capital raising in asia - ibc · 29-apr-15 malakoff corp utilities bursa malaysia n.a. 1.80 fixed...
TRANSCRIPT
![Page 1: Capital Raising in Asia - IBC · 29-Apr-15 Malakoff Corp Utilities Bursa Malaysia N.A. 1.80 Fixed price $0.9bn 31.2% 34.3% 0.0% 0.6% -10.0% Pricing date Issuer name Issuer country](https://reader034.vdocuments.us/reader034/viewer/2022042213/5eb714475ebfa706881909d6/html5/thumbnails/1.jpg)
Capital Raising in Asia
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PwC
Introductions
3
DirectorPwC – Capital Markets
Geoffrey Tang
E mail: [email protected].: +852 2289 1886
IPO ReadinessWhich
Market?Tax
structuring Governance and Controls
Equity and debt advisory
Accounting Advice
Advisory
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Equity markets
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PwC
IPO and FO activity per regionAsia-Pacific is the leading region 2015YTD in terms of IPO activity, while the Americas dominate FO activity in terms of money raised
Americas EMEA Asia-Pacific
IPO
mo
ne
y r
ais
ed
& #
of
de
als
FO
mo
ne
y r
ais
ed
& #
of
de
als
Source: Dealogic as of 1 October 2015
Note: included deals > $5m, excluding PIPO’s and transactions on Over-The-Counter exchanges. If IPOs or FOs take place in two or more regions, the total money raised is attributed to all regions
$60.5bn$71.5bn
$96.2bn$107.8bn
$36.7bn
250 222317 338
184
2011 2012 2013 2014 2015YTD
$202.8bn
$235.0bn$250.2bn
$230.2bn
$204.2bn
1,2361,031
1,162 1,143
874
2011 2012 2013 2014 2015YTD
$35.3bn
$18.0bn
$40.5bn
$81.7bn
$45.5bn
167101
180277
187
2011 2012 2013 2014 2015YTD
$92.5bn
$52.8bn$58.3bn
$83.1bn
$49.2bn
620
397 362
539459
2011 2012 2013 2014 2015YTD
$137.4bn$152.6bn $160.2bn
$182.4bn$202.9bn
1,074978
1,263 1,325
1,083
2011 2012 2013 2014 2015YTD
$133.9bn$122.4bn
$179.3bn$203.7bn
$136.8bn
624518
631728
567
2011 2012 2013 2014 2015YTD
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PwC
Money raised via IPOs and FOs in the Asia-Pacific regionIPO activity in the Asia-Pacific region was relatively weak in Q3, with money raised being only €7.0bn as compared to €28.5bn in Q2
Money raised via IPOs and FOs in the Asia-Pacific region (10-year overview) Top countries 2015YTD
Source: Dealogic as of 1 October 2015
China, 49%
Hong Kong, 20%
Australia, 8%
Thailand, 7%
Japan, 5%
Other, 11%
China, 32%
Hong Kong, 28%
Australia, 14%
Japan, 9%
India, 8%
Other, 9%
IPO
mo
ne
y r
ais
ed
& #
of
de
als
FO
mo
ne
y r
ais
ed
& #
of
de
als
$89.6bn $85.2bn
$30.2bn
$68.3bn
$175.2bn
$91.0bn
$51.3bn $48.2bn$66.1bn
$45.1bn
$6.5bn $8.0bn
$1.6bn
$2.5bn
$8.0bn
$1.5bn
$1.5bn $10.2bn
$17.0bn
$4.1bn
604697
301 325
760620
397 362
539459
2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015YTD
Asia Australasia Number of IPO's
$101.1bn$148.1bn
$63.7bn
$183.5bn$206.8bn
$113.8bn $135.1bn $139.6bn $160.1bn $173.1bn$28.8bn
$37.8bn
$35.4bn
$63.5bn $23.5bn
$23.5bn$17.6bn $20.7bn
$22.3bn$29.8bn
1,056
1,437
650
1,381 1,3501,074 978
1,263 1,3251,083
2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015YTD
Asia Australasia Number of FO's
Note: included deals > $5m, excluding PIPO’s and transactions on Over-The-Counter exchanges. If IPOs or FOs take place in both Asia and Australasia, total money raised is attributed to both regions. Top countries have been selected based on money raised in 2015YTD. If IPOs or FOs take place in two or more countries, total money raised is attributed to all countries.
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PwC
Leading transactions year-to-date in the Asia-Pacific regionChinese companies listing on Shanghai Stock Exchange or HKEx dominate IPO league tables with six of the top seven transactions
Top 10 largest IPOs 2015YTD in the Asia-Pacific region
Top 10 largest FOs 2015YTD in the Asia-Pacific region
Pricing
dateIssuer name
Issuer
countrySector Exchange Filing range
Offer
pricePricing
Money
raised
Free
float
Secondary
shares (%)
Performance
1-day 1-month Current
17-Jun-15 Guotai Junan Securities Financials Shanghai SE N.A. 19.71 Fixed price $4.9bn 20.0% 0.0% 44.0% 44.1% -5.6%
01-Jun-15 China National Nuclear P. Utilities Shanghai SE N.A. 3.39 Fixed price $2.2bn 25.0% 0.0% 44.0% 166.1% 167.6%
19-Jun-15 Legend Holdings Technology HKEx 39.80 - 43.00 42.98 Top of range $2.0bn 15.1% 0.0% -0.1% -18.9% -37.7%
03-Feb-15 Jasmine Br. Int. Gr. Fund Technology Thailand SE 10.00 - 10.50 10.00 Bottom of range $1.7bn 54.3% 0.0% -3.0% -4.5% 5.0%
10-Mar-15 Orient Securities Financials Shanghai SE N.A. 10.03 Fixed price $1.6bn 18.9% 0.0% 44.0% 237.6% 63.2%
31-Jul-15 China Railway S. & C. Industrials HKEx 6.30 – 8.00 6.30 Bottom of range $0.9bn 20.5% 0.0% 0.3% -6.4% -1.0%
19-Jun-15 Red Star Macalline Group Financials HKEx 11.18 - 13.28 13.28 Top of range $0.9bn 15.0% 0.0% -4.1% -16.4% -25.5%
05-Mar-15 HKBN Technology HKEx 8.00 - 9.00 9.00 Top of range $0.9bn 73.7% 100.0% 0.0% 8.7% -0.7%
05-Jun-15 3SBio Health Care HKEx 8.30 - 9.10 9.10 Top of range $0.8bn 28.8% 20.0% 2.8% 2.8% -13.6%
29-Apr-15 Malakoff Corp Utilities Bursa Malaysia N.A. 1.80 Fixed price $0.9bn 31.2% 34.3% 0.0% 0.6% -10.0%
Pricing
dateIssuer name
Issuer
countrySector Exchange Filing range
Offer
priceDeal type
Money
raised
Secondary
shares (%)
Performance
1-day 1-month Current
22-May-15 Huatai Securities Financials HKEx 20.68 - 24.80 24.80 Fully Marketed $5.0bn 0.0% 4.8% -11.7% -38.5%
28-May-15 Inn. Mon. Baotou St. Un. Basic Materials Shanghai SE 3.61 - 3.61 1.80 Cash Placing $4.9bn 0.0% 252.8% 195.6% 97.2%
15-May-15 Haitong Securities Financials HKEx 15.62 - 15.62 17.18 Cash Placing $4.2bn 0.0% 32.7% 39.7% -35.0%
31-Mar-15 GF Securities Financials HKEx 15.65 - 18.85 18.85 Fully Marketed $4.1bn 0.0% 34.8% 27.3% -25.7%
30-Jan-15 Coal India Basic Materials BSE; NSE 358.00 - 358.00 357.13 Accelerated Bookbuild $3.7bn 100.0% -0.6% 10.7% -8.6%
30-Mar-15 Caltex Australia Oil & Gas ASX 34.20 - 34.20 35.00 Bought Deal $3.7bn 100.0% -1.6% 2.1% -10.6%
15-Jun-15 CITIC Securities Financials HKEx 27.75 - 27.75 24.60 Cash Placing $3.5bn 0.0% 19.1% -9.2% -43.9%
21-Apr-15 Sun Pharmaceutical Ind. Health Care BSE; NSE 930.00 - 1,043.80 930.00 Accelerated Bookbuild $3.2bn 100.0% 4.1% 5.5% -6.6%
27-Apr-15 China Galaxy Securities Financials HKEx 11.99 - 11.99 11.99 Cash Placing $3.1bn 0.0% 2.9% 14.1% -54.6%
12-May-15 Industrial Bank Co Ltd Financials Shanghai SE 17.68 - 17.68 17.68 Accelerated Bookbuild $2.8bn 100.0% 3.9% 13.4% -17.7%
Source: Dealogic as of 1 October 2015
Note: included deals > $5m, excluding PIPO’s and transactions on Over-The-Counter exchanges. Country indicates the company’s Country of domicile. Sector classification is based on the Industry Classification Benchmark (ICB).
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PwC
IPO and FO activity per sector in the Asia-Pacific regionMulti-billion FOs spur money raised by Financials; Technology companies display increasing activity in terms of money raised since 2013
Money raised and number of IPOs and FOs per sector 2013 – 2015YTD in the Asia-Pacific region
IPO
mo
ne
y r
ais
ed
& #
of
de
als
FO
mo
ne
y r
ais
ed
& #
of
de
als
Note: included deals > $5m, excluding PIPO’s and transactions on Over-The-Counter exchanges. Sector classification is based on the Industry Classification Benchmark (ICB). Financials include Closed-End Funds and Real Estate.
IndustrialsBasic
MaterialsHealth
CareTechnology
Consumer Goods
Financials Oil & GasConsumer
ServicesTelecom-
municationUtilities
Source: Dealogic, Bloomberg as of 1 October 2015
13.8 13.8
22.4 23.115.7 19.1
15.010.0
15.1
55.5 58.180.6
8.0 6.514.2
19.8
46.3
27.0
8.5 10.7 9.3 6.1 8.4 6.30.9
6.20.9
9.6 6.6 8.0
155 168122
151 168139 133 131 123
277 283 252
10175 83
239
275
218
69 5730
92 10882
7 27 1039 33 24
'13 '14 '15YTD
'13 '14 '15YTD
'13 '14 '15YTD
'13 '14 '15YTD
'13 '14 '15YTD
'13 '14 '15YTD
'13 '14 '15YTD
'13 '14 '15YTD
'13 '14 '15YTD
'13 '14 '15YTD
1.23.6 2.7
8.7
13.2
4.88.1 8.7
3.4
22.2 22.0
13.6
1.7
6.54.5
7.3
15.1
8.2
2.91.0 0.7
2.84.9
6.9
0.2 0.23.5
7.9
4.1
2137 47 50
9882
5678
58
8872
5025
40 4367 132
114
16 10 631
6147
3 3 8 8 9
'13 '14 '15YTD
'13 '14 '15YTD
'13 '14 '15YTD
'13 '14 '15YTD
'13 '14 '15YTD
'13 '14 '15YTD
'13 '14 '15YTD
'13 '14 '15YTD
'13 '14 '15YTD
'13 '14 '15YTD
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PwC
Top countries in terms of IPO activity in the Asia-Pacific regionAfter China was set for a record year in terms of IPO activity, the government halted IPO activity in order to stabilise the falling equity market...
IPO activity of top countries in the Asia-Pacific region 2011 – 2015YTD
Source: Dealogic as of 1 October 2015
$31.5bn
$8.0bn
$18.9bn
$28.7bn
$9.9bn
7755
92 10866
2011 2012 2013 2014 2015YTD
$42.0bn
$14.5bn $12.9bn
$24.0bn
271
142 126
192
2011 2012 2013 2014 2015YTD
$1.4bn $1.5bn
$10.0bn
$16.7bn
$4.1bn
5125
5072
44
2011 2012 2013 2014 2015YTD
$0.3bn $1.8bn
$6.7bn$2.8bn $3.2bn
6 23 34 3717
2011 2012 2013 2014 2015YTD
Note: included deals > $5m, excluding PIPO’s and transactions on Over-The-Counter exchanges. If IPOs or FOs take place in two or more countries, the total money raised and number of IPOs is attributed to all countries. Top countries have been selected based on the money raised in 2015YTD.
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PwC
Asian market structures differ from those in the WestHong Kong and China markets have a high degree of retail participation, Hong Kong in particular has a diverse equity pool
Investor demand and asset allocation
8
UK. 45%
North America. 27%
Asia Pacific. 11%
Lat America. 1%
EMEA (ex-UK). 16%
London
UK. 4%
North America. 78%
Asia Pacific. 10%
Lat America. 1%EMEA (ex-UK). 7%
US
China. 32%
North America. 5%Asia Pacific (ex-China). 56%
Lat America. 2%
EMEA. 5%
Hong Kong
1,143
450
786
-
200
400
600
800
1,000
1,200
London Hong Kong NASDAQ
US
D b
illio
ns
Equity AUM held in international portfolios
Source: Bloomberg, London Stock Exchange, PwC Analysis
19%
39%26%
81%
61%67%
0%
25%
50%
75%
100%
London Hong Kong NASDAQ
Investors by type
Retail Institutional
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PwC
China’s optimal assets reallocation has major room to expand to the level of market capitalisationExpect continued growth in equities once reforms in place to drive Asia-Pacific markets
8
0
16
22
2
15
4 3
18
-
5
10
15
20
25
Mainland Hong Kong US
US
D t
rill
ion
s
GDP Total assets of banks and insurers Total securities market capitalisation
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PwC
Asia-Pacific average daily turnover lags the US markets, but has potential to substantially increaseHong Kong in particular should benefit from the opening of China’s capital account
11
123
72
52
6 3
15
8 6
22 19
7
25
6 4 3 3 1 -
20
40
60
80
100
120
140
US
D b
illio
ns
167%
77%
51%
62%71%
58%
54% 75%
317%
171%
48%
122%
106%55% 78% 46%
36%
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PwC
Hong Kong likely to continue to attract international companies wishing to raise equity capital through secondary offerings, or spin offs of China businesses
11
Asia/China Nexus
Critical Mass of World's Leading Brand Names
Alignment of Issuers' Growth
Drivers and Shareholders
Transparent and Efficient
Listing Regime
Diversivied and Global Investor
Base
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Debt markets
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PwC
Debt issue methods
Private1 Public2
Advantages • Rapid issue time• Lower issue costs for
small offerings• Easier to renegotiate
terms
• Larger issue size• Liquid secondary
market
Disadvantages • Limited liquidity• May contain
restrictive covenants• Higher coupon
• Higher issue costs• Additional
compliance
Lower issue costs vs higher coupon?
1 Private bonds are traded over the counter (OTC); 2Public bonds are listed on a stock exchange
In recent years, there has been a high degree of convergence in the requirements of listing venues and market expectations for bonds which are not listed, and therefore do not need to comply with any Stock Exchange listing rules.
Larger issues benefit from increased liquidity from bond funds and funds of funds.
Disclosure previously determined by reference to listing requirements but now largely informed by international market practice and standards.
The other key factor to consider when issuing debt is selecting the appropriate currency for issue as this will impact issue location, demand and pricing.
7
Quarterly ECM Briefing
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PwC
Debt in Hong Kong
• The bond market in Hong Kong has for some time been a significant market place for issuers and investors, in both domestic and foreign currencies. The range of product offerings, the open access for issuers and investors, both domestic and international, and the increasing significance of offshore RMB bond issuances make Hong Kong one of the most frequented international bond markets in Asia.
• International investors are free to invest in debt instruments issued in Hong Kong. There are no restrictions on foreign borrowers tapping the domestic debt market to finance their business.
• The majority of debt issued in Hong Kong is issued privately to institutional investors, however, marketing is essential for non-household names as Asian investors do not look at European or US credits on a regular basis
• The HKEx sets out a simple “threshold” disclosure standard, namely that the listing document must contain such information that a professional investor would customarily expect it to contain and these standards are generally followed, even for unlisted debt.
15
Quarterly ECM Briefing
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PwC
Debt in Singapore
• Singapore has one of the most developed bond markets in Asia of which about two-thirds is in SGD and the rest mostly in US dollars.
• The Singapore bond market is fully accessible to all issuers and investors globally. There are no capital controls, hedging restrictions, or withholding taxes. As a result, the market’s profile is international in nature, with foreign entities accounting for more than a quarter of bond issuance.
• All bonds issued in Singapore must be listed on the SGX. However, the disclosure obligations for bonds issued to professional investors are relatively standard and the listing process is rapid.
16 16
Quarterly ECM Briefing
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PwC
Comparison of market structures
Hong Kong Singapore Europe US (144A)
Market structure
• Listed (5%)• Private (OTC) (95%)
• Listed only • Listed only • Private (OTC) (professionalinvestors only)
Listing platform • Hong Kong Stock Exchange (HKEx)
• Singapore Stock Exchange (SGX)
• Irish Stock Exchange• Luxembourg Stock Exchange• London Stock Exchange
• PORTAL
Key currencies • HKD, RMB, USD • USD, SGD • USD, EUR, GBP • USD
Applicableregulations
• HKEx Listing Rules.• Securities and Futures
Ordinance
• SGX Listing Manual• Securities and Futures Act
and its regulations.• Monetary Authority of
Singapore Act• Companies Act
• European Prospectus Directive
• Markets in Financial Instruments Directive (“MiFiD”)
• Rule 144A• Generally market participants
expect the same standards to be applied as registered offerings although not required
Language of documentation
• English or Chinese • English • English • English
Considerations • More familiarity with Chinese issuers
• Quickest time to market• Lower liquidity
• Less familiar with Chinese issuers which may impact pricing
• Annual Report and Accounts required to be published within six months of year end for London listing
• Additional compliance with MiFiD
• Can execute 144A offering combined with an offering in any of the other markets
• Additional legal cost as lawyers will be expected to issue a 10b5 opinion on the offering circular
16
Quarterly ECM Briefing
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PwC
Typical order book distribution for Asian debt
• Hong Kong and Singapore investors drive demand – roadshow is important for non-Asian credits.
• European investor base growing as the appropriate infrastructure is put in place.
• All bond offerings issued under Reg S restricting marketing to outside the US.
68%
13%
15%
3% 1%
Fund Managers
Private Banks
Banks
Insurance
Corporates
54%28%
16%
1%
Hong Kong
Singapore
Europe
Other
Geography Type
12
Quarterly ECM Briefing
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PwC
G3 issuance is driven by corporates issuing USD denominated debt, generally under a 5 year tenor or less
19
Quarterly ECM Briefing
China
Hong Kong
India
Indonesia
Korea
Malaysia
Philippines
Singapore
Others
G3 New Issues by Country 2015 YTD
0%
21%
1%
34%
3% 3% 0%
25%
2%
6% 4%
G3 New Issues by Tenor 2013-2015 YTD
Source: Bloomberg; Data excludes Japan
Issuer Location Rating Currency Size Coupon Tenor
ICBC Mainland China A1/A/NR USD 2,000 4.88% 10 years
Swire Pacific Hong Kong A3/A-/A- USD 500 3.88% 10 years
Geely Automobile Mainland China NR/A/NR USD 300 3mL+170bps 5 years
Weichai Power Mainland China NR/BBB/BBB USD 400 4.13% 5 years
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PwC
Offshore Renminbi (“CNH”) is generally shorter tenor due to financial institutions although longer maturities are available34% of CNH debt has been issued by global firms over the last four years
20
Quarterly ECM Briefing
96
12
39
3
7
5
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
-
20
40
60
80
100
120
InvestmentGrade
High Yield Not rated
By Credit Rating
Number Average Coupon
105
22
9 7
4
4
4 4
5
4
0
0.5
1
1.5
2
2.5
3
3.5
4
4.5
5
-
20
40
60
80
100
120
1-3 years 3-5 years 5-7 years 7-10 years 10+ years
By Tenor
Number Average Coupon
49
7
42
49
5
5
5
3
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
-
10
20
30
40
50
60
Industrial Utility Finance Others
By Issuer Type
Number Average Coupon
Source: Bloomberg
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PwC
Summary
• Asia’s equity capital markets are dominated primarily by Mainland China and Hong Kong
• Deep pool of investor capital is held in Hong Kong and Singapore
• Regulatory changes are likely to benefit Hong Kong’s equity markets in the medium-term (China reform of IPO process and Stock Connect programmes)
• Other equity markets mainly have a domestic focus (e.g. Japan, Taiwan, Australia)
• Asian debt markets lead by Hong Kong and Singapore
• Onshore Renminbi debt market remains relatively inaccessible to general corporates
• Offshore Renminbi remains an accessible financing option
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Quarterly ECM Briefing