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Chapter 1 An Overview

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Page 1: Chapter 1 An Overview. Copyright  2004 McGraw-Hill Australia Pty Ltd PPTs t/a International Finance: An Analytical Approach 2e by Imad A. Moosa Slides

Chapter 1

An Overview

Page 2: Chapter 1 An Overview. Copyright  2004 McGraw-Hill Australia Pty Ltd PPTs t/a International Finance: An Analytical Approach 2e by Imad A. Moosa Slides

Copyright 2004 McGraw-Hill Australia Pty Ltd PPTs t/a International Finance: An Analytical Approach 2e by Imad A. Moosa

Slides prepared by Afaf Moosa 2

Objectives

• To identify factors that have led to the prominence of international finance.

• To explain the role of the financial manager.

Page 3: Chapter 1 An Overview. Copyright  2004 McGraw-Hill Australia Pty Ltd PPTs t/a International Finance: An Analytical Approach 2e by Imad A. Moosa Slides

Copyright 2004 McGraw-Hill Australia Pty Ltd PPTs t/a International Finance: An Analytical Approach 2e by Imad A. Moosa

Slides prepared by Afaf Moosa 3

Objectives (cont.)

• To verify the internationalisation of finance.

• To identify the developments leading to the formation of the present environment.

Page 4: Chapter 1 An Overview. Copyright  2004 McGraw-Hill Australia Pty Ltd PPTs t/a International Finance: An Analytical Approach 2e by Imad A. Moosa Slides

Copyright 2004 McGraw-Hill Australia Pty Ltd PPTs t/a International Finance: An Analytical Approach 2e by Imad A. Moosa

Slides prepared by Afaf Moosa 4

The Importance of International Finance

• International finance has assumed increasing importance at an accelerating rate.

• Things started to change with the collapse of the Bretton Woods system.

Page 5: Chapter 1 An Overview. Copyright  2004 McGraw-Hill Australia Pty Ltd PPTs t/a International Finance: An Analytical Approach 2e by Imad A. Moosa Slides

Copyright 2004 McGraw-Hill Australia Pty Ltd PPTs t/a International Finance: An Analytical Approach 2e by Imad A. Moosa

Slides prepared by Afaf Moosa 5

The Importance of International Finance (cont.)

• The shift to floating exchange rates was accompanied by a trend towards the abolition of capital controls and the implementation of financial deregulation.

Page 6: Chapter 1 An Overview. Copyright  2004 McGraw-Hill Australia Pty Ltd PPTs t/a International Finance: An Analytical Approach 2e by Imad A. Moosa Slides

Copyright 2004 McGraw-Hill Australia Pty Ltd PPTs t/a International Finance: An Analytical Approach 2e by Imad A. Moosa

Slides prepared by Afaf Moosa 6

International Business Firms

• Traditionally, the term refers to firms involved in importing and exporting.

• A multinational firm carries out some of its production activity abroad.

Page 7: Chapter 1 An Overview. Copyright  2004 McGraw-Hill Australia Pty Ltd PPTs t/a International Finance: An Analytical Approach 2e by Imad A. Moosa Slides

Copyright 2004 McGraw-Hill Australia Pty Ltd PPTs t/a International Finance: An Analytical Approach 2e by Imad A. Moosa

Slides prepared by Afaf Moosa 7

International Business Firms (cont.)

• As the distinction between ‘home’ and ‘abroad’ becomes blurred, transnational firms emerge.

• Here, international firms indulge in international operations in the modern sense.

Page 8: Chapter 1 An Overview. Copyright  2004 McGraw-Hill Australia Pty Ltd PPTs t/a International Finance: An Analytical Approach 2e by Imad A. Moosa Slides

Copyright 2004 McGraw-Hill Australia Pty Ltd PPTs t/a International Finance: An Analytical Approach 2e by Imad A. Moosa

Slides prepared by Afaf Moosa 8

Examples of International Interdependence

• A decision to change US interest rates affects Australian home owners.

• The Asian crisis affected the operations of Australian companies.

• The US accounting scandals (e.g. Enron) affected stock markets worldwide.

Page 9: Chapter 1 An Overview. Copyright  2004 McGraw-Hill Australia Pty Ltd PPTs t/a International Finance: An Analytical Approach 2e by Imad A. Moosa Slides

Copyright 2004 McGraw-Hill Australia Pty Ltd PPTs t/a International Finance: An Analytical Approach 2e by Imad A. Moosa

Slides prepared by Afaf Moosa 9

The Micro and Macro Aspects of International Finance

• The micro aspects pertain to the financial operations of business firms, including financing, investment, hedging, arbitrage and speculation.

Page 10: Chapter 1 An Overview. Copyright  2004 McGraw-Hill Australia Pty Ltd PPTs t/a International Finance: An Analytical Approach 2e by Imad A. Moosa Slides

Copyright 2004 McGraw-Hill Australia Pty Ltd PPTs t/a International Finance: An Analytical Approach 2e by Imad A. Moosa

Slides prepared by Afaf Moosa 10

The Micro and Macro Aspects of International Finance (cont.)

• The macro aspects pertain to the international monetary system and the determination of interest and exchange rates.

Page 11: Chapter 1 An Overview. Copyright  2004 McGraw-Hill Australia Pty Ltd PPTs t/a International Finance: An Analytical Approach 2e by Imad A. Moosa Slides

Copyright 2004 McGraw-Hill Australia Pty Ltd PPTs t/a International Finance: An Analytical Approach 2e by Imad A. Moosa

Slides prepared by Afaf Moosa 11

The Role of the Financial Manager

• The financial manager needs to be concerned about: Fluctuations in exchange and interest

rates Balance-of-payments difficulties The international debt problem

Page 12: Chapter 1 An Overview. Copyright  2004 McGraw-Hill Australia Pty Ltd PPTs t/a International Finance: An Analytical Approach 2e by Imad A. Moosa Slides

Copyright 2004 McGraw-Hill Australia Pty Ltd PPTs t/a International Finance: An Analytical Approach 2e by Imad A. Moosa

Slides prepared by Afaf Moosa 12

The Effect of Exchange Rate Fluctuations

• Exchange rate fluctuations can demolish businesses. Examples: The Beecham Group Laker Airlines Caterpillar and Eastman Kodak Canon Coca-Cola Amatil NAB

Page 13: Chapter 1 An Overview. Copyright  2004 McGraw-Hill Australia Pty Ltd PPTs t/a International Finance: An Analytical Approach 2e by Imad A. Moosa Slides

Copyright 2004 McGraw-Hill Australia Pty Ltd PPTs t/a International Finance: An Analytical Approach 2e by Imad A. Moosa

Slides prepared by Afaf Moosa 13

Knowledge Needed by the Financial Manager

• The macroeconomic environment, including major economic indicators and government policies

• The microeconomic environment, relating to specific decisions such as risk management and capital budgeting

Page 14: Chapter 1 An Overview. Copyright  2004 McGraw-Hill Australia Pty Ltd PPTs t/a International Finance: An Analytical Approach 2e by Imad A. Moosa Slides

Copyright 2004 McGraw-Hill Australia Pty Ltd PPTs t/a International Finance: An Analytical Approach 2e by Imad A. Moosa

Slides prepared by Afaf Moosa 14

Indicators of the Internationalisation of Finance

• International bank lending• Securities transactions with foreigners• Flows of portfolio investment and FDI• Trading volume in the FX market

Page 15: Chapter 1 An Overview. Copyright  2004 McGraw-Hill Australia Pty Ltd PPTs t/a International Finance: An Analytical Approach 2e by Imad A. Moosa Slides

Copyright 2004 McGraw-Hill Australia Pty Ltd PPTs t/a International Finance: An Analytical Approach 2e by Imad A. Moosa

Slides prepared by Afaf Moosa 15

Post-War Developments

• The economic and financial environment within which business firms operate is the product of some developments that followed World War II.

Page 16: Chapter 1 An Overview. Copyright  2004 McGraw-Hill Australia Pty Ltd PPTs t/a International Finance: An Analytical Approach 2e by Imad A. Moosa Slides

Copyright 2004 McGraw-Hill Australia Pty Ltd PPTs t/a International Finance: An Analytical Approach 2e by Imad A. Moosa

Slides prepared by Afaf Moosa 16

1. The Emergence of the Eurodollar Market

• The Eurodollar market emerged in London in the late 1950s.

• Currently known as the Eurocurrency market, it encompasses non-dollar currencies.

Page 17: Chapter 1 An Overview. Copyright  2004 McGraw-Hill Australia Pty Ltd PPTs t/a International Finance: An Analytical Approach 2e by Imad A. Moosa Slides

Copyright 2004 McGraw-Hill Australia Pty Ltd PPTs t/a International Finance: An Analytical Approach 2e by Imad A. Moosa

Slides prepared by Afaf Moosa 17

2. Currency Convertibility

• European currencies became convertible in the late 1950s.

• The yen became convertible in the early 1960s.

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Copyright 2004 McGraw-Hill Australia Pty Ltd PPTs t/a International Finance: An Analytical Approach 2e by Imad A. Moosa

Slides prepared by Afaf Moosa 18

3. The Birth of the EEC

• The EEC was established in 1957.• Related developments include the

EMS and the EMU.• EU enlargement took place in April

2003.

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Copyright 2004 McGraw-Hill Australia Pty Ltd PPTs t/a International Finance: An Analytical Approach 2e by Imad A. Moosa

Slides prepared by Afaf Moosa 19

4. Changes in Relative Economic Size

• There has been a trend towards greater symmetry in economic size.

• The relative size of the United States has declined significantly.

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Copyright 2004 McGraw-Hill Australia Pty Ltd PPTs t/a International Finance: An Analytical Approach 2e by Imad A. Moosa

Slides prepared by Afaf Moosa 20

5. Deterioration of the US External Position

• The United States has become a deficit and net debtor country.

• The twin deficit problem refers to the deficits in the budget and the current account.

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Copyright 2004 McGraw-Hill Australia Pty Ltd PPTs t/a International Finance: An Analytical Approach 2e by Imad A. Moosa

Slides prepared by Afaf Moosa 21

6. Fluctuations in Oil Prices

• The price of oil rose in 1973-1974 and again in 1979-1980.

• The price collapsed in 1986, and declined significantly in 1998.

• In 2003, the price rose and then fell as developments in Iraq unfolded.

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Copyright 2004 McGraw-Hill Australia Pty Ltd PPTs t/a International Finance: An Analytical Approach 2e by Imad A. Moosa

Slides prepared by Afaf Moosa 22

7. The International Debt Problem

• The debt problem arose in 1982 when Mexico announced its inability to service its external debt.

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Copyright 2004 McGraw-Hill Australia Pty Ltd PPTs t/a International Finance: An Analytical Approach 2e by Imad A. Moosa

Slides prepared by Afaf Moosa 23

8. The International Use of Non-Dollar Currencies

• The US dollar’s use has declined with respect to trading volume in the FX market, the invoicing of trade, the holding of reserves, and the denomination of Eurocurrency deposits, international loans and international bonds.

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Copyright 2004 McGraw-Hill Australia Pty Ltd PPTs t/a International Finance: An Analytical Approach 2e by Imad A. Moosa

Slides prepared by Afaf Moosa 24

9. Increased Capital Mobility

• Since the 1980s, the volume of net and gross capital flows has increased significantly.

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Copyright 2004 McGraw-Hill Australia Pty Ltd PPTs t/a International Finance: An Analytical Approach 2e by Imad A. Moosa

Slides prepared by Afaf Moosa 25

10. Integration, Deregulation and Globalisation

• There has been a trend towards the integration of financial markets.

• Deregulation has taken the form of reducing or abolishing restrictions on financial transactions.

• Globalisation has emerged due to increasing market integration.

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Copyright 2004 McGraw-Hill Australia Pty Ltd PPTs t/a International Finance: An Analytical Approach 2e by Imad A. Moosa

Slides prepared by Afaf Moosa 26

11. Regional Cooperation • Examples of regional cooperation are

the following: European Economic Community (EEC) North American Free Trade Agreement

(NAFTA) Asia-Pacific Economic Cooperation Council

(APEC) Closer Economic Relations (CER) Agreement Central Europe Free Trade Area (CEFTA) Baltic Free Trade Area (BFTA)

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Copyright 2004 McGraw-Hill Australia Pty Ltd PPTs t/a International Finance: An Analytical Approach 2e by Imad A. Moosa

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12. Increased Volatility of Financial Markets

• Increased volatility of exchange rates is traced back to the collapse of the BW system.

• Increased volatility of interest rates is traced back to the 1979 shift to money supply targeting.

Page 28: Chapter 1 An Overview. Copyright  2004 McGraw-Hill Australia Pty Ltd PPTs t/a International Finance: An Analytical Approach 2e by Imad A. Moosa Slides

Copyright 2004 McGraw-Hill Australia Pty Ltd PPTs t/a International Finance: An Analytical Approach 2e by Imad A. Moosa

Slides prepared by Afaf Moosa 28

13. Financial Crises and Contagion

• Financial crises have become widespread in the post-war period, particularly since the 1980s.

• Contagion is the process whereby a financial crisis moves from one country to another.

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Copyright 2004 McGraw-Hill Australia Pty Ltd PPTs t/a International Finance: An Analytical Approach 2e by Imad A. Moosa

Slides prepared by Afaf Moosa 29

14. Securitisation and Financial Innovation

• Securitisation is the tendency for raising funds by issuing marketable securities.

• Innovation refers to the creation of new financial instruments or the recreation of old instruments in a new form.