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    Ozone Depletion

    What is the ozone layer?How does it protect us?

    How did it come about?

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    Evolution of the Ozone LayerEarly planet history:

    no ozone present

    UV light directly

    hit planets surface

    Oceans providedonly refuge from

    UV radiation

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    Oxygen in the AtmosphereUV

    radiation+O2

    O

    O

    +

    O +O2 O3 (ozone)

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    UV O3(ozone)

    O +

    O2

    O + O3(ozone)

    O2 O2+

    O + O2O3

    (ozone)

    +

    heat

    +

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    Dynamic Equilibriumcreation of ozone

    breakdown ofozone

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    Anthropogenic Ozone Depletioncreation of ozone

    breakdown of

    ozone

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    Modern Impacts to Ozone

    Chlorofluorocarbons (CFCs)

    What are they?

    How do they impact the ozone layer?

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    Development of CFCs1928: DuPont scientists develop CFCs

    ideal compounds for

    refrigerants and propellants

    WHY??

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    CFCs as Refrigerants

    vs. CFCs

    - Non-flammable

    - Non-toxic

    - Trap heat

    (good insulators!)

    - Inexpensive

    - Light

    -Extremely stable,

    inert

    Traditional Refrigerants(ammonia, sulfur dioxide, methyl chloride)

    - Highly volatile

    - Caustic and toxic

    - Remove heat through

    vaporization of liquefied gas

    (only adequate as refrigerants)- Expensive

    - Heavy (transport, storage)

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    CFCs as Propellants

    Light weight Extremely stable or inert

    What are the consequences of these twophysical characteristics?

    CFCs likely to migrate upwards Too light to precipitate out with rainfall

    5-15 years to migrate to stratosphere

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    Marketing of CFCs1958: DuPont releases CFCs on the market

    commercially

    1971: James Lovelock speculates that CFCsput into the atmosphere may still bepresent

    1973: Mario Molina and F. Sherry Rolandstart to investigate

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    Original Research1974: Rowland and Molina

    UV

    radiation+Cl

    Cl

    F

    F

    C

    C

    Cl

    F

    F

    +

    Cl-

    free

    radical

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    Cl-

    Free Radicals

    Cl-

    free radicalO3(ozone)

    +

    O2ClO+

    ClO

    +O

    Cl-

    free radical

    +

    O2

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    In the news1974: Molina and Rowland publish their

    hypothesis in Nature.

    New York Times runs front page

    DuPont responds with study

    showing that CFCs in troposphere

    are benign

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    High Risk and Political Savvy1975:200% increase in CFC use from

    1968, only eight years

    1979:The FDA, EPA ban non-essentialuses of CFCs !

    First time substance EVER banned

    without direct proof of harm

    1982:20 other countries join US in ban of CFCs

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    Scientific Controversies

    1982: British science teams in Antarctica

    observe 20% decline in O3 layer

    US scientists relying on TOMS

    (Total Ozone Mapping

    Spectrometer) measurements fromspace claim to observe nothing

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    Scientific Evidence1983: British scientists obser ve 30%

    reduction in ozone layer.

    US scientists claims no reduction.

    1985: British obser ve 50% reduction.

    US claims no reduction.

    US re-tests and confirms.

    WHY THE SCIENTIFIC SNAFUS??

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    Total ozone

    Total ozone measured above Antarctica,

    in Dobson Units. From Horel and Geisler, 1996

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    TOMS Data (corrected)

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    October Average for

    Total Ozone over

    Antarctica, 1955-1995

    Based on British

    measurements from

    weather balloons

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    Understanding the Science1986: DuPont scientists continue to argue

    that tropospheric ozone (smog)

    will migrate up and fill the ozone

    hole in the stratosphere

    Why doesnt this theory fly?

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    Location of Stratosphere

    Thermosphere

    Exosphere

    Troposphere

    MesosphereStratosphere

    10 km

    40 km

    50 km

    300 km

    400 km

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    Montreal Protocol Landmark1987: 2 yrs of intensive research reveal

    that ozone hole is anthropogenic

    1988: UN hold meeting in Montreal

    45 Nations sign to reduce CFC useby 50% by year 2000.

    Developing countries effortswould be subsidized

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    Two steps forward1990- Follow up meetings result in:

    1992: Industrialized nations: total ban by 2000

    Developing nations: ban by 2010, with

    assistance from developed nations

    US agrees to complete phaseout by 1996;

    DuPont to halt production by 1997

    1995: Rowland and Molina receive Nobel Prize

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    One step back1995: Congress challenges ozone science:

    Junk science gains credibility

    despite scientific consensus ofanthropogenic causes of O3 depletion

    1996: Ban begins but black market for CFCs appear

    WHY?

    CFC substitutes (HFC) break down faster, but stillpose problems for ozone depletion

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    Modern Impacts to Ozone (2)

    Methyl Bromide

    What is it?

    Challenges toMontreal Protocol

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    Methyl Bromide

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    Uses ofMethyl Bromide60 million lbs /yr in US

    Agricultural (75%)

    Strawberries

    Stored products (11%)

    Flame retardants (6%)

    Pest management (6%)

    Termite removal

    Chemical production (2%)

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    Schedule forElimination1991: Designated Class I ozone depleter

    in Montreal Protocol

    1997: Agreed to following schedule

    Developed Countrieselimination by 2005

    Developing Countrieselimination by 2015

    Requests for Critical Use Exemptions

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    US Strawberry Industry US supplies 80% of

    plants from nurseries

    or strawberries toworld market

    Average consumption:

    4 lb/person/yr

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    Benefits ofMethyl Bromide Worker safety

    Non-toxic

    Reduces need for toxicpesticides

    Economical

    Easy-to-Use

    Effective

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    Alternatives Fumigants applied

    through drip irrigation

    Harnessing goodmicrobes

    Composting for weed

    suppression

    Soil solarization

    Crop rotation

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    Effectiveness Other fumigants do

    not work

    Worker health issue

    Lower yields

    Loss of nurseries

    Even organic farms getplant stocks from

    nurseries that rely on

    methyl bromide

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    CFCs vs MEBrWhy did one industry eventually support

    ban while another is struggling and begging

    for exemptions?

    Methyl Bromide CFCs-no viable alternatives -DuPont developed HFCs

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    Another potential threat?ydrogen FuelCells

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    Production of Hydrogen Anticipate that 10% of all hydrogen

    manufactured will leak into the atmosphere

    during production, storage and transport.

    Current loss is higher

    Estimate: 60 million tons / year Roughly doubles current input (all sources)

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    Hydrogen chemistry Hydrogen is lightrises rapidly to

    stratosphere

    Reacts with oxygen to form water

    A wetter atmosphere would cool the

    lower stratosphere, especially around Poles

    Increase in watervapor is catalyst for ozone

    depletion by freeing Cl free radicals

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    Spatial and Temporal Patterns Poles have greater ozone loss than other

    regions:

    ColderMore vapor formation

    Also: polarvortex

    Particularly severe in polar spring (October)

    Increased hydrogen would enhance thisphenomenon

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    Ozone Layer Impacts 7-8% depletion around

    Poles anticipated

    Depends upon if andhow quickly hydrogeneconomy introduced

    If >50 years, may not

    be critical issue Possible work to

    lessen H leakage

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    Current Status of Ozone Hole

    Extent of ozone depletion:

    1981 900,000 sq mi

    200117,100,000 sq mi

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    Location of Ozone Losses

    Ozone loss extends beyond Antarctica and

    Arctic Polar regions

    Ozone loss over US currently 5% below

    normal rates

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    Current Rate of Ozone Depletion

    Decrease in rate of ozone depletion (since 1997)

    Slowing of buildup of harmful Cl- from CFCs

    Ozone hole is still growing, but

    Models anticipate restoration of normal

    balance of ozone in stratosphere by 2050

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    Impacts of Ozone DepletionHumanHealth

    Skin cancer

    Melanoma

    Cataracts

    Immune system function

    Increased incidence,severity and duration of

    infectious diseases Reduced efficacy of

    vaccinations

    EcologicalHealth

    Pathogen locally up &down

    Biodiversity locally up &down

    Aquatic organismsadversely impacted

    Decreased biomassproductivity

    Polar systems especiallyvulnerable

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    Impacts of Ozone DepletionEconomic

    Plastics

    designed with stabilizers to withstand UV radiation ofcertain intensity

    replacement of key medical equipment and supplies,decreased lifespan of plastics

    Manufacturing practices

    Agriculture

    Consumer costs and burdens

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    Breakdown of Sources

    Sterilization

    3%

    Aerosols

    5%

    Refrigeration

    and A ir

    Conditioning

    30%

    Other Pro ducts

    12%

    Solvent Cleaning

    Products

    36%Foam Products

    14%

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    Success Story

    What characteristics define ozone depletion

    an environmental success story ?