cis ferro alloys markets
TRANSCRIPT
Quarterly Report
CIS Ferro-Alloys Markets
SiMn, FeMn, FeSi, FeCr, Mn ore
PDF-version structure
Quarterly report
Global Mn ore
market
CIS Mn alloy
market
CIS Si alloy
market
Russia’s Cr alloy
market
Each part includes:
1) analysis of global market outlook
2) production cost analysis
3) demand and supply forecast for 1-1.5 years
4) price forecast for 1-1.5 years
Forecasts.Excel-version
Contents:
Sample of Excel-version can be found in the attachment
Forecast.Excel_version.zip
- production and consumption forecast in CIS by
alloy/by segment;
- steel production forecast in CIS by types;
- CIS steel and ferroalloy production capacity
expansion forecast;
- forecast of alloy production cost of CIS and
main world producers
- alloy trade restrictions in the world.
See sample in the attachment Monthly sample.zip»
There are following files in the attachment:
Quarterly report also includes monthly updated statistics
attachment:
-price dynamics;
-production, consumption dynamics;
-steel production dynamics;
-trade statistics by producer.
Mn ore price
forecast model
Model interaction scheme
Mn ore
capacity
change
model
Capacity change models Metal Expert gathered the information about the planned projects
for steel, Mn ore and ferroalloy production capacity expansion.
Each project has its implementation probability degree and
corrected launch dates.
Model of steel production forecast The model is based on the retrospective analysis, finished product
demand forecast, commissioning of new steelmaking capacities.
The result is a forecast of steel production by type and producer.
Models of market balance forecast Market balance forecast is based on the estimation of current
capacity utilization, development strategy of large companies and
forecast of steel production by producer.
Model of alloys production cost forecast Production cost analysis is exclusively an analytical estimation.
Information is given in dynamics and is aimed at evaluating the
general trend of production cost changes (upward or downward).
Model of ferroalloy price forecast All models are used for alloys price forecast. Metal Expert
calculates the price of alternative supply from major world markets
(SiMn from India in particular) to determine the influence of the
global market.
Models used for analysis
Model of Mn
ore world
market
balance
Model of global
Alloys
production cost
Price forecast model
Model of CIS
steel
production
forecast
Model of
CIS alloys
market
balance
Model of CIS
ferroalloys
capacity
changes
Production cost analysis
There are production cost models for the following countries: •China
•India
•Ukraine
•Russia
Main inputs are estimated
•Mn ore and Cr ore
•electricity
•Coke and coke nut
Production cost forecast is broken down by product types:
•Manganese alloys
•Silicon alloys
•Chrome alloys
The data obtained is used for
making alloy price forecast
SiMn production cost, $/t
Artem Segen, our ferroalloy market expert, will answer the
questions regarding the report format, information used, as
well as forecasting methodology.
• by phone: +38 056 370 12 07 (ext. 179)
• by e-mail: [email protected]
To get the invoice by fax or by e-mail please contact our
subscription department.
• by phone:
In Ukraine +380 (56) 370−12−06, 370-12-07
In Russia +7 (495) 780-30-93, 775-60-55
• by e-mail: [email protected]