cbre h2 2014 industrial mv

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  • 8/9/2019 CBRE H2 2014 Industrial MV

    1/5

    MARKETVIEW

    Trade growth fuels occupier

    market

    The Netherlands Industrial Marketview H2 2014

    EXPORTS PUT ECONOMY BACK ON TRACK

     AN TICIPATION ON GROWTH

    H2 2014 CBRE Research © 2015 CBRE B.V.| 1

    +29.7% y-o-y -3% y-o-y - 55bp y-o-y+45% y-o-y

    HEADLINES

    Exports are the main driver of the economic upturnin the Netherlands, with consumer spending still

    lagging behind

    •  Against the backdrop of economic stimuli, the

    investment market for industrial property recorded

    the highest turnover since 2008

    • Trade growth and e-commerce operations are

    driving demand for logistics space

    • Shortage of modern, high-quality logistics space is

    likely to boost new construction activity

  • 8/9/2019 CBRE H2 2014 Industrial MV

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    MARKETVIEW

    STRONG MODERNISATION TREND

    NETHERLANDS INDUSTRIAL

    0%

    2%

    4%

    6%

    8%

    10%

    12%

    14%

    16%

        2    0    1    0    Q    2

        2    0    1    0    Q    3

        2    0    1    0    Q    4

        2    0    1    1    Q    1

        2    0    1    1    Q    2

        2    0    1    1    Q    3

        2    0    1    1    Q    4

        2    0    1    2    Q    1

        2    0    1    2    Q    2

        2    0    1    2    Q    3

        2    0    1    2    Q    4

        2    0    1    3    Q    1

        2    0    1    3    Q    2

        2    0    1    3    Q    3

        2    0    1    3    Q    4

        2    0    1    4    Q    1

        2    0    1    4    Q    2

        2    0    1    4    Q    3

        2    0    1    4    Q    4

    New (≤5yr)  Dated (>5yr) Dated (LT-avg)

    INVESTORS SEEKING MOMENTUM

    Chart 1. Logistics vacancy rate

    H2 2014 CBRE Research © 2015 CBRE B.V.| 2

    Source: CBRE Research

  • 8/9/2019 CBRE H2 2014 Industrial MV

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    MARKETVIEW NETHERLANDS INDUSTRIAL

    H2 2014 CBRE Research © 2015 CBRE B.V.| 3

    Chart 2. Logistics take-up

    Chart 3. “Mainport” cargo transhipment

    Chart 4. Industrial investment

    Source: Port of Rotterdam & Schiphol Group

    Source: CBRE Research

    Source: CBRE Research

    200

    250

    300

    350

    400

    450

    85

    90

    95

    100

    105

    110

    115

        2    0    0    9    Q    1

        2    0    0    9    Q    2

        2    0    0    9    Q    3

        2    0    0    9    Q    4

        2    0    1    0    Q    1

        2    0    1    0    Q    2

        2    0    1    0    Q    3

        2    0    1    0    Q    4

        2    0    1    1    Q    1

        2    0    1    1    Q    2

        2    0    1    1    Q    3

        2    0    1    1    Q    4

        2    0    1    2    Q    1

        2    0    1    2    Q    2

        2    0    1    2    Q    3

        2    0    1    2    Q    4

        2    0    1    3    Q    1

        2    0    1    3    Q    2

        2    0    1    3    Q    3

        2    0    1    3    Q    4

        2    0    1    4    Q    1

        2    0    1    4    Q    2

        2    0    1    4    Q    3

        2    0    1    4    Q    4

    Schiphol x 1,000 t

    Rotterdam x mio t

    Rotterdam Schiphol

    0

    500

    1000

    1500

    2000

    2500

    2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014

     x mio EURLogistics Multi-let Other

    0

    200

    400

    600

    800

    1,000

    1,200

        Q    1

        Q    2

        Q    3

        Q    4

        2    0    0    9

        Q    1

        Q    2

        Q    3

        Q    4

        2    0    1    0

        Q    1

        Q    2

        Q    3

        Q    4

        2    0    1    1

        Q    1

        Q    2

        Q    3

        Q    4

        2    0    1    2

        Q    1

        Q    2

        Q    3

        Q    4

        2    0    1    3

        Q    1

        Q    2

        Q    3

        Q    4

        2    0    1    4

       x    1 ,    0

        0    0   s   q   m 

    existing new pre-let/bts

  • 8/9/2019 CBRE H2 2014 Industrial MV

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    MARKETVIEW NETHERLANDS INDUSTRIAL

    Location Type Quarter Status Tenant Size (sq m)

    Tilburg, Vossenberg-West II Logistics Q4 New Tesla Motors 49,000

    Nieuwegein, Het Klooster Logistics Q2 Pre-let ND Logistics / Albert Heijn 41,000

    Nijmegen, De Grift Logistics Q3 Pre-let Nabuurs / Heinz 40,000

    Moerdijk, Seaport Logistics Q4 Existing Owim / Koolwijk 40,000

    Tiel, Medel Logistics Q4 Pre-let Kuehne & Nagel 33,000

    Hasselt, Zwarte Water Logistics Q4 Pre-let Scania 29,000

    Tilburg, Vossenberg-West II Logistics Q4 Pre-let Coolblue 25,000

    Oss, De Geer Logistics Q1 Pre-let Vos Logistics 25,000

    Venlo, Business Park Siberië Logistics Q3 Pre-let Seacon Logistics 22,500

    Bergen Op Zoom, Noordland Logistics Q3 Pre-let Forever 21 20,000

    Location / portfolio Type Quarter Purchaser Price (€ M) Size (sq m)

    Pelican portfolio Logistics Q1 Prologis 168.5 343,500

    Nationwide portfolio Multi-let Q2 Hansteen 106.0 270,000

    Zander portfolio Multi-let Q2 M7 Real Estate 78.0 175,000

    Amsterdam, Casablancaweg Logistics Q4 DCAM 75.0 105,600

    Echt, Action DC Logistics Q2 WDP 56.2 87,000

    BIP Portfolio Multi-let Q2 M7 Real Estate 44.0 106,000

    Waddinxveen, Transportweg Logistics Q4 DCAM 38.0 41,000

    Hattrick portfolio Logistics Q1 LogiCor 34.5 56,250

    Utrecht, Atoomweg Logistics Q4 USAA Realco 33.7 38,000

    Venlo, Curve portfolio Logistics Q3 LogiCor 29.3 44,900

    Table 1. Key occupier transactions 2014

    Table 2. Key investment transactions 2014

    H2 2014 CBRE Research © 2015 CBRE B.V.| 4

    Source: CBRE Research

    Source: CBRE Research

  • 8/9/2019 CBRE H2 2014 Industrial MV

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    MARKETVIEW

    Disclaimer: Information contained herein, including projections, has been obtained from sources believed to be reliable. While we do not doubt its accuracy,we have not verified it and make no guarantee, warranty or representation about it. It is your responsibility to confirm independently its accuracy andcompleteness. This information is presented exclusively for use by CBRE clients and professionals and all rights to the material are reserved and cannot bereproduced without prior written permission of CBRE.

    OUTLOOK

    NETHERLANDS INDUSTRIAL

    CONTACTS CBRE OFFICES