ccsr lightning seminars 7 th february 2006 what were doing, want to do, or have done
TRANSCRIPT
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CCSR Lightning Seminars
7th February 2006
What we’re doing, want to do, or have done www.ccsr.ac.uk
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Ludi Simpson
Guardian Front Page and late night on Key 103:
Getting a message to the press
www.ccsr.ac.uk
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Would you believe this man?
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More racial mixing message, November 2005
Radio national and international:BBC Asian Radio NetworkFive LiveBBC Radio WalesBBC Black 1-ExtraRT1 Dublin Pat Kelly phone inRadio Shropshire Jim Hawkins
phone-in
Radio regionalStar FM SloughImagine FM StockportBBC LeedsBBC West MidlandsBBC GMR Greater ManchesterSignal Radio StokeKey103 James H Reeve phone-
inPulse Radio West YorkshireGWR FM BristolRadio OldhamRadio CoventryRadio Leicester African-
Caribbean magazine and News
BBC London Geoff Schumann phone-in
Newspapers regionalLeicester MercuryBradford Telegraph and ArgusYorkshire PostSouth London Press, Robert DexHalifax Evening CourierLondon Evening StandardAldershot News and MailShields GazetteManchester Metro NewsIlford Recorder
Other mediaRadio 4 program on LozellsRegeneration and Renewal
MagazineBURISA urban and regional
information systems magazineGeoTV Aamir Ghauri Panel and
Phone-inCommunity NewswireSocialist ReviewYahoo NewsKuwait News agency Karamundi Online (web)Outlook India (web)Press Trust of IndiaSouth Asian Meida Network
Newspapers national and international:
Guardian, Vikram DoddsDaily Mail, Steve DoughertySocialist Worker, Kevin
OvendenDaily TelegraphPress AssociationFinancial Times, James
WilsonNew NationDie Welt, GermanyNew York TimesInternational Herald TribuneDaily Times, Lahore PakistanIl Sole, ItalyExpress India Dawn, Pakistan
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Was it worth it?
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Was it worth it?London Evening Standard
Leicester Mercury
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Preparing for the press is like a job interview
• Don’t do it unless you have a clear message that you want to publicise
• Short press release– ½ page with one message– Further information on request– University media relations office (Jon
Keighren)– Language that cannot be mistaken
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Vanessa Higgins
ESDS Government: Update on Resources
www.esds.ac.uk/government/
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Duncan Smith
Managing the safe release of tabular data to multiple, non-collaborating
users
www.ccsr.ac.uk
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Release of marginal cross-tabulations from some base cross-tabulation over many variables
Recovery of small (particularly zero) counts in the base table represents a disclosure risk
Restricting total release to a user so that low counts cannot be recovered
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Assumption:
Users (which might be individuals / organisations) will not collaborate (share data)
Without this assumption all released data would have to be considered ‘released to the world’; the data released to one user could limit the data available to other users
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Risk assessment is easy for total releases that form decomposable graphical models
Any subset of a safe release is also safe (in terms of ‘bounds’-based risk criteria)
Identify partial releases that will restrict further releases to a user
Allow the user to query the system and maximise their utility function (rather than some utility function assumed for the world)
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Townsend deprivation 1991 & 2001
Micro-geography of UK demographic change 1991-01ESRC: Understanding Population Trends & Processes
Revisit & extend: harmonisation, EwC census adjustments
Similarly deprived?
Ageing in situ? Natural change cf net migration?
Gaining or losing population?
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Longitudinal inter-relationships: ONS LS 1971-2001
Social mobility
Deprivation mobility
Geographical mobility
1. Health outcomes for individuals2. Aggregate effects of individual (im-)mobility
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Abdelouahid Tajar
The innovation behaviour of firms
www.ccsr.ac.uk
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Selected examples of Innovation
Product innovationGoodso Fibre optic based display lighting rangeo Multi-function printer/ScannerServiceso IT based Credit Risk assessment services
o Geographical Information System software.
Examples which are not technological innovation: New models of complex products, such as cars or television sets, are not product innovation.
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Data and Methods
Survey dataset, which contains information about levels and characteristics of the innovation activity of UK enterprises during the three year period 1998-2000
We have a sample of 4145 firms, they are manufacturing and services firms.
First approach: Cumulative logit models( Ordinal logistic regression)
Dependent variables: “Link with Consultants”, “Co-operations with Private Research Organizations” …
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Data and Methods (continued)
Some Independent variables:
Absorptive capacity: which will enable the firm to learn from these sources (graduates employees (Scientists and engineers))
Size of firms Group membership Markets: Firms competing in international markets
arguably face greater competition and therefore have a greater need for specialist knowledge.
o other independent variables …..
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Jo Wathan
Where we’re at with the SARs
www.ccsr.ac.uk/sars
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Three types of SARs• Microdata available under a standard
end user license– CRS one-stop sign up, disseminated by CCSR– Individual licensed file– Small area microdata file SAM (this week?)
• Microdata distributed under a special license– Paper sign up, disseminated by UKDA, supported by
CCSR– Household special license file
• Microdata held in a secure setting at ONS– Application to ONS, results released after being
checked for disclosure risk– Individual Controlled Access Microdata (CAM) – Household CAM
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Different purposes• For teaching
– End user license files only• For research
– Any, but start with the licensed files – you’ll only be able to use the CAMs if you’ve exhausted other possibilities
• For LA Geography– The Small Area Microdata– The CAMS offer more detail, in particular LA
geography on files other than the SAM• Sharing with overseas users
– The only file we can currently send abroad is the Individual Licensed file
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What we’re up to now• Finishing touches to
– The SAM– The CAMS
• Sorting out outstanding missing / problematic variables– Fndepch– Missing genind
• Outreach focussing on:– SAM– Household data
• Derived variables and documentation • CCSR has won funding to continue
supporting the SARs for the next 5 years
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Wendy Olsen
The World Values Survey in India
www.ccsr.ac.uk
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The World Values Survey
Globally: 80 societies, 4 waves or rounds.
India: 1995 only (so far), 2002 respondents
1 = strongly agree
2 = agree
3 = disagree
4 = strongly disagree
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…being a housewife is fulfilling…0
50
5
1 2 3 4 1 2 3 4
Married Living Together
Div, Sep, Widowed Single
Den
sity
being a housewife fulfillingGraphs by married
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Aims and Methods• To measure:
– Political knowledge, interest and socialisation
• To assess:
– Young adults’ experience of ‘citizenship’ education
• Questionnaire
– 21 questions
– Includes two ‘open’ questions on citizenship
– Administered to around 60 sixth-formers, and 70 undergraduates (N=130)
– Small sample so results merely indicative
– Informs future research
• Focus Groups
– 5 groups of sixth-formers
– Not chosen for political interest, but intend to go on to HE
• Initial results from the questionnaire
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B S.E. Sig.
AGE -0.105 0.130 0.420
CITIZUSE 0.935 0.431 0.030
CLASS 0.867
CLASS(Working) 0.809 1.695 0.633
CLASS(Middle) 0.319 1.124 0.777
EDUYEARS 0.850 0.280 0.002
ETHNIC 0.056 0.145 0.696
POLENGIN -1.302 0.575 0.024
POLENGLO 0.310 0.698 0.657
POLENGNA 0.568 0.820 0.489
POLINTER 0.392 0.412 0.341
POLKNOW 0.326 0.508 0.521
POLSOCFA 2.506 1.025 0.014
POLSOCFR -1.067 0.972 0.272
RELIGIOU -0.118 0.219 0.590
SEX -2.521 1.355 0.063
Constant -11.017 5.160 0.033
Wil
l vo
te a
t n
ext
Gen
eral
Ele
ctio
n
N=130; -2LL 37.634; R2CS 0.425; R2
N 0.681
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Open question responses• Improving political engagement
– Better understanding
– Being heard
– Reduce the voting age
– Make politics more interesting
– Make politics relevant to me
– Younger politicians
– Ethnic minority representation
– Simpler language
– Advertising
• Improving citizenship education
– Information
– Active participation
– Discuss issues relevant to me (not fox-hunting and euthanasia)
– Make it interesting and understandable
– Make it available
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David Voas
The holy and the unholy:Neighbourhood variability in religion
www.ccsr.ac.uk
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English wards (2001) No religion (%), men 25-49
(base excludes minority religious groups)
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Unmet Need for Family Planning
NOYES
NOYES
NOYES
Want a child now ?
Using family planning?
Are you fecund and in a sexual union?
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Unmet Need for Family Planning
NOYES
NOYES
NOYES
Want a child now ?
Using family planning?
Are you fecund and in a sexual union?
UNMET NEED
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Unmet Need for Family Planning
NOYES
NOYES
NOYES
Want a child now ?
Using family planning?
Are you fecund and in a sexual union?
UNMET NEED
Sub-Saharan Africa:
Ghana = 34%
Rwanda = 39%
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Measuring natural susceptibility: a question of degree?
SUSCEPTIBLE NOT SUSCEPTIBLE
Unmet need algorithm assumes absolute states
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Measuring natural susceptibility: a question of degree?
VERY SUSCEPTIBLE
NOT SUSCEPTIBLE
But susceptibility is variable…. – frequency of sex - assumed constant – but isn’t
But surely susceptibility is variable…. – frequency of sex– assumed constant – but it isn’t
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When last had sex By country
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
50%
60%
70%
80%
90%
100%
burkina ghana kenya rwanda zimbabwe zambia
within 2 weeks within last month within 6 months within 1 year over a year
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% who had sex in last month By unmet need status
0
10
20
30
40
50
60
70
80
90
100
burkina ghana kenya rwanda zimbabwe zambia
contraception unmet need w ant birth soon
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That’s all folks!
Slides are online atwww.ccsr.ac.uk/seminars