china: threat to us national security
DESCRIPTION
by AndrewTRANSCRIPT
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The Threat From The Far East: China
By: Andrew
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Agenda
1) Background2) Threats (3 pronged)
3) COA’s4) Questions
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China Facts
World’s 4th largest country Largest population
1,336,000,000 Natural Resources
Nuclear power
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Beijing Regime Stability
Tiananmen Square in 1989 Restrict media
250,000 in re-education camps
Execute more than all countries combined
Torture
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U.S. aggressive hegemon
Enemy mingling in internal affairs for “human rights”
Xenophobic
Temporarily useful
China’s Perspective
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China’s Goals
Regional hegemony
Superpower status
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America’s Goal
Maintain the status quo and superpower status
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Conflict is inevitable
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“Once China becomes strong enough to stand alone, it might discard us. A
little later it might even turn against us, if its perception of its interest requires
it”
Henry Kissinger
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Strategic in nature (10-15 years)
3 pronged
Threats
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Economic
MilitaryNatural Resources
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U.S debt over $ 14 trillion
$ 4 billion per day 1/3 $ is borrowed
Economic
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2020 $20 trillion of debt
2020 there will be $20 trillion of debt
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Little more than half is owned by the U.S.
And the other debt…
Where does the money come from?
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China acquires 50% of all debt at U.S. auctions
More than one auction a day…
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U.S. is the world’s technological leader
Chinese intelligence agencies have 2 million spies
Currently 500 ongoing investigations
$250 Billion
Economic Espionage
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Well placed scientists
Students
Economic Espionage
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Taiwan weapon sales
American rockets,
submarines, navy ships, aircrafts and
space shuttles
What Did They Take?
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America vulnerable to foreign pressures
Loss of independence
Why is this a Threat?
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Chinese power is growing as a result
Gives China leverage
Why is this a Threat?
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Defense spending put at risk Cuts discretionary budget
Military Education Foreign aid
Why is this a Threat?
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The American model is
being undermined before the rest of the
world
Why is this a Threat?
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Military
China is increasing military spending
They face no threats
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Military
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The U.S. is reinforcing military alliances and getting more involved
in regional affairs
"The United States continues to sell weapons to Taiwan, severely impeding Sino-US relations”
Military White Paper (2011)
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Used over 90 Satellites in Iraq
Over reliance of technology
Coordination
China Assessment of U.S.
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Anti-satellite weapons
China’s Military
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China’s offensive use of technology Hacking DOD, power grid “Electronic dominance”
Shut down a carrier group
China’s Military
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Offensive naval capabilities Region’s leading Navy
15 years more nuclear subs than U.S.
Aircraft carrier
China’s Military
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J-20 stealth jet fighter Maiden flight during Defense
Secretary Gates’ visit
China’s Military
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They are competing with the U.S. Taiwan, Korea (Asia influence) 2005 passed anti-secession law
(authorizing force)
What it means
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Oil is limited Competition is growing
Raising prices
Competition Over Natural Resources
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Turning to Africa and beyond Proxy Wars
U.S. arms Nigeria and Angola China is aiding government forces
in Sudan and Zimbabwe
Competition Over Natural Resources
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U.S. Oil Imports
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COA:1 Balanced Budget Amendment
-Cut entitlement programs-Reform corporate tax law
Increased counterintelligence funding/ hold corporations
accountable Increase collection on Chinese
mil. capabilities/ secure infrastructure
Develop alternative fuels w/China
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COA:2
Raise taxes-Cut discretionary funding No Chinese students Enter into arms race
Covert action (support unrest) Cold War with China
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COA:3
Increase relations with China Increase trade
Support China’s acquisition of Taiwan
Let the free market determine natural resource allocation
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COA:1 (Recommended) Balanced Budget Amendment
-Cut entitlement programs-Reform corporate tax law
Increased counterintelligence funding/ hold corporations
accountable Increase collection on Chinese
mil. capabilities/ secure infrastructure
Develop alternative fuels w/China
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Bernstein, Richard and Ross H. Munro. 1998. The Coming Conflict With China. New York: Vintage Books.
Babbin, Jed, and Edward Timperlake. 2006. Showdown: Why China Wants War With The United States.
Washington D.C.: Regnery Publishing Inc. Dorn, James A. 2008. "The Debt Threat: A Risk to U.S.-
China Relations?" Brown Journal of World Affairs 14, no. 2: 151-164. Academic Search Complete, EBSCOhost.
Newman, Alex. 2010. "Chinese Spying in the United States." New American (08856540) 26, no. 10: 31-34.
Academic Search Complete, EBSCOhost.
Sources
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http://blog.jonudell.net/2008/11/09/where-the-oil-comes-from-not-from-where-i-thought/http://www.jmhinternational.com/news/news/selectednews/files/2008/05/20080501_Nation_%20TheNewGeopoliticsOfEnergy.pdfJaneshttp://web.ebscohost.com/ehost/pdfviewer/pdfviewer?vid=3&hid=126&sid=520c58b7-00f5-403a-9cd6-3ffa9b0636d1%40sessionmgr110http://online.wsj.com/article/SB10001424052748703422904575039173633482894.htmlhttp://www.defeatthedebt.com/understanding-the-national-debt/how-much-do-we-owe/http://useconomy.about.com/od/fiscalpolicy/p/US_Debt.htmhttp://www.brillig.com/debt_clock/http://www.dtic.mil/cgi-bin/GetTRDoc?AD=ADA519892&Location=U2&doc=GetTRDoc.pdfhttp://www.guardian.co.uk/news/datablog/2011/jan/18/us-federal-deficit-china-america-debthttp://www.bbc.co.uk/news/world-asia-pacific-12917338http://www.reuters.com/article/2011/01/11/us-china-defence-fighter-idUSTRE70A19B20110111
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