challenges and changes the next chapter in the health reform debate november 30, 2010

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Challenges and Changes The Next Chapter in the Health Reform Debate November 30, 2010 Joseph R. Antos, Ph.D. Joseph R. Antos, Ph.D. Wilson H. Taylor Scholar in Health Care Wilson H. Taylor Scholar in Health Care and Retirement Policy and Retirement Policy American Enterprise Institute American Enterprise Institute

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Challenges and Changes The Next Chapter in the Health Reform Debate November 30, 2010 Joseph R. Antos, Ph.D. Wilson H. Taylor Scholar in Health Care and Retirement Policy American Enterprise Institute. Health programs drive the federal deficit. Federal spending as a percentage of GDP. - PowerPoint PPT Presentation

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Page 1: Challenges and Changes The Next Chapter in the Health Reform Debate November 30, 2010

Challenges and ChangesThe Next Chapter in the Health Reform Debate November 30, 2010

Joseph R. Antos, Ph.D.Joseph R. Antos, Ph.D.

Wilson H. Taylor Scholar in Health CareWilson H. Taylor Scholar in Health Care

and Retirement Policyand Retirement Policy

American Enterprise InstituteAmerican Enterprise Institute

Page 2: Challenges and Changes The Next Chapter in the Health Reform Debate November 30, 2010

AEI2

Federal spending as a percentage of GDP

Source: Author’s calculations based on CBO, “The Long-Term Budget Outlook,” December 2007.

Page 3: Challenges and Changes The Next Chapter in the Health Reform Debate November 30, 2010

AEI3

Source: CBO Long-Term Budget Outlook, June 2010

Page 4: Challenges and Changes The Next Chapter in the Health Reform Debate November 30, 2010

AEI4

Medicare/GDP (%)

Prior Law

Current Law

Alternative

11.18%

10.70%

6.37%

Source: www.cms.gov/ReportsTrustFunds/downloads/2010TRAlternativeScenario.pdf

Page 5: Challenges and Changes The Next Chapter in the Health Reform Debate November 30, 2010

AEI5

Tax Expenditure for Health, 2007

$251.3 B

$51.1 B

0

50

100

150

200

250

300

350

Tax breaks for private insurance

Source: JCT, Tax Expenditures for Health Care, July 30, 2008

$ Billions

Tax breaks for other health spending