China to upgrade the cold provocation of the Philippines

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With the means to counter the Philippines trouble, how to make rapid cooling of the South China

Sea

Early September, with billions of dollars in economic and trade contracts to go home happy, but

shortly after the South China Sea issues often provoke China, and the scale is growing. Over the

past two months, the Philippines, China policy of the "face", so come unexpected, but buried hint.

Recently, the Philippines and give birth in the South China Sea incident, arbitrarily detained 25 is

the Philippines known as the "intruder" Chinese fishing boats, and then put forward the "third

party intervention," requirement. October 26 to 28, Philippine President Corazon Aquino III has

invited the Vietnamese President Jin-invasive access to the Philippines, took the opportunity to

discuss the South China Sea issue.

China has just signed with Vietnam in the South China Sea agreement, the Philippines, playing

tricks to win over Vietnam, and China appears to be bent to play a "edge of the game." However,

experts warned that this "game" not fun, the Philippines also "play well." I will not speak once

the Philippine Navy misfires, the Philippines may be almost no chance of winning, the cards may

be out of the hands of China is also to be more than the Philippines. Once China's decision to

punish the Philippines in the economy, not only has negotiated bilateral economic cooperation

may be wasted, President Aquino III's political career will be directly affected.

Create trouble pulling "third party" intervention

October 18, a sailing boat is dragging 25 Chinese fishing boats near the beach in the South China

Sea ritual Philippine military gunboat was hit. Philippines subsequently explained gunboats near

the Chinese fishing boats in the attempt to check the time, steering malfunction, runaway

collision, is of a 'little accident. " Subsequently, the injured tow boats quickly cut away, the

remaining 25 Philippine military unmanned boat was seized. Although the Chinese government

has repeatedly demanded that the Philippine side the unconditional return of fishing boats, but

the Philippine Foreign Ministry spokesman Raul Hernandez, 25, allegedly for not immediately

return a Chinese fishing boat, the disposal of these ships need to "proceedings" in order to

determine .

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According to the British Broadcasting Corporation (BBC) reports, the Philippine Department of

Defense spokesman Paredes had 19 that, in order to avoid creating tension in the South China

Sea, the Chinese embassy in Manila has apologized. But then, the Philippines Foreign Minister

Rosario issued a statement, denied this, saying that "China does not need to apologize," "do not

have to apologize." Rosario said, we hope to invite "third party" to mediate this event.

Philippines contradictory to say really surprising. In fact, with the arrest occurred in China than

the Philippines, a country's turmoil. South Korea, Japan, have had, no doubt the most intense

conflict in September last year Japan's seizure of the Chinese master event. But then intense

bilateral solution is to require "third party" mediation, the Philippines, described as "pioneering."

Committee of Experts on Marine Information Director, Rear Admiral Yin Zhuo that accidental

collision course, then the operation is intended and for. Philippines to take advantage of this to

achieve a political effect of the collision, which is to establish a "third party" interference

precedent. Opportunity to establish his state intervention model, something later on can do the

same.

South China Institute of Contemporary International Relations of the Philippines in Southeast

Asia expert Chen Qinghong told "World News" reporter, next month, the East Asia Summit will be

held in Indonesia, then the U.S. will be the first participants. Aquino III in late September visit to

Japan, the two sides on the issue of the East Asian Seas held in the so-called "multilateral talks"

to reach a consensus and decided to write a proposal for the East Asia Summit to discuss, its

essence is to take the South China Sea multilateral. "The Philippines in the South China Sea, the

ignition time and the purpose is to maintain an appropriate tension to make the South China Sea,

the East Asia Summit to be the focus of the proposal to create public opinion."

Completely turned to the United States Philippine Foreign

Way back in August last year, when U.S. Secretary of State Hillary Clinton in the ASEAN Regional

Forum Foreign Ministers' Meeting on the South China Sea to China again launched an attack,

when he was Philippine Foreign Secretary Alberto Romulo who is the only stand out, said publicly

that the United States do not need to solve the South China Sea territorial disputes and any

"third party" involved. But a year later, the Philippines has become the protagonist Jiaore South

China Sea.

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The end of September, Aquino III's visit to Japan. After the meeting, the two leaders issued a joint

statement, not only confirmed the two countries in the South China Sea has a "common strategic

interests" and said it would close bilateral cooperation, including military cooperation.

The end of August, to China Aquino III, the first state visit since taking office, with the Chinese

side a few hundred billion dollars in trade agreements and commitment to a peaceful dialogue to

resolve the South China Sea issue, the end of an instant Aquino III's visit to China, the Philippines

from the United States immediately announced buy "Hamilton class" patrol boats deployed the

South China Sea, in order to enhance the Philippine Navy patrol capability. In late July, held in Bali,

the ASEAN Regional Forum and the Foreign Ministers' Meeting, ASEAN countries act early on the

South China Sea agreed new guidelines, only the Philippines Foreign Minister from the members

to a series of audibles China.

China Institute of Contemporary International Relations of the South China Sea, Southeast Asia,

South Asia expert Chu Hao told "World News" reporter, last June, to pursue a friendly policy

towards China after leaving office President Arroyo, the Philippines, by the balance of power

gradually shifted to pro-US strategic strategy. August last year, "Hong Kong hostage incident", in

the two countries will always be some misunderstanding and discord.

In March, China's lawful execution by injection of three drug trafficking Filipinos. Rosario, the

Philippine foreign ministers was revealed to the media, to "rescue" three drug traffickers, the

Philippine government has resorted to every means, to send two envoys. Previously, the

Philippines has not executed committed a similar offense, said Chinese citizens hope for China to

the Philippines drug tolerance. Chu Hao analysis, think about the matter so that Aquino III no

face, so double retaliation elsewhere in China, but "China according to law, there is no way to

compromise."

How move the economy to counter China

Obscure in today's global financial crisis, China's economic and trade cooperation with many

countries, are equivalent to each other into the economic shot in the arm. Aquino III, in fact, well

versed in this, especially the Philippines' largest trading partner, who the United States, still

focused response to the debt crisis. Aquino III, after he took office, vigorously promote

public-private partnership scheme (PPP) development of national economy and the urgent need

of foreign capital into China is the focus for the investor.

In April, the Philippines, led by Finance Minister Cesar Preece horse more than access to

high-ranking officials to visit Beijing and Shanghai, and vigorously promote the PPP program. In

August, Aquino III's visit to China, the Philippines signed a five-year economic and trade

cooperation development plan for 2016 the bilateral trade volume exceeded 600 billion U.S.

dollars.

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"You could say, Aquino III, the performance and support for China's economic and trade are

closely linked." Chu Hao said. He further said that for the Philippines in the South China Sea issue

of provocation, to counter China's most practical means is the economy. "Just last month the two

sides signed a series of trade agreements, but the signing is one thing, the Executive does not

perform is one thing, the intensity of implementation is another matter. In addition, some of

China's low-interest loans for the Philippines and interest-free loans can be suspended or

deferred delivery? "It is understood that the Philippines is China providing preferential export

buyer's credit than any other country, in the Philippines has committed to provide nearly $ 2

billion of such credit, a considerable portion used to improve Philippine infrastructure.

Asia-Pacific Academy of Social Sciences, Deputy Director Ye Hailin politics of "World News" that is

now a kind of Filipino domestic point of view, that while the Philippines and China can be great to

do business, while in the South China Sea to China tough on the issue. If the Philippine side so

playing two hands, then, China has every reason to separate the economic and political, no

longer adhere to the original "appeasement policy." "Economic and trade cooperation with the

Philippines should be purely from an economic point of view to consider the interests, if this sale

we can do to make money, but do not expect to use trade and investment and cooperation in

exchange for the Philippines in the South China Sea to soften stance on the issue. Each other

about pragmatism We also talk about pragmatism. "

Philippines Modan provoke a war

Although China literally holds the license to counter the Philippines, but the Chinese still choose

to use diplomatic means to solve the problem, and always maintain a big country demeanor.

Chen Qinghong said, "this time, the Philippines, the purpose is to liven up the South China Sea

issue, and we just put down the problem, try to make the problem through diplomatic means to

be handled properly and if such a small issue further fermentation, may be the middle of the

Philippines wants. "He also pointed out that" the Philippines is estimated to avoid the situation

was too optimistic, go farther and farther, as it may lead to miscarriage of justice occurs in the

South China Sea issue. you know, China is not afraid of war. "

Yin Zhuo also told reporters: "The Philippines did not dare provoke a war, once war is bound to

provoke provoke beat the Philippines naval strength and defense strength is the weakest of the

ASEAN countries, and the current economic situation is very bad in the Philippines in order to

develop, China and ASEAN countries must do a good job and unity. "

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