capacity building of national ghg inventories: wri doha, qatar (2...
TRANSCRIPT
Amnat Chidthaisong ([email protected])
Siriluk Chiarakorn ([email protected])
King’s Mongkut University of Technology Thonburi, Bangkok, THAILAND
1
Capacity Building of National GHG inventories: WRI Doha, Qatar (2 Dec 2012)
Current framework of national GHG inventory system
Brief of Thailand GHG emission inventory & lesson learned
Capacity building issue
On-going activity
Challenges
2
Funded by GEF
3
Working process of GHGI-SNC
4
Energy
Industrial Process
Agriculture
Land Use Change and
Forestry
Waste
DEDE
EGAT
PTT
OTP
EPPO
OAC
DLD
RFD
PCD
BMA
DIW
IPCC default value
Acti
vit
y d
ata
National Research
Review literature
International driver
Em
issio
n fa
cto
rs recalculation, time series, uncertainty, QAQC, key sources analysis
Approved by national committee under ONEPP
External expert review
Expert c
onsulta
tion
5
Industrial processes, 16.39, 7.2%
Agriculture, 51.88, 22.6%
LULUCF, -7.90, -3.4%
Waste, 9.32, 4.1%
1A1 Energy
Industries, 66.44, 41.7%
1A2 Manufacturing industries and
construction, 30.78, 19.3%
1A3 Transport, 44.70, 28.0%
1A4b Residential,
5.58, 3.5%1A4c Agriculture/Forestry/
Fishing, 6.67, 4.2%
1B1 Solid fuels, 0.67,
0.4%
1B2 Oil and natural gas, 4.56, 2.9%
Energy, 159.39, 69.6%
Emission in 2000 by 'Energy Sector' (Mt CO2 eq, %)
Total GHG Emission with LULUCF = 229.08 MtEq
Second National Communication 2011
Energy, 159.39, 69.6%
Agriculture, 51.88, 22.6%
LULUCF, -7.90, -3.4%
Waste, 9.32, 4.1%
2A Mineral products, 16.05, 97.9%
2B Chemical industry,
0.34, 2.0%
2C Metal production, 0.01, 0.0%
Industrial Processes,
16.39, 7.2%
Emission in 2000 by 'Industrial Processes' (MtCO2eq, %)
Total GHG Emission with LULUCF = 229.08 MtEq
Energy, 159.39, 69.6%
Industrial processes, 16.39, 7.2%
LULUCF, -7.90, -3.4%
Waste, 9.32, 4.1%
4A Enteric fermentation, 8.26,
15.9%
4B Manure
management, 5.07, 9.8%
4C Rice cultivation,
29.94, 57.7% 4D Agricultural soils, 7.60, 14.6%
4F Field burning of agricultural residues,
1.01, 1.9%
Agriculture51.88, 22.6%
Emission in 2000 by 'Agriculture' (Mt CO2 eq, %)
Total GHG Emission with LULUCF = 229.08 MtEq
Energy, 159.39,
69.6%
Industrial processes,
16.39, 7.2%
Agriculture, 51.88,
22.6%
Waste, 9.32, 4.1%
5A Changes in forest & other woody biomass stocks,
- 13.35 Mt CO2eq
5B Forest & grassland conversion,
44.47 Mt CO2eq
5C Abandonment of managed lands,
- 39.02 MtCO2eq
LULUCF, - 7.90, - 3.4%
Emission in 2000 by 'LULUCF' (Mt CO2 eq, %)
Total GHG Emission with LULUCF = 229.08 MtEq
Energy, 159.39, 69.6%
Industrial processes,
16.39, 7.2%
Agriculture, 51.88, 22.6%
LULUCF, - 7.90, - 3.4%
6A Solid waste
disposal on land, 4.86, 52.2%
6B Waste-water handling, 4.43, 47.5%
6C Waste
incineration, 0.02, 0.2%
Waste, 9.32, 4.1%
Emission in 2000 by 'Waste Sector' (Mt CO2 eq, %)
Total GHG Emission with LULUCF = 229.08 MtEq
Second National Communication 2011
NGHGI in the SNC
8
4.29, 1.9%
4.56, 2.0%
4.86, 2.1%
6.64, 2.9%
6.83, 3.0%
7.40, 3.2%
7.60, 3.3%
8.26, 3.6%
-13.35, -5.8%
15.02, 6.6%
15.14, 6.6%
29.94, 13.1%
30.31, 13.2%
32.75, 14.3%
-39.02, -17.0%
43.03, 18.8%
44.23, 19.3%
-50 -40 -30 -20 -10 0 10 20 30 40 50
1A4. CO2 Other Sectors: Residential
1B2. CH4 Fugitive Emissions from Oil and gas Operations
6A. CH4 Emissions from Solid Waste Disposal Sites
1A4. CO2 Other Sectors: Agriculture/Forestry/Fishing
1A1. CO2 Emissions from Stationary Combustion (Liquid-A): Crude Oil
1A1. CO2 Emissions from Stationary Combustion (Liquid-D): Residual Fuel Oil
4D. N2O (Direct and Indirect) Emissions from Agriculutural Soils
4A. CH4 Emissions from Enteric Fermentation in Domestic Livestock
5A. CO2 Emission from Changes in Forest and Other Woody Biomass Stocks
2A. CO2 Emissions from Cement Production
1A1. CO2 Emissions from Stationary Combustion (Solid-D): Lignite
4C. CH4 Emissions from Rice Production
1A2. CO2 Emissions from Manufacturing Industries and Construction
1A1. CO2 Emissions from Stationary Combustion (Gas-A): Natural Gas
5C. CO2 Emission from Abandonment of Managed Lands
1A3. CO2 Mobile Combustion: Road Vehicles
5B. CO2 Emission from Forest and Grassland Conversion
Net Emission / Removals (Mt CO2 eq, %)
Key source category of GHG emission in 2000: Total 229.08 MtCO2 eq (>90%)
Key Categories Analysis with LULUCF
9 Second National Communication 2011
การจดัท าบญัชีการปลดปลอ่ยก๊าซเรือนกระจกของประเทศไทย การประชมุรับฟังความคิดเห็นทัว่ไป 9 พฤศจิกายน 2552
ประเภทของแหล่งปล่อยและแหล่งดูดกลบัของก๊าซเรือนกระจก Uncertainty
1. ภาคพลงังาน (Energy) 6.2%
2. ภาคกระบวนการอุตสาหกรรม (Industrial Processes) 7.1%
3. Solvent and Other Product Use (ภาคตวัท าละลาย) -
4. ภาคการเกษตร (Agriculture) 18.1%
5. ภาคการเปล่ียนแปลงการใชพ้ื้นท่ีและป่าไม ้
(Land Use, Land-Use Change and Forestry) 19.2%
6. ภาคของเสีย (Waste) 68.7%
7. ภาคอ่ืนๆ (Other) -
TOTAL 6.7%
Routine expert meeting Third party review
Steering committee
การจดัท าบญัชีการปลดปลอ่ยก๊าซเรือนกระจกของประเทศไทย การประชมุรับฟังความคิดเห็นทัว่ไป 9 พฤศจิกายน 2552
การจดัท าบญัชีการปลดปลอ่ยก๊าซเรือนกระจกของประเทศไทย การประชมุรับฟังความคิดเห็นทัว่ไป 9 พฤศจิกายน 2552
UNFCCC software version 1.3.2 (by year)
Combined and integrated data and total result
Primary database (by sectors)
Calculated number, year
Source by source database (by sectors)
Value, unit, origin, ref, comparability, suitability
13
Human resources capacity as a by-product of SNC
9 Researchers (5 become UNFCC expert reviewers)
2 Postdoctoral researcher
4 Doctoral Students
3 Master students
Past Capacity Building
• Regional Capacity Building Project for Sustainable National GHG Inventory Management Systems in Southeast Asia (US EPA & UNFCCC)
• Inventory system: institutional arrangement, database development
• Tools :ALU software
• ERT training to review Annex I contry GHG inventory
• WGIA (Greenhouse Gas Inventories in Asia)-GIO of Japan
• Mutual learning—country proposes the topic of interests and choose the country partner to share the experiences and data
14
WGIA ( Workshop on Greenhouse Gas Inventory in Asia ) ◦ Uncertainty and time series
SWGA (Workshop on Improvement of solid waste management and reduction of GHG emissions in Asia ◦ K value of SWDS
Training on methane emission from rice field for Myanmar and Laos inventory team ◦ Country specific emission factor
15
Improving database and human resources ◦ Ministries setting up the agency in charge for data
collection (merged with routine statistical work), maintaining database, and responding to the needs of GHG inventory compiler at ONEP & TGO
Studying the suitable form of domestic MRV for national inventory
GHG emission baseline projection, mitigation potentials, mitigation cost estimate and projection
Engagements with GRA on GHG measurement & mitigation options (Paddy field, Cropland, Livestock)
16
Total Emission Reduction
Baseline emission 259 MtCO2
Ongoing-Mitigation options (in power generation)
129 108
17 JGSEE’s mitigation report to TGO 2010
National system for GHGI
Improving understanding of GHG inventory system of government & NGOs staffs
Domestic MRV –system, structure, scale, sector priority, etc.
Mitigation: Baseline & abatement projection and cost associated with mitigation options.
18
19
1961 1973 1976 1978 1982 1985 1988 1989 1991 1993 1995 1998 2000 2004 2005 20060
5000
10000
15000
20000
25000
30000
35000
% of total area
% o
f t
ota
l countr
y a
rea
Forest
area (
1000 h
a)
Year
0
5
10
15
20
25
30
35
40
45
50
55
Thailand LUs in 2000&2007 reclassified following IPCC 2006 GL Classification
(Wiriyanuwatkul, 2009)
Land use categories 2000 2007
km2 % km2 %
Forest land 172,013.04 33.52 162,571.27 31.68
Cropland 285,810.98 55.70 277,349.13 54.05
Grassland 12,740.48 2.48 14,445.86 2.82
Wetlands 14,414.11 2.81 19,237.39 3.75
Settlements 25,398.86 4.95 36,922.13 7.20
Other land 2,737.48 0.53 2,589.17 0.50
Total 513,114.95 100.00 513,114.95 100.00
Magnitude of LUC in 2007 from 2000 (Wiriyanuwatkul, 2009)
7,693.46
2,977.24
1,159.33
19,283.26
605.81
86.58
171.48
1,155.68 115.35
995.21
194.59
361.87
280.77
1,541.09 9,316.13
732.47
2,190.20 2,304.01
23,169.49
15,847.70
6,856.13
636.90
2,320.41
5,283.61
468.76
144.53
1,000.48
3,608.31 1,383.08
601.55
FOREST LAND 141,010.24
CROPLAND 234,971.11
GRASSLAND 3,807.18
WETLANDS 7,550.14
OTHER LAND 671.45
SETTLEMENTS12,619.37
Office of Natural Resource and Environmental Planning
Thailand Research Fund
Thailand Greenhouse Gas Management Office
Office of Energy Planning and Policy
Inventory and Mitigation teams from JGSEE-KMUTT-KMUNB-KU
22