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CITY OF CHICO2020 CLIMATE ACTION PLANOverview of Plan Components

1Chico Climate Action HistoryChico City Council authorizes Mayor to sign US Conference of Mayors Climate Protection Agreement November 3, 2006315th City in the nation to sign the agreement. First Northstate City to signSignature Cities commit to strive to meet Kyoto Protocol greenhouse gas reduction (7% GHG reduction from 1990 levels)Sustainability Task Force formed March 2007Make recommendations on how to implement the Mayors AgreementMake recommendations on initiatives that will reduce greenhouse gas (GHG) emissions Advise Council on other Sustainability issues and items.

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ICLEI Climate Action Milestones

STF AccomplishmentsConducted Baseline Greenhouse Gas (GHG) InventoryICLEI software used to inventory GHG Emissions for City and Community. Established base year of 2005.

Set Target GHG ReductionsCity Council approves reducing emissions to 25% below 2005 levels by 2020.

Assisted in the preparation of the Sustainability Element of the Citys 2030 General Plan

Climate Action Plan

42005 Emissions Inventory ResultsTotal 2005 Emissions: 514,332 MteCO2

Inventory Breakdown by Sector5Emissions Inventory Baseline and Projections

6Climate Action Plan TargetsPhase I Target: Reduce GHG emissions to 5% below 2005 levels by the end of 2015.= Total Reduction of 140,103 MtCO2e per yearPhase II Target: Further Reduce GHG emissions to 25% below 2005 base year levels by end of 2020.= Total Reduction of 169,653 MtCO2e per year

Total GHG Reductions: 309,756 MtCO2e

7Sector GoalsThe Goal is to Reduce Relative GHG Emissions from the Following Sectors:Transportation Energy & Water ConservationSolid WasteCommunity OutreachSustainable Business ProgramOutreach and Education CommitteePG&E Innovators Pilot ProgramSustainability Website

8Mitigation ActionsMore than 80 potential GHG reduction measures identified by the Sustainability Task Force and City Staff.The majority promoted in the 2030 General Plan

Chose Actions based on:GHG reduction potentialCostsFeasibilityOther benefits associated with the measures (i.e. energy savings)

How GHG Reduction Actions CountTo count a GHG emission reduction action, the act must affect a change or reduction in an emissions-producing activity from the way it was emitting GHG in 2005, or change the manner in which it was projected to emit GHG in subsequent years (Business as Usual).How Their Impact is QuantifiedEmissions FactorsWhat per unit impact, measured in MteCO2, an action will have on reducing aggregate emissions levels per year

These factors are developed and reassessed by the EPA. They assume some generalizations based on national averages; but CAPPA also allows for customization using local conditions.SOURCES FOR ESTIMATING GHG EMISSION REDUCTIONSICLEIs Climate and Air Pollution Planning Assistant (CAPPA) software. Provides standard assumptions for the different measures and allows for local inputs.Environmental Protection Agency (EPA)Energy Emission Factors from PG&EU.S. Department of EnergyCalTransOther GHG Reduction Protocols

12For ExampleHybrid CarsEmissions Factor: 3.29 MteCO2/yrUnit Input: 1 CarCAPPA Assumptions:12,042 Average Annual Miles Per Vehicle46 MPG hybrid, 19.7 MPG avg for replaced vehicleFuel consumption: 262 gallons vs. 611 gallons/yr0.0094127 MteCo2 emissions/gallon of gasoline(611 gals -262 gals)*0.0094127= 3.29 MteCO2 reduced/yrIdentified Emissions Reductions Between 2005-2015Identified GHG reduction actions taken by the City and the community since the 2005 base year.The impact of the existing local actions and potential new actions are estimated to reduce GHG emissions levels by 77,459 MteCO2 annually by the end of 2015.Examples of early action leaders Include:

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Examples of Some Phase 1 ActionsLED Street Lights Lighting Upgrades HVAC Control Retrofits Chiller Retrofits PC Power Management Additional Hybrid Vehicles Additional Acreage on Central Irrigation ControlsWeatherization/ Energy Audits- Pilots RECO

New Bike Path- Hwy 99 CorridorNew Bike Path- 2nd StreetFranchise Waste Zones Expanded Bus RoutesHousehold, School Outreach Business Climate Partnership Workshops Website Landfill Gas Capture Additional City Composting

16Implementation MonitoringKey to implementation success will be continual monitoring of:Local Emissions LevelsExternal ImpactsAction Implementation SuccessBest Practices and New TechnologyGrant/Funding AvailabilityChanges in Grid Mix and in Input Price Levels

17Phase II Amendment ProcessAt the end of Phase I conduct a second GHG inventory.Review Success of Phase I ActionsReview Success of External ActionsPhase II Actions Will be Selected Based on:Additional GHG emissions reductions neededCost-Benefit AnalysisAvailable FundingCAP Amendment Approved by Council through Public Review Process

18Climate Action Plan TimelineMarch-April 2012: Public Comment Period of Draft CAP (STF meetings in March and April)

April-June 2012: Environmental Review

April-June 2012: Preparation of Final CAP

July-August 2012: Release of Final CAP

September 2012: Council Approval

19Contact InformationLinda Herman, Administrative ManagerCity of Chico General Services DepartmentPhone: 530-896-7241Email: Lherman@ci.chico.ca.us

Fletcher Alexander, AnalystInstitute for Sustainable DevelopmentPhone: 530-898-3332Email: falexander@csu.edu

20Chart10.6470.0390.1640.150.0008

AP1 Em Factor AdjustmentsImpact of Refined Emissions Factor on Baseline Emissions LevelAll unlabeled values are Metric Tons of CO2 EquivalentOriginal Inventory ResultsSectorEmissions ContributionTransportation332,602Waste19,987Residential Energy119,135Commercial Energy138,527Industrial Energy700TOTAL610,951SOURCE:GHG Inventory table 3.1Sector% Emissions from ElectricityResidential Energy44%Commercial Energy66%Industrial Energy66%SOURCE:GHG Inventory sections 3.2.4.1 & 3.2.5.1Assumption: % Emissions from Electricity for Industrial set same as CommercialAdjusted Electricity Consumption Emissions FactorE.F. SourceFactor (MtCO2e/ gWh)Original- Regional675SOURCE:Adjusted- PG&E Specific223SOURCE:Pacific Gas & ElectricVariance:67%Adjusted Baseline Emissions from Electricity ConsumptionSectorOriginal Baseline ContributionAdjusted Baseline ContributionResidential Electricity52,41917,323Commercial Electricity91,42830,214Industrial Electricity462153Adjusted Basline Emissions from Energy ConsumptionSectorAdjusted Electricity EmissionsAdditional Sector Energy Emissions% Sector Energy Emission from ElectricityAdjusted Aggregate Baseline Energy EmissionsResidential Energy17,32366,7160.2184,039Commercial Energy30,21447,0990.3977,313Industrial Energy1532380.39391Total by Fuel47,690114,0530.29Adjusted Overall Baseline EmissionsSectorBaseline Emissions ContributionTransportation332,602Waste19,987Residential Energy84,039Commercial Energy77,313Industrial Energy391TOTAL514,331Calculation of PG&E Specific EFPG&E Grid Mix Emissions Factor 2005CO2CH4N2Olbs / mWh489.20.03020.0081mt / mWh0.2218980.00001370.00000367mt / kWh0.0002220.00000001370.00000000367mtCO2e / kWh0.0002223.15E-071.09E-06mtCO2e / kWh0.000223mtCO2e / mWh223.31SOURCE:PG&E CCAR Reporting Year 2005EPA eGRID WECC California Subregion Data Year 2005

AP2 Growth Rate DerivationDerivation of Growth Rates for Adjustment to 'BAU' Emissions ProjectionsPopulation (Residential) Growth RatePop. Sphere of Influence, 2008:99,451Projected Increase 2008-2030:40,262Pop. 2030 Projection:139,713Annual Growth Rate, 2008-2030:1.56%SOURCE:Transportation Growth RateYear:2001200220032004200520062007Daily Vehicle Miles Traveled:1,267,5001,326,3701,308,0001,352,3001,527,9001,523,8001,440,070Annual VMT:462,637,500484,125,050477,420,000493,589,500557,683,500556,187,000525,625,550% Change from Previous Yr.:4.64%-1.38%3.39%12.99%-0.27%-5.49%Avg. Annual Growth Rate, 2001-2007:2.31%SOURCE:http://www.dot.ca.gov/hq/tsip/hpms/datalibrary.phpCommercial/ Industrial Growth RateJob Sector# EmployeesIncreaseGrowth Rate, 2008-203020082030Retail:13,93618,8794,9431.39%"Commercial"Office:11,09515,0303,9351.39%Industrial:9,50612,8773,3711.39%SOURCE:Waste Growth RateSame rate as originally used in GHG Inventory:1.62%SOURCE:Original GHG Inventory CACP Software

BAU ProjectionsBusiness As Usual ProjectionsYearGrowth Rate% Total Emissions, 20052005200620072008200920102011201220132014201520162017201820192020% Total Emissions, 2020Population:1.56%94,86996,37297,90099,451101,002102,578104,178105,803107,454109,130110,833112,562114,318116,101117,912119,752SectorContributionTransportation2.31%64.7%332,602340,285348,146356,188364,416372,834381,446390,258399,273408,496417,932427,586437,464447,569457,908468,48567.4%Waste1.62%3.9%19,98720,31120,64020,97421,31421,65922,01022,36722,72923,09723,47123,85224,23824,63125,03025,4353.7%Residential1.56%16.3%84,03985,35086,68188,03389,40790,80192,21893,65695,11796,60198,10899,639101,193102,772104,375106,00315.2%Commercial1.39%15.0%7731378,38879,47780,58281,70282,83883,98985,15786,34087,54188,75789,99191,24292,51093,79695,10013.7%Industrial1.39%0.08%3913964024074134194244304364424494554614674744810%Aggregate2.03%100%514,331524,729535,346546,185557,251568,551580,088591,868603,896616,177628,718641,523654,598667,949681,583695,504100%"BAU" Per Capita Emissions:5.425.445.475.495.525.545.575.595.625.655.675.705.735.755.785.81CAP TargetsPhase:IIIIIIIIIIIIIIIReduction Target:5% < Baseline25% < BaselineTarget Emissions Levels:488,615385,749Reduction From BAU to Target:140,103309,756% Reduction From BAU to Target:22%44.5%Addt'l Reduction:140,103169,653Target Per Capita Emissions:4.413.22

AP3 BAU Projections ChartBusiness As Usual Emissions ProjectionsAll unlabeled values are Metric Tons of CO2 EquivalentYearPopulationEmissions SectorAggregate EmissionsReduction TargetReduction TargetTarget Emissions LevelPer Capita TargetTransportationWasteResidential EnergyCommercial EnergyIndustrial EnergyGrowth Rate:1.56%2.31%1.62%1.56%1.39%1.39%2.03%% Total, 2005:64.67%3.89%16.34%15.03%0.08%100%200594,869332,60219,98784,03977,313391514,332200696,372340,28520,31185,35078,388396524,730200797,900348,14620,64086,68179,477402535,346200899,451356,18820,97488,03480,582408546,1852009101,002364,41621,31489,40781,702413557,2522010102,578372,83421,65990,80282,838419568,5512011104,178381,44622,01092,21883,989425580,0892012105,803390,25822,36793,65785,157431591,8692013107,454399,27322,72995,11886,340437603,8972014109,130408,49623,09796,60287,540443616,1782015110,833417,93223,47198,10988,757449628,7185% < BL140,103488,6154.412016112,562427,58623,85299,63989,991455641,5232017114,318437,46424,238101,19491,242461654,5992018116,101447,56924,631102,77292,510468667,9502019117,912457,90825,030104,37593,796474681,5832020119,752468,48525,435106,00395,100481695,50425% < BL169,652385,7493.22% Total, 2020:67.36%3.66%15.24%13.67%0.07%100%

Per Capita EmPer Capita Emissions BAUYear:2005200620072008200920102011201220132014201520162017201820192020Population:94,87796,37897,90299,451101,000102,572104,169105,791107,439109,112110,811112,536114,288116,068117,875119,711"BAU" Emissions:514,331524,729535,346546,185557,251568,551580,088591,868603,896616,177628,718641,523654,598667,949681,583695,504"BAU" Per Capita:5.425.445.475.495.525.545.575.595.625.655.675.705.735.755.785.81Target Emissions:488,615385,749Target Per Capita:4.413.22Percentage Reduction:22.3%44.5%Pop. Sphere of Influence, 2008:99,451Projected Increase 2008-2030:40,262Pop. 2030 Projection:139,713Annual Growth Rate:0.015571

AP4 SSRG CalcsStrategic Sector Reduction Goal CalculationsAll unlabeled values are Metric Tons of CO2 EquivalentSector2020 BAU EmissionsSector Strategic Reduction2020 Target EmissionsSector Target ReductionEstimated External ImpactLocal Reduction GoalTransportation468,48548%243,929224,55624%112,43724%112,120Waste25,43520%20,3485,08710%2,54410%2,544Residential106,00335%68,90237,10123%24,38112%12,720Commercial95,10045%52,30542,79523%21,87322%20,922Industrial48145%26421623%11122%106Total695,504385,749309,756161,344148,411695,504309,75655.5%44.5%52.4%47.6%% of Total BAU 2020 Emissions% of Total Target Reduction

Sector Consumpt. ProjectionsPopulation:94869963729790099451101002102578104178105803107454109130110833112562114318116101117912119752Fuel Consumption ProjectionsGrowth Rate2005200620072008200920102011201220132014201520162017201820192020ResidentialkWh2221372430.0156225602584229121984.301057232696287.256153236326349.337349240013040.387012243757243.817049247559856.820595251421790.586996255343970.520153259327336.460268263372842.909048267481459.258429271654170.022861275891975.075217280195889.886391Th12224038124147331260840312805094130048531320772913413770136230241383554414051378142705801449320114719295149489161518211915418960CommercialkWh2894999630.0139293524012297603996301740692305934887310187382314498987318870523323302823327796732332353107336972815341656737346405766351220806356102775Th89012689024996915044392776349406593953734596699149804326994060610078780102188751036091810504935106509531079900110949108IndustrialkWh00.0139000000000000000Th12899130781326013444136311382114013142081440514605148081501415223154351564915867TransportationDiesel VMT390378460.0231399396204086222541806143427718654375989544770748458049534686304747945584490531265018625451345556525316395374511954986632Gas VMT518645656530626371542883840555424457568254761581381446594811358608551500622609040636991309651705808666760212682162373697920324714042283730536660WasteTons to LF883070.016289738911919266994170956959724698821100422102049103702105382107089108824110587112378kWh Total511637206534436979.063408550200422.745572591680443.443069636298665.187021CAP TimelinePer Capita Reduction BL to Target. Overall and x3 sectors. Achieved slowly.Overall Reductions. Overall Sector Reductions. MteCO2Phased Reductions. CAP Table. Reduction Graph.Ultimately hitting targets is all that matters, not getting the right % contribution from each sector.

BY GHG ChartsBreakdown by Sector of Inventory Baseline Emissions2005% Total EmissionsTransportation64.7%Waste3.9%Residential Energy16.4%Commercial Energy15.0%Industrial Energy0.08%Breakdown by Fuel Type of Inventory Baseline Emissions2005% Total EmissionsGasoline53.5%Diesel11.2%Waste3.9%Natural Gas22.4%Electricity9.1%Sector to Fuel Type Conversion Inputs% Original Inventory Total% SectorGasoline44.80.83Diesel9.40.17SOURCE:GHG Inventory figure 3.3% Emissions ElectricityAggregate Energy0.29SOURCE:CAP Appendix 1

BY GHG Charts

BAU PROJ Chart

53.5%11.2%3.9%22.4%9.1%

2005200620072008200920102011201220132014201520162017201820192020Projected Emissions Levels, BAU514,331524,729535,346546,185557,251568,551580,088591,868603,896616,177628,718641,523654,598667,949681,583695,504Baseline Emissions Levels514,331514,331514,331514,331514,331514,331514,331514,331514,331514,331514,331514,331514,331514,331514,331514,331Target Emissions Levels514,331511,759509,187506,615504,043501,471498,899496,327493,755491,183488,615468,042447,469426,896406,323385,749

44.5%Baseline Emissions Levels:514,331 MtCO2eTarget Emissions Levels:385,749 MtCO2e25%Business as Usual Projection: 695,504 MtCO2e by 2020Projected Emissions Levels, BAUBaseline Emissions LevelsTarget Emissions LevelsYearEmissions Levels, MtCO2e