chennai real estate presentation
TRANSCRIPT
CHENNAI July – December 2015
Chennai residential
market continues to
hit new lows in 2015
RESIDENTIAL
Homebuyers and developers shy away
as supply and demand drop to 5 year
lows ANNUAL LAUNCHES AND ABSORPTION TREND
12,000
17,000
22,000
27,000
32,000
37,000
42,000
2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015
Launches Absorption
Price growth at the lowest level of
this decade
PRICE GROWTH TREND
0%
2%
4%
6%
8%
10%
12%
H2 2010 H2 2011 H2 2012 H2 2013 H2 2014 H2 2015
Price growth
Signs of recovery washed
away by the RECENT FLOODS
While new launches fall by 13%,
sales drop by 9%
H2 TREND OF LAUNCHES AND ABSORPTION
-
4,000
8,000
12,000
16,000
20,000
H2 2010 H2 2011 H2 2012 H2 2013 H2 2014 H2 2015
Launches Absorption
HOWEVER, UNSOLD INVENTORY
AT ITS LOWEST LEVEL SINCE 2012
TREND OF UNSOLD INVENTORY
Sharper fall in new launches
compared to sales volume reduces
inventory pressure
20,000
25,000
30,000
35,000
40,000
45,000
2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015
Unsold stock
36,350
41,000
Premium segment hit hardest
as sales GO down BY 36% Y-o-Y
High prices and poor sentiments
bring down homebuyer interest in
the premium segment LAUNCHES IN EAST HYDERABAD
0
200
400
600
800
1000
1200
2011 H2 2012 H2 2013 H2 2014 H2 2015 H2
New Launch Absorption
Comparatively steeper fall in supply
and unsold inventory improve
overall market health
QT
S
-
1.0
2.0
3.0
4.0
5.0
6.0
7.0
8.0
9.0
10.0
Chennai city Premium markets
Premium Markets
Chennai City
Affordable Markets
OFFICE
CHENNAI OFFICE MARKET
MOVES FROM STRENGTH TO
STRENGTH
Demand continues to grow for the
third straight year
ANNUAL TREND OF NEW COMPLETION AND ABSORPTION
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
2011 2012 2013 2014 2015
mn
sq
ft
New Completion Absorption
Vacancy levels at a record new
low of 16% and sustained rental
growth
ANNUAL VACANCY AND RENTAL TREND
40
42
44
46
48
50
52
12%
14%
16%
18%
20%
22%
24%
26%
2012 2013 2014 2015
Ren
t p
sf
Vacan
cy %
Vacancy Rents
H2 2015 WITNESSES HIGHEST EVER
HALF-YEARLY ABSORPTION FOR
OFFICE SPACE
While 2.7 mn sq ft of space was
absorbed, only 1 mn sq ft of new supply
entered the market
NEW COMPLETION AND ABSORPTION TREND DURING H2
-
0.5
1.0
1.5
2.0
2.5
3.0
3.5
2013 H2 2014 H1 2014 H2 2015 H1 2015 H2
mn
sq
ft
New completions Absorption
KEY Takeaways
RESIDENTIAL
STEADY DEMAND AND REDUCING UNSOLD
INVENTORY COUPLED WITH SALES PRESSURE
WILL SOON ENCOURAGE DEVELOPERS TO
INCREASE SUPPLY
OFFICE
REDUCING VACANCY LEVELS WILL CONTINUE TO
PUSH UP RENTAL GROWTH RATES
CHENNAI July – December 2015