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Centrally Planned Economies: Industrial Organisation and Structural Inefficiencies. Planning theory and planning practice Setting the production quotas Rationing the supply of resources Planning procedure, material balances Why central planning creates disproportion - PowerPoint PPT Presentation

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  • Centrally Planned Economies: Industrial Organisation and Structural InefficienciesPlanning theory and planning practice Setting the production quotasRationing the supply of resourcesPlanning procedure, material balancesWhy central planning creates disproportion Concentration and specialization of enterprises Material inputs and inventories Capital productivitylow capacity utilization rateslow retirement of fixed capital stocklong construction periods Static efficiency Technical progress

  • Planning theory

    The simplified basic equation of the input-output model describes the distribution of output of each particular product:

    ,

    where xi, yi, Ei, Ii, si - volumes of production, final consumption, export, import and change in stocks of i-product respectively,

    while aij - input-output coefficients, i.e. inputs of i-product per unit of j-product output.

    The utility function is:

    F = ay1 + by2 + ... + wyn => max,

    where a, b, ... w - parameters, fixing the structure of final consumption.

    _1166619390.unknown

  • Planning practice: material balancesPrinciple #1: Production quotas (plan of product nomenclature)Gosplan provided plans for 2,000 product groupsGossnab divided them into 15,000 positionsMinistries divided them into 50,000 positionsFinally, each product position was sub-divided into into 10-15 specific products at a stage of linking suppliers and usersSo about 0.5-0.75 million items were planned, whereas 25 million items of goods were producedPrinciple # 2: Centralized allocation of resourcesMaterials and equipment supply plan for every enterpriseEnterprises obtain from higher authorities a supply plan with precise assignment of producers and volume of deliveries

  • Limitations of central planningAll direct and indirect resource inputs must be calculatedIn practice, it is impossible to gather all the necessary information: To many productsCosts of information gatheringUnobservable variables, e.g. technological coefficients for new products and technologies, parameters of demand functionCentral planning creates disproportionsNo physical capacity to draw up an optimal planFor than reason, mistakes are inevitableCorrections of the plan were a universal practiceThe majority of goods was either in short supply or in surplus

  • Fulfillment of PlansProduction plans were not fulfilled, since enterprises were not provided with resources - shortages and overproduction was a rule rather than the exceptionActual production growth rates for individual enterprises had nothing in common with plan targetsSimple extrapolation of the trend of the five years are better predictors of actual output than planned guidelinesPlans were constantly correctedBargains between Gosplan, branch-industry ministries, and enterprises over exactly what can be produced Iteration process - multi-phased negotiations

  • Structural Inefficiencies: Industrial Organization Concentration, horizontal and vertical integration, diversificationSpecialization: How and why the planners overburdened the enterprises with non-profile activitiesSpecialization: How and why enterprises and ministries tended to be self-sufficientEnterprisesMinistriesCo-ordination between ministries

  • Planning and Management OrganizationManagement organized by industrial sectors and territoriesBy territory: Some businesses under authority of the Union Republics and local administrative bodies (agriculture, services, light industry)By sector: About thirty all-union ministries responsible for manufacturing and mining; Glavki (main directorates) within ministries responsible for sub-industries (four-digit level) - heavy industry, transportation, communications, financeDrawbacks of this structure of management:Weak inter-sectoral or inter-regional cooperationAttempts to reform the structure of management: late 1950s (sovnarkhozy), 1970s (science-production associations), 1980s (RAPO - regional agro-industrial associations)

  • Management hierarchy of the Soviet economy

  • Share of all-union and republican enterprises in total industrial output and capital stock, 1989

    PRIVATE Republics

    Enterprises subordinated to all-union ministries

    Enterprises subordinated to union-republican and republican ministries

    Share in

    Share in

    Output,%

    Capital stock,%

    Output,%

    Capital stock,%

    USSR

    61.4

    81.1

    38.6

    18.9

    RSFSR (Russia)

    69.0

    86.8

    31.0

    13.2

    Ukraune

    58.0

    72.8

    42.0

    27.2

    Byelorussia

    53.5

    74.4

    46.5

    25.6

    Lithuania

    39.2

    66.1

    60.8

    33.9

    Latvia

    38.7

    62.2

    61.3

    37.8

    Estonia

    28.5

    59.0

    71.5

    41.0

    Moldova

    28.4

    48.2

    71.6

    51.8

    Armenia

    50.8

    71.9

    49.2

    28.1

    Georgia

    31.4

    65.9

    68.6

    34.1

    Azerbaidjan

    46.7

    81.4

    53.3

    18.6

    Kazakhstan

    49.5

    67.0

    50.5

    33.0

    Uzbekistan

    34.8

    66.1

    65.2

    33.9

    Turkmenistan

    37.0

    83.0

    63.0

    17.0

    Kirghizia

    33.0

    69.0

    67.0

    31.0

    Tadjikistan

    28.9

    72.4

    71.1

    27.6

    Source: Narodnoye Khozyaistvo SSSR v 1989 godu (National Economy of the USSR in 1989). Moscow, 1990, p. 331.

  • Agricultural production in individual land plots, 1989-90

    Source: Narodnoye Khozyaistvo SSSR (National Economy of the USSR) for various years; Ekonomika i Zhiz'n, 1991, N6; 1990, N21, 22.

  • ConcentrationIn 1986, there were about 514,000 business entities in the country:46,000 industrial enterprises50,000 collective and state farms32,000 construction associationsSoviet enterprises were the largest in the worldAverage industrial enterprise had about 1,000 workersAverage collective or state farm had 500 workers

  • Share of enterprises with over 1000 employees in total industrial output(Izvestiya Financial Times, April 1992)

  • Concentration in the industrial sector of the USSR and some OECD countries, late 1980s

    PRIVATE Enterprises with number of employees:

    Share of enterprises of indicated size in total number of enterprises with over 10 employees

    USSR

    Six OECD countriesa

    10-100

    2.2

    35.0

    101-500

    15.3

    33.0

    501-1000

    12.5

    13.0

    Over 1000

    70.0

    19.0

    Average number of employees

    834

    86

    a Austria, Belgium, France, Italy, Japan, Sweden.

    Source: Business in the USSR, January 1991 (N1), p. 65.

  • Average size of enterprises in selected industries, EC and the USSR, 1987

    PRIVATE Industry

    Number of employees per enterprise

    Ratio, USSR/ECa

    EC

    USSR

    Iron and steel

    517

    3833

    7.4

    Non-ferrous metals

    160

    2699

    16.9

    Machine-building and metal working

    -Electrotechnical industry

    -Non-electrical machine-building

    -Motor vechicles

    196

    299

    102

    705

    2699

    1645

    1468

    4828

    13.8

    5.5

    14.4

    6.8

    Chemicals

    221

    1871

    8.5

    Construction materials

    126

    437

    3.5

    Light industry

    102

    650

    6.4

    Agricultural processing

    183

    289

    1.6

    TOTAL

    163

    846

    5.2

    a West Germany, Denmark, France, Italy, Netherlands, United Kingdom.

    Source: Stabilization, Liberalization and Devolution: Assessment of the Economic Situation and the Reform Process in the Soviet Union. Commission of the European Communities, December, 1990, p. 36.

  • ConcentrationPrimarily horizontal integration of production in USSR - activities of enterprises concentrated primarily in one field (due to industry-branch principle of management)One and only one ministry was responsible for the output of each major type of productWithout the formal permission of the Ministry of Auto industry, it was forbidden to produce car trailersSoviet enterprises were large, but only horizontally integrated. No vertically integrated enterprises and diversified enterprises, like IBM or General Motors

  • Concentration in agricultureNumber of farmsIn 1929: about 20 millions at the start of collectivizationIn 1940: 237,000 collective farms, 4,000 state farms, less than 1 million individual peasant farmsIn 1950: 130,000 collective and state farmsIn 1960: about 50,000 collective and state farms, individual farms disappeared (poorest collective farms were transformed into state farms later on)In 1989: 28,000 collective farms, 23,000 state farmsAverage collective or state farm in 1980s:500 employees20,000 hectares of land; 10,000 hectares of agricultural landExtremely large size, too big to be efficient

  • Specialization: enterprises were forced by the planners to produce goods and services that had nothing to do with their mainstream production. Why? To overcome shortages that inevitably resulted from central planningExamples:Periodic campaigns to develop auxiliary agricultural operations to contribute to the fulfillment of food program More than 20,000 auxiliary agricultural units attached to factories, construction sites and even military unitsOne quarter to one third of all enterprises had agricultural unitsTargets for consumer goods production for all enterprises, including defense Obligatory participation in seasonal agricultural worksassistance to farms during sowing and harvesting campaignsObligatory participation in road constructionEvery enterprise in the region was required to provide trucks, tractors, excavators, etc. (with drivers) for six working days a year for the construction of local roadsHectare-based principle of planningFor the planners such a universal campaign method was the only possible way to overcome shortages, even though at a cost of efficiency

  • Auxiliary agricultural units of non-agricultural enterprises, 1988

    PRIVATE Indicator

    Absolute volume

    Share of total,%

    Number of auxiliary units, thousands

    22.2

    -

    Agricultural land, million hectares

    7.7

    1.3

    Arable land, million hectares

    2.1

    0.9

    Cattle population, million heads

    1.1

    0.9

    Pig population, million heads

    2.8

    3.6

    Meat production, million tons

    0.4

    2.0

    Milk production, million tons

    0.8

    0.7

    Potatoes production, million tons

    0.4

    0.6

    Source: Narodnoye Khozyaistvo SSSR v 1989 godu (National Economy of the USSR in 1989). Moscow, 1990.

  • Specialization: Do it yourselfDirectors of enterprises strived to have everything at hand not depend on suppliersIt was easier to produce needed nuts and bolts than to arrange the supply processSo whole constellation of repair, instrument, construction, and packing and other auxiliary shops and subdivisions surrounded the basic production facilityThe production costs at such subdivisions were 2-3 times higher than at specialized enterprisesIn the mainstream production labor productivity was 75% of the level in Western countriesIn the industry overall - 60% of the level in Western countriesMany companies carried out their own construction (12% of all construction works)More workers (8 million) repaired equipment than produced itCost of servicing equipment and repair was 8-10 times higher than initial costs of the machines

  • Self-sufficiency at the industry-branch (ministry) levelRequesting something from the other ministry was troublesome and there was no guarantee that the promises would be honoredMinistries tended not to procure goods from outsiders, even if they were conveniently located, but preferred to get supplies from their own plants (subordinated to the same ministry)This caused irrational cargo shippingMany ministries had their transportation units, recreation facilities, forest territories (to procure lumber and timber)

  • Specialization: Costs of departmental barriersGreatest problems with interaction of enterprises emerged at the borders of sectors or regions Scientific and technical progress, introduction of new equipment and technology suffered the most (most innovations are of inter-industry type)Inventions demanding interdepartmental coordination were introduced very slowThis is why USSR lagged behind in the production of computers, biotechnology, composite materials Successful examples of technical progress include nuclear energy and missiles production (partly due to military priorities, partly - to timely establishment of new management bodies - Ministry of general machine building and Ministry of average (medium) machine buildingLack of small-scale specialized factoriesMinistries were accountable only first and foremost for the key productsMajor shortages of products of secondary importance (trifles, melochevka)

  • Major structural inefficiencies in Soviet economy resulting from its industrial organizationConsciously and unconsciously the planners tried to have large enterprises (to reduce the number of planned targets)Large enterprises were not bad, but there was a lack of vertically integrated and diversified enterprisesNo small specialized enterprises===================================================The planners overburdened the enterprises with a whole range of activities unrelated to their mainstream production Not being able to elaborate the appropriate production ties between specialized enterprises, the planners often launched campaigns urging every enterprise to contribute to the production of the particular items - if everyone will produce a little bit, the shortage may disappear To protect themselves from regular disruptions of deliveries of supplies enterprises, ministries and regional authorities strived for self-sufficiency and autarchy, via creation of numerous small and inefficient repair, construction, mechanical, instrumental, transportation and other auxiliary units - not efficient, but badly needed to overcome interruptions of supplies

  • Structural Inefficiencies: Material inputs and inventories, capital productivity and technical progressMaterial inputs and inventoriesFixed capital stock - decreasing productivityData on capital productivitySlow retirement - wearing out of capital stock Capacity utilization rateGrowing unfinished constructionTechnical Progress and capital allocationR and D and innovationsTechnical progress and the choice of investment alternatives

  • High material and energy intensity of Soviet EconomyUSSR used 1.5 times more materials and 2.1 more energy per unit of national income than the USThe share of material and supplies in the value of gross industrial output was 65-70% as compared to 55-60% in the USProduced and consumed 1.5 to 2 times more steel and cement per unit of output than the USDomestic machines and machine tools were 15% to 25% heavier than foreign modelsAgricultural production was 15% less than in the US, but used 3.5 times more energyMaterial and energy intensity was increasing

  • Energy intensity of GDPSource: Dobozi I. Soviet Energy Policy and Consumption in 1990s:The Need for new Thinking and Price Reform.1991.

    Chart6

    720800370570

    737.3826.8423.6572

    813.2682.9339.5482.8

    822.9564.6274.8408.6

    USSR

    USA

    Japan

    OECD

    Tons of oil equivalent per mill. $ GDP

    1

    Agricultural goodsAll goodsIndustrial goods

    108%123%141%108123141

    1923177%96%120%7796120

    288%115%158%88115158

    3102%145%207%102145207

    489%156%276%89156276

    19241124%169%229%124169229

    2156%181%209%156181209

    3141%169%202%141169202

    4130%164%199%130164199

    19251152%172%194%152172194

    2198%195%191%198195191

    3186%188%190%186188190

    4156%174%195%156174195

    19261169%182%198%169182198

    2191%196%202%191196202

    3164%183%204%164183204

    4157%179%204%157179204

    19271154%177%203%154177203

    2160%177%196%160177196

    3157%173%191%157173191

    4154%170%188%154170188

    19281156%171%188%156171188

    2156%171%188%156171188

    3157%172%187%157172187

    4166%179%187%166179187

    167%177%188%167177188

    1

    000

    000

    000

    000

    000

    000

    000

    000

    000

    000

    000

    000

    000

    000

    000

    000

    000

    000

    000

    000

    000

    000

    000

    000

    000

    000

    "Scissors crisis"

    Agricultural goods

    All goods

    Industrial goods

    3-1

    ExportState PurchasesProduction

    19139.186

    192611.676.8

    19271172.3

    19280.110.873.3

    19290.316.171.7

    19304.822.183.5

    19315.222.869.5

    19321.818.569.9

    3-1

    000

    000

    000

    000

    000

    000

    000

    000

    Production

    State Purchases

    Export

    5-1-a

    191386.0

    1924

    69.3

    69.3

    69.3

    192869.3

    73.6

    73.6

    73.6

    73.6

    193373.6

    72.9

    72.9

    72.9

    193772.9

    77.9

    77.9

    194077.9

    1945

    64.8

    64.8

    64.8

    64.8

    195064.8

    88.5

    88.5

    88.5

    88.5

    195588.5

    121.5

    121.5

    121.5

    121.5

    1960121.5

    130.3

    130.3

    130.3

    130.3

    1965130.3

    167.6

    167.6

    167.6

    167.6

    1970167.6

    181.6

    181.6

    181.6

    181.6

    1975181.6

    205.0

    205.0

    205.0

    205.0

    1980205.0

    180.3

    180.3

    180.3

    180.3

    1985180.3

    212.1

    212.1

    212.1

    212.1

    1990212.1

    5-1-a

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

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    0

    0

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    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    Average annual grain harvest (million tons)

    5-1-b

    19135

    3

    19284.9

    19322.8

    19373

    19404.7

    19452.6

    19504.9

    19556.3

    19608.7

    196510

    197012.3

    197515

    198015.1

    198517.1

    199019.9

    5-1-b

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    Meat production (Million tons)

    5-1-c

    191658.4

    191850.8

    192240.9

    192958.2

    193333.5

    193850.9

    194154.5

    194647.6

    195157.1

    195455.8

    196074.2

    196587.2

    197199.2

    1976111

    1981115.1

    1986120.9

    1991116.2

    5-1-c

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

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    0

    0

    0

    0

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    0

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    0

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    0

    0

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    0

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    0

    0

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    0

    0

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    0

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    0

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    0

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    0

    0

    0

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    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    Cattle (Million Head)

    5-1-d

    1913100%

    191786%

    192170%

    1926128%

    1928129%

    1933102%

    1938114%

    1940116%

    194579%

    1950125%

    1955139%

    1960169%

    1965176%

    1970206%

    1975202%

    1980209%

    1985221%

    1990228%

    5-1-d

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

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    0

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    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    Per capita agricultural output (1913=100%)

    4-3-a

    Alternative EstimateOfficial Statistics

    192122.525.5

    22.525.5

    22.525.5

    22.525.5

    22.525.5

    22.525.5

    22.525.5

    22.525.5

    192922.525.5

    9.017.1

    9.017.1

    9.017.1

    9.017.1

    9.017.1

    9.017.1

    9.017.1

    9.017.1

    19389.017.1

    5.07.0

    5.07.0

    5.07.0

    5.07.0

    5.07.0

    5.07.0

    5.07.0

    5.07.0

    5.07.0

    5.07.0

    5.07.0

    19505.07.0

    6.58.0

    6.58.0

    6.58.0

    6.58.0

    6.58.0

    6.58.0

    6.58.0

    6.58.0

    6.58.0

    6.58.0

    6.58.0

    6.58.0

    6.58.0

    6.58.0

    6.58.0

    6.58.0

    6.58.0

    6.58.0

    6.58.0

    6.58.0

    6.58.0

    6.58.0

    6.58.0

    6.58.0

    6.58.0

    6.58.0

    6.58.0

    6.58.0

    6.58.0

    6.58.0

    6.58.0

    6.58.0

    6.58.0

    6.58.0

    6.58.0

    19866.58.0

    2.5

    2.5

    2.5

    19902.5

    4-3-a

    00

    00

    00

    00

    00

    00

    00

    00

    00

    00

    00

    00

    00

    00

    00

    00

    00

    00

    00

    00

    00

    00

    00

    00

    00

    00

    00

    00

    00

    00

    00

    00

    00

    00

    00

    00

    00

    00

    00

    00

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    00

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    00

    00

    00

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    Official Statistics

    Alternative Estimate

    percent

    4-3-b

    Alternative EstimateOfficial Statistics

    192113.617.5

    13.617.5

    13.617.5

    13.617.5

    13.617.5

    13.617.5

    13.617.5

    13.617.5

    192913.617.5

    8.016.2

    8.016.2

    8.016.2

    8.016.2

    8.016.2

    8.016.2

    8.016.2

    8.016.2

    19388.016.2

    4.36.2

    4.36.2

    4.36.2

    4.36.2

    4.36.2

    4.36.2

    4.36.2

    4.36.2

    4.36.2

    4.36.2

    4.36.2

    19504.36.2

    4.76.9

    4.76.9

    4.76.9

    4.76.9

    4.76.9

    4.76.9

    4.76.9

    4.76.9

    4.76.9

    4.76.9

    4.76.9

    4.76.9

    4.76.9

    4.76.9

    4.76.9

    4.76.9

    4.76.9

    4.76.9

    4.76.9

    4.76.9

    4.76.9

    4.76.9

    4.76.9

    4.76.9

    4.76.9

    4.76.9

    4.76.9

    4.76.9

    4.76.9

    4.76.9

    4.76.9

    4.76.9

    4.76.9

    4.76.9

    4.76.9

    19864.76.9

    1.4

    1.4

    1.4

    19901.4

    4-3-b

    00

    00

    00

    00

    00

    00

    00

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    00

    00

    00

    00

    00

    00

    00

    00

    00

    00

    00

    00

    00

    00

    00

    00

    00

    00

    00

    00

    00

    00

    00

    00

    00

    00

    00

    00

    00

    00

    00

    00

    00

    00

    00

    00

    00

    00

    00

    00

    Official Statistics

    Alternative Estimate

    percent

    4-3-c

    Alternative EstimateOfficial Statistics

    19216.76.8

    6.76.8

    6.76.8

    6.76.8

    6.76.8

    6.76.8

    6.76.8

    6.76.8

    19296.76.8

    1.20.1

    1.20.1

    1.20.1

    1.20.1

    1.20.1

    1.20.1

    1.20.1

    1.20.1

    19381.20.1

    0.11.4

    0.11.4

    0.11.4

    0.11.4

    0.11.4

    0.11.4

    0.11.4

    0.11.4

    0.11.4

    0.11.4

    0.11.4

    19500.11.4

    2.83.1

    2.83.1

    2.83.1

    2.83.1

    2.83.1

    2.83.1

    2.83.1

    2.83.1

    2.83.1

    2.83.1

    2.83.1

    2.83.1

    2.83.1

    2.83.1

    2.83.1

    2.83.1

    2.83.1

    2.83.1

    2.83.1

    2.83.1

    2.83.1

    2.83.1

    2.83.1

    2.83.1

    2.83.1

    2.83.1

    2.83.1

    2.83.1

    2.83.1

    2.83.1

    2.83.1

    2.83.1

    2.83.1

    2.83.1

    2.83.1

    19862.83.1

    1.0

    1.0

    1.0

    19901.0

    4-3-c

    00

    00

    00

    00

    00

    00

    00

    00

    00

    00

    00

    00

    00

    00

    00

    00

    00

    00

    00

    00

    00

    00

    00

    00

    00

    00

    00

    00

    00

    00

    00

    00

    00

    00

    00

    00

    00

    00

    00

    00

    00

    00

    00

    00

    00

    00

    00

    00

    00

    00

    00

    00

    00

    00

    00

    00

    00

    00

    00

    00

    00

    00

    00

    00

    00

    00

    00

    00

    00

    00

    Official Statistics

    Alternative Estimate

    percent

    8

    Figure 8.2.Energy intensity of GDP

    Source:Dobozi I.Soviet Energy Policy and Consumption in 1990s:The Need for new Thinking and Price Reform.1991.

    Tons of oil equivalent per mill.$ GDP

    USSRUSAJapanOECD

    11960720800370570

    111970737827424572

    211980813683340483

    301990823565275409

    Figure 8.3.Inventories as a % of national income

    Source: Narodnoye Khozyaistvo SSSR (National Economy of the USSR);Economic Report of the President for various years.

    USSRUSA

    1196050%36%135.5424.931.89

    6196557%33%169.1585.228.896

    11197057%34%240.3832.628.861

    16197565%40%428.81281.933.45

    21198071%40%739.32203.533.551

    26198582%31%863.5323426.701

    81.60%

    80%

    77.20%

    79.80%

    3119901063.74417.524.079

    Figure 8.4.Capital productivity, 1960=100%

    Source:Narodnoye Khozyaistvo SSSR (National Economy of the USSR) for various years.

    IndustryMaterial ProductionAgricultureConstruction

    11960100%100%100%100%

    6196590%86%79%78%

    11197089%85%72%64%

    16197586%75%47%54%

    21198073%64%36%36%

    26198563%56%30%28%

    28198762%54%29%28%

    Figure 8.5.Growth rates of capital stock and output in industry,1960-85,%

    Source: Narodnoye Khozyaistvo SSSR(National Economy of the USSR);EKO,1986,No.2, p.29.

    1Capital Stock in comparable prices769%

    2Pover Capacity524%

    3Electrical Capacity495%

    4Energy Consumption431%

    6Gross Output in Comparable Prices485%

    7Gross Physical Output291%

    Figure 8.6.Growth rates of capital stock and output in agriculture,1960-85,%

    Source:Narodnoye Khozyaistvo SSSR (National Economy of the USSR).

    1574%

    2498%

    3482%

    4448%

    5407%

    6212%

    7203%

    8167%

    9159%

    10133%

    11105%

    12

    1381%

    1486%

    15133%

    16139%

    17143%

    18153%

    19160%

    20169%

    21169%

    22192%

    23197%

    24282%

    8

    0000

    0000

    0000

    0000

    USSR

    USA

    Japan

    OECD

    Tons of oil equivalent per mill. $ GDP

    9

    00

    00

    00

    00

    00

    00

    00

    00

    00

    00

    00

    00

    00

    00

    00

    00

    00

    00

    00

    00

    00

    00

    00

    00

    00

    00

    00

    00

    00

    00

    00

    USSR

    USA

    10

    0000

    0000

    0000

    0000

    0000

    0000

    0000

    Industry

    Material Production

    Agriculture

    Construction

    11

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    12

    Figure 9.1.Collective farm market and cooperative trade and prices

    Source:Narodnoye Khozyaistvo SSSR (National Economy of the USSR) for various years.

    1194062.7230100

    21945

    3195063.924.10

    41955

    5196066.728.80.9101

    61965

    7197068.628.80.9100

    81975

    9198069.827.50.7101

    10198570.327.11.4102

    11198971.6262.5105

    1194017414.3

    21945

    3195010612

    41955

    519601524.5

    61965

    719701632.6

    81975

    919802292.7

    1019852462.6

    1119892512.4

    13

    Figure 10.3.Credit outstanding to enterprises and households and nominal national income,trend growth rates,1960-85,%

    Source:Narodnoye Khozyaistvo SSSR (National Economy of the USSR) for various years

    1

    2

    319603.96.36.5

    44.410.85.49.7

    510.68.17.79.7

    616.19.42.69.7

    713.413.47.519.9

    8196512.96.96.60.7

    913.815.37.234.5

    1010.514.98.728.5

    1122.511.58.220.4

    126.867.320.4

    13197013.38.710.720.4

    147.38.55.219.8

    154.89.82.837.2

    1619.812.27.715.3

    177.911.74.715.3

    1819753.98.12.79.7

    197.211.76.216

    206.511.45.219.5

    217.98.24.214.2

    229.49.24.39.5

    2319806.2144.17.6

    2414.520.85.36.3

    253.67.77.55.1

    264.25.44.71.9

    272.25.83.91.8

    2819854.91.61

    29

    30

    31

    32

    33

    34

    35

    36

    Figure 10.2.Household savings rate, as a % of personal disposable income

    Source:Stabilization,Liberalization and Devolution...(EC Repot on Soviet economy),1990,p.163

    1197055

    255

    35.25.2

    45.15.1

    56.46.4

    619756.86.8

    76.66.6

    86.66.6

    96.56.5

    105.85.8

    1119804.64.6

    123.33.3

    134.14.1

    145.35.3

    155.75.7

    1619856.66.6

    177.3

    188

    199.6

    2012.5

    21199012.7

    22

    23

    24

    Figure 10.1 Money supply and national income in current prices, trend growth rates,1960-85,%

    Source:Narodnoye Khozyaistvo SSSR (National Economy of the USSR)for various years

    119607.96.59.25.4

    219619.35.43.23.9

    319628.57.77.74.4

    4196310.22.6510.6

    5196412.17.55.116.1

    6196519.16.68.112.2

    7196622.47.27.712.9

    8196717.58.79.313.8

    9196820.48.28.210.5

    10196918.57.37.622.5

    11197021.410.77.36.83

    12197114.25.26.513.3

    13197214.12.86.77.3

    141973137.75.14.88

    15197414.84.75.819.8

    16197515.32.77.17.9

    17197613.26.24.83.9

    18197713.35.24.67.2

    19197812.34.24.86.5

    20197911.54.35.27.9

    21198074.16.69.4

    2219815.95.35.96.2

    2319825.27.53.314.5

    2419837.24.73.23.6

    2519848.13.93.44.2

    2619859.31.62.52.2

    27

    14

    Figure 11.4.Soviet debt and asset position vis-a-vis BIS-area banks in hard currency,billion of dollars at year-end

    Source:PlanEcon,1991,March 27.

    Y1 axis title: Billion dollars

    119804.88.613.4

    219817.44.511.9

    319824.21014.2

    419835.310.916.2

    519845.311.316.6

    619859.713.122.8

    7198614.214.829

    8198719.214.133.3

    9198821.515.336.8

    10198930.214.744.9

    11199038745

    12

    Figure 11.3.Ratio of world market prices to domestic prices for selected goods, 1990,%

    Source:Ekonomika i zhiz'n,1990,No.36; Economist,1990,October 20;A Study of the Soviet Economy.IMF,1991.Vol.3,p.171,316.

    1264264

    2264240

    3240223

    4223217

    5212212

    6202202

    7196196

    8161186

    9155161

    10144155

    11143144

    12141143

    13135141

    14127135

    15134

    16127

    17109

    1840

    1938

    2034

    2134

    2232

    2329

    2427

    2526

    2623

    2720

    281

    29

    30

    31

    32

    33

    34

    35

    36

    Figure 11.2.Exports and foreign trade turnover as a % of national income in constant prices

    Source:Mirovaya Ekonomika i Mezhdunarodniye Otnosheniya,1987,No.11,p.147; Stuart R.The Soviet Economic

    119182020

    22020

    32020

    42020

    52020

    62020

    719242020

    82020

    92020

    102020

    1119282020

    12303.13.130

    13303.53.530

    14303330

    15302.62.630

    16193362.32.36

    1761.81.86

    1861.31.36

    1960.80.86

    2060.50.56

    2119382.62.6

    222.62.6

    232.62.6

    2419412.62.6

    253.33.3

    263.33.3

    273.33.3

    283.33.3

    2919469.59.5

    309.59.5

    319.59.5

    329.59.5

    339.59.5

    34195110.810.8

    3510.810.8

    3610.810.8

    3710.810.8

    3810.83310.8

    39195612.63312.6

    4012.63.63.612.6

    4112.63.13.112.6

    4212.63.93.912.6

    4312.63.73.712.6

    44196114.83.93.914.8

    4514.84.34.314.8

    4614.84.44.414.8

    4714.84.44.414.8

    4814.84.54.514.8

    49196614.74.64.614.7

    5014.75514.7

    5114.75.95.914.7

    5214.76614.7

    5314.76.36.314.7

    541971206.46.420

    55205.75.720

    56206620

    57206.56.520

    58206.36.320

    59197622.16.56.522.1

    6022.122.1

    6122.122.1

    6222.122.1

    6322.111.111.122.1

    64198123.623.6

    6523.623.6

    6623.623.6

    6723.623.6

    6823.610.510.523.6

    69198622.822.8

    7022.822.8

    7122.822.8

    7222.822.8

    73199022.88.78.722.8

    74

    75

    76

    77

    78

    79

    80

    81

    82

    83

    84

    Figure 11.1.Soviet foreign trade turnover, as a % of retail trade turnover and national income in current prices

    Source:Narodnoye Khozyaistvo SSSR (National Economy of the USSR)for various years.

    119249.8

    2

    3

    4

    5192811.4

    63.1

    73.5

    83

    919323.22.6

    102.3

    111.8

    121.3

    130.8

    1419372.40.5

    15

    16

    1719401.6

    18

    19

    20

    21

    22194510.1

    23

    24

    25

    26

    2719508.1

    28

    29

    30

    31

    32195511.63

    333

    343.6

    353.1

    363.9

    37196012.86.93.7

    383.9

    394.3

    404.4

    414.4

    42196513.97.64.5

    434.6

    445

    455.9

    466

    47197014.27.66.3

    486.4

    495.7

    506

    516.5

    52197524.1146.3

    536.5

    54

    55

    56

    57198034.820.4

    58

    59

    60

    61

    62198543.824.6

    63

    64

    65

    66

    67199028.219.1

    68

    69

    70

    71

    72

    16

    Figure 12.3.Money supply and wages, annual growth rates,%

    Source:Narodnoye Khozyaistvo SSSR(National Economy of the USSR) for various years

    16.4

    219605.417.84.1

    33.96.33.3

    44.410.81.7

    510.68.12.9

    616.19.46.3

    7196513.413.44.2

    812.96.94.5

    913.815.37.6

    1010.514.93.7

    1122.511.54.4

    1219706.863.2

    1313.38.73.4

    147.38.53.6

    154.89.84.6

    1619.812.23.3

    1719757.911.73.8

    183.98.12.5

    197.211.73

    206.511.42.1

    217.98.23.4

    2219809.49.22.1

    236.2142.8

    2414.520.81.8

    253.67.72.4

    264.25.42.9

    2719852.25.82.9

    284.93.7

    29-13.2

    30-4.5

    31

    321990

    Figure 12.2.Personal bank deposits and retail sales in current prices, annual growth rates,%

    Source:Narodnoye Khozyaistvo SSSR(National Economy of the USSR)for various years

    119607.97.33.23.9

    219619.35.87.74.4

    319628.57.8510.6

    4196310.210.35.116.1

    5196412.110.38.112.2

    6196519.85.97.712.9

    7196622.47.79.313.8

    8196717.58.48.210.5

    9196820.48.17.622.5

    10196918.57.17.36.8

    11197021.411.26.513.3

    12197114.25.16.77.3

    13197214.13.55.14.8

    141973137.75.819.8

    15197414.84.17.17.9

    16197515.34.24.83.9

    17197613.25.54.67.2

    18197713.34.34.86.5

    19197812.35.35.27.9

    20197911.52.96.69.4

    21198074.95.96.2

    2219815.95.23.314.5

    2319825.27.33.23.6

    2419837.24.53.44.2

    2519848.14.22.52.2

    2619859.31.72.3

    271986101.32.8

    2819879.91.77.1

    29198811.25.710.3

    30198913.85.3

    311990

    Figure 12.1.Enterprises deposits and national income in current prices, annual growth rates,%

    Source:Narodnoye Khozyaistvo SSSR (National Economy of the USSR) for various years

    119607.95.49.25.4

    219619.37.73.23.9

    319628.52.67.74.4

    4196310.27.5510.6

    5196412.16.65.116.1

    6196519.87.28.112.2

    7196622.48.77.712.9

    8196717.58.29.313.8

    9196820.47.38.210.5

    10196918.510.77.622.5

    11197021.45.27.36.8

    12197114.22.86.513.3

    13197214.17.76.77.3

    141973134.75.14.8

    15197414.82.75.819.8

    16197515.36.27.17.9

    17197613.25.24.83.9

    18197713.34.24.67.2

    19197812.34.34.86.5

    20197911.54.15.27.9

    21198075.36.69.4

    2219815.97.55.96.2

    2319825.24.73.314.5

    2419837.23.93.23.6

    2519848.11.63.44.2

    2619859.31.52.52.2

    271986102.12.3

    2819879.95.22.8

    2919884.1

    301989

    311990

    Figure 12.1.Money supply and GNP/national income,annual growth rates,%

    119600.53.6

    219613.27.6

    319621.95.6

    419633.77.1

    519644.68.5

    619654.79.5

    719662.55.8

    819676.59.3

    919687.78

    1019693.35.4

    1119705.18.6

    1219716.510

    1319729.212.1

    1419735.58.3

    1519744.48.5

    1619754.811.5

    1719766.511.7

    1819778.113

    1919788.211.5

    2019796.88.9

    2119806.811.7

    2219816.73.7

    2319828.77.6

    2419839.810.8

    2519845.96.4

    26198512.35.4

    2716.96.7

    283.57.9

    294.96.7

    300.95

    3119903.9

    32

    33

    34

    35

    36

    CH12-1-A.CHTBAR/LINEEnterprisep&nationncome,USSR

    119607.95.49.25.4

    219619.37.73.23.9

    319628.52.67.74.4

    4196310.27.5510.6

    5196412.16.65.116.1

    6196519.87.28.112.2

    7196622.48.77.712.9

    8196717.58.29.313.8

    9196820.47.38.210.5

    10196918.510.77.622.5

    11197021.45.27.36.8

    12197114.22.86.513.3

    13197214.17.76.77.3

    141973134.75.14.8

    15197414.82.75.819.8

    16197515.36.27.17.9

    17197613.25.24.83.9

    18197713.34.24.67.2

    19197812.34.34.86.5

    20197911.54.15.27.9

    21198075.36.69.4

    2219815.97.55.96.2

    2319825.24.73.314.5

    2419837.23.93.23.6

    2519848.11.63.44.2

    2619859.31.52.52.2

    271986102.12.3

    2819879.95.22.8

    2919884.1

    301989

    311990

    32

    17

    6. CH-13-D.C

    7. CH-13-C.C

    8. CH-13-B.C

    9. CH-13-A.C

    International investment positions in convertible currencies,year-ends,bill.$

    1198528.912.9

    2198631.414.727.7

    3198739.214.126.5

    419884315.323.1

    519895414.724.2

    6199057733

    7199160

    8

    9

    10

    11

    12

    Money Supply Growth Rates(%) and Government Debt as a % of GNP

    119806.813.7

    219816.814.4

    319826.815.7

    419836.816.3

    519846.816.8

    619856.818.2

    719867.620.3

    8198715.722.3

    9198815.435.6

    10198914.343.1

    11199018.658.4

    121991

    Inflation in the consumer market,%

    119801

    219811

    319824

    419830

    51984-1

    619851

    719862

    8198714

    919880.35

    10198927.5

    1119905.319

    121991

    Real GNP Growth Rates,%

    119804.50.8

    219813.81

    319823.92.7

    419834.53.3

    5198441.5

    619852.30.8

    719863.34.1

    819872.91.3

    919885.52.2

    10198931.4

    111990-2-4

    121991-8

    18

    Figure 14.4.Enterprises and households money growth rates,%

    Source:PlanEcon,1991,March 27

    1198110.35.86

    2198210.35.86

    3198310.35.86

    4198410.35.86

    5198510.35.86

    619866.97.86.1

    7198736.18.57.8

    819882511.113.6

    9198911.115.919.5

    10199013.421.126.8

    Figure 14.3.Monetary aggregates and GNP growth rates,%

    Source: Narodnoye Khozyaistvo SSSR (National Economy of the USSR)for various years;PlanEcon,March 27,1991,p.21.

    119813.74.66.87.51.8

    219823.74.66.87.51.8

    319833.74.66.87.51.8

    419843.74.66.87.51.8

    519853.74.66.87.51.8

    619863.32.87.68.54.1

    719872.93.315.714.71.3

    819885.56.115.414.12.2

    9198935.614.314.81.4

    101990-218.620-4

    111991

    Figure 14.2.Credit outstanding,billion rubles,year ends

    Source:PlanEcon,1991,March 27

    11980342.578.20.7

    21985519.41182

    31986450.2140.62.4

    41987427.8200.73.1

    51988398.82985.8

    61989383.7390.17.4

    71990367.4524.910.6

    Figure 14.1. Government budget revenues, expenditure,and deficit,billion rubles

    Source:Narodnoye Khozyaistvo SSSR(National Economy of the USSR) for various years

    Y1 axis title: Billion rubles

    Y2 axis title: Billion rubles

    119802822949190

    2198129831010092

    31982334343101102

    41983339354103107

    51984362371103116

    61985373386569812056

    7198637241746.49113046.4

    8198737843144.79412744.7

    9198837946036.610112036.6

    10198940248239.811111539.8

    111990

    121991

    19

    Figure 16.2.Number of employees in the public administration, thousand persons

    Source: Narodnoye Khozyaistvo SSSR(National Economy of the USSR) for various years.

    119804.50E-362231700

    2-8.30E+20

    31985-1523242376753

    419866.40E-102366762

    519878.73E-101981765

    61988-8.73E-101831751

    719893.20E-301577706

    81990

    Figure 16.1.The share of profit left at state enterprises and non centralized investment,% of total

    Source:Narodnoye Khozyaistvo SSSR (National Economy of the USSR) for various years.

    119851538

    2198631739

    31987181739

    41988403341

    51989514043

    6199058

    71991

    c1

    Figure 17.1.Number of persons engaged in individual labor activity and working in coops(including part-time),million

    Narodnoye Khozyaistvo SSSR (National Economy of the USSR) for various years; newspaper reports.

    119860.1

    219870.150.310.7

    319881.40.718.1

    419894.90.325.4

    519906.10.224.9

    61991

    sh

    Figure 18.3.Retail sales per capita by republic as a % of national average,1940,1958,1970,1989,in current prices */

    */Data for 1940 are in 1958 prices.

    Source:Narodnoye Khozyaistvo SSSR(National Economy of the USSR),various years.

    Y1 axis title: %

    1Russia117111110110110

    2Ukraine8484919294

    3Belorussia607091101111

    4Lithuania6380110118128

    5Latvia109135148144146

    6Estonia127138150150154

    7Moldova4663768790

    8Armenia8677798390

    9Georgia9682778487

    10Azerbaidjan9671626058

    11Kazakhstan7494878583

    12Uzbekistan8778656359

    13Turkmenistan10889736968

    14Kirghizia7074737168

    15Tadjikistan7171625752

    Figure 18.2.Fixed production capital stock per capita in republics,1980 and 1989, USSR = 100%

    Source:Narodnoye Khozyaistvo SSSR (National Economy of the USSR) for various years.

    Y1 axis title: %

    1Russia115120

    2Ukraine9085

    3Belorussia8896

    4Lithuania107111

    5Latvia117114

    6Estonia133126

    7Moldova7570

    8Armenia6870

    9Georgia7473

    10Azerbaidjan6562

    11Kazakhstan105102

    12Uzbekistan5647

    13Turkmenistan8376

    14Kirghizia5749

    15Tadjikistan4738

    Figure 18.3.Retail sales per capita by republic,as a % of national average,in current prices */

    */Data for 1940 are in 1958 prices. Source:Narodnoye Khozyaistvo SSSR(National Economy of the USSR),various years.

    11940100117846060877496

    2

    3

    4

    5

    6

    7

    8

    9

    10

    11

    12

    13

    14

    15

    16

    17

    18

    191958100111847078948271

    20

    21

    22

    23

    24

    25

    26

    27

    28

    29

    30

    3119701001109191658777

    32

    33

    34

    35

    36

    37

    38

    39

    40

    4119801001109210163858460

    42

    43

    44

    45

    46

    47

    48

    49

    501001109411159838758

    511990

    Figure 18.2.Fixed production capital stock per capita in republics,1980 and 1989, USSR = 100%

    Source:Narodnoye Khozyaistvo SSSR (National Economy of the USSR) for various years.

    1Russia115120

    2Ukraine9085

    3Belorussia8896

    4Lithuania107111

    5Latvia117114

    6Estonia133126

    7Moldova7570

    8Armenia6870

    9Georgia7473

    10Azerbaidjan6562

    11Kazakhstan105102

    12Uzbekistan5647

    13Turkmenistan8376

    14Kirghizia5749

    15Tadjikistan4738

    16

    17

    4. F-18-1-B.

    5. F-18-1-A.

    Sour:Narodnoye KhozyaisSSSR

    1Russia4.33.8

    2Ukraine33.8

    3Belorussia4.73.8

    4Lithuania5.33.8

    5Latvia3.73.8

    6Estonia3.83.8

    7Moldova2.93.8

    8Armenia5.23.8

    9Georgia33.8

    10Azerbaidjan2.43.8

    11Kazakhstan43.8

    12Uzbekistan1.33.8

    13Turkmenistan1.93.8

    14Kirghizia1.83.8

    15Tadjikistan2.23.8

    16

    Figure 18.1.Average annual growth rates of fixed production capital stock per capita in republics,%

    1Russia76.6

    2Ukraine6.16.6

    3Belorussia7.96.6

    4Lithuania6.46.6

    5Latvia66.6

    6Estonia5.66.6

    7Moldova7.36.6

    8Armenia6.16.6

    9Georgia5.96.6

    10Azerbaidjan5.26.6

    11Kazakhstan66.6

    12Uzbekistan6.16.6

    13Turkmenistan6.66.6

    14Kirghizia5.56.6

    15Tadjikistan4.86.6

    16

    Figure 19.7.The number of people moving across Soviet borders

    Source:Narodnoye Khozyaistvo SSSR(National Economy of the USSR),various years; Ekonomika i Zhiz'n,1990,No.32.ious years; Ekonomika i Zhiz'n,1990,No.32.

    119752.43.7

    219852.84.3

    319860.002

    419870.04

    519880.114.26

    619890.2387.8

    719900.4

    81991

    Figure 19.6.Dollar exchange rate at foreign exchange auctions,Gosbank currency exchange and black market

    Source: Newspapes reports.

    Y1 axis title: Rubles per $1

    Y2 axis title: Million rubles,official rate-0.6R per $1

    1Oct-898.49.5

    2Nov-89

    3Dec-8913.221

    4Jan-908.210.514.716.6

    5Feb-90912.816.216.6

    6Mar-9016.223.4

    7Apr-909.61417.215.5

    8May-909.816.217.921.2

    9Jun-906.82125.7

    10Jul-90924.218.220

    11Aug-9011.723.219.227

    12Sep-9020.230.9

    13Oct-9013.423.118.730

    14Nov-9019.320.9

    15Dec-9014.421.6

    16Jan-9126.223.429.526

    17Feb-9122.332

    18Mar-913.935.427.538

    19Apr-9131.730.2

    20May-9127.6

    21Jun-9142

    22Jul-9160

    23Aug-9150

    Figure 19.5.Distribution of joint-ventures initial capital by country of foreign partner,end-March,1990,%

    Source: A Study of Soviet Economy.IMF, World Bank,OECD,EBRD.1991.Vol.2,p.104.

    1West Germany12.5es 1

    2Italy11.6es 2

    3France8.4es 3

    4Finland8.4es 4

    5USA8.2es 5

    6Austria6.2es 6

    7Bulgaria4.6es 7

    8Sweden4.4es 8

    9UK4.4es 9

    10Australia3.4es 10

    11Poland2.8es 11

    12Other25.1es 6

    Figure 19.4.Number of joint-ventures in the USSR, their total initial capital,and average capital per venture,year-ends

    Source:A Study of the Soviet Economy.IMF World Bank,OECD,EBRD.1991.Vol.2,p.102; Ekonomika i Zhiz'n,1991,No.5.

    11987502006.9

    219882008004.3

    31989130035002.8

    41990300060002

    Figure 19.3.Soviet exports and imports by region, billion rubles

    Source:Narodnoye Khozyaistvo SSSR(National Economy of the USSR)for various years;PlanEcon Report,1991,March 27.

    1198572.769.440.237.918.619.39.67.6

    2198668.362.642.237.813.115.99.64.9

    3198768.160.740.738.914.213.99.84.7

    4198867.1653939.814.716.39.65.3

    5198968.772.13840.616.420.510.17

    6199060.970.726.231.422.828.18.56.7

    Figure 19.1.Soviet oil production,net exports,and apparent consumption (million metric tons)

    Source:PlanEcon Report,1991,March 6.

    Y1 axis title: Million tons

    11980116487603

    21981113496609

    31982113500613

    4198312049661616.6

    5198412149261316.6

    6198510549059523.4

    7198611550061515.5

    8198712350162421.2

    9198812450062425.7

    10198911449360720

    11199011145957027

    12199150830.9

    Figure 19. .Dollar exchange rate at foreign exchange auctions,Gosbank currency exchange and black market

    Source:Newspapes reports.

    Y1 axis title: Rubles per $1

    Y2 axis title: Million rubles,official rate-0.6R per $1

    1Oct-898.49.5

    2Nov-89

    3Dec-89

    4Jan-908.210.514.716.6

    5Feb-90912.816.216.6

    6Mar-9016.223.4

    7Apr-909.61417.215.5

    8May-909.816.217.921.2

    9Jun-906.82125.7

    10Jul-90924.218.220

    11Aug-9011.723.219.227

    12Sep-9020.230.9

    13Oct-9013.423.118.730

    14Nov-9019.320.9

    15Dec-9014.421.6

    16Jan-9126.223.429.526

    17Feb-9122.332

    18Mar-913.935.427.538

    19Apr-9131.730.2

    20May-9127.6

    21Jun-9142

    1. F-19-2-C.CHT

    1197062.784.875.6

    265.794.480.3

    364.692.188.2

    468.993.891.6

    573.598.695.6

    6197567.2100100

    771.394.595.5

    87492.694.6

    976.196.197.5

    1082.797.7106.3

    11198087.197.6104.4

    1288.3

    1395.9

    1498.1

    1599.6

    161985100

    1790.6

    1890

    1983

    2082.9

    21199084.5

    22

    23

    24

    2. F-19-2-B.CHT

    1198064.184.875.6

    2198175.894.480.3

    3198281.392.188.2

    4198385.993.891.6

    5198494.298.695.6

    61985100100100

    7198690.294.595.5

    8198787.592.694.6

    9198893.796.197.5

    101989103.997.7106.3

    111990101.997.6104.4

    121991

    3. F-19-2-A.CHT

    1198068.273.992.3

    2198178.583.494.2

    3198286.988.398.4

    4198393.491.9101.6

    51984102.398.2104.2

    61985100100100

    7198693.985.6109.7

    8198793.883.3112.6

    9198892.479.7115.9

    10198994.681.1116.7

    11199083.882.5101.6

    121991

    Figure C.1.Soviet GNP growth rates,%, different scenariosios

    Source: Table 13.1;Figure 13.1;Newspaper reports

    119852.30.8

    219863.34.1

    319872.91.3

    419885.52.2

    5198931.4

    61990-2-4-2-2

    71991-12.5-7

    81992127

    91993138

    101994149

    1119951510

    11985

    21986

    31987

    41988

    51989

    61990-2-2-2

    71991-11.6-20-30

    81992

    91993

    101994

    111995

  • Why was material and capital intensity high and increasing?It could be hypothesized that high material intensity was the result of relatively low prices for resources and the lack of stimuli to reduce costsHowever, there were stimuli to increase profits and reduce costs (at least after 1965 reform). Besides, in EE countries, where energy and material prices were close to world levels, energy and material intensity was also highBut the main criteria of the performance of enterprises in the administrative system was meeting the production quotas, reducing costs was a secondary targetIf there is a conflict between meeting the production quota and cutting costs, managers have always chosen the production quota even at the expense of higher costs

  • Growth of inventories - natural reaction of enterprises to protect themselves from disruption of suppliesHuge inventories caused by the inefficient system of rationed supply - centralized allocation of resourcesInventory to sales ratios - considerably higher in the USSR than in the WestIn manufacturing - 1.4-1.9 in the US, 2.4 in the USSRInventories in the state enterprises in material production in 1957 comprised 57% of the national income, in 1985 460 billion rubles, or 80% of national incomeInventories in the US ~30% of national incomeRapid growth of inventories to income ratio in the 1970-80s, as opposed to the stability of this ratio in Western countriesKanban system (just-in-time deliveries) introduced in 1972 by Toyota, later widely spread to other industries and countries

  • Inventories as a % of national income (prior to 1985 for the USSR inventories of collective farms are excluded; after 1985 statistical definition of inventories was changed)Source: Narodnoye Khozyaistvo SSSR (National Economy of the USSR); Economic Report of the President for various years.

    Chart7

    0.50.36

    0.570.33

    0.570.34

    0.650.4

    0.710.4

    0.820.31

    0.816

    0.8

    0.772

    0.798

    19901990

    USSR

    USA

    1

    Agricultural goodsAll goodsIndustrial goods

    108%123%141%108123141

    1923177%96%120%7796120

    288%115%158%88115158

    3102%145%207%102145207

    489%156%276%89156276

    19241124%169%229%124169229

    2156%181%209%156181209

    3141%169%202%141169202

    4130%164%199%130164199

    19251152%172%194%152172194

    2198%195%191%198195191

    3186%188%190%186188190

    4156%174%195%156174195

    19261169%182%198%169182198

    2191%196%202%191196202

    3164%183%204%164183204

    4157%179%204%157179204

    19271154%177%203%154177203

    2160%177%196%160177196

    3157%173%191%157173191

    4154%170%188%154170188

    19281156%171%188%156171188

    2156%171%188%156171188

    3157%172%187%157172187

    4166%179%187%166179187

    167%177%188%167177188

    1

    000

    000

    000

    000

    000

    000

    000

    000

    000

    000

    000

    000

    000

    000

    000

    000

    000

    000

    000

    000

    000

    000

    000

    000

    000

    000

    "Scissors crisis"

    Agricultural goods

    All goods

    Industrial goods

    3-1

    ExportState PurchasesProduction

    19139.186

    192611.676.8

    19271172.3

    19280.110.873.3

    19290.316.171.7

    19304.822.183.5

    19315.222.869.5

    19321.818.569.9

    3-1

    000

    000

    000

    000

    000

    000

    000

    000

    Production

    State Purchases

    Export

    5-1-a

    191386.0

    1924

    69.3

    69.3

    69.3

    192869.3

    73.6

    73.6

    73.6

    73.6

    193373.6

    72.9

    72.9

    72.9

    193772.9

    77.9

    77.9

    194077.9

    1945

    64.8

    64.8

    64.8

    64.8

    195064.8

    88.5

    88.5

    88.5

    88.5

    195588.5

    121.5

    121.5

    121.5

    121.5

    1960121.5

    130.3

    130.3

    130.3

    130.3

    1965130.3

    167.6

    167.6

    167.6

    167.6

    1970167.6

    181.6

    181.6

    181.6

    181.6

    1975181.6

    205.0

    205.0

    205.0

    205.0

    1980205.0

    180.3

    180.3

    180.3

    180.3

    1985180.3

    212.1

    212.1

    212.1

    212.1

    1990212.1

    5-1-a

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    Average annual grain harvest (million tons)

    5-1-b

    19135

    3

    19284.9

    19322.8

    19373

    19404.7

    19452.6

    19504.9

    19556.3

    19608.7

    196510

    197012.3

    197515

    198015.1

    198517.1

    199019.9

    5-1-b

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    Meat production (Million tons)

    5-1-c

    191658.4

    191850.8

    192240.9

    192958.2

    193333.5

    193850.9

    194154.5

    194647.6

    195157.1

    195455.8

    196074.2

    196587.2

    197199.2

    1976111

    1981115.1

    1986120.9

    1991116.2

    5-1-c

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    Cattle (Million Head)

    5-1-d

    1913100%

    191786%

    192170%

    1926128%

    1928129%

    1933102%

    1938114%

    1940116%

    194579%

    1950125%

    1955139%

    1960169%

    1965176%

    1970206%

    1975202%

    1980209%

    1985221%

    1990228%

    5-1-d

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    Per capita agricultural output (1913=100%)

    4-3-a

    Alternative EstimateOfficial Statistics

    192122.525.5

    22.525.5

    22.525.5

    22.525.5

    22.525.5

    22.525.5

    22.525.5

    22.525.5

    192922.525.5

    9.017.1

    9.017.1

    9.017.1

    9.017.1

    9.017.1

    9.017.1

    9.017.1

    9.017.1

    19389.017.1

    5.07.0

    5.07.0

    5.07.0

    5.07.0

    5.07.0

    5.07.0

    5.07.0

    5.07.0

    5.07.0

    5.07.0

    5.07.0

    19505.07.0

    6.58.0

    6.58.0

    6.58.0

    6.58.0

    6.58.0

    6.58.0

    6.58.0

    6.58.0

    6.58.0

    6.58.0

    6.58.0

    6.58.0

    6.58.0

    6.58.0

    6.58.0

    6.58.0

    6.58.0

    6.58.0

    6.58.0

    6.58.0

    6.58.0

    6.58.0

    6.58.0

    6.58.0

    6.58.0

    6.58.0

    6.58.0

    6.58.0

    6.58.0

    6.58.0

    6.58.0

    6.58.0

    6.58.0

    6.58.0

    6.58.0

    19866.58.0

    2.5

    2.5

    2.5

    19902.5

    4-3-a

    00

    00

    00

    00

    00

    00

    00

    00

    00

    00

    00

    00

    00

    00

    00

    00

    00

    00

    00

    00

    00

    00

    00

    00

    00

    00

    00

    00

    00

    00

    00

    00

    00

    00

    00

    00

    00

    00

    00

    00

    00

    00

    00

    00

    00

    00

    00

    00

    00

    00

    00

    00

    00

    00

    00

    00

    00

    00

    00

    00

    00

    00

    00

    00

    00

    00

    00

    00

    00

    00

    Official Statistics

    Alternative Estimate

    percent

    4-3-b

    Alternative EstimateOfficial Statistics

    192113.617.5

    13.617.5

    13.617.5

    13.617.5

    13.617.5

    13.617.5

    13.617.5

    13.617.5

    192913.617.5

    8.016.2

    8.016.2

    8.016.2

    8.016.2

    8.016.2

    8.016.2

    8.016.2

    8.016.2

    19388.016.2

    4.36.2

    4.36.2

    4.36.2

    4.36.2

    4.36.2

    4.36.2

    4.36.2

    4.36.2

    4.36.2

    4.36.2

    4.36.2

    19504.36.2

    4.76.9

    4.76.9

    4.76.9

    4.76.9

    4.76.9

    4.76.9

    4.76.9

    4.76.9

    4.76.9

    4.76.9

    4.76.9

    4.76.9

    4.76.9

    4.76.9

    4.76.9

    4.76.9

    4.76.9

    4.76.9

    4.76.9

    4.76.9

    4.76.9

    4.76.9

    4.76.9

    4.76.9

    4.76.9

    4.76.9

    4.76.9

    4.76.9

    4.76.9

    4.76.9

    4.76.9

    4.76.9

    4.76.9

    4.76.9

    4.76.9

    19864.76.9

    1.4

    1.4

    1.4

    19901.4

    4-3-b

    00

    00

    00

    00

    00

    00

    00

    00

    00

    00

    00

    00

    00

    00

    00

    00

    00

    00

    00

    00

    00

    00

    00

    00

    00

    00

    00

    00

    00

    00

    00

    00

    00

    00

    00

    00

    00

    00

    00

    00

    00

    00

    00

    00

    00

    00

    00

    00

    00

    00

    00

    00

    00

    00

    00

    00

    00

    00

    00

    00

    00

    00

    00

    00

    00

    00

    00

    00

    00

    00

    Official Statistics

    Alternative Estimate

    percent

    4-3-c

    Alternative EstimateOfficial Statistics

    19216.76.8

    6.76.8

    6.76.8

    6.76.8

    6.76.8

    6.76.8

    6.76.8

    6.76.8

    19296.76.8

    1.20.1

    1.20.1

    1.20.1

    1.20.1

    1.20.1

    1.20.1

    1.20.1

    1.20.1

    19381.20.1

    0.11.4

    0.11.4

    0.11.4

    0.11.4

    0.11.4

    0.11.4

    0.11.4

    0.11.4

    0.11.4

    0.11.4

    0.11.4

    19500.11.4

    2.83.1

    2.83.1

    2.83.1

    2.83.1

    2.83.1

    2.83.1

    2.83.1

    2.83.1

    2.83.1

    2.83.1

    2.83.1

    2.83.1

    2.83.1

    2.83.1

    2.83.1

    2.83.1

    2.83.1

    2.83.1

    2.83.1

    2.83.1

    2.83.1

    2.83.1

    2.83.1

    2.83.1

    2.83.1

    2.83.1

    2.83.1

    2.83.1

    2.83.1

    2.83.1

    2.83.1

    2.83.1

    2.83.1

    2.83.1

    2.83.1

    19862.83.1

    1.0

    1.0

    1.0

    19901.0

    4-3-c

    00

    00

    00

    00

    00

    00

    00

    00

    00

    00

    00

    00

    00

    00

    00

    00

    00

    00

    00

    00

    00

    00

    00

    00

    00

    00

    00

    00

    00

    00

    00

    00

    00

    00

    00

    00

    00

    00

    00

    00

    00

    00

    00

    00

    00

    00

    00

    00

    00

    00

    00

    00

    00

    00

    00

    00

    00

    00

    00

    00

    00

    00

    00

    00

    00

    00

    00

    00

    00

    00

    Official Statistics

    Alternative Estimate

    percent

    8

    Figure 8.2.Energy intensity of GDP

    Source:Dobozi I.Soviet Energy Policy and Consumption in 1990s:The Need for new Thinking and Price Reform.1991.

    Tons of oil equivalent per mill.$ GDP

    USSRUSAJapanOECD

    11960720800370570

    111970737827424572

    211980813683340483

    301990823565275409

    Figure 8.3.Inventories as a % of national income

    Source: Narodnoye Khozyaistvo SSSR (National Economy of the USSR);Economic Report of the President for various years.

    USSRUSA

    1196050%36%135.5424.931.89

    6196557%33%169.1585.228.896

    11197057%34%240.3832.628.861

    16197565%40%428.81281.933.45

    21198071%40%739.32203.533.551

    26198582%31%863.5323426.701

    81.60%

    80%

    77.20%

    79.80%

    3119901063.74417.524.079

    Figure 8.4.Capital productivity, 1960=100%

    Source:Narodnoye Khozyaistvo SSSR (National Economy of the USSR) for various years.

    IndustryMaterial ProductionAgricultureConstruction

    11960100%100%100%100%

    6196590%86%79%78%

    11197089%85%72%64%

    16197586%75%47%54%

    21198073%64%36%36%

    26198563%56%30%28%

    28198762%54%29%28%

    Figure 8.5.Growth rates of capital stock and output in industry,1960-85,%

    Source: Narodnoye Khozyaistvo SSSR(National Economy of the USSR);EKO,1986,No.2, p.29.

    1Capital Stock in comparable prices769%

    2Pover Capacity524%

    3Electrical Capacity495%

    4Energy Consumption431%

    6Gross Output in Comparable Prices485%

    7Gross Physical Output291%

    Figure 8.6.Growth rates of capital stock and output in agriculture,1960-85,%

    Source:Narodnoye Khozyaistvo SSSR (National Economy of the USSR).

    1574%

    2498%

    3482%

    4448%

    5407%

    6212%

    7203%

    8167%

    9159%

    10133%

    11105%

    12

    1381%

    1486%

    15133%

    16139%

    17143%

    18153%

    19160%

    20169%

    21169%

    22192%

    23197%

    24282%

    8

    0000

    0000

    0000

    0000

    USSR

    USA

    Japan

    OECD

    Tons of oil equivalent per mill. $ GDP

    9

    00

    00

    00

    00

    00

    00

    00

    00

    00

    00

    00

    00

    00

    00

    00

    00

    00

    00

    00

    00

    00

    00

    00

    00

    00

    00

    00

    00

    00

    00

    00

    USSR

    USA

    10

    0000

    0000

    0000

    0000

    0000

    0000

    0000

    Industry

    Material Production

    Agriculture

    Construction

    11

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    12

    Figure 9.1.Collective farm market and cooperative trade and prices

    Source:Narodnoye Khozyaistvo SSSR (National Economy of the USSR) for various years.

    1194062.7230100

    21945

    3195063.924.10

    41955

    5196066.728.80.9101

    61965

    7197068.628.80.9100

    81975

    9198069.827.50.7101

    10198570.327.11.4102

    11198971.6262.5105

    1194017414.3

    21945

    3195010612

    41955

    519601524.5

    61965

    719701632.6

    81975

    919802292.7

    1019852462.6

    1119892512.4

    13

    Figure 10.3.Credit outstanding to enterprises and households and nominal national income,trend growth rates,1960-85,%

    Source:Narodnoye Khozyaistvo SSSR (National Economy of the USSR) for various years

    1

    2

    319603.96.36.5

    44.410.85.49.7

    510.68.17.79.7

    616.19.42.69.7

    713.413.47.519.9

    8196512.96.96.60.7

    913.815.37.234.5

    1010.514.98.728.5

    1122.511.58.220.4

    126.867.320.4

    13197013.38.710.720.4

    147.38.55.219.8

    154.89.82.837.2

    1619.812.27.715.3

    177.911.74.715.3

    1819753.98.12.79.7

    197.211.76.216

    206.511.45.219.5

    217.98.24.214.2

    229.49.24.39.5

    2319806.2144.17.6

    2414.520.85.36.3

    253.67.77.55.1

    264.25.44.71.9

    272.25.83.91.8

    2819854.91.61

    29

    30

    31

    32

    33

    34

    35

    36

    Figure 10.2.Household savings rate, as a % of personal disposable income

    Source:Stabilization,Liberalization and Devolution...(EC Repot on Soviet economy),1990,p.163

    1197055

    255

    35.25.2

    45.15.1

    56.46.4

    619756.86.8

    76.66.6

    86.66.6

    96.56.5

    105.85.8

    1119804.64.6

    123.33.3

    134.14.1

    145.35.3

    155.75.7

    1619856.66.6

    177.3

    188

    199.6

    2012.5

    21199012.7

    22

    23

    24

    Figure 10.1 Money supply and national income in current prices, trend growth rates,1960-85,%

    Source:Narodnoye Khozyaistvo SSSR (National Economy of the USSR)for various years

    119607.96.59.25.4

    219619.35.43.23.9

    319628.57.77.74.4

    4196310.22.6510.6

    5196412.17.55.116.1

    6196519.16.68.112.2

    7196622.47.27.712.9

    8196717.58.79.313.8

    9196820.48.28.210.5

    10196918.57.37.622.5

    11197021.410.77.36.83

    12197114.25.26.513.3

    13197214.12.86.77.3

    141973137.75.14.88

    15197414.84.75.819.8

    16197515.32.77.17.9

    17197613.26.24.83.9

    18197713.35.24.67.2

    19197812.34.24.86.5

    20197911.54.35.27.9

    21198074.16.69.4

    2219815.95.35.96.2

    2319825.27.53.314.5

    2419837.24.73.23.6

    2519848.13.93.44.2

    2619859.31.62.52.2

    27

    14

    Figure 11.4.Soviet debt and asset position vis-a-vis BIS-area banks in hard currency,billion of dollars at year-end

    Source:PlanEcon,1991,March 27.

    Y1 axis title: Billion dollars

    119804.88.613.4

    219817.44.511.9

    319824.21014.2

    419835.310.916.2

    519845.311.316.6

    619859.713.122.8

    7198614.214.829

    8198719.214.133.3

    9198821.515.336.8

    10198930.214.744.9

    11199038745

    12

    Figure 11.3.Ratio of world market prices to domestic prices for selected goods, 1990,%

    Source:Ekonomika i zhiz'n,1990,No.36; Economist,1990,October 20;A Study of the Soviet Economy.IMF,1991.Vol.3,p.171,316.

    1264264

    2264240

    3240223

    4223217

    5212212

    6202202

    7196196

    8161186

    9155161

    10144155

    11143144

    12141143

    13135141

    14127135

    15134

    16127

    17109

    1840

    1938

    2034

    2134

    2232

    2329

    2427

    2526

    2623

    2720

    281

    29

    30

    31

    32

    33

    34

    35

    36

    Figure 11.2.Exports and foreign trade turnover as a % of national income in constant prices

    Source:Mirovaya Ekonomika i Mezhdunarodniye Otnosheniya,1987,No.11,p.147; Stuart R.The Soviet Economic

    119182020

    22020

    32020

    42020

    52020

    62020

    719242020

    82020

    92020

    102020

    1119282020

    12303.13.130

    13303.53.530

    14303330

    15302.62.630

    16193362.32.36

    1761.81.86

    1861.31.36

    1960.80.86

    2060.50.56

    2119382.62.6

    222.62.6

    232.62.6

    2419412.62.6

    253.33.3

    263.33.3

    273.33.3

    283.33.3

    2919469.59.5

    309.59.5

    319.59.5

    329.59.5

    339.59.5

    34195110.810.8

    3510.810.8

    3610.810.8

    3710.810.8

    3810.83310.8

    39195612.63312.6

    4012.63.63.612.6

    4112.63.13.112.6

    4212.63.93.912.6

    4312.63.73.712.6

    44196114.83.93.914.8

    4514.84.34.314.8

    4614.84.44.414.8

    4714.84.44.414.8

    4814.84.54.514.8

    49196614.74.64.614.7

    5014.75514.7

    5114.75.95.914.7

    5214.76614.7

    5314.76.36.314.7

    541971206.46.420

    55205.75.720

    56206620

    57206.56.520

    58206.36.320

    59197622.16.56.522.1

    6022.122.1

    6122.122.1

    6222.122.1

    6322.111.111.122.1

    64198123.623.6

    6523.623.6

    6623.623.6

    6723.623.6

    6823.610.510.523.6

    69198622.822.8

    7022.822.8

    7122.822.8

    7222.822.8

    73199022.88.78.722.8

    74

    75

    76

    77

    78

    79

    80

    81

    82

    83

    84

    Figure 11.1.Soviet foreign trade turnover, as a % of retail trade turnover and national income in current prices

    Source:Narodnoye Khozyaistvo SSSR (National Economy of the USSR)for various years.

    119249.8

    2

    3

    4

    5192811.4

    63.1

    73.5

    83

    919323.22.6

    102.3

    111.8

    121.3

    130.8

    1419372.40.5

    15

    16

    1719401.6

    18

    19

    20

    21

    22194510.1

    23

    24

    25

    26

    2719508.1

    28

    29

    30

    31

    32195511.63

    333

    343.6

    353.1

    363.9

    37196012.86.93.7

    383.9

    394.3

    404.4

    414.4

    42196513.97.64.5

    434.6

    445

    455.9

    466

    47197014.27.66.3

    486.4

    495.7

    506

    516.5

    52197524.1146.3

    536.5

    54

    55

    56

    57198034.820.4

    58

    59

    60

    61

    62198543.824.6

    63

    64

    65

    66

    67199028.219.1

    68

    69

    70

    71

    72

    16

    Figure 12.3.Money supply and wages, annual growth rates,%

    Source:Narodnoye Khozyaistvo SSSR(National Economy of the USSR) for various years

    16.4

    219605.417.84.1

    33.96.33.3

    44.410.81.7

    510.68.12.9

    616.19.46.3

    7196513.413.44.2

    812.96.94.5

    913.815.37.6

    1010.514.93.7

    1122.511.54.4

    1219706.863.2

    1313.38.73.4

    147.38.53.6

    154.89.84.6

    1619.812.23.3

    1719757.911.73.8

    183.98.12.5

    197.211.73

    206.511.42.1

    217.98.23.4

    2219809.49.22.1

    236.2142.8

    2414.520.81.8

    253.67.72.4

    264.25.42.9

    2719852.25.82.9

    284.93.7

    29-13.2

    30-4.5

    31

    321990

    Figure 12.2.Personal bank deposits and retail sales in current prices, annual growth rates,%

    Source:Narodnoye Khozyaistvo SSSR(National Economy of the USSR)for various years

    119607.97.33.23.9

    219619.35.87.74.4

    319628.57.8510.6

    4196310.210.35.116.1

    5196412.110.38.112.2

    6196519.85.97.712.9

    7196622.47.79.313.8

    8196717.58.48.210.5

    9196820.48.17.622.5

    10196918.57.17.36.8

    11197021.411.26.513.3

    12197114.25.16.77.3

    13197214.13.55.14.8

    141973137.75.819.8

    15197414.84.17.17.9

    16197515.34.24.83.9

    17197613.25.54.67.2

    18197713.34.34.86.5

    19197812.35.35.27.9

    20197911.52.96.69.4

    21198074.95.96.2

    2219815.95.23.314.5

    2319825.27.33.23.6

    2419837.24.53.44.2

    2519848.14.22.52.2

    2619859.31.72.3

    271986101.32.8

    2819879.91.77.1

    29198811.25.710.3

    30198913.85.3

    311990

    Figure 12.1.Enterprises deposits and national income in current prices, annual growth rates,%

    Source:Narodnoye Khozyaistvo SSSR (National Economy of the USSR) for various years

    119607.95.49.25.4

    219619.37.73.23.9

    319628.52.67.74.4

    4196310.27.5510.6

    5196412.16.65.116.1

    6196519.87.28.112.2

    7196622.48.77.712.9

    8196717.58.29.313.8

    9196820.47.38.210.5

    10196918.510.77.622.5

    11197021.45.27.36.8

    12197114.22.86.513.3

    13197214.17.76.77.3

    141973134.75.14.8

    15197414.82.75.819.8

    16197515.36.27.17.9

    17197613.25.24.83.9

    18197713.34.24.67.2

    19197812.34.34.86.5

    20197911.54.15.27.9

    21198075.36.69.4

    2219815.97.55.96.2

    2319825.24.73.314.5

    2419837.23.93.23.6

    2519848.11.63.44.2

    2619859.31.52.52.2

    271986102.12.3

    2819879.95.22.8

    2919884.1

    301989

    311990

    Figure 12.1.Money supply and GNP/national income,annual growth rates,%

    119600.53.6

    219613.27.6

    319621.95.6

    419633.77.1

    519644.68.5

    619654.79.5

    719662.55.8

    819676.59.3

    919687.78

    1019693.35.4

    1119705.18.6

    1219716.510

    1319729.212.1

    1419735.58.3

    1519744.48.5

    1619754.811.5

    1719766.511.7

    1819778.113

    1919788.211.5

    2019796.88.9

    2119806.811.7

    2219816.73.7

    2319828.77.6

    2419839.810.8

    2519845.96.4

    26198512.35.4

    2716.96.7

    283.57.9

    294.96.7

    300.95

    3119903.9

    32

    33

    34

    35

    36

    CH12-1-A.CHTBAR/LINEEnterprisep&nationncome,USSR

    119607.95.49.25.4

    219619.37.73.23.9

    319628.52.67.74.4

    4196310.27.5510.6

    5196412.16.65.116.1

    6196519.87.28.112.2

    7196622.48.77.712.9

    8196717.58.29.313.8

    9196820.47.38.210.5

    10196918.510.77.622.5

    11197021.45.27.36.8

    12197114.22.86.513.3

    13197214.17.76.77.3

    141973134.75.14.8

    15197414.82.75.819.8

    16197515.36.27.17.9

    17197613.25.24.83.9

    18197713.34.24.67.2

    19197812.34.34.86.5

    20197911.54.15.27.9

    21198075.36.69.4

    2219815.97.55.96.2

    2319825.24.73.314.5

    2419837.23.93.23.6

    2519848.11.63.44.2

    2619859.31.52.52.2

    271986102.12.3

    2819879.95.22.8

    2919884.1

    301989

    311990

    32

    17

    6. CH-13-D.C

    7. CH-13-C.C

    8. CH-13-B.C

    9. CH-13-A.C

    International investment positions in convertible currencies,year-ends,bill.$

    1198528.912.9

    2198631.414.727.7

    3198739.214.126.5

    419884315.323.1

    519895414.724.2

    6199057733

    7199160

    8

    9

    10

    11

    12

    Money Supply Growth Rates(%) and Government Debt as a % of GNP

    119806.813.7

    219816.814.4

    319826.815.7

    419836.816.3

    519846.816.8

    619856.818.2

    719867.620.3

    8198715.722.3

    9198815.435.6

    10198914.343.1

    11199018.658.4

    121991

    Inflation in the consumer market,%

    119801

    219811

    319824

    419830

    51984-1

    619851

    719862

    8198714

    919880.35

    10198927.5

    1119905.319

    121991

    Real GNP Growth Rates,%

    119804.50.8

    219813.81

    319823.92.7

    419834.53.3

    5198441.5

    619852.30.8

    719863.34.1

    819872.91.3

    919885.52.2

    10198931.4

    111990-2-4

    121991-8

    18

    Figure 14.4.Enterprises and households money growth rates,%

    Source:PlanEcon,1991,March 27

    1198110.35.86

    2198210.35.86

    3198310.35.86

    4198410.35.86

    5198510.35.86

    619866.97.86.1

    7198736.18.57.8

    819882511.113.6

    9198911.115.919.5

    10199013.421.126.8

    Figure 14.3.Monetary aggregates and GNP growth rates,%

    Source: Narodnoye Khozyaistvo SSSR (National Economy of the USSR)for various years;PlanEcon,March 27,1991,p.21.

    119813.74.66.87.51.8

    219823.74.66.87.51.8

    319833.74.66.87.51.8

    419843.74.66.87.51.8

    519853.74.66.87.51.8

    619863.32.87.68.54.1

    719872.93.315.714.71.3

    819885.56.115.414.12.2

    9198935.614.314.81.4

    101990-218.620-4

    111991

    Figure 14.2.Credit outstanding,billion rubles,year ends

    Source:PlanEcon,1991,March 27

    11980342.578.20.7

    21985519.41182

    31986450.2140.62.4

    41987427.8200.73.1

    51988398.82985.8

    61989383.7390.17.4

    71990367.4524.910.6

    Figure 14.1. Government budget revenues, expenditure,and deficit,billion rubles

    Source:Narodnoye Khozyaistvo SSSR(National Economy of the USSR) for various years

    Y1 axis title: Billion rubles

    Y2 axis title: Billion rubles

    119802822949190

    2198129831010092

    31982334343101102

    41983339354103107

    51984362371103116

    61985373386569812056

    7198637241746.49113046.4

    8198737843144.79412744.7

    9198837946036.610112036.6

    10198940248239.811111539.8

    111990

    121991

    19

    Figure 16.2.Number of employees in the public administration, thousand persons

    Source: Narodnoye Khozyaistvo SSSR(National Economy of the USSR) for various years.

    119804.50E-362231700

    2-8.30E+20

    31985-1523242376753

    419866.40E-102366762

    519878.73E-101981765

    61988-8.73E-101831751

    719893.20E-301577706

    81990

    Figure 16.1.The share of profit left at state enterprises and non centralized investment,% of total

    Source:Narodnoye Khozyaistvo SSSR (National Economy of the USSR) for various years.

    119851538

    2198631739

    31987181739

    41988403341

    51989514043

    6199058

    71991

    c1

    Figure 17.1.Number of persons engaged in individual labor activity and working in coops(including part-time),million

    Narodnoye Khozyaistvo SSSR (National Economy of the USSR) for various years; newspaper reports.

    119860.1

    219870.150.310.7

    319881.40.718.1

    419894.90.325.4

    519906.10.224.9

    61991

    sh

    Figure 18.3.Retail sales per capita by republic as a % of national average,1940,1958,1970,1989,in current prices */

    */Data for 1940 are in 1958 prices.

    Source:Narodnoye Khozyaistvo SSSR(National Economy of the USSR),various years.

    Y1 axis title: %

    1Russia117111110110110

    2Ukraine8484919294

    3Belorussia607091101111

    4Lithuania6380110118128

    5Latvia109135148144146

    6Estonia127138150150154

    7Moldova4663768790

    8Armenia8677798390

    9Georgia9682778487

    10Azerbaidjan9671626058

    11Kazakhstan7494878583

    12Uzbekistan8778656359

    13Turkmenistan10889736968

    14Kirghizia7074737168

    15Tadjikistan7171625752

    Figure 18.2.Fixed production capital stock per capita in republics,1980 and 1989, USSR = 100%

    Source:Narodnoye Khozyaistvo SSSR (National Economy of the USSR) for various years.

    Y1 axis title: %

    1Russia115120

    2Ukraine9085

    3Belorussia8896

    4Lithuania107111

    5Latvia117114

    6Estonia133126

    7Moldova7570

    8Armenia6870

    9Georgia7473

    10Azerbaidjan6562

    11Kazakhstan105102

    12Uzbekistan5647

    13Turkmenistan8376

    14Kirghizia5749

    15Tadjikistan4738

    Figure 18.3.Retail sales per capita by republic,as a % of national average,in current prices */

    */Data for 1940 are in 1958 prices. Source:Narodnoye Khozyaistvo SSSR(National Economy of the USSR),various years.

    11940100117846060877496

    2

    3

    4

    5

    6

    7

    8

    9

    10

    11

    12

    13

    14

    15

    16

    17

    18

    191958100111847078948271

    20

    21

    22

    23

    24

    25

    26

    27

    28

    29

    30

    3119701001109191658777

    32

    33

    34

    35

    36

    37

    38

    39

    40

    4119801001109210163858460

    42

    43

    44

    45

    46

    47

    48

    49

    501001109411159838758

    511990

    Figure 18.2.Fixed production capital stock per capita in republics,1980 and 1989, USSR = 100%

    Source:Narodnoye Khozyaistvo SSSR (National Economy of the USSR) for various years.

    1Russia115120

    2Ukraine9085

    3Belorussia8896

    4Lithuania107111

    5Latvia117114

    6Estonia133126

    7Moldova7570

    8Armenia6870

    9Georgia7473

    10Azerbaidjan6562

    11Kazakhstan105102

    12Uzbekistan5647

    13Turkmenistan8376

    14Kirghizia5749

    15Tadjikistan4738

    16

    17

    4. F-18-1-B.

    5. F-18-1-A.

    Sour:Narodnoye KhozyaisSSSR

    1Russia4.33.8

    2Ukraine33.8

    3Belorussia4.73.8

    4Lithuania5.33.8

    5Latvia3.73.8

    6Estonia3.83.8

    7Moldova2.93.8

    8Armenia5.23.8

    9Georgia33.8

    10Azerbaidjan2.43.8

    11Kazakhstan43.8

    12Uzbekistan1.33.8

    13Turkmenistan1.93.8

    14Kirghizia1.83.8

    15Tadjikistan2.23.8

    16

    Figure 18.1.Average annual growth rates of fixed production capital stock per capita in republics,%

    1Russia76.6

    2Ukraine6.16.6

    3Belorussia7.96.6

    4Lithuania6.46.6

    5Latvia66.6

    6Estonia5.66.6

    7Moldova7.36.6

    8Armenia6.16.6

    9Georgia5.96.6

    10Azerbaidjan5.26.6

    11Kazakhstan66.6

    12Uzbekistan6.16.6

    13Turkmenistan6.66.6

    14Kirghizia5.56.6

    15Tadjikistan4.86.6

    16

    Figure 19.7.The number of people moving across Soviet borders

    Source:Narodnoye Khozyaistvo SSSR(National Economy of the USSR),various years; Ekonomika i Zhiz'n,1990,No.32.ious years; Ekonomika i Zhiz'n,1990,No.32.

    119752.43.7

    219852.84.3

    319860.002

    419870.04

    519880.114.26

    619890.2387.8

    719900.4

    81991

    Figure 19.6.Dollar exchange rate at foreign exchange auctions,Gosbank currency exchange and black market

    Source: Newspapes reports.

    Y1 axis title: Rubles per $1

    Y2 axis title: Million rubles,official rate-0.6R per $1

    1Oct-898.49.5

    2Nov-89

    3Dec-8913.221

    4Jan-908.210.514.716.6

    5Feb-90912.816.216.6

    6Mar-9016.223.4

    7Apr-909.61417.215.5

    8May-909.816.217.921.2

    9Jun-906.82125.7

    10Jul-90924.218.220

    11Aug-9011.723.219.227

    12Sep-9020.230.9

    13Oct-9013.423.118.730

    14Nov-9019.320.9

    15Dec-9014.421.6

    16Jan-9126.223.429.526

    17Feb-9122.332

    18Mar-913.935.427.538

    19Apr-9131.730.2

    20May-9127.6

    21Jun-9142

    22Jul-9160

    23Aug-9150

    Figure 19.5.Distribution of joint-ventures initial capital by country of foreign partner,end-March,1990,%

    Source: A Study of Soviet Economy.IMF, World Bank,OECD,EBRD.1991.Vol.2,p.104.

    1West Germany12.5es 1

    2Italy11.6es 2

    3France8.4es 3

    4Finland8.4es 4

    5USA8.2es 5

    6Austria6.2es 6

    7Bulgaria4.6es 7

    8Sweden4.4es 8

    9UK4.4es 9

    10Australia3.4es 10

    11Poland2.8es 11

    12Other25.1es 6

    Figure 19.4.Number of joint-ventures in the USSR, their total initial capital,and average capital per venture,year-ends

    Source:A Study of the Soviet Economy.IMF World Bank,OECD,EBRD.1991.Vol.2,p.102; Ekonomika i Zhiz'n,1991,No.5.

    11987502006.9

    219882008004.3

    31989130035002.8

    41990300060002

    Figure 19.3.Soviet exports and imports by region, billion rubles

    Source:Narodnoye Khozyaistvo SSSR(National Economy of the USSR)for various years;PlanEcon Report,1991,March 27.

    1198572.769.440.237.918.619.39.67.6

    2198668.362.642.237.813.115.99.64.9

    3198768.160.740.738.914.213.99.84.7

    4198867.1653939.814.716.39.65.3

    5198968.772.13840.616.420.510.17

    6199060.970.726.231.422.828.18.56.7

    Figure 19.1.Soviet oil production,net exports,and apparent consumption (million metric tons)

    Source:PlanEcon Report,1991,March 6.

    Y1 axis title: Million tons

    11980116487603

    21981113496609

    31982113500613

    4198312049661616.6

    5198412149261316.6

    6198510549059523.4

    7198611550061515.5

    8198712350162421.2

    9198812450062425.7

    10198911449360720

    11199011145957027

    12199150830.9

    Figure 19. .Dollar exchange rate at foreign exchange auctions,Gosbank currency exchange and black market

    Source:Newspapes reports.

    Y1 axis title: Rubles per $1

    Y2 axis title: Million rubles,official rate-0.6R per $1

    1Oct-898.49.5

    2Nov-89

    3Dec-89

    4Jan-908.210.514.716.6

    5Feb-90912.816.216.6

    6Mar-9016.223.4

    7Apr-909.61417.215.5

    8May-909.816.217.921.2

    9Jun-906.82125.7

    10Jul-90924.218.220

    11Aug-9011.723.219.227

    12Sep-9020.230.9

    13Oct-9013.423.118.730

    14Nov-9019.320.9

    15Dec-9014.421.6

    16Jan-9126.223.429.526

    17Feb-9122.332

    18Mar-913.935.427.538

    19Apr-9131.730.2

    20May-9127.6

    21Jun-9142

    1. F-19-2-C.CHT

    1197062.784.875.6

    265.794.480.3

    364.692.188.2