capital markets day 2019 - huntsworth · 2019-08-01 · & wearable integration 14% cagr...
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Capital Markets Day 2019Huntsworth Plc
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2Capital Markets Day - 9th May 2019
Paul TaaffeChief Executive Officer
Welcome
Agenda
2.30pm – Welcome & Introduction• Paul Taaffe
Chief Executive Officer
• Neil JonesChief Financial Officer
2.55pm – Medical Division Presentation• Elaine Ferguson
3.25pm – Q&A
3.40pm – Coffee break
4
4.00pm – Marketing Division Presentation• Reid Connolly
4.30pm – Q&A
4.45pm – Conclusion & wrap up
5.00pm – Food & drinks at The Anthologist
Capital Markets Day - 9th May 2019
Presenting Team
Capital Markets Day - 9th May 2019 5
Paul TaaffeChief Executive
Officer
Neil JonesChief Financial
Officer
Elaine FergusonChief Executive
OfficerMEDiSTRAVA
Reid ConnollyChief Executive
OfficerEvoke
Paul TaaffeChief Executive Officer
Healthcare Continues To Be Our Focus
The World Is Getting Older• Aging is defined as the time-dependent functional
decline that affects most living organisms. 5
• The number of people worldwide over the age of 60 is expected to double by 2050 to nearly 2.1 billion.1
• By 2020, the number of people worldwide aged 60 years and older will outnumber children younger than 5 years.2
• Global life expectancy is expected to increase an average of 4.4 years by 2040.3
• The number of morbidities and the proportion of people with multimorbidity increases substantially with age. 4
• Older people are disproportionately represented in disability populations. 6
7
Life Expectancy At Birth By Region (Both Sexes Combined) From 1950-
20501
Sources: (1) World Population Ageing, 2017 Highlights, The United Nations (2017)(2) Ageing and Health, WHO (Feb 2018)
(3) Forecasting life expectancy, years of life lost, and all-cause and cause-specific mortality for 250 causes of death: reference and alternative scenarios for 2016–40 for 195 countries and territories, K. Foreman et al. (Oct 2018)
(4) Epidemiology of multimorbidity and implications for health care, research, and medical education: a cross-sectional study, Barnett, Mercer et al (May 2012)
(5) The Hallmarks of Aging , Lopez-Otin, Blasco et all (Nov 2013)(6) World Report On Disability, WHO (2011)
(7) Adapted from Epidemiology of Chronic Disease Global Perspectives, Harris RE, ed., Massachusetts,Jones and Bartlett Learning, (2013)
Ageing And The Border Between Health And Disease 7
Capital Markets Day - 9th May 2019
And Needing More Healthcare• 6 in 10 American adults have a chronic disease in 2019.1
• By 2020, chronic diseases will account for almost three-quarters of all deaths worldwide.2
• Around the world, there will be one new case of dementia every 3 seconds.3
• 50 million people worldwide were living with dementia in 2018 and this will triple by 2050.3
8
Sources: (1) Chronic Diseases in America, CDC’s National Centre for Chronic Disease Prevention and Health Promotion (Jan 2019)
(2) The world health report. Life in the 21st century: a vision for all. Geneva, WHO, (1998)(3) World Alzheimer Report 2018, Alzheimer’s Disease International, (Sept 2018)
6 in 10of Americans
3/4of deaths
3 Seconds
50million
Capital Markets Day - 9th May 2019
Drivers Of Demand – Rx Drug Sales (2010 - 2024)
Sources: (1) WW Drug Sales Source: Adapted from Evaluate Pharma, (May 2018) (2) Global GDP Source: Adapted from Statista, (2018)
5.5%Global GDP (2018 –2022) CAGR
6.5%Global Pharma CAGR
5.5%Generics CAGR
11.9%Orphan CAGR
5.4%Prescription CAGR
60 66 67 70 76 78 80 81 84 89 95 100 104 109 11469 77 82 88 94 100 112 125 138 151 169 192 216 240 262
558 590 572 569 581 565 576 583 608 631 663706
749785
828
0
20,000
40,000
60,000
80,000
100,000
120,000
0
200
400
600
800
1000
1200
1400
2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024
Glo
ba
l GD
P in
$b
n
WW
Pre
scrip
tion
Dru
g Sa
les i
n $b
n
Worldwide Total Prescription Drug Sales (2010-2024) and Global GDP ($Bn)
Generics Orphan Prescription excl Generics & Orphan Global GDP in $bn
9Capital Markets Day - 9th May 2019
SPEND INCREASING IN BIOTECH IN ORDER TO REACH NEED IN CHANGE IN MEDICAL LANDSCAPE
EXPANDING ROLE OF EARLY BIOTECH IN DEVELOPING INNOVATIVE MEDICINES
NEW MOLECUALR ENTITIES (NMES) ARE
ON THE RISE
ROBUST GROWTH
IN R&D
$3bn2003
$2m2007
$1,0002017
$200(?)
2020
THE FALLING COST TO MAP A HUMAN GENOME3
Sources: (1) IQVIA Institute of Human Data Science, 2019
(2) Evaluate Pharma , 2019(3) ‘Personalised medicine: coming soon to a
clinic near you’ Rathbones, Apr 2017(4) Adapted from Statista, 2018
(5) ClinicalTrials.gov
NMEs treat infectious disease1
20%NME in 2018 -highest in 5
years1
59 NMEs treat cancer1
27%
Orphan Drug CAGR in 20242
12%invested by VCs in 20181
$23bn
Pharma R&D spend in 2024. $171.0bn in 20182
$203.9bnraised in 2018
in Biotech2
$7.2bn
R&D spend by top 15 pharma over 5 years1
32%
Number of trials current ongoing5
GlobalPharma CAGR
increasing with Global GDP CAGR4
303,828
number of molecules in late-stage
development in 20181
39%
Increase in progression time from PHASE I MARKET over past 10 years1
26%
growth in R&D based on number
of 2018 clinical trials1
9%
of NMEs launched in 2018 originated from early biotechs1
64% of the therapies launched in the US in 2018 were attributed to early biotechs1
47%
Biotech IPOs in 2018268
Massive Innovation
Technologies are informing strategies through RWE as well as making it easier for healthcare professionals to track patient
health information and provide personalised care.Agencies will need to be fast learning and adaptive.
Ongoing awareness of how patients connect with their
therapies will be key.
E-COMMERCEGENOMICS
RISE OF BIG
DATA
PERSONALISEDMEDICINE
NASHRISE OF STEM CELLS
USECRISPR
Diagnosis, treatment and lifestyle interventions will be increasingly
personalised to individual patient genetics, family history and other factors.
CAR-TUSES THE IMMUNE
SYSTEM TO KILL CANCER CELLS
HEP CGENOME
TREATMENT SELECTION
NEW LINKER
TECHNO-LOGIES
AI POWERED
HEALTHCARE
TELE-MEDICINE
BIOPRO-STHESIS
ROBOTICSUPPORT
CONTACT LENSES
THAT TRACK GLUCOSE
VIRTUAL REALITY
3DPRINTEDTHERAPIES
THE AMAZON
EFFECT
DRONEDRUG
DELIVERY
CHATBOTHEALTH
ADVISOR
SKINAS A
PLATFORM
VOICE & WEARABLE INTEGRATION
14% CAGR E-COMMERCE
GROWTH 2018-2022 1
FALLING COST
OF MAPPING A GENOME
TECHNOLOGY
Source: (1) Pharma E-Commerce Market in Europe – Growth Analysis and Forecast, Technavio (2018)
11Capital Markets Day - 9th May 2019
GLOBAL HEALTHCARE
COMMUNICATIONS
MEDICAL MARKETING IMMERSIVE
Huntsworth Is Organised Around Our Clients in Healthcare
MediaNavience
12Capital Markets Day - 9th May 2019
Execution of Strategy
2016Communications-focused with
Healthcare assets
2019Healthcare-focused with Communication assets
Revenue £m 180.1HPBT £m 16.0EPS p 4.0
Revenue £m * 255.0HPBT £m * 38.0EPS p * 8.0
* Based on Analyst consensus
13Capital Markets Day - 9th May 2019
Growing Healthcare Focus
Revenue
* Based on Analyst consensus
Profit
51%49%
2016
Heathcare Comms
72%
28%
2019*
Heathcare Comms
77%
23%
2016
Heathcare Comms
85%
15%
2019*
Heathcare Comms
14Capital Markets Day - 9th May 2019
How Do We Grow Organically?Combined healthcare divisions target annual revenue growth 5% to 7% per annum over the next 5 years
Sustainable Margins
Marketing 22%+
Medical 24%+
Immersive increasing
to 17%+ over next 3
yrs
10%12%
6%
£91m
£119m
£152m
2016 2017 2018
15Capital Markets Day - 9th May 2019
Medical Growth2014 - 2018
Marketing Growth2014 - 2018
0
5
10
15
20
25
30
35
40
2014 2015 2016 2017 2018
£m
0
10
20
30
40
50
60
70
80
90
2014 2015 2016 2017 2018
£m
Core Acquisitions
15%
24%Average margin
21%Average margin
16%Revenue CAGR
Revenue CAGR
16Capital Markets Day - 9th May 2019
Expanding Capabilities
MARKETING
HCP CONSUMER PR & INFLUENCE PAYER MEDIA BUYING
East US
USWest[Giant]
ROW US US ROW US [Navience]
US[Above Nation]
MEDICAL
SCIENTIFIC COMMUNICATIONS AND PUBLICATIONS
MEDICAL EDUCATION
CONSULTANCY EVIDENCE GENERATION
REGULATORY
US ROW US ROW US ROW US ROW US ROW
IMMERSIVE
LIVE EXPERIENCE FILM AND IMMERSIVE EMPLOYEE ENGAGEMENT
TRAINING AND SCIENTIFIC ENGAGEMENT
US ROW US ROW US ROW US ROW
Established Start up Expansion areasAcquisitions
17Capital Markets Day - 9th May 2019
Acquisition Performance
Above Nation Feb 18 Cost $8m for 75% IRR 28%
TCEG July 17 Cost £25.2m for 100% IRR 20%
Giant July 18 Cost $72m for 90% IRR 13%+*
Navience Sept 18 Cost $24m for 80% IRR 14%+*
* Estimated at time of acquisition (not held long enough to assess actual IRR)
18Capital Markets Day - 9th May 2019
Working Capital
• 100% average cash conversion*
• H2 weighted cash generation*:
41% H1 136% H2
* Average operating profit to cash, 2014 to 2018, ex-acquisitions
Marketing & Medical,
50% (£19m)
Immersive, 14% (£5m)
Comms, 35%(£13m)
NET WORKING CAPITAL BY DIVISION
19Capital Markets Day - 9th May 2019
Working Capital
• Marketing / Medical
• Immersive
• Comms
• GROUP
- Centralised finance & operations – best practice70 days targeted net working capital days
- Improved systems to improve NWC days30 days targeted net working capital days
- Tighter focus: driven by clients55 days targeted net working capital days
65 days targeted net working capital days
20Capital Markets Day - 9th May 2019
Working Capital Influences
• New clients
• Client procurement systems/Terms
• Out of Pocket expenses
How do we manage this?
• Dedicated teams
• Improved practice
• Internal financial targets
21Capital Markets Day - 9th May 2019
Net Debt
3rd May 2019
Dec2019
Dec 2020
£52m*
£66m*
£87m
2.1x1.6x
1.1x
Facilities£130m +
£50m accordion
Covenant3.0x EBITDA
* Based on Analyst consensus
22Capital Markets Day - 9th May 2019
Financial Performance Consensus
CAGR in HPBT34%27% CAGR in EPS
LEVERAGE BROADLY UNCHANGED
1.5x 1.1x1.9x 1.6x
4.0
5.8
7.1
8.3
16.0
24.4
30.9
38.3
0.0
5.0
10.0
15.0
20.0
25.0
30.0
35.0
40.0
45.0
0.0x
1.0x
2.0x
3.0x
4.0x
5.0x
6.0x
7.0x
8.0x
9.0x
2016 2017 2018 2019
2016-19 results
Leverage EPS HPBT
*
*
* Based on Analyst consensus
23Capital Markets Day - 9th May 2019
Summary
• Continue to strengthen Healthcare offering
• Drive organic growth
• Accelerate growth through targeted bolt-on M&A
• Target leverage around 1.5x, giving ample covenant headroom
24Capital Markets Day - 9th May 2019
Introductions & Capabilties
march 21, 2019
C A P I T A LM A R K E T S D A Y 2 0 1 9
Pharmaceutical marketing is on a growth trajectory
4
The market is increasingly competitive
2017 201820182017
$3.4 Billion $3.7 Billion
~9% YOY
growth in
pharma DTC
TV spending
FiercePharma, 2019
5
…and new drug approvals continuing to break records
2017 2018
22
2016
4659
�6
Where do we fit in?
7
CASE EXAMPLE
DTC marketingdrives growth in industry’s most competitive category
25
50
75
100
2015 2016 2017 2018
232427
59
15
28
2625
29
40
1912
1423
3
5
9
1427
1076
19
111444
Psoriasis is the most competitive and highest spending category in pharmaceutical marketing
• Brands can spend bigger or they can spend smarter
• Our client represents ~19% of consumer media spend in the category— roughly 150mm $USD
23 14
12 19
17.5
35
52.5
70
April
Effective consumer marketing efforts have our clients brand consistently positioned #1 in consumer brand requests69%
PHYSICIANS RECEIVING BRANDED REQUESTS
54%
42% 41%
30% 28%
2%
10
But, Pharma marketing is anything but business as usual…
11
healthcare market is in an unprecedented state of
COMPLEXT H E H E A LT H C A R E M A R K E T T O D AY I S M O R E
T H A N E V E R Y B E F O R E
12
Disruptive technology and shifting audience behaviors
and content consumption
Empowered health consumerism reshaping the health
landscape and decision making process
Shifting HCP dynamics from private practice to large
hospitals and group practices
Pipeline complexion morphing to encompass more niche
diseases and conditions with often minuscule patient
populations
Pricing pressure & access barriers create an even more
challenging landscape
COMPLEX
Empowered health consumerism
25% 50%
2008 2015
Deloitte Center for Health Solutions Survey, 2015
More consumers today prefer to partner with doctors rather than have their doctors make decisions for them
14
Disruptive technology
75% of consumers say the use of technology in managing their health is somewhat or very important
60% of consumers say they are willing to share personal health data generated from digital devices, with their doctor to improve their health
79% of doctors prefer getting information online instead of a sales rep visit
75%
60%
79%
McKinsey, Healthcare Consumerism 2018Deloitte, Inside the Patient Journey, 2018
�15
Pipeline complexion
• Nearly 7,000 medicines are currently in development — ~3/4 of them potentially first-in-class
• Between now and 2020, 55% of drugs seeking FDA approval will be considered specialty drugs
• By 2020, about half of the money spent on the pharmacy benefit will be on specialty drugs, and these medications will be prescribed for fewer than 2% of patients
CVS Health, Managing the Thriving Specialty Pipeline, 2018 Pharmacy Practice News, 2018
2017 Consumer Report, Quintiles IMS
�16
Shifting HCP dynamics
45% of HCPs restrict sales rep access—twice
that of 2008
2012 2018
Percentage of
hospital-employed physicians increased
by more than 70%
2010
2008
2016
2016
36% of US hospitals denied access to
pharma reps in 2016
Physicians Advocacy Institute, 2018 SK&A, 2016
ZS Associates, 2018
22%
36%
23%
45%
�17
Pricing pressure & access barriers
• Rising costs of generic and specialty drugs were mostly driven by new product entry, whereas the rising costs of brand-name drugs were due to existing drug price inflation
• Increased scrutiny from media and focus from politicians on drug pricing
Bloomberg Businessweek, 2017The Contribution Of New Product Entry Versus Existing Product Inflation In The Rising
Costs Of Drugs, 2019
18
Creating a unique, transformational platform for growth2018
19
We united the Evoke Health
Firsthand, nitrogen, Tonic,
Fabric and Traverse brands
under one unified global
Evoke Brand.
19
20
We completed and integrated
3 strategic acquisitions,
establishing our position
and differentiation.
Full-service media
strategy, buying,
planning & adtech
Full-service HCP
agency—largest on
the west coast
Market Access &
Payer Marketing
Media
Navience
together we are
23
purpose-built to navigate today’s complex healthcare landscape
Digital DNA
Data-Driven
Culturally Connected
Creatively Courageous
100% Health
B O U N D B Y A C O M M O N V I S I O N
health more human™n
strategicconnectivity
drives ourapproach
Market Access
Healthcare Professional
Consumer & Patient
PR & Influence
Digital & MCM
Media & Analytics
FULL-SERVICE OFFERING
Advanced media & analytics
Native Media
Mobile Media
Engagement Media
Programmatic Media
bile dia
ve ia
Local Media
Performance Metrics
Business Intelligence
Social Media
MM
matic a
MobMed
NM
ment a
NativMedi
Paid & Organic Search
Shopper Marketing
ProgrM
Social Media
rammMedi
EngagM
siness lligence
gemedia
Strategic Services
Point of Care
Market Access
Healthcare Professional
Consumer & Patient
PR & Influence
Digital & MCM
Media & Analytics
FULL-SERVICE OFFERING
Market Access
Patient & HCP geolocation
Claims matchbackDiagnosis codes Insurance coverage Rx/treatment history MD visit history
Pat
Tracked campaign engagement & KPIs
Verified engagementBrand-owned efforts Partner-owned efforts Event participation & geo-fencing
aTra
Search & social activity
Social engagementSocial listening & monitoring Social followers & amplification
Search and paid media targetingSEO & retargeting Media look-alike modelHealthcare Professional
Consumer & Patient
PR & Influence
Digital & MCM
Media & Analytics
FULL-SERVICE OFFERING
We’ve moved first, to put our
clients first. and we are already
seeing positive signs
How we look at the health of our new business pipeline
Win/conversion rate
Business unit collaboration
Global complexion
Opportunity volume
2017 2019
30%
12%
Clients shared across business units
Media revenue at time of
ANM Acquisition
Current media forecast
$4.9mm$1.5mm
M E D I A + C R E AT I V E S Y N E R G Y
Clients shared across business units
From 2017 to 2019
67%
Clients shared across global markets
Global client remits increased by over
Significant growth in
qualified new business
opportunities
Q1 2018 Q1 2019
5X
New business performance
2018 win rate
62%2018 win rate:
2+ business units
78%
Opportunities that align with
our purpose-built offering
Larger in scale Multi-market Multi-audience & multi-
stakeholder
Multi-marketLarger in scale
We’ve built the foundation for
sustainable growth by designing one
of the most unique and competitive
agencies in the space
Full service hubs
Regional strategic outposts
new york
philadelphia
san francisco
princeton
london
chicago
los angeles
singapore
dubai
A global structure designed to meet our clients needs
Future areas to explore further
Global expansion
Continued investment in integrated PR & influence
Strategic content & production
High-value consulting (strategic & technology)
45
Introductions & Capabilties
march 21, 2019
C A P I T A LM A R K E T S D A Y 2 0 1 9