ch03 ppt brighamfm1ce
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PowerPoint Presentationprepared by
Traven ReedCanadore College
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chapter3Analysis of Financial
Statements
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Corporation Valuation andAnalysis of Financial Statements
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Topics in Chapter
Ratio analysis
Trend, common-size andpercentage change analysis
Du Pont system
Uses and limitations of ratioanalysis
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Income Statement
2009 2008
Net sales 3,000.0 2,850.0
Op. costs excluding
depre. & amort.
2,616.2 2,497.0
EBITDA $383.8 $353.0
Depre. & amort. 100.0 90.0
EBIT $283.8 $263.0
Int. expense 88.0 60.0EBT $195.8 $203.0
Taxes (40%) 78.3 81.2
Net income $117.5 $121.8
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Balance Sheets: Assets
2009 2008
Cash 10 15
S-T invest. 0 65
AR 375 3
Inventories 615 415
Total CA $1,000 $810Net FA 1,000 870
Total assets $2,000 $1,680
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Balance Sheets:Liabilities & Equity
2009 2008
Accts. payable 60 30
Notes payable 110 60
Acc
ruals 140 130Total CL $310 $220
Long-term bonds 754 580
Total liabilities $1,064 $800
Pref. stock (400,000 shares) 40 40Com. Stock (50,000,000 shares) 130 130
Ret. earnings 766 710
Total common equity $896 $840
Total L&E $2,000 $1,680
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Other Data
2009 2008
Stock price $23.00 $26.00
# of shares 50,000,000 50,000,000EPS $2.27 $2.36
DPS $1.15 $1.06
CFPS $4.27 $4.16BVPS $17.92 $16.80
Lease payments $28 $28
Tax rate 0.4 0.4
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Why are ratios useful?
Standardize numbers; facilitatecomparisons
Used to highlight weaknesses andstrengths
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Five Major Categories of Ratios
Liquidity: Can we make required payments asthey fall due?
Asset management: Do we have the rightamount of assets for the level of sales?
Debt management: Do we have the right mix ofdebt and equity?
Profitability: Do sales pric
es exc
eed unitc
osts,and are sales high enough as reflected in PM,ROE, and ROA?
Mar ket value: Do investors like what they seeas reflected in P/E and M/B ratios?
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Forecasted Current andQuick Ratios for 2009
CR09
= = = 3.2x
QR09 =
= = 1.2x
CA
CL
$1,000
$310
$1,000 - $615$310
CA - Inv.
CL
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Comments on CR and QR
2009 2008 Industry
CR 3.2x 3.7x 4.2x
QR 1.2x 1.8x 2.1x
Expected to worsen and still below the
industry average.
Liquidity position is weak.
Shareholders may not want a high CR
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Inventory Turnover Ratio vs.Industry Average
Inv. turnover =
= = 4.90x
Sales
Inventories$3,000$615
2009 2008 Ind.
Inv. T. 4.9 x 6.9x 9.0x
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Comments on InventoryTurnover
Inventory turnover is below industryaverage.
Firm might have old inventory, or itscontrol might be poor.
True turnover will be overstated
when sales are stated at marketprices, but inventories are recordedat historical cost
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Receivables
Average sales per dayDSO =
= =
= 45.6 days 46 days
Receivables
Sales/365
$375$3,000/365
DSO: average number of daysfrom sale until cash received
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Appraisal of DSO
Firm collects too slowly, andsituation is getting worse.
Poor credit policy.
2009 2008 Ind.
DSO 46 40 36
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Average Payables Period
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365/
.
atingCostAnnualOper
PayablesostPerDayOperatingCAvg
PayablesAPP
!
!
daysdaysAPP 84.81677.7$
60$
3652.616,2$
60$}!!!
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APP: Interpretation
With an industry average of 9 days, thefirm is doing fine with sufficient cash flow
to pay bills on time. If APP is significantly longer than thecredit term provided, firm will be at risk oflosing those credit terms.
If APP is lower than the credit termsoffered, firm has not taken advantage of
the free financing from suppliers.
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Fixed assetsturnover
SalesNet fixed assets
=
= = 3.0x$3,000$1,000
Total assetsturnover
SalesTotal assets=
= = 1.5x$3,000$2,000
Fixed Assets and Total AssetsTurnover Ratios
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Fixed Assets and Total AssetsTurnover Ratios
FA turnover is equal to the industry averagesuggesting that the firm has about the rightamount of fixed assets in relation to other firms.
TA turnover not up to industry average caused byexcessive current assets (A/R and inventory).
2009 2008 Ind.
FA TO 3.0x 3.3x 3.0x
TA TO 1.5x 1.7x 1.8x
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Total liabilities
Total assets
Debt ratio =
= = 53.2%$310 + $754
$2,000
EBITInt. expenseTIE =
= = 3.2x$283.8$88
Calculate the debtand TIE ratios
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= = 3.0x
EBITDA + Lease payments
Interest Leaseexpense pmt.+ + Loan pmt.
($283.8 + $100) + $28$88 + $28 + $20
EBITDA Coverage Ratio
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Recapitalization improved situation,but lease payments drag down EC.
2009 2008 Ind.
D/A 53.2% 47.6% 40.0%
TIE 3.2x 4.4x 6.0x
EC 3.0x 0.8x 4.3x
Debt Management Ratios vs.Industry Averages
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Very bad in 2009, because of highcosts. It is resulted from inefficientoperations or heavy use of debt.
Profit Margin (PM)
2009 2008 Ind.
PM 3.8% 4.1% 5.0%
PM = = = 3.8%NI
Sales$113.5$3,000
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BEP =
= = 14.2%
EBITTotal assets
$283.8$2,000
Basic Earning Power (BEP)
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Basic Earning Power vs.Industry Average
BEP removes effect of taxes and financialleverage. Useful forcomparison.
BEP is below average probably due to the lowturnover ratios and low profit margin on sales.
Room for improvement.
2009 2008 Ind.BEP 14.2% 15.7% 17.2 %
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ROA =
= = 5.7%
NITotal assets
$113.5$2,000
Return on Assets (ROA)and Return on Equity (ROE)
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ROE =
= = 12.7%
NI
Common Equity
$113.5$896
(More)
Return on Assets (ROA)and Return on Equity (ROE)
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2009 2008 Ind.
ROA 5.7% 7.0% 9.0%
ROE 12.7% 14.0% 15.0%
Both below average but worsening.
ROA and ROE vs. IndustryAverages
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Effects of Debt on ROA and ROE
ROA is lowered by debt--interestexpense lowers net income, which
also lowers ROA.
However, the use of debt lowersequity, and if equity is lowered more
than net income, ROE wouldincrease.
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Price = $23.00
EPS = = = $2.27
P/E = = = 10.1X
NIShares out.
$113.5m50m
Price per shareEPS
$23.00$2.27
Calculate and appraise theP/E, P/CF, and M/B ratios
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NI + Depr.Shares out.CF per share =
= = $4.27$113.5 + $100.050
Price per share
Cash flow per shareP/CF =
= = 5.4x$23.00$4.27
Market Value Ratios
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Com. equity
Shares out.BVPS =
= = $17.92$896m
50m
Mkt. price per shareBook value per shareM/B =
= = 1.3x$23.00$17.92
Market Based Ratios (contd)
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Interpreting Market BasedRatios
P/E: How much investors will payfor $1 of earnings. Higher is better.
M/B: How much paid for $1 of bookvalue. Higher is better.
P/E and M/B are high if ROE is
high, risk is low.
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2009 2008 Ind.P/E 10.1x 11.0x 12.5x
P/CF 5.4x 6.3x 6.8x
M/B 1.3x 1.1x 1.7x
Comparison with IndustryAverages
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Common Size Balance Sheets:Divide all items by Total Assets
Assets 2009 2008 Ind.
Cash 0.5% 0.9% 1.0%
ST Inv. 0.0% 3.9% 2.2%AR 18.8% 18.8% 17.8%
Invent. 30.8% 24.7% 19.8%
Total CA 50.0% 48.2% 40.8%Net FA 50.0% 51.8% 59.2%
TA 100.0% 100.0% 100.0%
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Divide all items by TotalLiabilities & Equity
Assets 2009 2008 Ind.
AP 3.0% 1.8% 1.8%
Notes pay. 5.5% 3.6% 4.4%
Accruals 7.0% 7.7% 3.6%
Total CL 15.5% 13.1% 9.8%
LT Bonds 37.7% 34.5% 30.2%
Total Liabilities 53.2% 47.6% 40.0%Pref. stock 2.0% 2.4% 0.0%
Total com. eq. 44.8% 50.0% 60.0%
Total L&E 100.0% 100.0% 100.0%
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Analysis of Common SizeBalance Sheets
The company has higher proportionof inventory and current assets than
Industry. The company has less equity
(which means more debt) thanIndustry.
The company now has zero short-term debt, but more long-term debtthan industry.
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Common Size Income Statement:Divide all items by Sales
2009 2008 Ind.
Net sales 100.0% 100.0% 100.0%
Op.costs 87.2% 87.6% 87.6%
EBITDA 12.8% 12.4% 12.4%Depr. 3.3% 3.2% 2.8%
EBIT 9.5% 9.2% 9.6%
Int. Exp. 2.9% 2.1% 1.3%
EBT 6.5% 7.1% 8.3%
Taxes 2.6% 2.8% 3.3%
NI before pref. div. 3.9% 4.3% 5.0%
Pref. dividends 0.1% 0.1% 0.0%
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Analysis of Common SizeIncome Statements
The company has similar operatingcost (87.2) as industry (87.6), but
slightly higher depreciation andamortization. Result is that thecompany has similar EBIT.
However, the high interest expenselowers the EBT (6.5) compared toindustry (8.3).
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Income Statement Percentage ChangeAnalysis: % Change from Base Year
Base year (2008) % in 2009
Net sales 5.3%
Operating costs 4.8%
EBITDA 8.7%Depr. & Amortization 11.1%
EBIT 7.9%
Int. Exp. 46.7%
EBT (3.5%)
Taxes @40% (3.5%)
NI before pref. dividends (3.5%)
Preferred dividends 0.0%
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Analysis of Percent ChangeIncome Statement
We see that 2009 sales grew 5.3%from 2008, and that NI fell 3.7% from
2008. So the company has becomeless profitable.
The analysis reveals whether thefirms condition has been improving ordeteriorating over time.
Similar analysis can be performed onthe balance sheet.
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Explain the Du Pont System
The Du Pont system focuses on:
Expense control (PM)
Asset utilization (TATO)
Debt utilization (EM)
It shows how these factors combine
to determine the ROE.
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( )( )( ) = ROEProfitmarginTA
turnoverEquity
multiplier
NI
SalesSales
TATACEx x = ROE.
The Du Pont System
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2009: 3.8% x 1.5 x 2.23= 12.7%
Alternatively,ROE = ROA equity multiplier= 5.7% x ($2,000/$896) = 12.7%
NISales
SalesTA
TACEx x
= ROE
The Du Pont System
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Potential Problems andLimitations of Ratio Analysis?
Comparison with industry averages isdifficult if the firm operates many
different divisions.
Average performance is notnecessarily good.
Seasonal factors can distort ratios.
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Problems and Limitations(contd)
Window dressing techniques canmake statements and ratios look
better. Different accounting and operating
practices can distort comparisons.
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Problems and Limitations(contd)
Sometimes it is difficult to tell if aratio value is good or bad.
Often, different ratios give differentsignals, so it is difficult to tell, onbalance, whether a company is in a
strong or weak financial condition.