chapter 10 finance & accounting to gain an overview of the functioning of the international...
TRANSCRIPT
Chapter 10
Finance & Finance & AccountingAccounting
To gain an overview of the functioning of the international monetary systemTo understand the nature of foreign exchange operationsTo appreciate the role of global capital markets To identify and assess corporate financing options, including their impacts on managers and stakeholdersTo assess changes in corporate control, including the roles of hedge funds and private equity groups
To evaluate changes taking place in international accounting
Aims of the lectureAims of the lectureTo gain an overview of the functioning of the international monetary systemTo understand the nature of foreign exchange operationsTo appreciate the role of global capital markets To identify and assess corporate financing options, including their impacts on managers and stakeholders
To assess changes in corporate control, including the roles of hedge funds and private equity groupsTo evaluate changes taking place in international accounting
Overview of globalfinancial markets
Capital markets facilitate the raising of capital and borrowing needed by businesses.
Securities – financial instruments signifying ownership, debt or future rights, which can be traded.
Traditional securities – shares (stock); bonds (loans)
Newer types of securities – Derivatives, including options
Foreign exchange markets are the largest markets in global finance.
Globalfinancialmarkets
Bond markets• US Treasuries• Corporate bonds• Foreign bonds
Derivativestrading• Options• Futures• Swaps Commodities
markets• Futures• Spot trades
ForeignExchangemarkets• Spot indices• Forwards• Swaps• Options
Stockexchanges• Shares (stock)• Corporate
bonds
The international monetary system
The gold standard, 1870-1914
Bretton Woods agreement of 1944• Every currency fixed to the US$, which was itself
fixed in terms of gold• Reflected US status as the world’s strongest
economy• IMF founded to oversee global financial system
The breakdown of Bretton Woods in the 1970s,
when oil-producing countries gained in
economic importance Wider range of countries now
involved in international financial
flows
Determination of exchange ratesPost-Bretton Woods, under IMF oversight, flexibility and diversity in setting exchange rates
Managed float – government intervention as necessary
Pegged exchange rate – links currency to another currency
Currency board – a country guarantees it will convert the currency into another currency at a fixed rate
IMF policies seek stability, based on countries’ avoiding...
Currency misalignment
Excessive reserves
Government intervention to manipulate the currency
Currencyboard
Fixed by international agreement or national authorities
Managed float
No separate national currency
•Fixed peg•Fixed bands•Crawling peg
Pegged exchange rate
Independentlyfloating
• Agreement within the Eurozone
also Mundell
-Fleming m
odel
Monetary policy among IMF member states, 2006Source: IMF (2006) Monetary policy
framework, www.imf.org
Mundell-Fleming Optimum Area Model
Flexible wages
A central government acting as a transfer agent from rich to poor regions, especially during bad economic times
Mobility of labor
Free flow of knowledge
Free flow of capital
Figure 11.4: The US dollar’s decline against other major currencies, 2002–06
Source: Financial Times, 6 December 2006
Financial crises and their lessons• 1990s saw growth of emerging economies, with
liberalized markets and high growth rates which attracted investors
• But underlying weaknesses:
• Build-up of debt, often in dollars; weak banking systems
• Asian financial crisis
• Southeast Asian countries enjoyed export-led economic development – but incurred huge dollar-denominated debt and strains on local currencies.
• The lessons from the crisis:
– Need for independent regulation of banks
– Monetary policy to support confidence in the currency
How about the current global financial crisis that started in 2007?
In all probability, it reflects three problems that need to be addressed:
(1) excessive quantification without adequate basis in the world of real finance,
(2) increasing innumeracy of the corporate world, regulators and of public at large, and
(3) excessive liquidity in the economy.
Foreign exchange transactions• The hedge – Tool which insures against adverse
currency movement.
• Types of transaction:
• Spot contract – settled on the day
• Forward contract – to carry out a transaction on a future date
• Option – gives the right, but not the obligation, to purchase on a future date at a specific exchange rate
• Swap – instrument by which a firm can customize terms by swapping them with another party
How the domestic interest (denoted by r¥ and r$ for Japan and the U.S. respectively) and inflation (I¥ and i$) rates affect the Spot (S¥$) and forward (f¥$) foreign exchange rates.
Figure 11.6: Amounts outstanding on interest rate and currency
swapsSource: Financial Times, 19 June 2007
Currency risk strategy• Transaction risk
• Where a firm buys or sells in a foreign currency, payment can fluctuate with the currency.
• Hedging strategy is helpful in these situations, but longer term strategies are needed if these transactions are frequent.
• For example, global sourcing must consider currency risk.
• Where a local subsidiary deals in the local currency, this can act as a natural hedge.
• Transfer pricing – managing pricing of products between subsidiaries, to maximize financial benefits.
Global capital markets• Trading in equities is carried out on stock
exchanges.
• Stock exchanges are regulated by national authorities.
• With increasing numbers of foreign investors and foreign IPOs, stock exchanges are becoming internationalized.
• Debt instruments, or bonds, are issued by both companies and governments.
• A bond (or debenture) is for a fixed term and offers regular interest payments – versus shares, where dividend payments are not guaranteed.
Figure 11.7: Number of listed companies on major stock exchanges, 2006
Source: World Federation of Exchanges (2007) Statistics,
www.world-exchanges.org
Figure 11.8: Leading exchanges’ shares of total share trading by value, 2006
Note: Global total = US$69,829,943.7 millions Source: World Federation of Exchanges (2007) Statistics, www.world-exchanges.org
Figure 11.9: Shifting investments of worldwide pension funds
Source: Financial Times, 10 October 2005
International corporate financeDebt/equity ratio – balance between debt financing and equity financing
Where debt financing prevails, creditors interests are key.
Where equity financing prevails, shareholder interests are key.
Private versus public companies
Cross-border mergers and acquisitions
• Acquisition involves the takeover of a company by another company or other organization, such as a government.
• The acquired company may be public or private.
• Merger involves two or more companies coming together as relative equals, forming a new company.
• M&A activities have been dominated by developed-country MNEs in the past, but emerging MNEs are now increasingly active in takeover markets.
• Competition law (national and EU) restricts M&A deals which would result in market dominance.
Cross-border mergers and acquisitions by companies in developed and developing economies
Source: UNCTAD (2006) Cross-border M&A sales by region and economy of purchaser, www.unctad.org
Hedge funds and private equity
• Hedge fund – investment fund active in all types of securities markets; noted for short-term, aggressive strategies.
• Private equity funds – investment fund managed on behalf of wealthy investors; fund managers invest in companies, usually with short-term gains in mind.
• The leveraged buyout (LBO) is a favoured strategy, targeted at underperforming companies.
• Both hedge funds and private equity groups involve high levels of risk, and have suffered losses in the credit crunch.
International accounting issuesNational differences in accounting standards must be taken into account by international business.
For the MNE, translation of financial statements involves translation risk, as...
J Local currency accounts must be translated into the currency of the parent company’s home country.
General trend towards harmonization and simplification.
IFRS is gradually replacing national frameworks.
JAims to give a more accurate picture, based on consistency in definitions and treatment of income and assets.
Case studies
11.1: Sparks fly in Mittal Steel’s takeover of Arcelor (page 417)
1. What were the hurdles Mittal had to overcome in his hostile bid for Arcelor?
Arcelor was viewed as a European champion. Its shareholders, managers and other stakeholders resisted a takeover. Mittal’s first bid was rejected, and a consequence was to send the share price upwards. Mittal was an outsider, and had a reputation of being autocratic. The close control he kept over companies he owned, together with weak corporate governance, did not appeal to Arcelor shareholders. Arcelor directors sought a rival bidder, but this attempt failed. Raising the bid price was Mittal’s main means of gaining shareholder consent. His promise to reduce his control also influenced them to accept his bid.
Case studies
11.1: Sparks fly in Mittal Steel’s takeover of Arcelor (page 417)
2. Assess the shareholder and stakeholder perspectives in the takeover battle and in the new company.
Shareholders will generally be won over if a takeover offer is high. The offer made by Mittal included shares in the new company as well as cash. Two-thirds of the price was paid in shares. This meant that shareholders became members of the new ArcelorMittal. Mittal himself, however, held over 43% of the new company, making him the dominant shareholder. In this situation, minority shareholders can well feel worried that they have little influence.Other stakeholders include managers and employees. For them, themanagement control exerted by Mittal constituted a concern. Mittal said he would step down as CEO, but after a few months, he resumed being CEO.
The authoritarian style with which he had become associated was at odds with the more consensual style of Arcelor. Mittal’s Indian background, based in adeveloping country with weak institutional environment, was very different fromthe European context. There was some concern that mining disasters which had resulted in numerous deaths in Mittal-owned mines in Kazakhstan were indicative of little heed of CSR.
Case studies
11.1: Sparks fly in Mittal Steel’s takeover of Arcelor (page 417)
3. What competitive advantage is now enjoyed by ArcelorMittal in global markets?
ArcelorMittal is dominant in the global steel industry. It is larger than the next three largest companies combined. Mittal is now in a position to buy even more competitors, enhancing his ability to control supply and prices. He sees this as an advantage, as he has suffered financially in the past from the volatilities in the steel market. However, if global demand falls, as is happening at present, the company will be vulnerable, despite its huge size.
ConclusionsBusinesses and national economies are increasingly integrated in global financial flows, which bring both benefits and risks.
Foreign exchange markets facilitate cross-border business transactions, which entail financial risk strategies.
Stock exchanges bring together companies and investors increasingly seeking international opportunities.
Companies have a wide range of increasingly internationalized capital-raising options, in both debt and equity financing,.
Cross-border mergers and acquisitions now encompass a wide range of players, including emerging MNEs.
Accounting standards are gradually moving away from national to international rules.