chilean experience in regulation of roads public- private...

22
___________________________________________________________________________ 2008/SOM3/EC/SEM/013 Agenda Item: 9 Chilean Experience in Regulation of Roads Public- Private Partnerships (PPP) Submitted by: Chile Seminar on Best Practices in Regulation and Promotion of Efficiency in Transport Infrastructure Facilities Lima, Peru 15-16 August 2008

Upload: others

Post on 09-May-2020

3 views

Category:

Documents


0 download

TRANSCRIPT

___________________________________________________________________________

2008/SOM3/EC/SEM/013 Agenda Item: 9

Chilean Experience in Regulation of Roads Public-Private Partnerships (PPP)

Submitted by: Chile

Seminar on Best Practices in Regulation and Promotion of Efficiency in Transport

Infrastructure Facilities Lima, Peru

15-16 August 2008

1

Chilean Experience in Chilean Experience in Regulation of Roads PPPRegulation of Roads PPP

Patricio MansillaPatricio MansillaChemonicsChemonics InternationalInternationalLima Lima -- August 16, 2008August 16, 2008

AgendaAgenda

1.Chilean Institutional Framework1.Chilean Institutional Framework

2. Roads Regulatory Strategy in Chile2. Roads Regulatory Strategy in Chile

3. Key elements of the Chilean PPP Case3. Key elements of the Chilean PPP Case

3.1 Lessons learned 3.1 Lessons learned 3.1 Trends in the Road Regulation3.1 Trends in the Road Regulation

2

1. Chilean Institutional Framework1. Chilean Institutional Framework

Chilean Institutional Structure

Ministry of Public Works

Finance Ministry

PPP Unit

Comptroller

Responsible for the complete PPP project Cycle

Health Ministry, Justice Ministry,

Civil Aviation Direction,Railroad CompanyLocal GovernmentsMandate Agreement fo

r PPP

3

Chilean Institutional Structure

Chilean Institutional Structure

4

Solicited and Unsolicited Proposals

ChileanChilean Project Project CycleCycle

5

Total Concession Investment US$8.000 million

Chilean Infrastructure Investment

6

PensionPension FundsFunds (Sept. 2007)(Sept. 2007)

2. Roads Regulatory Strategy in 2. Roads Regulatory Strategy in ChileChile

7

PPP DesignPPP Design

RegulatorySystem

Business DesignInstitutional System and Procedures

Private SectorParticipation

EconomicStructure

PPP DesignPPP Design

Private Sector Participationin the Chilean Economy

Reform Health System

PrivatisationForeign InvestmentPromotion

Reform to thePension System

Reform to theEducation

Private Sector ParticipationPrivate Sector Participation

8

RegulatorySystem

Project Finance Law

Complementary LawAmmendments

Concession Law No900Ministry of Public Works

Legal SystemLegal System

Time

Revenues

P

OVER

PROFITABILITY

MINIMUMMINIMUM

INCOMEINCOME

GUARANTEEGUARANTEE

CURRENTCURRENTREVENUESREVENUES

GOV. PAYMENTGOV. PAYMENTTOTO

CONCESSIONCONCESSION

Long Term MinimumIncome Guarantee

Long Term MinimumIncome Guarantee

9

Time (years)

Revenues

P

CurrentRevenues

50% Gov.50% Conces

IMG

Revenue Sharing MechanismRevenue Sharing Mechanism

2.1. Panamerican Highway (Road 5)2.1. Panamerican Highway (Road 5)

10

Panamerican Panamerican HigwhayHigwhay 19951995--19981998

Concepción

Valparaíso

San Antonio

Los Andes

SANTIAGO

Túnel El MelónLa Serena

Puerto Montt

Talca

Los Vilos

Chillán

Río Bueno

Collipulli

Road 5

Temuco

SANTIAGO

US$ 2,100 million1590 Kms.

Business DesignBusiness Design

Monopoly RegulationMonopoly Regulation

Business DesignBusiness Design

Financial RegulationFinancial

Regulation

∑= +

−++×+−=

N

1tt

ttVF

CAPM)(1M)&(O)SSQ(PCAPEXNPV

11

Tariff SystemTariff System• Natural Monopoly. No alternative roads• Sequential and Competitive Bidding• Transport Modeling to determine tariffs• Second best tariffs to reduce deadweight loss• Efficient and equity criteria to implement the tariff

system and affordable for the users.

Business DesignGeographic

EquityGeographicGeographic

EquityEquityTariffs relatively similar along the Tariffs relatively similar along the highway according to the service levelhighway according to the service level

HorizontalEquity

HorizontalHorizontalEquityEquity

Users pay according to his categoryUsers pay according to his category

Vertical Equity

Vertical Vertical EquityEquity

Local Users or Frequent Users can Local Users or Frequent Users can receive a special payment treatmentreceive a special payment treatment

GenerationalEquity

GenerationalGenerationalEquityEquity

Users pay for a service level during a Users pay for a service level during a specific period of time. specific period of time.

12

Panamerican HighwayPanamerican Highway

Panamerican HighwayPanamerican Highway

• Risk Sharing Mechanism• Feasibility Studies prepared by the Chilean

government and available for the bidders • Quality of Service: Guarantee by prizes and fines• International Pre qualification and sequential bidding• International Road Shows

13

Cross Subsidy (Million US$/year) Cross Subsidy (Million US$/year)

25

8,18

-7,02-8,18 -9,35

3,51

-2,34

5,857,02

26

Tariff System (US$/100 Tariff System (US$/100 kmskms) )

Río Bueno - Pto Montt

Temuco - Río Bueno

Collipulli - Temuco

Chillán - Collipulli

Santiago - Talca

Talca - Chillán

La Serena – Los Vilos

Los Vilos - Santiago

US$

Complete Self Funded

14

2.2.Urban Roads2.2.Urban Roads

Santiago in the NinetiesSantiago in the NinetiesPopulation: 5 millionPopulation: 5 million

10,3 Million of trips per day10,3 Million of trips per day

65%: Public Transportation65%: Public Transportation

35% : Private Transportation35% : Private Transportation

Economic DevelopmentEconomic Development

Rate Growth: 6% annuallyRate Growth: 6% annually

135 cars / 1000 persons135 cars / 1000 persons

Lack of Public InvestmentLack of Public Investment

Transport System with huge operation problemsTransport System with huge operation problems

15

Santiago Infrastructure PlanSantiago Infrastructure Plan

• Public Transportation Modernization• Enlargement of the Metro System• Enlargement of Suburban Trains• PPP for the main urban roads• Economic regulation for the private transportation• Enhancement of the local transportation infrastructure• Traffic control system improvement

Urban Road System

1. Autopista Costanera Norte2. Sistema Norte – Sur3. Américo Vespucio Sur4. Américo Vespucio Norte

215 Km.5. Sistema de Telepeaje

Urban PPP Urban PPP RoadsRoads R-57

R-5 Sur

R-68

R-78

R-68

R-78

R-5 Sur

16

• Three tariffs:Valley US$ 0,05/kmPeak US$ 0,06/km

Congestion US$0,12/km

• Tariff adjustment RPI + 3,5% annually.

• Concessionaire can do tariff management.

Santiago Infrastructure PlanSantiago Infrastructure Plan

2T2T

3T3T

1T1T

EastEast--West Urban SystemWest Urban System• Sequential Bidding Mechanism:

• Variable 1: “Payment for goods and rights (BD)"

Payment by the sponsor of the concessionaire before to create the concessionaire company.

• Variable 2: Investment Plan

• Variable 3: Payment from the Government

17

Urban Road Concession: East-West Urban System

Results

•Investments: US$385 million•Length: 42 kilometers•Reduce gas emission•Reduce contamination •Reduce congestion•Reduce travel time from LasCondes to the Santiago Airport

•Implementation of the electronic toll road system “free flow” which let to the users go through the road without stop to pay tolls.•The number of accidents in the road is very low and it reach 8 in average per month.

Urban Roads Bidding ResultsUrban Roads Bidding Results

18

3.3. Key Elements of the Chilean Key Elements of the Chilean PPP CasePPP Case

3.1. Lessons Learned3.1. Lessons Learned

19

Lessons LearnedLessons Learned

• Lesson 1: Competition is an important first step for road regulation and prequalification is an important strategy to mitigate the adverse selection (concessionaire) problem.

• Lesson 2: Competition is not able to solve the incomplete contract problems. Every risk must be carefully studied. Technical studies to estimate the official investment cost of the PPP project.

• Lesson 3: Low balling and Winner's Curse

Lessons LearnedLessons Learned• Lesson 4: Regulation strategy must be included in early

stages of the project cycle. Economic variables to define the bidding winner.

• Lesson 5: Transport and financial Models, must be considered in the Regulatory studies to have a consistent PPP model.

• Lesson 6: Incomplete contracts must include in a easy way the potential conflict resolution issues like easy buy out or way out, negotiation mechanisms, new investments treatment.

20

3.2. Trends in Road Regulation3.2. Trends in Road Regulation

Trends in Road RegulationTrends in Road Regulation• Trend 1: Vertical Integration of Regulation versus

Independent Regulator• Trend 2: Application of Least Present Value of Revenues• Trend 3: Unsolicited Proposals• Trend 4: Intermodal Competition (Minimum Revenue

Guarantee)• Trend 5: Total Integration of the Transport Model-

Financial Model and Regulatory Model (secuential or simultaneous)

21

Thank you!! Thank you!!

Chemonics del Peru51-1-2422011

[email protected]