cee issue1 05 25 - bank austria · srbija i crna gora slovensko slovenija ^ structural indicators...

CEE Economic DataOutlook for 2006Issue 1

X P L I C I T

A Member of HVB Group

Business Information http://economicresearch-e.ba-ca.com

Banking for success.

Economics Department

Hohenstaufengasse 6A-1010 ViennaAustriaTel. +43 (0) 50505-41952Fax +43 (0) 50505-41050e-mail: [email protected]

Public Relations, Media

Lassallestrasse 1A-1020 ViennaAustriaTel. +43 (0) 50505-56141Fax +43 (0) 50505-56945e-mail: [email protected]

ImprintPublished by Bank Austria Creditanstalt AG, Vienna,A-1030 Vienna, Vordere Zollamtsstrasse 13A-1010 Vienna, Am Hof 2Edited by Bernhard Sinhuber (Economics Department)Telephone: +43 (0) 50505 41964,e-mail: [email protected]: Public Relations, Patrizia ReidlGraphic design and front page image: Miriam Weigel Front page: Christian HorvathPrinted by GutenbergSources: National statistics, Bank Austria Creditanstalt Economics DepartmentClosing date: April 26th, 2005

4

6

8

10

12

14

16

18

20

22

24

26

28

30

32

34

CONTENTS

Bosnia and Herzegovina

Bulgaria

Croatia

Czech Republic

Estonia

Hungary

Latvia

Lithuania

Macedonia

Poland

Romania

Russia

Serbia and Montenegro

Slovakia

Slovenia

Ukraine

Bosna i Hercegovina

��

Hrvatska

âeská republika

Eesti

Magyarország

Latvija

Lietuva

��

Polska

Romania

� ��

Srbija i Crna Gora

Slovensko

Slovenija

��

^

Structural IndicatorsStrukturni pokazatelji

51,129

3.8

Borislav Paravac

Adnan Terzic

6.6

1,730

35.4

HVB CENTRAL PROFIT BANKA D.D.ZELENIH BERETKI 24BA-71000 SARAJEVOBOSNIA AND HERZEGOVINA

BOSNIA AND HERZEGOVINA

Gross domestic product by economic sectors (in %) 2003Bruto nacionalni prozvod po privrednim sektorima 2003

WWW.HVB-CPB.BATEL. (+387 33) 533 688FAX (+387 33) 238 340

PovrÂina (km2)

StanovniÂtvo (u milionima)

Predsjednik

Premijer

BDP (za 2004. godinu, u milijardama EUR)

BDP po glavi stanovnika (BDP za 2004. godinu, u EUR)

Izvoz u % BDP-a (2004)

Area (km2)

Population in mn

President

Prime Minister

GDP (2004 in EUR bn)

Per capita GDP (2004 in EUR)

Exports in % of GDP (2004)

4

Agriculture and forestry Poljoprivreda i Âumarstvo 10.6

Industry Industrija 22.2

Construction Gradevinarstvo 5.6

Services Usluge 61.6

´

2002 2003 2004 2005 2006

5.5 3.5 5.0 5.5 6.0

9.2 4.8 13.2 7.0 9.0

–2.5 5.8 9.7 6.0 7.5

1.0 0.6 -0.4 0.8 1.5

1.7 1.9 2.4 2.2 2.0

–2.2 0.4 –0.1 0.0 –

1,163 1,293 1,677 1,950 2,220

4,671 4,936 5,354 5,660 5,890

–22.1 –24.5 –23.3 –23.3 –21.0

280 335 400 375 440

44.3 33.9 32.8 33.4 32.2

1.96 1.96 1.96 – –

2.08 1.74 1.57 – –

8.6 8.4 24.3 – –

IndicatorsPokazatelji

BOSNA I HERCEGOVINA

Realni BDP (realni bruto nacionalni proizvod)

Industrijska proizvodnja (realna) Federacija

Industrijska proizvodnja (realna) Republika Srpska

PotroÂaãke cijene Federacija (godiÂnji prosjek)

PotroÂaãke cijene Republika Srpska (godiÂnji prosjek)

BudÏetska ravnoteÏa (u % BDP-a)

Izvoz robe (u mil. EUR)

Uvoz robe (u mil. EUR)

Platni bilans (u % BDP-a)

Direktne strane investicije (neto priliv u mil. EUR)

Bruto inostrani dug (u % BDP-a)

BAM/EUR (godiÂnji prosjek)

BAM/USD (godiÂnji prosjek)

Monetarni agregat M2 (u odnosu naprethodnu godinu, u %)

GDP real (yoy, in %)

Industrial output (real, yoy, in %) - Federation

Industrial output (real, yoy, in %) - RS

Consumer prices (yearly average) - Federation

Consumer prices (yearly average) - RS

Budget balance (in % of GDP)

Merchandise exports (in EUR mn)

Merchandise imports (in EUR mn)

Current account (in % of GDP)

FDI (inflow, net in EUR mn)

Gross foreign debt (in % of GDP)

Average exchange rate : BAM/EUR

Average exchange rate : BAM/USD

Monetary aggregate M2 (yoy, in %)

5

HVB BANK BIOCHIM AD1, IVAN VAZOV STR.BG-1026 SOFIABULGARIA

BULGARIA

WWW.BIOCHIM.COMTEL. (+359 2) 9269 210FAX (+359 2) 9269 440

Agriculture and forestry �� 9.0

Industry �� 28.8

Services �� 62.2

6

Structural Indicators��

110,994

7.8

Georgi Parvanov

Simeon Sakskoburggotski

19.4

2,510

58.4

Gross domestic product by economic sectors (in %) 2004�� 2004

Area (km2)

Population in mn

President

Prime Minister




�� (�.�)

�� .

��

��-��

�� (2004, � !�� . �.�.)

�� " �� (2004, � !�� )

#�� % � �� (2004)

��

7

HEBROS BANK37, TZAR BORIS III OBEDINITEL BLVD.BG-4018 PLOVDIVBULGARIA

WWW.HEBROS.BGTEL. (+359 32) 90 57 73FAX (+359 32) 90 22 11

2002 2003 2004 2005 2006

4.9 4.5 5.6 5.3 6.0

4.7 14.1 17.7 11.9 15.2

8.5 13.9 12.0 12.5 13.8

5.8 2.3 6.2 4.0 3.8

17.4 14.3 12.7 12.0 11.5

–0.6 0.0 1.7 1.0 0.5

6,063 6,668 7,994 9,200 10,500

7,755 8,868 10,712 12,400 14,500

–5.6 –9.2 –7.4 –8.2 –9.4

951 1,827 1,640 2,000 2,000

65.1 60.2 63.0 63.4 64.1

1.96 1.96 1.96 – –

2.07 1.73 1.57 – –

11.7 18.8 23.3 – –

3.3 2.5 2.7 – –

Indicators��


Industrial output (real, yoy, in %)

Gross fixed capital formation (real, yoy, in %)

Consumer prices (yearly average)

Unemployment (yearly average)







Average exchange rate: BGN/EUR

Average exchange rate: BGN/USD


3-month yield on government bonds (end of period, in %)

�� (�� x �� , � %)

�� (�� x �� , � %)

�� $�� (�� x �� , � %)

#�� &�� $�� (�� )

��& ��$� (�� )

�'�*�� +�$�� (� % � ��)

�� (� !�� .�.)

�� (� !�� .�.)

/�� (� % � ��)

1�*�� $��(�� , �� !�� .�.)

�� (� % � ��)

�� : BGN/EUR

�� : BGN/USD

��"�� 2 (�� x �� , � %)

3 x �� 3-��"�� & � �� (� �� , � %)

Structural IndicatorsStrukturni pokazatelji

56,538

4.4

Stjepan Mesic

Ivo Sanader

27.6

6,280

47.5

CROATIA

Gross domestic product by economic sectors (in %) 2004Bruto domaci proizvod po djelatnostima 2004



Construction Gradevinarstvo 7.3


Area (km2)

Population in mn

President

Prime Minister




8

HVB SPLITSKA BANKA D.D.R. BOSKOVICA 16HR-21000 SPLITCROATIA

WWW.SPLITSKABANKA.HRTEL. (+385 21) 304 304FAX (+385 21) 304 034

¯

PovrÂina (km2)

StanovniÂtvo u mio

Predsjednik republike

Predsjednik vlade

BDP (2004. u mld EUR)

BDP po glavi stanovnika (2004. u EUR)

Izvoz u % BDP (2004)

´

´

^

2002 2003 2004 2005 2006

5.2 4.3 3.8 3.5 3.6

5.4 4.1 3.3 3.1 3.7

10.1 16.8 4.4 5.0 5.5

2.3 1.8 2.1 2.8 2.6

22.5 19.5 18.2 18.5 18.0

-5.2 -6.3 -4.9 -5.0 -4.5

5,312 5,572 6,602 7,200 7,850

11,309 12,546 13,327 14,250 15,000

-8.4 -7.2 -4.6 -5.1 -4.3

1,193 1,686 616 1,150 1,330

67.6 82.1 88.1 86.1 88.3

7.4 7.6 7.5 – –

7.9 6.7 6.0 – –

29.4 19.1 9.2 – –

2.0 4.8 3.8 – –

IndicatorsPokazatelji

HRVATSKA

9












Average exchange rate: HRK/EUR

Average exchange rate: HRK/USD



Realni BDP (u odnosu na prethodnu godinu, u %)

Industrijska proizvodnja (realno, u odnosu na prethodnu godinu, u %)

Investicije u osnovna sredstva (realno, u odnosu na prethodnu godinu, u %)

TroÂkovi Ïivota (godiÂnji prosjek)

Nezaposlenost (godiÂnji prosjek)

Proraãunska ravnoteÏa (u % BDP)

Izvoz robe (u mio EUR)

Uvoz robe (u mio EUR)

Tekuci raãun (u % BDP)

Izravna inozemna ulaganja (neto priljev, u mio EUR)

Bruto inozemni dug (u % BDP)

Prosjeãni devizni teãaj: HRK/EUR

Prosjeãni devizni teãaj: HRK/USD

Monetarni agregat M2 (u odnosu na prethodnu godinu, u %)

Tromjeseãna dobit od drÏavnih obveznica (kraj razdoblja, u %)

´

Structural IndicatorsStrukturální ukazatele

78,866

10.2

Václav Klaus

Jiri Paroubek

86.2

8,430

71.3

CZECH REPUBLIC

Gross domestic product by economic sectors (in %) 2004Hrub˘ dmácí produkt podle hospodáfisk˘ch sektorÛ 2004

Agriculture and forestry Zemûdûlství a lesnictví 2.5

Industry PrÛmysl 29.2

Construction Stavebnictví 5.7

Services SluÏby 62.6

Area (km2)

Population in mn

President

Prime Minister




10

HVB BANK CZECH REPUBLIC A.S.NAM. REPUBLIKY 3ACZ-110 00 PRAHA 1CZECH REPUBLIC

WWW.HVB.CZTEL. (+420) 221 112 111 FAX (+420) 221 112 132

Rozloha (km2)

Poãet obyvatel v mil.

Prezident

Pfiedseda vlády

HDP (2004, v mld. EUR)

HDP na jednoho obyvatele (2004, v EUR)

V˘voz v % HDP (2004)

2002 2003 2004 2005 2006

1.5 3.7 4.0 3.7 3.8

4.8 5.8 9.8 6.0 6.0

3.4 4.8 9.1 6.0 5.0

1.8 0.1 2.8 1.9 2.5

9.2 9.9 10.2 9.9 9.7

–6.8 –11.7 –3.0 –4.5 –4.0

40,701 43,138 53,715 64,360 74,750

43,014 45,321 54,415 64,190 74,240

–5.6 –6.2 –5.2 –4.8 –4.5

8,791 2,086 3,595 5,450 3,730

36.4 38.4 38.6 36.5 34.4

30.8 31.8 31.9 – –

32.6 28.1 25.6 – –

3.2 7.2 4.4 – –

3.6 2.3 2.2 – –

IndicatorsUkazatele

CESKÁ REPUBLIKA












Average exchange rate: CZK/EUR

Average exchange rate: CZK/USD



11

Reáln˘ HDP (meziroãní rÛst, v %)

PrÛmyslová v˘roba (reálná, meziroãní rÛst, v %)

Tvorba hrubého fixního kapitálu (reálná, meziroãní rÛst, v %)

Spotfiebitelské ceny (roãní prÛmûr)

Nezamûstnanost (roãní prÛmûr)

Bilance rozpoãtu (v % HDP)

V˘voz zboÏí (v mil. EUR)

Dovoz zboÏí (v mil. EUR)

BûÏn˘ úãet (v % HDP)

Pfiímé zahraniãní investice (vstupy, ãistá vyÂe v mil. EUR)

Hrubá zahraniãní zadluÏenost (v % HDP)

PrÛmûrn˘ smûnn˘ kurz: Kã/EUR

PrÛmûrn˘ smûnn˘ kurz: Kã/USD

PenûÏní agregát M2 (meziroãní rÛst, v %)

3-mûsíãní v˘nos z vládních dluhopisÛ(konec lhÛty, v %)

ˇ

Structural IndicatorsStruktuurilised tegurid

45,227

1.4

Arnold Rüütel

Andrus Ansip

8.9

6,590

79.7

ESTONIA

Gross domestic product by economic sectors (in %) 2004RKP majandussektorite lõikes 2004

Agriculture and forestry Põllumajandus ja metsandus 4.5

Industry Majandusharu 25.7

Construction Ehitus 6.8

Services Teenindus 63.0

Area (km2)

Population in mn

President

Prime Minister




12

BAYERISCHE HYPO- UNDVEREINSBANK AGTALLINN BRANCHLIIVALAIA STREET 13/15EST-10118 TALLINN, ESTONIA

WWW.HVB.EETEL. (+372) 668 8300FAX (+372) 668 8309

Pindala (km2)

Rahvastik, mln

President

Peaminister

Rahvuslik koguprodukt (RKP) (2004 a. mlr EUR)

Rahvuslik koguprodukt (RKP) elaniku kohta (2004 a. EUR-es)

Eksport % RKP (2004)

2002 2003 2004 2005 2006

7.2 5.1 6.2 6.0 5.8

8.3 9.9 8.3 8.8 8.0

17.2 5.4 6.9 8.3 9.0

3.6 1.3 3.0 3.5 2.5

10.3 10.0 9.8 9.5 9.2

1.0 3.1 1.8 0.9 0.5

3,728 4,061 4,796 5,500 6,200

4,878 5,457 6,372 7,250 8,080

–10.2 –13.2 –12.6 –11.1 –10.0

167 667 534 480 450

60.1 69.0 84.1 85.2 86.4

15.6 15.6 15.6 – –

16.6 13.8 12.6 – –

11.2 10.9 15.8 – –

3.5 2.6 2.4 – –

IndicatorsTegurid

EESTI












Average exchange rate: EEK/EUR

Average exchange rate: EEK/USD



13

Reaalne RKP (võrreldes eelmise aastaga, %)

Majandustoodang (tegelik, võrreldes eelmise aastaga, %)

Bruto põhikapital (tegelik, võrreldes eelmise aastaga, %)

Tarbija hinnad (aasta keskmine)

Töötus (aasta keskmine)

Eelarve bilanss (% RKP)

Kauba eksport (EUR mln)

Kauba import (EUR mln)

Jooksev maksebilanss (% RKP)

Välismaised otseinvesteeringud (neto mln EUR)

Brutto välisvõlg (% RKP)

Keskmine vahetuskurss: EEK/EUR

Keskmine vahetuskurss: EEK/USD

Raha ringlus (võrreldes eelmise aastaga, %)

Riigi obligatsioonide kolme kuu tootlus(perioodi lõpp, %)

Structural IndicatorsAlapadatok

93,033

10.1

Ferenc Mádl

Ferenc Gyurcsány

80.3

7,960

64.9

HUNGARY

Gross domestic product by economic sectors (in %) 2004Bruttó hazai össztermék hozzáadott értéke 2004

Agriculture and forestry Mezogazdaság és erdogazdálkodás 4.6

Industry Ipar 23.7

Construction Építoipar 5.0

Services Szolgáltatások 66.7

Area (km2)

Population in mn

President

Prime Minister




14

HVB BANK HUNGARY RT.AKADÉMIA UTCA 17H-1054 BUDAPESTHUNGARY

WWW.HVB.HUTEL. (+36 1) 269 0812FAX (+36 1) 353 4959

´́

´́´́

´́ ´́

Terület (km2)

Népesség (millióban)

Köztársasági elnök

Miniszterelnök

Bruttó hazai össztermék (2004-ben, mrd EUR-ben)

Egy fore eso bruttó hazai össztermék(2004-ben, EUR-ben)

Kivitel a GDP %-ában (2004)

2002 2003 2004 2005 2006

3.5 2.9 4.0 3.7 3.9

2.8 6.4 8.3 5.0 6.5

8.0 3.0 8.3 6.0 6.5

5.3 4.7 6.8 3.6 3.5

5.8 5.9 6.1 6.1 6.0

–9.3 –5.5 –4.6 –4.0 –3.1

36,821 38,377 44,516 48,350 54,350

39,024 41,275 46,907 50,600 56,850

–7.1 –9.0 –8.9 –8.0 –7.6

2,670 –7 3,392 2,800 2,500

56.6 63.5 70.8 68.7 70.5

243.0 253.5 251.7 – –

258.0 224.4 202.6 – –

13.8 13.6 12.0 – –

7.9 11.8 – – –

IndicatorsGazdasági mutatók

MAGYARORSZÁG












Average exchange rate: HUF/EUR

Average exchange rate: HUF/USD



15

Reál bruttó hazai össztermék (év/év, %-ban)

Ipari termelés (reál, év/év, %-ban)

Bruttó felhalmozás (reál, év/év, %-ban)

Fogyasztói árindex (éves átlag)

Munkanélküliségi ráta (éves átlag)

Költségvetési egyenleg (a GDP %-ában)

Áruexport (millió EUR–ben)

Áruimport (millió EUR–ben)

Folyó fizetési mérleg egyenlege (a GDP %-ában)

Külföldi muködotoke (beáramlás, nettó, millió EUR–ben)

Bruttó külföldi adósság (a GDP %-ában)

Átlagos árfolyam: HUF/EUR

Átlagos árfolyam: HUF/USD

M2 monetáris aggregátum változása (év/év, %-ban)

3 hónapos államkötvény hozama (a periódus végén %-ban)

´́ ´́ ´́

Structural IndicatorsStrukturas radıtaji

64,589

2.3

Vaira Vike–Freiberga

Aigars Kalvitis

11.0

4,760

43.8

LATVIA

Gross domestic product by economic sectors (in %) 2004IKP pa sektoriem 2004

Agriculture and forestry Lauksaimniecıba un meÏsaimniecıba 4.1

Industry Rupniecıba 17.4

Construction Celtniecıba 5.8

Services Pakalpojumi 72.7

Area (km2)

Population in mn

President

Prime Minister




16

HVB BANK LATVIA ASELIZABETES STR. 63LV-1050 RIGALATVIA

WWW.HVB.LVTEL. (+371) 708 5500FAX (+371) 708 5505

¯Platıba (km2)

Iedzıvotaju skaits, milj.

Prezidente

Premjerministrs

IKP (2004, miljardos EUR)

IKP uz vienu iedzıvotaju (2004, EUR)

Eksports % no IKP (2004)

¯ ¯

¯ ¯

¯ ¯

¯ ¯

¯

¯ ¯¯ ¯

2002 2003 2004 2005 2006

6.4 7.5 8.5 7.0 6.5

5.8 6.5 6.0 5.1 5.8

13.0 10.9 16.3 12.5 11.5

1.9 2.9 6.2 4.7 3.1

12.0 10.6 10.4 10.0 9.5

–2.3 –1.6 –1.1 –1.5 –1.4

2,693 2,806 3,366 3,700 4,130

4,255 4,577 5,581 6,190 6,970

–6.7 –8.2 –12.3 –10.3 –8.8

265 235 434 390 360

73.6 80.0 93.2 99.5 104.9

0.58 0.64 0.67 – –

0.62 0.57 0.54 – –

21.0 21.1 24.7 – –

3.8 4.2 4.4 – –

IndicatorsRadıtaji

LATVIJA












Average exchange rate: LVL/EUR

Average exchange rate: LVL/USD



17

Realais IKP (salıdzinot ar iepriekÂejo gadu, %)

Rupniecıbas produkcija (reala, salıdzinot ar iepriekÂejo gadu, %)

Kopeja pamatkapitala veidoÂanas(reala, salıdzinot ar iepriekÂejo gadu, %)

Paterina cenas (gada videjas)

Bezdarbs (gada videjais)

BudÏeta atlikums (% no IKP)

Preãu eksports (milj. EUR)

Preãu imports (milj. EUR)

TekoÂais konts (% no IKP)

Arvalstu tieÂas investıcijas (iepludums, neto milj. EUR)

Kopejais arejais parads (% no IKP)

Videjais valutas mainas kurss: LVL /EUR

Videjais valutas mainas kurss: LVL /USD

Naudas lıdzeklu kopums M2 (salıdzinot ar iepriekÂejo gadu, %)

3 meneÂu valsts paradzımju ienesıgums (perioda beigas, %)

¯

¯¯ ¯ ¯

¯ ¯

¯ ¯ ¯ ¯ ¯

¯ ¯ ¯ ¯

¯

¯ ¯ ¯¸

¯ ¯ ¸

¯ ¯ ¸

¯ ¯ ¯ ¯¯

¯¯

¯¸

¯ ¯ ¯

Structural IndicatorsBendrieji rodikliai

65,301

3.5

Valdas Adamkus

Algirdas Brazauskas

17.9

5,220

52.7

LITHUANIA

Gross domestic product by economic sectors (in %) 2004Bendras vidaus produktas pagal ekonominius sektorius 2004

Agriculture and forestry ˚emes ukis ir miÂkininkyste 5.2

Industry Pramone 23.2

Construction Statyba 6.4

Services Paslaugos 65.2

Area (km2)

Population in mn

President

Prime Minister




18

HVB BANKVILNIUS BRANCHVILNIAUS STR. 35/3LT-01119 VILNIUSLITHUANIA

WWW.HVB.LTTEL. (+370 5) 2745 300FAX (+370 5) 2745 307

Plotas (km2)

Gyventoju skaiãius, mln

Prezidentas

Ministras pirmininkas

Bendras vidaus produktas (BVP, 2004, bil. Euras)

BVP tenkantis 1 gyventojui (2004, Euras)

Eksportas % nuo BVP (2004)

¸

˙ ˙

˙

IndicatorsRodikliai

LIETUVA












Average exchange rate: LTL/EUR

Average exchange rate: LTL/USD



19

BVP (metinis, %)

Pramones apimtis (grynas, metinis, %)

Bendro pagrindinio kapitalo sudarymas (grynas, metinis, %)

Vartojimo prekiu kainos (vidutines metines)

Nedarbo lygis (vidutinis metinis)

BiudÏeto balansas (% lyginant su BVP)

Prekiu eksportas (mln. Euras)

Prekiu importas (mln. Euras)

Einamoji saskaita (% lyginant su BVP)

Tiesiogines uÏsienio investicijos (TUI) (grynos iplaukos mln. Euras)

Bendra uÏsienio skola (% nuo BVP)

Vidutinis valiutos kursas: LTL/ Euras

Vidutinis valiutos kursas: LTL/ JAV dol.

Gautos iplaukos M2 (metines, %)

Vyriausybes 3–ju metu obligaciju iÂleidimas (laikotarpio pabaigoje, %)

˙

˙˙¸

¸

¸

¸

˙

¸ ˙

¸ ¸ ¸˙

˜

2002 2003 2004 2005 2006

6.8 9.7 6.7 6.5 6.0

3.1 16.1 10.3 8.3 8.7

12.4 11.4 13.5 11.5 10.5

0.3 –1.2 1.2 2.8 2.4

13.8 12.4 11.5 10.5 10.0

–1.5 –1.9 –2.5 –2.4 –1.9

6,375 6,773 7,451 7,965 8,833

7,785 8,262 9,320 10,137 11,295

–5.2 –6.9 –7.2 –7.8 –7.5

754 126 412 579 637

39.7 41.0 42.8 45.3 46.9

3.5 3.5 3.5 – –

3.6 3.0 2.8 – –

16.9 18.2 24.1 – –

3.5 2.7 2.6 – –


25,713

2.0

Branko Crvenkovski

Vlado Buckovski

4.3

2,080

32,7

MACEDONIA

Gross domestic product by economic sectors (in %) 2003�� $� �� 2003

Area (km2)

Population in mn

President

Prime Minister




20

BANK AUSTRIA CREDITANSTALTREPRESENTATIVE OFFICEDIMITRIE CUPOVSKI 4-2/6MK-1000 SKOPJEMACEDONIA

TEL. (+389 2) 3215 130FAX (+389 2) 3215 140

� �� (�2)

�� (� �� )

��

��

�� $� �� (2004.�. � �� !��6)

�� $� �� *�� (2004.�. � !��6)

#�� (� % �� )

Agriculture and forestry 7�� 11.7

Industry #�� 23.9

Construction 8�� 6.1

Services ��*�� 58.3

Indicators��

��












Average exchange rate: MKD/EUR

Average exchange rate: MKD/USD


21

�� (�� 9 �� %)

#�� (�� , �� 9 �� %)

�� $�� (�� , �� 9 �� %)

�� "�� $��(= ��+��$��), (� �� )

� �� &��& ��$� (� �� )

�� &�;�� (� % �� )

�� (� �� !��6)

�� (� �� !��6)

�� &�� (� % �� )

�� $��(�� $�, �� !��6)

�� &�� *��<� (� % �� )

3�� (� �� ): >3/!��6

3�� (� �� ): >3/��3

�� "�� 2 (�� 9 �� %)

2002 2003 2004 2005 2006

0.9 3.4 1.0 3.0 4.0

–5.3 4.7 –12.7 6.0 4.0

10.0 7.5 5.0 – –

1.8 1.2 –0.4 1.2 2.0

31.9 36.7 35.0 33.0 32.0

–5.6 –1.6 –2.1 –2.3 –2.0

1,181 1,205 1,345 1,420 1,520

2,035 1,959 2,246 2,360 2,520

–9.5 –3.3 –7.8 –7.0 –7.0

83 84 121 82 126

43.4 38.9 38.2 39.3 40.6

61.0 61.3 61.9 – –

64.7 54.3 49.8 – –

–8.0 18.4 18.3 – –

Structural IndicatorsWskazniki strukturalne

312,685

38.2

Aleksander Kwasniewski

Marek Belka

194.8

5,100

33.7

POLAND

Gross domestic product by economic sectors (in %) 2003Produkt Krajowy Brutto z podzialem na sektory gospodarki 2003

Agriculture and forestry Rolnictwo i lesnictwo 3.1

Industry Przemysl 24.7

Construction Budownictwo 5.7

Services Uslugi 66.5

Area (km2)

Population in mn

President

Prime Minister




22

Obszar (km2)

Ludnosã w mln

Prezydent

Premier

Produkt Krajowy Brutto (PKB za rok 2004, w bln EUR)

PKB na jednego mieszkanca (za rok 2004, w EUR)

Udzial eksportu w PKB (2004)–

´

–

–

–

BANK BPHAL. POKOJU 1PL-31548 KRAKÓWPOLAND

WWW.BPH.PLTEL. (+48 12) 618 68 88FAX (+48 12) 618 68 63

´

–

´

ı

2002 2003 2004 2005 2006

1.4 3.8 5.3 4.2 4.7

1.1 8.4 12.3 6.1 10.4

–6.8 –0.5 5.1 10.4 8.5

1.9 0.8 3.5 2.7 2.6

20.0 20.0 19.1 18.5 17.6

–3.6 –4.5 –4.8 –4.5 –3.8

49,338 53,836 65,641 77,430 82,730

57,039 58,913 70,151 83,230 91,950

–2.7 –2.2 –1.5 –2.3 –3.7

4,371 3,660 4,892 4,420 5,680

40.7 45.2 47.7 41.0 39.5

3.85 4.40 4.54 – –

4.08 3.89 3.64 – –

–2.0 5.6 8.6 – –

6.2 5.5 6.5 – –

IndicatorsWskazniki

POLSKA

23












Average exchange rate: PLN/EUR

Average exchange rate: PLN/USD



PKB realny (rok po roku, w %)

Produkcja sprzedana przemyslu (realna, rok po roku, w %)

Naklady brutto na srodki trwale (realna, rok po roku, w %)

Srednioroczne ceny produktów konsumpcyjnych

Bezrobocie (srednie w ciagu roku)

Bilans budzetu (w % PKB)

Eksport towarów (w mln EUR)

Import towarów (w mln EUR)

Saldo rachunku biezacego (udzial w PKB w %)

Bezposrednie inwestycje zagraniczne (wplywy netto w mln EUR)

Dlug zagraniczny (w % PKB)

Sredni kurs: PLN do EUR

Sredni kurs: PLN do USD

Agregat pieniezny M2, rok do roku

3-miesieczny dochód z obligacji rzadowych (na koniec okresu, w %)

–

–

– ––

¸

–

¯

–

––

¸

¸

¸

¸

˙

–

–

˙

˙

´

BANK BPHTOWAROWA 25 APL-00958 WARSZAWAPOLAND

TEL. (+48 22) 531 8600FAX (+48 22) 531 8640

Structural IndicatorsIndicatori de structura

238,391

21.7

Traian Basescu

Calin Popescu-Tariceanu

58.9

2,720

37.1

ROMANIA

Gross domestic product by economic sectors (in %) 2003Produsul Intern Brut si Valoarea Bruta Adaugata pe sectoare 2003

Agriculture and forestry Agricultura si silvicultura 12.9

Industry Industrie 31.4

Construction Constructii 6.3

Services Servicii 49.3

Area (km2)

Population in mn

President

Prime Minister




24

HVB BANK ROMANIA S.A.CHARLES DE GAULLE SQ. 15 RO-011857 BUCHARESTROMANIA

WWW.HVB.ROTEL. (+40 21) 203 2222FAX (+40 21) 230 8485

ˇ ˇ

ˇ

ˇ ˇ ˇ

Suprafata (km2)

Populatia, ın mil.

Presedinte

Prim Ministru

PIB (2004, ın mrd. EUR)

PIB / cap de locuitor (2004, ın EUR)

Exporturi ın % din PIB (2004)

ˆ

ˆ

ˆ

ˆ

¸

¸

¸

¸

¸

¸

2002 2003 2004 2005 2006

5.0 4.9 8.3 5.7 6.3

6.0 3.2 5.3 6.0 6.5

8.2 9.1 10.1 12.1 13.2

22.5 15.3 11.9 8.5 6.5

10.2 7.6 6.8 6.5 7.0

–2.5 –2.3 –1.1 –1.0 –1.3

14,675 15,614 18,935 21,500 24,500

17,427 19,569 24,258 28,500 33,500

–3.4 –6.1 –7.5 –7.9 –8.5

1,194 1,910 4,042 4,500 5,000

31.2 33.3 33.4 31.6 31.8

31,255 37,556 40,532 – –

33,055 33,200 32,637 – –

38.2 23.3 40.1 – –

20.5 22.5 17.6 – –

IndicatorsIndicatori

ROMANIA












Average exchange rate: ROL/EUR

Average exchange rate: ROL/USD



25

PIB real (an curent/an precedent, ın %)

Productia industriala (reala, an curent/an precedent, ın %)

Formarea bruta de capital (reala, an curent/an precedent, ın %)

Preturi de consum (media anuala)

Rata somajului (media anuala)

Soldul balantei (ın % din PIB)

Exportul de bunuri (ın mil. EUR)

Importul de bunuri (ın mil. EUR)

Cont curent (ın % din PIB)

Investitiile straine directe (net ın mil. EUR)

Datoria externa bruta (ın % din PIB)

Cursul mediu de schimb: ROL/EUR

Cursul mediu de schimb: ROL/USD

Masa Monetara M2 (an curent/an precedent, ın %)

Randamentul titlurilor de stat cu maturitate 3 luni (sfarsitul perioadei, ın %)

ˆ

ˆ

ˆ

ˆ

ˆ

ˆ

ˆ

ˆ

ˆ

ˆ

ˇ ˇ

ˇ ˇ

ˇ

ˇ

ˇ

ˇ ˇ

ˇ

ˇ ˆ¸

¸

¸

¸

¸

ˇ

¸


17,075,400

143.6

Vladimir Putin

Mikhail Fradkov

468.1

3,260

31.5

RUSSIA

Gross domestic product by economic sectors (in %) 2003��

Agriculture and forestry ��@� � � �� x ��A�� 5.2

Industry �� B�� @ 27.4

Construction �� @�� 7.2

Services �+�� 60.2

Area (km2)

Population in mn

President

Prime Minister




26

INTERNATIONAL MOSCOW BANKPRECHISTENSKAYA EMB. 9 RF-119034 MOSCOWRUSSIAN FEDERATION

WWW.IMB.RUTEL. (+7 095) 258 7200 FAX (+7 095) 258 7272

�� @ (�2)

�� .

��

��@��-��

�� (2004 ., � ��x !��

�� (2004 .,� !�� )

C&�� D�� % � �� (2004)

s

s

2002 2003 2004 2005 2006

4.7 7.3 7.1 6.3 5.4

7.0 7.0 6.1 3.9 4.5

3.0 12.8 10.8 6.5 8.2

15.8 13.6 10.9 12.7 10.9

8.0 8.4 8.0 8.0 8.2

1.0 1.4 4.5 2.0 1.5

113,413 120,012 147,551 176,020 179,610

64,439 66,603 77,460 89,920 106,790

8.4 8.3 10.3 11.3 7.5

3,658 7,026 9,380 7,660 4,560

44.3 42.1 34.9 28.6 24.7

29.7 34.8 35.8 – –

31.4 30.7 28.8 – –

21.1 50.5 38.5 – –

12.7 4.6 4.5 – –

Indicators��

��

27












Average exchange rate: RUB/EUR

Average exchange rate: RUB/USD



��@�BA �� (� %)

C&�� (��@�BA, � %)

#��$�� A �� (��@�BA, � %)

� ��&��@�� $��B (�� )

�� @ &��& ��$B (��A �� )

�'�*��BA &�� (� % ��)

C&�� D�� (� �� x !�� )

C&�� (� �� x !�� )

�"�� x ��$�A (� % ��)

��B� �� B� ��$�� (�� , "��B� � �� x !�� )

C&�� (� % ��)

��A �� RUB/EUR

��A �� RUB/USD

3��*�BA �� 2 (�� $ � ��, � %)

3 x �� @ �� 3 ��$� � � ��B� &��$�� (�� , � %)

Structural IndicatorsStrukturalni indikatori

102,713

10.6

Svetozar Marovic

Vojislav Kostunica (Serbia)Milo Djukanovic (Montenegro)

18.8

2,270

24.1

HVB BANK SERBIAAND MONTENEGRORAJICEVA 27–29SCG-11000 BEOGRADSERBIA AND MONTENEGRO

SERBIA AND MONTENEGRO

Gross domestic product by economic sectors (in %) 2002Bruto nacionalni proizvod po privrednim sektorima 2002

WWW.HVB.CO.YUTEL. (+381 11) 3204 500 FAX (+381 11) 3342 200



Construction Graêevinarstvo 5.8


PovrÂina (km2)

StanovniÂtvo (u milionima)

Predsednik

Premijer

Bruto nacionalni proizvod (za 2004. godinu, u milijardama EUR)

Bruto nacionalni proizvod po glavi stanovnika (za 2004. godinu u EUR)

% izvoza u bruto nacionalnom proizvodu(2004)

Area (km2)

Population in mn

President

Prime Minister




28

2002 2003 2004 2005 2006

4.0 3.0 7.5 4.0 4.5

1.7 –2.7 7.5 3.5 4.0

– – – – –

21.2 11.3 9.5 14.0 9.0

28.9 34.5 31.7 32.0 31.8

–4.0 –3.4 –2.0 –1.0 –1.0

2,551 2,654 3,296 3,520 4,070

6,684 7,004 9,245 9,150 9,550

–12.9 –12.0 –14.5 –12.4 –11.0

594 1,237 777 1,030 810

76.1 69.7 60.2 54.9 55.0

60.5 65.3 72.8 – –

63.9 57.4 58.6 – –

85.5 12.3 17.4 – –

– 21.9 23.4 – –

IndicatorsIndikatori

SRBIJA I CRNA GORA

Realni bruto nacionalni proizvod (godina za godinu, u %)

Industrijski proizvod (realan, godina za godinom, u %)

Bruto stalna akumulacija kapitala (realna, godina za godinom, u %)

PotroÂaãke cene (godiÂnji prosek)

Nezaposlenost (godiÂnji prosek)

Bilans budÏeta (u % bruto nacionalnog proizvoda)

Izvoz robe (u milionima EUR)

Uvoz robe (u milionima EUR)

Platni bilans (u % bruto nacionalnog proizvoda)

Direktne strane investicije (priliv, neto u milionima EUR)

Bruto inostrani dug (u % bruto nacionalnog proizvoda)

Proseãni kurs razmene: CSD/EUR

Proseãni kurs razmene: CSD/USD

Novãana masa M2 (u %)

Tromeseãni prihod od vladinih obveznica (kraj perioda, u procentima)



Gross fixed capital formation









Average exchange rate: CSD/EUR

Average exchange rate: CSD/USD



29

EKSIMBANKATRG NIKOLE PASICA 10SCG-11000 BEOGRADSERBIA AND MONTENEGRO

WWW.EKSIMBANKA.CO.YUTEL. (+381 11) 302 8686 FAX (+381 11) 323 1935

Structural IndicatorsZákladné údaje

49,034

5.4

Ivan GaÂparoviã

MikuláÂ Dzurinda

33.0

6,140

67.5

SLOVAKIA

Gross domestic product by economic sectors (in %) 2003Hrub˘ domáci produkt a hrubá pridaná hodnota v ekonomick˘ch sektoroch

Agriculture and forestryPol’nohospodárstvo a lesné hospodárstvo 4.0

Industry Priemysel 27.3

Construction Stavebníctvo 5.4

Services SluÏby 63.3

Area (km2)

Population in mn

President

Prime Minister




30

HVB BANK MOSTOVÁ 6SK-814 16 BRATISLAVA 1SLOVAKIA

WWW.HVB-BANK.SKTEL. (+42 12) 5969 1111FAX (+42 12) 5969 9406

Rozloha (km2)

Obyvatel’stvo (v mil.)

Prezident

Predseda vlády

HDP (2004 v mld. EUR)

HDP (2004 v EUR) na 1 obyvatel’a

V˘voz v % HDP (2004)

2002 2003 2004 2005 2006

4.4 4.2 5.5 4.6 4.8

6.7 5.3 4.2 3.8 6.0

–0.9 –1.2 2.5 9.4 9.1

3.8 8.5 7.5 2.5 2.6

17.8 15.2 14.3 11.8 10.8

–5.7 –3.7 –3.3 –3.2 –2.8

15,184 19,285 22,277 24,680 28,080

17,437 19,848 23,434 26,530 30,630

–8.2 –0.8 –3.5 –3.9 –4.9

4,069 485 890 1,630 2,380

55.7 55.0 55.0 50.0 46.7

42.7 41.5 40.2 – –

45.3 36.8 32.3 – –

4.9 6.0 5.7 – –

5.2 5.7 3.7 – –

IndicatorsUkazovatele

SLOVENSKO












Average exchange rate: SKK/EUR

Average exchange rate: SKK/USD



31

Reálny HDP (medziroãne, v %), HDP v stálych cenách

Priemyselná v˘roba (v stálych cenách, medziroãne, v %)

Hrubé hmotné investície (v stálych cenách,medziroãne, v %)

Spotrebitel’ské ceny (roãn˘ priemer)

Nezamestnanost’ (roãn˘ priemer)

Saldo rozpoãtu (v % z HDP)

Export tovarov (v mil. EUR)

Import tovarov (v mil. EUR)

BeÏn˘ úãet platobnej bilancie (v % z HDP)

Priame zahraniãné investície (prílev, netto v mil. EUR)

Celkové zahraniãné zadlÏenie (v % z HDP)

Priemern˘ v˘menn˘ kurz (SKK/EUR)

Priemern˘ v˘menn˘ kurz (SKK/USD)

Menov˘ agregát M2 (medziroãne, v %)

3–mesaãn˘ v˘nos zo Âtátnych dlhopisov (koniec obdobia v %)

Structural IndicatorsStrukturni kazalci

20,273

2.0

Janez DrnovÂek

Janez Jansa

25.9

12,980

59.9

SLOVENIA

Gross domestic product by economic sectors (in %) 2004Bruto domaãi proizvod po gospodarskih panogah 2004

Agriculture and forestry Kmetijstvo in gozdarstvo 2.6


Construction GradbeniÂtvo 5.6

Services Storitve 60.5

Area (km2)

Population in mn

President

Prime Minister




32

BANK AUSTRIA CREDITANSTALTD.D. LJUBLJANASMARTINSKA 140SI-1000 LJUBLJANASLOVENIA

WWW.BA-CA.SITEL. (+386 1) 5876 600FAX (+386 1) 5876 684

povrÂina (km2)

prebivalstvo v mio

predsednik republike

predsednik vlade

BDP (2004 v mlrd EUR)

BDP na prebivalca (2004 v EUR)

izvoz v % od BDP (2004)

ˇ

2002 2003 2004 2005 2006

3.4 2.5 4.6 3.8 4.0

2.4 1.4 4.8 4.0 4.5

1.3 5.5 6.8 5.9 5.0

7.5 5.6 3.6 2.7 2.5

6.3 6.7 6.3 6.2 6.1

–2.4 –2.0 –1.9 –1.9 –1.8

11,082 11,414 12,686 13,550 14,650

11,351 11,960 13,403 14,450 15,600

1.5 –0.4 –0.4 –0.7 –0.7

1,582 –115 21 300 300

48.9 52.8 59.2 60.2 59.3

226.2 233.7 238.9 – –

242.7 207.1 192.4 – –

11.0 6.2 8.0 – –

8.7 5.1 3.6 – –

IndicatorsKazalci

SLOVENIJA












Average exchange rate: SIT/EUR

Average exchange rate: SIT/USD



33

realni BDP (v primerjavi s prejÂnjim letom, v %)

industrijska proizvodnja (realno, v primerjavi s prejÂnjim letom, v %)

investicije v osnovna sredstva (realno, v primerjavi s prejÂnjim letom, v %)

cene Ïivljenjskih potrebÂãin (letno povpreãje)

nezaposlenost (letno povpreãje)

proraãunsko ravnoteÏje (v % od BDP)

izvoz blaga (v mio EUR)

uvoz blaga (v mio EUR)

tekoãi raãun (v % od BDP)

neposredne tuje naloÏbe (neto priliv, v mio EUR)

bruto zadolÏenost v tujini (v % od BDP)

povpreãni menjalni teãaj: SIT/EUR

povpreãni menjalni teãaj: SIT/USD

denarni agregat M2 (v primerjavi s prejÂnjim letom, v %

trimeseãna donosnost drÏavnih obveznic (konec obdobja, v %)

Structural Indicators��i ��

603,700

47.6

Victor Yushchenko

Yuliya Tymoshenko

52.4

1,100

51.4

UKRAINE

Gross domestic product by economic sectors (in %) 2003��

Agriculture and forestry�E�@�@� � �� E��$�� 12.2

Industry �� E��@ 31.8

Construction ��E��$�� 4.2

Services � �� 51.9

Area (km2)

Population in mn

President

Prime Minister




34

�� (�2)

�� .

��

�. . ��’F�-E�E��

�� (� 2004 �. � ��. G�� )

�� (� 2004 �. � G�� )

!�� % �E� �� (2004)

JSCB HVB UKRAINE14-A, YAROSLAVIV VALUA-01034 KYIVUKRAINE

WWW.HVB.COM.UATEL. (+380 44) 230 3300FAX (+380 44) 230 3391

2002 2003 2004 2005 2006

5.2 9.4 12.1 5.0 7.0

7.0 15.7 12.5 6.5 8.0

6.0 15.8 11.4 5.0 13.0

0.8 5.2 9.0 12.0 8.0

10.1 9.1 7.8 7.5 9.0

0.2 0.1 –3.0 –4.5 –4.0

19,732 20,959 26,868 27,570 29,970

18,982 21,197 23,862 25,600 29,090

7.7 5.9 10.4 7.1 4.5

732 1,257 1,378 1,870 3,630

52.4 48.2 47.0 46.8 47.0

5.0 6.0 6.6 – –

5.3 5.3 5.3 – –

42.2 46.9 25.5 – –

9.0 9.0 11.7 – –

Indicators��

��












Average exchange rate: UAH/EUR

Average exchange rate: UAH/USD



35

�� A (��E�� E, � %)

C&�� $E� (��A, ��E�� E, � %)

H �� +E� �� E��(��A, ��E�� E, � %)

�� *��"E $E�� (��EA �E"��A � ��)

�� &E�� (��EA �E"��A � ��)

�� &'�*�� (� % �E� ��)

!�� E� (� ��. G�� )

I�� E� (� ��. G�� )

��x�� "��x ��$EA (� % �E� ��)

��E E� ��E E��$E� (� ��. G�� )

7 ��E��EA & �� (� % �E� ��)

��EA �� &�E��: ��/G��

��EA �� &�E��: ��/� �. �J6

8� � ��A �� 2 (��E�� E, � %)

�� $�� 3-�E��"�� *�� $E�� (�� E��$@ ��E ��, � %)

36

We invite you to visitBank Austria Creditanstalt’s website:www.ba-ca.com

The economic analyses can also be directly accessed viahttp://economicresearch-e.ba-ca.com

If you would like to receive information on our mostrecent publications by e-mail, please subscribe to thenewsletter BA-CA EconomicNews on the website.

cee issue1 05 25 - bank austria · srbija i crna gora slovensko slovenija ^ structural indicators...

Documents