolerable risk that implies that the advantages of further risk reduction are outweighed by the disadvantages (eg costs).
Assurance Assurance is a process that provides confidence that objectives will be achieved with a tolerable level of residual risk.
Broad Brush (BBRA) / Baseline Risk Assessment
Generally used to refer to a whole of mine risk assessment (refer to Appendix 3).
Cause Something that gives rise to or creates a risk or an event.
Consequences The outcome of an event affecting objectives.
Control Processes, policies, devices, practices or other devices that act to modify risk.
Control assessment The periodic and systematic review of processes to demonstrate that controls are still effective and appropriate.
Control owner The person nominated as accountable for the assurance of the control to ensure that both the design and the
operation of the control are effective. Control owners names are recorded in risk registers.
Control Self Assessment The planned, periodic review by Management of work processes, procedures and systems to demonstrate that the risk controls are still effective and appropriate. The review should focus on opportunities for improvement with existing work processes; procedures and systems and with the risk controls.
Cost The direct or indirect investment or loss of money, time, labour, disruption, goodwill, political, operational continuity or other intangibles accompanying the management of risk.
Cost Benefit Analysis An objective assessment comparing all the costs of treating a risk against all the benefits from the residual risk.
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TERM/ABBREVIATION DEFINITION
CURA The database operated by Xstrata that holds risk management information including risk registers, risk
treatment plans and risk management plans.
Event An occurrence or change of a particular set of circumstances.
Expected Consequence The most likely consequence taking into account existing controls, their adequacy and effectiveness.
Frequency A measure of the number of occurrences per unit time.
Hazard Anything (including work practices or procedures) that has the potential to harm the health and safety of a person. (Occupational Health and Safety Regulation 2001 (NSW);
A thing or situation with potential to cause injury or illness to a person. (Coal Mining Health and Safety Act 1999 (Qld)).
HAZOP Hazard and Operability Study. Now a generally used terms for a guideword based risk identification study of any system including part of an organisation or a procedure.
Likelihood The chance of something happening, whether defined, measured or determined objectively or subjectively, qualitatively or quantitatively, and described using general terms or mathematically.
Material impact Significant change with ≥10% effect on the Financial Impact or Investment Return or a Consequence Rating of 4 or above according to the XC Risk & Change Management Standard Table 4: Consequence Criteria. Where the effect of the Significant Change is between 5% and 10% of the Financial impact or Investment Return, a subjective assessment of the significant change should be made to determine if it is a Material Impact.
Material Risk A risk, when considered in relation to the objectives of the organisation, represents a significant Potential Maximum Consequence. A risk where the residual ranking has been determined to be ≥ 10 according to the XC Risk & Change Management Standard Table 5: Risk Matrix.
Monitor To check, supervise, observe critically or measure the progress of an activity, action or system on a regular basis in order to identify change from the performance level required or expected.
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TERM/ABBREVIATION DEFINITION
Precautionary Principle Active management of identified risks without necessarily requiring scientific consensus about the potential for the
risk to materialise before the action is taken.
Principal Hazard A hazard with the potential to cause multiple fatalities (Coal Mining Health and Safety Act 1999 (Qld)).
Probability The chance of occurrence per action, operation or opportunity. Expressed as a number between 0 and 1,
with no units and not time related.
Potential Maximum Consequence
The total plausible maximum impact on Xstrata Coal Business Unit, its Divisions, its Operations or its Projects arising from a risk without regard to Controls.
Residual risk The level of risk remaining after risk treatment.
Risk The effect of uncertainty on objectives:
An effect is a deviation from the expected- positive and/or negative.
Objectives can have different aspects (such as financial, health & safety,, and environmental goals) and can apply at different levels (such as strategic, organisation-wide, project, product and process).
Risk is often characterised by reference to potential events and consequences, or a combination of these.
Risk is often expressed in terms of a combination of the consequences of an event (including changes in circumstances) and the associated likelihood of occurrence.
Uncertainty is the state, even partial, of deficiency of information related to, understanding or knowledge of an event, its consequence, or likelihood.
Risk avoidance An informed decision not to become involved in, or withdraw from, an activity that gives rise to the risk.
Risk analysis the process to comprehend the nature of risk and to determine the level of risk. It provides the basis for risk evaluation and decisions about risk treatment.
Risk assessment The overall process of risk identification, risk analysis and risk evaluation.
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Term/Abbreviation Definition
Risk Control Effectiveness (RCE)
A relative assessment of actual level of control that is currently present and effective compared with that which is reasonably achievable and practicable for a particular risk.
Risk criteria Terms of reference by which the significance of risk is evaluated.
Risk evaluation The process of comparing the results of risk analysis
against given risk criteria to determine whether the risk and/or its magnitude is acceptable or tolerable.
Risk identification The process of finding, recognising and describing risks.
Risk Management Co-ordinated activities to direct and control an organisation with regard to risk.
Risk & Change Management Framework
Set of elements of Xstrata Coal‟s management system that provide the foundations and organisational arrangements for designing, implementing, monitoring, reviewing and continually improving risk management throughout the Xstrata Coal Business Unit.
Risk Management Plan The scheme within the Risk Management Framework adopted by a project, Business Unit or by Xstrata Coal that specifies the approach, the management components and resources to be applied to satisfy the requirements of the Risk Management Policy and the Risk & Change Management Standard.
Risk owner The authorised and accountable person nominated to monitor and review a risk on a periodic basis or as part of the management of change. Risk owners names are recorded in risk registers.
Risk register A collection of risk information that defines a risk profile.
Risk retention Acceptance of the burden of loss or gain for a risk.
Risk sharing Sharing with another party the burden of loss or gain for a risk.
Risk treatment The process of selection and implementation of measures to modify risk.
Risk Treatment Plan Documents the risk treatment actions to be taken. Includes details of separate tasks, task owners and completing dates.
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Term/Abbreviation Definition
Root cause The underlying cause of an event or source of risk that if rectified will prevent the recurrence of not just the event or risk with those exact circumstances, but many others with similar root causes. When applied to successes it can elicit the actions required to emulate and repeat the success.
Root cause analysis Root cause analysis is the systematic process of learning from events or incidents to identify the underlying causes of the event or source of risk.
Significant decision, change or event
Something that can have a material impact on achievement of objectives.
SWIFT Structured what-if. A form of advanced facilitated risk identification study.
Task owner The person nominated as accountable for the completion of a risk treatment action.
WRAC Workplace Risk Assessment and Control.
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5. ACCOUNTABILITIES
Role Accountabilities for this document
Chief Executive Set risk management strategic direction across
the global operations; Monitor and evaluate reports on the
implementation of the Risk & Change Management Policy, Standard, strategy and the risk management performance and governance on the global coal business level; and
Report to EXCO on key global coal risk issues.
Chief Financial Officer Participate in the development and integration
of risk management plan into business planning processes;
Resource corporate Risk Management function and integrate the function with other risk management activities; and
Report to Coal Audit Committee on key global risk issues.
Group Executive – Corporate Affairs & Sustainable Development
Participate in the development and integration of risk management plan into business planning processes, specifically within Sustainable Development;
Report to Sustainable Development committee on key global risk issues with relevance to SD; and
Promote the Risk & Change Management Policy, Standard and strategic direction across the global operations.
Chief Development Officer
Promote the Risk & Change Management Policy, Standard and strategic direction across the global operations;
Implement appropriate Risk Management performance measurement systems;
Lead inter-Divisional activities including benchmarking, workshops and skill interchanges; and
Report to Chief Executive and Chief Financial Officer and Risk Committee on key global coal
risk issues.
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Role Accountabilities
Chief Operating Officers Lead the development of Divisional Risk
Management plans to align with the Xstrata Coal Risk Management Framework and
strategy; Provide strategic leadership and facilitation of
optimal outcomes in achievement of objectives for business planning processes through effective risk management;
Monitor and evaluate risk reporting from various Divisional areas on the implementation of the Risk & Change Management Policy, Standard, strategy performance and governance;
Resource the Division to meet the Divisional Risk Management plan; and
Report to the Chief Executive and the Risk Committee on key strategic divisional risks.
XC General Managers Implement and maintain the Risk & Change
Management Policy, Standard and strategy within their various areas of responsibility;
Monitor the effectiveness of the Risk/Control Management and treatment plans to ensure accurate and effective reporting of risk issues; and
Report to CE, CFO and CDO on key risk issues.
CBU Risk Champion Assist with development, implementation and
maintenance of a risk management system which promotes timely identification, proper understanding and effective management of significant risks and accurate and meaningful reporting of Risk/control Management status within the global coal business;
Co-ordination of risk management related reporting to Boards, Exco and Audit Committee;
Facilitation of risk assessment workshops; Guiding management in driving and embedding
risk management practices; Facilitating relevant training in risk
management processes and the use of related tools;
Engaging in regular, structured communication with the Head of Internal Audit and other CBU risk champions to ensure consistency of approach across all commodity Business Units; and
Engaging with Divisional Risk Champions to ensure continual progress on the Risk Management Plan and advise on issues as and when required.
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Role Accountabilities
XC Project Risk Champion
Assist with development, implementation and maintenance of a project risk management system which promotes timely identification,
proper understanding and effective management of significant risks and accurate and meaningful reporting of Risk/control management status within the global coal business;
Facilitation of risk assessment workshops; Assisting CBU Risk Champion in driving and
embedding project risk management practices; and
Facilitating relevant training in project risk management processes and the use of related tools.
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6. REFERENCES
6.1 With Xstrata plc SD Standards
SD Standard 5 Risk & Change Management
SD Standard 6 Catastrophic Hazards
SD Standard 13 Life Cycle Management – Projects and Operations
SD Standard 14 Product Stewardship
6.2 With International Standards
ISO 31000:2009 Risk Management – Principles and guidelines
IEC Guide 73:2009 Risk Management - Vocabulary
6.3 With Australian/New Zealand Standards
AS/NZS ISO 31000:2009 Risk Management – Principles and guidelines
IEC Guide 73:2009
6.4 With industry documents
International Council on Mining & Metals – “Leadership Matters – The elimination of fatalities”
National Minerals Industry Risk Assessment Guidelines
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7. APPENDICES
7.1 Appendix 1—Risk Management Templates
# Title Used for
1 Stakeholder analysis To determine the stakeholders, their needs and communication needs
2 Risk Assessment Description & Objectives
Defining and recording the risk assessment outcomes and objectives
3 External Context To record the external issues and their implications for the process under review
4 Internal Context To record the internal issues and their implications for the process under review
5 Key element structure To give the breakdown structure of the process that will be followed in the analysis
6 Risk form To record information about one risk per page
7 Risk register To hold information on all risks that are identified and analysed
8 Risk Treatment Plan The detailed plan for risk treatment
9 Risk Treatment Options
Analysis
To allow different options for treatment to be compared
so that the best treatment can be decided upon.
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Template 1 Stakeholder Analysis
Risk Assessment: Created by:
Date:
Reviewed by:
Date:
Stakeholders Their objectives Communication needs
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Template 2 Risk Assessment Description and Objectives
Risk Assessment: Created by:
Date:
Reviewed by:
Date:
Risk Assessment Description:
Our Objectives:
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Template 3: External Context
Risk Assessment: Created by:
Date:
Reviewed by:
Date:
External Factor Implications
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Template 4 Internal Context
Risk Assessment: Created by:
Date:
Reviewed by:
Date:
Internal Factor Implications
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Template 5 Key Element Structure
Risk Assessment: Created by:
Date:
Reviewed by:
Date:
Number Name Description Ref
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Template 6 Risk Form
Risk Identification (what, where, when and how)
No. Risk (source of uncertainty)
Consequence (nature and extent) Category
(from cause)
something occurs… leading to…
Risk Owner:
Causes Controls (existing) Further treatment
(actions)
Risk Analysis (with existing controls – Current Risk )
Consequence
rating Likelihood
rating
Current Risk
Rating
PMC
Rating basis
Risk
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Template 7 Risk Register
#
Risk
Something occurs
Risk Owner
Consequences
leading to…
Causes
caused by…
Cons. rating
Like rating
Current Risk
Rating
Controls
controlled by…
RCE
Pot Max Cons ($m)
Treatment actions
1
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9
Electronic Version located at:
Subject: Facilitated by: Present: Date
Xstrata Coal
Risk & Insurance Standard
XC RI STD 0001
XC RI STD 0001
Risk & Change Management Standard
Status:
Approved
Version: 1.0
Effective: 30/08/2010
Review: 30/08/2013
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Template 8 Risk Treatment Plan
Risk Assessment:
Risk:
Created by:
Date:
Reviewed by:
Date:
Description of risk:
Tasks:
Resources required:
Responsibility:
Timing:
Reporting:
Xstrata Coal
Risk & Insurance Standard
XC RI STD 0001
Risk & Change Management Standard
Status:
Approved
Version: 1.0
Effective: 30/08/2010
Review: 30/08/2013
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Template 9 Risk Treatment Option Analysis
Risk Assessment:
Risk:
Created by:
Date:
Reviewed by:
Date:
Option Benefits Costs Conclusion
Xstrata Coal
Risk & Insurance Standard
XC RI STD 0001
Risk & Change Management Standard
Status:
Approved
Version: 1.0
Effective: 30/08/2010
Review: 30/08/2013
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7.2 Appendix 2— Considering the Design of Controls when Evaluating the Effectiveness of Risk Treatment Plans
When implementing the controls as part of Risk Treatment plans either the controls are effective or they can reduce the level of risk to ALARP or ALARA. In addition, a cost benefit analysis is performed as the organisation may be better served by discontinuing the action.
Using the Control Design Effectiveness Method (CDEM) the effectiveness of a proposed control is determined by the following steps:
1. Assess the Quality of the control by estimating the Overall Impact of the control:
(i) A: 80-100% of the time;
(ii) B: 50-80% of the time;
(iii) C: 30-50% of the time; or
(iv) D: less than 30% of the time
Against
(i) Availability;
(i) Reliability; and
(ii) Effectiveness.
The overall impact (average score) represents the overall quality of the safety control as
shown in Table 9 below:
Table 9: Control Design Effectiveness Calculation
2. Identify the type of control based on the hierarchy of controls (shown in Table 8 of the Standard) and plot the overall quality from step 1 against the type of safety control giving a colour based ranking as shown in Table 10 below.
3. The more “Green” controls the better. The absence of green controls means that there is a need to review the controls that are proposed and seek to improve them by changing the type of control or its effectiveness.
Xstrata Coal
Risk & Insurance Standard
XC RI STD 0001
Risk & Change Management Standard
Status:
Approved
Version: 1.0
Effective: 30/08/2010
Review: 30/08/2013
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Table 10: Control Design Effectiveness Matrix
Overall Impact
A
80%=>
B
50-80%
C
30-50%
D
<30%
Typ
e o
f co
ntr
ol
1 Elimination N/A N/A N/A
2 Substitution
3 Isolation
4 Engineering
5 Administration
- Procedures
6 Administration - Training
7 PPE
Control design - likely to be appropriate
Control design - may require enhancement
Control design - likely to require enhancement
Quality –
The control will meet requirements:
A - Equal or > 80% of time
B – 50 to 80% of time
C – 30 to 50% of time
D – Less than 30% of time
Legend:
Xstrata Coal
Risk & Insurance Standard
XC RI STD 0001
Risk & Change Management Standard
Status:
Approved
Version: 1.0
Effective: 30/08/2010
Review: 30/08/2013
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7.3 Appendix 3 — Guideline for Application of Mandatory Risk Assessments – Broad Brush/Baseline, Life of Mine Planning
and Business Planning Processes
OVERVIEW
This guideline identifies specific requirements for certain risk assessments which are mandatory for operations across the Xstrata Coal Business Unit.
The Xstrata Coal Risk and Change Management Standard specifies a range of risk
assessment types which, depending on the Risk Assessment being performed, determine the way in which the risk assessment should be conducted – Xstrata Coal Risk and Change Management Standard - Table 2.
Data for initial Risk Assessments for Level 3, 4 and 5 Risk Assessment Types should be captured utilising the Xstrata Coal Risk Assessment Template in Appendix 4 which is based on the Workplace Risk Assessment and Control (“WRAC”) process and will record the necessary data fields.
There are other risk assessment tools available for an Operation to use. These include Bow Tie, Failure Modes Effects and Analysis (FMEA), HAZOP and may be used as a precursor to using the Xstrata Coal Template, or for further analysis of risks.
A description of the specified Level 4 risk assessment types and their purpose, scope and timing is listed below:
1. BROAD BRUSH/BASELINE RISK ASSESSMENT
PURPOSE
The purpose of the Broad Brush Risk Assessment (BBRA) or Baseline Risk Assessment is
to identify significant Health and Safety, Environment and Community (HSEC) implications, and the controls necessary to effectively manage them. The BBRA / Baseline Risk Assessment will also be used to: develop, review and improve the adequacy of Health, Safety, Environment and
Community components of an Operation‟s Sustainable Development Management System;
provide a basis to determine how the identified risks are adequately prioritised and managed;
meet the statutory requirements of legislation and regulation, as they relate to Health, Safety, Environment and Community;
identify those processes requiring a more detailed level of risk assessment due to the potential level of risk;
provide input for significant risks forming part of the Business Planning (Budget) process;
create a register of significant risks with HSEC implications at the operation.
SCOPE
a high level review of all activities and potential impacts at the Operation (key processes, not to task level),
identification of risks which have impacts on Health, Safety, the Environment and/or the Community (HSEC) are the principal areas for consideration.
identification of those hazards that represent significant risks to the operation.
Xstrata Coal
Risk & Insurance Standard
XC RI STD 0001
Risk & Change Management Standard
Status:
Approved
Version: 1.0
Effective: 30/08/2010
Review: 30/08/2013
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identification of controls, including their adequacy and effectiveness, to manage the risks without delving into substantial detail (eg: existence of a Safety Management Plan without detailing the contents).
conducted by an XC approved second party facilitator with stakeholder participants including risk specialists in accordance with the Xstrata Coal Risk and Change Management Standard Table 2: “Guideline for Selecting Risk Assessment Type and Type of Facilitation".
Note:
To conduct level 3 Risk assessments, Operations will be required to complete a more
detailed analysis down to task level (or a specific location or machine) for significant risks and to meet legislative requirements (e.g. for Principle or Major Hazards).
This assessment supports, but is not considered to be part of the BBRA / Baseline Risk Assessment. The same template as used for a BBRA / Baseline Risk Assessment should be used however the title of the risk assessment shall be a Process or Equipment risk assessment.
TIMING
The BBRA / Baseline Risk Assessment shall be conducted at least once every five (5) years, or when any major change to the Operation‟s Risk Profile occurs.
The BBRA / Baseline Risk Assessment register shall be reviewed annually prior to the completion of the Business Planning Risk Assessment.
KEY ELEMENTS
The BBRA / Baseline Risk Assessment should be structured to follow the work processes of the Operation and will cover at least the following „Key Elements‟:
Open Cut Mines
Principal Process Major Process Key Elements
Mining Mine Planning / Approval Mine Planning / Approval
Site Preparation Clearing Land
Topsoil Removal
Waste Mining Drill and Blast
Waste Removal
Waste Dump Maintenance
Coal Mining Coal Mining
Mine Rehabilitation Mine Rehabilitation
Engineering Engineering Workshop
Field
Other Other Other
Key Geographic Areas Not covered by Process Key Geographic Areas*
*Key Geographic Areas-to cover items such as roads, dams, major structures, adjacent neighbour properties etc that are not covered by the process.
Xstrata Coal
Risk & Insurance Standard
XC RI STD 0001
Risk & Change Management Standard
Status:
Approved
Version: 1.0
Effective: 30/08/2010
Review: 30/08/2013
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CHPP
Principal Process Major Process Key Elements
Coal Handling, Processing & Despatch
Coal Handling & Processing
Raw Coal Handling
Coal Processing
Reject Handling (Discard)
Tailings Disposal and Dams
Coal Dispatch Coal Dispatch
Engineering Engineering Engineering/Maintenance
Longwall Underground Mines
Principal Process Major Process Key Elements
Mining (including Engineering) Mine Planning / Approval Mine Planning / Approval
Coal Mining Development **
Extraction **
Outbye **
Mine Rehabilitation Mine Rehabilitation
Surface Activities Surface **
Other
Key Geographic Areas Not covered by Process Key Geographic Areas*
*Key Geographic Areas-to cover items such as roads, dams, major structures, adjacent neighbour properties etc that are not covered by the process.
** Both Operations and Engineering to be covered eg: Outbye - Operations & Outbye - Engineering **
Xstrata Coal
Risk & Insurance Standard
XC RI STD 0001
Risk & Change Management Standard
Status:
Approved
Version: 1.0
Effective: 30/08/2010
Review: 30/08/2013
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Room (Bord) and Pillar Underground Mines
Principal Process Major Process Key Elements
Mining (including Engineering) Mine Planning / Approval Mine Planning / Approval
Coal Mining Cutting Coal **
Bolting (Roof/Ribs) **
Loading & Hauling coal **
Pillar Extraction **
Outbye **
Mine Rehabilitation Mine Rehabilitation
Surface Activities Surface **
Other
Key Geographic Areas Not covered by Process Key Geographic Areas*
*Key Geographic Areas-to cover items such as roads, dams, major structures, adjacent neighbour properties etc that are not covered by the process.
** Both Operations and Engineering to be covered eg: Outbye - Operations & Outbye - Engineering **
2. LIFE OF MINE
PURPOSE
To guide Xstrata Coal Divisions (and contractors engaged by Xstrata Coal Divisions) in undertaking Life of Mine (LOM) Risk Assessments to identify and mitigate the key LOM Risks to maximising the Division‟s net present value (NPV).
SCOPE
The LOM Risk Assessment will examine the LOM Plan as a whole to systematically identify risks, existing controls and/or develop appropriate risk treatment plans related to the LOM Plan.
This includes:
a high level review of all activities and potential impacts at an Operation (key processes, not to task level),
identification of risks, causes and consequences to the LOM Plan. identification of controls, including their adequacy and effectiveness, to manage the
risks without delving into the detail. Risk assessment being conducted by an XC approved second party facilitator with
stakeholder participants including risk specialists in accordance with the Xstrata
Coal Risk and Change Management Standard Table 2: “Guideline for Selecting Risk Assessment Type and Type of Facilitation".
the assigning of a responsible person to be accountable for preparing and reviewing the LOM Risk Assessment.
ensuring that the LOM Risk Assessment forms part of the LOM Plan Documentation that sets out the key details of the LOM Plan.
Xstrata Coal
Risk & Insurance Standard
XC RI STD 0001
Risk & Change Management Standard
Status:
Approved
Version: 1.0
Effective: 30/08/2010
Review: 30/08/2013
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TIMING
The LOM Risk Assessment shall be conducted at least once every five (5) years, or
when any major change to the LOM Plan occurs. The LOM Risk Assessment shall be reviewed annually prior to the completion of the
Business Planning Risk Assessment.
KEY ELEMENTS
The first step in undertaking a LOM Risk Assessment is to identify and table the potential threats to the LOM Plan. Because each operation is unique, a prescriptive and exhaustive list of potential risks cannot be provided. However, as a minimum, each operation should ensure that consideration has been given to the following „Key Elements‟:
Key Elements Key Elements
Geology; Capital infrastructure;
Geotechnical; Supporting services;
Coal quality; Environmental conditions;
Mine plan & scheduling; Community impacts;
Mining constraints & known hazards; Regulatory approvals;
Hydrology & water management; Land access;
Ventilation & gas management; Adjoining leases & other projects;
Equipment productivities; Employment agreements (EAs);
Equipment availability & utilisation; Contractor relations; and
Equipment procurement; Mine closure.
3. BUSINESS PLANNING RISK ASSESMENT
PURPOSE
To guide the Xstrata Coal Business Unit (and contractors engaged by Xstrata Coal) in
undertaking Business Planning Risk Assessments to identify the Key Budget Risks to realising the Operation‟s Objectives.
SCOPE
The Business Planning Risk Assessment will examine the Budget Plan as a whole to systematically identify risks to the Budget Plan and to identify existing controls and/or develop appropriate risk treatment plans. It shall include:
a review of activities and potential impacts at the Division or Operation (key processes, not to task level),
identification of risks to the Budget Plan as the principal areas for which consequences and their likelihoods are considered.
identification of existing controls, including their adequacy and effectiveness, to manage the risks without delving into the detail.
being conducted by an XC approved second party facilitator with stakeholder participants including risk specialists in accordance with XC Risk and Change
Xstrata Coal
Risk & Insurance Standard
XC RI STD 0001
Risk & Change Management Standard
Status:
Approved
Version: 1.0
Effective: 30/08/2010
Review: 30/08/2013
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Management Standard Table 2: “Guideline for Selecting Risk Assessment Type and Type of Facilitation".
assignment of responsibility for ensuring preparation and review of the Business Planning Risk Assessment.
ensuring that the Business Planning Risk Assessment shall form part of the Budget Plan Documentation that sets out the key details of the Budget Plan.
TIMING
The annual Business Planning Risk Assessment process shall commence with a comprehensive review of the existing Business Planning Risk Assessment.
It shall be subject to regular update throughout the year.
KEY ELEMENTS
Each operation should ensure that consideration has been given to the following „Key Elements‟ as a minimum:
Key Elements Key Elements
Communications Legal & Compliance
Financial & Taxation Marketing & Selling
HSEC Operational
Information Technology People (HR)
Strategic
Xstrata Coal
Risk & Insurance Standard
XC RI STD 0001
Risk & Change Management Standard
Status:
Approved
Version: 1.0
Effective: 30/08/2010
Review: 30/08/2013
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8. CONTROL AND REVISION HISTORY
8.1 Document information
Property Value
Approved by Peter Freyberg
Document Owner Rosemary Summers
Effective Date 30/08/2010
Keywords
Risk, Risk & Change Management, Risk Management, Control, Treatment
Plan
For a complete list of document properties, select View Properties from the document‟s context menu on the intranet.
8.2 Revisions
Version Date reviewed
Review team
(consultation) Nature of the amendment
1
2
3