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Development of a national strategy for adaptation to climate change adverse

impacts in Cyprus

CCCYYYPPPAAADDDAAAPPPTTT

LIFE10ENV/CY/000723

Minutes from the visit in Finland

DELIVERABLE 2.1

Deliverable 2.1: Minutes from the visit in Finland

Acknowledgements

This report was produced under co-finance of the European financial instrument for the

Environment (LIFE+) as the first Deliverable (D2.1) of the second Action (Action 2) of Project

“CYPADAPT” (LIFE 10 ENV/CY/000723) during the implementation of its first Activity (Activity

2(a)) on the “Review of existing national and regional adaptation strategies and practices as

well as guidelines on the development of adaptation plans”.

CYPADAPT team would like to acknowledge the European financial instrument for the

Environment (LIFE+) for the financial support.

We would like to express our special thanks to Mr. Mikael Hildén [Director of Climate

Change Programme, Finnish Environment Institute (SYKE)] and the team that welcome the

CYPADAPT team in Finland.

Mikael Hilden Finish Environment Institute (SYKE)

Timothy Carter SYKE

Stefan Fronzek SYKE

Pirkko Heikinheimo Ministry of the Environment (FiMoE)

Antti Irjala FiMoE

Matti Kahra Ministry of Agriculture and Forestry (MMM)

Sanna Luhtala Finish Meteorological Institute (FMI)

Hanna Mela SYKE

Juha-Pekka Maijala FiMoE

Adriaan Perrels FMI

Reija Ruuhela Finnish Meteorological Institute (FMI)

Kristiina Santti FMI

Riku Varjopuro SYKE

Noora Veijalainen SYKE

Jussi Vuorenmaa SYKE

Irmeli Wahlgren Technical Research Centre of Finland (VTT)

Disclaimer

The information included herein is legal and true to the best possible knowledge of the

authors, as it is the product of the utilization and synthesis of the referenced sources, for

which the authors cannot be held accountable.


Contents

1 Introduction ....................................................................................................................... 1

1.1 Day 1 .......................................................................................................................... 1

1.1.1 Time and Place................................................................................................... 1

1.1.2 Participants ........................................................................................................ 1

1.1.3 Minutes .............................................................................................................. 2

1.1.4 Photos ................................................................................................................ 6

1.2 Day 2 .......................................................................................................................... 8

1.2.1 Time and place .................................................................................................. 8

1.2.2 Participants ........................................................................................................ 8

1.2.3 Minutes .............................................................................................................. 8

1.2.4 Photos .............................................................................................................. 11

1.3 Day 3 ........................................................................................................................ 12

1.3.1 Time and place ................................................................................................ 12

1.3.2 Participants ...................................................................................................... 12

1.3.3 Minutes ............................................................................................................ 12

1.3.4 Photos .............................................................................................................. 17

List of Tables Table 1-1: Participants list for the first meeting ........................................................................ 1

Table 1-2: Minutes of the meeting held on the 21st of February 2012 (Day 1) ......................... 2

Table 1-3: Participants list for the second meeting................................................................... 8

Table 1-4: Minutes of the meeting held on the 22nd of February 2012 (Day 2) ........................ 8

Table 1-5: Participants list for the third meeting .................................................................... 12

Table 1-6: Minutes of the meeting held on the 23rd of February (Day 3) ............................... 13

List of Photos Photo 1-1: Day 1: Welcome address to CYPADAPT team by Mr. Mikael Hilden, Director of

Climate Change Programme, Finnish Environment Institute (SYKE) ......................................... 6

Photo 1-2: SYKE building (top pictures) and Meeting Room “Apollo” (bottom picture) .......... 6

Photo 1-3: Presentation during the first meeting in SYKE (Noora Veijalainen, Hydrologist) .... 7

Photo 1-4: Presentation during the second meeting (1st Part) in the Finnish Ministry of

Environment (top pictures) and photo of CYPADAPT team with Juha-Pekka Maijala, Senior

technical advisor, Finnish Ministry of Environment (bottom picture). ................................... 11

Photo 1-5: Presentation during the third meeting (2nd Part) (on the left) and photo of the

CYPADAPT working team with researchers from the Finnish Meteorological Service. .......... 17


Abbreviations and Acronyms

FiMoE Ministry of the Environment of Finland

FMI Finnish Meteorological Institute

MANRE Ministry of Agriculture, Natural Resources and Environment of Cyprus

MMM Ministry of Agriculture and Forestry

NOA National Observatory of Athens

NTUA National Technical University of Athens

SYKE Finish Environment Institute


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1 Introduction

The visit of the CYPADAPT in FINLAND was realized in the context of Activity 2(a) entitled:

“Review of existing national and regional adaptation strategies and practices as well as

guidelines on the development of adaptation plans”.

Aim of the visit:

To obtain substantial guidance and insight regarding the elaboration of the Cypriot

adaptation strategy

Despite the fact that Finland does not share many similarities with Cyprus regarding its

geographic and climate characteristics, it was considered of particular importance to come

in contact with the team that developed the Finnish National Adaptation Strategy (NAS), as

Finland comprises the first European country to prepare and adopt an adaptation strategy.

As a result the CYPADAPT team had the opportunity to discuss on the adaptation policies

and the potential barriers that Finland met during the implementation of the Finnish NAS.

The 3-day visit to Finland involved visits to different organizations and institutes:

Day 1 (21/02/2012): Finnish Environment Institute (SYKE);

Day 2 (22/02/2012): Ministry of the Environment (FiMoE) (1st Part) and Finish

Environment Institute (2nd Part); and

Day 3 (23/02/2012): Finish Environment Institute (1st Part) and Finnish

Meteorological Institute (FMI) (2nd Part).

1.1 Day 1

1.1.1 Time and Place

The first meeting was held in the meeting room “Apollo” of the Finnish Environment

Institute (SYKE). The meeting was realized on Tuesday, 21st of February 2012.

1.1.2 Participants

The participants of the first meeting are listed in the following table.

Table 1-1: Participants list for the first meeting

No. Name Institute

1. Mikael Hilden Finish Environment Institute (SYKE)

2. Christina Papadaskalopoulou National Technical University of Athens (NTUA)

3. Pirkko Heikinheimo Ministry of the Environment (FiMoE)

4. Timothy Carter SYKE

5. Sanna Luhtala Finish Meteorological Institute (FMI)

6. Noora Veijalainen SYKE

7. Jussi Vuorenmaa SYKE


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8. Kyriaki Ioannou Ministry of Agriculture, Natural Resources and Environment of Cyprus (MANRE)

9. Maria Dodou NTUA

10. Dimitris Xevgenos NTUA

11. Hanna Mela SYKE

12. Antti Irjala FiMoE

13. Juha-Pekka Maijala FiMoE

1.1.3 Minutes

The minutes of the first meeting are presented in Table 1-2, while the presentations of the

meeting are given in the Annex.

Table 1-2: Minutes of the meeting held on the 21st of February 2012 (Day 1)

Tuesday, 21 February 2012

09:10–09:20 Welcome: Mikael Hilden Introduction of the participants

1st Presentation: Christina Papadaskalopoulou (see also Annex)

09:20-10:00 Presentation Outline:

Introduction to the LIFE+ project: CYPADAPT

Aims & Objectives

Project actions

Project Methodology

Current climate changes and risks in Cyprus o Mean Annual Temperature (oC) in Cyprus (Period: 1981-

1990) o Annual trend of evapotranspiration for the period 1976-2006 o Yearly totals of Cooling Degree Days above given thresholds

for the period 1980-2004 o Annual average precipitation (mm) in Cyprus for the period

1901/02 – 2007/08 o Number of flooding events per year in Cyprus etc.

Routes of Alien Species, Biodiversity, Agriculture, Forests, drought effects, forest fires and burnt areas, etc. in Cyprus

10:00-10:20 Questions:

How many communities are there in Cyprus?

Which is the general awareness of climate change in Cyprus? (Mikael Hilden)

What share of desalination plants is based on renewable energy in Cyprus?

Which are the Kyoto commitment of Cyprus? (Pirkko Heikinheimo)

Is this Life+ project an official step towards preparing your national adaptation strategy? (Pirkko Heikinheimo)

What about the opportunities of climate change in Cyprus? (Hannah Mela)

Annex/21_02_2012/1.%20Christina_Papadaskalopoulou.pptx


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2nd Presentation: Pirkko Heikinheimo (see also Annex)


Goals set out by the Finnish Government

Implementation of the NAS (National Adaptation Strategy)

Encouraging and supporting local and regional adaptation actions (www.climateguide.fi web portal provides info & tools especially for municipalities & the public)

Challenges for implementation (need for inter-governmental ministry collaboration)

Questions:

Was there lack of information regarding climate change impacts across sectors in Finland? Could the competent authorities cooperate and provide the required data (were they familiar to the concept of climate change?) (Dimitris Xevgenos)

Was it easy to decouple the effects of other factors in the process of estimating the impacts of climate change to different sectors (Dimitris Xevgenos)

10:45-10:55 Coffee break

3rd Presentation: Pirkko Heikinheimo (see also Annex)


Evaluation of the strategy: steps in adaptation

Identified new needs for updating the NAS in 2012-2013 (synergies and contradictions of mitigation and adaptation; more cross-sectoral collaboration; wider understanding for need to adapt to socio-economical impacts of climate change; risk assessment and management for pessimistic scenarios; cost-benefit analysis for adaptation measures; More local/regional aspects of adaptation; More user-oriented communication about adaptation; recommendations of PEER study etc. into consideration; White paper on adaptation/EU’s Adaptation Strategy)


How did you help the enforcement of the plan; was there any legislation;

Who coordinated the action plans;

Is there any evaluation of the action plans;

Ministry of Urban Planning: At which stage they inform the other ministries when they are up to take some measures?

4th Presentation: Timothy Carter (see also Annex)


Title: “Assessing the adaptive capacity of the Finnish environment and society under a changing climate level of research activity into climate change impacts and adaptation in Finland and approximate time horizons to consider in planning and implementing adaptive strategies”

Major aims (identifying major gaps in Knowledge and research needs)

Research themes: Co-ordination & data support, natural environment, infrastructure etc.)

Annex/21_02_2012/2.%20Pirkko%20Heikinheimo.ppt

http://www.climateguide.fi/

Annex/21_02_2012/3.%20Pirkko%20Heikinheimo.PPT

Annex/21_02_2012/4.%20Timothy_Carter.pdf


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11:45-11:55 Comments:

Benefits from climate change in Cyprus (apart from the adverse impacts of climate change, there are always opportunities)

Invitation for the 2nd Nordic International Conference (29-31/08/2012)

Take good care for bringing together the policy side and the research side (give a joint agenda).

5th Presentation: Sanna Luhtala (see also Annex)


Information on climate change at one address (three main components: (1) climate change explained – understand the phenomena & its consequences, (2) Maps, graphs and data – visualization of climate and impact data, (3) community response wizard – for municipalities and its residents

Community response wizard

CCCRP LIFE+ projects (llmasto-opas.fi)

Stakeholders actively involved in designing the portal

Towards an established and widely-used national climate portal

6th Presentation: Sanna Luhtala (see also Annex)


30 ISTO research projects under 11 categories (Climate project: ACCLIM, Agriculture and food production: ILMASOPU, Fisheries (2), Biodiversity (3), Extreme weather events (5), Regional Adaptation strategy (1), Social impacts (1), Presenting research results.

Two evaluations: 2008 (Midterm evaluaton) and 2011 (Final evaluation)

The results of ISTO projects distributed via several channels (www.finessi.info/ISTO/index.php?page=overview&lang=en, www.mmm.fi/ISTO/eng, http://climateguide.fi).

Climate research programmes in Finland, some examples

Comments:

It is crucial to secure that the strategies for each sector do not fight with each other and that they recognize the importance of win-win solutions

12:15-13:45 Lunch break

7th Presentation: Noora Veijalainen (see also Annex)


Title: Estimation of climate change impacts on hydrology in Finland

Climate change, snow and water

Water-Adapt project, Finland’s water resources and Climate Change – Impacts and Adaptation

Methods of climate change impact studies (delta change method

Schematic presentation

Use of direct Regional Climate Model (RCM) data

Schematic presentation

WSFS hydrological model

Lake regulation

Annex/21_02_2012/5.%20Sanah%20Luhtala.pptx

Annex/21_02_2012/6.%20Sanah%20Luhtala.pptx

http://www.finessi.info/ISTO/index.php?page=overview&lang=en

http://www.mmm.fi/ISTO/eng

http://climateguide.fi/

Annex/21_02_2012/7.%20Noora%20Veijalainen.pptx


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Climate change impacts on hydrology

Change in annual runoff (mm) Period 1961-90 and 2071-2100

Climate change and adaptation

Syvari water level

Pielinen (lake)

Climate change and regulation

Climate change impacts on floods

2070-99: 100-year flood

Conclusions on changes of floods

Adaptation possibilities


The flood events are severe events in terms of damages or losses of lives? (Christina Papadaskalopoulou)

How many models did you use for running the hydrological model? (Dimitris Xevgenos)

8th Presentation: Jussi Vuorenmaa (see also Annex)


Title: VACCIA-project: Vulnerability Assessment of ecosystem services for Climate Change Impacts and Adaptation. Aims and some key results. Site: www.environment.fi/syke/vaccia

Main general aims of the project

Vaccia’s 13 actions

Lammi LTER-site. Action 8: Vulnerability and adaptation of Catchment areas and lakes for climate change impacts

Framework of project

Temperature and precipitation in Finland are predicted to increase particularly during winter

Increase of Arctic shipping increases air pollution in north Finland

Examples of remote sensing datasets produced in Vaccia

Sectors in Vaccia project

Long-term data on environmental change. Coastal ecosystems in Western Gulf of Finland gathered in GIS-portal

Gulf of Finland, Tvarminne

Biodiversity: Bothnian Bay

Lake and catchment ecosystems

Contribution to policy development

Concluding remarks

Questions:

Do you have a LTER (Long-Term Ecological Research) network in Cyprus? (Jussi Vuoremnaa)

Annex/21_02_2012/8.%20Jussi%20Vuorenmaa.pptx

http://www.environment.fi/syke/vaccia


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1.1.4 Photos

Photo 1-1: Day 1: Welcome address to CYPADAPT team by Mr. Mikael Hilden, Director of Climate Change Programme, Finnish Environment Institute (SYKE)

Photo 1-2: SYKE building (top pictures) and Meeting Room “Apollo” (bottom picture)


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Photo 1-3: Presentation during the first meeting in SYKE (Noora Veijalainen, Hydrologist)


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1.2 Day 2

1.2.1 Time and place

The second meeting was realized on Wednesday, 22nd of February 2012 and it was held in

the:

Finnish Ministry of Environment (1st Part); and

Finish Environment Institute (2nd Part).

1.2.2 Participants

The participants of the second meeting are listed in the following table.

Table 1-3: Participants list for the second meeting

No. Name Institute Participation to

1. Antti Irjala FiMoE 1st Part of the meeting

2. Juha-Pekka Maijala FiMoE 1st Part of the meeting

3. Irmeli Wahlgren Technical Research Centre of Finland (VTT)

2nd Part of the meeting

4. Riku Varjopuro SYKE 2nd Part of the meeting

5. Hanna Mela SYKE 2nd Part of the meeting

6. Christina Papadaskalopoulou

National Technical University of Athens (NTUA)

Both Parts of the meeting

7. Christos Giannakopoulos

National Observatory of Athens (NOA)




9. Maria Dodou NTUA Both Parts of the meeting

10. Dimitris Xevgenos NTUA Both Parts of the meeting

1.2.3 Minutes

The minutes of the first meeting are presented in Table 1-4, while the presentations of the

meeting are given in Annex.

Table 1-4: Minutes of the meeting held on the 22nd of February 2012 (Day 2)

Wednesday, 22 February 2012

1st Presentation: Juha-Pekka Maijala


Finnish Ministries

Finland’s environmental administration

Ministry of the Environment, Finland

The Department of the Built environment

National Adaptation Strategy (2005)


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Adaptation in the Environmental Administration: an Action Plan (2008)

The most essential impacts in the sphere of the environmental administration include

Biodiversity: measures

Land-use and community: measures (the National land use Guidelines)

o Land use should take into account flood risk areas o In land use planning

Finnish planning system (land use)

The ways of steering construction in municipalities

Buildings and construction: measures

Urban flood in Helsinki in winter 2005 (flood protecting wall from paper material)

The adaptation network

Coordination, implementation, evaluation


Have you suggested any measures for the end-users (in the houses)?

Building regulations: is there a regulation which obliges to use double-glazing windows, big or small windows, EUROCODES etc.?

11:00–13:00 Break and transport to SYKE

2nd Presentation: Irmeli Wahlgren (see also Annex)


Challenges of climate change

Study locations

Identification of critical, flood-risk areas

Ten golden rules for planner (the averages are not interesting but extremes)

Climate change adaptation in urban planning

Questions:

The resolution used was 50km x 50km? I think that there is a resolution of 25km x25 km available at the moment? (Christos Giannakopoulos) The data presented in the table (p. 11) comprise average values of the four calculation runs.

The master plans involve only the built environment or the transport sector and other critical infrastructure as well (e.g water and energy supply, wastewater collection, treatment and disposal, communications etc.)?

3rd Presentation: Riku Varjopuro (see also Annex)


Title: “BALTADAPT: Towards a Baltic Sea Region Climate Change Adaptation Strategy”

Background

Baltadapt activities

Towards the Adaptation Strategy – Policy Forum April 2012

Contacts (www.baltadapt.eu)

Annex/22_02_2012/2.%20Irmeli%20Wahlgren.pdf

Annex/22_02_2012/3.%20Riku%20Varjopuro.ppt

http://www.baltadapt.eu/


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Questions:

Is there any plan on how you are going to monitor the implementation of the plan?

14:30–15:30 Lunch break

4th Presentation: Christos Giannakopoulos (see also Annex)


Regional climate model data

Domain of the study

Climate of the recent past

Confidence ranges

Statistical distributions TX in capitals

Impacts-Cooling energy requirements

Impacts-Population discomfort

Case-study: Athens

Vulnerability indicators for Athens

Fire Weather Index

Health: All cause daily mortality

Air pollution: Ozone exceedance days

Summary table of vulnerability indicators to current climate

Indicator linkages for Athens

16:00-16:30 Questions & Discussion:

Which is the resolution you used for the case of Athens? (Timothy Carter)

The results shown are model results or real measured data? (Timothy Carter)

There is no best model to choose for Cyprus. The suitability of the model can be based on the domain of the model (regional climate models examining the region where the country is located) (Timothy Carter, Christos Giannakopoulos)

For selecting a model you need precipitation and temperature data, whether for estimating the impacts on the sector additional data would be required such as energy consumption (for the impacts on the energy sector), mortality etc. (Christos Giannakopoulos)

Discussion over the methodology that shall be used for validating the different climate models. It is significant to use the measured data which are site specific and create a grid through the use of interpolation method. The data must be regular across regions of Cyprus (Timothy Carter)

What is your opinion about climate change? Is it sure that if we cut-off Greenhouse Gas emissions the trend of global warming will change? (Christina Papadaskalopoulou)

Annex/22_02_2012/4.%20Christos%20Giannakopoulos.ppt


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1.2.4 Photos

Photo 1-4: Presentation during the second meeting (1st Part) in the Finnish Ministry of Environment (top pictures) and photo of CYPADAPT team with Juha-Pekka Maijala, Senior technical advisor, Finnish Ministry of Environment (bottom picture).


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1.3 Day 3

1.3.1 Time and place

The third meeting was realized on Thursday, 23rd of February 2012 and it was held in the:

Finish Environment Institute (1st Part); and

Finnish Meteorological Institute (2nd Part).

1.3.2 Participants

The participants of the third meeting are listed in the following table.

Table 1-5: Participants list for the third meeting

No. Name Institute Participated to

1. Matti Kahra Ministry of Agriculture and Forestry (MMM)

1st Part of the meeting

2. Hanna Mela SYKE 1st Part of the meeting

3. Stefan Fronzek SYKE 1st Part of the meeting

4. Reija Ruuhela Finnish Meteorological Institute (FMI)

2nd Part of the meeting

5. Adriaan Perrels FMI 2nd Part of the meeting

6. Kristiina Santti FMI 2nd Part of the meeting

7. Sanna Luhtala FMI 2nd Part of the meeting

8. Christina Papadaskalopoulou

National Technical University of Athens (NTUA)

Both parts of the meeting

9. Christos Giannakopoulos

National Observatory of Athens (NOA)




11. Maria Dodou NTUA Both parts of the meeting

12. Dimitris Xevgenos NTUA Both parts of the meeting

1.3.3 Minutes

The minutes of the third meeting are presented in Table 1-6, while the presentations of the

meeting are given in Annex.


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Table 1-6: Minutes of the meeting held on the 23rd of February (Day 3)

Thursday, 23 February 2012

1st Presentation: Matti Kahra (see also Annex)


Title: “Short Introduction to Ministry of Agriculture and Forestry - Adaptation Action Plan 2011-2015”

Action plan for implementation (some measures are cross-sectoral, some sector-specific, 4-5 years is the maximum time that can be spent talking about money and resources)

Some examples of measures in two key sectors o 1. Agriculture and food production [60,000 farmers (1%)] o 2. Forestry (Agriculture and Forestry have the biggest

number of measures): Identify win-win situations between mitigation and adaptation. In the UK they have done much work in the cost benefit analysis sector

Creating an Action Plan. Ingredients for creating a good Action Plan: 3 elements: research, implementation and evaluation.

o Research: Insurances have already done much research work in order to remain profitable

o Implementation: Creating awareness on all decision-making levels; Cooperation, especially on a regional level; transforming existing policies, creating new ones; time perspective; different risks (incremental – extreme); leaving room for new developments.

o Evaluation: measuring success (indicators); learning along the way; making corrections when needed; taking into account global effects and interlinkages; synergies and trade-offs; international cooperation and learning from others; interaction between science and policy.

www.mmm.fi/en/index/frontpage/climate_change_energy/adaption.html

Questions

Most of the land is privately owned? (Kyriaki Ioannou)

They are allowed to cut the forest? (Maria Dodou)

By which means did you contact people? (Kyriaki Ioannou)

Comment: Finland: 300,000 km2; Cyprus: 9,000 km2.

2nd Presentation: Hanna Mela


Background: why study the elderly?

Indicators: o Demographic: share of the elderly over total municipal

population o Health-related indicators: share of elderly receiving regular

home health care and number of health care personnel/inhabitants

o Socio-economic indicators: share of elderly lining alone/total municipal population; share of elderly receiving economic

Annex/23_02_2012/1.%20Matti%20Kahra.PPT

http://www.mmm.fi/en/index/frontpage/climate_change_energy/adaption.html

http://www.mmm.fi/en/index/frontpage/climate_change_energy/adaption.html


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assistance

What is the purpose of vulnerability mapping

Interviews to supplement the statistical data

Questions:

What was the time period that you examined e.g last 20 or last 50 years from now? (Kyriaki Ioannou)

3rd Presentation: Stefan Fronzek

10:50-11:30 www.iav-mapping.net/CARAVAN/CARAVAN.html

Maveri program

Questions & Comments:

You could use some indicators in the adaptive capacity sector?

Mediation project

11:30–13:45 Transport to Finnish Meteorological Institute (FMI)

4th Presentation: Reija Ruuhela (see also Annex)


Title: “Climate change scenarios for adaptation measures and research”. ACCLIM II: Climate change survey and expert service for adaptation assessment.

ACCLIM II: Motivation & Objectives. Main Activities. Significance of the research

Warming in Finland by ~0.4±0.1°C/10 yr during the next three decades

Largest warming in winter, smallest in summer. Largest warming in north-eastern Finland

Spatial variation of very high temperatures in Finland;

Climatic zones in Europe as a dissemination tool of climate change information

Climate scenarios for Finland (the warming in Finland is likely to be stronger than the global average (2-6oC); precipitation will increase by 5-25%; cold (hot) days will become less (more) frequent)

Up-to-date weather data for building energy calculations in the current climate (TRY2012)

The total delivered energy consumption of a typical detached house in Finland is assessed to decrease by 5% by 2030

Climate scenarios for Sectorial Research – SETUKLIM 2011-12

The total delivered energy consumption of a typical detached house in Finland is assessed to decrease by 5% by 2030 (kWh/m2/month)

Changes in mean sea level on sea level in Vaasa (western coast) and in Helsinki (southern coast)

Annual maximum sea level in Helsinki, 1900-2010

Questions:

What is the relative humidity in Finland? (Maria Dodou)

You have 19 models? Are there any criteria for choosing those models? (Kyriaki Ioannou)

http://www.iav-mapping.net/CARAVAN/CARAVAN.html

Annex/23_02_2012/4.%20Reija%20Ruuhela.ppt


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14:15-14:30 Science – policy interaction in adaptation in Finland

ISTO Programme: Needs and aims of the Synthesis

How to adapt to inevitable climate change? - A synthesis of Finnish research on adaptation in different sectors

Where are we in 2012 in adaptation research? –researchers’ point of view

Agriculture: Time frame for implementation of adaptation options for the future anticipated changes

Forestry

Daily mortality in summer months

July 2010: new heat record, 37.2 oC - in Southern Finland monthly mean temp anomaly > +5 oC

Saimaa ringed seal – Finnish “ice bear”

Winter tourism depends on snow cover

Climate Risk Management in Finnish Development Cooperation

6th Presentation: Adriaan Perrels (see also Annex)


Title: “Economic perspectives of climate change adaptation”

Systemizing effects and their analysis

Review of climate change effects in built-up areas

Categorising natural hazards (for economic assessment purposes)

3 economic impact types – current (in)abilities

Impacts and trends

Do natural hazard cost outpace growth?

RCM and GCM based projections of changes in potential storm losses

Tourism suitability index changes in summertime

Economic impacts in Europe

Unmitigated river flood damage 2020…2080 (Source: FP7 CLIMATECOST Technical Policy Briefing Note)

Decomposing adaptation cost effects – case river flood risks

Lessons from Finnish assessments

FINADAPT (2005/2006)

Tolerate, Irtoriski, ISTO synthesis

TOLERATE study structure

Cost assessment summary

Extended event tree in IRTORISKI

GDP effects in Helsinki/Uusimaa & Pori/Satakunta

Linking direct and induced damage

Result of stakeholder based MCDA (Source: TOLERATE Study, Perrels et al, 2010)

Sensitivity analysis in MCDA – cost weight

Conclusions

7th Presentation: Kristiina Santti (see also Annex)


Title: “National Early Warning System. LUOVA for Natural Disasters in Finland“


Annex/23_02_2012/6.%20Adrian%20Perrels.ppt

Annex/23_02_2012/7.%20Kristiina%20Säntti.ppt


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LUOVA responds to needs

Internal security programme

Objectives of the LUOVA system. Participating actors of LUOVA

LUOVA implementation (Tasks: data transmission system, servers and database; work processes and expert co-operation; user interface form monitoring and web portal; Content of situation picture; training, (b) Challenges: 24/7 operation; various end-users with different demands; large amount of information; secure data transmission)

Data and information sources (Observations; National and International models; National and International Information Centers)

LUOVA warning centers (24/7 monitoring of various information sources; expert network; Secured communication and dissemination system; feedback mechanisms)

LUOVA situation picture (summary of hazard; Forecasts and warnings; Impacts)

End users- Specialised user groups

LUOVA warning levels (very dangerous; dangerous; potentially dangerous; no particular awareness is required)

Phenomena covered by LUOVA (storms; Tropical storms; Forest fires; Thunderstorms; Heavy rain; Sea water level; Floods; Earthquakes; volcanic eruption; tsunamis)

Distribution of warnings and situation picture (warnings: e-mail, sms)

Benefits of the LUOVA-system (provides real-time information to Finish government and safety authorities; provides analysed and accurate information; established expert network)

LUOVA – development in future

LUOVA- Situation picture


How many observation stations are there in Finland? (Kyriaki Ioannou)


15:45-16:00 Title: “CYPADAPT at FMI 23 Feb, 2012”

Climate Service Center at FMI

An outcome of 3rd World Climate Conference (2009) Global Framework for Climate Services (GFCS)

Components of GFCS: 1. Observations and Monitoring 2. Climate research, modelling and prediction, 3. Climate Service Information System (CSIS), 4. Climate User Interface Programme (CUIP), 5. Capacity Building

New climatological normal period, 1981-2010

What kind of climate information and climate services will you need within next 5 years?

What is the optimal way of obtaining the climate information you need?

The concept of Climate Guide portal

Course for journalists on climate change



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Climate is changing – education for journalist

1.3.4 Photos

Photo 1-5: Presentation during the third meeting (2nd Part) (on the left) and photo of the CYPADAPT working team with researchers from the Finnish Meteorological Service.

Semi-Frozen sea of South Harbor, Helsinki

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