chapter-5 comparative performance evaluation (a) etfs...
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CHAPTER-5
Comparative Performance Evaluation (A) ETFs (vs) Index Funds in India
(B) ETFs (vs) CNX 500 INDEX
(A) ETFs ( vs) INDEX FUNDS - A COMPARATIVE STUDY
The most significant similarity of ETFs and index funds is the passive
character of their investing strategy. Both of them track specific and known indexes
either broad market, sector or international, offering a considerably great degree of
diversification of portfolio nonsystematic risk. Passive strategy reflects low
managerial costs both for ETFs and mutual funds, since the managers simply
follow the index and they are not obliged to develop costly and complicated
investing policies.
However, ETFs are charged with transaction costs and broker house
commissions, while index funds do not. On the other side, mutual funds are loaded
with redemption and purchase fees.. Basic differences among them also exist.
The main difference is that ETFs are purchased and sold at the exchange
traded prices, which closely fit their net asset value any time during the trading day,
offering to investors the ability to be provided with the stocks that compose an index
with a single transaction. In contrary, index funds can be purchased or redeemed
only at the end of the day at the value of their net assets.
5.1 RETURNS OF ETFs and INDEX FUNDS
In this segment , we present and compare the results of ETFs, and Index
Funds total and average daily returns of ETFs and Index Funds tracking the same
benchmark . NAVs are used to calculate the returns since trading prices are not
available for Index Funds.
TABLE 5.1 RETURNS OF ETFs and INDEX FUNDs
SL.
NO. ETF/INDEX FUND BENCHMARK
TOTAL RETURN
(%)
AVERAGE
RETURN(%)
1 ICICI PRUDENTIAL
INDEX FUND
CNX NIFTY
INDEX 71.3 0.07
2 SBI NIFTY INDEX
FUND
CNX NIFTY
INDEX 70.48 0.07
3 NIFTY BEES ETF
CNX NIFTY
INDEX 69.88 0.07
4 QNIFTY ETF
CNX NIFTY
INDEX 72.86 0.07
In the Table 5.1 we compare the performance of 2 Index Funds and 2 ETFs
tracking ―CNX NIFTY INDEX‖, both are passive investment products, based on
the analysis we observe that they are performing equally since there is very small
difference between their total returns but the average daily return is same for all of
them.
5.2 TOTAL RISK OF ETFs and INDEX FUNDs
Standard deviation is a measure of total risk of an investment , in
this segment we compare the total risk of the ETFs and Index Funds
tracking ―CNX NIFTY INDEX‖. It is a measure of volatility in returns
both upside and downside movement of returns, higher the standard
deviation higher the total risk on the investment.
TABLE 5.2 TOTAL RISK OF ETFs and INDEX FUNDs
S.NO. ETF/INDEX FUND BENCHMARK
STANDARD
DEVIATION(%)
1
ICICI PRUDENTIAL
INDEX FUND
CNX NIFTY
INDEX 1.31
2 SBI NIFTY INDEX FUND
CNX NIFTY
INDEX 1.36
3 NIFTY BEES ETF
CNX NIFTY
INDEX 1.36
4 QNIFTY ETF
CNX NIFTY
INDEX 1.35
We observe from above table 5.2 that ―ICICI PRUDENTIAL INDEX
FUND‖ had recorded the lowest volatility but we do not find much difference
between the standard deviation of ETFs and Index Funds, which means both the
passive investment products are showing similar performance or risk.
5.3 SYSTEMATIC RISK OF ETFs and INDEX FUNDs
Beta is a measure of systematic risk of a stock or portfolio, it
compares the movement of returns of the ETF/Index Fund with the
returns of its benchmark, in general positive beta near to 1 implies high
risk because when markets crash the investors would make heavy losses
due to the movement of the investment returns with the market, but
ETFs need to move along with its benchmark so beta near to 1 implies
best benchmark tracking so beta has to be interpreted in a different way
for ETFs.
TABLE 5.3 SYSTEMATIC RISK OF ETFs and INDEX FUNDs
S.NO
. ETF/INDEX FUND BENCHMARK BETA
1 ICICI PRUDENTIAL INDEX FUND CNX NIFTY INDEX 1
2 SBI NIFTY INDEX FUND CNX NIFTY INDEX 0.99
3 NIFTY BEES ETF CNX NIFTY INDEX 1
4 QNIFTY ETF CNX NIFTY INDEX 1
From Table 5.3 we observe that both ETFs and Index Funds are exactly
tracking their benchmark ―CNX NIFTY INDEX‖ which is interpreted through
their betas equal to 1.
5.4 PORTFOLIO PERFORMANCE MEASURES ETFs and INDEX
FUNDs
Sharpe Ratio shows the risk adjusted performance of the fund. Here the denominator
is the standard deviation of the portfolilo. Thus it takes into account the total risk of the
portfolio, both systematic and unsystematic risk. A fund with a higher Sharpe ratio
implies that the fund has a better risk adjusted return than that of another fund
with a lower Sharpe ratio.
Treynor ratio shows the risk adjusted performance of the fund. Here the
denominator is the beta of the portfolio. Thus, it takes into account the systematic
risk of the portfolio. The beta measures only the portfolio's sensitivity to the market
movement, while the standard deviation is a measure of the total volatility both
upside as well as downside. A fund with a higher Treynor ratio implies that the fund
has a better risk adjusted return than that of another fund with a lower Treynor
ratio.
TABLE 5.4 PORTFOLIO PERFORMANCE MEASURES ETFs and INDEX
FUNDs
S.NO. ETF/INDEX FUND
SHARPE‘S
RATIO
TREYNOR‘S
RATIO
1 ICICI PRUDENTIAL INDEX FUND 0.05 0.07
2 SBI NIFTY INDEX FUND 0.05 0.07
3 NIFTY BEES ETF 0.05 0.07
4 QNIFTY 0.05 0.07
We observe from Table 5.4 that Sharpe‘s and Treynor‘s Ratio is exactly
similar for both ETFs and Index Funds included in the study, which implies that the
return earned for every unit of risk borne is same for both passive investment
avenues.
5.5 JENSENS RATIO/ALPHA OF ETFs and INDEX FUNDS – EXCESS RETURNS OVER ITS BENCHMARK
The Jensen‘s Alpha or Ratio is based on the risk adjusted CAPM model.
This model calculates the returns of funds after adjusting for the risk factor, beta.
When the alpha is zero, the return is the same as market, when the alpha is higher
than zero, there exists excess return on the portfolio when compared to the market,
less than zero implies underperformance compared to its market.
In this section market means the tracking benchmark ―CNX NIFTY
INDEX‖ of the 2 ETFs and 2 INDEX FUNDS, since the 4 passive instruments,
alpha of zero implies excellent benchmark tracking.
TABLE 5.5 JENSENS ALPHA OF ETFs and INDEX FUNDs
S.NO. ETF/INDEX FUND BENCHMARK ALPHA
1 ICICI PRUDENTIAL INDEX FUND
CNX NIFTY
INDEX 0
2 SBI NIFTY INDEX FUND
CNX NIFTY
INDEX 0
3 NIFTY BEES ETF
CNX NIFTY
INDEX 0
4 QNIFTY ETF
CNX NIFTY
INDEX 0
From Table 5.5 we observe that the Jensen‘s Alpha is zero for both ETFs and
Index funds which implies that they are exactly tracking their benchmark without
over or under performance.
(B) ETFs (vs) CNX 500 INDEX - A COMPARATIVE STUDY
The passive management for the majority of ETFs entails that they just invest in
all the components of the underlying index at the same weights without needing to
execute any complex and costly investing strategies and without expecting, however,
to produce any excess return with respect to the performance of the tracking
benchmark.
There are some studies that suggest that an actively managed portfolio of ETFs
can generate a positive alpha, in other words, to outperform its individual funds,
Since ETF is both a stock and a fund we can get the exposure to an entire index
through a single investment in an ETF which also trades like a stock.
In the first step, we calculate the daily return ofETFs and indexes by subtracting
the price
of the ETF or index i on day t 2 1 from its price on day t and dividing the difference
by the price on day t 2 1. The corresponding return of the S&P 500 Index is also
estimated. In the calculation of returns, we assume that the dividends received by
ETFs (if any) are reinvested on the exdividend day. Returns are expressed in
percentage terms.
After computing the raw return of ETFs and indices, we estimate two
alternative types of risk-adjusted performance. The first one concerns the Sharpe
ratio. The Sharpe ratio assesses how well the ETF or the S&P 500 Index compensate
their investors for the per unit risk they run. The higher the Sharpe ratio is, the
better is the performance of the ETF or the index.
Second one makes an attempt to analyze the managerial skill to achieve
superior returns by picking ETFs that could outperform the broad market index we
use the risk-adjusted return in Jensen‘s model / alpha, The coefficient (Jensen‘s
alpha) is used to determine the excess return of the ETF over ―S&P 500 INDEX‖..
Positive and significant alphas indicate that the ETF earns excess returns over the
broad market index.
5.6 AVERAGE RETURNS OF ETFs and CNX 500 INDEX
The issue we explore in this segment relates to the opportunities offered by
ETFs to investors to receive returns above the market returns.
TABLE 5.6 AVERAGE RETURNS OF ETFs and CNX 500
INDEX
S.NO. ETF
Average Return
of ETF(%)
Average Return of CNX
500 Index(%)
1 NIFTYBEES 0.072 0.073
2 QNIFTY 0.085 0.073
3 JUNIOR BEES 0.108 0.073
4 BANKBEES 0.114 0.073
5 RELBANK 0.136 0.073
6 KOTAKPSUBK 0.099 0.073
7 PSUBANKBEES 0.089 0.073
8 SHARIAHBEES 0.075 0.073
AGGREGATE AVERAGE
RETURN(1-8) 0.10% 0.07%
9 GOLDBEES 0.071 0.073
10 GOLDSHARE 0.067 0.073
11 KOTAKGOLD 0.067 0.073
12 RELGOLD 0.067 0.073
13 QGOLDHALF 0.07 0.073
AGGREGATE AVERAGE
RETURN(1-13) 0.09% 0.07%
Table 5.6 presents the average return performance differences between ETFs
and ―CNX 500 Index‖ . In addition, return differences are presented individually
and on an aggregate basis also, the results show that, on average, ETFs outperform
the CNX 500 Index individually and also as an aggregate BASIS during the study
period., the aggregate average return of 13 ETFs equals to 0.09% while the
corresponding performance of the market index is 0.07%.
CHART 5.1
We observe from Chart 5.1 that all the Equity ETFs outperform (or, at least
perform equally to the market index like ―NIFTYBEES‖) when the average returns
performance records are considered.
CHART 5.2
00.020.040.060.08
0.10.120.140.16
NIF
TYB
EES
QN
IFTY
JUN
IOR
BEE
S
BA
NK
BEE
S
REL
BA
NK
KO
TAK
PSU
BK
PSU
BA
NK
BEE
S
SHA
RIA
HB
EES
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8
AVERAGE RETURNS - EQUITY ETFs (VS) CNX 500
Average Return of ETF(%)
Average Return of CNX 500 Index(%)
Wr observe from Chart 5.2 that all the five Gold ETFs had recorded lower
average returns compared to the average return of ―CNX 500 index‖.
0.0640.0650.0660.0670.0680.069
0.070.0710.0720.0730.074
GO
LDB
EES
GO
LDSH
AR
E
KO
TAK
GO
LD
REL
GO
LD
QG
OLD
HA
LF
9 10 11 12 13
AVERAGE RETURNS - GOLD ETFs (VS) CNX 500
Average Return of ETF(%)
Average Return of CNX 500 Index(%)
5.7 SHARPES RATIO OF ETFs and CNX 500 INDEX
We compare the Sharpe Ratio performance measure of the ETFs
and the ―S&P 500 INDEX‖, and try to interpret the performance of the
ETF in terms of the performance of the broad market index.
TABLE 5.7 SHARPES RATIO OF ETFs and CNX 500 INDEX
S.NO. ETF
Sharpe's Ratio of
ETF(%)
Sharpe's Ratio of CNX 500
Index(%)
1 NIFTYBEES 0.054 0.057
2 QNIFTY 0.065 0.057
3 JUNIOR BEES 0.068 0.057
4 BANKBEES 0.067 0.057
5 RELBANK 0.06 0.057
6 KOTAKPSUBK 0.043 0.057
7 PSUBANKBEES 0.044 0.057
8 SHARIAHBEES 0.035 0.057
AVERAGE(1-8) 0.06% 0.06%
9 GOLDBEES 0.075 0.057
10 GOLDSHARE 0.075 0.057
11 KOTAKGOLD 0.072 0.057
12 RELGOLD 0.073 0.057
13 QGOLDHALF 0.076 0.057
AVERAGE(1-13) 0.06% 0.06%
CHART 5.3
CHART 5.4
The risk-adjusted performance measure (Sharpe‘s Ratio) shows from Chart
5.3 that out of the 8 Equity ETFs, 4 ETFs (QNIFTY, JUNIORBEES, BANKBEES
AND RELBANK) Sharpe‘s Ratios are above the Sharpe‘s Ratio of ―CNX 500
0
0.01
0.02
0.03
0.04
0.05
0.06
0.07
0.08N
IFTY
BEE
S
QN
IFTY
JUN
IOR
BEE
S
BA
NK
BEE
S
REL
BA
NK
KO
TAK
PSU
BK
PSU
BA
NK
BEE
S
SHA
RIA
HB
EES
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8
SHARPES RATIO - EQUITY ETFs (VS) CNX 500
Sharpe's Ratio of ETF(%)
Sharpe's Ratio of CNX 500 Index(%)
00.010.020.030.040.050.060.070.08
GO
LDB
EES
GO
LDSH
AR
E
KO
TAK
GO
LD
REL
GO
LD
QG
OLD
HA
LF
9 10 11 12 13
SHARPES RATIO GOLD ETFs (VS) CNX 500
Sharpe's Ratio of ETF(%)
Sharpe's Ratio of CNX 500 Index(%)
Index‖ and from Chart 5.4 we see that all the five Gold ETFs Sharpe‘s ratios are
above the Sharpe‘s ratio of ―CNX 500 Index‖..
The average Sharpe‘s Ratio of the Equity ETFs (0.055%) is slightly below
the ― CNX 500 INDEX‖ Sharpe‘s Ratio of (0.057%), whereas the average of all the
13 ETFs is (0.062%) is above the average of ―CNX 500 INDEX‖ Sharp‘s Ratio of
(0.057%).
5.8 JENSENS RATIO / ALPHA OF ETFs – EXCESS RETURNS
OVER S&P CNX 500 INDEX
In this segment, we use the CNX 500 Index as a proxy for market return
because this is the most widely adopted market benchmark academic research on
the ability of active management to beat the market and offer investors above -
average performance. Even though ETFs are basically passive investing products,
there are reports arguing that investors can apply more active investing strategies
by building a portfolio consisted of a wide range of assets belonging both to large -
and small-cap ETF stocks, Sector ETF stocks, Commodity ETF stocks, domestic
and international ETF stocks, as to obtain a positive Jensen‘s alpha.
The Jensen‘s Alpha or ratio is based on the risk adjusted CAPM model. This
model calculates the returns of funds after adjusting for the risk factor, beta. When the
alpha is zero, the return is the same as market, when the alpha is higher than zero, there
exists excess return on the portfolio when compared to the market. The portfolio manager
has the ability to predict future prices and earns a higher return than the return implied by
the CAPM. Consequently, when the alpha is below zero, the manager underperforms
relative to the market.
TABLE 5.8 EXCESS RETURNS ON ETFs over CNX 500 INDEX
(JENSENS RATIO)
S.NO. ETF JENSEN'S RATIO
1 NIFTYBEES 0
2 QNIFTY 0.02
3 JUNIOR BEES 0.05
4 BANKBEES 0.06
5 RELBANK 0.11
6 KOTAKPSUBK 0.06
7 PSUBANKBEES 0.04
8 SHARIAHBEES 0.04
9 GOLDBEES 0.07
10 GOLDSHARE 0.06
11 KOTAKGOLD 0.06
12 RELGOLD 0.07
13 QGOLDHALF 0.07
From the above Table 5.8 we observe that the Jensen‘s alpha is positive for seven
Equity ETFs and five Gold ETFs implying that the ETFs are able to earn excess returns
over the market index (S&P 500 Index), and only one Equity ETF ―NIFTYBEES‖ had
recorded an Alpha equal to zero which says that the ETF is performing same as the
market.
The above results suggest that by holding a portfolio of ETFs the investor can get
the diversification to beat the broad market index.
CHART 5.5
Chart 5.5 depicts that among the Equity ETFs ―RELBANK‖ recorded highest
alpha and ―NIFTYBEES‖ zero alpha, but overall all of them are earning excess returns
over the broad market index ―CNX 500 Index‖.
0
0.02
0.04
0.06
0.08
0.1
0.12
NIF
TYB
EES
QN
IFTY
JUN
IOR
BEE
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BA
NK
BEE
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REL
BA
NK
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TAK
PSU
BK
PSU
BA
NK
BEE
S
SHA
RIA
HB
EES
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8
JENSEN'S ALPHA- EXCESS RETURN ON EQUITY ETFs OVERCNX 500 INDEX
JENSEN'S RATIO
CHART 5.6
Chart 5.6 demonstrates that among the five Gold ETFs ―GOLBEES‖,
―RELGOLD‖ and ―QGOLDHALF‖ recorded similar Alpha, but all of them had recorded
excess returns over the broad market ―CNX 500 Index‖.
We can say that by holding a portfolio of ETFs tracking varied benchmarks the
investors can earn a return above the broad market return.
0.054
0.056
0.058
0.06
0.062
0.064
0.066
0.068
0.07
0.072
GOLDBEES GOLDSHARE KOTAKGOLD RELGOLD QGOLDHALF
9 10 11 12 13
JENSEN'S ALPHA - EXCESS RETURN ON GOLD ETFs OVER CNX 500 INDEX
JENSEN'S RATIO
CHAPTER-6
FINDINGS, CONCLUSIONS AND
SUGGESTIONS
6.1 FINDINGS:
1. Among the Equity ETFs the ETFs tracking specific sector indices had
recorded higher returns compared to ETFs tracking diversified indices.
2. We observe that compared to Equity ETFs, Gold ETFs tracking the same
benchmark are performing in a similar manner, implying that there is high
competition in Gold ETF market.
3. We find that Equity ETFs are recording higher total and average returns
compared to Gold ETFs, since the upside is undefined for Equity Markets.
4. We observe that Equity ETFs had recorded higher volatility when compared
to Gold ETFs, this is observed because of systematic and unsystematic factors
affecting stock markets on a day to day basis.
5. ETFs tracking specific sector indices had recorded high volatility compared
to ETFs tracking diversified indices, due to the reason that unsystematic risk
is not diversified for sector specific indices because all the firms are equally
affected by firm specific factors.
6. Observing the Betas we find that both Equity ETFs and Gold ETFs are
tracking their benchmarks according to their passive character, since beta
measures the correlation of the returns of ETF and its Benchmark, higher the
Beta better the index tracking.
7. We find that Betas for ETFs tracking diversified indices are higher than betas
for ETFs tracking specific sector indices.
8. We find that all the five Gold ETFs are competing equally for market share,
shown through their similar returns, volatility and betas.
9. When we observe the downside risk measure Value at Risk, we find that
among that Equity ETFs tracking diversified indices had recorded lower daily
VaR compared to ETFs tracking specific sector indices.
10. We find that more than 50% of the ETFs are recording VaR same as their
benchmarks, and few of them lower than their benchmarks which is a very
good indication
11. We observe that compared to Equity ETFs, Gold ETFs had recorded lower
daily VaR, because in capital markets downside movement of stock returns
are higher.
12. We observe that only for well diversified portfolios both Sharpe‘s and
Treynor‘s performance measures give the same ranking, since unsystematic
risk is almost reduced to zero due to diversification and left over risk is
systematic risk only, which is covered through beta, but for funds tracking
specific sector indices or single assets total risk should be considered because
unsystematic risk is not diversified, since ETFs track non diversified Specific
Sector Indices and Single Commodity Assets like Gold, Sharpe‘s measure is
more suitable and reliable because it takes into consideration total risk
(Standard Deviation) , and Treynor‘s measure considers only systematic risk
(Beta).
13. When we compare the performance of the ETFs and their Benchmarks using
average differences in returns we find that more that 50% of the Equity ETFs
are either outperforming or exactly performing with their benchmarks,
whereas in case of Gold ETFs one is performing same as its benchmark, one
outperformed its benchmark and 3 underperformed compared to their
benchmarks ―SPOT GOLD PRICE‖.
14. When we observe the performance of the ETFs along with their benchmarks
using Sharpe‘s Ratio we observe that 50% of Equity ETFs had outperformed
their benchmarks, and all the Gold ETFs included in the study had
outperformed their benchmark during the study period.
15. When we observe the Extended Sharpe‘s ratio we find that out of the eight
Equity ETFs five had outperformed and three underperformed compared to
their benchmark and out of the five Gold ETFs three underperformed one
exactly performed and one underperformed compared to their benchmark but
the deviation of underperformance is very small.
16. For evaluating the performance of ETFs Extended Sharpe‘s Ratio, is a good
performance measure since it presents the excess return earned by the ETF
over the return on its Benchmark for every unit of total risk borne, Sharpe‘s
Ratio does not tell whether the ETF is outperforming or underperforming
compared to the benchmark, but Extended Sharpe‘s Ratio serves this purpose.
17. When two ETFs tracking the same benchmark are given the same rank by
Sharpe‘s Ratio, to study them further Extended Sharpe‘s Ratio is useful for
example ―KOTAKPSUBK‖ and ―PSUBANKBEES‖, were given equal
ranking by the former ratio but the latter ratio differentiated and showed that
―PSUBANKBEES‖ is a better ETF.
18. Jensen‘s alpha is positive for all the eight Equity ETFs which implies that all
are outperforming their benchmarks, Out of the five Gold ETFs three
recorded positive alphas and two zero alphas, which implies that 80% of the
ETFs studied had outperformed their benchmark and 20% exactly performed
with their benchmarks, but the Equity ETFs alphas are slightly high compared
to Gold ETFs alphas, implying that there is a slight deviation in tracking their
benchmarks.
19. Regression analysis on trading price relation between ETF and Benchmark
shows that all the 8 Equity ETFs are accurately tracking their benchmark
prices, but Gold ETFs are falling by10% in tracking the ―Spot Gold Prices‖,
t-stats are high which implies that the null hypothesis is being rejected, or in
other proving that Trading Prices of ETFs are dependent on the Trading Prices
of their Benchmarks.
20. Beta implies the level of systematic risk, If beta is bigger than unity, the ETF
moves more aggressively in comparison to the benchmark and if beta lies
bellow unity, the ETF follows a conservative investing policy, if beta is equal
to unity ETF moves with the benchmark, Regression on Returns of ETFs and
Benchmarks records betas below unity for both Equity and Gold ETFs,
―NIFTYBEES‖ and ―JUNIORBEES‖ had recorded highest betas proving their
good index tracking capability.
21. The deviation of returns of the ETF from its Benchmark is called Tracking
Error, lower the tracking error better the performance of the ETF, when we
observe the tracking errors we find that ETFs tracking diversified indices had
recorded lower tracking errors compared to ETFs tracking specific sector
ETFs we also observe that Gold ETFs had recorded low tracking errors
compared to Equity ETFs.
22. Regression analysis on relation between NAVs and Trading Prices of ETFs,
shows that out of the eight Equity ETFs two are trading at a premium two are
exactly trading at its NAV whereas two are trading at a discount, among the
Gold ETFs four are trading at a discount, only one is exactly trading at its
NAV, t-stats are very high for both Equity and Gold ETFs which leads to the
rejection of the null hypothesis.
23. Regression on one day time lag relation between the trading prices of ETFs,
reveals that the betas of all the eight8 Equity ETFs are almost near to ‗1‘ and
Gold ETFs betas are exactly ‗1‘ which implies that there is a strong relation
between two consecutive trading prices of ETFs, whereby through observing
previous days price we can estimate next day‘s price movement. The t-stats
are high which implies that the null hypothesis is rejected.
24. We also observe that there is not much difference between actual and
predicted trading prices based on one day time lag on trading prices
regression, since their average price and standard deviations are almost same,
so this model can be applied to predict the future movement of market price of
ETFs with some small adjustment to the predicted price.
25. When we compare the performance of ETFs with that of Index Funds we
observe that both passive investment avenues are exactly tracking their
benchmarks and their performance is similar both in terms of return and risk.
26. . When we study the average performance differences between ―ETFs‖ and
―CNX 500 Market Index‖, the results show that, on average, the ETFs
outperform the ―CNX 500 Index‖ individually and also on an aggregate basis
during the study period., the aggregate average return of ETFs equals to
0.09% while the corresponding performance of the market index is 0.07%.
27. We observe that the Jensen‘s alpha is positive for all eight Equity ETFs, and
five Gold ETFs, implying that the ETFs are able to earn excess returns over
the market index ―CNX 500 Index‖. Giving an indication that by holding a
portfolio of ETFs the investor can beat the market.
28. Indian stock market indices see frequent churn of indices going in and out
such churn forces the fund manager to sell the script that moves out of the
index buy the script that comes into the index, here the ETF fund manager
himself rebalances the portfolio whereby the scheme bears the cost.
29. Due to the availability of large number of stocks in the market the active fund
managers are able to pick stocks that outperform the broad market indices due
to which ETFs are unable to attract the retail investors.
30. Expense Ratios of Equity ETFs are lower than Gold ETFs, high expense
ratios lead to reduction of return on ETF to the investor.
31. The turnover of Gold ETFs during the study period is very high compared to
Equity ETFs but Gold ETFs had been introduced recently when compared to
Equity ETFs..
32. ETFS tracking Sector Specific Indices are more risky than ETFs tracking
Diversified Indices.
33. All the ETFs launched by Gold Man Sachs Asset Management Company
previously Benchmark Funds AMC under the ETF brand ―BEES‖ are
performing good, except for ―SHARIAHBEES‖.
6.2 Conclusions:-
In this research work we empirically investigated the trading characteristics
and performance of Exchange Traded Funds, an investing product that had been
introduced in Indian Capital Market over a decade. Later we compare the
performance of the ETFs and Index Funds tracking same benchmark index, we also
compare the performance of ETFs with broad market index ―S&P 500 Index‖ to
find the ability of ETFs to beat the market.
We perform the study on 8 Equity ETFs and 5 Gold ETFs listed on National
Stock Exchange of India. The sample ETFs track some of the most significant
indices of Indian capital market and Spot Gold Prices.
Based on the study we conclude that among the Equity ETFs specific sector
ETFs are providing higher returns and higher volatility compared to diversified
ETFs, Equity ETFs returns are positively correlating with their benchmarks
returns as observed through their high betas, which is required by passive
investment instruments.
We observe that Equity ETFs are exactly tracking their benchmark prices,
they are trading at prices near to their net asset values and their returns are
correlating with their benchmark returns, the tracking error of specific sector ETFs
are higher than diversified ETFs, .Index Funds and Equity ETFs tracking ―CNX
NIFTY INDEX‖ are performing in a similar manner both are tracking their
benchmark and are also providing the same returns and risk.
On Average the sample ETFs are outperforming the market index S&P
CNX 500 INDEX, they are also providing positive Jensen‘s Alphas showing that
they are performing better than the market.
6.3 Suggestions:-
1) ETFs provide investors with a convenient way to buy or sell exposure
to an index or a basket of stocks with a vehicle that trades like a stock,
both large institutions investors and small individual investor‘s can
avail this investment option .
2) If an investor is not sure about which particular stock to buy but likes
the overall sector, investing in shares tied to an index or basket of
stocks provides diversified exposure to a volatile sector and reduces
risk in the event of specific stock news. ,the volatility or risk
associated with an index or basket is lower than the volatility or risk
of an individual stock.
3) Since ETFs trade like stocks, buyers must pay a brokerage
commission every time they buy or sell shares, these commission add
up quickly, especially if you‘re buying more shares each month. ETFs
are good for lump-sum investors, but you should use a traditional
index fund if you‘re buying a few at a time.
4) Consider your costs before investing in ETFs. An expense ratio tells
you how much an ETF costs. The amount is skimmed from your
account and goes towards paying a fund‘s total annual expenses.
Remember, the expense ratio doesn‘t include the brokerage
commissions you pay to buy and sell ETF shares.
5) Invest in ETFs tracking diversified indices instead of specific sector
indices in order to get benefit of exposure to varied sectors and reduce
the market volatility.
6) Invest in Gold ETFs since it provides an opportunity to investors
to accumulate gold over a given period of time. Since it can be
purchased in small quantities of 1 unit which is equal to 1 gram
gold, one can plan the procurement as per future requirements.
7) Diversification helps protect your portfolio against fluctuations in the
value of any asset class. Gold is an ideal diversifier, because the
economic forces that determine the price of gold are different from,
and in many cases opposed to, the forces that influence most financial
assets traditional diversifiers often fall during times of market stress or
instability. On these occasions most asset classes (including
traditional diversifiers such as bonds and alternative assets) all move
together in the same direction. There is no ―cushioning‖ effect of a
diversified portfolio, leaving investors disappointed. So include Gold
ETF in your portfolio to balance your investment portfolio.
8) By holding a portfolio of ETFs the investors can get the
exposure of a broad market index and also they can earn a
return above the market.
9) Investors should look at the fund house before making the
investment, Gold Man Sachs AMC is one of the good fund
houses since 90% of ETFs launched by it are performing good.
10) Investors should study the risk profile of the ETF since
they are prone to market, interest rate, credit risk and also
Tracking Errors, Tracking Error is one of the important indicator
of ETF performance.
11) Finally the liquidity of the ETF should be observed
through they volumes and turnover before making the
investment.
Scope for further Research There is lot of scope for further research on ETFs since there is
very less literature available on ETFs listed on Indian Capital Markets,
Researchers in the future can study
The performance of ETFs tracking major indices of NSE and BSE.
Study the performance of ETFs tracking Specific Sector Indices
and compare them with the performance of ETFs tracking
Diversified Indices.
Study the performance of ETFs during various states of economy,
with special reference to recessions.
Study the performance persistence of ETFs compared to the
performance of Market.