city wide poll results

7/23/2019 City wide poll results

1/21

January 5-7, 2016Survey of 1,569 likely voters


3020 Highwoods Blvd.Raleigh, NC 27604

[email protected] / 888 621-6988



Washington, D.C. Citywide Survey Results

Q1 How likely are you to vote in the June 14, 2016Democratic Primary for President and DC CityCouncil: are you certain to vote, will youprobably vote, are the chances 50/50, or willyou probably not vote?

91%Certain to vote ................................................

9%Will probably vote ...........................................

0%Chances are 50/50 .........................................

0%Will probably not vote......................................

Q2 If the Democratic candidates for Presidentwere Hillary Clinton, Martin OMalley, andBernie Sanders, who would you vote for?

64%Hillary Clinton..................................................

3%Martin O'Malley ...............................................

21%Bernie Sanders ...............................................

13%Not sure ..........................................................

Q3 If the Democratic candidates for At-Large DCCouncil were Vincent Orange, David Garber,Robert White, and Vince Gray, who would youvote for?

20%Vincent Orange ...............................................

10%David Garber..................................................

6%Robert White...................................................

32%Vince Gray ......................................................

32%Not sure ..........................................................

Q4 If the Democratic candidates for the DCCouncil At-Large Primary were VincentOrange, David Garber, Robert White and AndyShalall, who would you vote for?

28%Vincent Orange ...............................................

8%David Garber.................................................. 7%Robert White...................................................

19%Andy Shalall....................................................

38%Not sure ..........................................................

Q5 Do you approve or disapprove of PresidentBarack Obamas job performance?

89%Approve ..........................................................

6%Disapprove......................................................

4%Not sure ..........................................................

Q6 Do you agree or disagree with the followingstatement: As Mayor, Vince Gray was treatedfairly by the media. If you agree that as VinceGray was treated fairly by the news media,press 1. If you disagree, press 2. If youre notsure, press 3.

46%Agree ..............................................................

35%Disagree .........................................................

19%Not sure ..........................................................

Q7 Do you agree or disagree with the followingstatement: As Mayor, Vince Gray was treatedfairly by Federal investigators.

40%Agree ..............................................................

39%Disagree .........................................................

21%Not sure ..........................................................

Q8 Do you approve or disapprove of Mayor MurielBowsers job performance?

45%Approve ..........................................................

29%Disapprove......................................................

26%Not sure ..........................................................

Q9 Regardless of how you feel about MayorBowsers job performance, would you say youhave a favorable or unfavorable opinion ofMuriel Bowser personally?

57%Favorable........................................................

24%Unfavorable ....................................................

19%Not sure ..........................................................


2/21







Q10 Do you have a favorable or unfavorable opinion

of DC Council Chairman Phil Mendelson?56%Favorable........................................................

11%Unfavorable ....................................................

33%Not sure ..........................................................

Q11 Do you have a favorable or unfavorable opinionof Councilmember Yvette Alexander?

24%Favorable........................................................

15%Unfavorable ....................................................

61%Not sure ..........................................................


of Vince Gray?42%Favorable........................................................

37%Unfavorable ....................................................

22%Not sure ..........................................................

Q13 Do you have a favorable or unfavorable opinionof Robert White?

16%Favorable........................................................

7%Unfavorable ....................................................

77%Not sure ..........................................................


of Andy Shalall?35%Favorable........................................................

11%Unfavorable ....................................................

54%Not sure ..........................................................

Q15 Do you have a favorable or unfavorable opinionof Councilmember Vincent Orange?

28%Favorable........................................................

39%Unfavorable ....................................................

33%Not sure ..........................................................


of David Garber?14%Favorable........................................................

8%Unfavorable ....................................................

78%Not sure ..........................................................


of Councilmember David Grosso?32%Favorable........................................................

10%Unfavorable ....................................................

58%Not sure ..........................................................

Q18 If you are a woman, press 1. If a man, press 2.

52%Woman ...........................................................

48%Man.................................................................

Q19 If you are African-American, press 1. IfHispanic, press 2. If white, press 3. If other,press 4.

48%African-American ............................................

3%Hispanic..........................................................

46%White ..............................................................

3%Other...............................................................

Q20 If you are 18 to 29 years old, press 1. If 30 to45, press 2. If 46 to 65, press 3. If you are olderthan 65, press 4.

10%18 to 29...........................................................

21%30 to 45...........................................................

43%46 to 65...........................................................

26%Older than 65 ..................................................

Q21 Ward

12%1......................................................................

8%2......................................................................

14%3......................................................................

17%4......................................................................

14%5......................................................................

17%6......................................................................

11%7......................................................................

7%8......................................................................


3/21

January 5-7, 2016survey of 1,569 likely voters






Base

Gender

Woman Man

Democratic PresidentPrimary Vote

Hillary Clinton

Martin O'Malley

Bernie Sanders

Not sure

64% 66% 61%

3% 3% 3%

21% 15% 28%

13% 17% 8%

Base

Gender

Woman Man

Democratic At-LargeCouncil Vote

Vincent Orange

David Garber

Robert White

Vince Gray

Not sure

20% 20% 20%

10% 9% 1 2%

6% 5% 7%

32% 31% 34%

32% 36% 28%

Base

Gender

Woman Man

Democratic At-LargeCouncil Primary Vote

Vincent Orange

David Garber

Robert White

Andy Shalall

Not sure

28% 28% 28%

8% 6% 1 0%

7% 5% 1 0%

19% 18% 19%

38% 42% 33%


4/21







Base

Gender

Woman Man

Obama Approval

Approve

Disapprove

Not sure

89% 92% 87%

6% 3% 9%

4% 5% 4%

Base

Gender

Woman Man

Gray Treated Fairly ByMedia Agree/Disagree

Agree

Disagree

Not sure

46% 41% 51%

35% 35% 35%

19% 24% 14%

Base

Gender

Woman Man

Gray Treated Fairly ByInvestigators

Agree/Disagree

Agree

Disagree

Not sure

40% 36% 44%

39% 37% 41%

21% 27% 15%

Base

Gender

Woman Man

Bowser Approval

Approve

Disapprove

Not sure

45% 44% 46%

29% 26% 33%

26% 30% 21%


5/21







Base

Gender

Woman Man

Bowser Favorability

Favorable

Unfavorable

Not sure

57% 56% 58%

24% 23% 25%

19% 21% 17%

Base

Gender

Woman Man

MendelsonFavorability

Favorable

Unfavorable

Not sure

56% 54% 58%

11% 9% 1 4%

33% 37% 28%

Base

Gender

Woman Man

Alexander Favorabi li ty

Favorable

Unfavorable

Not sure

24% 20% 28%

15% 14% 15%

61% 66% 56%

Base

Gender

Woman Man

Gray Favorabilit y

Favorable

Unfavorable

Not sure

42% 43% 40%

37% 30% 43%

22% 27% 16%


6/21







Base

Gender

Woman Man

White Favorabilit y

Favorable

Unfavorable

Not sure

16% 15% 18%

7% 6% 8%

77% 79% 74%

Base

Gender

Woman Man

Shalall Favorabilit y

Favorable

Unfavorable

Not sure

35% 35% 36%

11% 9% 1 3%

54% 56% 51%

Base

Gender

Woman Man

Orange Favorability

Favorable

Unfavorable

Not sure

28% 29% 28%

39% 32% 46%

33% 39% 26%

Base

Gender

Woman Man

Garber Favorabilit y

Favorable

Unfavorable

Not sure

14% 12% 17%

8% 7% 8%

78% 82% 75%


7/21







Base

Gender

Woman Man

Grosso Favorability

Favorable

Unfavorable

Not sure

32% 28% 37%

10% 8% 1 1%

58% 64% 52%

Base

Race

Afr ican-Amer ican Hispanic Whit e Other


Hillary Clinton

Martin O'Malley

Bernie Sanders

Not sure

64% 70% 47% 59% 55%

3% 2% - 4% 2%

21% 12% 38% 29% 24%

13% 16% 15% 8% 19%

Base

Race



Vincent Orange

David Garber

Robert White

Vince Gray

Not sure

20% 27% 20% 12% 15%

10% 4% 14% 16% 7%

6% 6% 4% 7% 6%

32% 43% 9% 22% 37%

32% 20% 54% 43% 35%


8/21







Base

Race



Vincent Orange

David Garber

Robert White

Andy Shalall

Not sure

28% 47% 12% 10% 22%

8% 3% 16% 12% 7%

7% 9% 4% 6% 7%

19% 10% 4% 28% 27%

38% 31% 64% 43% 37%

Base

Race


Obama Approval

Approve

Disapprove

Not sure

89% 89% 100% 89% 82%

6% 6% - 7% 8%

4% 4% - 4% 10%

Base

Race



Agree

Disagree

Not sure

46% 29% 50% 63% 40%

35% 49% 22% 21% 34%

19% 21% 28% 16% 26%


9/21







Base

Race



Agree/Disagree

Agree

Disagree

Not sure

40% 31% 38% 49% 34%

39% 45% 19% 34% 40%

21% 24% 43% 16% 26%

Base

Race


Bowser Approval

Approve

Disapprove

Not sure

45% 43% 35% 49% 29%

29% 31% 37% 26% 44%

26% 26% 28% 26% 27%

Base

Race


Bowser Favorability

Favorable

Unfavorable

Not sure

57% 53% 63% 62% 38%

24% 26% 29% 22% 31%

19% 21% 8% 16% 31%


10/21







Base

Race



Favorable

Unfavorable

Not sure

56% 45% 42% 68% 49%

11% 12% 25% 9% 21%

33% 42% 33% 23% 30%

Base

Race



Favorable

Unfavorable

Not sure

24% 34% 36% 13% 31%

15% 15% 9% 14% 18%

61% 51% 55% 73% 52%

Base

Race


Gray Favorabilit y

Favorable

Unfavorable

Not sure

42% 57% 18% 28% 42%

37% 19% 56% 54% 36%

22% 24% 26% 19% 23%


11/21







Base

Race


White Favorabilit y

Favorable

Unfavorable

Not sure

16% 19% 17% 13% 13%

7% 10% - 4% 11%

77% 71% 83% 82% 76%

Base

Race



Favorable

Unfavorable

Not sure

35% 24% 34% 47% 33%

11% 12% 14% 9% 11%

54% 64% 52% 43% 56%

Base

Race


Orange Favorability

Favorable

Unfavorable

Not sure

28% 44% 21% 13% 33%

39% 21% 31% 59% 35%

33% 36% 48% 29% 32%

Base

Race

Afr ican-

Amer ican Hispanic Whit e Other


Favorable

Unfavorable

Not sure

14% 14% 16% 14% 7%

8% 12% 11% 3% 13%

78% 74% 73% 83% 80%


12/21







Base

Race


Grosso Favorability

Favorable

Unfavorable

Not sure

32% 20% 37% 44% 29%

10% 13% 14% 5% 20%

58% 67% 49% 51% 51%

Base

Age

18 to29

30 to45

46 to65

Olderthan 65


Hillary Clinton

Martin O'Malley

Bernie Sanders

Not sure

64% 67% 57% 64% 67%

3% 2% 3% 3% 3%

21% 19% 26% 21% 17%

13% 12% 13% 12% 13%

Base

Age

18 to29

30 to45

46 to65

Olderthan 65


Vincent Orange

David Garber

Robert White

Vince Gray

Not sure

20% 35% 9% 22% 18%

10% 10% 15% 10% 8%

6% 10% 6% 6% 6%

32% 28% 28% 31% 38%

32% 17% 42% 31% 30%


13/21







Base

Age

18 to29

30 to45

46 to65

Olderthan 65


Vincent Orange

David Garber

Robert White

Andy Shalall

Not sure

28% 51% 16% 29% 29%

8% 3% 13% 7% 6%

7% 12% 6% 8% 7%

19% 8% 17% 22% 20%

38% 27% 48% 35% 38%

Base

Age

18 to29

30 to45

46 to65

Olderthan 65

Obama Approval

Approve

Disapprove

Not sure

89% 90% 91% 89% 88%

6% 10% 8% 6% 5%

4% - 1% 5% 7%

Base

Age

18 to29

30 to45

46 to65

Olderthan 65


Agree

Disagree

Not sure

46% 56% 53% 46% 38%

35% 32% 27% 37% 38%

19% 12% 20% 17% 24%


14/21







Base

Age

18 to29

30 to45

46 to65

Olderthan 65


Agree/Disagree

Agree

Disagree

Not sure

40% 47% 47% 39% 32%

39% 29% 30% 43% 43%

21% 25% 23% 17% 25%

Base

Age

18 to29

30 to45

46 to65

Olderthan 65

Bowser Approval

Approve

Disapprove

Not sure

45% 37% 42% 46% 48%

29% 35% 36% 29% 22%

26% 27% 22% 25% 29%

Base

Age

18 to29

30 to45

46 to65

Olderthan 65

Bowser Favorability

Favorable

Unfavorable

Not sure

57% 47% 51% 59% 62%

24% 37% 29% 23% 18%

19% 16% 20% 18% 20%


15/21







Base

Age

18 to29

30 to45

46 to65

Olderthan 65


Favorable

Unfavorable

Not sure

56% 32% 62% 55% 60%

11% 15% 7% 14% 9%

33% 52% 31% 31% 31%

Base

Age

18 to29

30 to45

46 to65

Olderthan 65


Favorable

Unfavorable

Not sure

24% 38% 22% 24% 22%

15% 16% 17% 16% 10%

61% 46% 61% 61% 68%

Base

Age

18 to29

30 to45

46 to65

Olderthan 65

Gray Favorabilit y

Favorable

Unfavorable

Not sure

42% 30% 36% 44% 47%

37% 41% 45% 38% 27%

22% 29% 19% 18% 26%


16/21







Base

Age

18 to29

30 to45

46 to65

Olderthan 65

White Favorabilit y

Favorable

Unfavorable

Not sure

16% 21% 22% 15% 12%

7% 17% 7% 7% 5%

77% 63% 71% 79% 82%

Base

Age

18 to29

30 to45

46 to65

Olderthan 65


Favorable

Unfavorable

Not sure

35% 16% 37% 39% 34%

11% 12% 17% 10% 6%

54% 72% 46% 51% 60%

Base

Age

18 to29

30 to45

46 to65

Olderthan 65

Orange Favorability

Favorable

Unfavorable

Not sure

28% 31% 20% 30% 31%

39% 20% 50% 41% 32%

33% 50% 30% 28% 37%

Base

Age

18 to

29

30 to

45

46 to

65

Older

than 65


Favorable

Unfavorable

Not sure

14% 2% 21% 14% 12%

8% 13% 10% 7% 5%

78% 85% 69% 79% 84%


17/21







Base

Age

18 to29

30 to45

46 to65

Olderthan 65

Grosso Favorability

Favorable

Unfavorable

Not sure

32% 21% 35% 34% 30%

10% 17% 12% 9% 7%

58% 62% 53% 57% 64%

Base

Ward

1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8


Hillary Clinton

Martin O'Malley

Bernie Sanders

Not sure

64% 55% 62% 54% 66% 67% 68% 72% 64%

3% 3% 4% 8% 1% 1% 2% 4% 0%

21% 29% 30% 29% 19% 16% 24% 9% 8%

13% 14% 5% 9% 14% 16% 6% 16% 27%

Base

Ward

1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8


Vincent Orange

David Garber

Robert White

Vince Gray

Not sure

20% 16% 12% 16% 22% 29% 16% 26% 17%

10% 10% 19% 15% 3% 4% 20% 5% 6%

6% 6% 3% 5% 8% 6% 8% 3% 9%

32% 26% 23% 21% 42% 32% 27% 47% 39%

32% 41% 43% 43% 25% 28% 30% 18% 29%


18/21







Base

Ward

1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8


Vincent Orange

David Garber

Robert White

Andy Shalall

Not sure

28% 26% 17% 12% 37% 38% 15% 47% 38%

8% 6% 18% 9% 2% 4% 18% 4% 1%

7% 4% 2% 9% 10% 9% 8% 5% 11%

19% 26% 23% 28% 19% 16% 18% 10% 6%

38% 38% 40% 41% 32% 34% 42% 35% 44%

Base

Ward

1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8

Obama Approval

Approve

Disapprove

Not sure

89% 90% 82% 87% 88% 88% 94% 93% 94%

6% 4% 10% 9% 8% 8% 4% 5% 1%

4% 6% 8% 4% 4% 3% 3% 3% 5%

Base

Ward

1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8


Agree

Disagree

Not sure

46% 48% 55% 61% 39% 31% 58% 33% 38%

35% 30% 28% 26% 43% 47% 23% 46% 36%

19% 22% 17% 13% 18% 22% 18% 21% 26%


19/21







Base

Ward

1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8


Agree/Disagree

Agree

Disagree

Not sure

40% 39% 54% 44% 33% 36% 48% 32% 30%

39% 39% 29% 37% 53% 41% 31% 45% 27%

21% 21% 17% 19% 14% 23% 20% 23% 42%

Base

Ward

1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8

Bowser Approval

Approve

Disapprove

Not sure

45% 34% 50% 58% 52% 43% 36% 37% 52%

29% 37% 27% 21% 24% 31% 32% 36% 28%

26% 29% 23% 21% 24% 26% 32% 27% 20%

Base

Ward

1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8

Bowser Favorability

Favorable

Unfavorable

Not sure

57% 55% 70% 73% 57% 55% 47% 53% 47%

24% 28% 19% 14% 27% 23% 30% 23% 30%

19% 17% 11% 13% 16% 23% 22% 24% 23%

Base

Ward

1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8


Favorable

Unfavorable

Not sure

56% 59% 77% 68% 55% 51% 51% 46% 41%

11% 9% 5% 12% 14% 17% 10% 13% 5%

33% 32% 18% 20% 31% 32% 39% 41% 54%


20/21







Base

Ward

1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8


Favorable

Unfavorable

Not sure

24% 17% 13% 14% 30% 25% 19% 46% 32%

15% 14% 19% 9% 15% 16% 13% 24% 8%

61% 69% 68% 78% 55% 59% 68% 30% 60%

Base

Ward

1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8

Gray Favorabilit y

Favorable

Unfavorable

Not sure

42% 39% 34% 35% 54% 45% 29% 61% 33%

37% 42% 52% 47% 23% 33% 48% 18% 26%

22% 19% 14% 18% 22% 21% 22% 21% 41%

Base

Ward

1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8

White Favorabilit y

Favorable

Unfavorable

Not sure

16% 16% 10% 14% 25% 13% 16% 12% 18%

7% 6% 1% 5% 10% 11% 6% 8% 9%

77% 77% 89% 81% 65% 76% 78% 80% 73%

Base

Ward

1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8


Favorable

Unfavorable

Not sure

35% 58% 36% 43% 35% 30% 33% 20% 24%

11% 5% 13% 11% 13% 14% 11% 11% 5%

54% 38% 51% 46% 52% 56% 56% 70% 72%


21/21







Base

Ward

1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8

Orange Favorability

Favorable

Unfavorable

Not sure

28% 30% 17% 11% 39% 37% 17% 48% 30%

39% 41% 60% 47% 33% 40% 51% 15% 13%

33% 28% 23% 42% 28% 23% 32% 37% 57%

Base

Ward

1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8


Favorable

Unfavorable

Not sure

14% 12% 24% 10% 11% 8% 19% 16% 17%

8% 4% 1% 2% 15% 14% 6% 10% 5%

78% 84% 76% 88% 74% 78% 75% 75% 79%

Base

Ward

1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8

Grosso Favorability

Favorable

Unfavorable

Not sure

32% 46% 39% 39% 29% 22% 39% 19% 15%

10% 5% 1% 6% 17% 19% 7% 8% 9%

58% 49% 60% 55% 54% 59% 54% 73% 76%

city wide poll results

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