chapter 9 econ 104 parks the income-expenditure model

20
Chapter 9 Econ 104 Parks The Income-Expenditure Model

Post on 19-Dec-2015

229 views

Category:

Documents


0 download

TRANSCRIPT

Page 1: Chapter 9 Econ 104 Parks The Income-Expenditure Model

Chapter 9Econ 104 Parks

The Income-Expenditure ModelThe Income-Expenditure Model

Page 2: Chapter 9 Econ 104 Parks The Income-Expenditure Model

The Income-Expenditure Model

• The Income-Expenditure model, also known as the Keynesian Cross model, was first developed by the Depression-era economist named John Keynes.

• The goal was to develop a model that could explain how an economy could become permanently “stuck” at a high-unemployment level.

• The Income-Expenditure model, also known as the Keynesian Cross model, was first developed by the Depression-era economist named John Keynes.

• The goal was to develop a model that could explain how an economy could become permanently “stuck” at a high-unemployment level.

Page 3: Chapter 9 Econ 104 Parks The Income-Expenditure Model

Model Assumptions

• The SIMPLEST model assumptions are:– The price level is fixed. – Suppliers will supply any level of output that is

demanded at the fixed price level. – There are no government expenditures or net

exports. – The interest rate in the economy is determined

outside the model. – There are no taxes.

• The SIMPLEST model assumptions are:– The price level is fixed. – Suppliers will supply any level of output that is

demanded at the fixed price level. – There are no government expenditures or net

exports. – The interest rate in the economy is determined

outside the model. – There are no taxes.

Page 4: Chapter 9 Econ 104 Parks The Income-Expenditure Model

Aggregate Expenditures

• Aggregate PLANNED Expenditures (APE) is the aggregate amount that consumers, investors, government, and foreigners wish to spend on the purchase of final goods and services produced in the domestic borders, given the price level.

APE = Cp + Ip + Gp + NXp where p means planned

• Assuming G = NX = 0 for simplicity,

APE = Cp + Ip

• Aggregate PLANNED Expenditures (APE) is the aggregate amount that consumers, investors, government, and foreigners wish to spend on the purchase of final goods and services produced in the domestic borders, given the price level.

APE = Cp + Ip + Gp + NXp where p means planned

• Assuming G = NX = 0 for simplicity,

APE = Cp + Ip

Page 5: Chapter 9 Econ 104 Parks The Income-Expenditure Model

Determining Consumption

• Consumption is the largest component of Aggregate Expenditures, accounting for two-thirds of GDP.

• It is influenced by– Disposable income– Wealth– Interest rates– Expectations of future income

• Consumption is the largest component of Aggregate Expenditures, accounting for two-thirds of GDP.

• It is influenced by– Disposable income– Wealth– Interest rates– Expectations of future income

Page 6: Chapter 9 Econ 104 Parks The Income-Expenditure Model

The Consumption Function

• A consumption function shows the relationship between total consumer expenditures and total disposable income, holding all other determinants of consumption constant.

• The equation for the consumption function is: Cp = CA + MPC (DI)

where Cp is total planned consumption; CA is autonomous consumption, MPC is the marginal propensity to consume, and DI is disposable income.

• A consumption function shows the relationship between total consumer expenditures and total disposable income, holding all other determinants of consumption constant.

• The equation for the consumption function is: Cp = CA + MPC (DI)

where Cp is total planned consumption; CA is autonomous consumption, MPC is the marginal propensity to consume, and DI is disposable income.

Page 7: Chapter 9 Econ 104 Parks The Income-Expenditure Model

Components of the Consumption Function

• Autonomous consumption (CA) is the portion of disposable income that is independent of income.

• The Marginal Propensity to Consume (MPC) tells us how much of an additional dollar of disposable income will be spent. – If the MPC = 0.80, then $0.80 of the next dollar

earned will be spent. The MPC for an economy always lies between zero and one, 0 < MPC < 1.

• Autonomous consumption (CA) is the portion of disposable income that is independent of income.

• The Marginal Propensity to Consume (MPC) tells us how much of an additional dollar of disposable income will be spent. – If the MPC = 0.80, then $0.80 of the next dollar

earned will be spent. The MPC for an economy always lies between zero and one, 0 < MPC < 1.

Page 8: Chapter 9 Econ 104 Parks The Income-Expenditure Model

The Consumption Function

• The consumption function is upward sloping, reflecting the positive relation between consumption and disposable income.

• The vertical intercept is equal to CA, and the slope of the line is the MPC.

• The consumption function is upward sloping, reflecting the positive relation between consumption and disposable income.

• The vertical intercept is equal to CA, and the slope of the line is the MPC.

Page 9: Chapter 9 Econ 104 Parks The Income-Expenditure Model

Determining Investment

• Investment is the most volatile component of GDP, and accounting for approximately 17% of GDP.

• Investment is determined by– interest rates (higher rates lead to lower

investment)– expectations of future revenue and costs– business confidence– taxes– capacity utilization

• Investment is the most volatile component of GDP, and accounting for approximately 17% of GDP.

• Investment is determined by– interest rates (higher rates lead to lower

investment)– expectations of future revenue and costs– business confidence– taxes– capacity utilization

Page 10: Chapter 9 Econ 104 Parks The Income-Expenditure Model

© OnlineTexts.com p. 10

0

500

1000

1500

2000

2500

3000

1 9 17 25 33 41 49 57 65 73 81 89 97 105 113 121 129 137 145 153 161 169 177 185 193 201 209 217 225 233 241

0

2000

4000

6000

8000

10000

12000

gdpi x m pce gce

GDI is more volatileGDI is more volatile GDI is more volatileGDI is more volatile

Page 11: Chapter 9 Econ 104 Parks The Income-Expenditure Model

The Level of Investment

•For simplicity, the income-expenditure model assumes that the level of investment is given.

•The investment line, then, is simply a horizontal line at the level of investment.

•For simplicity, the income-expenditure model assumes that the level of investment is given.

•The investment line, then, is simply a horizontal line at the level of investment.

Page 12: Chapter 9 Econ 104 Parks The Income-Expenditure Model

Aggregate Expenditures in the Income-Expenditure Diagram

• Given that:

APE = Cp + Ip

Cp = CA + MPC (DI)

DI = Yactual (assuming no taxes), and

I = Ip, PLANNED

then at equilibrium

APE = CpA + MPC (Ya) + IP

• Given that:

APE = Cp + Ip

Cp = CA + MPC (DI)

DI = Yactual (assuming no taxes), and

I = Ip, PLANNED

then at equilibrium

APE = CpA + MPC (Ya) + IP

Page 13: Chapter 9 Econ 104 Parks The Income-Expenditure Model

The Aggregate Expenditures Function

•The Aggregate PLANNED Expenditure Function plots the level of APE against the level of output (Y).

•The Aggregate PLANNED Expenditure Function plots the level of APE against the level of output (Y).

Page 14: Chapter 9 Econ 104 Parks The Income-Expenditure Model

The 45 degree line

• On any chart, if the horizontal and vertical axes have the same scale, then any (x,y) point on the 45 degree line will have the same value on both axes.

• Notice that every point on the 45 degree line has the same x and y value.

• On any chart, if the horizontal and vertical axes have the same scale, then any (x,y) point on the 45 degree line will have the same value on both axes.

• Notice that every point on the 45 degree line has the same x and y value.

Page 15: Chapter 9 Econ 104 Parks The Income-Expenditure Model

Equilibrium in the Income-Expenditure Model

• Equilibrium occurs at the point in which

Yactual = APE

or the level of income equals the level of Aggregate Planned Expenditures.

• Equilibrium can be shown with a chart or with algebra.

• Equilibrium occurs at the point in which

Yactual = APE

or the level of income equals the level of Aggregate Planned Expenditures.

• Equilibrium can be shown with a chart or with algebra.

Page 16: Chapter 9 Econ 104 Parks The Income-Expenditure Model

Equilibrium using a Graph

• Equilibrium occurs at the point in which the APE function crosses the 45 degree line.

• Equilibrium occurs at the point in which the APE function crosses the 45 degree line.

Page 17: Chapter 9 Econ 104 Parks The Income-Expenditure Model

Algebraic Equilibrium

• Equilibrium can also be shown by the point where

Yeq = APE

or

Yeq = CpA + MPC*(Yeq) + Ip

so

Yeq = (CpA + Ip) / (1 – MPC)

• Equilibrium can also be shown by the point where

Yeq = APE

or

Yeq = CpA + MPC*(Yeq) + Ip

so

Yeq = (CpA + Ip) / (1 – MPC)

Page 18: Chapter 9 Econ 104 Parks The Income-Expenditure Model

© OnlineTexts.com p. 18

• Equilibrium Income = AUTONOMOUS EXPENDITURES times the MULTIPLIER

• Equilibrium Income = AUTONOMOUS EXPENDITURES times the MULTIPLIER

multiplier theis where

*) M)-(X G IA (CA

mpc1

M)-(X G IA CA Y

P

Peq

K

K

Page 19: Chapter 9 Econ 104 Parks The Income-Expenditure Model

Changes in Equilibrium Income

• As a general rule, any increase in autonomous consumption or investment shifts the AE schedule upwards and leads to a rise in equilibrium income. This chart depicts an increase in autonomous investment.

• As a general rule, any increase in autonomous consumption or investment shifts the AE schedule upwards and leads to a rise in equilibrium income. This chart depicts an increase in autonomous investment.

Page 20: Chapter 9 Econ 104 Parks The Income-Expenditure Model

© OnlineTexts.com p. 20

• An increase in CA, IAP, G, or (X-M) increases equilibrium income by a multiple.

• A decrease in CA, IAP, G, or (X-M) decreases equilibrium income by a multiple

• The multiplier also depends on the length of time (1 year, 5 year, etc)

• An increase in CA, IAP, G, or (X-M) increases equilibrium income by a multiple.

• A decrease in CA, IAP, G, or (X-M) decreases equilibrium income by a multiple

• The multiplier also depends on the length of time (1 year, 5 year, etc)