cec executive director evan lloyd: renewable energy markets in north america
DESCRIPTION
The Commission for Environmental Cooperation's Executive Director talks about renewable energy markets in North America at the April 18 public forum on North America's Energy Future in Toronto. Find out more at http://www.cec.org/energy2012TRANSCRIPT
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Renewable Energy Markets
in North America
Commission for Environmental Cooperation
Evan Lloyd, Executive DirectorCommission for Environmental Cooperation
JPAC, Toronto April 18, 2012
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Council Priorities
• Healthy Communities and Ecosystems
• Climate Change—Low-Carbon Economy
• Greening the North American Economy
The Commission for Environmental Cooperation
Commission for Environmental Cooperation
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2011-2012 projects
• Improving comparability of emissions data, methodologies and inventories
• Engagement of experts and strengthened information-sharing:
• Ecosystem carbon sources and storage
• NA on-line platform on climate change
Priority: Climate Change—Low-Carbon Economy
Commission for Environmental Cooperation
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Commission for Environmental Cooperation
• Environmental Outlook 2030 (CEC 2008)
• Fostering Renewable Energy Markets in NA (CEC 2007)
•Power Plant – Air Emissions (CEC 2011)
Priority: Climate Change—Low-Carbon Economy
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Environmental and climate impacts
Electricity generation:•Most prominent source of reported toxic air emissions (US, Mexico)
•Second most prominent source in Canada (#1= oil & gas extraction)
•Dominant source of GHG emissions from stationary sources in NAFTA region
33% Mexico (RETC 2006) 42% US (2010 US-GHG inventory) 36% Canada’s (2006 GHG inventory)
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McKinsey, 2007
Supply Curve for GHG abatement 2030
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Fossil fuels dominate current global energy system
ipcc - SSREN
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IPCC Special Report on Renewable EnergySources and Climate Mitigation (SSREN – 2011)1. Close to 80 percent of the world‘s
energy supply could be met by renewables by 2050
2. Some RE technologies already competitive without climate policy
3. In case of ambitious climate polices RE potential increases enormously
4. RE not the only option or means to reduce GHG – part of a portfolio of climate action
5. Without dedicated national energy policies no rapid deployment of RE technologies
Global RE Forecast
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Commission for Environmental Cooperation
NA Forecast - Primary Energy Use by Fuel CEC Outlook - 2030
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Commission for Environmental Cooperation
NA Forecast - Energy Use by SectorCEC Outlook - 2030
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North America’s Electricity Profile (2003)
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North America’s Electricity Profile 2003 → 2010
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Fostering Renewable Electricity Markets in North America (CEC 2007)
Analysis of barriers to continent-wide renewable electricity markets.
Informational and transactional barriers:
Facilitate information sharing Foster cooperation Increase cross-border trading of
renewables on short and long-term markets
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Fostering Renewable Electricity Markets in North America (CEC 2007)
Key drivers - Demand & Supply-side Canada, Mexico, USA
regulatory mandatesvoluntary purchasesself-supplyfinancial incentives
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Fostering Renewable Electricity Markets in North America (CEC 2007)
Recommendations for growing the renewable electricity market:
Facilitate information sharing Foster North-South cooperation Increase cross-border trading of
renewables on short and long-term markets
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Fostering Renewable Electricity Markets in North America (CEC 2007)
Cross-Border Issues
• Grid
• Knowledge and definition of RE capacity and technology
• What’s renewable? (hydro ≠ RE?)
• Green pollution havens?
• Transboundary assessment of cumulative environmental effects
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Commission for Environmental Cooperation
North American Electricity Transmission
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Commission for Environmental Cooperation
North American Electricity Grid
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• Regional Existing Supply• Interties Can Diversify
Resources
Existing Regional Supply
3,150 MW 300 MW
3,500 MW
3,300 MW
4,300 MW
300 MW500 MW150 MW700 MW
Transmission - Imports - ExportsCanada to US 41.5US to Canada 23.4Mexico to US 1.1US to Mexico 0.8
Net Canada -18.1Net US 18.4Net Mexico -0.4
TWh 2006
ICF International
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Commission for Environmental Cooperation
Western Interconnect - Portfolio
TW-h• Coal 247 35%• Hydro 188 27%• Gas 156 22%• Nuclear 74 11%• Oil 2 < 1%• Renewable 30 4%
Total 697
WECC (2007)
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Three countries. One environment.
© Commission for Environmental Cooperation / 2010