chapter 12 robust parameter design - ucla statisticshqxu/stat201a/ch12page.pdf · • methods for...

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1 Chapter 12 Robust Parameter Design Goal is to make products and processes robust or less sensitive to variability transmitted by factors that cannot be easily controlled Methods for Robust Parameter Design (RPD) was developed by Taguchi starting in the 1950s and introduced to western industry in the 1980s Taguchi methods generated much controversy Subsequent research produced an improved approach based on RSM

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Page 1: Chapter 12 Robust Parameter Design - UCLA Statisticshqxu/stat201A/ch12page.pdf · • Methods for Robust Parameter Design (RPD) was developed by Taguchi starting in the 1950s and

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Chapter 12 Robust Parameter Design •  Goal is to make products and processes robust

or less sensitive to variability transmitted by factors that cannot be easily controlled

•  Methods for Robust Parameter Design (RPD) was developed by Taguchi starting in the 1950s and introduced to western industry in the 1980s

•  Taguchi methods generated much controversy •  Subsequent research produced an improved

approach based on RSM

Page 2: Chapter 12 Robust Parameter Design - UCLA Statisticshqxu/stat201A/ch12page.pdf · • Methods for Robust Parameter Design (RPD) was developed by Taguchi starting in the 1950s and

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Controllable and Uncontrollable Factors •  Noise (or uncontrollable) variables transmit

variability into the response •  Noise variables cannot be controlled in the end

application, but can be controlled for purposes of an experiment (assumption)

•  Objective is to determine the levels of the controllable variables that minimize the variability transmitted from the noise variables

•  This approach is not always applicable – if the noise factors dominate, other methods must be considered

Page 3: Chapter 12 Robust Parameter Design - UCLA Statisticshqxu/stat201A/ch12page.pdf · • Methods for Robust Parameter Design (RPD) was developed by Taguchi starting in the 1950s and

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12.2 Crossed Array Designs •  The leaf spring experiment

–  to investigate the effects of 5 factors on the free height of leaf springs used in an automotive application.

–  4 controllable factors: A = furnace temperature, B = heating time, C = transfer time, D = hold down time

–  1 noise factor: E=quench oil temperature –  Inner array: A 24-1 design I=ABCD –  Outer array: a 21 design –  Each run in an inner array is performed for all

combinations in the outer array.

Page 4: Chapter 12 Robust Parameter Design - UCLA Statisticshqxu/stat201A/ch12page.pdf · • Methods for Robust Parameter Design (RPD) was developed by Taguchi starting in the 1950s and

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A cross array design provides important information about the interactions between controllable factors and noise factors.

A Cross Array Design

Page 5: Chapter 12 Robust Parameter Design - UCLA Statisticshqxu/stat201A/ch12page.pdf · • Methods for Robust Parameter Design (RPD) was developed by Taguchi starting in the 1950s and

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Control by Noise Interaction

Page 6: Chapter 12 Robust Parameter Design - UCLA Statisticshqxu/stat201A/ch12page.pdf · • Methods for Robust Parameter Design (RPD) was developed by Taguchi starting in the 1950s and

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Inner array: A 34-2 design for controllable factors A, B, C, D

Outer array: A 23 design for noise factors E, F, G Main disadvantage: require too many runs.

Another Crossed Array Design

Page 7: Chapter 12 Robust Parameter Design - UCLA Statisticshqxu/stat201A/ch12page.pdf · • Methods for Robust Parameter Design (RPD) was developed by Taguchi starting in the 1950s and

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12.3 Analysis of Crossed Array Design •  Taguchi proposed to model the signal-to-noise

ratios, which are problematic. •  A better approach is to model the mean and

variance of the response directly •  For each run in the inner array, compute sample

mean and sample variance (over all combinations of the outer array).

•  Build two separate models –  Location model for mean responses –  Dispersion model for natural log of the variances

Page 8: Chapter 12 Robust Parameter Design - UCLA Statisticshqxu/stat201A/ch12page.pdf · • Methods for Robust Parameter Design (RPD) was developed by Taguchi starting in the 1950s and

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Half-normal Plots for Location and Dispersion Models

Page 9: Chapter 12 Robust Parameter Design - UCLA Statisticshqxu/stat201A/ch12page.pdf · • Methods for Robust Parameter Design (RPD) was developed by Taguchi starting in the 1950s and

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Results •  A, B, D are important for location (mean

response)

•  Only B is important for dispersion

•  To minimize variance, choose B=+ •  Then adjust A and D to bring mean

response to a desired target, say 7.75inch.

ˆ y = 7.63+ 0.12A − 0.081B + 0.044D

ln(ˆ s 2) = −3.74 −1.09B

Page 10: Chapter 12 Robust Parameter Design - UCLA Statisticshqxu/stat201A/ch12page.pdf · • Methods for Robust Parameter Design (RPD) was developed by Taguchi starting in the 1950s and

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12.4 Combined Array Design and the Response Model Approach

•  A crossed array design may require a large number of runs.

•  A combined array (or single array) design contains both controllable and noise factors. –  Often requires much less runs

•  A disadvantage of the mean and variance modeling approach is that it does not take direct advantage of the interactions between controllable and noise variables.

•  The response model approach incorporates both controllable and noise variables and their interactions.

Page 11: Chapter 12 Robust Parameter Design - UCLA Statisticshqxu/stat201A/ch12page.pdf · • Methods for Robust Parameter Design (RPD) was developed by Taguchi starting in the 1950s and

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Illustration •  Consider a response model

•  controllable variable x1 and x2 are fixed once chosen

•  noise variable z is random

•  A model for the mean response is

•  A model for the variance is €

E(z) = 0, V (z) =σ z2

Ez(y) = β0 +β1x1 +β2x2 + β12x1x2

Vz(y) =σ z2(γ1 +δ1x1 +δ2x2)

2 +σ 2

y = β0 +β1x1 +β2x2 + β12x1x2 + γ1z + δ1x1z +δ2x2z + ε

Page 12: Chapter 12 Robust Parameter Design - UCLA Statisticshqxu/stat201A/ch12page.pdf · • Methods for Robust Parameter Design (RPD) was developed by Taguchi starting in the 1950s and

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A Combined Array Design

Assume A=temperature is difficult to control in the full-scale process and treated as a noise factor

Page 13: Chapter 12 Robust Parameter Design - UCLA Statisticshqxu/stat201A/ch12page.pdf · • Methods for Robust Parameter Design (RPD) was developed by Taguchi starting in the 1950s and

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A Combined Array Design (Continue) •  This is a combined array design

–  A=z1 is a noise variable –  B=x1, C=x2, D=x3 are controllable variables

•  The response model is

•  The mean model is

•  The variance model is

•  How to minimize the variance?

ˆ y (x,z) = 70.06 +10.81z1 + 4.94x2 + 7.31x3 − 9.06x2z1 +8.31x3z1

Ez[ˆ y (x,z)] = 70.06 + 4.94x2 + 7.31x3

Vz[ˆ y (x,z)] =σ z2(10.81− 9.06x2 +8.31x3)2 +σ 2

Page 14: Chapter 12 Robust Parameter Design - UCLA Statisticshqxu/stat201A/ch12page.pdf · • Methods for Robust Parameter Design (RPD) was developed by Taguchi starting in the 1950s and

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Control-by-noise Interaction plots

Page 15: Chapter 12 Robust Parameter Design - UCLA Statisticshqxu/stat201A/ch12page.pdf · • Methods for Robust Parameter Design (RPD) was developed by Taguchi starting in the 1950s and

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12.5 Choice of Designs •  The selection of the experimental design is a

very important aspect of an RPD problem. •  The combined array approach will result in

smaller designs than the crossed array approach.

•  Research problem: How to define/construct (minimum aberration) combined arrays?

•  The estimation of the interactions between controllable and noise factors is the most important issue.

•  Resolution V designs are recommended if possible.