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Page 1: Challenges in China

© 2015 - Onshore Advisory Group LLC - All Rights Reserved

OnShore Advisory Group LLC

❖ Re-Shoring❖ Supply Chain Management❖ ERP

Page 2: Challenges in China

© 2015 - Onshore Advisory Group LLC - All Rights Reserved

The challenges of Doing Business in China

Many years ago, when I first entered China, there were no how-to books on what to do, how to do it or when to do it. We went there with our eyes and minds wide open and our hopes high.

Many years later and after countless experiences, both positive and negative, it is my hope that this short guide will help you ask the right questions and enter this land with the tools necessary to avoid some of the more obvious pitfalls.

There are no cookie-cutter approaches to doing business in China, but a healthy dose of skepticism, curiosity and pragmatism must be packed in your luggage.

Richard S. Ellert

Page 3: Challenges in China

© 2015 - Onshore Advisory Group LLC - All Rights Reserved

Doing Business in China

Why  China?      

What  is  the  attraction?  

What  is  the  business  case  for  being  in  China  as  a  company?  

For  most,  it  is  all  about  low  cost,  for  others  it  is  ef:iciency  or  scalability,  but  is  China  really  a  Low  Cost  Country  or  is  it  a  Lower  Cost  Country?  

Are  there  viable  alternatives?

Page 4: Challenges in China

© 2015 - Onshore Advisory Group LLC - All Rights Reserved

What are the real challenges?

When  thinking  China,  what  :irst  comes  to  mind?    

-­‐  1.5  Billion  people  -­‐  Labor  is  cheap  -­‐  Access  is  easy    -­‐  Everyone  is  there  

In  Fact,  reality  is  that:  

-­‐  There  are  signi:icant  labor  shortages  -­‐  Labor  cost  has  doubled  in  the  last  5  years  -­‐  Material  cost  has  increased  in  double  digits  -­‐  Re-­‐Shoring  activities  are  picking-­‐up  speed

Page 5: Challenges in China

© 2015 - Onshore Advisory Group LLC - All Rights Reserved

Low Wages = Low Cost?

Why  Low  Wages  do  not  necessarily  equate  to  Low  Cost..  

Here  is  a  clear  example  of  the  challenges  facing  those  seeking  to  reduce  cost  by  migrating  production  and  activities  in  China.  

Let's  assume  that  I  am  currently  producing,  in  the  US,  a  consumer  product  made  mostly  of  resin-­‐injected  parts,  decoration,  simple  electrical  parts  and  packaging.    

In  the  last  5  years,  commodity  material  cost  (resin,  paper,  copper,  etc..)  has  gone  up  at  a  double  digit  rate  year  over  year,  which  implies  that  prices  are  fairly  equal  across  world  markets.    

Labor  cost  (in  China)  has  gone  up  between  10  to  15%  yearly  for  the  last  5  years.  By  2016,  it  is  estimated  that  China  Labor  Cost  will  equate  that  of  the  US.  

Historically,  labor  cost  in  consumer  products  rarely  exceeds  20%  of  the  overall  cost,  if  we  include  factory  pro:it,  logistics,  certi:ication,  etc.    

The  lesson  here  being  that  focusing  solely  on  decreasing  labor  cost  can  lead  to  miscalculation  since  the  impact  of  a  15%  increase  on  labor  represents  only  a  3%  overall  cost  increase.    

Focusing  on  issues  such  as  logistics,  transportation,  :lexibility,  tying  up  of  cash  :low,  distance,  quality  control  and  certi:ication  can  yield  signi:icant  cost  savings  that  may  often  exceed  the  advantages  of  lower  cost  labor.

Page 6: Challenges in China

© 2015 - Onshore Advisory Group LLC - All Rights Reserved

Guide to the Decision Process

Making  the  decision  to  outsource  or  move  operations  to  China  requires  a  well  though  out  strategy.    

This  quick  guide  to  the  decision  process  will  help  you  ask  the  right  questions  and  proceed  methodically.

Page 7: Challenges in China

© 2015 - Onshore Advisory Group LLC - All Rights Reserved

Controlling Risk

Business  in  China  requires  Risk  Management  Take  your  time  in  making  decisions  It  will  take  time,  efforts,  resources  and  lots  of  patience.  

Answer  these  important  questions:  If  you  are  not  sure  of  the  answer(s),  it  is  time  to  take  a  step  back  and  ask  for  help.  

❖ Do  I  clearly  understand  why  I  intend  to  move  some  /  all  of  my  operations  to  China?  ❖ Have  I  looked  at  alternatives  closer  to  home  and  did  I  go  through  a  pros  and  cons  study  of  the  

alternatives?  ❖ Do  I  understand  the  :inancial,  regulatory  and  administrative  challenges?  ❖ Do  I  have  in-­‐house  staff  with  the  required  experience?  ❖ Are  there  any  issues  linked  to  IP  and/or  proprietary  processes?  ❖ Do  I  have  a  plan  in  terms  of  controlling  the  quality  and  safety  of  my  products?  

Page 8: Challenges in China

© 2015 - Onshore Advisory Group LLC - All Rights Reserved

Controlling Risk

Important  questions:  

❖ Am  I  able  to  absorb  increased  lead-­‐times  initially  as  part  of  the  transition  process?  ❖ Do  I  have  a  strong  enough  product  development  team,  capable  of  communicating  

effectively  with  China?  ❖ Am  I  able  to  deal  with  the  cash  :low  requirements  of  an  increased  product  cycle  

time  table?  ❖ Do  I  have  a  team  on  the  ground,  capable  of  dealing  with  day-­‐to-­‐day  issues  at  the  

factory  level?  ❖ How  are  my  customers  (and  employees)  likely  to  respond  to  our  exploration  of  

doing  business  in  China?

Page 9: Challenges in China

© 2015 - Onshore Advisory Group LLC - All Rights Reserved

The 5 Keys to the Decision Process

In  the  next  slides,  we  will  explore  the  5  Keys  to  the  Decision  Process:  

1. Is  my  primary  motivation  for  looking  at  China  justi:ied?  

2. There  is  little  or  no  credible  /  veri:ied  information  or  data  

3. In  China,  nothing  is  what  it  seems  

4. The  role  of  government  is  paramount  to  any  business  decision  

5. There  are  no  established  or  standard  ways  of  conducting  business  in  China  

except  that  You  Must  Question  Everything

Page 10: Challenges in China

© 2015 - Onshore Advisory Group LLC - All Rights Reserved

1. Your primary motivation

❖ Is  this  is  for  the  long  term.  If  it  is  not,  stop  now.  ❖ There  are  no  shortcuts  ❖ Am  I  getting  on  the  band  wagon?  ❖ Am  I  being  pressured  (by  the  board,  By  my  customers,  etc.)  ❖ Is  China  my  simplest  and  only  option?  ❖ Do  I  have  the  right  internal  Expertise?  If  not,  will  I  require  external  help?

Page 11: Challenges in China

© 2015 - Onshore Advisory Group LLC - All Rights Reserved

2. Lack of Credible InformationAny decision, at any level requires access to credible information

❖ Information  in  China  is  tightly  controlled  by  the  government  ❖Corporate  reporting  is  unreliable    ❖ Information  is  fashioned  according  to  the  need  of  those  asking  ❖Blurred  relationships  between  business,  individuals  and  government  

Page 12: Challenges in China

© 2015 - Onshore Advisory Group LLC - All Rights Reserved

3. Nothing Is Ever What It Seems

❖ Chinese  culture  and  ethics:  There  are  no  clear  points  of  reference  for  

Westerners  ❖ Ask  questions.  Lots  of  them.  Repeatedly.  ❖ Obtaining  :inance  and  ownership  history  is  dif:icult,  but  a  Must  ❖ Check  references.    ❖ Investigate  independently  ❖ Establish  a  relationship  with  the  local  government  

Page 13: Challenges in China

© 2015 - Onshore Advisory Group LLC - All Rights Reserved

4. Role of Government

❖ Political  structure  of  the  business    • Most  enterprises  in  China  started  off  as  State  Owned  Enterprises  (SOE’s).  Despite  widespread  privatization,  

connections  to  the  government  are  rarely  severed.  

❖ Connect  to  local  government  • Understand  the  political  structure  surrounding  the  business  you  are  exploring,  either  for  acquisition,  as  a  partner  

or  as  a  supplier  • Identify  and  hire  a  locally  connected  associate  (accountant  or  administrator),  give  him  low  risk  work  and  let  him  

establish  links  to  local  of:icials  

❖ Engage  with  local  government  • Make  it  a  point  to  engage  personally  with  local  government,  they  will  often  hint  at  issues  and  help  you  deal  with  

them  

❖ Investigate  status  with  Customs,  Security  and  Tax  authorities

China’s government is very active in business matters and decisions. There are many layers and a multitude of administrations who can

influence, sometimes control, how a business entity will fare.

Page 14: Challenges in China

© 2015 - Onshore Advisory Group LLC - All Rights Reserved

5. No Standard Way to do Business

❖ Expertise  must  be  local  • Unless  you  are  a  major  corporation,  you  must  seek  local  expertise.  

❖ Mitigate  risk  • Every  one  of  your  actions  have  to  be  geared  towards  mitigating  risk  

❖ Banking  and  supply  chain  issues  have  to  be  resolved  up-­‐front  ❖ Find  trust-­‐worthy  local  help  ❖ Don’t  allow  corrupt  practices  to  seep  into  the  process  

❖ Be  wary  of  offers  to  help  smooth  the  path  in  front  of  you.  It  is  never  done  in  an  altruistic  fashion

All business in China is Local. Although China is one country, it is made-up of hundreds of ethnic and cultural groups.

Someone from Beijing is considered a foreigner in Xinjiang.

Page 15: Challenges in China

© 2015 - Onshore Advisory Group LLC - All Rights Reserved

About OnShore Advisory GroupI  founded  OAG  on  principle  that  small/medium  companies  deserve  access  to  

pragmatic,  no  nonsense  information  and  guidance  

Our  mission  is  to  assist  you  throughout  the  process  of  establishing  presence  in  China,  and  to  :ind  alternatives  if  China  is  not  the  best  solution.  Our  Re-­‐shoring  activities  have  doubled  in  one  year,  clearly  suggesting  that  this  is  now  a  two-­‐way  street…  

Proven  track  record  having  spent  10+  years  working  in  China  in  the  :ields  of  Supply  Chain,  Manufacturing,  Operational  management,  etc.  

Applying  ;irst-­‐person  experience  that  cannot  be  gained  from  books  or  trolling  the  internet  

Experience  that  allows  OAG  to  quickly  identify  major  risk  factors  and  help  turn  your  plans  into  successes  

Visit  us  at:      www.onshoreadvisory.com  

Join  our  Newsletter  by  signing  up  here.

Richard S EllertFounder

OnShoreAdvisory Group LLC

[email protected]