caspian sea region and oil a modern silk road or the next conflict zone?
TRANSCRIPT
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Caspian Sea Region and Oil
A modern Silk Road or
The next conflict zone?
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Caspian Sea Region-Historical Background
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Spread of Islam
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Mongol Empire
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Ottoman Empire
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The Caucasus
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Chechnya
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Conflict in Chechnya
• Mid 19th Century: mid Caucasian wars with Russian Empire. 50 years to subdue Chechens
• Sufism• Bolshevik Revolution: promised autonomy• Soviets: NOT. 1944: 100,000 Chechens (along
with 7 other ethnic groups deported to Kazakstan)• Repression of Islam in USSR, but not in Chechnya• Wahhabism-linked to Bin Laden• 1994-1996 war: stalemate• 1999: war resurfaces due to bombings in Moscow
(politically determined?)– Young Russian conscripts– Enormous devastation and ruthlessness by Russia
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Russia invades Chechnya
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Grozny, Chechnya after 1999-2000 bombing
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Russia’s motivation for persistence
• Nationalism– 1st domino in potential string of secessions:
• Dagestan, Ingushetia, Osettia, Tatarstan in north
• Fear of Islamic world– Would allow development of another Islamic state on
its frontier
– Wahhabism and political Islams
• Oil: – Oil + Gas= 40% of Russian export value
– = 44% of gov’t revenues
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Prisoner of the Mountains