cbre h2 2014 industrial mv
TRANSCRIPT
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MARKETVIEW
Trade growth fuels occupier
market
The Netherlands Industrial Marketview H2 2014
EXPORTS PUT ECONOMY BACK ON TRACK
AN TICIPATION ON GROWTH
H2 2014 CBRE Research © 2015 CBRE B.V.| 1
+29.7% y-o-y -3% y-o-y - 55bp y-o-y+45% y-o-y
HEADLINES
•
Exports are the main driver of the economic upturnin the Netherlands, with consumer spending still
lagging behind
• Against the backdrop of economic stimuli, the
investment market for industrial property recorded
the highest turnover since 2008
• Trade growth and e-commerce operations are
driving demand for logistics space
• Shortage of modern, high-quality logistics space is
likely to boost new construction activity
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MARKETVIEW
STRONG MODERNISATION TREND
NETHERLANDS INDUSTRIAL
0%
2%
4%
6%
8%
10%
12%
14%
16%
2 0 1 0 Q 2
2 0 1 0 Q 3
2 0 1 0 Q 4
2 0 1 1 Q 1
2 0 1 1 Q 2
2 0 1 1 Q 3
2 0 1 1 Q 4
2 0 1 2 Q 1
2 0 1 2 Q 2
2 0 1 2 Q 3
2 0 1 2 Q 4
2 0 1 3 Q 1
2 0 1 3 Q 2
2 0 1 3 Q 3
2 0 1 3 Q 4
2 0 1 4 Q 1
2 0 1 4 Q 2
2 0 1 4 Q 3
2 0 1 4 Q 4
New (≤5yr) Dated (>5yr) Dated (LT-avg)
INVESTORS SEEKING MOMENTUM
Chart 1. Logistics vacancy rate
H2 2014 CBRE Research © 2015 CBRE B.V.| 2
Source: CBRE Research
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MARKETVIEW NETHERLANDS INDUSTRIAL
H2 2014 CBRE Research © 2015 CBRE B.V.| 3
Chart 2. Logistics take-up
Chart 3. “Mainport” cargo transhipment
Chart 4. Industrial investment
Source: Port of Rotterdam & Schiphol Group
Source: CBRE Research
Source: CBRE Research
200
250
300
350
400
450
85
90
95
100
105
110
115
2 0 0 9 Q 1
2 0 0 9 Q 2
2 0 0 9 Q 3
2 0 0 9 Q 4
2 0 1 0 Q 1
2 0 1 0 Q 2
2 0 1 0 Q 3
2 0 1 0 Q 4
2 0 1 1 Q 1
2 0 1 1 Q 2
2 0 1 1 Q 3
2 0 1 1 Q 4
2 0 1 2 Q 1
2 0 1 2 Q 2
2 0 1 2 Q 3
2 0 1 2 Q 4
2 0 1 3 Q 1
2 0 1 3 Q 2
2 0 1 3 Q 3
2 0 1 3 Q 4
2 0 1 4 Q 1
2 0 1 4 Q 2
2 0 1 4 Q 3
2 0 1 4 Q 4
Schiphol x 1,000 t
Rotterdam x mio t
Rotterdam Schiphol
0
500
1000
1500
2000
2500
2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014
x mio EURLogistics Multi-let Other
0
200
400
600
800
1,000
1,200
Q 1
Q 2
Q 3
Q 4
2 0 0 9
Q 1
Q 2
Q 3
Q 4
2 0 1 0
Q 1
Q 2
Q 3
Q 4
2 0 1 1
Q 1
Q 2
Q 3
Q 4
2 0 1 2
Q 1
Q 2
Q 3
Q 4
2 0 1 3
Q 1
Q 2
Q 3
Q 4
2 0 1 4
x 1 , 0
0 0 s q m
existing new pre-let/bts
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MARKETVIEW NETHERLANDS INDUSTRIAL
Location Type Quarter Status Tenant Size (sq m)
Tilburg, Vossenberg-West II Logistics Q4 New Tesla Motors 49,000
Nieuwegein, Het Klooster Logistics Q2 Pre-let ND Logistics / Albert Heijn 41,000
Nijmegen, De Grift Logistics Q3 Pre-let Nabuurs / Heinz 40,000
Moerdijk, Seaport Logistics Q4 Existing Owim / Koolwijk 40,000
Tiel, Medel Logistics Q4 Pre-let Kuehne & Nagel 33,000
Hasselt, Zwarte Water Logistics Q4 Pre-let Scania 29,000
Tilburg, Vossenberg-West II Logistics Q4 Pre-let Coolblue 25,000
Oss, De Geer Logistics Q1 Pre-let Vos Logistics 25,000
Venlo, Business Park Siberië Logistics Q3 Pre-let Seacon Logistics 22,500
Bergen Op Zoom, Noordland Logistics Q3 Pre-let Forever 21 20,000
Location / portfolio Type Quarter Purchaser Price (€ M) Size (sq m)
Pelican portfolio Logistics Q1 Prologis 168.5 343,500
Nationwide portfolio Multi-let Q2 Hansteen 106.0 270,000
Zander portfolio Multi-let Q2 M7 Real Estate 78.0 175,000
Amsterdam, Casablancaweg Logistics Q4 DCAM 75.0 105,600
Echt, Action DC Logistics Q2 WDP 56.2 87,000
BIP Portfolio Multi-let Q2 M7 Real Estate 44.0 106,000
Waddinxveen, Transportweg Logistics Q4 DCAM 38.0 41,000
Hattrick portfolio Logistics Q1 LogiCor 34.5 56,250
Utrecht, Atoomweg Logistics Q4 USAA Realco 33.7 38,000
Venlo, Curve portfolio Logistics Q3 LogiCor 29.3 44,900
Table 1. Key occupier transactions 2014
Table 2. Key investment transactions 2014
H2 2014 CBRE Research © 2015 CBRE B.V.| 4
Source: CBRE Research
Source: CBRE Research
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MARKETVIEW
Disclaimer: Information contained herein, including projections, has been obtained from sources believed to be reliable. While we do not doubt its accuracy,we have not verified it and make no guarantee, warranty or representation about it. It is your responsibility to confirm independently its accuracy andcompleteness. This information is presented exclusively for use by CBRE clients and professionals and all rights to the material are reserved and cannot bereproduced without prior written permission of CBRE.
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