chapter 5 – discrete random variables chapter 6 – continuous random variables

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Chapter 5 – Discrete random variables Chapter 6 – Continuous random variables

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Chapter 5 – Discrete random variables Chapter 6 – Continuous random variables. Problems with continuous random variables : Infinite and uncountable number of outcomes Can’t list all the outcomes Can’t use a table to write out the probability distribution - PowerPoint PPT Presentation

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Page 1: Chapter 5 – Discrete random variables Chapter 6 – Continuous random variables

Chapter 5 – Discrete random variables

Chapter 6 – Continuous random variables

Page 2: Chapter 5 – Discrete random variables Chapter 6 – Continuous random variables

Problems with continuous random variables:

1. Infinite and uncountable number of outcomes

2. Can’t list all the outcomes3. Can’t use a table to write out the probability

distribution4. Calculus required for probability

calculations

Page 3: Chapter 5 – Discrete random variables Chapter 6 – Continuous random variables

Problems with continuous random variables

What do we do!?

1. Use technology for probability calculations2. Old fashion way – use tabulated probability

values in back of book3. Use graphs to represent probabilities

Page 4: Chapter 5 – Discrete random variables Chapter 6 – Continuous random variables

Chapter 6 focuses on one continuous distribution – the normal distribution

Normal distribution is also called

• Gaussian distribution after Carl Gauss• Bell shaped curve

Page 5: Chapter 5 – Discrete random variables Chapter 6 – Continuous random variables

What does the normal distribution look like?

Page 6: Chapter 5 – Discrete random variables Chapter 6 – Continuous random variables

What does the normal distribution look like?

Page 7: Chapter 5 – Discrete random variables Chapter 6 – Continuous random variables
Page 8: Chapter 5 – Discrete random variables Chapter 6 – Continuous random variables

Properties of normal distribution

• Bell shaped curve• One mode• Symmetric• Centered at it’s mean, μ• Tails extend out in both directions to and • Standard deviation is σ

Page 9: Chapter 5 – Discrete random variables Chapter 6 – Continuous random variables

The mean, μ, gives the location

• Distributions I, II, and III have a mean, µ = 0

Page 10: Chapter 5 – Discrete random variables Chapter 6 – Continuous random variables

The mean, μ, gives the location

• Distribution IV has a mean, µ = 3

Page 11: Chapter 5 – Discrete random variables Chapter 6 – Continuous random variables

The standard deviation, σ, gives the spread or variability

• Distribution III has the smallest standard deviation

Page 12: Chapter 5 – Discrete random variables Chapter 6 – Continuous random variables

The standard deviation, σ, gives the spread or variability

• Distributions II and IV have equal standard deviations

Page 13: Chapter 5 – Discrete random variables Chapter 6 – Continuous random variables

The standard deviation, σ, gives the spread or variability

• Distribution I has the greatest standard deviation

Page 14: Chapter 5 – Discrete random variables Chapter 6 – Continuous random variables

Properties of normal distribution

Page 15: Chapter 5 – Discrete random variables Chapter 6 – Continuous random variables

Properties of normal distribution

Page 16: Chapter 5 – Discrete random variables Chapter 6 – Continuous random variables

Let X = uncomplicated human pregnancy length. Assume X has a normal distribution with mean 39 weeks and standard deviation 2 weeks. Approximately how many pregnancies last between 37 and 41 weeks?

A. About 34%B. About 68%C. About 95%D. About 99.7%E. 100%

Page 17: Chapter 5 – Discrete random variables Chapter 6 – Continuous random variables

Let X = uncomplicated human pregnancy length. Assume X has a normal distribution with mean 39 weeks and standard deviation 2 weeks. Approximately how many pregnancies last more than 43 weeks?

A. About 68%B. About 34%C. About 16%D. About 5%E. About 2.5%

Page 18: Chapter 5 – Discrete random variables Chapter 6 – Continuous random variables

Let X = uncomplicated human pregnancy length. Assume X has a normal distribution with mean 39 weeks and standard deviation 2 weeks. Approximately how many pregnancies last between 35 and 41 weeks?

A. About 47.5%B. About 50%C. About 81.5%D. About 95%E. About 99.7%

Page 19: Chapter 5 – Discrete random variables Chapter 6 – Continuous random variables

Weights of adult green sea urchins are normally distributed with a mean of 52 g and a standard deviation of 17.2 g. Find the percentage of adult green sea urchins with weights between 50 and 60 grams.

A. 22.54%B. 11.27%C. 55.14%D. 53.27%E. Adult green sea urchins taste good

Page 20: Chapter 5 – Discrete random variables Chapter 6 – Continuous random variables

Weights of adult green sea urchins are normally distributed with a mean of 52 g and a standard deviation of 17.2 g. About 12% of adult green sea urchins weigh less than what amount?

A. 50.0 gB. 72.2 gC. 31.8 gD. 34.8 g

Page 21: Chapter 5 – Discrete random variables Chapter 6 – Continuous random variables

The standard normal distribution has a mean and a standard deviation . It is sometimes called a z distribution

Page 22: Chapter 5 – Discrete random variables Chapter 6 – Continuous random variables

The standard normal distribution is used for calculations – the old fashioned way!

Page 23: Chapter 5 – Discrete random variables Chapter 6 – Continuous random variables

How do we know if a sample of data comes from a normal distribution, or not?

118.5 117.6120.3 70.687.9 101.299.5 77.2125.7 88.188.5 116.5100.5 120.0104.7 94.798.6 94.892.6 79.5

Page 24: Chapter 5 – Discrete random variables Chapter 6 – Continuous random variables

How do we know if a sample of data comes from a normal distribution, or not?

We will look at two ways in this class:1. Graph the data (histogram) and visually assess the

shape. – useful for larger sample sizes, n > 100.2. Create a normal probability plot – useful for any

sample size.

Page 25: Chapter 5 – Discrete random variables Chapter 6 – Continuous random variables

Graph the data. Data is from a normal distribution.

A. TrueB. False

Page 26: Chapter 5 – Discrete random variables Chapter 6 – Continuous random variables

Graph the data. Data is from a normal distribution.

A. TrueB. False

Page 27: Chapter 5 – Discrete random variables Chapter 6 – Continuous random variables

Graph the data. Data is from a normal distribution.

A. TrueB. False

Page 28: Chapter 5 – Discrete random variables Chapter 6 – Continuous random variables

Graph the data. Data is from a normal distribution.

A. TrueB. False

Page 29: Chapter 5 – Discrete random variables Chapter 6 – Continuous random variables

Graph the data. Data is from a normal distribution.

A. TrueB. False

Page 30: Chapter 5 – Discrete random variables Chapter 6 – Continuous random variables

Create a normal probability plot.

Plot based on the y = x algebra relationship.

The more linear the graph the more likely the data came from a normal distribution.

Page 31: Chapter 5 – Discrete random variables Chapter 6 – Continuous random variables

Create a normal probability plot.

How to make a normal probability plot:

• Calculator• Minitab

Page 32: Chapter 5 – Discrete random variables Chapter 6 – Continuous random variables

We can assume this data is from a normal distribution.

A. TrueB. False

13141713101113161818

Page 33: Chapter 5 – Discrete random variables Chapter 6 – Continuous random variables

We can assume this data is from a normal distribution.

A. TrueB. False

9 191 13 3117 21 284 85 2010

Page 34: Chapter 5 – Discrete random variables Chapter 6 – Continuous random variables

We can assume this data is from a normal distribution.

A. TrueB. False

3 109 63 22 89 109 109 7

Page 35: Chapter 5 – Discrete random variables Chapter 6 – Continuous random variables

We can assume this data is from a normal distribution.

A. TrueB. False

Page 36: Chapter 5 – Discrete random variables Chapter 6 – Continuous random variables

We can assume this data is from a normal distribution.

A. TrueB. False

Page 37: Chapter 5 – Discrete random variables Chapter 6 – Continuous random variables

We can assume this data is from a normal distribution.

A. TrueB. False