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    Six Months Later: Civil Society

    Perceptions of Post-Revolutionary EgyptA Survey of Civil Society Perception on the Transition, the Constitution and the

    New Democratic Institutions

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    The Foundation for the Future is an independent, multi-lateral and not for profit organization,

    created in 2005 and fully committed to promoting democracy, Human Rights, the Rule of Law and

    reforms through supporting Civil Society Organizations (CSOs) relevant initiatives in the Middle East

    and North Africa (MENA) region at large. The Foundation has its regional headquarters in Amman,

    JORDAN.

    August 2011

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    Contents

    Executive Summary ......................................................................................................................... 4

    Rationale and background for the study ..................................................................................... 4

    Survey Method and Description of Sample ................................................................................. 5

    Summary of key findings ............................................................................................................. 6

    I. Civil Society and the New Egypt: a Cautious Optimism.............................................................. 8

    II. Civil Society and the Freedom to Act: Areas for Improvement ............................................ 10

    III. Civil Society and the New Political Order: A Progressive Agenda.......................................... 12

    Constitution before elections .................................................................................................... 12

    A strong support towards secularism........................................................................................ 13

    Priorities for the new constitution ............................................................................................ 15

    IV. The Next Egyptian President as Portrayed by Civil Society.................................................... 17

    Annexure ....................................................................................................................................... 19

    Questionnaire ............................................................................................................................ 19

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    Executive Summary

    The health and viability of democratic systems is often linked, inter alia, to the robustness of

    local or national civil society. Where government is genuinely representative, civil society is

    given the space to flourish and transform with the demands of the people, thus serving as an

    intermediary in the channeling of grievances, demands and expressions of local needs.

    The Foundation for the Future understands the unique role of civil society, and since 2007 has

    been working to empower civil society organizations (CSOs) across the Broader Middle East and

    North Africa (BMENA) region by providing them with financial assistance (through grants) as

    well as expertise through capacity- and knowledge-building initiatives.

    Rationale and background for the study

    2011 is a year like no other, with profound movements for freedom and reform spreading

    throughout the Arab world. In these moments, the Foundation has closely followed the

    unfolding of events of historical magnitude; several of its local partners have participated on thefront lines of the Arab Spring demonstrations across the region, particularly in Tunisia, Egypt and

    Yemen. These events have been marked by powerful images, such as the announcement of

    Hosni Mubaraks resignation on February 11.

    The situation in Egypt is particularly challenging. The energy and passion of the Egyptian people

    that culminated in the Revolution has not yet waned. What is unclear is whether or not that

    power will be able to be effectively directed to result in a viable democratic state,

    representative of the various parties and aspirations, currently vying for attention on the

    national stage. Understanding that civil society organizations are often closely connected to the

    populations they target, and on the front lines of transitions, the Foundation wanted to give thefloor to civil society organizations and activists, to hear their take on recent events and

    controversies surrounding the formation of the new government. Six months into the

    transition, it was time to pause and reflect with them on the future of Egypt.

    The Foundation for the Future envisions a BMENA region where a vibrant civil society, reform-

    inclined governments, accountable institutions and reliable private sector are engaged towards

    the full observance of citizens rights; the enjoyment of freedom and Human Rights as endorsed

    by respective international conventions; and the prevalence of values of democratic

    inclusiveness and good governance. Operating in a region undergoing powerful political

    transformations, the Foundation is intended to accompany worthy initiatives and processes

    aiming at democratic reforms and transitions, and is therefore particularly committed to

    observe and understand the issues at stake and the possible roles for civil society in a redefined

    context. This was an important motive of conducting the Civil Society Perception Survey in

    Egypt.

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    Survey Method and Description of Sample

    In nearly five years of working with civil society in Egypt, the Foundation has got to know over

    300 CSOs NGOs, local community groups, research centres, advocacy and human rights

    groups, etc. In July, 369 organizations have been contacted and invited to take part in an online

    perception survey whose structure had been designed by the Foundation. The Foundation was

    entirely responsible for the management, design and control of this survey.

    Questions ranged from their operations since the revolution, their confidence in political

    transition, and their hopes for the future of their country. The survey specifically focused on

    issues of internal governance that will shape the future nature of the Egyptian State; it

    deliberately chose not to discuss matters of diplomacy and geopolitics which have been raised in

    recent months.

    The questionnaire consisted of 12 questions with answering options aimed at gathering opinions

    or perceptions (agreement/disagreement, support/opposition, order of priorities, etc)1. The

    questionnaire was administered through an online survey software, where respondents had toprovide answers to each question (no blank answers). Respondents had the choice of

    answering either in Arabic or in English2; the online platform was accessible between25 July and

    7 August. A global statistical check was performed regarding the consistency of responses.

    The respondent sample can be described as follows:

    71 valid submissions were considered in the sample3; select respondents were

    contacted to gain further insight into certain answers

    61.1 % of the respondents are based in Cairo or greater Cairo, while 38.9 % are based or

    operating mainly outside of the capital city

    On average, each respondent reported working in 3 areas of expertise, including human

    rights/justice (62.5%), youth empowerment (55.6%), democracy/governance (54.2%),

    gender/womens rights (51.4%), community empowerment/social development (50%),

    or other (19.4%).

    What is interesting to notice is that, even though the option no opinion or I dont know

    where given for almost all questions, very few respondents opted for those, and directly

    expressed their opinion. This gives a stronger value to the results and findings for each question.

    1See questionnaire in Annexure.

    2The basis for translation was the questionnaire in English. The translation into Arabic was done by staff

    fluent in both languages, and later reviewed and tested by native Arabic speakers not involved in the

    project, to recommend refinements and corrections to the Arabic version of the questionnaire.3

    80 responses (i.e. 22% response ratio) have been collected online by the deadline of 7 August. However,

    when several responses were registered with the same respondent identity (same name, same computer

    used), the response was not considered as valid.

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    The methodology of this survey was by no means comprehensive or expressive of Egyptians, or

    even Egyptian civil society, as a whole. As the first such project directly undertaken by the

    Foundation, it was instead a random sample survey designed to gain further insight into civil

    society perceptions. Methodology was created accordingly.

    As you read through the findings of the survey, let it provide you not with an authoritative pointof view of Egyptian society as a whole, but instead with valuable insight into Egyptian civil

    society as it works for the betterment of its country during this historical period of transition.

    Summary of key findings

    Civil Society in Egypt is cautiously positive about the transition that has been happening in Egypt

    since the January Revolution. After taking part in the demonstrations that eventually led to the

    first free vote taking place in Egypt for decades, positivity seems to be the only correct response.

    However, the signs of uncertainty are undeniable: demonstrators are still occupying Tahrir

    Square on a regular basis, the country is still under military law, and a reliable date for elections

    has yet to be agreed on. These signs have not gone unnoticed by CSOs, who seem to have notyet fully claimed victory. They are slow to state an end to government oppression, and even

    slower still to say that a viable democratic state has been created.

    Beyond the very public signs of uncertainty, many members of civil society have their own

    personal reasons to display caution. For some, the situation has not improved markedly. They

    are still experiencing censorship, and fear public defamation and harassment at the hands of

    authorities. Nearly 10% of the respondents have declared to have been unlawfully arrested or

    imprisoned since January. While the situation has improved, it is still not the point it must get to

    in order for civil society to take its rightful place in an open, stable democracy.

    Most clear among civil societys concerns is the need for a new government to be secular in

    nature. Survey results showed overwhelming support in favor of steps to be taken to mitigate

    the influence of political parties based on faith and religion on the drafting of the constitution

    and the formation of the new government. Civil society is in favor of a secular state in which

    religion has no direct influence on law and governance. The majority believes that every religion

    should have equal rights, and citizens from all religious backgrounds should have the right to run

    for president. However, CSOs seem more willing to claim the need for religious freedom than

    they are to make a strong statement against the involvement of Islam in governance.

    Given the civil society stance on democracy and religion, and the remarkable turnout of

    Egyptians for the national referendum vote, one can assume that civil society as a whole is more

    liberal and progressive-leaning than the Egyptian population at large. 77% of voters in the

    referendum chose in favor of holding parliamentary elections before the drafting of the new

    constitution, while CSOs are overwhelmingly against this timeline. They also responded

    consistently with a liberal leaning, showing openness the idea of a female president and political

    parties of mixed-religions.

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    Most heartening perhaps of the findings is that civil society still feels more capable than ever to

    enact change for the betterment of Egypt. This is the most important point. The details of

    transition may still be uncertain in Egypt, but as long as the people of Egypt continue to push for

    their rights and freedoms, the process of democratic transition will continue. As this happens,

    civil society will continue to step in its important role towards the establishment of a new

    democratic state of Egypt.

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    I. Civil Society and the New Egypt: a Cautious Optimism

    When asked very general questions about their perceptions of the new Egypt, CSOs seemed

    basically optimistic, yet cautiously so: their answers seemed to remain more or less split

    between somewhat agreeing and somewhat disagreeing. However, considering the

    frequently changing state of Egyptian politics and society currently, such cautiousness is prudent

    and to be expected. Indeed, while 73.6% of respondents either strongly or somewhat agree to

    say that they feel optimistic about the future of Egypt, 65.3% consider that progress has been

    made for Egypt to be a true democracy. This compares with the general perception by public

    opinion: according to various surveys, between 6 and 9 in 10 Egyptians are optimistic about the

    future4.

    The rather cautious optimism expressed by civil society probably takes roots in several setbacks

    of the recent months. Indeed, when follow-up questions were asked to select respondents

    concerning why or why not progress had been made for Egypt to become a true democracy, one

    respondent cited the continued trying of civilians in military courts (up to 10,000 since the endof January according to local and international media sources), and the fact that elections have

    yet to be held for the return of legitimately elected authority to civilian hands as to why he

    4David D. Kirpatrick and Mona El-Naggar, Poll Finds Egyptians Full of Hope About the Future , The New York Times,

    25 April 2011: The poll found Egyptians remarkably bullish on their revolution and, in its aftermath, their future.

    Nearly two-thirds said they were satisfied with their country direction, and 6 in 10 were optimistic about the future.

    Although open political elections would be a novelty in Egyptian history, most had some degree of faith that they had

    won democracy. Forty-one percent said a free and fair choice in the next election was very likely *+; IRI Egypt Index

    opinion survey, 5 June 2011, p.2: when asked about the general direction of their country, 89% said it was heading in

    the right direction; El Hayat Television Network in collaboration with TNS Global Market Research, Egypt 100 days

    without Mubarak how do Egyptians perceive the government, the revolution and the future?, 26 May 2011: the

    survey found 76% of respondents to be optimistic about the future of Egypt, 85% believing that the situation of

    democracy is positive since the revolution and 73% thinking that Egypt is moving in the right direction. Similarly, a

    study conducted in March 2011 by Gallups Abu Dhabi Center (Egypt: The Arithmetic of Revolution) found that 88% of

    Egyptians agreed with the statement democracy will help progress (the highest percentage among Muslim

    societies).

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    strongly disagreed with the statement. These setbacks seem to overshadow the initial

    democratic gains achieved in the weeks following the fall of the Mubarak regime, such as the

    dissolution of institutions such as the Assembly, the National Democratic Party and the local

    councils, who have proved not to be representative.

    The only statement to which CSOs reacted in an almost exclusively positive way in fact wasconcerning their own ability to be an actor of change in Egypt: an overwhelming 95.9% of

    respondents declare to feel much more powerful to be a catalyst of change - a heartening

    response given the dire need for a strong civil society at this point in Egypts history. This is

    however to be balanced out against a persistent mistrust between civil society and governing

    bodies:

    41.7% of respondents still express a certain fear of government oppression 52.8% of respondents still consider that authorities are not yet open to interact with

    civil society on issues affecting the transition to democracy

    It is an unfortunate paradox that at the precise moment when civil society feels most capable

    of effecting positive change, it feels as though authorities are continuing to block or be

    unreceptive to their efforts.

    It must also be noted that perhaps the most balanced split between positive and negative

    responses occurred with the statement concerning fear of government oppression. This

    statement perhaps more than any of the others speaks to the previous regimes legacy in the

    government today, and the remnants of the iron-fist style of control. Until civil society feels free

    to operate without fear of its government, democracy will be unable to truly flourish.

    Interestingly enough, there seemed to be a slightly liberal leaning for CSOs that were based in

    Cairo or Greater Cairo, versus those outside the capital. Those in the area of Cairo were 9% less

    optimistic about the future of Egypt, and in 10% more instances they felt that authorities were

    open to consult with CSOs about issues in transition. One CSO representative explained that

    besides the National Council for Human Rights which is a semi- governmental institution- civil

    society organizations did not receive any invitation to participate in contributing to the

    formation of Egypts future on any level. Also, not one NGO was invited to the National Dialogue

    that took place.

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    This graph shows the percentages of CSOs who answered very regularly or occasionally when

    asked how often their organization was affected by the mentioned governmental constraints and

    restrictions, both before and after the Egyptian Revolution of February 2011.

    II. Civil Society and the Freedom to Act: Areas for

    Improvement

    A true democratic transition in Egypt will require that civil society can take a more active role

    than what has been previously possible. However, such a partnership between government andCSOs simply cannot exist if leadership still feels threatened by democratic growth. Thus, in

    order to gauge the progress of transition, it is helpful to better understand how civil society

    perceives its own freedom to act, and the treatment they have received from the government

    since the revolution.

    The general picture is one that clearly depicts major improvements in the possibility for CSOs

    to act and think freely: on all 4 major types of restrictions that can affect civil society

    (censorship, unlawful arrest and imprisonment, defamation and harassment, obstacles in

    daily operations), significant improvements are perceived by respondents. However, the

    persistence of certain restrictions is preoccupying and shed lights on numerous possible areas

    for improvement.

    The main perceived gain since February seems to be a significant improvement in the

    possibility for civil society groups to freely express their views and opinions: while 90.3% of

    respondents declare to have been affected by censorship and obstructions to freedom of

    speech before February, this proportion is down to 34.7% in the new Egypt. Even though 34.7%

    is not a negligible figure, the drop is significant, and illustrates an important development

    towards the democratization of the regime.

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    A second hurdle facing CSOs is the refusal of access to funding or refusal to register new

    projects or conduct activities, still imposed by authorities in certain cases , and still permitted

    by the current regulations and laws ruling the third sector, and in particular the law 84/20025.

    Almost 1 in 3 respondents (29.1%) declared to still be facing such difficulties in their daily

    operations.

    Another 1 in 5 respondents (20.8%) still declare to be affected by public defamation and

    harassment by authorities. When asked about the nature of censorship and harassment by the

    government before and after the revolution, two different respondents said that it was usually

    due to their acceptance of aid and funding from foreign institutions. 39 CSOs and political

    groups have recently joined forced to denounce what they call a fierce and systematized

    crackdown by the countrys military junta and submitted official complaints to several special

    UN rapporteurs6

    regarding frequent incidents of defamation against groups receiving funds from

    foreign countries, which CSOs consider as an attempt to discredit civil society as a whole.

    The fact that almost 1 in 10 respondents (9.7%) declare to face, even today, unlawful arrest

    and imprisonment is a preoccupying finding.

    5In this regard, refer to the various campaigns coordinated by the Arab Program for Human Rights

    Activists (APHRA) to reform civil society laws,www.aphra.org.6

    Amro Hassan and Jack Shenker, Egyptian Human Rights groups accuse junta of smear campaign , The

    Guardian, 24 August 2011. See also Cairo Institute for Human Rights Studies,www.cihrs.org.

    http://www.aphra.org/http://www.aphra.org/http://www.aphra.org/http://www.cihrs.org/http://www.cihrs.org/http://www.cihrs.org/http://www.cihrs.org/http://www.aphra.org/
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    III. Civil Society and the New Political Order: A

    Progressive Agenda

    Constitution before elections

    Six months after the ouster of President Mubarak from power, elections have yet to be held,

    and a constitution has yet to be written. While a popular referendum on March 19 gave

    consensus to elections being held before the drafting of the new constitution7, a number of new

    proposals have gained public support amongst secularists and liberals since then. The majority

    of alternative timelines proposed seem to be geared towards mitigating the expected influence

    of non-secular, extremist or non-progressive parties, whether by drafting a constitution before

    elections, or better clarifying the secular nature of the state in a government issued document.

    The CSOs who responded to this survey seemed split between various plans of action, but

    were generally unified about the need to assert the secular and democratic nature of the new

    Egypt. In fact, 79% disagreed with the idea of Islamic parties gaining a parliamentary majority

    and impacting the constitution-drafting process, and 68.4% were opposed to elections being

    held as soon as possible, as this could be too early to ensure that the political system (and

    political parties in particular) effectively represents the full spectrum of opinions. More

    specifically, 71.1% of respondents agreed that it would be unfair and unwise to hold elections

    7The referendum was passed with 77.2% approval (despite calls for boycott) amidst a 41% voter turnout.

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    before more political parties have an opportunity to become established- an idea originally

    endorsed by Interim Prime Minister Essam Sharaf before he came under fire for his comments.

    Respondents are generally inclined to support a timeline that contradicts the political schedule

    already announced, which would see elections being held before a Constitution is drafted. In

    this regard, the 73.7% of respondents who would prefer to see a constitutional councilestablished before elections are held seem to agree with the position of the so-called Million-

    Strong protesters that endorsed the Constitution First Campaign. This campaign is led by a

    coalition of liberal and leftist organizations to reverse the timeline proposed in the national

    referendum and elect a constitutional council to write the constitution before elections are held.

    More interestingly, there is an almost unanimous (92.1%) endorsement for the writing of a bill

    of rights before elections a bill of rights that would frame the overall spirit of a new

    constitution. This plan has been endorsed by presidential hopeful Mohamed El Baradei, and

    corroborated by recent opinion polls and surveys8.

    A strong support towards secularism

    The secular nature of the State seems to be a strong aspiration for civil society representatives

    and even a high priority for 66.1% of respondents (see below, Priorities for the new

    constitution): 79% of respondents agreed that the new constitution should include provisions to

    protect the secular nature of civil institutions, which is reminiscent of calls by various groups to

    task the Supreme Council of the Armed Forces with this responsibility. This is also similar to the

    calls by the National Consensus Conference led by the previous Deputy Prime Minister Yehia El

    Gamal to include an article in the constitution ensuring the secular nature of the state.

    This particular issue the relationship between Islam and democracy has been a point of

    contention or even controversy in Egypt over the past few months, and was thus particularly

    interested to include in the survey. The CSOs who took part in this survey seem to have strong

    secular views on the matter, expressing a concern for pluralism and progressive statements.

    Indeed, 62.9% of respondents disagree with the idea that any government must gain legitimacy

    from Islam, which is consistent with the previous finding regarding the secular nature of the

    State, and the opinion that, for 77.4% of respondents, clerics or religious leaders should not play

    a formal role in politics and law-making9. A significant 62.9% of respondents strongly agreed

    8Chelsea J. Carter, Survey Finds Egyptians favor advisory role for religious leaders , CNN, 6 June 2011 :

    quoting a recent study published by Gallup Abu Dhabi Center, the journalist mentions that a large

    majority of Egyptians would strongly favor the inscription of freedom of speech, freedom of religion and

    freedom of assembly in the new constitution.99

    This could be compared with recent public opinion polls such as Egypt from Tahrir to Transition:

    Egyptians on their assets and challenges and what leaders should do about it , Abu Dhabi Gallup Center,

    June 2011, p.6: *+ religion remains important to most Egyptians (96%), and 92% say they have

    confidence in religious institutions. It is not surprising, then, that many Egyptians reject the idea that

    government should carry on its business without considering religious doctrine . However, the majority

    of residents in the Arab worlds most populous nation desire a democracy informed by religious values, not

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    that there should be an article written in the constitution assuring the separation between

    religion and government, in discordance with the article 2 of the existing constitution which

    mandates that the principles of Islamic law are the prime source of legislation. This also places

    civil society groups in discordance with the general public opinion: indeed, according to recently

    published opinion polls, nearly two thirds of Egyptians said civil law should strictly follow the

    Koran10.

    What is interesting to notice is the civil society representatives who responded to the survey

    have a progressive and consistent view on the issue of religion and politics: it is not a matter of

    being anti- or pro-Islam, it is precisely a matter of secularism, taking into consideration all

    religious faiths that compose Egypt today. Respondents assert in a large consensus (91.9%) that

    an Egyptian citizen of any religion should be allowed to run for President and strongly agree

    that political parties themselves should not have a religious label (80.6% of respondents

    consider that political parties should not have a specific religious focus and 90.3% consider that

    political parties should not exclusively represent one specific religious segment), which

    somehow contrasts with the general public opinion11

    . When asked specifically why he felt thisaversion, one respondent replied simply that pluralism is a core principle of democracy. If

    a theocracy. Indeed, according to the survey, 69% would favor an advisory role for religious leaders

    when it comes to drafting legislation and only 14% said religious leaders should have full authority.10

    David D. Kirpatrick and Mona El-Naggar, Poll Finds Egyptians Full of Hope About the Future , The

    New York Times, 25 April 201111

    David D. Kirpatrick and Mona El-Naggar, Poll Finds Egyptians Full of Hope About the Future , The

    New York Times, 25 April 2011: 50% said it was very important for religiously based parties to be able to

    participate in government;

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    political parties discriminate based on religion, this is contradictory to the idea of a democratic

    Egypt. He also felt that religious groups used religion to gain votes, but beyond that had very

    few effective clear plans as to how they would implement government programs.

    Also, a slight liberal leaning of CSOs based in Cairo was again apparent as 100% of them said that

    a citizen of any religion could run for president, and 10% less of them said that the governmentshould gain its legitimacy from Islam.

    Priorities for the new constitution

    Respondents were also asked to rate various issues in terms of their level of priority to the new

    constitution, and the following findings were made:

    Top priorities are, equally, the democratic nature of the state and the independenceof the judiciary for 91.9% of the respondents

    12, which compares with the concerns

    expressed by Egyptian public opinion in recent months

    Not surprisingly, press and media freedoms also rank high in terms of priority(85.5%),as they are usually strong safeguards of pluralism, transparency and freedom of

    expression all core democratic principles; similarly, respondent are giving a high

    priority to an adequate balance of power between the executive, legislative and

    judicial branches of government (72.6%)

    The control over armed forces seems to be a point of debate. The statement thecontrol of the military should be divided between the executive and legislative

    branches of government aimed at introducing the idea of a parliamentary oversight of

    the defense sector, and gauge civil society perception on the matter. Interestingly, only

    48.4% of the respondents do consider this as a high priority for the new constitution.

    This ambivalence probably reflects the dilemma facing the Egyptian people today: on

    the one hand, the army still benefit from the respect of most Egyptians, for the

    adjuvant role that it played in the Revolution and its prominent role in Egyptian politics

    over the past century. As one observer put it, the January 25 revolution would not

    have reached the threshold of democratic transition where it now stands were it not for

    the role the army played in resolving the conflict between the old regime and

    revolutionary forces13

    . On the other hand, progress has been slow, and disappointing

    12David D. Kirpatrick and Mona El-Naggar, Poll Finds Egyptians Full of Hope About the Future , The

    New York Times, 25 April 2011: () asked about their most important concerns for the future, the

    broadest majority82% - said improving economic conditions was very important; 79% said a fair judicial

    system was; 63% said law and order; the same portion that said freedom of speech; and only 55% said

    honest elections.13

    Dr. Gamal Abd El Gawad, Director of Al Ahram Center for Political and Strategic Studies, The Army in

    the Post-Revolution Constitution , presentation given on 27 July 2011 during the conference Ways to

    Strengthen the Democratic Transformation in Egypt , co-organized by the Cairo Institute for Human

    Rights Studies, the United Nations Democracy Fund (UNDEF) and the Foundation for International

    Relations and Foreign Dialogue (FRIDE).

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    to many. Finding the adequate and stable constitutional formula for the army is a key

    challenge of the coming years, for democracy to grow and sustain in Egypt.

    The question of including formally in the constitution a quota for the representationand participation of women in political life seems to create a debate even within civil

    society. It was the lowest of priorities for respondents to the survey (only 30.6%consider quotas for female representation to be a high priority, this proportion growing

    up to a significant but not overwhelming 62% among organizations who described

    themselves as specialized on gender and womens rights), and it was even not a

    priority at all for 29% of respondents. This reflects within civil society similar lines of

    divide that have appeared in Egypt in recent months, as the question of women

    quotas in politics was growing into a controversy14

    . Indeed, many voices have started

    to criticize the idea of a quota, not only because it is seen as a policy introduced by the

    former regime, but also because as a respondent put it quotas are a form a

    positive discrimination that can cause a parliamentary candidate to be considered

    based on gender, not on their capability to carry out the job, and this is simplyundemocratic.

    14 In this regard, refer to the campaign coordinated by the Egyptian Coalition for Civil Education and

    Womens participation (such as The cancellation of Women's Quota without alternative legal methods

    that guarantee women's political participation is pushing women back to the zero point in May 2011)

    and the Egyptian Center for Womens Rights,www.ecwr.org.

    http://www.ecwr.org/http://www.ecwr.org/http://www.ecwr.org/
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    IV. The Next Egyptian President as Portrayed by Civil

    Society

    The CSOs were also asked to respond to statements about the next Egyptian president, and the

    criteria that they believe he/she must fill. The largest majority (77.4%) believed that the nextpresident must have two Egyptian parents, and believed (67.7%) that he/she must have no

    record of collaboration with the Mubarak regime.

    Even though respondents were not in favor of female quota for political representation, they

    also strongly disagree (54.8%) with the idea that the new Egyptian President would have to be a

    man. A slight tendency for organizations to be more liberal if based in Cairo or Greater Cairo was

    apparent as organizations based in the capital were 10% more likely to disagree that the

    president must be Muslim or male.

    The issue of religion is, there again, a point of contention: 46.5% agree that the next President

    should be Muslim, and an almost equal proportion (46.8%) would disagree with the same

    statement.

    When asked to rank a list of pertinent issues in terms of what level of priority they should take

    with the new president, respondents seemed to favor issues that would help Egypt regain

    stability and develop into a stronger democratic state than those that would draw national

    attention outside the country, or focus on the past. Job creation and economic recovery were

    ranked the highest priority more often than any other issue and by far (priority number 1 or 2

    for 74.2% of the respondents). This is the confirmation that the new regime is particularly

    expected to create opportunities and social justice.

    Security sector reforms (priority 1 or 2 for 51.6% of respondents) and the ratification as well as

    implementation of key international human rights conventions (priority 1 or 2 for 35.5% of

    respondents) are respectively the second and third priority by order of importance.

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    On the other end of the spectrum, finding a resolution to the Palestinian-Israeli Conflict was the

    lowest priority, indicating once more that the political revolution in Egypt are, first and

    foremost, a matter of internal priorities according to respondents.

    It was interesting to notice that transitional justice and the prosecution of prominent leaders of

    the previous regimes is perceived as a high priority for only 1 in 6 respondents (16.1%) and as alow priority by a large majority of them (61.3%), precisely at the time when former President

    Mubarak was called to court for a first hearing on 3 August.

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    Annexure

    Questionnaire

    Egyptian Civil Society Perception Survey - Questionnaire

    1. Organization detailsRespondent name

    Organization Name

    Date of establishment of the

    organization

    2. Main location (one choice)oCairo/Greater CairooCentral EgyptoUpper EgyptoDelta/Lower EgyptoOther

    3. Main expertise (multiple choice)oHuman rights/JusticeoDemocracy/GovernanceoGender/Womens rightsoYouth empowermentoCommunity empowerment/Social developmentoOther

    4. How often has your organization been affected by any of the following constraints orrestrictions from authorities in the past (before the Egyptian Revolution of February

    2011)?

    Very

    regularly

    Occasionally Never No

    opinion

    Censorship/lack of freedom of

    speech o o o oUnlawful arrest and imprisonment

    o o o o

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    Public defamation and harassment

    by government forces o o o oRefusal to access funding/ no

    permission to register new project

    or conduct activities

    o o o o5. How often has your organization been affected by any of the following constraints or

    restrictions from authorities since February 2011?

    Very

    regularly

    Occasionally Never No

    opinion

    Censorship/lack of freedom of

    speech o o o oUnlawful arrest and imprisonment

    o o o oPublic defamation and harassment

    by government forces o o o oRefusal to access funding/ no

    permission to register new project

    or conduct activities

    o o o o6. How do you feel about the following statements regarding the transition since the

    Egyptian Revolution of February 2011?

    Strongly

    agree

    Somewhat

    agree

    Somewhat

    disagree

    Strongly

    disagree

    No

    opinion

    I feel very optimistic for the

    future of Egypt o o o o oAs a civil societyrepresentative, I feel much

    more powerful to be a catalyst

    of change in Egypt

    o o o o oI feel that authorities are open

    to listen to civil society and

    consult with them on key

    issues of the transition

    o o o o oMy fear of government

    oppression has decreased

    since the Revolution

    o o o o oMajor progress has been made

    for Egypt to become a true

    democracy

    o o o o o

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    7. How do you feel about the following statements regarding the new Constitution andthe electoral process (according to your personal opinion)?

    Strongly

    agree

    Somewhat

    agree

    Somewhat

    disagree

    Strongly

    disagree

    No

    opinion

    Parliamentary elections shouldbe held as soon as possible,

    before drafting a Constitution

    o o o o oA Constitutional Council must

    be set up to write a

    Constitution before national

    elections are held

    o o o o oIt would be unfair and unwise

    to hold elections before

    political parties have more

    time to become established

    o o o o oThere is not problem with

    Islamic parties gaining a

    majority in Parliament and

    having a great influence in the

    electoral and constitution-

    drafting process, therefore

    elections should be held as

    soon as possible

    o o o o o

    Before drafting a Constitution,

    a Bill of Rights should be

    approved that would

    supersede the Constitution

    o o o o oThe new Constitution should

    provide certain provisions to

    protect the secular nature of

    civil institutions

    o o o o o8. How do you feel about the following statements regarding the criteria for the next

    President?

    Strongly

    agree

    Somewhat

    agree

    Somewhat

    disagree

    Strongly

    disagree

    No

    opinion

    The next President must have

    no record of collaboration

    with the previous regime

    o o o o oThe next President must have

    no ties with the army o o o o oThe next President must be

    Muslim o o o o o

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    The next President must be

    male o o o o oThe next President must have

    two Egyptian parents o o o o o9. How do you feel about the following statements regarding the role of Egyptian civil

    society in the democratization process?

    Strongly

    agree

    Somewhat

    agree

    Somewhat

    disagree

    Strongly

    disagree

    No

    opinion

    Leaders should be recruited to

    take on new political and

    governmental leadership roles

    o o o o oCSOs should form a large

    portion of a Constitutional

    Council to draft a new

    constitution before elections

    are held

    o o o o oCivil society must play a

    significant role in security

    sector oversight in the new

    regime

    o o o o oIt should play a major role in

    educating the public about

    their rights and responsibilities

    as voters in a democracy

    o o o o oIt should play a major role in

    raising awareness of the public

    on their basic human rights

    o o o o oIt should play a major role in

    election monitoring in the

    upcoming elections

    o o o o oIt should act as a watchdog to

    hold the new government

    accountable to the promises

    they have made to Egyptian

    citizens

    o o o o o

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    10.Rank the following statements according to their level of priority in the newconstitution in your opinion

    High

    priority

    Medium

    priority

    Low

    priority

    Not a

    priority

    at all

    No

    opinion

    Quotas for female

    representation in government o o o o oGuarantees for the

    independence of the Judiciary o o o o oMedia and Press freedoms

    o o o o oControl of the military clearly

    divided between the executive

    and the legislative branches

    o o o o oAn even balance of powerbetween the judicial, executive

    and legislative branches of

    government

    o o o o oThe constitution clearly stating

    the democratic nature of the

    State

    o o o o oThe constitution clearly stating

    that there is a separation

    between religion and the State

    o o o o o11.How do you feel about the following statements regarding the link between religion

    and the State?

    Strongly

    agree

    Somewhat

    agree

    Somewhat

    disagree

    Strongly

    disagree

    No

    opinion

    There must be a clear

    separation between religion

    and government in the new

    Constitution

    o o o o oPolitical parties should not

    exclusively represent one

    religious group

    o o o o oThere is no issue with political

    parties having a specific

    religious focus

    o o o o oAn Egyptian citizen of any

    religion should be

    constitutionally allowed to run

    for President

    o o o o o

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    Clerics should not play a

    formal role in politics and

    legislation

    o o o o oAny government must gain its

    legitimacy from Islam by

    having a Shura council, aMuslim President and laws

    based on Sharia

    o o o o o12.What should be the priorities of the new President and government? Rank the

    following statements from 1 (highest priority) to 5 (lowest priority) [one choice per

    statement]

    1 (highest

    priority)

    2 3 4 5 (lowest

    priority)

    Job creation, employment and

    economic recovery o o o o oA solution to the Israeli-

    Palestinian conflict o o o o oRatification and

    implementation of key

    international human rights

    conventions

    o o o o oSecurity sector reform

    o o o o oTransitional justice and

    prosecution of prominent

    leaders of the previous regime

    o o o o o

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    Foundation for the Future

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    Amman 11195

    JORDAN

    Tel +962 6 55 44 906

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    www.foundationforfuture.org

    http://www.foundationforfuture.org/http://www.foundationforfuture.org/