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    PowerPoint Presentationprepared by

    Traven ReedCanadore College

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    chapter3Analysis of Financial

    Statements

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    Copyright 2011 by Nelson Education Ltd. All rights reserved. 3-3

    Corporation Valuation andAnalysis of Financial Statements

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    Topics in Chapter

    Ratio analysis

    Trend, common-size andpercentage change analysis

    Du Pont system

    Uses and limitations of ratioanalysis

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    Income Statement

    2009 2008

    Net sales 3,000.0 2,850.0

    Op. costs excluding

    depre. & amort.

    2,616.2 2,497.0

    EBITDA $383.8 $353.0

    Depre. & amort. 100.0 90.0

    EBIT $283.8 $263.0

    Int. expense 88.0 60.0EBT $195.8 $203.0

    Taxes (40%) 78.3 81.2

    Net income $117.5 $121.8

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    Balance Sheets: Assets

    2009 2008

    Cash 10 15

    S-T invest. 0 65

    AR 375 3

    Inventories 615 415

    Total CA $1,000 $810Net FA 1,000 870

    Total assets $2,000 $1,680

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    Balance Sheets:Liabilities & Equity

    2009 2008

    Accts. payable 60 30

    Notes payable 110 60

    Acc

    ruals 140 130Total CL $310 $220

    Long-term bonds 754 580

    Total liabilities $1,064 $800

    Pref. stock (400,000 shares) 40 40Com. Stock (50,000,000 shares) 130 130

    Ret. earnings 766 710

    Total common equity $896 $840

    Total L&E $2,000 $1,680

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    Other Data

    2009 2008

    Stock price $23.00 $26.00

    # of shares 50,000,000 50,000,000EPS $2.27 $2.36

    DPS $1.15 $1.06

    CFPS $4.27 $4.16BVPS $17.92 $16.80

    Lease payments $28 $28

    Tax rate 0.4 0.4

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    Why are ratios useful?

    Standardize numbers; facilitatecomparisons

    Used to highlight weaknesses andstrengths

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    Five Major Categories of Ratios

    Liquidity: Can we make required payments asthey fall due?

    Asset management: Do we have the rightamount of assets for the level of sales?

    Debt management: Do we have the right mix ofdebt and equity?

    Profitability: Do sales pric

    es exc

    eed unitc

    osts,and are sales high enough as reflected in PM,ROE, and ROA?

    Mar ket value: Do investors like what they seeas reflected in P/E and M/B ratios?

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    Forecasted Current andQuick Ratios for 2009

    CR09

    = = = 3.2x

    QR09 =

    = = 1.2x

    CA

    CL

    $1,000

    $310

    $1,000 - $615$310

    CA - Inv.

    CL

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    Comments on CR and QR

    2009 2008 Industry

    CR 3.2x 3.7x 4.2x

    QR 1.2x 1.8x 2.1x

    Expected to worsen and still below the

    industry average.

    Liquidity position is weak.

    Shareholders may not want a high CR

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    Inventory Turnover Ratio vs.Industry Average

    Inv. turnover =

    = = 4.90x

    Sales

    Inventories$3,000$615

    2009 2008 Ind.

    Inv. T. 4.9 x 6.9x 9.0x

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    Comments on InventoryTurnover

    Inventory turnover is below industryaverage.

    Firm might have old inventory, or itscontrol might be poor.

    True turnover will be overstated

    when sales are stated at marketprices, but inventories are recordedat historical cost

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    Receivables

    Average sales per dayDSO =

    = =

    = 45.6 days 46 days

    Receivables

    Sales/365

    $375$3,000/365

    DSO: average number of daysfrom sale until cash received

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    Appraisal of DSO

    Firm collects too slowly, andsituation is getting worse.

    Poor credit policy.

    2009 2008 Ind.

    DSO 46 40 36

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    Average Payables Period

    Copyright 2011 by Nelson Education Ltd. All rights reserved. 3-17

    365/

    .

    atingCostAnnualOper

    PayablesostPerDayOperatingCAvg

    PayablesAPP

    !

    !

    daysdaysAPP 84.81677.7$

    60$

    3652.616,2$

    60$}!!!

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    APP: Interpretation

    With an industry average of 9 days, thefirm is doing fine with sufficient cash flow

    to pay bills on time. If APP is significantly longer than thecredit term provided, firm will be at risk oflosing those credit terms.

    If APP is lower than the credit termsoffered, firm has not taken advantage of

    the free financing from suppliers.

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    Fixed assetsturnover

    SalesNet fixed assets

    =

    = = 3.0x$3,000$1,000

    Total assetsturnover

    SalesTotal assets=

    = = 1.5x$3,000$2,000

    Fixed Assets and Total AssetsTurnover Ratios

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    Fixed Assets and Total AssetsTurnover Ratios

    FA turnover is equal to the industry averagesuggesting that the firm has about the rightamount of fixed assets in relation to other firms.

    TA turnover not up to industry average caused byexcessive current assets (A/R and inventory).

    2009 2008 Ind.

    FA TO 3.0x 3.3x 3.0x

    TA TO 1.5x 1.7x 1.8x

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    Total liabilities

    Total assets

    Debt ratio =

    = = 53.2%$310 + $754

    $2,000

    EBITInt. expenseTIE =

    = = 3.2x$283.8$88

    Calculate the debtand TIE ratios

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    = = 3.0x

    EBITDA + Lease payments

    Interest Leaseexpense pmt.+ + Loan pmt.

    ($283.8 + $100) + $28$88 + $28 + $20

    EBITDA Coverage Ratio

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    Recapitalization improved situation,but lease payments drag down EC.

    2009 2008 Ind.

    D/A 53.2% 47.6% 40.0%

    TIE 3.2x 4.4x 6.0x

    EC 3.0x 0.8x 4.3x

    Debt Management Ratios vs.Industry Averages

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    Very bad in 2009, because of highcosts. It is resulted from inefficientoperations or heavy use of debt.

    Profit Margin (PM)

    2009 2008 Ind.

    PM 3.8% 4.1% 5.0%

    PM = = = 3.8%NI

    Sales$113.5$3,000

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    BEP =

    = = 14.2%

    EBITTotal assets

    $283.8$2,000

    Basic Earning Power (BEP)

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    Basic Earning Power vs.Industry Average

    BEP removes effect of taxes and financialleverage. Useful forcomparison.

    BEP is below average probably due to the lowturnover ratios and low profit margin on sales.

    Room for improvement.

    2009 2008 Ind.BEP 14.2% 15.7% 17.2 %

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    ROA =

    = = 5.7%

    NITotal assets

    $113.5$2,000

    Return on Assets (ROA)and Return on Equity (ROE)

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    ROE =

    = = 12.7%

    NI

    Common Equity

    $113.5$896

    (More)

    Return on Assets (ROA)and Return on Equity (ROE)

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    2009 2008 Ind.

    ROA 5.7% 7.0% 9.0%

    ROE 12.7% 14.0% 15.0%

    Both below average but worsening.

    ROA and ROE vs. IndustryAverages

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    Effects of Debt on ROA and ROE

    ROA is lowered by debt--interestexpense lowers net income, which

    also lowers ROA.

    However, the use of debt lowersequity, and if equity is lowered more

    than net income, ROE wouldincrease.

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    Price = $23.00

    EPS = = = $2.27

    P/E = = = 10.1X

    NIShares out.

    $113.5m50m

    Price per shareEPS

    $23.00$2.27

    Calculate and appraise theP/E, P/CF, and M/B ratios

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    NI + Depr.Shares out.CF per share =

    = = $4.27$113.5 + $100.050

    Price per share

    Cash flow per shareP/CF =

    = = 5.4x$23.00$4.27

    Market Value Ratios

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    Com. equity

    Shares out.BVPS =

    = = $17.92$896m

    50m

    Mkt. price per shareBook value per shareM/B =

    = = 1.3x$23.00$17.92

    Market Based Ratios (contd)

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    Interpreting Market BasedRatios

    P/E: How much investors will payfor $1 of earnings. Higher is better.

    M/B: How much paid for $1 of bookvalue. Higher is better.

    P/E and M/B are high if ROE is

    high, risk is low.

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    2009 2008 Ind.P/E 10.1x 11.0x 12.5x

    P/CF 5.4x 6.3x 6.8x

    M/B 1.3x 1.1x 1.7x

    Comparison with IndustryAverages

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    Common Size Balance Sheets:Divide all items by Total Assets

    Assets 2009 2008 Ind.

    Cash 0.5% 0.9% 1.0%

    ST Inv. 0.0% 3.9% 2.2%AR 18.8% 18.8% 17.8%

    Invent. 30.8% 24.7% 19.8%

    Total CA 50.0% 48.2% 40.8%Net FA 50.0% 51.8% 59.2%

    TA 100.0% 100.0% 100.0%

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    Divide all items by TotalLiabilities & Equity

    Assets 2009 2008 Ind.

    AP 3.0% 1.8% 1.8%

    Notes pay. 5.5% 3.6% 4.4%

    Accruals 7.0% 7.7% 3.6%

    Total CL 15.5% 13.1% 9.8%

    LT Bonds 37.7% 34.5% 30.2%

    Total Liabilities 53.2% 47.6% 40.0%Pref. stock 2.0% 2.4% 0.0%

    Total com. eq. 44.8% 50.0% 60.0%

    Total L&E 100.0% 100.0% 100.0%

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    Analysis of Common SizeBalance Sheets

    The company has higher proportionof inventory and current assets than

    Industry. The company has less equity

    (which means more debt) thanIndustry.

    The company now has zero short-term debt, but more long-term debtthan industry.

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    Common Size Income Statement:Divide all items by Sales

    2009 2008 Ind.

    Net sales 100.0% 100.0% 100.0%

    Op.costs 87.2% 87.6% 87.6%

    EBITDA 12.8% 12.4% 12.4%Depr. 3.3% 3.2% 2.8%

    EBIT 9.5% 9.2% 9.6%

    Int. Exp. 2.9% 2.1% 1.3%

    EBT 6.5% 7.1% 8.3%

    Taxes 2.6% 2.8% 3.3%

    NI before pref. div. 3.9% 4.3% 5.0%

    Pref. dividends 0.1% 0.1% 0.0%

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    Analysis of Common SizeIncome Statements

    The company has similar operatingcost (87.2) as industry (87.6), but

    slightly higher depreciation andamortization. Result is that thecompany has similar EBIT.

    However, the high interest expenselowers the EBT (6.5) compared toindustry (8.3).

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    Income Statement Percentage ChangeAnalysis: % Change from Base Year

    Base year (2008) % in 2009

    Net sales 5.3%

    Operating costs 4.8%

    EBITDA 8.7%Depr. & Amortization 11.1%

    EBIT 7.9%

    Int. Exp. 46.7%

    EBT (3.5%)

    Taxes @40% (3.5%)

    NI before pref. dividends (3.5%)

    Preferred dividends 0.0%

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    Analysis of Percent ChangeIncome Statement

    We see that 2009 sales grew 5.3%from 2008, and that NI fell 3.7% from

    2008. So the company has becomeless profitable.

    The analysis reveals whether thefirms condition has been improving ordeteriorating over time.

    Similar analysis can be performed onthe balance sheet.

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    Explain the Du Pont System

    The Du Pont system focuses on:

    Expense control (PM)

    Asset utilization (TATO)

    Debt utilization (EM)

    It shows how these factors combine

    to determine the ROE.

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    ( )( )( ) = ROEProfitmarginTA

    turnoverEquity

    multiplier

    NI

    SalesSales

    TATACEx x = ROE.

    The Du Pont System

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    2009: 3.8% x 1.5 x 2.23= 12.7%

    Alternatively,ROE = ROA equity multiplier= 5.7% x ($2,000/$896) = 12.7%

    NISales

    SalesTA

    TACEx x

    = ROE

    The Du Pont System

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    Potential Problems andLimitations of Ratio Analysis?

    Comparison with industry averages isdifficult if the firm operates many

    different divisions.

    Average performance is notnecessarily good.

    Seasonal factors can distort ratios.

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    Problems and Limitations(contd)

    Window dressing techniques canmake statements and ratios look

    better. Different accounting and operating

    practices can distort comparisons.

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    Problems and Limitations(contd)

    Sometimes it is difficult to tell if aratio value is good or bad.

    Often, different ratios give differentsignals, so it is difficult to tell, onbalance, whether a company is in a

    strong or weak financial condition.