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Boone County Transportation Plan
3-1 Chapter 3 Future Conditions
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OBJECTIVE The objective of the Future Conditions analysis was to portray a “snapshot” of typical daily traffic conditions on the Study Area transportation network for the year 2030. It is assumed that only those Boone County projects included in the current 2005-2010 Six-Year Highway Plan (“Six Year Plan”) will be constructed by the year 2030. The future year roadway system, referred to as the year 2030 Existing Plus Committed (“E+C”) network, was used in the development of future year traffic projections and resulting levels of service. From this snapshot, future highway system deficiencies were identified.
COMMITTED IMPROVEMENTS
Major transportation improvement projects for Boone County that are contained in the current Six Year Plan are presented in Exhibit 3-1. A listing and brief description of each project can be found in Chapter 7, Financial Assessment. It should be pointed out that the Six Year Plan only lists the phase or phases of each project for which funding is anticipated, through Fiscal Year 2010 (which runs from July 1, 2009 to June 30, 2010); for a number of projects, completion – including final construction – will occur after 2010. As stated previously, it is assumed that all Boone County projects contained in the current Six Year Plan will be constructed by 2030.
The Six Year Plan groups projects according to anticipated State and Federal fund categories. With regard to Federally-funded projects, the current Plan is fiscally balanced in that the total project costs do not exceed the anticipated Federal funds. This assumes that Congress, at a minimum, will fund the most conservative of the Federal
reauthorization bills presently being considered.
On the other hand, State-funded (“SP”) projects in the Plan do not match expected State fund revenues for FY 2005-2010. While anticipated State fund revenues total $460 million for the six-year period, SP projects in the Plan total nearly $2 billion, which means that the SP portion of the Plan is $1.5 billion out of balance. Implications are that many of the projects will take considerably longer to be completed than is shown in the published Plan, given the anticipated continuing shortage of State fund revenues.
In Boone County, a cooperative process for identifying long-range transportation needs occurs between local communities in Boone County and the Ohio-Kentucky-Indiana (“OKI”) Regional Council of Governments, which serves as the metropolitan planning organization (“MPO”) for the Greater Cincinnati Region. OKI, as the MPO, is responsible for planning for transportation projects that will use federal funding. Boone County recommended improvement projects contained in OKI’s three-year Transportation Improvement Program (“TIP”) also are included in the State Six Year Plan. In addition, OKI maintains a long range, year 2030 Regional Transportation Plan that includes projects identified in each county’s transportation plan. This Regional Long Range Plan is reviewed and updated every three years (last update, 2004) to incorporate changes or additions identified in local and regional planning studies. Boone County recommendations, such as proposed improvements generated by this Boone County Transportation Plan ultimately will be submitted for adoption into the OKI Regional Long Range Plan.
Boone County Transportation Plan
3-2 Chapter 3 Future Conditions
Exhibit 3-1. Boone County Six Year Plan Projects
Boone County Transportation Plan
3-3 Chapter 3 Future Conditions
The Statewide Transportation Plan (“STP”) is Kentucky’s multi-modal, long-range plan produced by the Kentucky Transportation Cabinet, of which the Six Year Plan serves as the short-range component. The STP also identifies corridor-level needs and improvements on a statewide basis for the 7-to-20-year time frame. By reference, the STP includes long-range projects for Boone County, which are contained in OKI’s 2030 Regional Transportation Plan (“RTP”). However, for the purposes of developing this 2030 Boone County Transportation Plan, previously identified Boone County RTP projects are not included in the 2030 E+C network. Thus, the year 2030 analysis for the “No Build” scenario assumes that only those major projects contained in the Six Year Plan will be built by 2030.
OKI/MVRPC REGIONAL TRAVEL DEMAND MODEL The consolidated travel demand model for OKI and the Miami Valley Regional Planning Commission (MVRPC) was used in preparing year 2030 traffic forecasts. This model was created during the North South Transportation Initiative by merging the individual OKI and MVRPC regional models into a “supermodel” consisting of a regional transportation network spanning eleven counties (Hamilton, Clermont, Warren, Butler, Montgomery, Greene and Miami counties in Ohio, as well as Boone, Kenton and Campbell in Kentucky, and Dearborn in Indiana). In addition to the regional consolidation, the current version of the model includes several model enhancements, such as time-of-day trip distribution, logsum trip distribution impedances, updated truck trip tables and regionally-estimated mode choice models.
As part of this transportation plan study, the highway network was updated for Boone County to include significant local roads that
were not in the adopted 2030 model. Relevant information about these roads (number of lanes, speed, capacity, etc.) was sent to OKI and the additional roads were inserted into the network. In addition, a re-evaluation, and significant modification, of the land use based model input (socioeconomic data), was used to better integrate transportation and land use planning in the Boone County portion of the model.
SOCIOECONOMIC DATA
The OKI/MVRPC Regional Travel Demand Model uses population and employment as its primary predictors in the development of traffic projections. Geographically, the model is subdivided into traffic analysis zones, or TAZ’s, and the socioeconomic data (including population and employment) are summarized for each TAZ. Trip production/attraction and travel demand assignment to transportation facilities is then based on the geographic distribution and make-up of the population and employment data.
Traffic analysis zone boundaries typically follow U.S. Census boundaries and TAZ’s are an aggregation of several Census blocks. This makes the process of maintaining and updating socioeconomic data much easier. Within the Boone County portion of the model, there are a total of 87 TAZ’s. A map of the TAZ’s is presented in Exhibit 3-2.
Boone County Transportation Plan
3-4 Chapter 3 Future Conditions
Exhibit 3-2. Boone County Traffic Analysis Zones (TAZ's)
Boone County Transportation Plan
3-5 Chapter 3 Future Conditions
The 2030 regional travel model contains population and employment projections that were developed by OKI, with input from Boone County. Population projections were originally allocated among the 87 TAZ’s from a total of 204,003; this control total was developed by the Kentucky State Data Center. In the fall of 2004, the State Data Center adjusted the Boone County population projection to 188,652 and OKI then re-allocated the new total to the 87 TAZ’s. It is critical that the Boone County infrastructure be sufficient by the year 2030 to support the population growth (year 2000 population, according to the U.S. Census, was 85,448).
For the Boone County Transportation Study, new population and employment projections, by TAZ, were developed based on the recently updated land use map in the Comprehensive Plan. For each land use type, typical development densities were established and, using a geographic information system (GIS), acreages for the varying land use types were computed. Acreages were multiplied by typical densities by land use category (based on national studies and Boone County Planning Commission local adjustment) to produce new estimates of population (households per acre based on residential type, i.e., single family, multi-family and varying planned development densities) and employment (jobs per acre based on employment category) for the year 2030. Within the established range of typical densities, population densities for individual zones were adjusted as necessary to reflect the proposed land use plan residential characteristics in each TAZ. The overall county population control total of 188,652 for the year 2030 was maintained, while the Boone County Land Use Plan based employment total was used. The OKI Regional Travel Demand Model then used this socioeconomic data to derive trip characteristics and travel assignments.
The projected socioeconomic data, based on the 2030 Boone County Comprehensive Plan Land Use Map, are listed by TAZ in Exhibit 3-3. Compared to the year 2000, population is expected to increase by 121 percent from 85,448 to 188,652 by 2030. Employment is predicted to increase from 72,957 jobs in 2000 to 120,900 jobs in 2030, an increase of 66 percent. The County must plan for providing adequate infrastructure and services to accommodate this significant growth.
A map illustrating the population change by TAZ from 2000 to 2030 is shown in Exhibit 3-4. In general, population growth will be greatest along the central north-south “spine” of the county, generally between I-71/I-75 and US 42-KY 237. A similar map depicting areas of anticipated employment growth is presented in Exhibit 3-5. Employment growth will be greatest in these areas:
• Surrounding the Greater Cincinnati /Northern Kentucky International Airport
• In the US 25 Dixie Highway corridor, between I-71/I-75 and the Kenton County line, from KY 842 Weaver Road to Walton
• In western Boone County, south of Petersburg and south of Rabbit Hash.
Growth near the airport is anticipated to be as a result of the planned airport expansion, related services, and industries that will benefit from having a close proximity to the airport. The County is planning to accommodate additional industrial growth in the Dixie Highway Corridor, which is reflected in localized growth projections. Employment growth in western Boone County will be attributable to anticipated increased quarrying activities. Though the large TAZ size implies that the growth will occur over a large area, the actual growth will be confined primarily to individual quarry sites.
Boone County Transportation Plan
3-6 Chapter 3 Future Conditions
TAZ 2030 2030 TAZ 2030 2030 Number AREA Population Employment Number AREA Population Employment
1466 Airport 177 100 1510 Union 1,112 0 1467 Airport 1 2,149 1511 Union 5,300 0 1468 Airport 0 1,500 1512 Union 4,524 200 1469 Airport 234 3,853 1513 Union 5,115 100 1470 Airport 390 2,123 1514 Union 1,580 57 1471 Airport 350 1,510 1515 Union 3,794 300 1472 Airport 2,059 1,100 1516 Union 2,381 400 1473 Airport 4,298 2,979 1517 Union 2,878 0 1474 Airport 891 2,060 1518 Union 5,115 50 1475 Airport 866 668 1519 Boone County North 2,621 1,000 1476 Airport 1,688 3,000 1520 Boone County North 16 5,153 1477 Airport 0 18,792 1521 Boone County North 2,289 4,300 1478 Latonia 3 2,848 1522 Boone County North 2,883 300 1479 Latonia 269 1,700 1523 Boone County North 11,180 100 1480 Latonia 8 200 1524 Boone County North 11,362 150 1481 Latonia 2 576 1525 Boone County North 2,881 400 1482 Latonia 14 712 1526 Rabbit Hash 835 3,700 1483 Latonia 142 1,252 1527 Rabbit Hash 2,848 252 1484 Latonia 0 537 1528 Rabbit Hash 689 81 1485 Latonia 942 1,550 1529 Rabbit Hash 127 2,100 1486 Florence 724 200 1530 Big Bone 757 70 1487 Florence 718 100 1531 Big Bone 245 50 1488 Florence 335 400 1532 Big Bone 3,953 52 1489 Florence 199 211 1533 Richwood 4,824 800 1490 Florence 92 500 1534 Richwood 2,718 82 1491 Florence 492 263 1535 Richwood 4,149 600 1492 Florence 222 209 1536 Richwood 111 2,803 1493 Florence 638 200 1537 Richwood 189 5,900 1494 Florence 840 144 1538 Richwood 0 10,500 1495 Florence 1,133 600 1539 Richwood 5,229 400 1496 Florence 0 1,186 1540 Richwood 6,463 680 1497 Florence 2 2,890 1541 Richwood 5,586 100 1498 Florence 0 1,400 1542 Richwood 11,130 151 1499 Florence 0 2,444 1543 Richwood 2,743 76 1500 Florence 939 200 1544 Walton 3,424 1,789 1501 Florence 559 600 1545 Walton 1,110 603 1502 Florence Mall 0 4,500 1546 Walton 1,080 2,300 1503 Florence Mall 217 2,000 1547 Walton 7,765 1,700 1504 Florence Mall 1,482 806 1548 Walton 467 655 1505 Florence Mall 2,499 604 1549 Walton 62 50 1506 Florence Mall 3,859 400 1550 Walton 1,760 200 1507 Florence Mall 6,840 1,500 1606 Latonia 982 1,100 1508 Union 12,658 70 1607 Big Bone 4,402 700 1509 Union 3,191 260 Totals 188,652 120,900
Exhibit 3-3. Boone County Socioeconomic Data by Traffic Analysis Zone
Boone County Transportation Plan
3-7 Chapter 3 Future Conditions
Exhibit 3-4. Population Growth 2000 - 2030
Boone County Transportation Plan
3-8 Chapter 3 Future Conditions
Exhibit 3-5. Employment Growth 2000 - 2030
Boone County Transportation Plan
3-9 Chapter 3 Future Conditions
Year 2030 population and employment projections derived from the Comprehensive Plan were compared to the population and employment data for Boone County that are in the currently adopted year 2030 OKI regional travel demand model. The comparisons are summarized:
Existing(2000)
2030 AdoptedOKI Model
2030 Comprehensive
PlanPopulation 85,448 204,003 188,652Employment 72,957 108,049 120,900
The current, adopted version of the 2030 OKI model contains the previously established 204,003 population projection, while the revised model scenario, which reflects the Comprehensive Plan, contains the more recent, approved 188,652 population estimate. Also, the Comprehensive Plan-based version of the model, from which the 2030 traffic projections were made, includes a higher employment projection.
However, the most significant difference between the current OKI model input for population and employment is the allocation of this data to the TAZ’s. The current allocation is based on previous coordination with the county completed prior to the extensive comprehensive planning efforts the County has undertaken in recent years (and expected to culminate this year in the 2030 Comprehensive Plan update). In comparing the OKI allocation with the allocation based on the current Boone County land use plan, it was found that the Comprehensive Plan-based version concentrates the growth in more localized areas, specifically along a north-south spine in the center of the county and along the Dixie Highway corridor between Walton and Florence. Therefore, using the Comprehensive Plan-based allocation allows the consideration of transportation needs and improvement plans to be better linked with the envisioned land use growth and expected demographic changes in Boone County.
YEAR 2030 TRAFFIC FORECASTS AND LEVELS OF SERVICE Using the population and employment data developed from the Boone County Comprehensive Plan Land Use Map, the OKI regional travel demand model was run to produce year 2030 traffic projections. The model run was performed using the 2030 E+C roadway network, which includes those projects listed in the 2005-2010 Six-Year Highway Plan. A map of projected year 2030 daily traffic volumes and levels of service is shown in Exhibit 3-6. A summary table of the LOS analysis for interstate highways in Boone County is presented in Exhibit 3-7. Similarly, projected daily traffic volumes and LOS for arterial streets and two-lane highways are summarized in Exhibit 3-8 and Exhibit 3-9, respectively.
As shown, a number of roads in Boone County are projected to be either over capacity or near capacity by 2030. These include:
• Beaver Road (KY 1292) from US 42 to Walton
• Bullittsville Road • Burlington Pike (KY 18) from I-75 to KY
237; west of Burlington • Dixie Highway (US 25) from Richwood
Road to Walton • Frogtown Road (KY 3060) from US 42 to
US 25 • KY 338 Idlewild Road • Mineola Pike • North Bend Road (KY 237) from KY 18
to I-275 • Petersburg Road (KY 20) from KY 212
west to Idlewild Road • Richwood Road (KY 338) from Hicks
Pike to US 25 • US 42 from Gallatin County line to I-75
in Florence (except new section) • Walton-Verona Road (KY 14-16) from
Verona through Walton)
Boone County Transportation Plan
3-10 Chapter 3 Future Conditions
Exhibit 3-6. Summary Map – Year 2030 Projected Daily Traffic Volumes and Levels of Service
Boone County Transportation Plan
3-11 Chapter 3 Future Conditions
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Exhibit 3-7. Year 2030 Projected Daily Traffic Volumes and Levels of Service - Interstates
Boone County Transportation Plan
3-12 Chapter 3 Future Conditions
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Exhibit 3-8. Year 2030 Projected Daily Traffic Volumes and Levels of Service - Arterials
Boone County Transportation Plan
3-13 Chapter 3 Future Conditions
ADT LOSProjected
Traffic LOSKY 1017 (Turfway Rd.) KY 842 (Houston Rd.) to KY 3147 (O'Hara Rd.) 1.132 2.667 Transitioning/Urban 10,286 D 5,509 C
7,460 BKY 3147 (O'Hara Rd.) to KY 236 (Donaldson Rd.) 2.667 3.056 Transitioning/Urban 7,140 C 5,509 CKY 236 (Donaldson Rd.) to Kenton Co. line 3.056 3.738 Transitioning/Urban 6,521 C 4,522 C
KY 1292 (Beaver Rd.) US 42 to Mud Lick Creek Bridge 0.000 2.392 Rural Undeveloped 654 B 6,040 EMud Lick Creek to I-71 2.392 3.708 Rural Developed 1,785 B 7,926 CI-71 to Walton Corporate Boundary 3.708 4.450 Transitioning/Urban 2,954 B 7,926 CWalton Corporate Boundary to KY 14 4.450 4.933 Transitioning/Urban 3,417 B 7,926 C
KY 14 (Verona-Mud Lick Rd.) US 42 to I-71 Ramps 0.000 2.131 Rural Undeveloped 2,737 C 5,474 DI-71 Ramps to KY 16 (Walton-Verona Rd.) 2.131 3.982 Rural Undeveloped 4,288 D 5,329 D
5,281 D3,722 D
KY 14 & KY 16 (Walton Verona Rd.) KY 16 (Walton-Verona Rd.) to Stephenson Mill Rd. 3.982 5.244 Rural Undeveloped 1,652 B 5,823 EStephenson Mill Rd. to Salem Creek Rd. 5.244 7.273 Rural Undeveloped 1,824 C 5,825 ESalem Creek Rd. to KY 1292 7.273 8.056 Rural Developed 11,144 E 20,784 F
KY 1548 (Violet Rd.) Kenton Co. line to Eads Rd. 0.000 1.846 Rural Undeveloped 468 B 900 B
KY 16 (Glencoe Verona Rd.) Gallatin Co. line to KY 14/16 Junction 0.000 2.483 Rural Undeveloped 2,449 B 3232 C
KY 16 (Walton-Nicholson Rd.) US 25 to Kenton Co. line 2.483 3.380 Rural Undeveloped 3,528 D 21,870 F
KY 18 (McVille Rd.) KY 338 (East Bend Rd.) to KY 20 (Belleview Rd.) 0.000 3.502 Rural Developed 582 A 2,157 B
KY 18 (Burlington Pike) KY 20 (Belleview Rd.) to Woolper Rd. 3.502 6.540 Rural Undeveloped 2,172 C 5,073 DWoolper Rd. to Vice Lane 6.540 7.250 Rural Undeveloped 2,563 C 7,260 CVice Lane to Allen Fork Culvert 7.250 8.538 Rural Developed 2,981 C 7,260 C
KY 18 (Washington St.) Allen Fork Culvert to KY 338 (Idlewild Rd.) 8.538 10.443 Transitioning/Urban 5,576 C 7,261 C17,927 F
KY 1925 (Boat Dock Rd.) Ryle Rd. to KY 338 (Beaver Rd.) 0.000 2.478 Rural Undeveloped 528 B 351 B
KY 1925 (Big Bone Rd.) KY 338 (Beaver Rd.) to Rice Pike 2.478 5.659 Rural Undeveloped 153 A 230 ARice Pike to Big Bone Church Rd. 5.659 6.187 Rural Undeveloped 533 B 1,995 CBig Bone Church Rd. to KY 536 (Hathaway Rd.) 6.187 7.488 Rural Undeveloped 1,416 B 1,961 C
KY 20 (Belleview Rd.) KY 18 (Burlington Pike) to Woolper Creek Bridge 0.000 2.802 Rural Undeveloped 1,500 B 1,181 BWoolper Creek Bridge to Aurora Ferry Rd. 2.802 5.360 Rural Undeveloped 786 B 1,181 BAurora Ferry Rd. to 3rd Street 5.360 6.606 Rural Developed 1,453 B 1,181 B
KY 20 (Petersburg Rd.) 3rd Street to Woolper Rd. 6.606 8.151 Rural Developed 1,747 B 6,104 CWoolper Rd. to KY 8 (Idlewild Bypass) 8.151 10.873 Rural Undeveloped 2,822 C 6,681 EKY 8 (Idlewild Bypass) to KY 338 (Idlewild Rd.) 10.873 11.221 Rural Undeveloped 747 B 12,066 FKY 338 (Idlewild Rd.) to Corsoll Rd. 11.221 13.202 Rural Undeveloped 494 B 5,671 ECorsoll Rd. to Watts Lane 13.202 14.525 Rural Undeveloped 1,822 C 9,292 E
5,671 EWatts Lane to Bullock Lane 14.525 16.078 Rural Undeveloped 3,063 C 19,345 F
22,875 FBullock Lane to KY 237 (North Bend Rd.) 16.078 16.620 Rural Developed 5,935 C 22,875 FKY 237 (North Bend Rd.) to I-275 16.620 18.486 Rural Developed 7,349 D 17,013 FI-275 to KY 212 18.486 19.584 Transitioning/Urban 13,035 D 22,957 F
26,426 FKY 212 to KY 8 (River Rd.) 19.584 20.596 Transitioning/Urban 1,731 B 8,808 B
KY 237 (Pleasant Valley Rd.) US 42 to Valley View Dr. 0.000 0.665 Transitioning/Urban 11,260 D 26,926 CValley View Dr. to Camp Ernst Rd. 0.665 3.114 Transitioning/Urban 6,864 C 20,166 C
20,839 C20,597 C
KY 237 (Camp Ernst Rd.) KY 237 (Pleasant Valley Rd.) to KY 18 (Burlington Pk.) 3.114 4.681 Transitioning/Urban 13,585 D 43,645 B35,444 B
KY 237 (North Bend Rd.) Graves Rd. to Sand Run Rd. 10.370 10.863 Rural Developed 8,061 D 15,265 ASand Run Rd. to KY 8 (River Rd.) 10.863 13.383 Rural Undeveloped 300 A 15,265 A
KY 2846 (Tanner Rd.) KY 237 (North Bend Rd.) to KY 8 (River Rd.) 0.000 1.328 Rural Undeveloped 1,183 B 9,349 E
KY 2847 (Empire Dr.) Empire Connector to US 25 (Dixie Hwy) 0.000 0.726 Urbanized 2,182 B 1,376 B
KY 2852 (Riddles Run) KY 338 (Beaver Rd.) to KY 536 (Hathaway Rd.) 0.000 2.337 Rural Undeveloped 629 B 1,766 B
KY 2951 (Chambers) KY 338 (Richwood Rd.) to I-75 0.000 1.612 Rural Developed 1,857 B 3,714 BI-75 to US 25 (Dixie Hwy) 1.612 2.790 Rural Developed 617 A 1,234 B
KY 3060 (Frogtown Rd.) US 42 to Cardigan Dr. 0.000 1.399 Transitioning/Urban 6,254 C 14,692 ECardigan Dr. to US 25 (Dixie Hwy) 1.399 2.726 Transitioning/Urban 3,953 C 19,574 F
KY 3060 (E. Frogtown Rd.) East of US 25 (Dixie Hwy) 2.726 Transitioning/Urban 424 A 848 A
KY 3076 (Mineola Pike) KY 236 (Donaldson Hwy) to Jamike Ave. 0.000 0.338 Urbanized 4,942 C 10,583 DJamike Ave. to Olympic Blvd. 0.338 0.830 Urbanized 8,739 C 10,580 DOlympic Blvd. to I-275 WB ramps 0.830 1.096 Urbanized 13,108 D 28,439 FI-275 WB ramps to Dolwick Dr. 1.095 1.237 Urbanized 8,833 C 25,503 FDolwick Dr. to Point Pleasant Rd. Urbanized 1,000 B 22,711 F
KY 3168 (Limaburg Rd.) KY 18 (Burlington Pike) to KY 237 (North Bend Rd.) 3.183 0.880 Transitioning/Urban 9,414 C 9,065 C5,071 C
10,554 D
Area Type
Existing Year 2030
Route Segment MP Start MP End
Exhibit 3-9. Year 2030 Projected Daily Traffic Volumes and Levels of Service – Two-Lane Highways
Boone County Transportation Plan
3-14 Chapter 3 Future Conditions
Exhibit 3-9 (cont.)
ADT LOSProjected
Traffic LOS5,071 C
10,554 D4,469 C
KY 18 (Burlington Pike) to Oakbrook Rd. Transitioning/Urban 5,195 C 5,199 CElijah Creek Rd. to Petersburg Rd. Transitioning/Urban 2,892 B 11,087 D
KY 3203 (Frogtown Connector) KY 3060 (Frogtown Rd.) to KY 338 (Richwood Rd.) 0.000 1.253 Transitioning/Urban 1,820 A 3,640 B
KY 338 (Richwood Rd.) I-75/I-71 to Hicks Pike 0.275 1.350 Transitioning/Urban 10,327 D 31,373 F21,288 F
Hicks Pike to KY 2951 (Chambers Rd.) 1.350 2.092 Transitioning/Urban 3,546 B 10,436 DKY 2951 (Chambers Rd.) to US 42/US 127 2.092 4.613 Transitioning/Urban 1,587 B 5,470 C
KY 338 (Beaver Rd.) US 42 to KY 1925 (Big Bone Rd.) 4.613 7.961 Rural Undeveloped 1,473 B 1,099 B872 B
KY 1925 (Big Bone Rd.) to KY 2852 (Riddles Run Rd.) 7.961 10.643 Rural Undeveloped 1,279 B 1,098 B1,139 B
KY 2852 (Riddles Run Rd.) to Lower River Rd. 10.643 13.889 Rural Undeveloped 854 B 309 B
KY 338 (East Bend Rd.) Lower River Rd. to KY 536 (Rabbit Hash Rd.) 13.889 16.192 Rural Undeveloped 412 B 1,926 CKY 536 (Rabbit Hash Rd.) to KY 18 (McVille Rd.) 16.192 16.837 Rural Undeveloped 592 B 2,202 CKY 18 (McVille Rd.) to McVille-Waterloo Rd. 16.837 19.517 Rural Developed 818 B 59 AMcVille-Waterloo Rd. to Howe Rd. 19.517 21.986 Rural Developed 695 B 210 AHowe Rd. to Elwood Ave. 21.986 26.000 Transitioning/Urban 6,612 C 1,261 B
KY 338 (Jefferson St.) Elwood Ave. to KY 18 (Burlington Pike) 26.000 26.516 Transitioning/Urban 6,189 C 7,690 CKY 18 (Burlington Pike) to Easton Lane 26.516 28.095 Transitioning/Urban 4,089 C 5,878 C
8,509 C
KY 338 (Idlewild Rd.) Easton Lane to RW Hawkins Rd. 28.095 29.623 Rural Undeveloped 851 B 8,511 ERW Hawkins Rd. to KY 20 (Petersburg Rd.) 29.623 32.228 Rural Undeveloped 543 B 7,224 E
KY 3503 (Sam Neace Dr.) KY 536 (Mt. Zion Rd.) to KY 842 (Weaver Rd.) 0.000 0.693 Urban 6,410 C 11,218 D
KY 3503 (Empire Connector) KY 842 (Weaver Rd.) to KY 2847 (Empire Dr.) 0.693 1.047 Urbanized 5,294 C 4,279 C
KY 3503 (Empire Dr.) KY 2847 (Empire Dr.) to KY 1829 (Industrial Rd.) 1.047 1.674 Urbanized 6,144 C 4,279 C
KY 491 (Lebanon-Crittenden Rd.) Grant Co. line to KY 14 (Walton-Verona Rd.) 0.000 2.638 Rural Undeveloped 1,908 C 1,886 C
KY 536 (Rabbit Hash Rd.) KY 338 (East Bend Rd.) to Riddles Run Rd. 0.000 4.376 Rural Undeveloped 846 B 278 A
KY 536 (Hathaway Rd.) Riddle Run Rd. to Camp Michael Rd. 4.376 6.695 Rural Undeveloped 1,613 B 4,421 DCamp Michael Rd. to Camp Ernst Rd. 6.695 8.137 Rural Undeveloped 1,861 C 4,419 DCamp Ernst Rd. to KY 1925 (Big Bone Rd.) 8.137 8.625 Rural Undeveloped 3,027 C 6,671 EKY 1925 (Big Bone Rd.) to US 42 8.625 10.678 Transitioning/Urban 4,198 C 7,657 C
KY 536 (Mt. Zion Rd.) US 42 to Indian Hill Dr. 10.678 11.378 Transitioning/Urban 3,787 B 17,382 D8,134 C
Indian Hill Dr. to Highland Dr. 11.378 13.372 Transitioning/Urban 12,763 D 27,064 D17,452 D17,380 D
KY 717 (Thoroughbred Blvd.) KY 842 (Houston Rd.) to KY 1017 (Turfway Rd.) 0.000 0.368 Urbanized 5,596 B 1,825 C
KY 8 (Idlewild Bypass) I-275 to KY 20 (Petersburg Rd.) Rural Undeveloped 2,813 C 17,012 B16,895 B
KY 8 (River Rd.) State Maintentance to KY 237 (North Bend Rd.) 1.220 2.748 Rural Undeveloped 243 A 486 AKY 237 (North Bend Rd.) to KY 2846 (Tanner Rd.) 2.748 5.795 Rural Developed 192 A 9,235 DKY 2846 (Tanner Rd.) to KY 20 (Petersburg Rd.) 5.795 8.800 Rural Developed 643 B 10,820 DKY 20 (Petersburg Rd.) to Point Pleasant Rd. 8.800 9.678 Transitioning/Urban 719 A 13,195 D
10,358 DPoint Pleasant Rd. to Kenton Co. line 9.678 10.817 Transitioning/Urban 2,020 B 10,887 D
KY 842 (Weaver Rd.) US 25 (Dixie Highway) to KY 3503 (Sam Neace Dr.) 0.000 0.802 Urbanized 7,894 C 7,012 CKY 3503 (Sam Neace Dr.) to Evergreen Dr. 0.802 2.300 Urbanized 14,908 E 13,293 D
10,875 DEvergreen Dr. to US 42 2.300 2.572 Urbanized 15,989 E 13,293 D
US 25 & KY 16 (N Main St.) Needmore St. to Church St. 0.720 0.940 Urbanized 7,808 C 23,234 FChurch St. to Old Beaver Rd. 0.940 1.270 Rural Developed 7,391 C 23,234 FOld Beaver Rd. to Brookwood Dr. 1.270 1.991 Urbanized 7,765 C 23,716 F
US 25 & KY 14 (S Main St.) Kenton Co. line to KY 14 (Mary Grubbs Hwy.) 0.000 0.470 Urbanized 5,762 C 11,524 C
US 25 (Dixie Highway) Brookwood Dr. to Kensington Rd. 1.991 3.655 Rural Developed 8,002 D 33,236 F23,716 F
Kensington Rd. to KY 338 (Richwood Rd.) 3.655 4.859 Transitioning/Urban 6,457 C 56,862 FKY 338 (Richwood Rd.) to KY 3060 (Frogtown Rd.) 4.859 5.761 Transitioning/Urban 10,402 D 35,363 EKY 3060 (Frogtown Rd.) to KY 536 (Mt. Zion Rd.) 5.761 7.643 Transitioning/Urban 16,365 E 34,486 D
31,173 DKY 536 (Mt. Zion Rd.) to KY 842 (Weaver Rd.) 7.643 8.448 Transitioning/Urban 15,294 E 26,189 CKY 842 (Weaver Rd.) to KY 1829 (Industrial Rd.) 8.448 9.268 Transitioning/Urban 13,123 D 21,055 C
US 42 Gallatin Co. line to KY 14 (Verona-Mud Lick Rd.) 0.000 2.215 Rural Undeveloped 4,628 D 5,707 EKY 14 (Verona-Mud Lick Rd.) to KY 338 (Beaver Rd.) 2.215 5.125 Rural Developed 3,852 C 8,485 E
8,171 EKY 338 (Beaver Rd.) to KY 3060 (Frogtown Rd.) 5.125 9.378 Transitioning/Urban 7,355 C 33,937 F
28,579 F14,859 E
KY 3060 (Frogtown Rd) to KY 536 (Mt. Zion Rd.) 9.378 10.170 Transitioning/Urban 14,318 E 35,743 FKY 536 (Mt. Zion Rd.) to Longbranch Rd. 10.170 11.286 Transitioning/Urban 11,569 D 3,354 B
Route Segment MP Start MP End Area Type
Existing Year 2030
Boone County Transportation Plan
3-15 Chapter 3 Future Conditions
Exhibit 3-9 (cont.)
ADT LOSProjected
Traffic LOSBig Bone Church Rd. KY 338 (Beaver Rd.) to KY 1925 (Big Bone Rd.) Rural Undeveloped 502 B 431 B
Briergate Rd. KY 237 (Camp Ernst Rd.) to Fernwood Pl. Transitioning/Urban 2,391 B NA Bullitsville Rd. South of KY 20 (Petersburg Rd.) Rural Developed 2,070 B 14,517 F
Conrad Lane to KY 18 (Burlington Pike) Rural Developed 3,418 B 8,383 D
Camp Ernst Rd. KY 536 to Longbranch Rd. Rural Developed 2,078 B 9,475 CLongbranch Rd. to KY 237 (Pleasant Valley) Transitioning/Urban 5,967 C 9,475 C
Cayton Rd. South of Hopeful Church Rd. Urbanized 5,164 C 2,346 BWest of Mall Rd. Urbanized 4,857 C 2,346 B
Coachtrail Dr. East of KY 237 (North Bend Rd.) Rural Undeveloped 750 B 1,500 B
Conner Rd. KY 237 (North Bend Rd.) to KY 20 (Petersburg Rd.) Transitioning/Urban 1,587 B 969 ASouth of Petersburg Rd. Transitioning/Urban 1,968 B 3,174 B
Conrad Lane Bullitsville Rd. to KY 237 (North Bend Rd.) Transitioning/Urban 5,000 C 10,515 D14,785 E
KY 237 (North Bend Rd.) to KY 3168 (Limaburg Rd.) Transitioning/Urban 5,411 C 8,464 CWest of North Bend Rd. Transitioning/Urban 2,452 B 14,787 E
Elijah Creek Rd. West of KY 20 (Petersburg Rd.) Transitioning/Urban 752 A 1,504 BI-275 to Petersburg Rd. Transitioning/Urban 3,002 B 1,504 B
Ewing Blvd. Burlington Pike to US 42 Urbanized 7,689 C 5,234 C6,356 C
Garrad St. North of KY 18 (Burlington Pike) Urbanized 1,751 B 8,383 C
Graves Rd. North of KY 20 (Petersburg Rd.) Transitioning/Urban 1,150 B 2,300 BSouth of KY 237 (North Bend Rd.) Transitioning/Urban 1,400 B 2,800 B
Gunpowder Rd. US 42 to Ridgeview Rd. Urbanized 5,015 C 5,260 C
Hanover Blvd. KY 338 (East Bend Rd.) to Rogers Lane Transitioning/Urban 1,235 B 1,998 B
Hicks Pike East of Harrison Way Rural Developed 1,736 B 3,472 D
Hopeful Rd. At Kelley Dr. Urbanized 1,020 B 1,284 BSouth of Cayton Rd. Urbanized 1,188 B 1,496 B
Longbranch Rd. Camp Ernst Rd. to US 42 Transitioning/Urban 903 A 1,806 B
Lower River Rd. KY 338 (East Bend Rd.) to KY 18 (McVille Rd.) Rural Undeveloped 103 A 206 A
Maher Rd. US 25 (Dixie Hwy) to Tonya Dr. Transitioning/Urban 2,962 B 5,924 C
Main St. US 42 to US 25 (Dixie Hwy) Urbanized 6,812 C 1,975 BUrbanized 6,812 C 10,560 D
Oakbrook Rd. North of KY 237 (Pleasant Valley Rd.) Transitioning/Urban 3,476 B 2,210 BSouth of KY 18 (Burlington Pike) Transitioning/Urban 3,440 B 8,199 C
4,758 C
Old Lexington Pike East of US 25 Transitioning/Urban 1,451 B 2,902 B
Olympic Blvd. KY 3076 (Mineola Pike) to Turfway Rd. Urbanized 1,900 B 1,457 B3,800 C
Point Pleasant Rd. KY 236 (Donaldson Hwy.) to KY 3076 (Mineola Pike) Transitioning/Urban 250 A 9,165 C
Rice Pike KY 1925 (Big Bone Rd.) to US 42 Rural Developed 575 A 3,925 D869 B
Richardson Rd. East of US 25 (Dixie Hwy) Urbanized 10,876 D 15,840 E
Rogers Lane South of KY 18 (Burlington Pike) Transitioning/Urban 2,533 B 2,789 B7,616 C
South Airfield Rd. Proposed route (Burlington Pike to Turfway Rd.) Transitioning/Urban NA NA 16,000 E
Southpark Dr. East of KY 237 (North Bend Rd.) Transitioning/Urban 3,800 A 7,374 C
Triple Crown Blvd. North of KY 338 (Richwood Rd.) Rural Developed 3,541 C 5,114 CRural Developed 3,541 C 13,612 F
Waterloo Rd. McVille Rd. to KY 338 Rural Undeveloped 309 A 13 A
Wendell Ford Blvd. Proposed route (Houston Rd. to S. Airfield Rd.) Transitioning/Urban NA NA 6,000 C
Wetherington Blvd. US 42 to Mt. Zion Rd. (KY 536) Urbanized 5,665 C 263 A
Willams Rd. West of Graves Rd. Rural Undeveloped 790 B 1,580 B
Woolper Rd. KY 20 (Petersburg Rd.) to Snyder Lane Rural Undeveloped 339 A 577 BSnyder Lane to Easton Lane Rural Undeveloped 339 A 4,228 DEaston Lane to KY 18 (Burlington Pike) Rural Undeveloped 600 B 3,619 D
Worldwide Blvd. West of KY 237 (North Bend Rd.) Transitioning/Urban 5,100 C 10,200 EEast of Graves Rd. Transitioning/Urban 870 A 10,200 E
Area Type
Existing Year 2030
Route Segment MP Start MP End
Boone County Transportation Plan
3-16 Chapter 3 Future Conditions
Noteworthy are KY 18 from I-71/I-75 to KY 237, US 42 from I-71/I-75 to and south of Union to south of Hicks Pike, and the section of US 25 Dixie Highway from KY 338 Richwood Road to Walton, all are projected to be beyond capacity by 2030. Additionally, the four-lane divided section of KY 237 North Bend Road from KY 18 to I-275 will be at capacity by 2030. These all are major traffic-carrying facilities that will require additional capacity.
HIGHWAY DEFICIENCIES AND NEEDS
From the Level of Service analysis, three major conclusions can be drawn:
1. There is insufficient transportation infrastructure to facilitate the north-south movement of people and goods through the central portion of Boone County. The roadway system ultimately feeds all of the traffic into I-71/I-75, which serves both traffic traveling through Boone County and local trips within the county.
2. The US 25 Dixie Highway Corridor is not sufficient to serve the large amount of traffic, particularly truck traffic, expected to occur from increased, planned industrial development in this section of the county.
3. Highways such as KY 18 Burlington Pike, US 42, KY 536 Mt. Zion Road, and KY 338 Richwood Road provide connectivity from largely populated residential areas to I-71/I-75. As residential development increases, particularly in the south central and southern portions of the county, these roads and others will be burdened by growing traffic. There is not a well-established network of east-west parallel collector roads that provide a high level of accessibility between residential areas and the I-71/I-75 corridor. Other roads such as KY 20 Petersburg Road, KY 3060 Frogtown Road, KY 1292 Beaver Road,
and KY 14-KY 16 Walton-Verona Road will bear the burden of additional traffic resulting from residential growth.