china mobile 1

Upload: kiyoung-myung

Post on 07-Apr-2018

220 views

Category:

Documents


0 download

TRANSCRIPT

  • 8/4/2019 China Mobile 1

    1/18

    2010-2015 Strategy SummaryAugust 19, 2010

  • 8/4/2019 China Mobile 1

    2/18

    Now the #1 cellular carrier in the world by

    revenue, by subscribers, and by profit

    We have grown to 554 million subscribers

    70%of Chinese domestic market

    Our Company

  • 8/4/2019 China Mobile 1

    3/18

    Recent Success

    0

    200

    400

    600

    0

    100,000

    200,000

    300,000

    400,000

    500,000

    2005 2006 2007 2008 2009

    Revenue (RMB million) # of Subscribers (million)

    86% 5 YR

    Revenue

    Growth

    112% 5 YR

    Subscriber

    Growth

    2009 Financials C. Mobile C. Telecom C. Unicom

    Market Cap (RMB billion) 1,479.6 269.6 218.4

    Revenue (RMB million) 452,103 208,219 153,950

    Employees 145,954 312,520 216,830

    Operating Margin 33.5% 11.6% 5.3%

  • 8/4/2019 China Mobile 1

    4/18

    Government

    97% population coverage

    Size and excess capital

    Chinese economic growth

    Increasing Churn Rate1.5% in 2005 3.3% in 2009

    Falling ARPU

    985 in 2005 866 in 2009 (RMB)

    Government

    Increased competition

    Market saturation

    New RisksStrengths3

  • 8/4/2019 China Mobile 1

    5/18

    Strategic Priorities

    Expand Customer Base

    Increase ARPU

    Decrease Churn

  • 8/4/2019 China Mobile 1

    6/18

    Decrease Churn

    Increase Customer

    Satisfaction

    Retention Offers

    Revamp Care IVR/

    Routing

    Enhance handset

    offerings

    Care Staffing andTraining

    Strategic Priorities

  • 8/4/2019 China Mobile 1

    7/18

    Increase Profitability (ARPU)

    Up-Sell

    Convert customers

    to higher revenue

    voice plans

    Promote value

    added services

    MMS

    Cross-Sell

    Promote data plan

    adoption for voice

    users

    Promote mobile

    data products

    Strategic Priorities

  • 8/4/2019 China Mobile 1

    8/18

    Expand Customer Base

    Domestic Market

    Penetrate remaining 500M

    potential customers

    Targeting of rural market

    Targeting of youthful, tech

    savvy users

    Strategic Priorities

  • 8/4/2019 China Mobile 1

    9/18

    Domestic Growth Strategy

    0

    554mm791mm

    1.3B

    Current Market Share

    Total Market

    Potential Market

    Expand into untapped market potential

    Rural

    Middle Class

    Youth

    Faster Network

    266 Smartphones under 100RPM ($146)

    Pricing

    Decrease Churn

    Retention Offers

    Revamp Care IVR/routing

    Care Staffing and Training

    Increase ARPUMobile Banking

    Enhance App Platform

    Smartphone and Mobile Broadband

    Potential Market (509+mm) Competitor Market Share (237mm Subs)

    Current Market Share (554 Subs)Chinese Wireless Competitive Landscape

  • 8/4/2019 China Mobile 1

    10/18

    Expand Customer Base

    Enter a new

    developing market

    Global Market

    OptimizationDomestic Market

    Penetrate remaining 500

    potential customers

    Targeting of rural market

    Targeting of youthful,

    tech savvy users

    Strategic Priorities

  • 8/4/2019 China Mobile 1

    11/18

    Operation: Africa

    Objective: To enter Africa via either a joint or

    independent venture

    Why?

    High growth potential (37.5% penetration)

    Low competition

    Competitive Advantages:

    Management expertise in prepaid market

    excess capital

    37.5 %

    Wireless

    Market

    Penetration

  • 8/4/2019 China Mobile 1

    12/18

    Operation: Africa

    Explored potential joint venture with local entity

    Was unable to reach satisfactory capital expense / revenue

    sharing terms

    Determined more economic opportunity through

    independent market entry

    Anticipate approx. 10B capital expenditures over the next three years

    of untapped market = $20.9 billion annually

    China has achieved success in other industries entering the

    African market (i.e Healthcare, Construction, etc.)

    Limited competition results in broader spectrum availability

  • 8/4/2019 China Mobile 1

    13/18

    Questions?

  • 8/4/2019 China Mobile 1

    14/18

    Appendix

  • 8/4/2019 China Mobile 1

    15/18

    Appendix A

    2005 2006 2007 2008 2009

    Operating revenue (RMB million) 243,041 295,358 356,959 411,810 452,103

    # of Subscribers (million) 247 301 369 457 522

    EBITDA (RMB million) 133,338 159,574 194,003 216,267 229,023

    EBITDA margin 54.90% 54.00% 54.30% 52.50% 50.70%

    Profit attributable to shareholders (RMB million) 53,549 66,026 87,062 112,627 115,166

    Profit attributable to shareholders margin 271.00% 22.40% 24.40% 27.30% 25.50%

    Basic EPS (RMB) 0.45 3.32 4.35 5.62 5.74

    Avg. Revenue per User (RMB) 985 981 966 901 866

    Avg. Churn Rate 1.9% 2.7% 2.6% 2.7% 3.3%

  • 8/4/2019 China Mobile 1

    16/18

    Appendix B

    0

    200

    400

    600

    800

    1000

    1200

    0

    200,000

    400,000

    600,000

    800,000

    1,000,000

    2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015

    SubBase(millions)

    Revenue(M

    illionRPM)

    Revenue (RMB mill ion) # of Subscribers (mill ion)

    Grow ARPU

    Through Innovation

    Continue To Expand

    Subscriber Base

  • 8/4/2019 China Mobile 1

    17/18

    Append. C - NPV Of Africa Entry

    If we capture of the African Market, we have a massive ROI opportunity, evendiscounted to today.

    2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015

    Initial Capex (60,000,000) - - - - -Subs - 31,250,000 62,500,000 93,750,000 125,000,000 156,250,000

    ARPU 800 800 800 800 800 800

    Revenue - 25,000,000,000 50,000,000,000 75,000,000,000 100,000,000,000 125,000,000,000

    Interest Rate 18.80% 18.80% 18.80% 18.80% 18.80% 18.80%

    NPV (60,000,000) 21,043,771,044 35,427,223,979 44,731,343,408 50,203,527,955 52,823,577,394

    Sum of NPV 204,169,443,781

  • 8/4/2019 China Mobile 1

    18/18

    Appendix D - Financials