cees webpage ...€¦ · at mos) here 597+ 165 70.6 70 22.2 20 6.4 fosi fuels 3700-244 50 39 marine...
TRANSCRIPT
![Page 1: CEES webpage ...€¦ · At mos) here 597+ 165 70.6 70 22.2 20 6.4 FOSI Fuels 3700-244 50 39 Marine Bota 3 Land Land 1.6 Change 0.8 Rvers 2300+ 101 -140 Sr-face œean 900 + 18 101](https://reader033.vdocuments.us/reader033/viewer/2022060805/60899bfa4a79232faf54274f/html5/thumbnails/1.jpg)
![Page 2: CEES webpage ...€¦ · At mos) here 597+ 165 70.6 70 22.2 20 6.4 FOSI Fuels 3700-244 50 39 Marine Bota 3 Land Land 1.6 Change 0.8 Rvers 2300+ 101 -140 Sr-face œean 900 + 18 101](https://reader033.vdocuments.us/reader033/viewer/2022060805/60899bfa4a79232faf54274f/html5/thumbnails/2.jpg)
CEES webpage http://research.microsoft.com/en-us/groups/ecology/
![Page 3: CEES webpage ...€¦ · At mos) here 597+ 165 70.6 70 22.2 20 6.4 FOSI Fuels 3700-244 50 39 Marine Bota 3 Land Land 1.6 Change 0.8 Rvers 2300+ 101 -140 Sr-face œean 900 + 18 101](https://reader033.vdocuments.us/reader033/viewer/2022060805/60899bfa4a79232faf54274f/html5/thumbnails/3.jpg)
Forest Demo http://research.microsoft.com/en-
us/um/people/vassilyl/ForestDistributions/
![Page 4: CEES webpage ...€¦ · At mos) here 597+ 165 70.6 70 22.2 20 6.4 FOSI Fuels 3700-244 50 39 Marine Bota 3 Land Land 1.6 Change 0.8 Rvers 2300+ 101 -140 Sr-face œean 900 + 18 101](https://reader033.vdocuments.us/reader033/viewer/2022060805/60899bfa4a79232faf54274f/html5/thumbnails/4.jpg)
![Page 5: CEES webpage ...€¦ · At mos) here 597+ 165 70.6 70 22.2 20 6.4 FOSI Fuels 3700-244 50 39 Marine Bota 3 Land Land 1.6 Change 0.8 Rvers 2300+ 101 -140 Sr-face œean 900 + 18 101](https://reader033.vdocuments.us/reader033/viewer/2022060805/60899bfa4a79232faf54274f/html5/thumbnails/5.jpg)
![Page 6: CEES webpage ...€¦ · At mos) here 597+ 165 70.6 70 22.2 20 6.4 FOSI Fuels 3700-244 50 39 Marine Bota 3 Land Land 1.6 Change 0.8 Rvers 2300+ 101 -140 Sr-face œean 900 + 18 101](https://reader033.vdocuments.us/reader033/viewer/2022060805/60899bfa4a79232faf54274f/html5/thumbnails/6.jpg)
![Page 7: CEES webpage ...€¦ · At mos) here 597+ 165 70.6 70 22.2 20 6.4 FOSI Fuels 3700-244 50 39 Marine Bota 3 Land Land 1.6 Change 0.8 Rvers 2300+ 101 -140 Sr-face œean 900 + 18 101](https://reader033.vdocuments.us/reader033/viewer/2022060805/60899bfa4a79232faf54274f/html5/thumbnails/7.jpg)
![Page 8: CEES webpage ...€¦ · At mos) here 597+ 165 70.6 70 22.2 20 6.4 FOSI Fuels 3700-244 50 39 Marine Bota 3 Land Land 1.6 Change 0.8 Rvers 2300+ 101 -140 Sr-face œean 900 + 18 101](https://reader033.vdocuments.us/reader033/viewer/2022060805/60899bfa4a79232faf54274f/html5/thumbnails/8.jpg)
Food
![Page 9: CEES webpage ...€¦ · At mos) here 597+ 165 70.6 70 22.2 20 6.4 FOSI Fuels 3700-244 50 39 Marine Bota 3 Land Land 1.6 Change 0.8 Rvers 2300+ 101 -140 Sr-face œean 900 + 18 101](https://reader033.vdocuments.us/reader033/viewer/2022060805/60899bfa4a79232faf54274f/html5/thumbnails/9.jpg)
為什麼會這樣? 為什麼會這樣? 為什麼會這樣? 為什麼會這樣?
![Page 10: CEES webpage ...€¦ · At mos) here 597+ 165 70.6 70 22.2 20 6.4 FOSI Fuels 3700-244 50 39 Marine Bota 3 Land Land 1.6 Change 0.8 Rvers 2300+ 101 -140 Sr-face œean 900 + 18 101](https://reader033.vdocuments.us/reader033/viewer/2022060805/60899bfa4a79232faf54274f/html5/thumbnails/10.jpg)
![Page 11: CEES webpage ...€¦ · At mos) here 597+ 165 70.6 70 22.2 20 6.4 FOSI Fuels 3700-244 50 39 Marine Bota 3 Land Land 1.6 Change 0.8 Rvers 2300+ 101 -140 Sr-face œean 900 + 18 101](https://reader033.vdocuments.us/reader033/viewer/2022060805/60899bfa4a79232faf54274f/html5/thumbnails/11.jpg)
How can we feed more people, on the same amount of land, with fewer inputs?
![Page 12: CEES webpage ...€¦ · At mos) here 597+ 165 70.6 70 22.2 20 6.4 FOSI Fuels 3700-244 50 39 Marine Bota 3 Land Land 1.6 Change 0.8 Rvers 2300+ 101 -140 Sr-face œean 900 + 18 101](https://reader033.vdocuments.us/reader033/viewer/2022060805/60899bfa4a79232faf54274f/html5/thumbnails/12.jpg)
![Page 13: CEES webpage ...€¦ · At mos) here 597+ 165 70.6 70 22.2 20 6.4 FOSI Fuels 3700-244 50 39 Marine Bota 3 Land Land 1.6 Change 0.8 Rvers 2300+ 101 -140 Sr-face œean 900 + 18 101](https://reader033.vdocuments.us/reader033/viewer/2022060805/60899bfa4a79232faf54274f/html5/thumbnails/13.jpg)
Hypotheses
Data
Bayesian inference
Model structure
Parameter distribution
Predictions with uncertainty
![Page 14: CEES webpage ...€¦ · At mos) here 597+ 165 70.6 70 22.2 20 6.4 FOSI Fuels 3700-244 50 39 Marine Bota 3 Land Land 1.6 Change 0.8 Rvers 2300+ 101 -140 Sr-face œean 900 + 18 101](https://reader033.vdocuments.us/reader033/viewer/2022060805/60899bfa4a79232faf54274f/html5/thumbnails/14.jpg)
Hypotheses
Data
Bayesian inference
Model structure
Parameter distribution
Predictions with uncertainty
![Page 15: CEES webpage ...€¦ · At mos) here 597+ 165 70.6 70 22.2 20 6.4 FOSI Fuels 3700-244 50 39 Marine Bota 3 Land Land 1.6 Change 0.8 Rvers 2300+ 101 -140 Sr-face œean 900 + 18 101](https://reader033.vdocuments.us/reader033/viewer/2022060805/60899bfa4a79232faf54274f/html5/thumbnails/15.jpg)
![Page 16: CEES webpage ...€¦ · At mos) here 597+ 165 70.6 70 22.2 20 6.4 FOSI Fuels 3700-244 50 39 Marine Bota 3 Land Land 1.6 Change 0.8 Rvers 2300+ 101 -140 Sr-face œean 900 + 18 101](https://reader033.vdocuments.us/reader033/viewer/2022060805/60899bfa4a79232faf54274f/html5/thumbnails/16.jpg)
![Page 17: CEES webpage ...€¦ · At mos) here 597+ 165 70.6 70 22.2 20 6.4 FOSI Fuels 3700-244 50 39 Marine Bota 3 Land Land 1.6 Change 0.8 Rvers 2300+ 101 -140 Sr-face œean 900 + 18 101](https://reader033.vdocuments.us/reader033/viewer/2022060805/60899bfa4a79232faf54274f/html5/thumbnails/17.jpg)
CO2
![Page 18: CEES webpage ...€¦ · At mos) here 597+ 165 70.6 70 22.2 20 6.4 FOSI Fuels 3700-244 50 39 Marine Bota 3 Land Land 1.6 Change 0.8 Rvers 2300+ 101 -140 Sr-face œean 900 + 18 101](https://reader033.vdocuments.us/reader033/viewer/2022060805/60899bfa4a79232faf54274f/html5/thumbnails/18.jpg)
![Page 19: CEES webpage ...€¦ · At mos) here 597+ 165 70.6 70 22.2 20 6.4 FOSI Fuels 3700-244 50 39 Marine Bota 3 Land Land 1.6 Change 0.8 Rvers 2300+ 101 -140 Sr-face œean 900 + 18 101](https://reader033.vdocuments.us/reader033/viewer/2022060805/60899bfa4a79232faf54274f/html5/thumbnails/19.jpg)
![Page 20: CEES webpage ...€¦ · At mos) here 597+ 165 70.6 70 22.2 20 6.4 FOSI Fuels 3700-244 50 39 Marine Bota 3 Land Land 1.6 Change 0.8 Rvers 2300+ 101 -140 Sr-face œean 900 + 18 101](https://reader033.vdocuments.us/reader033/viewer/2022060805/60899bfa4a79232faf54274f/html5/thumbnails/20.jpg)
![Page 21: CEES webpage ...€¦ · At mos) here 597+ 165 70.6 70 22.2 20 6.4 FOSI Fuels 3700-244 50 39 Marine Bota 3 Land Land 1.6 Change 0.8 Rvers 2300+ 101 -140 Sr-face œean 900 + 18 101](https://reader033.vdocuments.us/reader033/viewer/2022060805/60899bfa4a79232faf54274f/html5/thumbnails/21.jpg)
![Page 22: CEES webpage ...€¦ · At mos) here 597+ 165 70.6 70 22.2 20 6.4 FOSI Fuels 3700-244 50 39 Marine Bota 3 Land Land 1.6 Change 0.8 Rvers 2300+ 101 -140 Sr-face œean 900 + 18 101](https://reader033.vdocuments.us/reader033/viewer/2022060805/60899bfa4a79232faf54274f/html5/thumbnails/22.jpg)
How we did it 4: the data, climate
FetchClimate demo http://research.microsoft.com/en-us/um/cambridge/groups/science/tools/default.html
![Page 23: CEES webpage ...€¦ · At mos) here 597+ 165 70.6 70 22.2 20 6.4 FOSI Fuels 3700-244 50 39 Marine Bota 3 Land Land 1.6 Change 0.8 Rvers 2300+ 101 -140 Sr-face œean 900 + 18 101](https://reader033.vdocuments.us/reader033/viewer/2022060805/60899bfa4a79232faf54274f/html5/thumbnails/23.jpg)
![Page 24: CEES webpage ...€¦ · At mos) here 597+ 165 70.6 70 22.2 20 6.4 FOSI Fuels 3700-244 50 39 Marine Bota 3 Land Land 1.6 Change 0.8 Rvers 2300+ 101 -140 Sr-face œean 900 + 18 101](https://reader033.vdocuments.us/reader033/viewer/2022060805/60899bfa4a79232faf54274f/html5/thumbnails/24.jpg)
![Page 25: CEES webpage ...€¦ · At mos) here 597+ 165 70.6 70 22.2 20 6.4 FOSI Fuels 3700-244 50 39 Marine Bota 3 Land Land 1.6 Change 0.8 Rvers 2300+ 101 -140 Sr-face œean 900 + 18 101](https://reader033.vdocuments.us/reader033/viewer/2022060805/60899bfa4a79232faf54274f/html5/thumbnails/25.jpg)
How we did it 6: Filzbach
Filzbach demo http://research.microsoft.com/en-us/um/cambridge/groups/science/tools/default.html
![Page 26: CEES webpage ...€¦ · At mos) here 597+ 165 70.6 70 22.2 20 6.4 FOSI Fuels 3700-244 50 39 Marine Bota 3 Land Land 1.6 Change 0.8 Rvers 2300+ 101 -140 Sr-face œean 900 + 18 101](https://reader033.vdocuments.us/reader033/viewer/2022060805/60899bfa4a79232faf54274f/html5/thumbnails/26.jpg)
![Page 27: CEES webpage ...€¦ · At mos) here 597+ 165 70.6 70 22.2 20 6.4 FOSI Fuels 3700-244 50 39 Marine Bota 3 Land Land 1.6 Change 0.8 Rvers 2300+ 101 -140 Sr-face œean 900 + 18 101](https://reader033.vdocuments.us/reader033/viewer/2022060805/60899bfa4a79232faf54274f/html5/thumbnails/27.jpg)
![Page 28: CEES webpage ...€¦ · At mos) here 597+ 165 70.6 70 22.2 20 6.4 FOSI Fuels 3700-244 50 39 Marine Bota 3 Land Land 1.6 Change 0.8 Rvers 2300+ 101 -140 Sr-face œean 900 + 18 101](https://reader033.vdocuments.us/reader033/viewer/2022060805/60899bfa4a79232faf54274f/html5/thumbnails/28.jpg)
![Page 29: CEES webpage ...€¦ · At mos) here 597+ 165 70.6 70 22.2 20 6.4 FOSI Fuels 3700-244 50 39 Marine Bota 3 Land Land 1.6 Change 0.8 Rvers 2300+ 101 -140 Sr-face œean 900 + 18 101](https://reader033.vdocuments.us/reader033/viewer/2022060805/60899bfa4a79232faf54274f/html5/thumbnails/29.jpg)
WWT
![Page 30: CEES webpage ...€¦ · At mos) here 597+ 165 70.6 70 22.2 20 6.4 FOSI Fuels 3700-244 50 39 Marine Bota 3 Land Land 1.6 Change 0.8 Rvers 2300+ 101 -140 Sr-face œean 900 + 18 101](https://reader033.vdocuments.us/reader033/viewer/2022060805/60899bfa4a79232faf54274f/html5/thumbnails/30.jpg)
Big Demo http://research.microsoft.com/en-
us/um/cambridge/groups/science/hykl/default.html