canada barometer report (sept oct)[1]
TRANSCRIPT
8/4/2019 Canada Barometer Report (Sept Oct)[1]
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Economics October 5, 2011
www.cfib.ca
Ted Mallett, Vice-President & Chief Economist
CFIB Business Barometer Index and GDP
62.7
GDP
-12-10-8-6-4-20246810
303540455055606570758085
2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011
Real GDP-%ch-SAARIndex (0-100)*
Quarterly | Monthly
*e.g. Index of 50 = equal balance of stronger and weaker businessexpe ctations
8/4/2019 Canada Barometer Report (Sept Oct)[1]
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Business Barometer® 2
Business Barometer - Provinces Business Barometer - Industries
Short-term Business Performance
63 .7
74 .4
71 .9
65 .5
58 .6
58 .6
60 .8
59 .4
63 .2
67 .4
British Columbia
Alberta
Saskatchewan
Manitoba
Ontario
Quebec
New Brunswick
Nova Scotia
Prince Edward Is.
Newfoundland & Lab.
59.9
69.2
57.5
61.7
65.2
57.4
60.9
69.0
61.5
62.5
71.9
54.6
69.1
Agriculture
Natural resources
Construction
Manufacturing
WholesaleRetail
Transportation
Arts, recreation, info.
Finance, insur. realty
Prof., business services
Health & education serv.
Hospitality
Personal services
149
-30
-10
10
30
50
2009 2010 2011
% balance of opinionbetter (worse)
Next 3 - 4 months
Past 3 - 4 months
8/4/2019 Canada Barometer Report (Sept Oct)[1]
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Business Barometer® 3
Full-time employment plans, next 3 or 4 months
Leading Indicators
Capital Spending Plans, Next 3-4 Months
Overall State of Business
Main Business Constraints
Major Cost Concerns
Wages and Prices, Next 12 Months
Notes: To compensate for small monthly sample sizes, theindex calculations for some subcategories are based onmonthly moving averages. The data are not seasonally adjusted.
Business Barometer is a registered trademark
13
14
0
5
10
15
20
25
30
2009 2010 2011
% responseIncrease
Decrease
-13
-8-9
-50
-40
-30
-20
-10
0
2009 2010 2011
% balance of opinionbetter (worse) than normal
Unsold inventories
Unfilled orders
Staff overtime
28
1415
0
10
20
30
40
2009 2010 2011
% response Computers, comm., office te
Vehicles
Process machinery, equip.
Land, buildings, renovations
Good, 41%
Satisfactory,44%
Bad, 15%
42
11
13
35
15
30
28
4
9
18
Insufficient domestic demand
Insufficient foreign demand
Foreign competition
Shortage of skilled labour
Shortage of un/semi-skilled labour
Management skills, time constraints
Shortage of working capital
Shortage of input products
Product distribution constraints
Limited space
%
70
46
21
39
11
21
18
24
48
60
Fuel, energy costsWage costs
Borrowing costsBank account and processing fees
Foreign currencies
Product input costsCapital equipment, technology costs
Occupancy costsInsurance costs
Tax, regulatory costs
%
1.51.7
0
1
2
2009 2010 2011
Staff wage levels
Selling prices
%ch.